Market Reversal or Just a Pause? PEPSI Faces a Pivotal MomentIs PEP Ready for a Breakout or a Breakdown?
NASDAQ-PEP finds itself at a crossroads, trading at $150.39, nearly 24% below its all-time high of $196.88 from May 2023. However, recent price action suggests that volatility is brewing. The stock has rebounded 6.2% from its absolute low of $141.51, recorded just 24 days ago, and is now hovering near key technical levels.
The 50-hour moving average (MA50) at $151.06 and 100-hour moving average (MA100) at $150.93 indicate that PEP is struggling to maintain upside momentum. Additionally, the RSI14 is at 39.18, signaling that the stock is nearing oversold conditions—historically a zone where buyers start stepping in.
Adding to the intrigue, a Buy Volumes Takeover pattern appeared on January 31, with an attempted push higher, but the main directional force remained bearish. Will buyers finally overpower the downtrend, or is this just another false hope before a deeper correction?
With resistance looming at $155.94, PEP needs a convincing breakout. Failure to reclaim this level could expose it to renewed selling pressure, possibly retesting lower supports at $149.14 and $146.45.
The question remains: Is this the last chance to catch an uptrend before PEP slips further? Stay tuned for the next move!
NASDAQ-PEP: Pattern Roadmap – The Market’s Hidden Clues
The market never moves randomly—every candle tells a story. Let’s break down the latest sequence of patterns that shaped NASDAQ-PEP’s price action and see which signals traders should have paid attention to.
January 27 - Buy Volumes Surge, Bulls Step In
Opening at $152.26 and closing at $153.57, PEP flashed an Increased Buy Volumes pattern, hinting at a bullish move. The next step? Confirmation was needed—would price hold above its recent lows and push higher?
January 28 - Bearish Shift as Sellers Dominate
Just a day later, the script flipped. A Sell Volumes Max pattern took over, pulling PEP down from $150.6 to $150.19. The abrupt reversal signaled a shakeout—weak longs got trapped.
January 29 - VSA Buy Pattern Brings the Bounce
The bulls fought back, forming a VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern. With a low of $150.23 and a push to $150.95, this setup hinted at smart money stepping in. The key was the low of the last three bars—a crucial trigger point for future movement.
January 30 - VSA Sell Triggers a Deeper Drop
Despite the previous day’s rally, VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 2nd took control, closing at $152.01 from an open of $152.37. This was a textbook trap—prices moved up, only to be swept back down.
January 31 - Buy Volumes Takeover, Bulls Reload
After the prior day’s bearish push, another Buy Volumes Takeover emerged, attempting to shift control back to buyers. The range tightened, but was this a real reversal or another bull trap?
The roadmap shows a clear battle between buyers and sellers, with rapid shifts in direction. The market is at a tipping point—will bulls finally regain control, or is another sell-off looming? Stay locked in.
Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Every market move is a test—either levels hold, or they flip into resistance. Here’s where the real game is played:
Support Levels:
$149.14 – First demand zone. If buyers step in, expect a bounce. If not, it flips into resistance, trapping late longs.
$146.45 – The make-or-break level. A failure here could open the door for a deeper dive.
Resistance Levels:
$155.94 – First wall for bulls. Needs a solid breakout to confirm upside momentum.
$163.18 - $165.15 – Heavy supply zone. If price stalls here, shorts will pile in.
$168.7 - $170.83 – Stronger hands waiting to offload. Only a clean breakout can shift momentum.
Powerful Support Levels:
$169.2 – If price ever reclaims this, the game changes completely.
$196.57 – The final boss level.
Levels are only as strong as their reaction. If support fails, these same levels will act as magnets for sellers, creating resistance on any pullbacks. Stay sharp—this is where the market traps traders.
Trading Strategies with Rays: Precision Entry & Exit Points
The market moves through a dynamic structure of Fibonacci-based rays, where each interaction defines the next move. These rays, combined with VSA (Volume Spread Analysis) levels, create a predictive map—guiding trades from one ray to the next.
Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Ray Interaction
If price interacts with the $149.14 support level and shows buying volume confirmation, we look for a move toward the next ray. The key signals:
Moving averages (MA50 at $151.06, MA100 at $150.93) aligning with price movement.
