Market Structure Breakdown on NASDAQ: What Traders Should Watch📉 NASDAQ (NAS100, US100) Analysis 🧠💼
I’m currently keeping a close eye on the NASDAQ (NAS100) — price action is telling a story worth watching.
📆 Last week, the index came under clear pressure, and now on the 4H timeframe, we’re seeing a defined bearish structure with consistent lower highs and lower lows 📉🔻. This recent expansion to the downside has led to a break in market structure (BOS), and price is now pulling back into equilibrium 🔄.
⏳ For now, it’s a waiting game. I’m watching to see if this pullback finds resistance at a premium level and rotates back to the downside, which would present a potential short setup 🎯📊.
🕒 On the 30-minute chart, I’m monitoring for a clear structural shift — a change in momentum that confirms bearish intent. Should the NASDAQ resume its downward move, it could trigger risk-off sentiment, bringing strength into the JPY pairs 💴🚨 as capital flows out of risk assets.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
Nas100analysis
Nasdaq continuation sellsH4: STILL BULLISH INTERNALLY WITH OUR LAST SIGNIFICANT HL AT 21000
-Possible major chOch on H4 is very possible due to the HTF major zone we at
-Wait for proper H1 & lower tineframe confirmations before jumping in any trades
H1: BEARISH MARKET STRUCTURE STARTING TO PLAY WITH LAST LH AT 21925
-Potential continuation of sells all the way down to take out H4 hl a 21000
-We recently broke below a buying range on H1 & created a selling range
-Possible pullback buys before sells within that range are imminent
M15: We have a nice supply+fvg for sells at 21835
-Wait for price to pullback in there then M1 chOch then attack
NAS100 Bullish Breakout SetupNAS100 Bullish Breakout Setup 🚀
🧠 Chart Analysis (H4 timeframe)
🔹 Ascending Channel:
Price has been trending inside a clear ascending channel (blue zone), supported by higher highs and higher lows.
🔹 Support & Resistance:
Support: Around 21,635.32 – tested multiple times (highlighted by 🔵 arrows).
Resistance: Around 22,265.19 – recent highs and psychological barrier.
🔹 Double Bottom Formation 👣:
Near support zone, a potential double bottom (bullish reversal pattern) is visible. The neckline has been challenged.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation 🟢:
Price has broken above the descending neckline of the double bottom and is hovering near 21,644, indicating potential bullish continuation if sustained.
🔹 Target 🎯:
Projected breakout target lies at 22,265.19, aligning with the previous resistance zone.
🔹 Volume & Momentum 📊:
While not shown, a breakout above the neckline generally needs strong volume confirmation to validate the move.
📌 Conclusion:
If price sustains above the 21,635 – 21,644 area and gains momentum, the path to 22,265 looks likely ✅. However, a false breakout could drag the price back into the channel.
NASDAQ Consolidation: Why Sitting Out Is Sometimes the Best PlayI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ (US100) closely, and on the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see that the market is in a phase of consolidation 🔍
Yesterday, I was anticipating a bullish breakout, which could have signaled the start of a structure with higher highs and higher lows — something that would have presented a clean long opportunity 📈. However, during the U.S. session, the NAS100 momentum shifted and we instead saw a bearish breakdown, invalidating the previous setup 🚫
As things stand now, there's no clear directional bias on the 4H — just a sideways range with neither bulls nor bears in full control 🤝. This type of environment calls for patience and discipline.
It's worth noting that knowing when not to trade is just as important as knowing when to pull the trigger. Sitting on the sidelines and allowing the market to make the next move — whether that’s a break above or below this consolidation range — is a valid and often wise decision 🧘♂️📊
At the moment, my preference is to remain neutral and let price show its hand before committing to a position.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management when trading.
NASDAQ 100 Bullish Breakout Potential: What to Watch NextI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) very closely. Building on yesterday’s outlook, we've now seen a clear bullish structural shift — price is holding firm above a recent higher high and higher low, suggesting the early stages of a potential trend continuation 📈
Zooming into the 30-minute chart, we can track price action more precisely. I’m watching for a decisive break above the current range high on this timeframe. If we get the break → retest → rejection pattern, this would confirm bullish momentum and provide a long opportunity 🚀
Should this scenario play out, we could also see JPY pairs strengthen to the upside, as a risk-on sentiment flows through the markets 🧭
🔍 This setup is developing — as always, patience and precision are key.
USTECH Long Opportunity USTECH is currently on a break out to the upside, resuming the bullish trend. Price broke out above $21820 and is currently on a retracement where it could potentially provide a break and retest level at $21820.
Price is trading above the 50 SMA and is currently showing bullish momentum coming out of the RSI.
There is bullish structure amidst the consolidation present thus its important to trade cautious. Looking to the ride the bullish wave from the $21820 to the resistance at $22050.
NASDAQ Analysis: Navigating Uncertainty in a Shifting LandscapeThe NASDAQ has been on a rollercoaster ride lately 🎢, reflecting both global macro shifts and sector-specific dynamics. After dipping into bear market territory earlier in the year, the index has rebounded strongly, powered by mega-cap tech and the ongoing AI boom 🤖. However, the mood remains cautious as investors weigh political and economic cross-currents. Note how price action is stalling at the current level.
Fundamentals & Earnings 💼
Earnings Resilience: Q1 2025 earnings for NASDAQ heavyweights were robust, with tech giants posting double-digit growth. Yet, forward guidance is more muted, as companies brace for the impact of higher tariffs and global supply chain adjustments.
Valuations: The recent rally has pushed forward P/E ratios well above long-term averages, making the market more sensitive to any negative surprises 📈.
AI & Innovation: Capital expenditure on AI is set to exceed$300 billion this year, keeping the sector in the spotlight and fueling optimism for long-term growth.
Political & Geopolitical Factors 🌍
Trade Policy: The U.S. and China have agreed to a temporary pause on new tariffs, easing some immediate concerns. However, the average effective tariff rate remains much higher than last year, and uncertainty lingers as legal challenges and further negotiations loom.
Fiscal Policy: U.S. deficit worries are back in focus, with new legislation projected to add trillions to the national debt over the next decade. This has contributed to higher Treasury yields and a weaker dollar 💵.
Global Competition: International equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the past six months, but history suggests this may be stretched, and a reversal could be on the horizon.
Market Sentiment & Technicals 📊
Volatility: While volatility has eased from its spring highs, sentiment remains fragile. Consumer and business confidence indices are at multi-year lows, even as hard economic data (like jobless claims) remains resilient.
Sector Rotation: Growth and cyclical sectors—especially tech, consumer discretionary, and industrials—have led the rebound, but investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and global reach.
Outlook: The NASDAQ is cautiously optimistic for the second half of 2025. The market is pricing in a couple of Fed rate cuts by year-end, but the path forward depends on inflation trends, trade clarity, and corporate earnings.
Key Takeaways 🚦
The NASDAQ is in recovery mode, but faces headwinds from trade policy, fiscal uncertainty, and stretched valuations.
Political developments—especially around tariffs and fiscal policy—will be key drivers of volatility.
Long-term, the AI and tech innovation wave remains a powerful tailwind, but near-term caution is warranted.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NAS100 Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at ResistanceNAS100 Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection at Resistance 🚨
📅 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Instrument: NAS100 (US Tech 100 Index)
🔍 Chart Overview:
The price action shows a clear rejection from the 21,800 USD resistance zone, marked by two strong bearish wicks (indicated by red arrows 🔴). This level has proven to be a strong supply zone, as sellers repeatedly step in to push prices lower.
🔵 Key Zones:
🔺 Resistance Zone: 21,750 – 21,800 USD
✅ Multiple rejections and bearish pressure.
🔻 Support Zone 1: 21,100 – 21,200 USD
📍 Acts as a mid-range demand zone and a potential take-profit level for short positions.
📉 Support Zone 2 (Major): 20,700 – 20,850 USD
📦 High-probability bounce area due to historical demand.
🔄 Price Action Insight:
The chart outlines a bearish double rejection pattern at the resistance level.
The current candlestick setup suggests bearish momentum, with a potential drop toward the mid-support zone.
If the price breaks below the mid-support, it could cascade down toward the major support near 20,800 USD.
📌 Projected Move:
🔻 From current levels (~21,750), expect:
Pullback from resistance,
Target 1️⃣: 21,100 USD zone,
Target 2️⃣: 20,800 USD major support.
🚫 A clean break and close above 21,800 invalidates the bearish outlook and may trigger a bullish continuation.
✅ Conclusion:
The chart favors a short bias below the resistance zone. Patience is key—wait for confirmation (like a bearish engulfing or break of structure 📉) before entering positions.
📊 Always use risk management. Set stop-loss above resistance in case of reversal.
NASDAQ 100 Setup After Bearish Pullback. My Bullish Game Plan!🚀 NASDAQ US100 Update – Key Levels I'm Watching 💡📈
Looking at the NAS100 right now, we’ve seen a strong rally kick off after the weekend 📊🔥 — this comes on the back of an aggressive bearish pullback last week 📉.
📌 My bias is bullish, but with a condition: I want to see price retrace into the 10-minute fair value gap and hold above the previous low 🧠🔍.
If we get a clean pullback, followed by a continuation with higher highs and higher lows, I’ll be watching closely for the first bullish break after that next pullback — that’s where I’d look to position long 🐂📈.
🛑 Not financial advice.
👇 Drop a comment if you're watching these levels too!
NAS 100 I Cautiously Bullish Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
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NASDAQ Trade Setup: Bullish Bias, But Waiting for Retrace!✅ NASDAQ Breakdown: Waiting for the Retrace 🎯
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ 🧠, and here's what I'm seeing across multiple timeframes:
📈 Daily & 4H Timeframes show a strong bullish rally with significant momentum. However, in my view, price is overextended and currently trading at a premium.
📉 Although my bias remains bullish, I'm anticipating a retracement into equilibrium—specifically around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone 🔁. This would offer a more favorable entry based on value.
📊 In this video, I walk you through:
- The overall trend direction
- Where and how we can anticipate a break of market structure for a clean entry
- Why my buy idea is conditional on the 30-minute chart trending down, then flipping bullish via a structure break 🔄
⚠️ Patience is key! The trade setup may play out at various price levels—wait for confirmation from price action, as detailed in the video 🎥.
NASDAQ US100 Overextended? Waiting for the Pullback🚨 NASDAQ #100# Analysis 🚨
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ (US100) 📊, and in my view, it's looking overextended. Price is now trading into previous daily highs 📈 without showing a meaningful retracement. Historically, when we look back at the chart, we rarely see such strong rallies without some form of pullback 🔄.
A healthy trend typically follows a natural rhythm — rally, retrace, rally or expand, pull back, expand again. In this case, that retracement is missing ❌, which raises caution flags for me 🚩.
🎥 In the video, I break down:
Price action & market structure 🧩
The current trend 📉📈
A potential long opportunity — but only if price pulls back into my point of interest (POI) 🧲 and we then get a bullish break in market structure (BoS) 🟢.
🔒 This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
Stock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal ProgressStock Markets Rise Amid US–China Trade Deal Progress
As the chart shows, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) formed a bullish gap at Monday’s market open and, as of this morning, is trading at its highest level since early March.
This is driven by the announcement from the Trump administration of progress in securing a trade deal with China, following weekend negotiations held in Switzerland. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the two-day talks with Chinese officials in Geneva as “productive”, adding that more detailed information would be shared on Monday.
As a reminder, the US imposed tariffs of 145% on Chinese goods, to which Beijing responded with a 125% levy on American imports.
Technical Analysis of the E-mini Nasdaq 100 Chart
The chart is showing bullish signals:
→ The downward trendline (shown in orange) was broken around the 19,666 level, which has since acted as support (indicated by the blue arrow).
→ Today, the Nasdaq 100 has moved above last week’s resistance near the 20,175 level.
→ Market fluctuations are forming an upward channel (shown in blue) from the April lows, with the price currently sitting in the upper half of the channel—typically a sign of strong buying pressure.
Further updates on the US–China trade deal may reveal key details, potentially reinforcing the current bullish sentiment in the equity markets.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Will NASDAQ Continue Its Climb? Here's my Trade Plan.📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Technical & Price Action Outlook 💡🚀
The NASDAQ has been in a strong bullish trend, driven by optimism around interest rates, tech earnings, and positive momentum. 📰💻 While price has pushed up aggressively, it’s now trading near key highs and buy-side liquidity zones—a spot where I’m anticipating a possible pullback. 🔁💰
I’m watching closely for a retracement into the 50% Fibonacci zone—my point of interest for a potential long setup. 🎯📐 However, I’ll only consider entering if price breaks structure bullish (BoS) after the pullback. 📊🧠
The index is still recovering from earlier 2025 losses, and resistance lies just ahead—so risk management is key. 🧘♂️⚠️
Not financial advice.
Bullish bounce?NAS100 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,908.67
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 18,461.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 20,200.53
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
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NAS100 Testing Lows: Will a Bounce Offer a Sell Opportunity?NAS100 Technical & Fundamental Analysis 🧐
Overall Sentiment: The current market sentiment surrounding tech stocks and the broader indices like the NASDAQ 100 appears cautious, leaning bearish. Factors like persistent inflation concerns, uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path 🏦, and ongoing geopolitical tensions can weigh heavily on growth-sensitive assets like tech stocks. Keep an eye on upcoming economic data releases (CPI, PPI, FOMC minutes) as they could significantly sway sentiment.
1. Daily Timeframe (D1): The Bigger Picture 🗺️
The NAS100 is exhibiting clear bearish characteristics on the daily chart, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price is currently approaching or testing a significant area of previous daily equal lows. This is a critical zone ⚠️. Why? Because significant buy-side liquidity often rests below such lows (in the form of stop-loss orders from long positions) and sell-side orders may trigger if these levels break decisively.
A strong break and close below these daily lows could signal a continuation of the major downtrend, potentially accelerating selling pressure. Conversely, this area could act as temporary support, prompting the pullback you're anticipating.
2. 4-Hour Timeframe (H4): The Setup Structure 🏗️
My H4 chart clearly illustrates the recent sharp decline. Price is currently testing the support zone highlighted (around 17,800 - 18,000), which corresponds to the 0.00% Fibonacci level (17,973.8) drawn from the recent swing high (~19,117.4).
This support zone aligns with the concept of hitting the daily lows/liquidity area.
Anticipated Scenario:
I am expecting a reaction (a bounce/pullback) from this current zone. The projected path suggests a retracement towards the 50% Fibonacci level (Equilibrium) at approximately 18,547.3. This level often acts as significant resistance after a strong impulse move. The 61.8% level (~18,682.6) is also a key area to watch just above it.
Point of Interest (POI):
The zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fib levels (roughly 18,550 - 18,700) is your key decision area for a potential short entry. 👍
3. 15-Minute Timeframe (M15):
Entry Confirmation Trigger 🔫
The M15 timeframe will be crucial if price reaches your H4 POI (around the 50% Fib level).
What to Look For: During the potential pullback towards ~18,550, the M15 will likely show a temporary bullish structure (higher highs and higher lows).
Confirmation Signal:
For your short setup, you'd want to see this M15 bullish structure fail upon reaching the H4 resistance zone. Look for:
A break of market structure (BOS) to the downside on M15 (price making a lower low after failing to make a higher high).
Formation of clear M15 lower highs and lower lows.
Bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., engulfing candles, pin bars/shooting stars) rejecting the H4 resistance/Fib level.
Potential divergence on indicators like RSI or MACD (though price action is primary).
Synthesized Outlook & Strategy:
The NAS100 is undeniably in a bearish phase across multiple timeframes. The current test of daily lows / H4 support (~17,973) is a critical juncture. A bounce from here seems plausible, aligning with your expectation of a pullback.
The Strategy:
Patience: Wait for price to potentially rally towards the H4 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone (~18,547 - ~18,682). 🧘♀️
Confirmation:
Monitor the M15 timeframe closely as price approaches this zone. Look for a clear shift in market structure from bullish (pullback) to bearish (resumption of trend). 📉
Entry: If bearish confirmation occurs (M15 BOS), consider a short entry.
Targets:
Initial targets could be the recent lows (~17,973), followed by the Fibonacci extension levels shown on your chart (e.g., -50% at ~17,400.4) or the area below the daily equal lows. 🎯
Risk Management: Crucially, define your stop-loss level (e.g., above the swing high formed during the M15 structure break or above the 61.8%/78.6% Fib level) to manage risk effectively. 🛡️
Fundamental Check:
cross-reference this technical setup with any major news releases or shifts in market sentiment that could invalidate the pattern. 📰
Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
Tactical US100 Trading: Converting 1W Trend into 30m Opportunity📈 The US100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish trend pattern on the weekly timeframe. We can observe a notable rally followed by a retracement into equilibrium when analyzed against the previous price wing range.
🔎 Currently, the index is positioned at a premium level, creating an environment where short sellers might be building positions in anticipation of further downward movement. However, market dynamics remain highly sensitive to external influences, particularly unexpected statements and social media announcements from influential figures like Donald Trump.
🌊 With such market unpredictability in play, focusing on shorter timeframes provides more actionable intelligence. Price action signals offer clearer guidance in this volatile environment.
⚡ Trade Opportunity: The 30-minute chart reveals a defined trading range worth monitoring. A definitive break above this range could present an opportunity to enter long positions, while a breakdown below support might signal a favorable short entry point.
🎯 This breakout strategy enables traders to respond to actual market movements rather than attempting to forecast the broader market direction—a particularly valuable approach given the current unpredictable market landscape.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk of capital loss and may not be appropriate for all investors. Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Always perform independent research and consider your personal financial circumstances before executing any trades. Market conditions are subject to rapid changes, and no trading methodology ensures profits. The information presented should be used as one of many inputs in your decision-making process.
Is This a Bear Market or a Golden Opportunity?The indices have plummeted sharply, and whether you believe this is due to Trump’s tariffs or would have happened anyway, regardless of the trigger, the reality remains the same.
Both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are officially in bear market territory— defined by a decline of more than 20% from their peaks . Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is down approximately 15%.
Given these facts, the big question is: Are we in a bear market, or is this a fantastic buying opportunity? 📉📈
Now, let's break down the key levels, potential scenarios, and how to approach the current market environment. 🚀
Dow Jones 30 (DJI): Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels
On the weekly chart, DJI has been in an uptrend since the pandemic lows of 2020. The double top formation from 45k measured target has already been exceeded, and the index is now approaching a critical confluence support zone between 37k and 37,700.
📌 My Outlook:
• I believe this support will hold in the near future, presenting a buying opportunity.
• Resistances: 40k and 41,600 are important technical levels and potential targets for bulls.
💡 Alternative Scenario:
• If DJI starts rising without testing the long-term confluence support, I will focus on selling opportunities, particularly around the 41,500 zone, as we have 2 unfilled gaps from last week.
________________________________________
S&P 500 (SPX): Bear Market Territory, But Still Holding Uptrend (posted main chart)
According to classical theory, SPX is now officially in bear market territory. However, we are still above the ascending trend line established from the 2020 pandemic low, and approaching a confluence support zone around 4,820 - 4,900.
📌 My Outlook:
• I will be looking for buying opportunities if the index continues its decline towards the 4,820 - 4,900 zone next week.
• Target: Filling the first gap at 5,400.
💡 Alternative Scenario:
• If the week begins positively, and SPX doesn’t reach the 4,900 support zone, I will focus on shorting opportunities on gap filling, aiming for a return to 5,000.
________________________________________
Nasdaq 100 (Nas100): Hovering Above Key Support
Unlike DJI and SPX, Nas100 is still well above the ascending trend line from the 2020 pandemic low. However, it is nearing an important horizontal support defined by the 2021 ATH and the 2024 lows.
📌 My Outlook:
• Drops towards 17k or slightly lower could present good buying opportunities, anticipating a potential rise to fill the gaps.
💡 Alternative Scenario:
• If the price rises above 18.500k zone without dipping under 17k I will look for selling opportunities.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
"NAS100 / US100" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Day or Swing)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "NAS100 / US100" Index CFD Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (20000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 1H timeframe (19400) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 20800 (or) Escape Before the Target
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"NAS100 / US100" Index CFD Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
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📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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