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Nasdaq

NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off. The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors. Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth. This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before. Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year. In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs. Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot. Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach. This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively. On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week. On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario. On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market. On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand. On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation. Gold Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible. On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks. On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold. On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key. February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀 If you like detailed this analysis and today's strategy, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Weekly Market Forecast Mar 3-7: Stock Indices, Gold, Oil, moreThis is a FUTURES market outlook for the week of Mar 3-7th. In this video, we will analyze the following futures markets: ES | S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC | Gold SIL | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper The indices took a bearish turn at the end of last week. Trump announcements, tariffs, Ukraine and Russia injected uncertainty into the markets, and investors moved money into safe havens. Patience is required to trade in this environment. Wait until there are clear signs of shifts in the market before deciding on a bias. Setup confirmations are always the best course of action. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by RT_Money
4
#202509 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: My line in the sand for bears was 20600 and bears actually got there but the very bullish close on Friday destroyed many bear hopes. Biggest question for Monday is now, does the bear channel hold or will we strongly break above to test the highs again? I don’t know and that’s when I will lean neutral. Both sides have reasonable arguments and the bear channel is valid until clearly broken but Friday’s close was special. 20900 is probably a bad place to trade and I will be cautious on Monday. There are multiple bigger patterns we are currently in. Most recent is the tight bear channel down from last week, which would be broken above 21100. Then we are also inside an expanding triangle on the daily tf where the upper trend lines goes through the ath 22450. On the weekly tf I have two bull trend lines and both could be right or wrong, you never know. The lower one runs a bit below 20000 and that is obviously a magnet market will test over the next days or weeks but I have no idea if we do another leg up first. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 22500 bull case: Bulls have probably seen enough selling and Friday’s close showed some strength that they want more exposure again. Their first target is 21000 and then break above the bear channel from last week, which would be above 21100ish. Next targets are then the mid point around 21500 and then likely no more resistance until 22000. Bullish ABC move on the chart, which would be my preferred path if we close above 21200 on Monday. Invalidation is below 20400. bear case: Bears want to see this as a W1 and get at least another strong leg down or even a third one. What are the odds of that? The last strong selling we had was 2024-07 where nq dropped for 16% over 5 weeks. So a long time ago where we did not correct for 10% or more. Right now we are down 8% in two weeks, which is the strongest selling we have seen in the past 7 months. Bears certainly would have a bit more room to the downside to touch 20000 or a bit lower to hit the bull trend line around 19800 (depending on how you draw it). I’m just having a really hard time believing this is more likely than a trade back up to at least 21500 since we are still inside the bull trend and two weeks ago we were 130 points below the ath. An expanding triangle is likely the more dominating feature for now. Every dip below 21000 has been bought and selling here has not been profitable for the past 2 months. Invalidation is above 21100. short term: Neutral. Tough spot. Bears could want more downside since the bear channel is still active until we break above 21100. Bulls see the expanding triangle and two weeks of selling with -8% was enough for them to strongly buy into Friday’s close. If 20k is now resistance, I’d like to short with a stop 21410 for target 20500 or lower. If bulls come out strongly early tomorrow, the 4h ema + bear channel could break and we would likely test the highs above 22000 again. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Neutral since we are in a 4-5 month trading range. Still leaning heavily bearish for this year but for now it’s sideways until we get consecutive daily closes below 20000. current swing trade: None chart update: Added possible paths for both sides. There is a very low chance that the past 2 weeks were the W1 of a very strong 5-wave series down but until we see daily closes below 20000, I have zero confidence in this.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Is NASDAQ Losing Steam? A Reality Check for TradersHey Realistic Traders, Is CAPITALCOM:US100 Out of Steam? Let’s Dive Into the Analysis… On the daily timeframe, the Nasdaq remains above the EMA-100, which has served as strong support through multiple successful rebounds. Simultaneously, the price has moved above the bullish trendline, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend. Within wave 4, the price formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. This signals the initiation of wave 5, which could potentially extend beyond the length of wave 1, given that wave 3 did not exceed the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has already formed a bullish crossover, adding further confirmation of a positive outlook for the Nasdaq. Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move upward toward the first target at 23,538 , or potentially the second target at 24,356. However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying above the critical stop-loss level at 20,833. Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq."
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by financialfreedomgoals101
1
Starbucks (SBUX) AnalysisCompany Overview: Starbucks NASDAQ:SBUX is executing a strategic turnaround, focusing on barista wages, store renovations, and menu optimization to enhance efficiency and customer experience. Key Catalysts: Loyalty & Digital Engagement 📊 34.6M U.S. Rewards members now drive 57% of total sales. Personalized offers and data-driven engagement are boosting customer retention and spending. China Expansion & Growth Potential 🌏 Despite a 4% decline in same-store sales, Starbucks opened 169 new stores, reinforcing its long-term commitment to China. The region remains a key growth driver, with opportunities for premiumization and digital adoption. Financial Strength & Shareholder Returns 💰 SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in share buybacks could increase EPS by 3-4% annually. A SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B sustainability bond aligns with ESG-focused institutional investors. Investment Outlook: Bullish Case: We are bullish on SBUX above $97.00-$98.00, driven by loyalty growth, operational improvements, and capital efficiency. Upside Potential: Our price target is $160.00-$165.00, reflecting strong turnaround execution and long-term expansion. 📢 Starbucks—Brewing Growth with Digital Innovation, Expansion, and Shareholder Returns. #SBUX #StockMarket #LoyaltyEconomy
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by Richtv_official
"NASDAQ 100 (US 100) Bearish Outlook: Will Supply Zones Hold?"🔹Technical Analysis: US 100 Index (15-Minute Chart) ▪️Key Observations: 1. Downtrend Continuation: - The US 100 Index is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows. - The price is trading below key resistance zones, indicating further downside potential. 2.Supply Zones Identified: - Two significant supply zones are marked on the chart where selling pressure is expected. - The first supply zone is around 21,450 – 21,520. - The second, stronger supply zone is near 21,600 – 21,700, where a previous sell-off occurred. 3. Bearish Rejection Expected: - The price is likely to retest the lower supply zone before continuing downward. - A rejection from this zone could lead to further declines. 4. Target Area: - The projected target area is marked around 20,914, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend. - If the price breaks below this level, further downside momentum could follow. ▪️Conclusion: - The market structure remains bearish, and traders should watch for a potential rejection at the supply zone. - A confirmation of resistance could provide shorting opportunities toward the 20,914 target area. - However, a breakout above the supply zone could invalidate the bearish outlook. ▪️Trade Idea: Bearish Bias – Wait for confirmation at the supply zone before considering short positions. 😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
TVC:NDQShort
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
Can the Nasdaq sustain its rally?NASDAQ:IXIC SP:SPX FX_IDC:JPYKRW Over the past two years, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have experienced an unprecedented rally. However, now, with the S&P 500 hovering around 6,000 points and the Nasdaq near 20,000, the market appears to have lost its momentum. I believe that for stock prices to rise further, there must first be a significant market pullback. A major decline implies that someone has already realized substantial gains, and understanding this dynamic is crucial. Looking further back in time, investors who bought stocks at lower prices will eventually sell them at higher prices. This cycle continues to repeat itself. There is no such thing as perpetual growth, just as there is no endless decline. Keeping this principle deeply in mind can lead to better investment decisions.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by CleanDIAMOND
2
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Rising into pullback resistanceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 20,775.39 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 21,000.00 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50.0% retracements. Take profit is at 20,354.08 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
2025-02-27 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bears showed strength once again and we have made new lows. Now comes the most important part tomorrow. They need a very strong monthly close below 20600 to close below the January low. Bulls want any close closer to 21000. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 21000 - 21700 bull case: Bulls see this as the climactic ending on the 4h tf after 3 legs down. They now want to close the month more neutral around 21000 and most likely above. They probably are beginning to scale into longs again since 6 consecutive red days are so unusual, that the odds of a decent pull-back are good. We are also around 300 points away from the big bull trend line and there is absolutely no reason why this should break on the next hit. If we stay above 20500, I favor the bulls for a bounce up to 20800 or 21000 before I turn full bear again. Invalidation is below 20500. bear case: Bears are overdoing it and they could get squeezed tomorrow. Bounces this week were between 200-400 points and that would bring us to 21000 where I expect another strong try down by the bears. If we even get there. Bears want to keep this max bearish and continue with the 15m 20ema being resistance. Today’s selling was strong enough that we could potentially reach 20000 tomorrow but it’s far. We have two bear channels now. One you can see on my 4h chart and then another on the 15m or 1h chart. The smaller one has to stay intact if bears want another big bear day tomorrow. Invalidation is above 21100. short term: Need a bounce to sell this. Monthly close around 20000 is possible but bulls have been buying new lows all week and we should hit at least 20800 or even 21k. But there I do think we will close this month at the lows and hopefully below 20500. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Neutral since we are in a 4-5 month trading range. Still leaning heavily bearish for this year but for now it’s sideways until we get consecutive daily closes below 20000. trade of the day: Selling on the open was strong enough to expect the gap close down to 21200. We did more but 21000 was expected to be huge support. The second leg down started slow and accelerated. Where should you have shorted on the second leg? Market failed exactly at the 15m 20ema and after the third consecutive and increasing in size - bear bar, shorts were necessary. Could you have known the extend of the sell-off? Never while it’s happening but you should keep runners and hope to catch such a 400 point move down.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
NASDAQ ENTRY ON THE FLOOR?! 4H chart Sep-Feb 27.2.25Simple up-trend with a recent confirmation of support. September24 to Feb 25 is consistent and predictable with an average 7 to 11% rise from the support within a time frame of up to 6 weeks. If the price closes a 4h candle below the line (20,850) - Up-trend will be broken, as long as the price keeps above, aiming for $800-$1500 swing trade up can be very profitable. Make logical, consistent decisions based on an overall plan with risk management as top priority.
WHSELFINVEST:USTECH100CFDLong
by Exactus
Nas100 Correction: Why a Drop Below 20K is LikelySince reaching its recent all-time high of 22,232, the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has dropped 1,000 points. While this might seem like a significant decline, it actually represents less than a 5% correction—hardly a major pullback. This drop has brought the index into a key confluence support zone, raising the common question: Is the correction over? In my opinion, it’s not. For a healthy correction, a dip below 20,000 is necessary. Technical Perspective 🔹 Since the "bullish" event marked by Trump’s election, the index hasn’t made substantial progress. While it has technically risen, the gains have been marginal, suggesting more distribution than true bullish strength. 🔹 The index remains confined within a large rising wedge, as seen on the chart. This type of structure often signals topping and potential reversal rather than sustainable upside momentum. What’s Next? In the medium term, I expect a drop below 20,000. For traders looking to speculatively trade the Nas100, potential sell zones would be around 22,000 and 23,000— in the event of a new all-time high.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by Mihai_Iacob