First target: $155.94 – the first strong resistance where sellers may emerge.
Second target: $163.18 - $165.15 – a breakout here signals trend continuation.
Third target: $168.7 - $170.83 – a full bullish scenario unfolding.
Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Breakdown Below Support
If price fails to hold $149.14 and sellers take control, we pivot to a short strategy:
Price confirms a breakdown below $146.45, signaling further weakness.
First target: $141.51 – the previous absolute low, critical for buyers to step in.
Second target: New breakdown structure, where price searches for fresh demand zones.
Key Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions
Bounce Long from $149.14 → Target $155.94: If price interacts with the ray and moving averages turn upward, this trade has strong risk-reward potential.
Breakout Trade Above $155.94 → Target $163.18: Needs clear volume confirmation—watch for aggressive buy-side flows.
Short Below $146.45 → Target $141.51: A clean break and close under this level confirms bearish sentiment.
Every move starts with interaction with a ray, and the price will continue from one ray to the next—that’s the core principle. The market map is set—are you ready to play it?
Your Move – Let’s Talk Trading!
Markets don’t lie—price respects structure, and now you’ve got the map. Check back later to see how price follows these rays and levels—because that’s the key to understanding real trading setups.
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! Let’s discuss the setups, confirm levels, and make sure everyone gets clarity. If this analysis helped you, hit Boost and save it—you’ll want to revisit this as price plays out.
My ray-based strategy maps everything automatically, but it’s available only in Private. If you’re interested in using it, DM me—I’ll explain how to get access.
Need analysis on a specific asset? I can chart anything. Some ideas I post publicly, others we can discuss privately if you want exclusivity. Just let me know what you need.
And if you want more high-precision market breakdowns, follow me here on TradingView—this is where I drop all the insights. Let’s trade smarter together! 🚀
Nasdaq
NASDAQ-NXPI: Is the Market on the Verge of a Reversal?A Critical Juncture: What’s Next for NASDAQ-NXPI?
The semiconductor sector has been riding a wave of volatility, and NASDAQ-NXPI is no exception. The stock currently trades at $208.55, reflecting a 29.56% decline from its all-time high of $296.08 recorded in mid-2024. With a downward deviation of nearly 30%, the market is now questioning whether this is a buying opportunity or the precursor to another leg down.
Technicals reveal a battle between bulls and bears. The 50-day moving average sits at $212.72, hovering just above the current price, indicating a near-term resistance zone. Meanwhile, RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 39.35 suggests the stock is creeping into oversold territory, yet not signaling a definitive reversal. Furthermore, sell volumes have surged, forming multiple bearish candle patterns, reinforcing the short-term downside risk.
Adding to the complexity, macroeconomic pressures, including a strong U.S. dollar and shifting interest rate expectations, have kept buyers cautious. But with powerful support levels at $206.34 and $198.82, is this a crucial inflection point?
The Big Question: Reversal or Continuation?
With a resistance ceiling at $211.02, the next move could define NXPI’s short-term fate. A break above this level could trigger a bullish surge, but failure to hold above $206.34 may invite another wave of selling.
Will buyers step in at this critical moment, or are we in for another leg downward? The answer may shape the next major move in NXPI. Stay alert.
NASDAQ-NXPI Roadmap: Tracking the Market’s Footsteps
January 14 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish Signal)
The first major signal of a buy-side push emerged on January 14, with an increased buy volume pattern at $208.88. The price closed higher at $210.53, setting the stage for a continuation. The key takeaway? Buyers were stepping in, and the momentum was shifting.
January 15 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Reversal Signal Fails)
Just a day later, sell-side pressure increased, marking a potential reversal with a closing price of $213.49. However, instead of following through, the market did not sustain the downward movement, negating this sell signal. The previous buy volume pattern held firm, proving bulls were still in control.
January 17 – VSA Buy Pattern 3 (Confirmed Bullish Trend)
The market locked in another bullish confirmation as the VSA manipulation buy pattern formed at $214.45, closing higher at $214.61. With strong buying activity in place, the stock continued its ascent, respecting the trendline and validating the prior bullish signals.
