NASDAQ 100: Moon Mission or Reality Check? Ah, the NASDAQ 100—our favorite rollercoaster 🎢 where tech dreams are either made ✨ or brutally crushed 😵💫. Right now, it’s hovering around 19,500, and traders are debating: "Is this the launchpad to new highs or just a dead-cat bounce in disguise?" 🐱💀
Let’s break it down 👇
🚀 The Bullish Hopefuls: "We're Going to Valhalla, Boys!"
✅ Rebound Mode ON 🎯: After a nasty selloff, the market has found some footing and is showing signs of recovery 📈. Maybe the worst is over? (Yeah, sure, we've heard that before... 🙃)
✅ Fed to the Rescue? 🏦: With the FOMC meeting on deck, traders are hoping for some dovish magic dust ✨ to send tech stocks flying again. Because why rely on solid fundamentals when you have the Fed, right? 🤡
😨 The Bearish Doom-Sayers: "Brace for Impact!"
❌ Big Tech = Too Crowded 🚶♂️🚶♂️🚶♂️🚶♂️: Asset managers are side-eyeing Big Tech, calling it "overcrowded" 🙄. Translation? Expect a nasty rug pull soon.
❌ Healthy Correction... or the Start of Something Worse? 🚑: The S&P 500 dropped 10%, the NASDAQ fell 11%, and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling it a "healthy correction" 🤡. Yeah, just like how falling down the stairs is a “healthy adjustment” for your spine.
🤔 The Fence-Sitters: "We're Just Watching the Chaos 🍿"
🔮 Multiple Futures Await 🔮: Analysts are juggling four possible scenarios for the NASDAQ—ranging from "moon mission" 🚀 to "welcome to the abyss" 🕳️. Basically, flip a coin.
So... Where Are We Headed? 🤷♂️
Are we strapping in for another ride to the stratosphere 🚀, or is this just a perfectly orchestrated bull trap 🐂🔫? Either way, buckle up, folks—volatility is the only guarantee 🎢😵💫.
💬 What do you think? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥
(Disclaimer: This isn't financial advice. Do your own research before yeeting into the market. 🚀📉)
NASDAQ 100 CFD
NAS100 1HR // 17 March AnalysisWe can see that the 1 hour downtrend on NAS100 has been broken.
Looking to see if the price can retest the drawn support/resistance zone around the 19500.00 area. Potential buys with 20000.00 being a nice target if we see a nice retest from the marked support/resistance zone.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
Nas100 1. Market Structure & Context
The market has been in a bullish uptrend within a rising channel (trendlines).
A "Diagonal Expecting" zone suggests a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum.
A "Trend Trap" indicates a possible liquidity grab before a major move.
2. ICT Concepts Applied
Liquidity Grab & Manipulation:
The market may have engineered liquidity above the previous highs before the sell-off.
The "Sell Off" label suggests Smart Money could be distributing positions at the premium levels.
Market Structure Shift (MSS):
If the price breaks the trend trap zone with conviction, it signals a shift from bullish to bearish order flow.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Price Targets:
The first take-profit level at 16,529.9 aligns with an area where liquidity might rest.
The final target at 14,125.1 suggests price filling an imbalance or mitigating an order block (OB) at a lower timeframe.
3. Expected Move
Potential Short-Term Rebound:
A small retracement could occur before the major drop (blue projection).
Overall Bearish Expectation:
A strong downward move into lower levels where Smart Money may reaccumulate positions.
Conclusion
This chart is anticipating a significant bearish move after a liquidity grab at highs, with take-profit zones aligning with ICT principles like FVG fills and order block mitigation. If the market respects these areas, traders could look for confirmation (e.g., displacement, breaker structures) to enter short positions.
corrections continue
The NASDAQ 100, on the 1-hour chart, has shown notable declines in recent weeks, as reflected in the provided image. From the recent high near 19,940.0 (labeled "E"), the index has undergone a significant correction, breaking key levels and approaching critical support zones. The price is currently testing the 18,717.8 level (138% Fibonacci according to the "tag pole"), a level that could act as temporary support.
Context of the Declines
Recent declines have been influenced by factors such as macroeconomic uncertainty, including interest rate expectations and the strength of the dollar (USD), in addition to profit-taking following a previous rally. On the 1-hour chart, this corrective movement has brought the index to a confluence between the descending channel (labeled "D") and important Fibonacci levels, such as the 138% at 18,717.8 and the 100% at 18,466.7.
