nasdaq analysis 2024-12-26"NASDAQ Analysis: Key Levels and Strategies"
Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Let’s dive into the NASDAQ analysis.
Let’s start with the 30-minute chart.
On December 24, Christmas Eve, the NASDAQ began to rally right after the U.S. market opened. As shown in the chart, the index broke through the red box, which previously acted as resistance during Monday’s session rebound. Once it surpassed this resistance, a one-way upward movement followed.
30-Minute Chart Trading Strategy
From a buying perspective, now does not seem like an ideal entry point.
While the NASDAQ is showing an uptrend that offsets the strong decline from the orange box on the left, entering at this point would mean buying near the upper boundary of the orange box, rather than the middle or lower levels.
Although the supply zone opens up to the red box above, this depends on sufficient buying momentum to sustain the rally. A conservative buying strategy would be to wait for a breakout above the upper boundary of the red box. A breakout would also mean overcoming the resistance trendline, potentially paving the way toward new highs.
Selling Perspective
For a selling strategy, the first signal would be the breakdown of the ascending trendline. If the NASDAQ breaks below the blue box’s lower boundary, this could be an entry point for short positions.
However, note that the NASDAQ has been consistently following the 20 EMA on the 30-minute chart. Therefore, the first sell signal would likely come from a break below both the 20 EMA and the ascending trendline.
Target Levels
In the short term, the green box serves as the target for any bearish moves. If the NASDAQ breaks below the green box, it would indicate entry into the next price frame. In this case, a decline to as low as 21558 could be possible. However, given the current bullish trend, a conservative approach is recommended.
Conclusion
For buyers: Wait for a breakout above the red box’s upper boundary for confirmation before entering.
For sellers: Watch for the breakdown of the 20 EMA and the ascending trendline as your initial signal. A break below the blue box’s lower boundary could solidify your entry point.
Trend caution: While short-term corrections are possible, the overall trend still leans bullish, so trade cautiously.
Let’s trade smart and aim for success. Best of luck in the markets! 🚀
NASDAQ 100 CFD
Price Consolidation and Breakout Scenarios: Key Levels for TrendTechnical Analysis
The price is expected to consolidate between 21,535 and 21,625 until a breakout occurs.
A breakout above 21,630, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing above this level, will support a bullish movement toward 21,770.
Alternatively, if the price stabilizes below 21,535, it may turn bearish, targeting 21,400 and 21,330.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21620
Resistance Levels: 21770, 21900, 21990
Support Levels: 21535, 21400, 21215
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum: Stabilization below 21,535
- Bullish Momentum: Stabilization above 21,625
NAS100On NAS100 I am bearish for the longer term, currently I am waiting for price to reach my area of interes where I will be looking for selling opportunities. You will see there are two areas where i will be interested to look for selling opportunities. This is done based on my strategy on specific charts.
Remember, clear charts better vision.
Nasdaq100 Short Weekly ChartNasdaq100 Short Weekly Chart, Price after big and small AB=CD + BB+ Trendline+ Engulfing candle at the top, price should go now to Take profit 1 area, and from there if will not be a real support it will go to test the SMA200, for take profit 2 odds are much more small but possible
US NAS 100 Technical AnalysisUS NAS 100 Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Near Key Resistance
The NASDAQ 100 index (US NAS 100) has shown a strong recovery on the 4-hour chart, breaking above critical support levels and approaching a major resistance zone. Here’s an overview of the current market structure:
Overall Trend
The index is trading in an uptrend, supported by strong buying momentum following a pullback to key support levels. The Ichimoku Cloud and Bollinger Bands indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, with a potential continuation toward higher resistance levels.
Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
22,098: The primary resistance zone, which aligns with recent price peaks. A break above this level may trigger a continuation of the bullish trend.
Support Levels:
21,283: This level acts as immediate support, providing a strong foundation for the ongoing recovery.
20,566: A deeper support level, indicating strong buyer interest during previous corrections.
Technical Indicators
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price has moved above the Kumo Cloud, confirming bullish dominance. The cloud’s future outlook also suggests potential upside momentum.
Bollinger Bands:
The price is nearing the upper band, signaling short-term overbought conditions. A consolidation or minor pullback is possible before further bullish continuation.
Moving Averages:
The price is above the 50-period moving average (blue line), which acts as dynamic support, reinforcing the uptrend.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above 22,098 could open the path toward higher levels, with buyers likely targeting new highs. This scenario aligns with the ongoing momentum and technical setups.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to break above 22,098 may lead to a pullback toward the 21,283 support zone. Further selling pressure could drive the price lower, testing the 20,566 level.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ 100 index is positioned within a strong bullish structure, with a critical test at 22,098. A breakout above this resistance could signal further upside, while a rejection may lead to consolidation or a minor pullback. Traders should watch these key levels closely and monitor momentum indicators for confirmation of the next move.
