Gold Hits $2,770 Target – Will It Break Historical Highs Today?Analyzing the 4-hour chart of gold, we observe that the price reacted to the expected levels of $2,755, $2,757, and $2,759 yesterday, followed by a strong breakout to hit our anticipated target of $2,770. Currently trading at $2,777, gold shows no signs of rejection or a significant pullback.
As the final trading day of the week unfolds, the big question remains: will gold surpass its previous historical high of $2,790? With today's growth reaching $2,780, it's just 100 pips away from breaking that record. The opening of New York markets could provide the decisive momentum.
A new historical high and even targets beyond $2,800 seem within reach! Stay tuned for updates, and don't forget to support this analysis with your reactions to keep the momentum going.
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Nasdaq
EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly!
The Main Analysis :
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher, supported by the 3-day moving average on the daily chart. After a recent surge, it has reached the upper Bollinger Band, with both the MACD and signal line crossing above the zero line, confirming a buy signal. However, due to the sharp rally, there is potential for a pullback today. If the price retraces to the 5-day moving average, it could consolidate within a range, allowing moving averages to converge.
Should the NASDAQ fall further, the key question is whether it will fill the gap near 21700. If the gap remains unfilled and the price breaks higher, the daily buy signal would stay intact, potentially accelerating bullish momentum.
On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains active despite a rebound. Selling at higher levels is preferable, while watching if the MACD avoids falling below the zero line and instead forms a golden cross with the signal line. Focus on dip-buying and selling at resistance, keeping the potential for a pullback to the 5-day moving average in mind.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, falling below the $75 level. It ended near the midpoint of the large bullish candle from January 10 ($74.66) after further downside pressure. This week’s decline reflects President Trump’s push to lower oil prices.
Currently, crude is near the 20-day moving average and within the $74–$75 support zone, which aligns with the weekly 5-day moving average. This area is suitable for swing trading and dip-buying strategies.
On the daily chart, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, creating a short-term sell signal. However, the significant divergence from the zero line suggests that crude may consolidate with bullish candles before attempting another upward move.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has not yet formed a golden cross with the signal line, but selling pressure has weakened significantly. If a golden cross occurs, a strong rebound could follow. Avoid chasing shorts and focus on buying dips at key levels.
GOLD
Gold rebounded from key support levels, closing flat with a lower wick on the daily candle. The daily chart shows that bullish momentum remains strong, making dip-buying at major support levels the preferred strategy.
Gold touched the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart before pulling back, indicating that a clear trend may not emerge until next week.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal formed at the recent high, with the MACD divergence leading to a sharp decline. While the price is recovering, the sell signal remains active, increasing the likelihood of another pullback.
Gold appears to be consolidating within a range, building energy for the next leg higher. Today, focus on box-range trading with selling at resistance and buying at support. Be mindful of major economic data releases before the main session, and manage risks carefully. Best of luck with your trades, and have a successful end to the week!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Bullish Market
-Buy: 21980 / 21910 / 21870 / 21790 / 21720
-Sell: 22040 / 22075 / 22110
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 74.10 / 73.40 / 73.00 / 72.40
-Sell: 75.10 / 75.70 / 76.20 / 76.75 / 77.10
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2750 / 2743 / 2737 / 2731
-Sell: 2770 / 2774 / 2779 / 2785
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25
📈 22207.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22234.5, 22242.5)
📉 21830 (NEXT LEVELS: 21812, 21671.50, 22639)
*The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!*
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
USNAS100 Bullish Momentum Amid Lower Rate ExpectationsUSNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price has stabilized in the bullish zone, supported by bullish momentum amid Trump’s push for lower interest rates.
The Nasdaq is expected to maintain its upward trend as long as it trades above 21760, with stronger momentum above 21900, targeting 22100 and 22290.
However, there is a possibility of a retest at 21760. If the price stabilizes below 21900, it may temporarily lose momentum before pushing higher.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21900
Resistance Levels: 22100, 22290, 22410
Support Levels: 21760, 21635, 21540
Trend Outlook
Consolidation: Between 21760 and 21900
Bearish: Below 21760
Bullish: Above 21900
Previous idea:
NASDAQ You will not be scared to invest in tech after this.Nasdaq / US100 has just started a massively bullish phase long term.
