New wave start section: 61099.25-65920.71
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USDT is sideways, and USDC is showing a slight downtrend.
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(NAS100USD 1D chart)
NAS100USD is sideways near 19852.4.
If it is supported and rises near 19252.4, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise above 20313.8.
If not, and it falls, it should check for support near 19582.6, which is an important support and resistance area.
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(IBIT 1D chart)
IBIT is the stock with the highest trading volume among spot ETFs.
Since the current chart was created not long ago, the role of support and resistance points may be weak, so caution is required when trading.
The key is whether it can rise above the 36.32-36.64 area and receive support.
If not,
1st: 35.40
2nd: 34.18
It is necessary to check for support near the 1st and 2nd areas above.
In particular, the M-Signal indicator of the 1W, 1D chart is passing near 35.40, so it is important to check whether there is support near this area.
From a trend perspective, the area near 34.18 is near the midpoint of the parallel channel, so it is an important support and resistance point.
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With the launch of investment products related to BTC in the stock market, the movement of the stock market cannot be ignored.
Therefore, caution is required as the movement of the coin market may follow the movement of the stock market.
However, if more funds flow into the coin market, there is a possibility that it will show an upward trend regardless of the movement of the stock market.
In other words, there may be cases where investment products in the stock market rise while other stocks fall.
Therefore, there is no need to pay much attention to the movement of the stock market.
Currently, when the movement of BTC is slowing down, that is, when it is moving sideways, it is only worth referring to the movement of the stock market.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
As mentioned above, the USDT and USDC movements are weak sideways, so it seems that there is a limit to the increase.
Therefore, if USDC does not fall any further, it is expected to maintain the current level or rise slowly.
Otherwise, if USDC continues to gap down, we need to check for support near 61099.25.
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The points 64748.70 and 65920.71 correspond to the HA-High indicator points on the 1W and 1D charts.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that a high point section is formed across the 64748.70-65920.71 section.
The HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart is formed at 61099.25, so it has already risen to the high point range from a long-term perspective.
Currently, the HA-HIgh indicators are arranged in a straight line.
That is, HA-High on the 1D chart > HA-High on the 1W chart > HA-High on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it continues to rise and maintains the price above 65920.71, a full-scale uptrend, that is, a stepwise uptrend, is likely to begin.
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To do this, it is recommended that the StochRSI indicator on the 1M and 1W charts is not in the overbought or oversold range.
This is because I think it will receive great strength if the value of the StochRSI indicator is in the 20 to 80 range when the first uptrend begins and shows an upward trend.
Currently, the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart has entered the overbought zone.
Therefore, even if it rises right now, it will eventually show a downward trend.
Therefore, I think it is important to maintain the price above 61099.25 after this period of volatility.
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The most important thing when trading spot is whether the price moving averages are aligned.
If the short-term to long-term moving averages are aligned, the upward trend is likely to continue.
Currently, the price moving averages of BTC are aligned.
However, the short-term and medium-term moving averages are converging.
Therefore, if the current price level is maintained, an upward trend is expected to begin.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising near 52K.
Therefore, if it falls as much as possible, it is expected to fall to the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
In any case, from the perspective of the trading particle, the 61099.25-65920.71 section is the high point section, so whether there is support in this section is very important.
It is the last buying section before the full-scale uptrend begins, but it can also be the starting section of the downtrend.
Therefore, depending on which direction the price deviates from the 61099.25-65920.71 section and maintains it, a new wave will be created.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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US NAS 100
Nasdaq Thoughts 04-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Nasdaq Thoughts 03-Oct-2024Good Morning All, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nasdaq Thoughts 02-Oct-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Nasdaq Thoughts 01-Oct-2024Happy New Month all, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
NAS100USD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 19,982.2.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 19,643.2 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Nasdaq thoughts 3-Sept-2024Happy New Week all, Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
#NAS100USD 1HNAS100USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis
Pattern Identified: Bearish Market Bias with Sell Focus on Pullbacks
Forecast: Sell
Outlook for Next Week: Good Luck
On the 1-hour chart of NAS100USD (NASDAQ 100 Index), the market bias is strongly bearish, indicating a downward trend in price action. Given this bearish environment, the strategy focuses on looking for opportunities to sell during pullbacks. Pullbacks are temporary reversals in the opposite direction of the prevailing trend, offering entry points for short positions before the market resumes its downward movement.
By identifying areas of resistance and key levels during these pullbacks, traders can time their entries more effectively, taking advantage of price retracements before the bearish momentum reasserts itself.
Actionable Insight: Traders should be patient and wait for pullbacks or retracements towards resistance levels or prior support-turned-resistance zones to initiate sell positions. It’s crucial to monitor these levels closely, as a failure to respect them could signal a potential shift in trend. Proper risk management, such as stop-loss placement above resistance areas, is essential to mitigate losses in case of unexpected market movements.
Good Luck for the Next Week: Stay focused, and may your trades be profitable!
