NASDAQ 100 CFD
NASDAQ SHORTConsidering Friday's PA where there was a liquidity grab,there is high resistance liquidity on the buyside. Formation of a one candle CISD further confirms that we might be bearish for a couple of days.
We will delve into the smaller timeframe (4H & 1H) to have our entry position and our targets will be at 20860 and 20670
NAS100 D1 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,759.06 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 22,000.00 which is a level that sits above the descending trendline and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 21,194.43 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDCAD Bullish Pennant Formation and Expected Breakout AnalysisAUDCAD BUY Entry Point= 0.90000
Stop loss = 0.89500
AUDCAD is currently trading at 0.90000, with a target price of 0.91500. This setup suggests an expected upward movement of 150+ pips. The market is forming a bullish pennant, a continuation pattern indicating potential for further gains. A breakout from this pattern is anticipated, which could drive prices higher. The breakout confirmation will strengthen the bullish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of reaching the target. Traders should monitor volume and momentum indicators for confirmation. Stop-loss placement is crucial to manage risk effectively. If the breakout is strong, the price could move swiftly towards the target. Patience and proper risk management are key to capitalizing on this setup. Overall, a bullish outlook is expected upon a successful breakout.
Analysis on the Weekend about Nasdaq 25.02.09Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is on NASDAQ.
The market movement on Friday was an extension of Thursday's briefing.
As seen in the chart, a break below the ascending trendline triggered a short entry. From the entry point, both short-term trendlines were broken, leading to a correction. This movement resulted in a 310-point decline from the entry price, which could have yielded a profit of $6,200 per contract.
As mentioned since Wednesday, I emphasized that a breakout of the resistance trendline would not necessarily lead to a buying opportunity. Hence, I did not consider any long positions. If you check the black resistance trendline, although it broke out, the highs remained similar within the white box, eventually leading the trend downward.
This analysis led to avoiding long positions and instead confirming that the short entry achieved its target.
This is the NASDAQ viewed on the daily chart.
Currently, NASDAQ has closed below the 20-day moving average on a daily basis and is heading into the weekend without a clear directional bias.
Over the past two weeks, Monday’s trading sessions have opened with gap-downs, continuing the downward trend. Even when looking at the bigger picture on the daily chart, NASDAQ remains within the consolidation zone.
Conclusion
At present, NASDAQ is consolidating on the daily chart, and Friday's close to the downside makes it unsuitable for any premature long entries.
As for shorts, entering now would be risky, as the entry point is in the middle of the consolidation range, which could lead to being shaken out.
I plan to observe the market for a day or two and will proceed with the next briefing once a clearer entry perspective emerges.
CADCHF Breaks Resistance After Falling Wedge BreakoutCADCHF is currently trading at 0.6360, with a target price of 0.7500, indicating a bullish outlook. The pair has completed a falling wedge breakout, a strong reversal pattern signaling a potential upward trend. This breakout suggests that selling pressure has weakened, allowing buyers to take control. Additionally, CADCHF is breaking a key resistance level, further confirming bullish momentum. A successful breakout above this resistance could lead to a price surge, targeting over 500 pips in gains. Traders should watch for volume confirmation to ensure the breakout is valid. A strong push above resistance with high volume increases the likelihood of sustained movement. Pullbacks or minor corrections may occur, but the overall trend remains bullish. Risk management strategies, including stop-loss placement, are essential to protect against unexpected reversals. Monitoring economic events affecting CAD and CHF will also help in assessing future price movements.
XAUUSD Analysis Retest, and Target of 3000XAUUSD, which represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD), is currently trading at 2860. The target price is set at 3000, indicating a bullish outlook. The market is following the support and resistance pattern, a common technical analysis method. Currently, a small retesting phase is occurring, where the price is momentarily pulling back before resuming its upward trend. This retest is a natural market movement that helps confirm the breakout strength. If the support holds, buyers will likely push the price toward the 3000 level. The psychological resistance at 3000 might cause some fluctuations. However, if momentum remains strong, the price could surpass this level. Traders should monitor volume and market sentiment for further confirmation. Proper risk management is crucial, as unexpected reversals can occur.
NASDAQ 100 Hits Key Resistance: Is a Retracement Imminent?In this video, I analyze the NASDAQ 100 (#NAS100) as it trades into a key resistance level, appearing overextended on the 4-hour timeframe. I discuss the potential for a counter-trend trade, targeting a retracement to the 50% Fibonacci level of the previous price swing. Watch for insights and strategies on navigating this setup! Not financial advice.
Falling towards pullback support?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,526.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 21,287.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 21,910.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURNZD Analysis , Support Bounce and Bullish PotentialEURNZD is currently trading at 1.83300, with a target price of 1.89000. This suggests a potential upward movement of 500+ pips. The price is bouncing off a strong support level, indicating a possible bullish reversal. The support and resistance pattern highlights key price zones where buying and selling pressure increase. A successful bounce from support strengthens the bullish outlook. Traders anticipate the price moving towards the next resistance level at 1.89000. Confirmation through candlestick patterns and volume analysis is essential. Risk management should include a stop-loss below the support level. Fundamental factors like interest rate decisions can impact price action. Monitoring market sentiment and economic news is crucial for trade execution.
US30 H8 - Short SignalUS30 H8
We are yet again approaching that key psychological price level, 45,000 coming into play. We are very close currently, but alerts have been set. Last time this setup came into this 45,000 territory, we sold off an attractive 5R.
Looking to see if this setup can offer something similar again, we would love to see price trade closer to 44,000 this time round.
