Nakedput
Theta Machine > Closed All for Inflation #
I decided to close all my NAKED PUT trades instead of Hedging with $SPY, the reason to that is the move tomorrow can offset my HEDGE if goes against me, even with Beta Weight Portfolio.
So in this case I will reestablish all positions once we are over with the uncertainty, and that's until FOMC (Wednesday 2:00pm).
AMZN New Trade > Naked Put
New Trade $AMZN
Naked Put
Strike $71
Premium $0.58 x 1 contract = $58
Adding to the previous contracts Strikes 75 and 78 for a total credit of $556.00
$EEM naked PUT, high PoP #option #trade #Trades #OptionsTrading The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF is a good choice for today high IVR credit trade. High PoP, very predictable profit.
Reasons:
- high reward for Jan21 monthly expiry (mangeable with rolling) -> collecting credit
- breakeven point is far
- RSI is oversold.
Max profit: $92
Probability of 50%Profit: 84%
Profit Target relative to my Buying Power: 14%
Req. Buy Power: $633 (max loss without management before expiry, no way to let this happen!)
Tasty IVR: 104 (very high)
Expiry: 49 days
SETUP : NAKED PUT for $EEM, because IVR is high, for 0.92cr
* Sell 1 $EEM JAN21'46 PUT
Management : ROLLING if daily candle is closing below of BE.
Take profit strategy : 50% of max.profit in this case with auto buy order at 0.46db
Of course I'll not wait until expiry in any case!
If you liked this article, check my other ideas.
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BTI short naked putDividend stock
Into strong DBD demand with strong imbalance
Stacked demand
Proximal Blue demand tested once, this is 2nd test
Would like to own BTI at 33, but seems it will never get there, so will sell puts until it does.
Sold 35 strike below distal low, Sep 17, 38 DTE from yesterday, for 8.23% AROI
Options Idea: Sell The JD Oct 16 2020 62.5 Put @ $1.03JD has been in an ascending parallel channel since the COVID-19 peak in March and shows no sign of slowing down. I sold an October 16 2020 62.5 Put @ 1.03 near the bottom of the channel today with the idea that the uptrend will continue over the next couple months. This is one of China's biggest e-retailers and its been having a great time with extra sales due to the pandemic. Don't see any reason why that should stop anytime soon.
An alternative idea for a more aggressive trade would be to sell the $70 Put for a much larger credit. The $70 Put will be just below the bottom of the channel on the Oct 16 expiration.
20-JD-01
Opening Date: August 20, 2020
Expiration Date: October 16, 2020
DTE: 57
IV: 44%
IV Percentile: 36%
Odds of Winning: 80%
Win: > 61.47 @ Expiration
Loss: < 61.47 @ Expiration
Reg-T Margin @ Open: $720
Chart Legend
The green area represents 100% win zone.
The yellow area is a win, but we have to give back some of the initial credit taken in.
The red area is loss.
1 SD, 2 SD, 3 SD projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included.
Options Idea: Sell The PAM Sep. 18, 2020 10.0 Put @ $0.40Pampa Energia (PAM) is reversing a long-term downtrend, and beginning to trend upwards. After hitting a low of $8.72 in March, we’ve been seeing higher highs and lower lows for the last 4 months. This is an Argentine stock and it’ll probably see a bump higher after the government finishes its sovereign debt restructuring. Also, PAM has a share buy-back program in place and management has been very aggressive about buying back their ADRs when they get close to the $10 zone, which is the strike we've chosen for our naked put.
Warning : PAM options are not liquid. So if you decide to enter into this trade, you’ll probably have to take all the way to Sep 18. Since there isn’t much liquidity, so probably won't be for everyone, but we think the current set-up offers a good risk/reward ratio.
20-PAM-02
Opening Date: July 27, 2020
Expiration Date: September 18, 2020
DTE: 53
IV: 76.42%
IV Percentile: 42%
Odds of Winning: 77.87%%
Odds of Losing: 22.13%%
Win: > 9.60 @ Expiration
Loss: < 9.60 @ Expiration
Reg-T Margin: $290
Chart Legend
Green Area: 100% Win Zone. If we finish above or in the green area, we keep 100% of our initial credit. The size of the green area is the size of credit (our maximum win).
Yellow Area: Danger Zone: We still win, but we have to give back some of the initial credit taken in.
Red Area: If we finish in this area we have a loss. The size of the red area is the size of our maximum loss.
1 standard deviation, 2 standard deviation, 3 standard deviation projections from Opening Date to Expiration Date are included.
Facebook earnings IV crushFacebook has earnings tonight and implied volatility is up for their options. I was able to sell a Feb Wk 1 172.50 put for .64. The IV was about 80%, so even with a small gap down the IV should be sucked out immediately in the morning.
JNJ put saleJNJ had a massive move down on their earnings. This is one of the largest candles I can even find on the chart for JNJ. As is approached the 50EMA I was looking for Bull Put Spread or Put Sale premium. Because of dividends being at the end of February and the 200 SMA down around 134. It seems like a no brainer.
Tmobile, HI IV, and pays 15% for this trade ideaThis is one of my favorite weekly plays!!! so yes I am biased. Now that we got this disclaimer out of the way, here is the idea.
This stock has major support at the 60 area, so we will be using that as the protection level for this trade.
Option 1. -62.5/+57.50 for June 16th has a midprice of .77... a decent 15% ROI...
Option 2. -60P, midprice is .62, but with unlimited risk, your margin is 1200 making this trade 5.1% ROC. However you got almost 13% downside protection... not too shabby.
#notyourboringcoveredcalls
SOLD GDXJ SEPT 16TH 45 PUT.... for a .67 ($67)/contract credit.
This and $GDX are currently probably the highest implied volatility exchange-traded funds, so I'm just selling a little premium here without taking on the upside risk that doing a strangle would entail.
That being said, I'm fairly sure I don't want to be put GDXJ at 45 (lower would be preferred for a long position), so I will watch it and roll down and out to an expiry in which I can get a credit for the roll in the event price poses a threat to the short put ... .
