NASDAQ Consolidation: Why Sitting Out Is Sometimes the Best PlayI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ (US100) closely, and on the 4-hour chart, we can clearly see that the market is in a phase of consolidation 🔍
Yesterday, I was anticipating a bullish breakout, which could have signaled the start of a structure with higher highs and higher lows — something that would have presented a clean long opportunity 📈. However, during the U.S. session, the NAS100 momentum shifted and we instead saw a bearish breakdown, invalidating the previous setup 🚫
As things stand now, there's no clear directional bias on the 4H — just a sideways range with neither bulls nor bears in full control 🤝. This type of environment calls for patience and discipline.
It's worth noting that knowing when not to trade is just as important as knowing when to pull the trigger. Sitting on the sidelines and allowing the market to make the next move — whether that’s a break above or below this consolidation range — is a valid and often wise decision 🧘♂️📊
At the moment, my preference is to remain neutral and let price show its hand before committing to a position.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management when trading.
Nasdaq
AAPL — Broadening Range and Accumulation Phase. Targeting $300Apple stock has been moving in a broadening pattern for an extended period, showing signs of accumulation. This price behavior suggests a potential bullish breakout. The upside target in the coming months is around $300, possibly by fall or winter. However, a corrective scenario remains on the table, with a potential pullback toward the $165–144 range, which could present a strong long entry opportunity. From a fundamental perspective, investor interest is likely to increase ahead of Apple’s expected product presentation in the fall, which historically supports bullish sentiment in the stock.
RSKD — 50–100% Return Potential Within a YearRiskified Ltd. (RSKD)
has been trading in a consistent long-term range, cycling between lows of 3.65–3.85 and highs of 6.20–6.54 approximately every 6 to 12 months.
This presents a swing opportunity with potential gains of up to 100%. We are currently mid-range and already in the trade, but as US indices show strength, additional buy setups may develop on retracements.
Fundamentally, investor interest in RSKD is supported by the growing demand for fraud prevention and identity verification solutions in e-commerce, client base expansion, and renewed attention to tech stocks during a potential sector recovery. Estimated holding time is 6–12 months.
Nasdaq - This starts the next +50% rally!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the quite harsh correction of about -25% which we saw in the beginning of 2025, the Nasdaq is clearly heading for new all time highs. It sounds almost incredible but if the Nasdaq breaks above the current confluence of resistance, a breakout rally of +50% will follow thereafter.
Levels to watch: $21.500, $33.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ 2 Expected Scenarios Very Clear , Which One You Prefer ?Here is my opinion on Nasdaq on 4H T.F , The price still below my res so we can sell it if the price touch the res level again , and if we have a daily closure above my res then we can buy it with retest for the broken res , so it`s very easy if we still below the res we can sell and if we going up it we can buy it . but we need a daily closure above first .
AMAZON TROUBLENASDAQ:AMZN Is currently trading Just 11% below its all time high and currently Facing exhaustion.
Amazon is currently trading 217$ range which was previous support now turned resistance (Daily Timeframe) , making a double top pattern and a negative divergence on the RSI.
The best Trades are the ones with multiple confirmations
- Trading at a resistance (1D chart)✅
- Negative Price Action at the resistance (Double Top Pattern)✅
- RSI negative divergence✅
- Market Structure ✅
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 211$
Target 2- 208$
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
Could Microstrategy be a 1 Trillion dollar mcap company?!Microstrategy and Michael Saylor evoke a spectrum of opinions, with analysts offering a diverse range of potential future valuations.
High risk, high reward!
The destiny of Microstrategy’s market capitalization is clearly linked to Bitcoin’s performance. The company has been utilizing debt to acquire the cryptocurrency, aiming to create significant spreads. This leverage is the reason why the stock has significantly outperformed Bitcoin throughout 2024.
I am confident that Bitcoin can indeed reach $200k, with a potential upper price target of $250K for this cycle, indicating a potentially explosive Q3 and Q4.
The lingering question is how much additional FOMO and premium Saylor can cultivate for his leveraged vehicle in such an environment?
That's why charting is such a key component to any personal investing strategy IMHO, as we navigate these markets.