Thursday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.06Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today's analysis is focused on the Nasdaq.
Chart Link:
Let’s start by reviewing Wednesday’s briefing.
We entered a buy position after the resistance trendline was broken, with the first entry occurring at the yellow box.
The second entry was made after breaking above the previous high of 21,694.
With the horizontal line set as the target, the price rose about $180 from the first entry, resulting in a $3,600 profit per contract.
As for sell positions, there was no entry since the upward trendline held and no trend reversal occurred.
Chart Link:
Let’s review the daily chart.
The Nasdaq is still consolidating within the pattern.
If this consolidation is broken, we could see a trend reversal, which could further strengthen the upward momentum. However, for now, it seems the price is still moving within the pattern.
Chart Link:
Here’s today’s trading strategy:
Buy Position
No planned entry.
Reason: Although the uptrend is clear, the price is approaching a critical area marked by the black box on the daily chart.
In this area, the price could either break out and then retrace or lead to a trend reversal. It could also continue to gain buying momentum, making this zone highly uncertain. Therefore, no buy signals are planned.
Sell Position
Entry 1: Upon a break below the upward trendline at the orange box.
Reason: The current uptrend has been following a staircase-like expansion pattern, making the timing of a trend reversal uncertain. Thus, we’ll prioritize observing a break below a trendline slightly higher than the previous one.
Entry 2: Upon a break below the upward trendline at the blue box.
Context: The first trendline break and the trendline we've been monitoring since Monday will be critical.
Conclusion
Since the gap down on Monday, the Nasdaq has been continuously rising.
This once again confirms that we should focus on reacting to the charts rather than making premature predictions.
Wishing you all profitable trades today!
Wednesday Nasdaq Analysis 25.02.05Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Tuesday’s Briefing Results
Chart:
Let's begin by reviewing Tuesday’s briefing results.
On Tuesday, as the price broke above the resistance trendline, our first long entry was taken. A second long entry followed when the price broke above 21600. The target—a horizontal line at 21685—was reached before a correction occurred.
From the entry point, the price rose by approximately $245, yielding a profit of about $4,900 per contract on the long side.
On the sell side, no entry signal was triggered, so no sell position was taken.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Looking at the daily chart, the NASDAQ appears to still be converging within a narrowing range.
The current position seems to be right before a directional decision is made, positioned near the middle of the Ichimoku Cloud. However, this sideways movement may persist, and the longer it continues, the more likely it is that a breakout in either direction could trigger a significant trend reversal.
Key Support and Resistance Zones on the Daily Chart
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: Breakout above the purple box at 21200.
Rationale: Rather than trading impulsively, a long entry is recommended based on the possibility of filling the gap if today’s high is broken.
Risk: The overall trend remains bearish.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger:
Option 1: A break of the short-term ascending trendline, or
Option 2: A break below today’s low at 20943.
Rationale:
This signal indicates significant risk and suggests that the market is overheated—possibly nearing a bubble burst.
Risk:
Although the trend is bearish, entering a short position late in the move raises concerns about how far the price may fall. It is advisable to set targets based on major support levels.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is currently in a converging state, and it seems best to trade only when clear breakout signals emerge, while staying on the sidelines in ambiguous zones.
For Buyers: Focus on breakouts above the key levels (21779 and 21812) for potential continuation of the uptrend.
For Sellers: Monitor for a break below the ascending trendline or 20943 to confirm a trend reversal.
Stay patient, watch key levels closely, and trade strategically. Happy trading, and let’s finish the week strong! 🚀
NZDUSD Falling Wedge Breakout – 400+ Pips Opportunity!NZDUSD forex pair is currently trading at 0.56800, with a target price of 0.60000, offering a potential gain of 400+ pips. This bullish outlook is supported by a falling wedge breakout, a technical pattern indicating a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. The breakout is further strengthened by a good bounce from a key support level, suggesting strong buying interest at lower prices. The rising momentum and breakout signal a shift in market sentiment, potentially attracting more buyers. The target of 0.60000 represents a significant resistance level, and reaching it would require sustained upward pressure. Traders may view this as a buying opportunity, aligning with the breakout’s direction. However, factors like economic data, global risk sentiment, and commodity prices (e.g., dairy exports for NZD) should be monitored. Proper risk management, including stop-loss orders below the support level, is crucial to manage potential reversals. This setup combines a strong technical pattern with clear profit potential, making it appealing for short-to-medium-term trading strategies.
GBP/USD Trend Reversal? Smart Money Entering the Market!GBP/USD is a major forex pair representing the exchange rate between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). The current price is 1.25100, and the target price is set at 1.27000, indicating an expected upward movement. This trade setup suggests a potential gain of over 200 pips if the price reaches the target. A pip, or "percentage in point," is a standard unit of movement in forex trading, where 1 pip in GBP/USD is 0.0001. The trend line breakout confirms a bullish signal, meaning the price has moved above a key resistance level. Strong volume support indicates that many traders are participating in this move, adding to the momentum. A breakout with high volume often leads to sustained price movement, increasing the likelihood of hitting the target. If the trend continues, traders might see further gains beyond the expected 1.27000 level. However, risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change unexpectedly. Keeping an eye on economic news and key events related to the UK and US economies is essential. Overall, this setup suggests a strong buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the breakout.
NASDAQ is potentially OVER pricedSeeing that Nas has been getting weaker against the market makes me think its been propped up a bit and we are open to seeing a decent sized correction to the downside. This will likely shock the media and news but I belive it'll just help the asset reach new highs with a re evaluation of its components at a lower price. Trade Safe, Trade Smart, Trade Drippy!