Trade idea NQ Nasdaq100 Future on 55mThis is the result of my analysis about the 55m chart possible price action develepement. Just an idea, nothing seriouse. Worth to monitor ;) Pls leave a like when it worked out
Das ist das Ergebnis meiner Analyse über den 55m Chart mögliche Preisentwicklung. Nur eine idee, nichts gravierendes. Wert, im Auge zu behalten ;) Bitte liken wenn es gefällt
US NAS 100
Nasdaq -> Please Look At The Odds!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪
After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement, previous monthly support and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%.
With the Nasdaq now retesting the next weekly resistance at the $15570 level I do expect a short term rejection again away from the resistance but then eventually the creation of new all time highs on the technology index.
Looking at the obvious rising channel on the daily timeframe you can see that on Friday the Nasdaq once again rejected support and there is in my opinion currently a 50% chance that we will still see a major correction but objectively looking at the index there is no sign of weakness yet.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
NDX (Nasdaq 100) Index Analysis 05/01/2021Fundamental Analysis:
As we can see the Index has shown a very strong come back after the Covid-19 pandemic of March 2021 which caused the market to fall and create a panic to the world.
Since then there are lots of changes to the world and the way companies are operating, such as releasing of their premises and offices as they should have discharge lots of their employees and the work from home schemes was the main reason to cut the expenditure of these companies drastically down.
From the other hand, the market administration and governments including Banks has injected lots of funds and so called Rescue Packages and the market stimulant's packages to protect the Market from its Hard and Drastically fall to the lower levels and prevent a gigantic Global Markets Crises.
These funding and injection of the cash to these companies along side of cost and expenditure reduction due to their risk measurement policies, forced these companies to invest the receiving funds in to the companies assets to protect themselves from the Pandemic Crises and hedged their exposed risks instead of investing these funds to the new Projects or renovations which could Couse their Share prices to appreciate intrinsically but instead these investments in the assets made an inflation to the prices of the assets and created a bobble in their share value and Prices without having any inheritance or intrinsic values.
so we can easily have a decision derived from the current situation that there has to be an other market fall and crises soon so the Price and its relevant intrinsic values get converged and market comes to its correct values.
we can observe the same situation in many different centralized markets such as US500 and even other Stock Exchanges around the world like London and rest European market places to be in the same inflated status.
there exist a huge chance of an other Global Market Crises coming soon which has the domino effect and Couse the entire markets to fall for some times .
This fall of the market shall remove off the liquidity from the equity and debt market and streamflow them to some green heaven Asset classes including Gold and silver or even newly invented Technologies such as decentralized markets and Cryptocurrencies and DeFi.
if we have a look at the Current crypto's Total Crypto Market Capitalization we can see it has a very good chances of Rally Continuation to some very high levels such as 5 to 6 Trillion dollars or even much higher.
Total Market Cap of All Cryptocurrencies:
Gold even can see higher Prices such as 2500 USD per ounce which is currently ranging at 1800 USD.
we even can some how speculate a 3 world War to be the initiator of this Market fall which is even not so far from the reality as the situation in middle east is not very stable due to the Iran and Israel disputes and new anti-covid's restriction social movements in Europe and America continent.
we can see the same situation in US500:
DJI:
we shall analyze few other markets and indices and ultimately Propose some Assets which are at their low Points Currently and can be counted as under values at present times.
Technical Analysis:
we have used the Fibonacci trend base extension from the low to the Highest point even before the Covid pandemic to have a better vision of the Higher expansion levels for the post retracement's rallies and identify the Potential Price levels and resistance zones. where the market can show some stagnation and starts its retracement and price correction to the lower levels.
the Fibonacci trend base extension clearly shows that the price has touched the 261.8% which is a very critical point for the price to find its intrinsic values and correct its self by retracing to the lower levels which can be the parallels leg areas of the same Fibonacci extension levels, before its rally to the higher targets.
There exist a Bearish Divergence of Price and MACD where Price has made higher high levels but MACD made lower Highs which is the most significant and strong Bullish Trend Reversal and start of Market fall and Price retracement and Value corrections.
there are total of 2 Targets defined which have a very strong Support tendencies which can be interpreted as the maximum retracements points.
there are few support level are also defined to have a better vision of the bullish trend reversal to bearish retracements which eventually can be counted as the bearish Trend reversal points and new cycle initialization.
QQQ: Looking Out for a 20-40% Pull BackThe NASDAQ100 is currently sitting at the 0.886 and 1.618 PCZs of big Bearish Shark and Bearish Butterfly patterns as the indicators hover around the overbought zones; we don't exactly have much confirmation yet that these PCZs will hold, but it seems like it wouldn't be a bad idea to position against the QQQ early on via some SQQQ monthly calls and perhaps getting Bearish on some of the top stocks within the index such as NVDA, TSLA, and MSFT.
Being conservative, I will only be looking for it to come back to the common Fibonacci Retracement zones below, but it's also possible that this ends up being a macro top; for the time being, that doesn't really matter because as of right now, it looks quite Bearish.
On a side note, the VIX also looks like it's been preparing to spike up for a few months now and the targets for such a spike are pretty massive, as seen here:
Sniper Trading System EXPLAINEDIf you do not have a system that's calibrated to the code that's generated on the 1 sec time frame you will always find yourself guessing and never really KNOWING.
My System is calibrated down to the 1 second time frame where the money aka code is generated. What I discovered is: if you can find the KEY to the Daily bias you have a considerable EDGE in the market.
I found that key and it is found in the 12AM Candle. This candle lets a Sniper Know where the raid will go before the main move aka Trend of the day.
In this trade on NAS 100 ( my system works on everything) the 12 AM told me that the raid would be Bullish after 1AM. So we anticipate the short during one of our Clearing House Times - when the algorithm seeks Liquidity aka Raids your Stops.
Today we got the drop at 8:30am EST. 1st TP SMACKED. 2nd TP KISSED as of now and headed to target.
The VIX is due for a rebound so NAS100 may continue to fall this week.
NAS100USD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers ,
Please, find my technical outlook for NAS100USD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 15625.5
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Target - 15412.4
Recommended Stop Loss - 15747.3
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NAS100USD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 15562.6.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 15291.4 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Nasdaq -> New All Time Highs Before 2024Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nas100 💪
After the Nasdaq perfectly retested the monthly 0.618 fibonacci retracement, previous monthly support and also broke above a clear bearish trendline, we had a solid rally of roughly 20%.
With the Nasdaq now retesting the next weekly resistance at the $15570 level I do expect a short term rejection again away from the resistance and considering the overextended weekly timeframe, this scenario becomes even more likely.
The daily timeframe however is still super bullish - the Nasdaq just broke out of an ascending triangle formation so I will definitely need some shift back to a bearish market before I then do expect a short term daily drop.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
Nasdaq Index (US100): More Growth is Ahead
NASDAQ Index broke and closed above a neckline of a cup and handle pattern
on a daily, following the yesterday's CPI report.
Taking into consideration, that the index is trading in a strong bullish trend,
that violation will most likely trigger a strong bullish wave.
I will expect growth to 15600.
For entries, consider an occasional retest of a broken neckline.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Nasdaq's Rebalancing of Fabulous 7 Tech Stock so CautionRecent news concerns Nasdaq's decision to rebalance its equal weighting for the Fabulous 7 tech stocks. While this may seem like a routine adjustment, I urge you to exercise caution and remain skeptical about future stock returns and performance.
It is no secret that the Fabulous 7 tech stock has been the talk of the town lately, capturing the attention of investors worldwide. Its remarkable growth and seemingly unstoppable momentum have undoubtedly piqued the interest of many. However, as seasoned traders, we must be aware of the hype and excitement surrounding these stocks.
Nasdaq's decision to rebalance the equal weighting of the Fabulous Seven tech stock raises concerns and warrants a closer examination of the situation. Why would such a move be necessary if everything was going swimmingly? It is essential to question the motives behind this adjustment and consider its potential implications on the stock's performance.
While rebalancing can be a regular part of market operations, it often signifies a shift in the underlying dynamics of a stock. It is crucial to remember that past performance does not guarantee future success. The Fabulous Seven tech stock's meteoric rise may have been impressive, but more is needed to ensure continued growth or prosperity.
As traders, we must remain vigilant and not mindlessly follow the crowd. While the Fabulous Seven tech stock has undoubtedly provided lucrative opportunities in the past, it is crucial to approach future investments with a healthy dose of skepticism. We must carefully analyze the potential risks and rewards, considering the rebalancing decision and its impact on the stock.
In conclusion, please proceed cautiously regarding the Fabulous Seven tech stock and any future investments. Nasdaq's rebalancing decision serves as a reminder that the market can be unpredictable and subject to sudden changes. Let us remember the importance of conducting thorough research, diversifying our portfolios, and making informed decisions based on careful analysis.
The possibility of creating a new trend is increasing(long-term)Hello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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(DXY chart)
The question is whether DXY can move sideways below 102.034.
This is because if DXY falls below 102.034 and moves sideways, the investment market is expected to pick up.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it is sideways in the 97.401-102.034 section.