Potential bullish rise?NAS100 has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,426.87
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 21,119.53
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 21,894.84
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Daily Nasdaq Insights – December 22, 2024Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Before the Nasdaq's movements beginning on December 23rd, let’s dive into a weekend analysis to prepare for the upcoming market conditions.
Weekly Chart Analysis
The weekly Nasdaq chart presents a rare occurrence—a bearish candlestick after a significant upward trend. Interestingly, the length of both the upper and lower wicks is quite balanced, resulting in a large Doji-like candlestick. However, a Doji candlestick doesn’t necessarily signal a trend reversal to the downside.
Why?
The Ichimoku Cloud's Lagging Span remains above the candlesticks. Unless we see significant bearish momentum, the Lagging Span is likely to find support from the candlesticks below.
The price is still holding above the 20-week moving average, which currently sits at 20,503.
A bearish move into the Ichimoku Cloud would require the price to drop further to 19,383 to fully enter the cloud zone.
In conclusion, the weekly chart suggests that the uptrend is still intact. Despite closing the week with a bearish candle, it followed a recent all-time high. This could indicate a temporary pause rather than a definitive reversal, keeping the potential for further upward movement on the table.
Daily Chart Analysis
Examining the daily chart, the Lagging Span still remains above the candlesticks, reinforcing that a trend reversal is not yet confirmed.
Additionally, the long-term upward trendline remains intact. For a decisive breakdown to occur:
The price would need to break below the thick Ichimoku Cloud (zone between 20,775 and 19,880).
A definitive trendline breach would likely occur if the price falls below 19,560, which would signal a clear shift in momentum.
At this stage, the daily chart reflects resilience within the broader uptrend despite recent pullbacks.
1-Hour Chart Analysis
The 1-hour chart reveals why Nasdaq's current direction is ambiguous.
Resistance Zone (Orange Box): This is the final key resistance trendline. A breakout above this level would provide a clear buy signal, as the price would enter the red box supply zone.
If this resistance is overcome, Nasdaq has a high probability of testing the red box’s upper boundary near 22,432, potentially forming a double top or even reaching a new all-time high.
Friday's session did see a rebound, but:
While the yellow box resistance was broken, the price failed to hold support near the session close, which casts doubt on the strength of the rebound.
To confirm further upside momentum, the price needs to break above the blue box resistance near 21,935.
Without reclaiming this level, the strong bearish candlestick from Friday’s session raises skepticism about whether this was a genuine reversal or merely a temporary relief rally.
Final Thoughts
Historically, markets have often rallied during the holiday season, but this year appears to present more complex conditions. Instead of trying to predict the market, focus on reacting to key levels and signals.
I will continue to provide detailed and actionable analysis to assist you in navigating these challenging markets. Stay prepared and trade wisely!
NASDAQ Bearish Momentum Persists as Price Drops 2.7% in 24 HoursTechnical Analysis
The price has dropped more than 2.7% in the last 24 hours.
The bearish trend, as highlighted in the previous analysis, remains intact. The price is likely to stabilize within the bearish trend, targeting 20,670 and 20,550, as long as it trades below 20,990.
However, a bullish correction toward 20,860 or 20,990 is possible, particularly if the price stabilizes above 20,860.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 20860
Resistance Levels: 20990, 21080, 21210
Support Levels: 20780, 20670, 20550
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 20990
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 20990
Previous idea:
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 19 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None - FOMC on Wednesday night
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
Note: Did not trade FOMC on Wednesday, because generally I don’t like to trade news. For me, it’s more of a gamble than a situation where I can stack the probabilities in my favour.
Morning analysis:
FOMC reaction was huge, with price plummeting through the floor.
4H and Daily fib levels were all smashed. The last remaining fib level in the morning was the W 0.618 fib level.
A huge DT had formed on the D TF (marked in green lines). D neckline was broken down and price had travelled to the profit target zone (as marked by the green vertical line).
Price had touched the W 0.618 fib level and moved back up, showing a strong reaction to this last line of defence for the bulls.
In this case, because price had reached profit target, I was looking for a buy.
If price had not yet reached profit target, I would have been cautious with a buy because I have noted how respectful Nasdaq can be of profit targets.
It is normally the case that price would re-test the neckline of the market pattern just broken, once price has reached profit target, so I felt confident with a buy.