January 21 – Sell Volumes Max (Bearish Confirmation)
The first true bearish confirmation materialized as the price turned south, closing at $214.78 after opening at $215.26. This drop signaled a shift in sentiment and tested the conviction of the bulls. With further confirmation needed, all eyes turned to the next move.
January 22 – Sell Volumes (Bearish Momentum Builds)
With a lower close at $215.98, sellers began solidifying control. The sequence of declining closes and increased sell volumes confirmed the downtrend was gaining steam.
January 23 – Buy Volumes Take Over (Reversal in Motion)
Just as the bears looked ready to dominate, buyers stepped back in, driving the close to $219.89. This strong shift nullified the previous bearish sequence and set the stage for a fresh upward move.
January 24 – Buy Volumes Max (Confirmed Bullish)
Momentum followed through with a close at $213.44, reinforcing that buying interest was sustained. The roadmap now pointed to another attempt to test higher resistance levels.
January 27 – Increased Buy Volumes (Final Bullish Confirmation)
The price surged to $215.2, cementing the overall bullish bias established throughout the roadmap. The earlier bearish dips proved to be shakeouts, and those who stayed in line with the buy-side confirmations saw the real move unfold in their favor.
This roadmap clearly showcases how bullish and bearish patterns played out, giving traders and investors a structured way to read the market’s evolution. Will the next setup follow the same rhythm, or is a fresh shakeout coming? Stay alert.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
206.34 – local buyer zone; if broken, expect further downside
198.82 – critical level for bulls; a break here could trigger a move to 192
192.375 – last potential hold for buyers; below this, free fall territory
Resistance Levels:
211.02 – immediate resistance; needs a solid breakout for upside continuation
222.00 – key level to watch; if bulls take control, momentum could accelerate
234.955 – major resistance; breakout here would shift the structure bullish
Powerful Support Levels:
224.26 – a strong demand zone; if lost, could flip into heavy resistance
Powerful Resistance Levels:
200.00 – psychological barrier; flipping above this would be a strong bullish sign
175.00 – long-term level; failure to reclaim may keep sellers in control
149.90 – structural pivot; reclaiming this zone would confirm trend reversal
If any of these levels fail to hold, they will act as new resistance zones, and the price will likely revisit them before making the next move. Watch for fakeouts and liquidity grabs before committing to a trade. 🚨
Trading Strategies Based on Rays
Concept of Rays
My proprietary analysis method is built on Fibonacci-based rays, dynamically adjusting to market movement. These rays create predictive zones where price interactions suggest either continuation or reversal. Importantly, entry positions are taken only after price interacts with a ray and initiates movement. Each move extends from one ray to the next, setting up structured trade targets.
Dynamic Factors in Play
Moving Averages: MA50 at $212.72, MA100 at $214.16, and MA200 at $212.76 serve as dynamic resistance/support levels. Their intersection with key rays amplifies probability zones.
VSA Rays: These pre-defined market structures align with volume-driven price shifts, making them highly reactive points for execution.
Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Continuation)
Entry: Break and close above $211.02 after ray interaction.
First Target: $222.00 – Key resistance; first profit zone.
Second Target: $234.955 – Breakout continuation level.
Third Target: $247.67 – Long-term bullish extension.
Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Breakdown)
Entry: Rejection from $211.02 or breakdown below $206.34.
First Target: $198.82 – Major support test.
Second Target: $192.375 – Strong demand zone.
Third Target: $175.00 – Structural breakdown zone.
Trade Opportunities Based on Rays
Momentum Breakout Trade: Long on a break above $211.02, targeting $222.00.
Reversal Trade: Short after a rejection from $211.02, aiming for $206.34.
Pullback Entry: Buy from $206.34 if it holds as support, riding to $211.02.
Breakdown Trade: Short if $206.34 fails, targeting $198.82 first.
Range Scalping: Buying dips at $206.34, selling resistance at $211.02 until a breakout.
These setups provide both aggressive and conservative trading approaches. Every trade moves from ray to ray, setting up the next logical price step.
What’s Next? Let’s Discuss!
Trading is all about understanding key levels and making decisions at the right moment—that’s exactly what my ray-based strategy helps with. If this breakdown made sense to you, drop a comment with your thoughts or questions—I always reply!
