nasdaq FUN TIME2 possible trades.
long and short.
target in green.
description on the chart.
have fun
Elektra 33
NASDAQ 100 CFD
NAS100: Inside DayHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range ✅ Day 3 cycle
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅ (possible variation of FGD considering Thursday as a dump day)
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day ✅
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump ✅
Dump&Pump
Frontside ✅
Backside
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, taking in consideration the Thursday dump, there are high chances to too this market going to stop the trader short from HOW.
Short: secondly the previous LOW hasn't been completely stopped yet, the market can trap volume to retest that level, however, I'm pretty neutral with the bias, giving a little bit of more priority to the FGD (because is the most recent price action)
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
NASDAQ (NQ, NAS100) Weekly Forex Forecast.... BULLISH!May 27 -31st
Looking for price to reach the Draw on Liquidity at 19,023.00
US100 NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Taking a comprehensive view of the NAS100 (NASDAQ) , we observe a prevailing bullish trend, particularly evident when analyzing the weekly charts. Notably, we’ve identified bullish price action—a decisive break in market structure on the 4-hour timeframe—which could potentially shift the 4-hour trend to bearish in the short term before it continueds bullish. In our video, we delve into trend analysis, explore price action dynamics, dissect market structure, and introduce key technical analysis concepts. Toward the video’s conclusion, we present a trade idea. It’s essential to emphasize that this information serves educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. 📈🚀📊
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe US100 index demonstrates a strong bullish trend on the daily timeframe. Our main goal is to identify a buying opportunity that aligns with this trend. Assuming price action unfolds as described in the video analysis, favorable trading conditions are anticipated. The video covers critical elements, including trend analysis, price action insights, market structure, and a potential trade setup. Always exercise prudent risk management when trading, and keep in mind that this information is purely educational and not financial advice. 🚀📊
Bullish bounce off pullback support?NAS100 is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,427.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 18,149.88
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 18,899.05
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US30 (DowJones) - 4H a bearish correctionThe Dow Jones has recently captured liquidity above the previous high, as indicated by the sharp move and subsequent rejection from the highlighted resistance zone.
This failure to consolidate above the resistance suggests that the bullish momentum has temporarily exhausted, and we could see a retracement.
The price is likely to pull back to the green support zones marked on the chart before attempting another bullish push.
Traders should watch for potential buy opportunities at these support levels, anticipating a bounce and continuation of the upward trend after this correction.
US100Nasdaq index analysis
Time frame 4 hours
I expect to see a drop to the 18,300 range, then another bullish lag.
NAS100 I Potential scalp & intraday long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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NAS100 FORECASTThe previous updated analysis on NAS100 indicates that it has successfully reached our full target. Currently, it is expected that the prices will fluctuate within the range of 18,890 to 18,712. However, if the pivot line at 18,712 is breached, the decline is likely to extend to 18,642.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 18890, 18970, 19050
Pivot Line: 18712
Bearish Line: 18805, 18642, 18548, 18330
NAS100 FORECASTThe current forecast for OANDA:NAS100USD indicates a likely bullish trend. As long as the 4h candle opens above 18550, the index is expected to trend upwards, initially reaching 18725 and then continuing to the strong bullish target of 18805. Conversely, if the 4h candle opens below 18550, the trend will likely shift downward, first reaching 18415 and then moving to the strong bearish support at 18330.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 18675, 18725, 18805
Pivot Line: 18550
Bearish Line: 18475, 18415, 18330
SHORT TERM PAIN... LONG TERM GAIN? 3 YEAR POSSIBLE PATHA deep correction from here could allow us to reset before making a true generational market top. I will elaborate more in attached posts, but just a possible idea for price path from a 3-5 year perspective.
Nasdaq, DJ and SP500 selling has startedIn my opinion today the market shifted from buying to selling. The shift was mostly obvious in DJ30 but I think all will fall heavily this week.