Nasdaq Thoughts 27-09-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NAS100 Breakout: Aiming for New Highs as US30 Empire Gains The NAS100 has recently broken through key resistance levels and trend lines, signaling bullish momentum. With the US30 (Dow Jones) continuing to show strength, the NAS100 is expected to follow suit, aiming for new highs. The breakout suggests further upside potential as market confidence grows, supported by strong performance in tech and growth stocks. We anticipate continued upward movement, provided key support levels hold and the macroeconomic environment remains favorable. This could be an ideal entry for traders looking to capitalize on the ongoing rally.
Nasdaq ThoughtsGOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Nasdaq Thoughts 25-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
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Nasdaq Thoughts 24-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Important Support and Resistance Points: 19582.6
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To summarize the explanation below,
The current strength to maintain the uptrend is weakening.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 19582.6.
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(1W chart)
A new week has begun.
The key is whether it can receive support and continue the uptrend near 19582.6.
1. Check if ADX can rise above 25
2. Check if OBV can rise above the High Line
3. Check if StochRSI enters the overbought zone
4. Check if BW can touch the highest point (100)
If 1 and 2 are satisfied, the upward trend is expected to continue.
If 3 and 4 are satisfied, the high point zone is expected to be formed.
It does not immediately fall when the high point zone is formed,
- Check if ADX shows a downward trend or falls below 25
- Check if OBV falls below the High Line or shows a downward trend
When the above two conditions are satisfied, the decline is likely to begin.
At this time, the important thing to look at is whether there is support near 19582.6.
If it falls below 19582.6, it is likely to fall to around 17854.8.
The Fibonacci ratio shown on the left side of the chart is drawn in the first rising wave.
The Fibonacci ratio shown on the right side of the chart is drawn in the second rising wave.
Therefore, if it touches the Fibonacci ratio 1 (21137.6) on the right side, it is expected to pick up the trend again.
The second rising section is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) on the left side.
The long-term uptrend resumed on the week of March 13th as it broke through the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it starts to fall, it is expected to show significant volatility by touching the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal on the 1M chart is rising around 17854.8.
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(1D chart)
StochRSI has touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, it is expected that even if it rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
If it rises above 19582.6, I think it is highly likely to touch around 20313.8 and fall.
If not, it will turn into a downward trend.
At this time, what you need to check is
1. Whether ADX rises above 25.
2. Whether OBV is maintained above the high line or below the low line and remains.
If the above 1 and 2 are not satisfied, there is a possibility of forming a box section.
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Sometimes, there are people who strangely say that indicators from coin charts are used in stock charts.
Most indicators on charts have been created and used in the stock market for a long time.
I hope you know that they can be applied to all investment markets.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 2 ExamplesGreetings Traders!
In today's video, we'll continue our deep dive into Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery—a model rooted in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore the concept of draw on liquidity through premium and discount price delivery, equipping you to identify optimal trading sessions and execute high-probability trades, all while aligning with market bias.
This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven't watched the previous videos, I highly recommend doing so. They provide essential insights into identifying and acting on market bias, which Quarter Theory enhances further.
I highly recommend you watch ICT2022 Mentorship model on YouTube, it will really help you in your trading journey, the link to the mentorship is provided below.
I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below.
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 Intro:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
ICT 2022 Mentorship: www.youtube.com
High Probability Trading Zones: www.youtube.com
Best Regards,
The_Architect
Nasdaq Thoughts 20-Sept-2024GOOD MORNING Everyone! Please find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Important Support Zone: 17496.82-17806.08
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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-------------------------------------
I published it as a NAS100USD chart, but this is the first time I published it as an IXIC chart.
The reason I published it as an IXIC chart is to check the gap location.
-
To summarize the content below a little more,
- The key is whether it can receive support near 17806.08 and rise above 18425.15.
- If it rises, it is expected to determine the trend again near 19189.16-19615.36.
- If it falls below 17806.08
1st: 17496.82
2nd: 16480.98-16574.39
3rd: 15491.66-15780.14
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st-3rd above.
- Since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, even if it continues to rise, it will eventually show a downward trend.
At this time, whether there is support near 17496.82-17806.08 is important.
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It is rising with a 2.32% gap increase.
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 18425.15.
Therefore, the key is whether it can rise with support above 17806.08.
If it falls below 17806.08, it is likely to fall to around 17395.53.
-
It has risen above the left Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (17191.03) and is rising near the right Fibonacci ratio 0.886 (18171.81).
Therefore, if it rises above 18425.15, it is expected to determine the trend again near the right Fibonacci ratio 1 (19189.16) ~ left Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (19615.36).
-
However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently in the overbought zone, it appears to be forming a high point.
Whether this high will be a real high or a high to create a pull back pattern will depend on where it is supported.
Therefore, if it falls to the lowest point from the current price position, the key point is whether there is support near 17496.82.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the first support area is near 17806.08.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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Nasdaq Thoughts - 19-Sept-2024Good morning, traders! I'm excited to share my Nasdaq trading zones with you today, packed with potential trading opportunities. Dive in to uncover valuable insights for opening positions, but remember, these are merely guidance - not signals. Use them at your own discretion and risk. Happy trading!