Bearish Reversal Signals: Will the Price Reverse?4H Timeframe
Current Price: 20,030.9
Bearish Signals:
• Rising Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
• Ascending Broadening Wedge (Bearish Reversal)
Expect the price to test the first price target (PT), followed by the second. Resistance may trigger a bearish reversal after reaching these levels. If the price finds support, we may reach the third PT, which is at the upper trendline of the rising wedge. Then, after reaching our bullish targets, the price would likely start its bearish reversal to eventually reach 18,749.0.
Price Targets:
Bullish:
• 1st TP: 20,210.3
• 2nd TP: 20,351.4
• 3rd TP: Upper Trendline of Rising Wedge
Bearish Reversal:
• 1st TP: Broadening Wedge Lower Trendline
• 2nd TP: Lower Trendline of Rising Wedge
• 3rd TP: 18,749.0
Happy Trading!
Nas100short
Nasdaq Short: Weak Tech & Key Data AheadTaking advantage of the current bearish momentum in the Nasdaq with a daily short setup. Recent price action reveals a double-top pattern and a significant trendline break, suggesting potential downside. As we approach critical economic data releases, volatility is expected, which could fuel further bearish movement.
Technical Analysis
• Pattern: Double-top formation, a bearish reversal signal, confirmed with a break below the neckline.
• Trendline: The long-standing upward trend has been broken, validating the bearish scenario.
• Key Resistance: $20,200 area is acting as a strong resistance zone.
• Support Levels: Initial support around $18,800 with further downside potential if broken.
Fundamentals:
The short position on Nasdaq is driven by the weak tech performance, with giants like MSFT (-6.05%) and META (-4.09%) showing declines. Rising bond yields have intensified pressure on tech stocks, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, tomorrow’s key data—Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 113K vs. prior 254K), Unemployment Rate (expected steady at 4.1%), and ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 47.6)—could further impact market outlook, with any surprises likely to influence Fed expectations and Nasdaq sentiment.
Risk Management
• Entry: Near current levels, aiming for downside momentum.
• Stop Loss: Above recent highs to protect against false breakouts.
• Target: Initial target at $18,800, with potential to extend if bearish momentum persists.
Risk Note: Given the volatility associated with these macroeconomic events, there is potential for increased fluctuations. Managing risk through stop-losses and close monitoring of data releases is essential.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
#NAS100 4HNAS100 4-Hour Analysis
The NAS100 index is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart, a typically bearish structure that hints at a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that upward momentum may be slowing down, creating a favorable setup for a potential sell opportunity.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Rising Wedge
- Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
- Entry Strategy: Look for sell setups near the upper boundary or upon breakdown of the support line
Traders may consider entering a sell position within the wedge or wait for a clear breakdown of the support line to confirm bearish momentum. Additional confirmation from indicators like RSI showing overbought conditions or MACD displaying bearish divergence can strengthen this sell setup.
US100 (NASDAQ) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The US100 (NASDAQ) has maintained a bullish trend, but we recently observed a bearish break in market structure. Currently, price action appears to be under pressure. I am watching the NAS100 for potential opportunities if and when the conditions discussed in the video unfold. Disclaimer: Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
#NAS100 1DAYNAS100 1D Analysis:
On the daily chart, NAS100 is displaying a rising wedge pattern, a bearish formation that suggests the current upward trend may be nearing exhaustion. Additionally, the price action has entered a **bearish engulfing** area, indicating strong selling pressure.
Forecast:
-Sell: With both the rising wedge and the bearish engulfing pattern in play, a sell is anticipated. A breakdown below the wedge’s lower trendline would confirm the bearish signal, likely leading to further downward movement.
US100 H4 - Sell SignalUS100 H4
Working from the slightly larger timeframes at the moment, as we are trying to block out the market open gaps/noise and surrounding factors. If the dollar is looking to trade closer to 103.000 we could see NAS fall in the short term and continue, but we could also see the correction unfold for the dollar.
At the moment, we are in no mans land, we are neither confident in longs or shorts, we are merely just waiting for a little bit more confirmation on where we are heading, so we can then try and measure opportunity accordingly. Hopefully we can see something for consideration around the time of US market open.
NAS100 / US100 "NASDAQ" Market Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHallo My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
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#NAS100 4HNASDAQ 100 (NAS100) 4-Hour Chart Forecast:
The NASDAQ 100 index (NAS100) is displaying bearish potential on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a possible sell opportunity. The price is currently testing a
key resistance level, and a retest of this level may offer a favorable entry for a short position.