Disclaimer: Not a financial advice. Do your own analysis before investing or trading
Nasdaq Analysis Week of May 19th Weekly= Bullish
Daily= Bullish
4H= Bullish
1H= Falling Flag Pattern = Continuation Pattern
30 min & 5 min inverse head & shoulders. Expecting price to respect both patterns and continue up. First TP level around 18664.
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook • Key event risks for the week ahead.
• Nvidia’s Q125 earnings, a key driver of equity markets this week.
• Fed speakers could move markets – Powell, Waller, and Jefferson in the spotlight.
• US equity markets at all-time highs – fatigued, but well-supported.
• Copper, gold, platinum, and silver are all on fire.
The key event risks for traders this week
We look ahead and eye the key event risk, where I would be paying particular attention to earnings from Nvidia, and speeches from Fed members Waller (he speaks 3 times this week), Jefferson and Chair Powell. We get UK, and Canadian CPI, and will keep a beady eye on the narrative out from the RBNZ meeting, which will keep rates hold but guide on the future direction of rates. We also get manufacturing and services PMIs in the US, UK, Australia, and Europe.
UK CPI (due Wed at 16:00 AEST) could get the GBP moving – in either direction – with UK swaps market pricing a near 60% probability of a 25bp cut in the 20 June BoE meeting, and 55bp of cuts by December, and with core CPI expected to fall to 3.6% y/y (from 4.2%) and headline CPI eyed at 2.1% y/y, a lower-than-forecast CPI print could cement a June cut in the market eyes. For those wanting to trade GBP downside, short GBPNZD was the play last week, although, with the RBNZ meeting due on Wednesday, an extension of this trade has risk.
Nvidia should beat but by how much?
Q125 earnings from Nvidia could get the AI-related semis and the NAS100 firing up (or lower), and even set off moves across other markets too. When the options market prices an 8.6% move on the day of earnings, if this implied move proves to be correct, that’s a staggering $195b in market cap gained or lost in a likely 60-minute window. It would also equate to a -/+0.5% move in S&P500 futures in the after-hours session.
We know Nvidia will likely beat the sell-side (investment banks) consensus estimates for revenue, EPS, and gross margins - they always do - but it’s the extent of the beat that matters. Q125 sales are eyed at $24.61b, with Q225 sales guidance expected to come in around $26.72b – one suspects they’ll need to hit us with sales of GETTEX:26B + for Q125 sales and GETTEX:29B for Q225 sales respectively, with CEO Jensen Huang with inspiring guidance to get this pumping like we saw in February.
Fed speakers to watch out for
The message last week from the Fed was one of patience and this message is likely what we’ll hear from Fed speakers this week as well. Chair Powell, Fed board member Waller and Vice-chair Jefferson will be the central focus here, and their views on inflation and policy could move markets, although broadly, markets feel comfortable with the current pricing of 43bp of cuts priced by December, and we see US 2yr Treasuries holding a range of 4.89% to 4.70%.
Last week’s US CPI was encouraging and while this week’s US PMI data could move the dial, notably, if the services print were to surprise and pull below 50 (consensus is at 51.4) it could lift volatility and promote USD sellers. That said, it feels like the market is looking forward to the nonfarm payrolls print on 7 June as the next big piece of the macro jigsaw.
US data has been missing the mark on a consistent basis since mid-April and that has led some to say the US economy is moving towards a ‘soft landing’ environment and away from a ‘no landing’ dynamic. Add in solid earnings beats and growth, a renewed belief in the ‘Fed put’ and a world with a huge appetite to sell volatility (the VIX now sits at a lowly 11.99%) - and we have the S&P500, Dow and NAS100 at all-time highs.
This is a tough market for those in short positions for more than an intraday day trade, and those positioned for downside would be hoping that Nvidia disappoints in a big way. Nvidia are not a company I would typically bet against, so even though the various US indices look tired, the platform is set for further highs and pullbacks should be shallow.