Both on 1month RSI terms and pure monthly candles, the index has entered 2025 the same way it entered 1992.
That was the start of Nasdaq's Internet Bubble, much like today we have established the era of Artificial Intelligence.
A.I. has given us a glimpse of its enormous growth potential in 2023-2024 but that is nothing compared to what's coming.
Eventually it will turn into a Bubble that will pop but we don't know how high it can go before it does.
It it repeats the Internet Bubble, the it should burst by 2031/32 in levels around 10000, no matter how crazy this price may seem now. In fact it shouldn't surprise you as Nasdaq quadrupled in the past 7 years.
In any event, this chart serves as a reminder to long term investors like us, that investing in technology stocks is a 'must' going forward into 2025.
Previous chart:
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XAU/USD : Liquidity Grab at $2733, Next Trend Awaits NY Session!By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that the price finally broke out of the neutral range of $2702-$2714 today, reaching as high as $2733 and clearing liquidity above $2727. After this liquidity grab, gold experienced a slight correction, retracing to $2717. Currently, the price is trading around $2722.
As the New York market opens, we’ll see if gold can establish its next trend. It’s still too early to declare a bearish shift, as the bullish trend remains intact until the price breaks and stabilizes below $2688. For now, consider these levels for positions:
Supply Zones: $2727, $2742, $2753
Demand Zones: $2717, $2711, $2703
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USNAS100 consolidation or BreakoutUSNAS100 Technical Analysis
If the price stabilizes above 21760 that means will touch 21900 and then will consolidate between these two prices.
but if the price closes 4h candles below 21760 means will drop to 21635,
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21760
Resistance Levels: 21900, 22100, 21290
Support Levels: 21635, 21540, 21380
Outlook Trend
Consolidation 21760 and 22900
Bearish below 21760
Bullish above 21900
previous idea:
DXY - 1H still bearish...While some signals indicate buy opportunities on the dollar index, I remain skeptical. As mentioned in our 4H analysis, the third bullish leg has been completed, and I expect a deeper correction in CAPITALCOM:DXY .
In the 1H time frame, we can observe that the second reaction to the support zone is significantly weaker than the first. This could indicate a potential breakdown of the support zone, with the index likely falling below the 107 level.
Let’s see how this plays out! Follow for timely updates and expert insights! 🚀
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/23/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/23/25
📈 22147.25 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
📉 21714.5 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
1/2 way mark 📈 22039 & 📉 21822.75
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*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Nasdaq market analysis: 23-Jan-2025Good morning. Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis and educational insights for price action traders.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25 (most recent)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25
📈 22139.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22281.75, 22424)
📉 21766.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 21624.25, 21482)
*The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!*
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
A Market Teetering on the Edge: Is EA Poised for a Rebound?With NASDAQ-EA trading at $118.70, down nearly 30% from its all-time high of $168.50 just 63 days ago, the market presents a mix of caution and intrigue. RSI levels languish deep in oversold territory, with daily RSI14 at an eye-popping 12.19—signaling potential exhaustion in bearish momentum. Add to this the emergence of high-volume buy signals, such as the VSA Buy Pattern Extra, hinting at possible accumulation near powerful support zones.
But here’s the burning question: Is this just a pause in the downtrend, or are we witnessing the groundwork for a bullish reversal? The price has been consolidating under key resistance at $126.40 while remaining well above the critical support at $113.57. As we dive into the charts, traders and investors alike must decide: Is this a time for patience, or a moment to seize the opportunity?
NASDAQ-EA Roadmap: A Path Through Patterns
Here’s how the recent market narrative unfolded for NASDAQ-EA, based on the patterns’ sequence and their main directions. Let’s walk through the roadmap of events to understand the technical dynamics and validate the signals.
1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Starting Signal
The session on 2025-01-23 10:00 UTC kicked off with a bullish VSA Buy Pattern. The pattern suggested an upward movement, confirmed by subsequent price action. The high of $143.27 aligned with the bullish prediction. The trigger was set at a low of $120.50, with the price bouncing back robustly.
Main Direction: Buy
Outcome: The next pattern supported the bullish trajectory, validating this pattern's forecast.
2. Sell Volumes Take Over – A Divergence in Direction
The next notable signal emerged on 2025-01-23 15:00 UTC, highlighting increased sell volumes. This suggested a bearish reversal from the earlier upward move. However, the market defied the expectation, holding the $126.4 support and continuing higher, indicating that the trigger failed to activate.
Main Direction: Sell
Outcome: Rejected – This pattern didn’t play out due to sustained bullish momentum.
3. Buy Volumes Max – A Bullish Confirmation
Following this, a strong Buy Volumes Max signal emerged on 2025-01-23 14:00 UTC, confirming the market’s intention to stay bullish. The price reached a high of $126.71, creating a significant movement upward. This pattern marked a key moment in establishing a robust upward trend.
Main Direction: Buy
Outcome: Confirmed – Momentum aligned with the forecast.
4. VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Climax of Confidence
On 2025-01-23 17:00 UTC, another VSA Buy Pattern surfaced, affirming a long-term upward drive. The subsequent high of $130 reinforced this direction, proving its credibility. This pattern’s precision and alignment with previous signals made it a pivotal moment.
Main Direction: Buy
Outcome: Verified – Price action aligned perfectly, solidifying bullish confidence.
5. Increased Sell Volumes – A Temporary Reprieve
The market showed a shift on 2025-01-22 21:00 UTC, with an Increased Sell Volumes pattern. Despite a minor pullback to $120, the upward trend persisted, invalidating the bearish prediction. This marked the sellers’ inability to seize control.
Main Direction: Sell
Outcome: Failed – Price action rejected the bearish forecast.
Key Takeaways for Traders and Investors
Bullish patterns dominated the sequence, with successful confirmations in 3 out of 5 instances.
The alignment of VSA Buy Patterns highlighted the reliability of these signals for medium-term forecasts.
Failed bearish patterns suggest strong buying pressure, keeping the market in an upward trend.
Stay tuned for the next wave of market action! Whether you're riding the trend or waiting for the next pivot, these patterns provide a clear narrative for navigating NASDAQ-EA.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
The market’s dance around support and resistance zones can reveal its next moves. Let’s break down the levels currently steering NASDAQ-EA and how to approach them. Remember, if these levels don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance, and the bulls or bears will have to face them again.
Support Levels to Keep on Your Radar
113.57 – A critical level; if it breaks, expect a retest to confirm resistance.
109.83 – A deeper pullback zone where buyers might reload if momentum weakens.
Resistance Levels to Break for Bullish Continuation
126.4 – The first line of defense for bears. A breakout here could ignite a stronger rally.
143.01 – A psychological zone tied to past highs; watch for reaction here.
145.79 – This level could be the gatekeeper for more significant upside potential.
Powerful Support Levels – Where the Big Boys Are Watching
144.61 – A make-or-break zone for bulls if the market revisits lower prices.
163.86 – The last stronghold for buyers, holding the line from deeper corrections.
Powerful Resistance Levels – Overhead Barriers
113.79 – If this flips, expect it to become a strong ceiling on pullbacks.
Pro Tip for Traders:
Levels don’t exist in isolation. Always look for price action confirmation—like wick rejections, candle closes, or volume spikes—when testing these zones. If you see these signs fail to hold, flip your mindset and consider these levels as the next barriers to overcome.
Trading Strategies with Rays: Precision Meets Probability
The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept offers a robust approach to understanding market dynamics, providing clarity on probable price scenarios while avoiding the pitfalls of predicting exact levels. Let’s explore the concept, scenarios, and actionable trade setups.
Concept of Rays: The Fibonacci-Based Framework
Rays, based on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, are dynamic tools that define key zones of price interaction. Each ray starts from the beginning of a movement, capturing the natural flow of the trend or correction. Here’s why this matters:
Dynamic Levels: Rays adapt to new patterns, keeping you ahead of the curve.
Clear Scenarios: Price interaction signals continuation or reversal, but only after interaction with a ray.
Directional Guidance: Moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, and MA233) enhance ray analysis, acting as dynamic support or resistance.
Why Focus on Probability, Not Precision?
The nonlinear nature of financial markets makes predicting exact levels unfeasible. Instead, rays reveal key zones where price interaction is likely. This simplifies decision-making and identifies high-probability trade setups.
Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Regain Control
First Target: $126.4 – Interaction with this ray and support from MA50 signals a breakout opportunity.
Second Target: $143.01 – Sustained momentum leads to this resistance zone, amplified by MA100 convergence.
Third Target: $145.79 – Interaction here suggests another leg upward, with potential consolidation around MA200 for further continuation.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Take the Wheel
First Target: $113.57 – A breakdown below this ray opens a move to this support.
Second Target: $109.83 – Failure at MA50 and interaction with this ray could accelerate downward momentum.
Third Target: $108.53 – Price interaction signals potential bottoming, but further selling pressure could test this absolute low.
Suggested Trade Setups: From Ray to Ray
Buy at $126.4: Enter on a breakout above this ray with MA50 support. Target $143.01, with $145.79 as the stretch goal.
Short at $126.4: If price rejects this ray, target $113.57 with a protective stop-loss above $126.4.
Buy at $113.57: Look for bullish price action signals after interaction. First target $126.4, second target $143.01.
Short at $143.01: If price fails to hold above this ray, target $126.4. For risk-takers, $113.57 offers a secondary target.
Key Takeaway for Traders:
Use ray interaction as your signal to act. Each move from ray to ray provides clarity on the next targets, with moving averages acting as dynamic guides. Adjust your position size and risk accordingly, but remember: patience pays when trading with rays.
Let’s Keep the Conversation Going!
Got questions about the analysis or want to discuss the roadmap in more detail? Drop your thoughts directly in the comments! I’m here to chat, clarify, and help you sharpen your trading game.
Don’t forget to Boost this post and save it to your favorites—it’s the best way to track how the price moves according to my layout. Understanding key levels and reaction points is essential for building confident trades, and I’d love for you to revisit this analysis later to see how it played out.
For those of you intrigued by my Rays and Levels Strategy, here’s the insider tip: the indicator automatically maps out all these zones, but it’s currently available in Private Only. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly, and we can discuss access options.
If you’d like custom analysis on a specific asset, I can make it happen! Some requests I’m happy to share for free with the community, while others can remain private just for you—perfect if you want to keep your edge to yourself. Either way, let’s collaborate to make your trading more precise.
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Good luck with Nasdaq on Friday 25.01.24Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Breakout Analysis
Chart:
The ascending trendline broke shortly after the Asian session ended and just before the European session began.
Buy Perspective: None.
Sell Perspective: Although the trendline broke, the current market conditions suggest a need for a different interpretation.
At this point, as the entry and stop-loss levels are near breakeven, it’s advisable to exit and observe further movements.
Net Result: Zero profit for both buy and sell positions.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
The daily chart shows the NASDAQ tested the support at the orange supply zone and closed as a bullish candle on 25.01.23.
Key Observations:
The next resistance zone is the green box, above the blue box supply zone.
A breakout attempt on 25.01.22 failed at 22093.5, which is just below the previous high at 22111.25 from 24.12.26.
The daily chart from 25.01.23 indicates a tightening range with higher lows and lower highs. However, no clear directional breakout has occurred yet.
Current Movement
Chart:
The current price action suggests a pennant formation after the breakout above the red box.
The breakout direction will determine the next major move.
Until then, observing the market from the sidelines appears to be the safest approach.
Trading Strategy
Buy Strategy
Entry 1: Breakout above the purple box & red resistance trendline.
Entry 2: Breakout above the green box high at 22111.25.
Additional Notes:
If the pattern breaks upward and surpasses the purple box, the first resistance is 22093.5, with the major resistance at 22111.25.
While resistance near the major zone could result in pullbacks, a strong upward momentum is possible, particularly as past breakouts have led to sharp rallies.
Reference Chart:
Sell Strategy
Entry: Break below the ascending trendline and 21854.50.
Additional Notes:
Despite occasional breakdowns of the ascending trendline, the market has frequently rebounded afterward.
The primary bearish argument is the failure to break through major resistance.
For a more conservative approach, enter short positions only if the support at 21854.5 (the daily support from 25.01.23) fails.
Reference Chart:
Conclusion
The Asian markets will observe a week-long holiday starting next week:
Korea: Closed from Monday.
China: Closed from Tuesday.
Hong Kong: Closed from Wednesday.
This will likely result in reduced trading volume.
With no major news today, the probability of a bearish reversal seems low.
If no significant catalysts emerge, there’s a chance the market will push higher by the close of the session.
Great work this week! Let’s finish strong. Fighting! 🚀
Prime Buying Opportunity for Crude Oil Nearing
Crude oil is currently consolidating around the $75 level. A glance at the daily MACD reveals a close but no crossover of the MACD and signal lines. A bearish close today could signal a downturn, but a bullish close would likely see the MACD resume its upward trend.
Since its correction from $79, the price has been holding above the midpoint of the January 10th bullish candle at $74.66. This level, also coinciding with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart, is a crucial support zone. Given the significant volume accumulated in the first week of January, this presents a compelling opportunity for aggressive swing trading.
Today's oil inventory report is expected to act as a catalyst for a bullish reversal. While the market is bearish on oil supply expansion due to Trump's election, technical analysis suggests further upside potential. We recommend adopting a buy-on-dip strategy.
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Bizarre NASDAQ Movements 25.01.23Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Wednesday’s Analysis Results
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
No buy signals were provided.
Sell Perspective:
The first signal for a sell was the break below the ascending trendline, as mentioned earlier.
After the Asian session ended on 25.01.23, the ascending trendline was broken, triggering a sell.
The price dropped by approximately 71 points after the breakdown, yielding a $1,400 profit per contract.
Following Up on Yesterday’s Setup
Chart:
The rising wedge pattern did not fully complete. Instead, the NASDAQ created a new trend in the red box, pushing even higher than the previous pattern.
It eventually re-entered the pattern but has not yet confirmed a full breakout.
A more conservative trading approach would be to wait for a break below the blue zone to confirm a trend reversal.
NASDAQ on the 4-Hour Chart
Chart:
As previously noted, the NASDAQ broke above the upper boundary of the orange box, rallying to 22093 (near the next supply zone’s upper boundary) before a pullback began.
The uptrend remains intact for now.
However, there are some red flags:
The NASDAQ’s momentum appears to weaken, as corrections are becoming more prominent during the end of the U.S. session and in the Asian + European sessions.
Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
On the daily chart, the current candle is an inside bar following three consecutive bullish candles.
Key Levels:
Resistance: ~22000
Support: ~21806
How today’s daily candle closes will likely play a critical role in determining the market direction for the rest of the week.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Chart:
Buy Recommendation:
None.
Reason:
The price has risen significantly, and it seems prudent to observe the market for now.
While the uptrend is still intact and the price could continue higher without offering clear entries (as seen yesterday), preserving your capital is just as important as making profits.
Sell Recommendation:
Entry: Upon breaking below the orange ascending trendline.
Reason:
Breaking this key trendline could signal a major shift in the market structure.
If this happens, it’s unclear whether the price will test the purple resistance trendline or if a full trend reversal will occur.
Regardless, entering a sell near the highs offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ has displayed strong upward momentum but also signs of weakening, especially in the non-U.S. sessions.
For buyers: Observe from the sidelines and avoid chasing the price.
For sellers: Look for a trendline breakdown to enter positions near the highs, as this could signal the start of a broader reversal.
Stay disciplined and focused. 🚀
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/22/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/22/25
📈 22147.5 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
📉 21567.75 (NEXT LEVELS: TBD)
1/2 way mark 📈 22002 & 📉 21712.75
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed higher on news of President Trump’s plans to expand AI investments. It surged strongly to the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart, lifting the MACD above the zero line. However, a gap formed due to Netflix's earnings report, and there is a possibility that this gap could be filled during future corrections.
While the signal line remains below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating the potential for a pullback, strong buying momentum on the 240-minute chart suggests the NASDAQ could rise further to the 22200–22300 zone. A sell-off might emerge only if the MACD on the 240-minute chart dead crosses the signal line, signaling a shift to a bearish trend. There is also upside potential to 22250, the upper boundary of the weekly chart, so it's wise to keep this level in mind.
For now, focus on buying dips, but keep an eye on the transition from an uptrend (positive alignment) to a downtrend (negative alignment) on the short-term charts. If the 240-minute MACD dead crosses, it could signal a correction, so monitor the price movements closely.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, consolidating in a box range near the $75 level. The large bullish candle from January 10 serves as a key reference point, with the midpoint of that candle acting as a support level.