Key factors supporting the sell forecast:
Resistance Retest: The price has approached a significant resistance level and is showing signs of hesitation. A retest of this zone could confirm its strength as resistance, making it an attractive level to initiate a sell position if the market fails to break higher.
Bearish Pattern Formation: The chart might be forming a bearish technical pattern, such as a double top or head and shoulders, signaling the potential for a downside move after the retest of resistance.
Momentum Indicators: Technical indicators like the RSI or MACD could be showing bearish divergence or overbought conditions, hinting at a possible reversal from the resistance level.
Traders should wait for a confirmed retest of the resistance level before entering the sell trade. A clear rejection from the resistance zone would strengthen the bearish case. Stop-loss orders should be placed above the resistance level or recent swing highs to manage risk, while profit targets can be set at key support levels or previous lows. However, traders should remain cautious and monitor for any signs of a breakout above resistance, which would invalidate the bearish outlook. Overall, the technical setup favors a sell strategy for NAS100 on the 4-hour chart, pending a successful retest of resistance.
#NAS100USD 1HNAS100USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis
Pattern Identified: Bearish Market Bias with Sell Focus on Pullbacks
Forecast: Sell
Outlook for Next Week: Good Luck
On the 1-hour chart of NAS100USD (NASDAQ 100 Index), the market bias is strongly bearish, indicating a downward trend in price action. Given this bearish environment, the strategy focuses on looking for opportunities to sell during pullbacks. Pullbacks are temporary reversals in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend, offering entry points for short positions before the market resumes its downward movement.
By identifying areas of resistance and key levels during these pullbacks, traders can time their entries more effectively, taking advantage of price retracements before the bearish momentum reasserts itself.
Actionable Insight: Traders should be patient and wait for pullbacks or retracements towards resistance levels or prior support-turned-resistance zones to initiate sell positions. It’s crucial to monitor these levels closely, as a failure to respect them could signal a potential shift in trend. Proper risk management, such as stop-loss placement above resistance areas, is essential to mitigate losses in case of unexpected market movements.
Good Luck for the Next Week: Stay focused, and may your trades be profitable!
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea (NASDAQ)👀 👉 Here's my take on the current NAS100 (NASDAQ) situation:
NASDAQ-100 Technical Outlook
The NASDAQ-100 index is showing signs of weakness on the 4-hour chart, with a notable shift in market structure. We're seeing a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals bearish momentum. This could potentially drive prices down to test previous support levels.
Key Levels and Entry Strategy
I'm currently eyeing a short entry, but I'm not jumping in just yet. My strategy is to wait for a clear break of the current structure, followed by a retest of the range lows. This approach allows for a more favourable risk-reward ratio and increases the probability of a successful trade.
Broader Market Context
Seasonal Patterns
Historical data reveals an interesting seasonal trend: bears have often dominated the market from mid-September onwards over the past 5-6 years. This aligns with our current technical outlook and adds weight to the bearish thesis.
Technical Indicators
The MACD is showing a bearish signal on the daily chart, further supporting our downside bias . Additionally, the RSI at 55.95 suggests there's still room for downward movement before we hit oversold territory.
Trade Idea
Given the technical setup and seasonal tendencies, I'm looking to short the NAS100 on a break and retest of the current range lows. Key resistance levels to watch are around 17,511 (50-day moving average) and 17,480 (20-day moving average).
Remember, while this analysis provides a solid foundation, always conduct your own due diligence and adhere to strict risk management principles. The tech sector can be volatile, so position sizing is crucial. 📉✅
NAS100 1:6RR trade ideaIn the recent rate cuts and CPI news, the stocks have gained impulsively(Technology sector up +6%). The overall trend is still bearish as we expect to see a 7-10% correction in the stock market in September. Currently NAS100 has reached our level of interest(19450), which has been a strong support/resistance level in the past. Here we look for shorts targeting 19250 and 19100. Should we break 19450, we look for buys up to 20k. Will update next week.
As always, trade safe and expect the unexpected.
Fractals Trading Community,
Mei
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea US100 NASDAQ👀👉 The NAS100 has broken key structural support on the daily and 4-hour charts, signaling potential bearish momentum with the NASDAQ. I expect this downward move to extend towards previous lows, as highlighted on the chart. However, my approach is to wait for a bullish retracement early in the week, aiming to catch a reversal that confirms an entry for a short position.
It's important to note that this analysis is based on probabilities, not certainties. Always wait for price confirmation before executing any trades, as discussed in the accompanying video. The analysis provides a comprehensive overview of current price action, trend direction, and market structure. Keep in mind, this is for educational purposes only. Trading carries inherent risks, so make sure you have a solid risk management plan in place at all times. 📈✅
Bearish drop?NAS100 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 19,386.01
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 19,933.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 18,721.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracment.