This is true of the HK50/CHINAH indices too, which have had another incredible week of gains. Data in China is lacking this week, so we are fully at the mercy of liquidity and flows. 20k is the near-term target for the HK50 index, but I would consider switching some of HK50 exposure towards the mainland equity markets and the CN50 index, which has broken out and outperformed HK equity on Friday.
We’ll see if some of the goodwill towards China can spill over into the ASX200, which saw supply above 7850 last week – should the ASX200 kick through 7860 early I would be looking for a re-test of Thursday’s highs (7900) and even new all-time highs above 7910.
Copper on fire
The action continues to be in the metals complex – the space is red hot. Copper closed 4.1% higher on Friday, taking the gains for the week to 8.3%, and for the trend-followers and momentum traders, the daily chart is a thing of beauty. Many know the story on reduced copper supply, and those highly focused on the copper scene would be aware of the massive short covering seen in CME futures positioning since mid-February (-42k contracts to stand at +72k) and the widening premium of CME copper to LME copper to $1041 - but the move in copper is momentum 101 and discretionary and systematic players have had to chase.
For FX traders, this move in copper remains a huge tailwind for the CLP (Chilean peso), where USDCLP has fallen 9.4% since mid-April.
Market players chasing silver, platinum and gold
The chase higher from various market players is also true in silver, which had its best week since August 2020, helped by a monster move of 6.5% on Friday, which took price through to the best levels since Feb 2013. Platinum has participated with an 8.8% weekly gain, while gold closed at a new closing high, and eyes the all-time intraday high of $2431.52 – a weekly close above here this week and the FOMO chase could be real.
The question of exactly what is driving the gold move above $2400 is one we hear frequently. The fact we saw US real rates (i.e. US bonds adjusted for expected inflation) rise 3bp higher on Friday – typically a headwind for gold - yet gold rallied 1.6% details that there are other factors than rates driving gold flows – these include a broad base rally in metals, central bank buying, increasing Chinese gold holdings (relative to its international reserves), a hedge against ballooning government deficits; it’s all there and it seems we always have to pick a reasoning behind a move after the fact.
I have little idea how anyone trades gold short-term from a purely fundamental standpoint. My view is to be a slave to price action, react, align with the short-term trend, and cut quickly when the move goes against you.
Anyhow, another big week of market themes and risk to have on the radar.
Good luck to all.
SPY May Rally Above $540 Before You Know It...My research continues to support more Bullish trending for the SPY and other US major indexes.
I keep seeing others propose a market crash scenario - week after week... after week.
I certainly hope you were not following their suggestions too closely - because the SPY has rallied more than 7% from the recent lows. That's a lot of losses piling up for anyone caught on the short side of the markets right now.
Watch my video. Learn how I read the markets in a different format. And learn how to use my research to help you become a better trader.
I've posted many training videos on TradingView - please spend some time checking them out.
Get ready for a potentially explosive move in the SPY - targeting $545+... possibly rallying above $560 before the end of June 2024.
NASDAQ100/US100/USTECH Bullish Robbery Plan to stealMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of US100/NASDAQ cash index Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned with target in the chart focus on Long entry, Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous area market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic resistance level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next target.
support our robbery plan we can make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
NAS100NAS100 We are buying, waiting for the market to activate the purchasing zone we have specified
US Markets May Rally 60% to 100% On Strong Technical DataI posted a similar video yesterday, but it was taken down because I screwed up the content. So, I'll try to post this video without messing up the content.
The US markets (particularly the NAS100 - as shown in this video) will likely continue to move in a strong bullish price trend - even against the multiple divergences and other technical peak/exhaustion patterns over the next 3 to 4+ years.
Far too many people simply don't understand the dynamics at play right now, with the superheated US economy and the predatory Fed processes creating this parabolic Bullish price move.
Be prepared. Many people will be picking tops for the next 3~4+ years, and you are going to hear a lot of FEAR in their voices. You must attempt to understand the true market dynamics at play and stay away from group-think.
Hope you enjoy this video.
Potential bearish drop?Price is currently at a resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,334.16
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 18,490.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 17,983.95
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