For a rebound on the daily chart, a bullish candle needs to form. Currently, the MACD is closely aligned with the signal line. If the MACD avoids a dead cross and turns upward, there’s a high chance of a third bullish wave. Keep an eye on the upcoming crude oil inventory data to see if it triggers a trend reversal.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting to cross above the signal line in the oversold zone, showing a potential for a rebound. With prolonged consolidation around $75, a strong upward move could follow any breakout. Avoid chasing shorts, and if the price drops to $74, it could provide a great buying opportunity.
GOLD
Gold closed higher, breaking above the 2760 resistance level. This breakout opens the possibility of further gains to the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart, around 2780. However, the divergence between the MACD and the signal line on the weekly chart makes a further golden cross less likely, meaning a correction could occur in the next week or two.
On the daily chart, the bullish trend remains strong, making it advisable to avoid short positions. The 240-minute chart shows a third bullish wave following a golden cross of the MACD, supporting further gains. Ideally, continued strength above 2780 would prevent a divergence from forming on the MACD, which could lead to a sharp decline if unaddressed.
For now, use 2760 as support and focus on range-bound trading while monitoring for a potential breakout above key levels. Always be prepared for volatility and manage risk carefully.
Positive market momentum is being driven by new government policies and plans, including tariffs, the Stargate Project, and expanded AI infrastructure investments. These developments could act as catalysts for further gains. Stay updated on these issues, and as always, manage your risks carefully. Best of luck with your trading today!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21920 / 21870 / 21790 / 21720
-Sell: 22035 / 22075 / 22135 / 22230
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 75.10 / 74.70 / 74.30 / 73.60
-Sell: 75.70 / 76.20 / 76.75 / 77.10
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2759 / 2754 / 2748 / 2738
-Sell: 2771 / 2778 / 2783 / 2794
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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2025-01-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Market went a couple of points short of the previous lower high 22111 but it probably won’t mean much. We are close enough that we can retest the ath now. There is a big gap even on futures down to 21700 and if that stay’s open, bulls can go higher. We have the big upper bull trend line that goes to around 22600, so this could be a potential target. Bears need to get below 21900 to turn the market a bit more neutral.
current market cycle: trading range (obvious bull trend on lower time frames)
key levels: 21800 - 22600
bull case: Strong buying through the day and then a melt-up on US open. Bulls are in full control and have their eyes on the ath 22450. We have two bull trend lines that should hold. One is very close to 21980 which will likely be broken during the Globex session and the next around is currently at 21780.
Invalidation is below 21700.
bear case: I don’t think bulls should allow the market to fall that much if they want a new ath. Either we keep the momentum going or we might go sideways here and print another lower high. Bears are not doing anything right now except some after hours spikes but they go nowhere. Tuesday night was decent but no follow-through and we have just melted since. First target for the bears is to get below 21900 again and then test the other trend line below us.
Invalidation is above 22600.
short term: Bullish after pull-backs. I won’t look to short this until bears have shown much more strength.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-22: Let’s see if we print a new ath and what kind of reaction follows. For now I think we go much more sideways 20000 - 22600/23000.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying anywhere below 22000 was pretty amazing since first hour in Globex printed the low.
The NASDAQ is Approaching a Selling OpportunityCurrently, the NASDAQ is showing a strong uptrend on the daily chart, but the gap between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages has significantly widened. Even if the market opens with a gap up today, a pullback is likely due to this divergence, so chasing buys is not recommended.
For selling at the top, consider these levels: 21940, 22040, and 22110. Especially near 22040, the resistance zone aligns with the upper Bollinger Band, making it a favorable level for selling.
Following President Trump’s announcement of expanded AI infrastructure investments, AI-related stocks like NVIDIA have surged. However, it’s unlikely that the rally will continue significantly from this point. Additionally, the NASDAQ has already triggered a sell signal on the 30-minute chart, and this could cascade into sell signals on the 60-minute, 120-minute, and 240-minute charts. Be cautious about chasing long positions.
For dip-buying opportunities, 21770, a previous resistance level, may serve as a good entry point if the market pulls back. Should the price drop to the 5-day moving average, 21630 would offer an even better buying opportunity.
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