NASDAQ 100 CFD
NASDAQ ONE MONTH FORECASTAfter breaking so many levels and reaching such a high price, nasdaq should stop soon to correct ;
we think it could go up to 22K max, then come back to the red KL, which are the ones that never were corrected ;
not exactly sure when or how, but this round top seems like a realistic way to end the year for US100.
GOLD GAPHuge trade opportunity tonight with a gap so huge that it got filled right away ;
bulls took their chance, nice job, now it should head back to the original configuration towards 2600s, then 2550s later this month ;
the first week price is always the most important, here anyone could have made a huge trade by simply aiming at filling the gap by selling.
NASDAQ, setup for 25k (20% potential)Hello everyone,
based on the major wave 3, we can make a projection to imagine where the global markets could form a major top. In my view we are entering the last stages of the bull run, with a potential of 20% gains to come. After reaching the top, a major bear market could start, but I don't expect the top to be in before at least Q1 of 2025.
What I also want to point out is that we are about to test the very significant last swing high from where wave 4 started. I should be a good zone to start buying again, as we are in a strong bullish trend. If you need confirmation observe this level closely.
USNAS100 / New ATH Historical Price, and Still To 21590Technical Analysis
The price has successfully reached a historic all-time high (ATH) at 21500 and continues to gain momentum, targeting the next resistance at 21,590, and then it's possible to trade with a bearish trend after 21590.
So now any stability above 21485 will get the price toward 21590, and then should break the resistance zone to get 21900,
Otherwise, stability below 21450 by closing the 4h candle under it, means will drop to get 21290 and 21220
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21480
Resistance Levels: 21590, 21670, 21800
Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990
previous idea:
XAUUSD ON THE MOVEAfter make such a sudden hard uptrend, Gold seems ready to come down again ;
in a liquidity slow pattern this time, as it seems to have already started yesterday ;
just like BTC, gold sometimes like to come back where it started but in a slow way compared to the huge candlebox it just did ;
so this seems like a plunging pattern looking at aiming for 2550s.
US100/NASDAQ GOING UPAfter a long uptrend which we could not wait would stop, seems like yesterday's move set the tone for next days ;
it seems thanks to Trump that it is going up for real in a super bullish trend that wants to break 22K ;
and as BTC just blew 102-103K, we never know what could happen.
More precisely, this seems like a triangle pattern which will either make the price fall hard or keep going up smoothly, which seems more accurate now.
All Time Highs on the Horizon!!!Price is on a Bullish Up trend In a Current Retracement.
This Thesis uses several different concepts. Based off of Market structure, support & resistance, RSI Divergence, Fib lvl's, ICT Concepts,
Daily: Bullish, Price is Rejecting Bullish TL and Testing structure , 61.8 prz (Daily Breaker Block forming)
H4: Bullish, Morning star R Pattern at H4 lvl
H1: Bearish (Wait for price action to return Bullish before entering)
Thesis:
Looking for price to bullish break H4 lvl to order block
and retest back to daily lvl 20595 / previous structure high zone, for bullish entry.
Notes:
price has a overall retracement 61.8 prz
Price rejecting off bullish Trend line
Price rejecting 4H FVG
H4 Hidden Bullish Divergence
Daily Bullish Breaker Block
Cons:
-4H could be a Head and shoulders Pattern if price rejects and doesn't break through Daily lvl 20595
Wait for H1 Time frame and Execution time frames to line up with macro Bullish Trend before Executing!
TP1: 21,150
TP2: 21,468 (ATH)
TP3: 22,242 Stretch Goal (ATH)
US100 Bullish ideaUS100 looks bullish on daily time frame, currently it is retesting the trendline by creating higher low, we can enter the long here and stops loss can be placed as per last low which is 19825.00. Furthermore, there is no divergence in sight in current bullish rally which is an additional confirmation for continuation of the rally.
The Silent Cost of FOMO Trades: What Your Anxiety Is SayingLast Thursday, I watched my 8-year-old nephew at a birthday party, desperately trying to play with every toy, eat every snack, and join every game simultaneously. He ended up in tears, overwhelmed and exhausted, having fully enjoyed none of them. Looking at my trading journal that evening, I had to laugh - I'd done exactly the same thing in the markets that day.
The FOMO Frenzy
You know that feeling - EUR/USD is climbing, GBP/JPY is breaking out, and USD/CAD is testing support. Your heart races. Your palms sweat. Suddenly you've got positions in all three pairs, and your mind is spinning like a circus juggler with too many balls in the air.
What Your Anxiety Is Really Saying
That knot in your stomach? It's not just stress - it's your internal risk manager throwing up red flags. Think of anxiety like your car's check engine light. Most people try to ignore it or put tape over it. But what if that warning light is actually your most valuable trading tool?
The Real Cost (It's Not Just Money)
Last month, I lost 4% of my account in a single day chasing trades. But the real cost wasn't the money - it was:
Three sleepless nights
Snapping at my wife over breakfast
Missing my kid's soccer game because I was glued to charts
Taking twice as long to recover my confidence
The Birthday Party Strategy
Now I treat my trading like I wish my nephew had handled that birthday party. Pick one game. Enjoy it fully. Then, if it makes sense, move to the next one. In trading terms:
One trade at a time
Full focus on that setup
Clear exit plan
]No peeking at other pairs until this trade is managed
Your Brain on FOMO
Here's what happens when FOMO kicks in - your brain floods with dopamine, the same chemical that makes my nephew grab three cupcakes at once. Your prefrontal cortex (the rational part) gets overwhelmed by your limbic system (the emotional part). Suddenly you're trading like a sugar-rushed 8-year-old.
The Solution: Your Personal FOMO Filter
I've taped a note to my monitor that asks:
"If this were the only trade you could take this month, would you take it?"
It's amazing how quickly FOMO evaporates when you frame it that way. I went from taking 15-20 trades per week to 2-5, and my profit has doubled.
Your Next Step
FIf you find yourself battling FOMO, try this: Each time you feel the urge to place a trade, wait 5 minutes. Just 5 minutes. Write down what you're feeling. You'll be amazed at how many FOMO trades never make it past this 5-minute filter.
Remember, the market is like an endless birthday party - it'll be there tomorrow, next week, and next year. You don't have to play every game or eat every cupcake today.
Cheers to your success,
Gio
USNAS100 / Downside Momentum Amid Jobs ReportsTechnical Analysis
The price reversed from its ATH, which is 21530, and now has a bearish momentum due to the high pressure from NFP and Unemployment rata reports,
So as long as trades below 21465 and 21530, there will be a bearish trend to touch 21290 and 21220.
To be bullish till 21670, should close at least 1h candle above 21530
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21465
Resistance Levels: 21540, 21670, 21800
Support Levels: 21290, 21150, 20990
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Momentum within News effect
NAS100 Update and Trading The Fakey Shakey👀 👉 In this video, we revisit the price action covered in a previous upload—an aspect I often emphasize in my videos. The NAS100 offers a classic example of the "fake shaky" chart pattern and key signals to watch for as price moves away from critical support or resistance zones. We also explore a common trap that traders can fall into. As always, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 While the NAS100 has maintained a bullish trend, recent price action shows signs of consolidation within a sideways range. Historically, price has often retraced significantly following strong rallies—could we be on the brink of another pullback? In this video, we delve into the trend, price action, market structure, and a potential trade setup. Disclaimer:* Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can shift rapidly. This video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
Liquidity Crisis may happen Janet Yellen(jesus) + 12 hedgefund(12 apostles)
Liquidity Crisis may happen (i expected it first quarter of this year, but..)
most of hedgefund did buying treasury bond and then treasury bond margin loan(2009~2019)
so they made almost 50x leverage on bond market
times over and over now only t-bill s gonna be recognized as collateral
so t-bill market happend this method
t-bills yield go dig in diggg ( infinity purchasing from 12 apostles )
however t-bond yield go higher and lower and higher ( normal purchasing )
NOW 12 apostles got a trillion profit. and that was all of liqudity for ndq 21000
this liquidity is economic's tightrope walking on the twin bridge
Yellen just 2 month left
WHO IS YUDAH
WHO IS PETER
IF I WAS YOU
BUY PUT FEB
CHEERS
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Wednesday 4 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change @13:15
News - None
Directional bias - BUY
Morning analysis:
M TF - very bullish
W TF - very bullish, we are now in all time high territory again
D TF - D candle had closed higher that previous high, testament of the bullish sentiment
4H TF - very bullish, 4H EMA is far down, so if price retraces it could be a long way down before price finds the dynamic support of the 4H EMA
As the day progressed:
Noted a rising wedge pattern form as marked by the blue lines.