Possibility of a Further Downside
Given the 1-hour timeframe, the NASDAQ could extend its correction before a rebound. The next relevant support zone is located at 18,466.7 (100% Fibonacci), which coincides with a previous liquidity level (labeled "B"). If this support fails, the price could head towards 18,200, where a stronger support zone is observed (labeled "V"). The corrective structure with waves (I-IV) suggests that we are in wave IV, and a downward wave V could complete in this zone before a trend reversal. Rebound Scenario
Once the price reaches these supports, especially 18,466.7 or 18,200, we are likely to see a technical rebound. This could lead the index to retest resistance at 19,000 or even the 19,726.9 level (labeled IV) if the correction is considered complete. Traders may see reversal signals such as divergences in the RSI or a hammer pattern in these areas.
Conclusion: Keep an eye on 18,466.7 as critical support. A break below could target 18,200, but a rebound from these levels seems imminent after the current correction.
Hanzo l Nas100 Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path
🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate.
We do not react—we execute.
Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword.
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters -
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19770Zone
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters
Key Break Confirms the Path – 19500 Zone
our reversal always at key level
even a reversal area is well studded
reasons
Liquidity Swwep
liquidity / choch
key level / multi retest before
weekly / monthly zone
🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set.
Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
NASDAQ about to nuke?In my previous ideas and posts i told you about #nasdaq chart structure' s weaknesses. Well, it has already made the extended rally and the time has likely come.
In lower time frame, nasdaq, spx and dji already started dumps and broke the local supports.
In monthly candle stick size, i mean higher time frame, #nasdaq100 chart:
- Formed a huge bearish divergence
- Stoch RSI made bearish triple top
- MACD is warning about the trend reversal (Bullish to bearish)
The strong support zones in HTF are:
Monthly EMA Ribbon at 15000
Monthly İchimoku Cloud bottom at 12000
The stronghold the historical trendline support at 6000.
This strategy is NOT a SHORT TERM strategy and NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Dyor.
Just avoid being over greedy.
The Next Leg nas100To me this is very bullish (break and retest on lower time frames and even the 6month chart is showing a retest to the last candle close) Im looking for a 50 percent push back up on the bearish candle on the 6month chart and if we continue i will continue to hold and close partials
VANRYUSDT Approaching a Breakout from Falling Wedge VANRYUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish technical setup that traders are closely watching. This pattern often signals a potential breakout, and with strong volume backing the movement, the chances of a significant price surge are increasing. As the price consolidates within the wedge, buyers are gradually stepping in, indicating growing investor confidence in this project.
The market sentiment around VANRYUSDT remains positive, with investors showing increased interest in its potential. A breakout from this pattern could trigger an explosive rally, with expected gains ranging between 250% to 300%. If the price successfully breaches the resistance, it could initiate a strong uptrend, attracting even more market participants and pushing VANRYUSDT toward higher levels.
With strong volume supporting the price action, traders should keep a close watch on the key resistance level. A confirmed breakout with sustained buying pressure could validate the bullish outlook. As the crypto market remains volatile, proper risk management and technical confirmation are essential before entering a position in this promising setup.
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NAS100 H4 | Bullish BreakoutBased on the H4 chart analysis, the price is rising toward our buy entry level at 19,532.22 (Bullish breakout)
Our take profit is set at 20,050.33, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 19,127, a swing low support level.
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Nasdaq 100 Enters CorrectionNasdaq 100 Enters Correction
As shown on the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart today:
→ The index has fallen below the psychological 20,000-point level, reaching its lowest in approximately six months.
→ The decline from the December peak now exceeds 10%, officially marking the start of a correction.
Why the Nasdaq 100 Is Falling Today
Bearish sentiment stems from a combination of factors, including (according to Zacks analysts):
→ The Trump administration’s tariff policies and their potential economic impact. Concerns increased after the latest jobs report showed unemployment rising from 4.0% to 4.1%.
→ Worries about AI investment costs and their long-term profitability.
→ Market anticipation of tomorrow’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) release at 15:30 GMT+3.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 Chart
Price movements indicate that the steeper growth channel (marked in black), which had been in place since last August, has lost relevance. A broader view of the chart reveals that the index has now approached the lower boundary of a long-term channel (marked in blue), which has been forming since early 2024. Key price formations that helped define this channel are highlighted in orange.
