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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NAS100 Is Bullish! Long! Take a look at our analysis for NAS100. Time Frame: 3h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 17827.71. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 17965.80 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by SignalProvider
1
NAS100 Shock Retreat 23.02.2024It has been a crazy day yesterday 22nd Feb. All indices including the NAS100 surged after strong earnings reports that boosted confidence and a risk-on mood for the high-tech stocks such as Nvidia. Is this the end of the upward and rapid movement? We use the Fibo retracement levels to find the 61.8% that the market potentially will retrace to, as indicated by the arrow, that level is near 17800 USD. __________________________ Information Regarding Important News and Figures can be found here in our Economic Calendar: mau.bdswiss.com/economic-calenda... Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350).
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Stuart_Cowell
2
The Nvidia effect; US equity indices break out to new highs The Nvidia effect has ripped through global equity markets and given fresh wind to markets that were looking ominously poised for a 3-5% drawdown. New highs have been seen in EU Stoxx, GER40, JPN225, and the US large-cap equity bourses; the US30, US500 and NAS100. What levels do the bulls target now? Well either, you’re looking at fibo extension/projections, psychologically important round numbers, or you hold until price action offers an exit signal, or your trailing stop is triggered. Our client flow is progressively skewed short index positions at current levels (85% of open positions on US30 are held short, 74% short on the NAS100), with many countering for a reversion move, although this is an aggregation of different strategies and timeframes. Nvidia hits the sweet spot Nvidia has dominated the narrative and rightfully so – the flow-on effects into the AI/semi’s scene has been truly emphatic. I won’t go over Nvidia’s numbers at a granular level, but clearly, they hit the absolute sweet spot – beating on Q424 actuals by some margin across the board, but also on their guidance for Q125 numbers. While not meeting some very lofty market expectations was a small risk, there was perhaps a greater fear that the guidance would be too hot, subsequently creating an incredibly high bar to beat in the future. That wasn’t the case, and one could say the outcome was a ‘goldilocks’ scenario. It’s hard to go past the commentary on their outlook and future operating environment, as this has not just lifted Nvidia but the whole scene. Saying that demand will continue to exceed supply all year was a massive bullish trigger. Detailing that supply constraints should improve over the year was also well received, with supply chains asked to increase capacity by 30% for CYQ1. Sales to China have also dropped to mid-single-digit percentages despite such explosive revenue growth, which was a factor and could be a big kicker further into the future. Nvidia shares not only closed +16.5%, far higher than the -/+11% implied in options pricing but adding $276b in market cap was absolutely staggering. The fact price closed right on its session highs must enthuse the bulls and for tape readers, it tells a lot about the mindset of the collective – dips will likely be shallow, and traders will chase the upside. 87.75m shares traded hands – the most since November 2023 - and in the options market, we saw 1.51m calls bought vs the 20-day average of 913k. Valuations are obviously lofty, but they matter little for these high-growth plays, which are essentially out-and-out momentum vehicles. Also, consider that Nvidia holds its highly anticipated GTC conference on 18 March – where they are likely to update the market on new products and innovations – so pullbacks in the stock should be shallow, and we could see buyers push price higher into that event. The spill over into names like Super Micro Computers (+32.9%), AMD (+10.7%), Marvell (+6.6%) and Broadcom (+6.3%) is clear. The Philadelphia Semi ETF (SOX) also gets some focus as price breaks to new ATHs. Offshore we saw plays such as Infineon, ARM Holdings, Tokyo Election, Taiwan Semi and Korean Semi names all working well and finding a solid bid. The biggest one-day move since early February On a broad index basis, the NAS100 saw its biggest one-day move since Feb 2023 (a 3% move was a 3.3 Z-score move). That said, for such a big percentage change in the index volumes were only 7% above the 30-day average, although this was more than offset by good breadth with 82% of stocks higher (72% in the US500). NAS100 implied volatility has fallen a touch with the NAS100 VIX index dropping 1.21 vols to 18.4% with the S&P500 VIX -0.80 vols to 14.5%, with traders rolling out of downside hedges. Hedges cost money when the market is ripping and subtract from performance. So global high-quality growth equity has found its mojo courtesy of just one stock, and what they have said about the outlook, which of course means so much not just for the A.I adopters but the enablers. We can once again talk about concentration risk in equity, but we can use the 2023 case study and see that reduced participation in the rally isn’t the red flag for contrarian positions it perhaps once was. While CFD traders will take timeframes down and trade intraday flows – long and short – the primary big-picture trend remains higher, so for those who hold for longer than a day, we need to assess the big risk that can cause a 5%+ drawdown. What can cause a reversal? That risk is inflation, and a resurgence of concerns that we move into a far higher-for-longer regime, with rate cuts essentially priced out for 2024. It is my view that equity can hold in and even push higher if expected rate cuts are priced out for 2024, as long the cause is solid growth dynamics. But if the primary reasoning for reduced rate cut expectation is inflation, which causes long-end bond yields to rise (both nominal and real), and volatility in interest rates and US Treasury’s lifts then equity risk premium will rise, and the bears will likely get their 5-10% pullback. For now, the Nvidia show is real, and a feel-good factor runs through the whole sector – The NAS100 breaks 18k, the US500 eyes 5100 and the US30 looks up at 40k.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Pepperstone
1
Nasdaq - What Will Happen NextHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 13 years the Nasdaq has been trading in a decent rising channel. In the beginning of 2023 we saw a beautiful retest of the lower support and perfect confirmation so the recent rally of +70% was quite expected. If the Nasdaq now pulls back to the structure mentioned in the analysis, I am simply looking for bullish continuation setups from there. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
TVC:NDQ
by basictradingtv
5
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish breakoutThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100USD) is rising towards a potential breakout level and momentum could potentially carry price towards our take-profit target. Entry: 17,817.55 Why we like it: There is a potential breakout level Stop Loss: 17,664.85 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level Take Profit: 17,965.80 Why we like it: There is a swing-high resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by VantageMarkets
NAS LONGNAS has recently broke structure to the upside on h1/h4 making it bullish. NAS has been bullish on the daily for a while so now that all time frames are in sync we can look for long opportunities. We can look for key zones where liquidity was pumped into the market and keep our eyes peeled. NAS can either retrace to a 61.8 Fibonacci level where heavy amounts of liquidity was pumped into a market while also falling on a key level gives us good confluence to enter OR NAS can either have a smaller pull back to another key level where a good amount of liquidity was present. Either way we can see NAS reaching for its previous highs or to the 0.27 Fibonacci extension at 17880/17900.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Xander_08
Nas100- Bulls should be very careful (2k P drop could be next)Since the low at 14k at the end of October, PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has risen strongly, reaching a high at 18k. More importantly, this translates into a 30% increase, which is substantial within such a short time frame. Upon closer examination of this upward movement, we observe that it is contained within a rising wedge, which typically signals a reversal. Additionally, Friday's candle formed a bearish engulfing pattern, and yesterday we witnessed a break of the rising trend line. If we consider the divergences on MACD and RSI, the overall picture is far from bullish. In the short term, we notice the index resting on horizontal support, and a break here would provide the necessary confirmation of a temporary peak at 18k. In this scenario, a decline to 17k is highly probable, but in my opinion, this decline will extend to 15800k support. And, let's be honest, after a 30% increase, a 10% decline is not a tragedy; in fact, it is a normal market "adjustment."
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
A Traders’ Weekly Playbook: After record levels comes chopOn the week we learnt that the UK and Japan are in a technical recession, although this meant little to markets and perhaps the bigger issue in Japan was the steady stream of pushback from key Japanese officials on recent JPY strength. US retail sales fell 0.80% in Jan, a sinister turn when both US CPI and PPI were far hotter than expected, putting us on notice that the US core PCE print (due on 29 Feb) could be above 0.4% MoM - which if seen a year ago would have been a trigger for the Fed to hike by 25bp. The Feb CPI print (due 12 March) will get huge attention, and while some way off is a key date for the diary. Among a barrage of ASX200 companies reporting, we also saw a poor Aussie employment report, which put great emphasis on the February employment report (due on 21 March) given economists (and the ABS) expect a solid snapback in hiring in this data series. The ASX200 eyes new ATHs, and key earnings from the likes of BHP, RIO, QAN and WOW this week could take us there. In markets, the USD gained for a sixth straight week, although a 0.2% week-on-week (Wow) gain was more of a stealth grind higher than an impulsive one-way tear. Assisting USD flows was a reduction in US swaps pricing, where we started the week with 113bp of cuts priced by December 2024, and finished with 91bp (or 3.6 cuts), which helped lift the US 2YR Treasury to 4.64% (+16bp on the week). If the market hadn’t already amassed a sizeable USD position, then one could argue the USD move would have been higher. The EURUSD weekly shows indecision to push the pair lower and a move above 1.0805 (last week's high) and should take the pair through 1.0828 (200-day MA) and onto 1.0865, which would be a level I’d be looking to fade longs on the week. While we saw the US500 0.4% lower on the week, we saw the prior week's low of 4918 (and the 5-week EMA) holding firm, with traders selling the VIX index above 15%. While US cash equity will be closed Monday for Presidents Day, I’m expecting choppy trade through to Thursday - so the intraday environment for day traders could get a little messy and it will pay to be nimble. The NAS100 was the underperformer last week but should attract good attention from clients this week with Nvidia’s number due out on Wednesday (after the cash close), and where the market eyes some punchy in reaction to the headlines, which could spill out into AI names more broadly. The Year of Dragon got off to a solid start for China equity outperformed, notably in the small-cap space (the CSI500 closed +10% WoW) and we see the CN50 index looking compelling for further upside, and I see 12,000 coming into play. While National Team flows and PBoC liquidity have supported China/HK equity, economics do matter, so put the China Prime rate decision and new home sales data on the radar to potentially influence this week. On the China proxy theme, Copper etched out a solid move on the week although we have seen selling interest into $3.80. Crude is also getting attention from traders, with price gaining 3.4% WoW and testing the 29 Jan pivot high. Moving in a bullish channel we see upper trend resistance into $80.50 – a level to put on the radar. Staying in the commodity theme, silver (XAGUSD) has found good buying interest off $22 and has closed above the double bottom neckline and the 200-day MA – upside into $24.00/50 looks possible. On the ag’s, cocoa and wheat come on the radar as short set-ups, while corn has seen a solid bear trend since October but indecision in Friday's price action, suggests traders are on notice for a small reversal this week. The marquee event risks for traders to navigate: Monday US cash equity and bonds are offline for Presidents Day – futures will be open but will close early. Tuesday China 1 & 5-year Prime Rate (12:20 AEDT) – The market sees the 5-year Prime rate lowered by 10bp to 4.1%, while the 1-yr rate is expected to remain at 3.45%. The Prime rate is the benchmark rate by which households can borrow from Commercial banks. We may see some disappointment in China's equity markets if the PBoC refrain from easing, which has been the trend of late. This time may be different, so conversely, a deeper-than-expected cut across both tenors may see traders adding to an early long position in the CN50 index. Wednesday Canada Jan CPI (00:30 AEDT) – The consensus is we see Canadian headline CPI coming in at 3.2% (from 3.4%) and core CPI unchanged at 3.6%. The CAD swaps market sees the first cut from the BoC occurring at either the June or July meeting. A core print above 3.6% should see good CAD inflows, while below 3.4% should interest CAD sellers. The GBPCAD (daily) setup is on the radar, where a closing break of 1.6950 would inspire short positions for 1.6800/1.6750. Australia Q4 Wage Price Index (11:30 AEDT) – the median estimate from economists is for Q4 wages to increase 0.9% QoQ & 4.1% YoY (from 4%). The AUD may see a small move on this data point, but it will naturally be dependent on the extent of the outcome vs expectations. A wage print above 4.3% would be a big surprise and get some attention from Aussie rates traders who see the first cut (from the RBA) at the August meeting. Nvidia Q424 earnings (after-market) – as noted in the Nvidia preview the options market prices a substantial -/+11% move on earnings. Naturally this sort of reaction – if it plays out - has the potential to cause big volatility in the NAS100 and US500 after the cash market close, so it is a clear event risk. Thursday FOMC meeting minutes (06:00 AEDT) – the January FOMC minutes should be a non-event given it predates last week’s stronger US CPI and PPI print. Any colour on an early end to QT may get some focus though. EU HCOB (flash) manufacturing & services PMI (20:00 AEDT) - the market looks for the EU manufacturing index to print at 47.0 (from 46.6) and services at 48.8 (from 48.4). If these median expectations prove to be correct, then we would see a slight improvement in the pace of decline, which is modestly EUR positive. Seems unlikely we see a sizeable reaction in the EUR unless we see services above 50.0. UK S&P (flash) global manufacturing & services PMI (20:30 AEDT) - the market looks for the UK manufacturing index to print at 47.5 (47.0) and services at 54.5 (from 54.3). So, a slight improvement is expected in both metrics. A service PMI print above 55 could see increased movement in the GBP and cement expectations the BoE will look to cut rates from August. GBPUSD needs a catalyst as it tracks a tight sideways range, while I hold a preference for GBPNOK lower, with GBPCAD shorts a potential trade I’m looking at. Friday S&P Global US Manufacturing & Services PMI (01:45 AEDT) – the market looks for manufacturing index to print at 50.5 (from 50.7) and services at 52.1 (from 52.5). Any reading above 50 shows expansion from the prior month, so if the consensus proves to be correct then both metrics will show expansion but at a slower pace. Hard to see a pronounced move in the USD or US equity unless we see a sizeable beat/miss. China New Home Prices (12:30 AEDT) – China’s new home prices have fallen every month since May 2023, so further falls seem likely in the January series. China equity may find sellers if we see the pace of decline increases from the December outcome of -0.45%. Any improvement in the pace of decline could be taken well by the CN50 and HK50 Index which are already seeing tailwinds courtesy of National Team buying. ECB 1 & 3-year CPI expectations (20:00 AEDT) – there is no consensus by which to price risk for the EUR, but consider the last estimate was 3.2% and 2.5% respectively. Any impact on the EUR will come from the extent of the revisions. June remains the likely forum for the ECB to start a cutting cycle. Biased long of EURJPY given the bullish momentum for 163. US Politics – The South Carolina REP Primary is held on Saturday – will this be the stage for Nikki Haley to formally exit the REP Nominee race? Marquee corporate earnings reports • US corporate earnings – Home Depot (Before-market 20 Feb), Walmart (Before-market 20 Feb), Nvidia (After-market 21 Feb) • ASX200 Corp earnings – COH (19 Feb), BHP (20 Feb), WOW (21 Feb), RIO (21 Feb), QAN (22 Feb), FMG (22 Feb) • HK Corp earnings – HSBC (21 Feb)
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
NASDAQ ANALYSIS💸NASDAQ💸 Chart : 4Hour Overall Trend : Bullish Current Market Structure : Downtrend Scenario 1 : | If you look at the overall trend on Nasdaq , we are currently in a bullish market . As price is respecting our trend-line . Where price is now we are currently sitting at a 4Hour supply area ,where sellers can come into play . As CPI impulsive move to the downside was recovered by the correction phase . Possible sell opportunities on the lower timeframe if 4h supply area holds , counter trend
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Brehayne_
Nvidia Q424 preview – this needs to be on everyone risk radar Whether trading equity, equity indices or even FX, Nvidia’s Q424 earnings (due after-market on 21 Feb) should be firmly on the risk radar. Markets could come alive with movement and traders may need to dynamically react. How the Nvidia share price reacts immediately after its earnings results and CEO Jensen Huang’s guidance could have far-reaching implications - not just for those holding exposures in Nvidia equity CFDs - but for those with open positions in NAS100 and US500, and even risk FX, such as AUD, NZD, and NOK. Nvidia is a true market darling – it hits the sweet spot in A.I revolution, which may not be a completely new theme, but given the sheer rate of change in the evolution market participants still have very low conviction when it comes to forecasting future cash flows. This inability to price certainty only increases the volatility. Looking at consensus expectations on sales, margins, and earnings may not prove to be overly worthwhile, given fundamentals mean little for what is essentially a pure momentum vehicle like Nvidia. It’s the commentary and guidance and the tone of the outlook that inspires investors, notably around its long-term data centre sales. We can explicate how the business is likely tracking from recent earnings numbers from the likes of AMD, SMCI and TSMC, and given the strong trends we’ve seen of late can assume sales are growing at a solid clip. Options structures price big moves on earnings If we look at the options market, the implied or expected move for the day of reporting sits at an impressive -/+11%. That level of implied volatility could indeed be mispriced, but an -/+11% move for a company with a $1.83t market cap would be staggering. When we consider that Nvidia has the fourth largest weight on both the S&P500 and NAS100, commanding a 4% and 5% weighting on each index respectively, an -/+11% move could have significant implications – especially if the move in Nvidia’s share price spreads into other A.I and mega-cap tech names, which it most probably would. Should we see a move in US equity futures it would likely impact the USD and risk FX, such as the AUD, NZD, or NOK. Staying in the options space, we see that Nvidia’s 1-week call options (10% out-of-the-money) currently commands an implied volatility of 100.8%, a clear premium over 1-week put options (with strikes 10% out of the money) at 85%. This is rare, as put option implied vol is typically higher than calls, given the increased relative demand to use put options to hedge against equity drawdown. We also see that 9 of the top 10 most traded options strikes recently (expiring on 23 Feb) are traders buying call options, which just adds to the view that equity traders are positioning portfolios for higher levels and remain incredibly bullish on their near-term prospects. The bottom line – Nvidia’s share price is not being driven by fundamentals – valuation matters little – it is all order flows and momentum. What matters to traders here is that the market expects a huge move on the day of earnings, and this could send ripples through broader markets. This creates opportunity but it also is a risk for traders that needs to be managed – put Nvidia on the risk radar.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Pepperstone
8
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea - Full ExplanationMarket Observations: The #NAS100 has maintained a bullish trajectory. However, price action on the monthly timeframe suggest the #US100 is overextended. Additionally, the weekly chart reveals a double top pattern, hinting at a potential retracement down to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci levels. This area could provide the liquidity needed for major market players to fill long orders. Trade Strategy: Consider an intraday/swing trade short entry following a potential stop run above the current range. Target an initial profit level around the previous lows near 17250, with a secondary target at 17000 (slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci level on a 1W chart). Implement a well-placed stop-loss order to manage risk effectively. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my observations and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own independent research and carefully assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
FX:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Market Observations: The #NAS100 has maintained a bullish trajectory. However, price action on the monthly timeframe suggest the #US100 is overextended. Additionally, the weekly chart reveals a double top pattern, hinting at a potential retracement down to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci levels. This area could provide the liquidity needed for major market players to fill long orders. Trade Strategy: Consider an intraday/swing trade short entry following a potential stop run above the current range. Target an initial profit level around the previous lows near 17250, with a secondary target at 17000 (slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci level on a 1W chart). Implement a well-placed stop-loss order to manage risk effectively. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on my observations and does not constitute financial advice. Conduct your own independent research and carefully assess your risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
FX:NAS100Short
by fxtraderanthony
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bearish reversalThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) could rise towards an overlap resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target. Entry: 17,728.70 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level Stop Loss: 17,852.90 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lies above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Take Profit: 17,515.80 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that lies above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Short
by VantageMarkets
Nasdaq - Time To SellHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 14 years the nasdaq has been trading in a super obvious bullish parallel rising channel. In the beginning of 2023 we had another retest of the lower support which was followed by a +65% rally. If the Nasdaq rejects the current resistance towards the donwside and retests the support mentioned in the analysis, I will then be looking for long setups again. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
TVC:NDQ
by basictradingtv
4