Price broke the market pattern upwards and came back down to retest the top line of the pattern.
With price being at an all time high, it could easily be assumed that price will make a huge retracement. In the past, I would have been eagerly ready to place a sell because it's at an all time high and "has to come down"(*). I have lost a lot of money in the past, trying to decide for the market, what it should do.
Looking at this market pattern, the way price broke upwards, re-tested and closed a green candle HIGHER. It seemed to me price wanted to continue upwards.
From years of screen time, I also know that if price is very bullish (like at all time highs) it can continue higher for much longer than one would expect. I have also seen that sometimes, price will continue to push for the previous day's TP's.
So because price was also rejecting the TP1 from the day before and closing higher, I felt that bulls wanted to push for TP2.
I entered a small buy position at the hand icon. Price shot all the way up to TP2.
I closed just before market open at the top hand icon and made a cool 870 pips. I closed because I was "sure" market open would retrace and wanted to lock in my profits.
So even though preaching at (*) in the text above, I was still a victim of this mentality that "price has to come down" :)
But anyway, I am still happy with my trading today. In the long ago past, I probably would have taken a sell just because price "has to come down after all time high".
In the not-so-long-ago past, I probably would have sat out and been too scared to take a buy, even though I saw the signal. But today, I took the signal, albeit with a small position. #progress
So just a reminder, trading is a long and slow game of patience and repetition (or at least for me).
Keep going, keep consistent and you will see progress.
In the beginning your goal should be to survive and live to trade another day. Get in as many hours of screen time as you can...and just keep going.
If I were to advise a beginner, I would say:
1. Learn as much as you can about candles, market patterns and timeframe confluence (use baby pips.com for an excellent free resource)
2. Have 3 x display screens on your desk. On one screen, have the 1H TF displayed, on the second screen, display a split between the 4H TF and the D TF. On the third screen, display a split between the 15min and 30min TF.
3. Stare at your screens for hours and hours a day! Haha! Screen time is the most valuable experience you can get.
4. Don't demo trade for too long. Trading with real money changes the game. So trade with the smallest possible position size available eg. 0.01 and just try to survive to the next day.
5. Start seeing results after a few years (not what everyone wants to hear because trading is "fast, easy money", but that is the truth for the majority of traders)
All the best! :)
Stats:
The total move for the day was 2'000 pips
I captured 870 pips / 44 % of the total move (need to improve)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Several indicators suggest that the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may faceSeveral indicators suggest that the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) may face a downturn in the near future:
Technical Indicators:
• Rising Wedge Pattern: The NAS100 has formed a rising wedge pattern, typically considered a bearish signal indicating a potential price decline.
• Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows overbought levels, suggesting that the index may be due for a correction.
Economic Data:
• Manufacturing Sector Contraction: The ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.4 in November but remains below the 50 threshold, indicating ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector.
• Slowing GDP Growth: The U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, down from previous quarters, reflecting a slowdown that could impact corporate earnings.
Federal Reserve Policies:
• Interest Rate Outlook: Federal Reserve officials have signaled caution regarding future interest rate cuts, which may affect investor sentiment and equity valuations.
Market Sentiment:
• Tech Stock Volatility: Recent declines in major tech stocks, including Nvidia and Microsoft, have led to broader market pullbacks, indicating potential vulnerability in the NASDAQ 100.
• Strengthening U.S. Dollar: A stronger dollar can negatively impact multinational companies’ earnings, many of which are components of the NASDAQ 100.
Considering these factors, there is a potential for the NASDAQ 100 to experience a decline in the near term. However, market conditions can change rapidly, and it’s advisable to monitor real-time data and news updates for the most accurate information.
USNAS100 / Key Breakout Levels and Trend ProjectionsTechnical Analysis
The price surged approximately 320 pip, as anticipated in our previous analysis. Today, maintaining stability above the All-Time High (ATH) is crucial to achieving further gains, with the next target at 21,360.
A confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above 21,215 would likely drive the price toward 21,360 and further to 21,500. Conversely, if the price stabilizes below 21,160 with a confirmed 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, a decline toward 21,075 and 20,990 is expected.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21160
Resistance Levels: 21220, 21360, 21500
Support Levels: 21075, 20990, 20860
Trend Outlook
Bullish: Upon breaking and closing above 21,215.
Bearish: Upon breaking and stabilizing below 21,160.
PREVIOUS IDEA: