US NAS 100
NAS100 Potential Intraday Shorts (Technical Analysis)Technical Outlook:
The price action since late February has been decisively bearish, characterized by a significant decline throughout March, indicating a clear mid-term distribution phase. We observed a recent rejection from a 4H and 1H supply zone (which fell within a pronounced drop-base-drop pattern). Notably, the most recent downward push failed to establish new lows. This follows a period of rapid decline with minimal bullish resistance. This suggests two possibilities:
Bulls are strategically allowing sellers to exhaust themselves before a potential countermove.
The prevailing bearish momentum is overpowering any attempts at bullish recovery.
Trading Considerations:
The daily candle has formed a bearish engulfing pattern, confirming strong selling pressure. My trading strategy involves waiting for a price retracement back into the identified supply zone. This pullback would serve to fill existing price imbalances and trigger resting orders above, providing an opportunity to enter short positions with improved risk-to-reward ratios on lower timeframes (LTFs). Currently, there are no indications of significant bullish manipulation. Therefore, I anticipate continued downward momentum this week. It's plausible that we might witness a final bearish surge coinciding with the FOMC announcement before a potential bullish reversal - a hypothetical scenario based on technical analysis.
Final Notes:
The previous instance of the price trading this far below the 200 EMA occurred in December 2022, marking the culmination of a year-long bearish trend. While we are currently only one month into this downward movement, it's crucial to remember that past performance is not indicative of future results. Although a bullish rally is possible, I will maintain a bearish bias and focus on short opportunities until a clear bullish reversal pattern emerges on the 4H and 1H timeframes. When such a reversal occurs, we will be ready to capitalize on the subsequent upward trend! ;)
NAS100 Buy Analysis: GTENAS100 Buy Analysis:
NAS100 has successfully crossed through the Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) on the 1-hour timeframe, confirming bullish momentum. Price is currently holding above the recent support zone around 19,400, and as long as this level holds, the index is likely to continue its climb.
The short-term target is the top trendline near 19,700 - 19,800, aligning with the broader bullish structure ahead of tomorrow’s CPI news release. Expect increased volatility, but the bullish bias remains intact unless price breaks below the lower trendline around 19,300.
NAS100USD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 19,535.5.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 19,253.5 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NAS100USD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,175.5.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,410.0 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NAS100USD Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 20,454.4.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 19,860.0 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NAS100USD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 21,289.6.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 20,988.9 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NAS100USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 21,661.7.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 21,981.2 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NASDAQ SHORTConsidering Friday's PA where there was a liquidity grab,there is high resistance liquidity on the buyside. Formation of a one candle CISD further confirms that we might be bearish for a couple of days.
We will delve into the smaller timeframe (4H & 1H) to have our entry position and our targets will be at 20860 and 20670