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(SPX500USD chart)
The next period of volatility is around July 24th.
Therefore, it is necessary to see which direction the 4419.8-4447.7 section will be heading through this period of volatility.
If it rises above 4447.7, it is expected to rise around 4588.6-4654.0.
A decline below 4419.8 would expect a decline around 4310.8-4351.1.
(1M chart)
It rose above the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart as it rose along the upward trend line at the bottom.
A rise from support on the HA-High indicator increases the likelihood of a break from the previous high.
So, the question is whether it can rise above 4588.6.
If you do not receive support at the HA-High indicator, there is a high possibility that it will fall to the vicinity of the HA-Low indicator, so you need to think about countermeasures.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart is located at 909.3.
Therefore, as the SPX500 Index falls, the HA-Low indicator on the 1M chart is expected to rise and be created.
When the HA-Low indicator is touched, it is expected to create a new trend.
(1W chart)
It rose above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart, showing a rise above the first previous peak.
We need to see if we can break the 2 previous highs in the future.
So, the question is whether it can rise above 4447.7.
If it doesn't and falls below 4351.1, you should check for support near 4116.0-4169.6.
Since a sharp rise channel has been formed, I think the important point to watch is whether it can rise along this channel or break out.
In that sense, the 4351.1-4447.7 section is an important support and resistance section.
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(NAS100USD chart)
(1M chart)
Unlike the SPX500USD chart, the NAS100USD chart is formed with the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart rising.
Therefore, it is important to be supported and able to rise near the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
If not and it is resisted by the HA-High indicator, it is expected to create a new wave.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it is rising or falling based on the 14710.6 point.
This is because the current HA-Low and HA-High indicators are for the beginning of a downward wave.
(1W chart)
As it rose above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart, it is showing a sideways trend near the second previous peak.
Therefore, the key is whether it can show a rise above 15448.6.
Since the StochRSI indicator is trending lower, the possibility of entering the oversold zone is increasing.
If it enters and exits the oversold zone and shows support around 14328.9-14743.2, it is expected to rise above 15448.6.
(1D chart)
It is showing a steady upward trend while raising the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
It is currently moving sideways around the 15090.3 point of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
The next period of volatility passes around July 26th and we need to see if it can rise above 15448.8 or if it falls around 14710.6.
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as a result,
1. It is important that the DXY chart stays below 102.034.
The DXY Dollar Index chart shows the correlation between the US dollar and six other currencies (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD, SEK, CHF), so if it moves sideways in the appropriate range (97.401-102.034), the international investment market will Because it's expected to be lively.
2. If you look at the SPX500USD and NAS100USD charts, they are located in an important section (HA-High on the 1M chart).
I think the possibility of renewing a new declared price (ATH) is increasing.
However, if there is no support in this critical area, the possibility of a new downtrend is also increasing, so careful and quick judgment is needed in trading.
Therefore, it is important to check whether there is support or resistance at the point or section mentioned in the chart description of SPX500USD and NAS100USD.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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NAS100 and US30 Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
This is the week where new changes in the 1W chart beginHello?
Traders, welcome.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day.
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(DXY chart)
The 102.034-105.873 section is a boundary section, and a trend is expected to form only when it breaks away from this section.
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(SPX500USD chart)
After passing through the volatility period around June 26th, it continues to rise.
It is necessary to confirm what changes will appear as the volatility period around July 11th passes.
Point 4419.8 is the point of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart, so if support is confirmed near this point, it is expected to rise to around 4588.6.
If it finds resistance below 4419.8, it should check for support near 4255.2-4310.8.
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(NAS100USD chart)
With support near 15090.3, I expect it to rise around 15978.3.
Accordingly, the 14710.6-15090.3 section is an important support and resistance section.
Yesterday, I talked about how to interpret the CCI index.
In that sense, the 1W chart shows that the CCI indicator has entered the overbought zone.
Accordingly, it can be interpreted that whether it is supported or resisted around 15090.3 has an important meaning.
The next period of volatility is around July 26th.
The StochRSI indicator on all charts has entered the overbought zone, indicating strong uptrend.
In this sense, it can be seen that the section 14710.6-15090.3 is an important section.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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NFP NASif 15100 holds we can see a nice move to the down side tapping into that 4hr order block and buy side liquidity around 14900
now if 15100 doesn't hold we can see a move up to clear the remaining sell side liquidity around 15160 -15220
im short side biased at the moment a break of 15050 should open the door for a nice move down to those both of those green lines if no break i wouldnt enter waiting on confirmation but keep a eye on this trade safely its NFP