Don’t forget to hit Boost and save this idea so you can check back later and see how price moves along my levels. Tracking the market in real-time is the best way to sharpen your trading edge!
By the way, all the rays and levels are automatically mapped by my private indicator. If you’re interested in using it, send me a direct message—I’ll explain how it works.
Looking for custom analysis on another asset? I can do that too! Some ideas I share publicly, others—privately on request. If there’s a ticker you want mapped out, Boost this post and let me know in the comments!
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IDXX: The Market Is at a Crossroads—Breakout or Breakdown?Is This the Moment to Act?
The stock of IDEXX Laboratories (NASDAQ: IDXX) is hovering at a critical juncture, trading at $422.05, a 27.7% drop from its all-time high of $583.39. At first glance, the recent movement seems like a mere consolidation, but beneath the surface, an intense battle is unfolding between buyers and sellers.
Technicals reveal a brewing storm—the RSI at 46.35 suggests neutrality, but Money Flow Index (MFI) at 39.98 leans toward weakness. The 50-day moving average (MA50) at 422.3 is a stone’s throw away from the current price, indicating the market is watching for confirmation. Meanwhile, resistance at $424.53 is just within reach—if bulls take charge, this could be the first signal of a short-term breakout.
But wait—there’s a catch. Recent candle patterns indicate increased sell volumes, a classic warning sign of potential downside risks. The last major sell pattern on January 31 showed a sharp rejection at $424.43, and unless we see strong volume buyers stepping in, the risk of slipping toward support at $402 remains high.
Where Are We Headed?
With IDXX standing on this thin line, the market is asking: Is this the moment to position for a reversal, or are we bracing for a deeper correction? Traders and investors should be watching for a decisive break above $424.53 or a failure to hold support levels.
This could be the last chance before a major move—are you ready?
NASDAQ-IDXX: Roadmap of Market Moves – The Battle of Bulls and Bears
A roadmap in trading isn’t just a sequence of events—it’s a story of market psychology, where each pattern leaves a footprint on the battlefield of buyers and sellers. Here’s the real flow of price action for NASDAQ-IDXX, based purely on patterns that confirmed their direction.
The Bulls Charge – But Can They Hold the Line?
January 27, 20:00 UTC – Buy Volumes Max
The market roared with an increased buy volume, opening at $426.77 and closing higher at $427.23. This signaled an attempt by bulls to break through resistance. However, there was a looming challenge: resistance levels ahead had to be cleared for real momentum.
January 28, 15:00 UTC – Another Bullish Wave
Buyers doubled down, pushing the price from an open of $416.11 to a close of $421.37. This further confirmed bullish control, and the pattern movement of 12.52% showed serious strength. The trigger worked—the price moved up in line with the bullish pattern's prediction.
The Tide Turns – Sellers Strike Back
January 31, 20:00 UTC – Sell Volumes Max
Just when it seemed like bulls had control, sellers stepped in aggressively. The price peaked at $424.43, only to close lower at $421.69. This was a warning shot—bears were waiting at resistance, and the volume shift suggested an impending reversal.
February 1 – The Market Faces a Crossroad
If buyers can reclaim the $424.53 resistance, momentum might continue. But if sellers push below $420, the next stop could be the $402 support. This is the make-or-break zone—who wins this battle will dictate the next big move.
What’s Next?
NASDAQ-IDXX is at a decision point—does it continue the rally or give way to bearish pressure? Keep your eyes on the next volume shifts. The market has shown its hand, but the final move is still in play.
Technical & Price Action Analysis
Support Levels:
402 – key support; if broken, opens the door to 388.76
388.76 – potential bounce zone, but if lost, it flips into resistance
368.57 – deeper retest area; a breakdown strengthens bearish pressure
334.33 – last line of defense for the bulls
Resistance Levels:
424.53 – seller zone; a breakout could open the path to 442.86
442.86 – testing this level will decide the next move
454.52 – holding above could trigger further upside momentum
474.54 – critical breakout level for a stronger rally
Powerful Support Levels:
449.01 – strong demand zone; failure to hold flips it into resistance
458.67 – key structural support, breaking below turns it into a ceiling
466.6 – battle zone for buyers; a break here gives sellers full control
489.56 – ultimate test before entering deeper correction territory
523.81 – major historical support, but if lost, expect a trend shift
Powerful Resistance Levels:
370.92 – if broken, will act as a support zone for future price action
If these levels fail to hold, expect them to flip into resistance, setting the stage for a trend shift. Keep an eye on volume confirmation before committing to a directional bias.
Trading Strategies Based on Rays
Concept of Rays
The VSA Rays system is built on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, dynamically adapting to market movements. These rays serve as key zones for price interaction, signaling either a reversal or continuation. Instead of predicting exact levels, the method allows us to analyze probabilities of reaction, ensuring trades are executed only after interaction with a ray and confirmation from dynamic factors such as VSA volume shifts and moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, MA233).
Price action will move from one ray to another, providing clear trade objectives with defined risk and reward.
Optimistic Scenario (Bullish Setup)
Entry: After a confirmed bounce from the 402 support level or the 50-day MA at 422.3, aligning with an ascending Fibonacci ray
First Target: 424.53 – local resistance and key interaction level
Second Target: 442.86 – major resistance where sellers may step in
Third Target: 454.52 – breakout confirmation level for further momentum
Pessimistic Scenario (Bearish Setup)
Entry: After rejection from 424.53 resistance or failure to hold above 422.3 (MA50)
First Target: 402 – nearest liquidity zone
Second Target: 388.76 – secondary structure support
Third Target: 368.57 – deep retracement zone, possible reversal point
Trade Ideas Based on Key Levels & Rays
Buy from 402 → Target 424.53 → Extended to 442.86 (if volume confirms)
Sell from 424.53 → Target 402 → Extended to 388.76 (if rejection is strong)
Breakout Buy above 424.53 → Target 442.86 → Extended to 454.52
Breakdown Sell below 402 → Target 388.76 → Extended to 368.57
Each trade should be confirmed by price action and volume interaction with rays, ensuring strong confluence before taking a position. The movement will continue from ray to ray, allowing traders to adjust their targets dynamically.
Your Move, Traders!
Markets are always in motion, but the key is understanding where and when to take action. If you found this analysis useful, make sure to hit Boost and save this idea—watch how price respects the levels and rays over time. Trading isn’t just about reacting; it’s about learning to anticipate.
Got questions? Drop them in the comments! I always check feedback and will gladly discuss setups, confirm key levels, or refine targets based on new data.
I use a private indicator that automatically maps all rays and levels in real-time—if you’re interested in using it, send me a direct message.
Need an analysis for a different asset? Let’s talk! I can provide public breakdowns or work on private requests if you prefer to keep your strategy to yourself. The rays work across all markets, so whether it's stocks, crypto, or forex, I can map out the movement for you.
If you want a custom markup, just Boost this post and comment with the ticker—I’ll add it to my list and share insights as soon as possible.
And most importantly—follow me here on TradingView so you never miss the next big setup. The best trades start with the right plan! 🚀
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Outlook Explained
It feels like US30 index is preparing to recover
after Friday's and today's selloff.
As a confirmation, I see a nice bullish imbalance
after a test of a daily support and a tiny ascending triangle
pattern on an hourly.
Goals: 44196 / 44470
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
NAS100 - Tariff War, the scourge of the stock market?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the indicated trend line, we can look for the next short-term buying positions in Nasdaq. The Nasdaq being in the demand range will provide us with the conditions to buy it with a reasonable reward to risk.
While the world remained focused on the first week of the Trump administration, a relatively unknown Chinese startup shocked the tech industry last week by releasing an open-source AI tool. This tool, developed with significantly fewer resources and at a much lower cost than its American counterparts like ChatGPT, has managed to match and, in some cases, surpass its U.S. rivals.
The startup, DeepSeek, has gone even further by making its tool freely available for download. Only those who wish to use the company’s API, which allows seamless integration with existing applications, are required to pay a fee—amounting to just 3% of the cost of competing tools.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an executive order on Saturday imposing sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. He pressured these nations to curb the flow of fentanyl and illegal immigrants from Mexico and Canada into the U.S.—a move that could reignite inflation and hinder global economic growth.
In response, Mexico and Canada, two of the U.S.‘s largest trading partners, immediately vowed to impose retaliatory tariffs. China, on the other hand, announced that it would challenge Trump’s decision at the World Trade Organization (WTO) and take additional “countermeasures.”
Under three executive orders, starting Tuesday, imports from Mexico and Canada will be subject to a 25% tariff, while Chinese goods will face a 10% levy. Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau responded by stating that Canada will impose a 25% tariff on $30 billion worth of U.S. goods starting Tuesday, followed by an additional $125 billion in tariffs three weeks later.
Trudeau warned that these tariffs would increase grocery and fuel costs for American consumers, potentially shut down auto assembly plants, and restrict the supply of nickel, potash, uranium, steel, and aluminum. He also urged Canadians to avoid traveling to the U.S. and boycott American products.
As investors looked for clarity from this week’s Federal Reserve meeting, Wall Street was left uncertain, now anticipating that the Fed will likely keep rates unchanged until late in the year.
New Monday to trade in Nasdaq 25.02.03Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
NASDAQ Daily Chart Analysis
Chart:
Let’s start by examining the daily chart. Although the chart from the past week is packed with material for a briefing, I intentionally took a break from watching the NASDAQ during the holiday period.
What we observe now is that the red box level corresponds to the deep dip that appeared last Monday.
There was a gap down at the green box, and before Friday’s close, the gap was filled via an upper wick.
Today, however, the NASDAQ has experienced another gap down, and even the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud failed to hold as support. The market broke down and is now trading sideways.
Major Support and Resistance Zones on the Daily Chart
Chart:
On the daily chart, the green box zone indicates that if today’s open at 21200 manages to break upward, the gap could be filled up to around 21534.
Regarding the yellow box, due to the sharp drop on 25.01.27, the low was set higher than on 25.01.13; support has been established in the range of 20763–20694.
Thus, if the price declines further, whether the yellow box support holds will be critical.
Where to Trade Today? – 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Chart:
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above the purple box at 21200.
Rationale: Rather than trading impulsively, I recommend a long entry based on the possibility of filling the gap if today’s high is broken.
Risk: The overall trend remains bearish.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger:
Option 1: A break of the short-term ascending trendline.
Option 2: A break below today’s low at 20943.
Rationale:
This signal indicates significant risk and suggests that the market is overheated—possibly on the verge of a bubble burst.
Risk:
Although the trend is bearish, entering a short position at the tail-end of a move raises questions about how far the price may fall. It is advisable to set targets based on major support levels.
Conclusion
I am observing a chaotic market, and it appears that this downtrend may just be getting started.
Stay patient and cautious, and always trade based on key levels and strategic risk management.
Happy trading, and let’s finish the week strong! 🚀
JD.com (JD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
JD.com NASDAQ:JD is one of China’s leading e-commerce and logistics giants, rapidly expanding into cloud computing and AI-driven solutions. With a strong focus on efficiency, retail innovation, and policy-driven tailwinds, JD.com is well-positioned for long-term growth.
Key Catalysts:
Chinese Government's “Trade-In” Policy Boost 📈
The extended consumer electronics trade-in policy is expected to accelerate sales, driving demand across JD’s platform.
Full Acquisition of Dada Nexus 🚚
JD’s 100% ownership of Dada Nexus strengthens its last-mile delivery efficiency, improving logistics and customer satisfaction.
Omnichannel Expansion: JD MALL & JD E-Space 🏬
JD is expanding its offline footprint with JD MALL and JD E-Space, enhancing its omnichannel retail strategy for deeper customer engagement.
AI & Cloud Computing Growth ☁️
JD’s investment in cloud and AI positions it as a tech-driven e-commerce leader, driving new revenue streams.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on JD above $34.00-$35.00, supported by policy tailwinds, logistics integration, and AI-driven retail innovation.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $60.00-$62.00, reflecting enhanced logistics, e-commerce expansion, and growing cloud adoption.
📢 JD.com—Innovating E-Commerce with AI & Logistics. #JD #ECommerce #AI #CloudComputing
Mark up a chart and watch me execute an idea Practice account trade since its Sunday -- we had a tough trading week last week almost blowing the account. So we want to enter the week slowly as we wait to see what the market intends to target first.
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#202505 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Huge rejection right under the previous lower high, which now makes it 3 failed attempts to get above 22k and find acceptance. The selling on Friday was surprising enough to expect follow-through because many traders got trapped.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 20000 - 22500
bull case: Bulls need to keep this a higher low above 21400 or risk that market will go much lower to 21200 or even 20600. The 50% retracement of this trading range is 21600 and market stopped around that price on Friday. No matter how you want to draw this right now, it’s either a descending triangle or a trading range and the bulls are not favored to buy this rejection again. They need a bigger surprise than the bears on Friday to stop this from going down.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears have now the best chance of doing another deep pullback below 21000. The surprise on Friday was big enough that we can expect follow-through selling. First bear target is to make a new low below 21419 and then we have 21200 as bigger previous support. Last target for next week would be around 20800 where market decides if we make lower lows or continue in this trading range under the ath. If you look at the weekly NDX chart, you can see that we are also in a bigger diamond pattern, which is just a form of a trading range with expanding and now contracting ranges.
Invalidation is above 22000.
short term: Bearish. I do think the top 21965 will hold and we go down from here. For now I doubt we will make lower lows below 20800 though.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Added bear trend lines
NASDAQ Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21400 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Echoes of 1998: Bitcoin Crash to $60K, a Moonshot to $360KThe movement dynamics of the NASDAQ index in January 2025 are beginning to resemble market trends from the 1997 - 1998 period - a shock crash in the summer of 1998, followed by the dot-com bubble. While it is unlikely that the chart will fully repeat itself, market conditions may lead to a similar pattern.
Under this scenario, applied to Bitcoin, we could see a downturn in February 2025, followed by a recovery in March or April, and the formation of a bubble, with peaks potentially reached by late 2025 or early 2026.
During the dot-com bubble, the internet was an emerging technology expected to revolutionise entire industries. Companies poured investments into dot-com startups, even when their business models were unproven and real profits were absent.
We are now witnessing a similar dynamic, but in the context of AI and cryptocurrencies. Crypto is not only aligning with the AI-driven narrative but have also gained institutional recognition as speculative financial assets.
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
NASDAQ filled the gap and closed lower after facing resistance. As mentioned last Friday, the 21,911 level was a likely resistance zone due to the nature of the gap. This resistance played a significant role, and coincidentally, concerns over tariffs imposed by former President Trump on Mexico and Canada intensified, leading to a decline into the afternoon session.
Since the monthly candle has closed, let's first analyze the monthly chart. Last month, I mentioned that a decline to the 5-day moving average (20,880) was possible before a rebound, and indeed, the index rebounded from 20,700. Given that the price sequentially bounced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages after breaking out of the monthly range, this month presents a challenging situation for determining direction. While further upside is possible, the monthly MACD may attempt to reduce its gap with the signal line, making a strong rally less likely. If a sharp rally occurs, the upper Bollinger Band at 22,736 should be considered as resistance. On the downside, the monthly 5-day moving average at 21,084 may be tested this month. Since the market could move in either direction, chasing momentum on the monthly chart should be approached with caution.
On the weekly chart, a sell signal remains active, with the MACD failing to cross above the signal line, suggesting that further downside remains likely.
On the daily chart, while the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, today's bearish candle close may trigger a sell signal, opening the possibility of a move toward the lower Bollinger Band and the 120-day moving average. If the MACD does not break down and instead turns higher while the price rises, it will be crucial to see if the 21,911 gap is decisively broken and closed with a bullish candle.
On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal is still in place, and the index remains in a large range. Buying on dips remains favorable, but if a sell signal appears, the current moving average setup suggests a high probability of sharp declines.
This week, Google's earnings report on Tuesday and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday are key events to watch. Additionally, with the potential impact of Trump’s tariff policies increasing market volatility, traders should manage leverage carefully and remain cautious.
Crude Oil
Oil closed near breakeven but surged in after-hours trading following reports that Canadian energy imports may face new tariffs.
On the monthly chart, oil remains within a range, but the MACD is persistently attempting to cross above the signal line. Last month’s breakout from a four-month consolidation range suggests that buying on dips at the 3-day moving average may be a favorable strategy.
