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NASDAQ 100 CFD

A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: The tables have turned for riskWhile we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention. Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over financial markets – early last week the USD was threatening to trend higher, but now momentum shifts to the downside, with US Treasuries finding better buyers, US interest rate markets pricing close to two cuts by year-end, while the VIX index has pulled back to 13.5%, with the S&P500 closing above the 29 April high. By way of significant movers - aside from a lazy 25% w/w fall in Cocoa and a 32% w/w gain in Nat Gas – where NG needs to be on the radar given the breakout and the growing potential for a bullish trend to materialise, we see solid movement in the HK50 (closing 6.9% wow), while Bitcoin has rallied 10% off its lows and is eyeing a move back to the 50-day MA at 65,890. In FX, CADJPY saw the biggest 5-day percentage change, falling 3.6% w/w. The MAG7 equity names look to have regained their mojo, amid solid earnings and some lofty guidance for capex - suggesting growth and innovation remain at the core of their investment thesis, backed by renewed buybacks and some big names even rolling out dividends. China tech is also flying higher, where both Tencent and Alibaba have run hard of late and while overbought should be well supported into weakness. How the tables have turned, and the reassuring view from Fed Chair Jay Powell that policy is still “sufficiently restrictive” and “it’s unlikely the next policy move will be a hike” has reinvigorated the risk bulls. Add in a weaker US ISM services print and a moderation in US nonfarm payrolls (NFP) and the market has gained greater confidence that the US economy is not indeed overheating. Conviction levels may still be low, but the platform is in place for risky assets to move higher this week, notably if truce talks in Gaza gain real traction. Looking ahead and the landmines through which we navigate positions: US data is thin on the ground this coming week, with the senior loan officer survey on bank lending practices really the only economic event risk to be concerned with – traders can trade the KRE ETF (US Regional bank ETF) here and react to markets interpretation of the survey. We also get 11 speeches from Fed members, but until we get the US (April) CPI report on 15 May, I suspect traders will not be too concerned with holding risk over their respective views. It will be a lively week at a central bank level, with the RBA (on hold), BoE (on hold), Swedish Riksbank (skewed to cut), Banxico (cut) and Brazilian Central Bank (50bp cut) all meeting. We should get a 25bp cut in Mexico, with a 50bp cut expected to the Brazilian Selic rate. The RBA meeting and Statement on Monetary policy will get big focus, and while the RBA will almost certainly keep rates at 4.35%, and continue to suggest “the board is not ruling anything in or out”, Aussie swaps price a near 40% chance of a hike by August (see pricing below), so many are expecting a modest shift in their commentary and a clearer roadmap to future hikes – if we don’t see that play out in the wording then we could see the AUD trade lower, notably vs the FX cross rates. The GBP navigates Thursday’s BoE meeting, with the broad consensus expecting a dovish split in the voting and a statement that justifies the view priced into interest rate pricing, where the BoE is expected to embark on its first cut in August. We also get UK Q1 GDP, a speech by BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill and 1-year inflation expectations from the DMP (Decision Makers Panel), and that could be looked at by some in the market. GBPJPY and GBPAUD shorts, EURGBP longs, were the preferred plays last week, and I still favour these staying in these positions. Wednesday’s Riksbank meeting puts the SEK (Swedish krona) firmly in play, with economists split on whether we see the Swedish central bank join the Swiss National Bank in starting its easing cycle. The SEK swaps market implies a 25bp cut at around 80% probability, so those holding SEK short positions will have some concern with that position over this event. The risk-to-reward trade-off favours short NOKSEK over the meeting, but a 25bp cut is a lineball call and as many will attest to, trading over news like this is more of an exercise in risk management, or for those running tactical or special situation strategies. We also see inflation prints in Mexico, Norway, Columbia, Chile, Brazil, and China. Trade data (Thursday – no set time) from China will also get a focus, with imports expected to increase by 4%. In Japan, I guess kudos go to the MoF/BoJ - they hit JPY shorts hard with two bouts on size intervention and as luck would have it, they’ve been given a helping hand from Jay Powell and the first below estimate NFP print since October 2023. Those using the JPY to fund a saturated carry position will almost certainly think twice about using the JPY tactically here in the near term, and until we see a better trend in the US data, or if we see a hotter US CPI print, USDJPY has scope for ¥150. Conversely, on the week, I’d be expecting the upside to be capped at ¥155 and would be selling rallies into ¥155.50. As always, an open mind to market movement (as price will always go to where it wants to go), and a dynamic approach to react will serve you well in this market.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
QQQ pull back done or another leg down?QQQ had a bad week last week after trying since February to break long term resistance of the Blue trading channel. There was a lot of momentum but ultimately after being squeezed between resistance of the blue channel and support from black channel midline, it was time to take profit for the big guys. Clearly, inflation readings and uncertainty about interest rate cuts were the main factors. A hard sell off last week to establish a clear down channel with the biggest selling on Friday. Using the channel from August to November last year and with some minor tweaks, you can see that it ended Friday right on the support line. Another thing I was looking at were several of the most recent pullbacks over the last few years. You can see them overlayed on the peak of March 21st. Going by them, QQQ has already come close to extent of the smaller pullbacks. In my limited experience, these two indicators are usually a good sign for a rebound this week. The RSI is also in the oversold range and in line with other bottoms. The rebound could just be a short-term rally in the down channel like back in Aug and Sept last year with another leg down in the coming month or so. Or we could see a new attempt to break out of the blue channel. Either way, I was brave enough to open a few positions Friday before the close. Hopefully I don't regret that.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by Dr_Roboto
N1We had some good trades. WEEKLY We've pulled back and had some interesting price developments. Moving towards more of the structure we see and prefer price to get to. DAILY We had an evening star at the top of this correction structure which is what gave us more evidence to move towards the downside. The pullback is giving us a different story and we need to take what the price is giving us in order to plan the next move. 4H We've had multi touches within our correction and we had a very strong doji where price tested but could not break. 1H Stay waiting.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Mhangwane1
Nas100 Trading setup Institutional tacticsHello traders this my trading setup in the higher time frame My tactics ; TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Key Support & Resistance Market Structure , Price Swings Open Interest Order Blocks & breaker block=> Expansion liquidity => Reversal imbalance => Retracement Consolidation => Equalibrium Market Maker Models buy and sell Weekly Profiles If you like my content please follow and hit the like button and show some love wish you good luck and good trading
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by AlphaBull-Trading
N1We had quite a few trades in the past week, but we were either too early so we taken out or in too late so we took short profits. WEEKLY March we had the peak of price, first time in it's history (18400). When we look left, whenever price peaks it drops for quite a bit before it goes back up. So we can assume we might see 16000 again. DAILY We just have an ascending channel within a bullish trend so we can assume that the overall demand is up. The DXY will give us more clues as to what can happen, American countries as well need to be monitored for new IPO's and their financial year results to get more information. This will add to our portfolio of evidence. We can see we are in the correction phase, but because it's so deep we can expect it to go further down for quite some time. 4H In the bigger correction, we're in a smaller correction. So the assumption is that price is going down. We are not children of the market so the assumption is just that, an assumption not the forecast. We still need more candlestick confirmation and pattern formation before making a final forecast. 17600, is an area of interest as this is where price will do something unless it breaks right through. 1H We are struggling to break 17800, so we know that it is a strong resistance level. NFP being this week does not mean that we have to trade, it means we need to make informed decisions based on news and reports.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Mhangwane1
Nasdaq - Shifting back bearish?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Nasdaq. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For over a decade the Nasdaq has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. We saw the last retest of support in 2022 which was followed by an enormous +70% rally towards the upside. Considering that the Nasdaq is now retesting the upper resistance, there is a quite high chance that we will see at least a short term correction lower before the Nasdaq will follow its overall uptrend. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:NDQ
by basictradingtv
11
All you should Know about Nasdaq (ICT)In fundamental analysis, we observe a market surge following a liquidity uptake beyond the all-time high, marking a new peak in NQ. However, inflation rates indicate that the Federal Reserve is hesitant to reduce interest rates. Even with a 5% interest rate, inflation is on the rise again. This suggests that the Fed may abandon the idea of lowering interest rates and maintain them at 5% until the year's end. Nevertheless, last week witnessed positive outcomes from companies such as Tesla, Microsoft, and Google, which revitalized market sentiment and led to a resurgence. However, concerns linger regarding the possibility of the Fed raising interest rates by half point, which could pose challenges for the market. In technical analysis, we observe the price targeting the sell side for Tuesday, February 30th, 2024, retracing to the gap on Monday, April 15th, 2024, above the equilibrium and within the premium, allowing new sellers to enter. The next target is the order block from Tuesday, January 16th, 2024.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Deotrade1
Could NAS100 reverse from here?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 17886.87 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 18197.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 88.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 17205.98 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by VantageMarkets
U.S. Stock indices higher on Bad economic data? 🤔Risk-On Sentiment has taken over the markets today despite bad manufacturing and services data.. and it began yesterday on Nasdaq with the Daily candle closing back above the Daily Level 17,164. Other confluences for the increase on Nasdaq include 1) Jerome Powell's hawkish comments on April 16th. 2) Dollar Index 5 minutes chart : Here we can observe the Risk on sentiment with the data this morning. The dollar Index represents the U.S. dollar of course and puts it againsgt a basket of currecies(4) . Since the USD is a safe haven.. and the dollar index is going down.. this represents money flowing into other asset classes as ivestors see better retruns elsewhere such as Nasdaq (Risk-On U.S. stock index). This is what we would expect to see with bad USD data 3)The Fakeout price action on Monday suggesting Buys today 4) Volatility Index (Vix) 5 minutes chart : We can observe that price decreased during london session and through the not so great USD data release. This means that more investors are buying call options in the S&P500 companies anticpating that the stock indexes will rebound to the upside. This could have been correlated with buying the stock indexes like Nasdaq after it jumped up with the data release this morning. Let me know what your thoughts are on the Nasdaq! These publications are for general and educational purposes only. Not trading or financial advice.
BLACKBULL:NAS100Long
by ShrewdCatfx
MNQ Mid-Week Outlook 4/24Gone private but still here grinding everyday. Im expecting a weak NQ NAS NASDAQ NAS100 whatever you want to call it. Short story is buyside purged and HTF bearish delivery. Long story is yet to be told via lower time frame price discovery expression. My bias is to the downside. Target is a standard deviation of the opening price projected below the open price. That's a low hanging objective if price follows this narrative, however a run lower would not surprise me.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by akhena10fx
NAS100 Retracement Post Reversal 26.04.2024U.S. indices could correct today after the reversal to the upside yesterday. Currently in intraday consolidation. Opportunity on NASDAQ in this chart using the Fibo tool. 17,620 USD must break first, signalling a drop. __________________________ Information Regarding Important News and Figures can be found here in our Economic Calendar: mau.bdswiss.com/economic-calenda... Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350).
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Stuart_Cowell
NAS100 (NASDAQ / US100) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea The NAS100 has broken market structure (bearish) on the 1W and 1D timeframes. Currently we are seeing a bullish rally on the 1D and 4H US100 into a key resistance level. In the video, we meticulously assess the prevailing NASDAQ trend, market structure, and price behavior, deliberating a prospective buying opportunity. It's important to note that the information shared is intended purely for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Trading entails inherent risks, underscoring the criticality of implementing robust risk management protocols consistently.
FX:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq analysis Wycoff style!(4/25/2024)Last month, everyone was hyped about Nasdaq NASDAQ:NDX and some media stocks like NVidia. we were telling our customers and followers to manage their risk and warned them about market correction. In this analysis, we are using the Wykoff method to define accumulation, mark-up/down, and distribution phases. Our technical view has been shown in the chart. If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing. Thanks For Reading Team Fortuna -RC (Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by fortunamarkets