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NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea NASDAQ👀👉 Our analysis is centered on the NAS100, which has shown bullish momentum on the daily and 4-hour timeframes. However, with the price now at a resistance level, we anticipate a potential pullback to the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% retracement levels.
We incorporate key elements of technical analysis, including trend evaluation, price action, and market structure. Additionally, we will outline a potential trade setup and discuss strategies to approach it with a higher probability of success.
Please note that this analysis is provided for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The insights shared are speculative and do not guarantee future market behavior. We strongly recommend verifying current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation offers an in-depth examination of the current trend, market structure, and price movements. However, it's important to understand that while the content is educational, it does not guarantee trading success. The foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly stress the importance of implementing robust risk management strategies in all trading activities.
We urge you to conduct thorough research and exercise careful consideration before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, remain vigilant, and approach the markets with a well-prepared strategy. 📊✅
NAS100 Technical Analysis - NASDAQ Next Move👀👉 In this video, we take a close look at the NAS100 currency pair, which has shown bullish momentum on the 4-hour time frame but now seems to be overextended. I’m expecting a potential pullback with the US100 to the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% retracement levels. We cover the trend, price action, market structure, and other key elements of technical analysis. Additionally, we explore a potential trade setup and, crucially, how to approach it with a higher probability of success.
As always, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to recognize that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed predictions. Make sure to verify specific price actions before executing any trades, as highlighted in the video. The analysis offers an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price movements. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and does not guarantee success. Trading involves significant risks, so always apply robust risk management strategies. 📊✅
NAS100 Technical Analysis and Trade Idea US100 👉🔍 Looking at this NAS100 chart, we can clearly see that the price has broken a 4-hour downtrend. There is a noticeable break in market structure to the upside, followed by a significant rally with the US100. It has now reached a resistance level, and I'm anticipating a retracement back down into the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels, where I'll be looking for a NASDAQ potential buy opportunity if the price action described in the video unfolds.
It's important to note that these observations are speculative and not a definitive forecast. Confirming specific price movements is crucial before making any buying or selling decisions, as explained in the video. The video provides a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. Remember, this educational content is designed to enhance understanding and does not guarantee outcomes. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, so employing robust risk management techniques is essential. 📈🔔
NAS100 I Break of daily support level 19,467Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NAS100 Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
NAS100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis and Trade Idea US100👉🔍 In this video, we analyze the NAS100 index. It's evident that the NASDAQ has been showing strong upward momentum in a bullish trend. However, considering today is Friday, I anticipate a potentially sharp retracement with the US100. My strategy involves monitoring the 15-minute chart for signs of sideways movement and a potential reversal, which could present a selling opportunity targeting the previous swing low.
It's important to note that these observations are speculative and not a definitive forecast. Confirming specific price movements is crucial before considering any buying or selling decisions, as elaborated in the video. The video provides a comprehensive analysis of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. Remember, this educational content is designed to enhance understanding and does not guarantee outcomes. Trading inherently involves substantial risks, so employing robust risk management techniques is essential. 📈🔔
NAS100 (NASDAQ US100) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 In this analysis, we focus on the higher time frame charts for the NASDAQ 100 index. Currently, the charts indicate a bullish outlook. However, it’s important to note that this assessment is speculative and not a definitive prediction. To confirm a true reversal, we must closely monitor specific price movements. The accompanying video provides an in-depth analysis of the trend, market structure, and price action. Remember that trading carries substantial risk, so always prioritize robust risk management strategies in your decision-making process. 📊✅
USNAS100 (Futures Slip Amid Rate-Cut Uncertainty)Futures Slip Amid Rate-Cut Uncertainty
Uncertainty over how long the Federal Reserve will maintain elevated interest rates weighed on U.S. stock index futures on Thursday. Investors remained cautious ahead of crucial economic data that could provide insights into the state of the economy.
Technical Analysis:
As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price dropped. Today, we anticipate the GDP report, which is expected to be bullish for the indices, with a projected growth of 1.2%. However, if the GDP exceeds 1.2%, it could lead to a decline towards 18,550 as the first bearish target.
Conversely, a bullish scenario will be activated if the price stabilizes above 18,820, targeting 18,940.
Pivot Line: 18735
Resistance Levels: 18820, 18940, 19100
Support Levels: 18550, 18440, 18250
Today's range is expected to be between the support at 18440 and the resistance at 19,100.
previous idea: