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Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 6 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None News - None Directional bias - I think BUY. Morning analysis: M TF - so far, buyers are showing strength after last month's doji candle close. Can't read too much into it though because the candle is not fully formed and closed, but it does indicate buyers sentiment currently. W TF - Last weeks candle closed just below the W neckline, but does this constitute a break of the neckline downwards? Difficult to say because bulls were in total control of the market last Friday and drove price up by thousands of pips, creating a very long wick candle. It was only in the final 4H of Friday that bears pushed price down +-170 pips below the neckline. The market is imperfect, and I would not be too quick to read this as a neckline broken downwards, especially because the early morning trading of today shows a strong rejection of the neckline area. I draw my neckline and S&R as lines but one should always keep in mind that these are areas or zones. D TF - Clear falling wedge pattern in formation (shown in grey and blue lines). These tend to break upwards, but can break in either direction. A break of this pattern in either direction, will result in a large move because the pattern is so large the resulting break + profit target will be large. At time of writing this morning, price is consolidating at D EMA. 4H TF - Strong uptrend and this morning we see a strong rejection of the W neckline area, with a gap up and a candle wick down to the neckline area. Morning interest areas where identified but these later changed as fibs had to be re-drawn (and so not shown on the charts). Later once price stabilised, interest zones where identified but price did not retrace. Day and 4H fibs were drawn from swing low at B to swing high at A. Area's of confluence marked in green highlight but now invalid as price keeps climbing. This morning.... I identified a red highlighted area which I deemed a strong sell area due to D EMA possibly acting as dynamic resistance + D 0.50 sell fib level. Price started to consolidate here in an ascending triangle pattern. These patterns usually break upwards, but can break in either direction. I entered a buy at the hand icon on the break of the market pattern + the D EMA (D EMA has now moved higher as price has moved higher). I took a small position because I don't like these entries where you buy at the highest level of the day which it was at the time of my buy (I find these to be risky and prone to fake outs). I prefer retracement entries (for me, safer entries). Hence my small position. Now I wish it was my usual position size because price is up +- 3'300 pips! :) At least I caught the buy! Hope you had a good trading day! :) Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84
The Rapid Growing Malaysia Health Care SectorMalaysia’s healthcare landscape is entering a transformative phase, underpinned by a robust allocation of RM45.3 billion in the 2025 national budget—a 10% increase compared to 2024. This commitment, the second-largest budget allocation after education, underscores the government’s focus on addressing rising healthcare demands, including an ageing population, chronic diseases, and urban-rural healthcare gaps. The government’s strategic initiatives, including RM1.3 billion for hospital upgrades and RM300 million for dilapidated clinics in rural areas, highlight a push towards more efficient healthcare delivery. Fitch Solutions’ BMI predicts that Malaysia's healthcare expenditure will grow at an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.7% from 2023 to 2028, outpacing previous estimates. This growth will be fuelled by increased demand for both public and private healthcare services, bolstered by initiatives such as outsourcing public patient care to 91 private hospitals and the gradual rollback of subsidies for higher-income individuals. The shift in subsidies is expected to drive affluent patients towards private healthcare, expanding opportunities for private healthcare providers. Private healthcare companies, especially those involved in preventive care and supplements, stand to benefit significantly from these trends. One notable player is Nasdaq-listed Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC), a leading healthcare supplement company in Malaysia. With Malaysia’s emphasis on chronic disease prevention and healthier lifestyles, Agape ATP is well-positioned to meet the rising demand for wellness products. The company’s established reputation and product range make it an attractive choice as the nation prioritises self-sufficiency in medical products and preventive healthcare. Moreover, the government’s New Industrial Master Plan 2030, aimed at strengthening domestic production of medical products, offers additional prospects for growth. By focusing on advanced diagnostic tools and in-vitro diagnostics, Malaysia is setting the stage for a more globally competitive healthcare ecosystem. As healthcare spending increases and demand for quality services rises, companies like Agape ATP are likely to see enhanced opportunities to expand and thrive. For investors, Malaysia’s growing healthcare sector and its well-aligned private players present a compelling case for long-term value.