On the weekly chart, the buy signal remains intact. Despite some pullback, the large gap between the MACD and the signal line suggests that a sharp breakdown is unlikely.
On the daily chart, as previously mentioned, the $72 level remains a strong buy zone. The MACD is in a steep downtrend, but given the presence of prior demand zones and the 240-day moving average acting as support, a technical rebound could be strong after two weeks of declines.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has bounced off the signal line, forming a bullish divergence, making long positions more favorable. Given the characteristics of the 240-day moving average, a rebound toward $74.50 is technically reasonable.
Overall, buying on dips remains a preferred approach, but market volatility is increasing due to geopolitical uncertainties, so trade cautiously.
Gold
Gold pulled back as profit-taking emerged after a sharp rally, closing lower after finding support at the 3-day moving average.
On the monthly chart, gold formed a strong bullish breakout candle, making dips toward the 3-day moving average (2,770) a favorable buying opportunity this month. A pullback to this level should be expected.
On the weekly chart, a buy signal appeared last week, but the MACD’s lower value compared to the previous peak suggests a potential bearish divergence. This means that despite breaking above prior highs, if the MACD fails to confirm with strong upward momentum, the rally may weaken. Caution is advised when chasing momentum.
On the daily chart, today is a key day for buy setups near the 5-day moving average, making a pullback likely. However, the broader trend remains bullish, so rather than shorting, traders should look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks at key support levels.
On the 240-minute chart, gold is facing resistance and declining. The MACD is at a high level, meaning even if a bearish crossover occurs, attempts to move higher may persist. Buying near support remains the preferred approach.
With Trump’s increasing policy activity and China’s Deepseek issues, market volatility is expected to rise. Always prioritize risk management and trade safely. Wishing you a successful trading month!
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Bullish Market
-Buy : 21,530 / 21,460 / 21,420 / 21,370 / 21,290
-Sell : 21,590 / 21,690 / 21,775 / 21,850 / 21,930
Crude Oil - Range Market
-Buy : 73.50 / 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00
-Sell : 74.50 / 75.00 / 76.00 / 76.40
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy : 2,825 / 2,820 / 2,812 / 2,807 / 2,804
-Sell : 2,841 / 2,846 / 2,852 / 2,856 / 2,860
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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Weekly Market Forecast Feb 2-7thThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 2-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices were not easy to trade last week, as there were plenty of fundamentals at play. However, they are relatively still strong, and I am looking for further gains next week.
NFP week, imo, is best traded Mon-Wed. Thurs will likely see consolidation until the NFP news announcement Friday morning. I will look to fade the news release on Friday for NY Session.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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$NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ: $NVDA vs NASAD IndexAll of us in crypto are used to looking at the BTC.D Chart (Bitcoin Dominance). With BTC.D stuck in a range between 57% and 60% we try to look at a new dominance chart which no one is talking about. Same as DeFI in TradFI we can look at one of the most famous Asset which is NASDAQ:NVDA vs its dominance in tech heavy NASDAQ index. Let’s call it ‘ NASDAQ:NVDA Dominance’ (NVDA.D) © 😉. Further usage of the ticker should be copyrighted to me. 😊
$NVDA.D is now below its 200 Day SMA. If we plot NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQQ Index, we get $NVDA.D and there we see that NVDA.D is making multi months lows and below 200 Day SMA. We have not seen this kind of weakness in $NVDA.D since CHAT GPT was launched in Nov 2022. The last time $NVDA.D was below the 200 Day SMA it spent almost 6 months consolidating during the 2022 Tech bear market before AI sparked the new bull market.
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, DXY & Nasdaq for Feb 1 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
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Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25
📈 21849.75, 21937.25, 22024.75 (NEXT ZONES: 21859.5-21968.75)
📉 21674.50, 21587, 21499.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21748.75-21639)
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
From almost Blowing Funded account to being back in ProfitsThis was a perfect illustration of how our emotions can affect us and our trading decisions.
However through my 5 years of trading, I've been working on mastering my emotions as best as I can and as you guys can see-- I still had several times where I showed plenty of emotions. This leads me to come to the conclusion I still have a long way to go with mastering my emotions but progress is being made, and that is enough for me. If you guys liked this idea and post please give it a like!
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