Given that the index is at the lower boundary of the blue channel and the RSI indicator on the daily chart has dropped to multi-year lows, a short-term recovery may be likely. However, the fundamental backdrop will play a decisive role—clear signs of U.S. economic stability could support a rebound, while extreme fear (as reflected in CNN’s Fear & Greed Index) may continue to weigh on sentiment.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Short-Term Opportunity in NAS100: Rebound in Play?Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) three weeks ago, NAS100 has dropped approximately 3,000 pips, hitting a low near the 19,000 zone yesterday.
Currently, the CFD price is rebounding, and this recovery could extend into the New York trading session.
Although my overall correction target remains around 18,000, I anticipate a short-term relief rally at this stage.
From a short-term trading perspective, the 19,000 level could present a good entry opportunity. With a tight stop and a target slightly above 20,000, this setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio.
NAS 100 Overextended – Brace for a Pullback! The NAS 100 is looking highly overextended at the moment 📊. Market conditions are precarious, with many instruments trading into key support and resistance levels on both the daily and weekly timeframes ⏳.
A sharp pullback 📉 could be on the horizon, potentially offering a counter-trend buying opportunity on the lower timeframes for the US 100 💰. If it pushes higher, it may set up a potential short trade 🎯.
🚨 Not financial advice – trade wisely and manage your risk! ⚖️
QQQ long term trend is down with short-term relief rallyI am guessing a bit more downside before we see a relief rally. The AI bubble is starting to unwind, and that falling knife is sharp. I am patiently waiting for some version of a short-term bottom. You can see in the chart that price is has several key support lines within near reach. I would expect testing and hopefully finding some support in the coming days. If it is like the COVID bubble unwind, then we could see a strong reverse rally out of this range. However, I think it is pretty clear QQQ is in correction with a convincing loss of the 200 day SMA.
Nasdaq 100 Drops More Than 4.0% Amid Market UncertaintyThe Nasdaq 100 index has already accumulated a loss of over 4.0% during today’s session and has declined more than 12% since its peak on February 18. The strong bearish movement remains intact as the market anticipates that the new 25% tariffs imposed on countries like Mexico and Canada could begin affecting production costs for U.S. companies. In the long run, this may lead to a low-return environment that could be unfavorable for the index.
Additionally, companies such as Amazon, Nvidia, and Microsoft have seen declines between 3% and 5% in recent sessions, reinforcing the bearish pressure on the Nasdaq due to their heavy weighting within the index.
Momentum Accelerates
With the strong downward bias currently present in the chart, selling pressure has been able to break through the support level at 19,700 points. However, the rapid price acceleration is beginning to have a significant impact, which could lead to short-term bullish corrections.
Oversold Indicators
Bollinger Bands: The bearish momentum has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, which could indicate a high acceleration in recent price movements.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI line continues to decline below the oversold level of 30, suggesting an imbalance between buying and selling forces.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram has dropped to levels not seen since July 2024, indicating a persistent downward acceleration without giving buyers an opportunity to regain control.
The alignment of these indicators suggests a significant acceleration of the bearish trend, which may lead to a standardization of bullish corrections in the short term.
Key Levels:
18,800 points – Near-Term Support: This level corresponds to lows not seen since September 2024. Persistent trading below this level could further accelerate the strong downward bias currently present in the chart.
19,700 points – New Resistance Zone: This level aligns with the lower Bollinger Band, which may serve as the area where potential bullish corrections could take place in the short term.
20,500 points – Distant Resistance: A neutral zone that has been tested by price movements in recent months. A sustained rally back to this level could challenge the current bearish sentiment prevailing in the market.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
NASDAQ Futures Fall Following S&P's Worst Week Since SeptemberUS stock futures fell solidly Monday as investors and traders took the weekend to process the February jobs report and prepared for a busy week of economic data, headlined by a report on inflation amid concerns over its resurgence under President Trump's unpredictable trade policy.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures (YM=F) fell 1%, while futures attached to the benchmark S&P 500 (ES=F) also dropped 1% after the index posted its worst week since September. Futures tied to the Nasdaq (NQ=F) also slipped around 1.79%.
All three major indexes looked set to build on losses of more than 2% last week.
For the Nasdaq Composite, the resistance point has been faded with selling pressure increasing, the 18,500 point could serve as support point for Nasdaq price index. However, should a trend reversal occur, the break above the resistant pivot may catalyse a bullish spree as industries, investors and traders are dissecting President Trump's trade policy.