NASDAQ:ATPCLong
by HASHInvests200
Today and Weekly Outlook for Nasdaq, Crude Oil, and Gold FuturesNasdaq Analysis Yesterday, Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. It formed a double bottom near the 21,000 level and rebounded, entering a consolidation range near the moving averages. The MACD remains above the zero line, and the Signal line is also above the zero line, suggesting the potential for another upward attempt this week. However, due to the significant gap between the MACD and Signal lines, there is a high possibility of a failed buy attempt followed by a downward move. If the MACD shifts downward, a break below the 60-day moving average could occur. On the weekly chart, no sell signal has emerged yet, but the MACD and Signal lines are closely aligned. This week may determine whether the weekly chart enters a third wave of buying or declines into a death cross. The 240-minute chart currently shows a buy signal, indicating that the market may focus on buying at the start of the week, with a potential shift to selling later in the week as the MACD leans bearish and a third wave of selling emerges on the 240-minute chart. It is advisable to consider support and resistance levels based on daily moving averages and respond to key levels in the longer-term range. Crude Oil Analysis Yesterday, crude oil continued its strong upward trend and closed higher. The price has posted five consecutive bullish candles, with the short-term peak near $74 serving as a resistance zone. A pullback to the 5-day moving average should not be ruled out. On the weekly chart, crude oil formed a large bullish candle, breaking through major resistance levels like the 60-week and 120-week moving averages in one move. Buying near the 72.80 level, which corresponds to the 3-week moving average, is favorable during pullbacks, and maintaining support at the midpoint of the weekly bullish candle will be crucial. The 240-minute chart also reflects strong buying momentum. Above $74, a short-term sell with stop-loss protection is advisable, while aggressive buying during pullbacks below the 5-day moving average on the daily chart is favorable. This is a typical pattern transitioning from bearish alignment to bullish alignment, so caution is advised when considering selling. Gold Analysis Gold closed lower yesterday with a bearish candle. Combining Thursday and Friday’s candlesticks, a doji pattern emerges. If gold fails to break above the 60-day moving average on the daily chart and tilts downward, the key support level at 2600 will be critical. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remains intact, with strong resistance around the 10-week and 20-week moving averages. If gold cannot strongly break through this resistance, a pullback should be anticipated. Although the daily chart confirms a buy signal, the movement lacks significant momentum, leaving room for a swift erasure of the buy signal and a shift to selling this week. On the 240-minute chart, gold is facing resistance at key support/resistance levels. While the pattern can be viewed as a range-bound box, a sell signal on the 240-minute chart could lead to strong selling momentum following a false breakout. Adopting a range-bound strategy with a focus on selling is advantageous. This Week's Outlook This week, major events such as CES 2025, the release of FOMC minutes, and the Nonfarm Payroll report are on the agenda. Additionally, next week’s CPI is within view. Be cautious around key events and data release times to manage risks effectively. Wishing you a successful trading week!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
1
NASDAQ rebounding strongly on its 1D MA50. 1 month rally ahead.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and hit last Tuesday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) exactly on the Channel's bottom. Even though it marginally broke it, the 1D candle closed exactly on the 1D MA50, causing a strong bullish Friday reaction. As today opened equally green, we technically view this sequence as the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, which may be confirmed today if the 1D RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line), as both previous Bullish Legs did. Our Target is 22600, which represents a +9.00% rise, the minimum a Bullish Leg had within this Channel Up. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
1
NAS100 - Nasdaq, no interest in Santa Rally!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply zone will provide us with the conditions to sell it. In the annual rebalancing of the Nasdaq Index, the shares of Tesla, Meta Platforms, and Broadcom saw a reduction in their weighting, while Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet gained more weight. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, this marks the second time in roughly a year that index regulators have adjusted the allocations for its largest members. The rules governing the Nasdaq 100 are designed to prevent a small number of companies from exerting excessive influence on the index. These rules have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to the extraordinary growth in market value of major companies and advancements in artificial intelligence. Although the Nasdaq 100 is weighted by market capitalization, certain limits are enforced if a few companies grow disproportionately large. This recent rebalancing may have been prompted by a rule that allows regulators to reduce the weighting of the top five companies to below 40%, with other adjustments made accordingly. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, remarked, “At times, the Nasdaq 100 has to take such measures because it becomes a victim of its own success; the largest stocks in the index have grown significantly faster than others.” This year, the shares of major technology companies have risen sharply due to advancements in artificial intelligence. Broadcom, a key chip supplier for Apple and other tech giants, reached a market value of $1 trillion. Tesla also surged by around 75% following the U.S. presidential election. In the Nasdaq 100, Apple’s weighting increased from 9.2% to 9.8%, while Nvidia rose from 7.9% to 8.4%. Microsoft and Amazon also gained weight, and Alphabet saw a slight increase. However, Broadcom’s weighting fell from 6.3% to 4.4%, Tesla’s dropped from 4.9% to 3.9%, and Meta’s decreased from 4.9% to 3.3%. Currently, over 200 exchange-traded products, with combined assets totaling approximately $540 billion, track the Nasdaq 100 or its variations globally. Athanasios Psarofagis of Bloomberg Intelligence noted, “This highlights the increasing influence of index providers on market dynamics.” Last year, thanks to the resilience of the economy, strong earnings reports, a 100-basis-point rate cut by the Fed, and the leadership of the Mag7, the S&P 500 recorded 57 new all-time highs (ATHs). On Friday, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, speaking at the Maryland Bankers Association, outlined the conditions needed for rate cuts and discussed the broader impacts of the new tariff plan proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Barkin downplayed the immediate and direct effects of the tariff program. Markets do not anticipate any rate changes in the upcoming Fed meeting. The private and non-farm payrolls report (ADP) set to be released on Wednesday, along with Thursday’s weekly jobless claims data, could offer a clearer picture of the U.S. labor market ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI for December, scheduled for release on Monday, could provide further insights into the overall performance of the U.S. economy, as the services sector accounts for over 80% of GDP. The minutes of the December Fed meeting will also be published on Wednesday, but they are unlikely to have a significant impact on markets as updated economic forecasts have already been released. The November Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a sharp increase in job creation, with 227,000 new jobs added to the U.S. economy. This contrasted with just 12,000 jobs added in October, marking the weakest job growth since December 2020. If the December report also indicates that October’s weakness was temporary, some investors might conclude that even two rate cuts in 2025 would be excessive. This could contribute to the continued strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies. The key question is whether the stock market, given expectations of fewer rate cuts, will continue its downward trend or recover with signs of robust economic performance.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Urban Outfitters (URBN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Urban Outfitters NASDAQ:URBN is a prominent global lifestyle retailer, operating a diverse portfolio of brands such as Anthropologie, Free People, and Urban Outfitters. By embracing trends like sustainable fashion and enhancing omnichannel strategies, URBN demonstrates resilience and adaptability in a dynamic retail landscape. Key Catalysts for Growth Nuuly's Sustainable Fashion Success: Nuuly Rental Service: A 51% year-over-year growth in active subscribers showcases URBN's ability to align with consumer preferences for sustainable and flexible fashion. Capitalizing on the growing circular fashion economy, Nuuly strengthens URBN’s brand differentiation. Wholesale Segment Resilience: Despite industry headwinds, URBN’s wholesale segment posted a 3% revenue increase, reflecting operational agility and strong relationships with retail partners. Strategic Store Expansion: New store openings across global markets enhance URBN's reach, while strategically curated store experiences resonate with target demographics. Digital Innovation: Investments in e-commerce platforms and personalized online shopping experiences position URBN to capture a larger share of digital-first shoppers. Brand Diversification: Anthropologie and Free People continue to perform strongly, appealing to niche audiences and reducing reliance on a single revenue stream. Market and Financial Outlook Sustainable Fashion Momentum: As more consumers embrace rental and resale models, URBN is positioned to lead this shift, driving recurring revenue streams. Omnichannel Strength: With a robust digital presence complementing its physical stores, URBN is poised to capture growth in both online and in-store shopping segments. Investment Thesis Bullish Case: URBN’s focus on innovation, sustainability, and diversification enhances its competitive edge, making it well-suited for growth despite broader retail challenges. Entry Point: We are bullish on URBN above $47.00-$48.00, supported by strong technical indicators and a resilient business model. Upside Target: Our price target is $78.00-$80.00, reflecting confidence in URBN's ability to sustain growth and capitalize on emerging retail trends. 🌟 URBN—Innovating Retail, Driving Sustainable Growth. #FashionInnovation #Sustainability #OmnichannelRetail
NASDAQ:URBNLong
by Richtv_official
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook: Key Support, Resistance, and Potential Sen this video, we dive into the Nasdaq’s recent price action and highlight the major support and resistance zones to watch in the coming week. We’ll review key swing levels, discuss possible bullish and bearish scenarios, and explore the importance of volume profiles in anticipating trend shifts. Whether you’re new to trading or looking for fresh perspectives, this breakdown will help you plan your trades with added clarity
CAPITALCOM:US100
by BIGonTRADING
New Monday For Nasadaq Trading Strategy 25.01.04Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we’ll be analyzing the NASDAQ, focusing on recent results and strategies for Monday's market. Friday’s Briefing Results Buy Signal: Trigger: Breakout above the resistance trendline and the 21360. Outcome: The NASDAQ experienced significant upside, though it did not reach the maximum target of 21575. Profit: The price movement offered approximately $5,000 per contract for a range of 250 points. Sell Signal: Trigger: A break below 21120 was required for sell entry. Outcome: The level was not breached, so no sell trades were triggered. Monday’s Market Strategy Let’s first analyze the daily chart: Following Thursday’s decline, the price tested the Ichimoku Cloud's support. Although the 20 EMA wasn’t touched, the daily candle closed as a bullish candle. Notably, the Lagging Span found support at the candles, which can be seen in the green box. Key Resistance: If the price breaks above the 20 EMA, the next major resistance is 21812, supported by the blue box candlesticks as evidence. Buy Entry Points Recommended Buy Zones: First Entry: Above 21575 Reasoning: This level represents the resistance encountered during the December 30 session and Friday’s high. Caution: A breakout above the Daily 20 EMA is essential; otherwise, resistance is likely. Targets: TP1: 21645 TP2: 21670 TP3: 21740 Second Entry: Above 21746 + Resistance Trendline Breakout Reasoning: Breaking the black box supply zone opens the door for a one-way rally, as there are no significant overhead resistances. This scenario also implies a clear breakout above the daily 20 EMA, signaling strong bullish momentum barring any unexpected news. Targets: TP1: 21812 TP2: 21895 TP3: 21935 Sell Entry Points Recommended Sell Zone: Trigger: Break below the ascending trendline + 21345 Reasoning: Historical support at 21345 has been confirmed multiple times (black box zone). A break below this level, coupled with a trendline breakdown, would suggest a shift to a corrective trend. Additionally, this level acted as a pullback zone during Friday’s rally, suggesting significant supply if revisited. Targets: TP1: 21265 TP2: 21206 TP3: 21120 Extended Scenario: If 21120 (marked in the blue box) is breached, additional downside is likely. While new entries are not recommended, breaking this level increases the probability of testing Thursday’s low. Conclusion The market showed downward momentum from Monday to Thursday last week, followed by a recovery on Friday. As a futures trader, I always consider both bullish and bearish scenarios, emphasizing the importance of flexibility and preparation. This approach ensures we can adapt to any market conditions effectively. Take some time to rest over the weekend, and let’s aim for another successful trading week ahead. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
NASDAQ Double Bottom starting the new bullish waveNasdaq / US100 is trading inside a 5 month Channel Up. The price made a Double Bottom on January 2nd and rebounded today back to hit the 4hour MA50. If it crosses above the Falling Resistance, we will have a technical confirmation of the new bullish wave, similar to September 12th 2024. That bullish wave hit the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. Buy and target 22400 (Fib 1.236). Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
USNAS100 / Market Update: Price Action and Trend AnalysisUSNAS100 Technical Analysis The price has dropped and stabilized in the bearish zone after breaking the support level at 21,215. As long as it trades below 21,215 and 21,150, the bearish trend will continue toward 20,990. If it falls below this level, it may reach 20,860. On the other hand, a 4-hour candle closing above 21,220 would indicate a bullish trend, targeting 21,395. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 21150 Resistance Levels: 21220, 21395, 21530 Support Levels: 20990, 20860, 20670 Trend Outlook: Bullish: Above 21,220 Bearish: Below 21,150 and 21,220
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
NASDAQ Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Opportunities 25.01.03Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today, we’ll dive into a detailed analysis of the NASDAQ, starting with a review of the recent trading signals and results. Briefing Results 1. Sell Signal: Red Box Entry Entry Trigger: During the Asian session, prior to the Hang Seng market opening, the NASDAQ broke below Tuesday’s low of 21177. Result: Price quickly reached the target of 21128, delivering a clean, decisive trade. Profit: $1,000 per contract for a 48-point range. 2. Buy Signal: Green Box Entry Entry Trigger: During the transition between the Asian close and the European open, the price rebounded strongly, presenting a buy opportunity. Result: The maximum profit for this trade was 133 points, or approximately $2,660 per contract. 3. Sell Signal: Light Blue Box Entry Entry Trigger: During the U.S. session, the NASDAQ broke below the previous low of 21006. Although there was a notable rebound afterward, the price met its target. Observation: The candlesticks showed significant lower wicks, indicating strong attempts to hold support. Profit: $2,600 per contract for a 130-point range. Total Briefing Results: The maximum combined profit from these trades was $6,260 per contract, demonstrating the effectiveness of the strategy. Daily Chart Analysis The price tested but failed to sustain inside the Ichimoku Cloud, confirming a rebound at the lower boundary. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) has now intersected with the candles, signaling a pivotal moment. Key Watch Point: Whether the Lagging Span finds support at the candles or falls below them will be critical for determining the next directional move. Trend and Market Structure The NASDAQ remains firmly within a descending channel. A repeated pattern has emerged: modest gains during the Asian and European sessions, followed by a bearish reversal during the U.S. session. Breakout Requirement: A breakout above the blue box at 21575 is essential for confirming a shift out of the current downtrend. Until this occurs, the channel’s movement will likely persist as the prevailing trend. Buy Opportunities Recommended Entry: A breakout above the black box zone and the horizontal resistance at 21360 is required for a valid buy signal. Why This Zone Matters: On the 4-hour chart, this level aligns with the 20 EMA, which has acted as a resistance during U.S. session pullbacks. Breaking above this level would signal renewed bullish momentum. TP: 21421 / 21456 / 21492 / 21523 / 21575 A move beyond 21575 would strongly indicate a potential trend reversal, providing room for further upside. Sell Opportunities Recommended Entry: A conservative sell entry would occur if the price breaks below 21120, a key support zone. Reasoning: The lack of clear support below this level increases the risk of rapid, one-way moves. Observing how the price reacts to this zone will be critical for managing risk. Targets: Initial target: 20984 (yesterday’s low). Below 20984: If this level fails, the downside potential becomes unpredictable and will depend on market momentum. Conclusion The NASDAQ is currently at a critical juncture, with clear opportunities for both bulls and bears: For Buyers: Focus on breakouts above 21360 and 21575, as these levels are pivotal for a potential trend reversal. For Sellers: Watch for breakdowns below 21120, with the potential for significant downside if 20984 is breached. While the market remains volatile, patience and precision in executing trades at key levels will be essential for success. Let’s stay disciplined and take advantage of the opportunities the market provides. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000. Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.' Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index. his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by KSLBroking
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Thursday 2 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - Initial jobless claims @ 13:30 News - None Directional bias - Not sure, will decide after analysis Morning analysis: M TF - Doji formed on the M TF, with a long upper wick of 11'636 pips. This indicates that bulls may have run out of steam to push price higher. Sellers may be entering the market at this point. So price could either be stalling at this level and then push through upwards, or bears may take control at this level and push price down. Price action on the lower timeframes will answer that question. W TF - DT has formed and price is currently below the neckline. The candle for this week has not closed yet and so we don't know for sure if neckline is in fact broken downwards (can only reach this conclusion once the candle is closed). But either way, price is very bearish, with sellers currently holding price below neckline. Also have a temporary uptrend line on W TF seemingly broken downwards (again can't know for sure until this weeks candle closes). D TF - I interpret the chart to indicate a massive DT with the neckline broken downwards. So I see very bearish price action. The Day candles have closed below the weekly DT neckline for 2 days in a row - very bearish. But in the early morning trading of today, price spiked down low and bulls have managed to fight back and push price higher (at time of writing). So maybe the W 0.618 level is holding strong. 4H TF - Bulls have pushed past the 4H 0.382 and 0.50 fib levels and price now at the 4H 0.618 fib level. This indicates that bulls have found strength. Also we have a small dojiísh green candle, followed by a gap up and the a long wick bullish green candle that has a body that is much larger than the previous candle. This indicates that bulls are (so far) building momentum upwards, even after a strong bearish push down (the long wick). However, price is at a very strong S&R zone (as indicated by the red highlight), so it remains to be seen if bulls can break this resistance zone. 1H TF - Early this morning there was a DB formed right at the W 0.618 level. If I was awake then, I definitely would have taken that buy. Price moved up and broke the pivot point + the 30min & 1H EMA, indicating that price is very bullish. Falling wedge pattern noted on the 4H and 1H TF (as marked in blue lines). These tend to break upwards, but can break in either direction. So the higher TF's are bearish and lower TF's are bullish, meaning we do not have TF confluence (all TF's are not saying the same things). I have already missed the buy, so I think considering the bearish indications on the higher TF's, today I will look for a sell! I will wait until the lower TF's are also giving bearish signals and then we will have TF confluence i.e. all TF's giving bearish signals. If that doesn't happen and price moves up, then I am happy to sit on the sidelines and wait a day or two until Nasdaq direction is clear again. The 7am 4H candle closed with a candle body bigger than the previous 4H candle. Indicating that bulls are picking up momentum and effectively breaking the 0.618 sell fib level. As the day progressed: A nice DT formed at the 4H 0.618 fib level. Entered a sell at the bottom hand icon - Confirmations: 1. Fib - 4H 0.618 fib 2. Trendline - temp uptrend broken downwards (as marked with the light blue line) 3. Market pattern - DT on 30 min TF with neckline broken down which formed at the top of the falling wedge pattern (i.e. at the downtrend line) 4. S&R - DT formed on strong S&R zone 5. Candle sticks - none Mental SL placed at the thick pink line, which was above the highest close of the DT peak. Price moved upwards with strength and momentum and closed a 15min candle above my mental stop and I closed my position - took a loss of 560 pips Turned out just to be a spike upwards when the 30min candle closed red with a long wick spike sticking up. Nasdaq can be such a bi@@tch sometimes with it's hectic spikes. So I re-entered a sell at roughly the some level as my first entry. Unfortunately for me, price moved up again, because the 1H + 30min EMA provided dynamic support. I closed my position at the blue arrow, taking another loss of 550 pips. So that's more than 1'000 pips on a full position size. This trade would have been higher quality if the 30min and 1H EMA's were broken down too. Then even though I had identified the red highlighted zone as a strong area of confluence for a sell (4H EMA + D 0.318 + W neckline), I took no action when price got there. Usually on area's of interest, I would move down to the 5min TF and take a position once a price reversal pattern forms. However, I am so used to working in a bullish environment that my brain didn't register what to do in a bearish environment. It sound's dumb because I literally didn't click that I need to take action now. I am not used to applying my strategy in reverse. So what I should have done is enter a sell again at the squiggly line on the 5min DT. Would have made a few thousand pips. But would have, could have, should have. Point is that I didn't take the sell and I do know from the past that I struggle to apply my strategy in reverse. Lesson: Write actions directly on my chart for bearish biases. I do take comfort from the fact that my analysis was ultimately correct (at time of writing), I just didnt find the correct entry today. Out for the day, I like to limit my daily losses to 1'000 pips. I know I can easily make this up and prefer to live to trade another day than trying to revenge trade. Hope you had a better 1st day trading than me! :) The total bullish move for the day was 3'100 pips (at time of posting) I captured ZEROOOOOOOO % of the total move AAAAAHHHHH :( Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84