NQ Bulls Teasing a Breakout – But Watch That 4H RSI Divergence We’re at a decision point here on NQ.
📌 Bullish case: We’ve got a clean inverse H&S on the 5-min sitting right on the weekly pivot. If we reclaim the daily pivot and the 30-min VWAP (red line), we could get a squeeze toward 21,960, where prior supply sits.
📉 Bearish case: A break below 21,650 cracks the head and confirms downside toward 21,480.
⚠️ Don’t ignore that 4H RSI divergence. Momentum is fading. If buyers want this, they’ve got to show up now.
📊 Timeframes used:
4H: macro momentum divergence
30M: chop zone with directional potential
5M: inverse H&S near key support
1M: low timeframe momentum shift
🔭 Scenarios plotted for both directions. Choose your trigger.
#nasdaq #futures #MNQ #tradingstrategy #priceaction #headandshoulders #vwap
2025-06-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq
Good Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Big up, big down, big confusion. Market rallies 500 points yesterday and today we get a late bear breakout and close below 22000. Traps on both sides and I am not believing in bear strength what so ever. I see this as a triangle and 22000 is the middle. Chop chop.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21700 - 22300
bull case: Bulls want to stay above 21900 and print a higher low to then re-test 22300. Today they were weak and let the bears close below 22000 which was unexpected, giving yesterday’s bullishness. Tomorrow we have FOMC and I doubt market can move far from 22000 tomorrow. Any longs closer to 21800 make sense.
Invalidation is below 21680.
bear case: Bears left behind a gap up to 22015 but I doubt it can stay open. We have to decent trend lines below us and bears would need to break strongly below 21900 to try and go for 800 or even 700. Bears do not have any arguments to go below 21700 so I won’t make up any. That doesn’t mean it can not happen but it’s unlikely.
Invalidation is above 22230.
short term: Completely neutral around 22000. Only interested in longs below 21900 and shorts closer to 22100.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-15: Daily close below 21450 is my validation for the new bear trend which has the first bigger target at 21000 but I think we will printed below 20000 again this year. Structure is obviously not yet bearish, so don’t be early if you want confirmation and can’t/won’t scale in to shorts higher.
trade of the day: Buy low, sell high and scalp. Clear range 22000 - 22100 and the late bear breakout was ok if you made your money before. I do think it was unusual that we did not close the gap to y close 22176.
NASDAQ 100 Bullish Breakout Potential: What to Watch NextI'm currently monitoring the NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) very closely. Building on yesterday’s outlook, we've now seen a clear bullish structural shift — price is holding firm above a recent higher high and higher low, suggesting the early stages of a potential trend continuation 📈
Zooming into the 30-minute chart, we can track price action more precisely. I’m watching for a decisive break above the current range high on this timeframe. If we get the break → retest → rejection pattern, this would confirm bullish momentum and provide a long opportunity 🚀
Should this scenario play out, we could also see JPY pairs strengthen to the upside, as a risk-on sentiment flows through the markets 🧭
🔍 This setup is developing — as always, patience and precision are key.
Markets rally as missiles fly | how long can risk be ignored? Markets may be underpricing Israel and Iran risk.
Despite continued fighting—including high-impact strikes and rising casualties—global equities moved higher to start the week.
U.S. indices led the advance, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.5%, followed by the S&P 500 and Dow. Earlier in the session, European and Asian markets also closed higher, with Germany’s DAX up 0.8% and Japan’s Nikkei rising 1.3%. Now Asian markets are set to open for the second trading day of the week.
Tensions escalated further on Monday as Israel launched drone strikes on Iran’s state-run IRINN television headquarters in Tehran, interrupting a live broadcast. Additional Israeli attacks hit the South Pars gas field. In retaliation, Iran launched a fresh wave of missile attacks into Israel, killing at least five people.
CORZ : Long Position with 2.5 Risk Reward RatioOur stock is trading on 50 and 200 period moving averages. (Timeframe : 1H)
Our first target level could be the level where the gap closes.
Stop - Loss can be placed around the 200 period moving average. Summary in light of this brief information:
Risk/Reward Ratio : 2.51
Stop-Loss : 15.95
Take Profit Level : 11.745
Edit : Sorry, I couldn't pull down the end of the trend line, so it was a slightly crooked trend line, but it doesn't ruin the main idea.
Regards.
NASDAQ Close to the 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the December 2022 Low and is currently extending the gains of the latest Bullish Leg.
At the same time it is about to form the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years (since March 08 2023). The last two major Bullish Legs of this pattern, before the previous one was interrupted by the Trade War, were pretty symmetrical, peaking at +49.21% and +47.47% respectively.
If the current one follows the +47.47% 'minimum', we should be expecting Nasdaq to hit 24000 by late Q3.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Conditions For A Pullback In The NASDAQ 100 Are PresentAll the conditions for a reversal in the NASDAQ 100 appear to be in place, but just because these conditions are present doesn’t mean a reversal must occur. The most obvious condition is the presence of a rising wedge, which formed over the past month and broke on Friday. Whether this pattern entirely unfolds remains to be seen, but there is supporting evidence suggesting it may.
Momentum, as measured by the Relative Strength Index, has clearly been trending lower since peaking on May 19, even as the price of the NASDAQ 100 has continued to rise—a classic bearish divergence.
Over the same period, we’ve observed the NASDAQ rising on decreasing levels of volume—another characteristic of a rising wedge pattern. Then, on Friday, the index broke below the lower boundary of the wedge. The wedge measures approximately 7% from its bottom to the top, suggesting that if the pattern fully plays out, the NASDAQ could decline back to around 20,350. It is also worth noting that there is a gap on the chart at 20,150, which could potentially be filled during such a pullback.
However, that doesn’t mean a decline will be straightforward, because, for now at least, the NASDAQ has found support at the 20-day moving average at 21,514. The NASDAQ will therefore need to break through this strong support level for a deeper decline to occur. In fact, the NASDAQ has not traded below its 20-day moving average since April 23.
While all the conditions for a break from the NASDAQ’s rising wedge are present and appear on the verge of unfolding, the market still has much to prove before the bearish scenario can fully materialize.
Written by Michael J. Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management.
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Nasdaq Challenges Record HighsNasdaq continues to trade just below a one-month resistance line, which connects consecutive higher highs formed between May and June 2025. This line has capped the index just shy of the 22,000 mark, as price action navigates the push and pull between summer momentum, geopolitical tensions, and economic uncertainty.
To the upside, a decisive break and hold above 22,200 would be a bullish trigger, potentially opening the path toward the 23,700 resistance zone. This level notably aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension, projected from the 2023 low, 2025 high, and 2025 retracement low.
On the downside, risks remain for a deeper correction if the index retraces toward the 21,000–20,600 region. This zone represents the neckline of the December–January double top, and stands as a critical threshold separating a bullish continuation scenario from the possibility of a deeper bearish pullback.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
E-mini Nasdaq-100 Trading Setup for sellers ^)We have completed cup and handle pattern here...
So after the price is still high!
We may see some price gain additional, something like 13-18% .
So we have two option here for the sellers, wait and sell from marked point 1 or 2 .
P.S. This is very long time range position. ( Something like 200-800 day ).
Have a profit in your day!
Thanks.
US100 – Eyes on $22,040 as bulls take chargeIntroduction
The US100 is currently showing signs of a bullish breakout, moving above the boundaries of a previously established parallel channel. It is now approaching an important area of imbalance, known as a Fair Value Gap (FVG), on the 4-hour chart. If the index manages to break through this zone, there is a strong potential for continued upward momentum. Let’s take a closer look at the technical setup and what might come next.
Parallel Channel
For some time, the US100 had been trading within a downward-sloping parallel channel, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. However, today's price action has changed that narrative. The index has broken out of the channel to the upside and is currently pushing towards new short-term highs, which could mark the beginning of a bullish trend reversal.
4-Hour Fair Value Gap (FVG)
The current focus is on an open 4-hour FVG that ranges from approximately 21,840 to 21,870. This zone could serve as a significant resistance level, potentially rejecting further upward movement. However, if the US100 breaks decisively above this range, it could open the door for a rapid push toward previous highs. Such a move would signal strong bullish momentum and confirm the breakout as legitimate.
Possibility of a False Breakout
There is always the risk that this breakout could turn out to be a false move. If the US100 fails to hold above the 4-hour FVG and reverses back below the channel breakout point, it could indicate a bull trap. In that case, the index may resume its downward trend. Still, based on the current momentum and market structure, this scenario seems less likely at the moment.
Upside Target
If the breakout above the FVG is successful, the next significant target lies at the recent highs near 22,040. This level is expected to act as strong resistance. Should the US100 manage to break through it, we could see a test of the all-time high in the near future. However, it’s important to approach the market with patience and let each level confirm itself before expecting further upside.
Conclusion
While the US100 has successfully broken out of its parallel channel, it is now facing a key test at the 4-hour FVG. A clean break above this zone would likely shift market sentiment to bullish and set the stage for a move toward 22,040 and potentially beyond. Until then, traders should watch closely for confirmation and be mindful of the possibility of a pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
NASDAQ Analysis: Navigating Uncertainty in a Shifting LandscapeThe NASDAQ has been on a rollercoaster ride lately 🎢, reflecting both global macro shifts and sector-specific dynamics. After dipping into bear market territory earlier in the year, the index has rebounded strongly, powered by mega-cap tech and the ongoing AI boom 🤖. However, the mood remains cautious as investors weigh political and economic cross-currents. Note how price action is stalling at the current level.
Fundamentals & Earnings 💼
Earnings Resilience: Q1 2025 earnings for NASDAQ heavyweights were robust, with tech giants posting double-digit growth. Yet, forward guidance is more muted, as companies brace for the impact of higher tariffs and global supply chain adjustments.
Valuations: The recent rally has pushed forward P/E ratios well above long-term averages, making the market more sensitive to any negative surprises 📈.
AI & Innovation: Capital expenditure on AI is set to exceed$300 billion this year, keeping the sector in the spotlight and fueling optimism for long-term growth.
Political & Geopolitical Factors 🌍
Trade Policy: The U.S. and China have agreed to a temporary pause on new tariffs, easing some immediate concerns. However, the average effective tariff rate remains much higher than last year, and uncertainty lingers as legal challenges and further negotiations loom.
Fiscal Policy: U.S. deficit worries are back in focus, with new legislation projected to add trillions to the national debt over the next decade. This has contributed to higher Treasury yields and a weaker dollar 💵.
Global Competition: International equities have outperformed U.S. stocks over the past six months, but history suggests this may be stretched, and a reversal could be on the horizon.
Market Sentiment & Technicals 📊
Volatility: While volatility has eased from its spring highs, sentiment remains fragile. Consumer and business confidence indices are at multi-year lows, even as hard economic data (like jobless claims) remains resilient.
Sector Rotation: Growth and cyclical sectors—especially tech, consumer discretionary, and industrials—have led the rebound, but investors are increasingly selective, favoring companies with strong fundamentals and global reach.
Outlook: The NASDAQ is cautiously optimistic for the second half of 2025. The market is pricing in a couple of Fed rate cuts by year-end, but the path forward depends on inflation trends, trade clarity, and corporate earnings.
Key Takeaways 🚦
The NASDAQ is in recovery mode, but faces headwinds from trade policy, fiscal uncertainty, and stretched valuations.
Political developments—especially around tariffs and fiscal policy—will be key drivers of volatility.
Long-term, the AI and tech innovation wave remains a powerful tailwind, but near-term caution is warranted.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Markets are volatile and subject to rapid change. Always do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction.
If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk.
Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors:
• A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations
• The release of inflation indicators
• Heightened geopolitical tensions
According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation.
On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president).
After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation.
On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day.
On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area.
Parallel Channel
A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830.
FVG
During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it.
Conclusion
Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thanks for your support.
- Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis!
- Drop a like and leave a comment!
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Approaching a pullback resistanceThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 21,719.73 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 21,870.00 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 21,477.88 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.