As the morning progressed a falling wedge pattern started forming (marked with blue lines). These usually break upwards, but can break either direction.
Price broke the pattern upwards and I entered at the lower hand icon.
Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - Two market patterns where at play here. A falling wedge broken upwards + DB on the 1H TF with the neckline (drawn in orange) broken upwards.
2. S&R - Market patterns where forming at a weekly S&R area.
3. Trend - Buy is in the same direction as the overall market trend. DB was forming right at the uptrend line area on the bigger timeframes (marked with the diagonal red line). Temporary downtrend line of falling wedge broken upwards
4. Fib - Long wick candle spike down to W 0.618 fib level
5. Candlesticks - Long wick candle showing a strong reaction to the W 0.618 fib level.
Mental stop was placed at the thick pink line, i.e. half of the height of the DB.
Price moved up well.
Now for setting TP's.
Setting take profit in these situations is difficult. Usually, I would use the fib level that I entered on, to provide guidance as to TP1 and TP2 (fib extensions).
But in this case, we are not in a trending market and aiming for the Weekly TP (because that is the fib level at play here) is too ambitious.
The highlighted green areas are very strong sell areas of confluence. I set these two areas as potential take profit zones.
Depending how strong bulls are, they may push all the way to the D neckline and push through, or they may just touch an EMA or sell fib level and price reverses downwards.
I have left a lot of money on the table in these scenarios before, by just assuming bulls will break the D neckline back upwards. So was determined today to learn from my past mistakes.
I ended up taking partial profit at +- 1000 pips, because I didnt like the strong reaction to the 30min EMA. With Nas, if price is VERY bullish or bearish, then price will react to the 30 EMA. So the fact that bears were so prominent at the 30 EMA, made me want to lock in some profits.
Price continued to move up and had a strong reaction to the D EMA (where it was at that time in history). Price had not even reached the area of sell confluence marked in green, and we were seeing a strong bearish push. Decided to take profit again at the top hand icon (+- 1'700 pips) and leave a runner open.
Runner got taken out at entry when price came tumbling down.
I am happy with my take profit decisions. This was the first time that I capitalised correctly on the move I was looking for.
I feel this proves the value of screen time and really trying to make sense of how price is reacting in various situations.
You may feel no progress at first, but in the long run, you will slowly start handling situations better and better.
Looks now like the market has turned bearish.
Weekly EMA and fist W fib level are very far down. Uptrend line on high TF's is also broken.
The buy wont just happen in a heart beat (in my opinion). Price will first start consolidating as bulls build strength and momentum and make a reversal pattern on the higher TF's before truly making a big move up.
Hope you had a good day! If you were in with a sell on FOMC, its caviar and champagne for the holiday season! ;)
Stats:
The total bullish move for the day was 2'572 pips:
I captured 66% (1'700pips) of the total move - Happy with that!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
NASDAQ Is Close To The Main Trend And Support!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a buying opportunity around 20,500 zone, NASDAQ is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 20500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,414.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 21,813.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 20,774.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Nasdaq 100: Make-or-Break Trendline SupportChart Analysis:
The US 100 Index has pulled back from recent highs but remains above its rising trendline (black), maintaining the broader bullish structure.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline:
The trendline, originating from the August lows, has been a key dynamic support for the index. Price is currently testing this level around 21,150, making it a critical area to watch.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): The index remains above the 50-day SMA at 20,818, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 19,438, reflecting a long-term bullish trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 51.88, signaling neutral momentum, giving room for the index to either bounce or consolidate further.
MACD: The MACD line has turned downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum but no decisive bearish crossover yet.
What to Watch:
A bounce from the trendline could signal a continuation of the uptrend, with immediate resistance near the recent highs around 21,600.
A break below the trendline may shift attention to the 50-day SMA or the 20,800 level for potential support.
The US 100 Index remains within a broader bullish structure, with the rising trendline acting as a critical support level for near-term price action.
-MW
NAS100 H4 | Potential bearish reversalNAS100 is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,404.67 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 21,660.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 20,949.82 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NAS100 NAS100 price is still in a strong uptrend, but we expect that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will correct in the 22195-22247 zone. If the price cannot break through the 22247 level, the price may decline. Consider selling in the red zone.
*Very Risky Trade
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
The key is whether it can be supported in the support zone
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(NAS100USD 1D chart)
Support zone
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (21039.7) ~ 21348.0
2nd: 19582.6
However, when the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is touched, whether it is supported or not is important.
The next volatility period is expected to be around December 26th.
If it is maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is expected to eventually rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) ~ right Fibonacci ratio 1.27 (23962.1) and re-determine the trend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------