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Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next WeekNasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week The Nasdaq ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to Nasdaq's gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, Nasdaq benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: 1. FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. 2. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: - Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. - Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the Nasdaq appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The Nasdaq has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the Nasdaq’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by InvestMate
1
Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week Nasdaq: Gains Driven by Data, Eyes on Key Events Next Week The Nasdaq ended the week on a positive note, buoyed by strong economic data, robust corporate earnings, and supportive seasonality. However, investors are shifting their focus to critical upcoming events: the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and the PCE inflation report on Wednesday. These events have the potential to set the tone for the markets for the remainder of the year. Mixed Economic Data The past week brought a blend of economic data, with some encouraging signals and a few disappointments: - Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16): At 213K, the result came in better than the 220K consensus, underscoring the resilience of the labor market and reducing recession fears. - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov.): Disappointed at -5.5 against expectations of 8, reflecting continued weakness in the manufacturing sector. - Michigan Consumer Sentiment Final (Nov.): Came in at 71.8, below the 73.7 forecast, indicating a slight dip in consumer confidence. - S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.): Surprised to the upside with a reading of 57.0, exceeding the expected 55.2, highlighting the strength of the services sector. Nvidia Shines Bright Corporate earnings added to the bullish sentiment, led by Nvidia's impressive Q3 results. The company reported revenue of 35.08 billion dollars, significantly above the consensus estimate of 33.17 billion dollars. As a leader in AI-related technology and semiconductors, Nvidia's results lifted the broader tech sector and contributed to Nasdaq's gains. Market Sentiment and Seasonality The Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 61, in the "Greed" zone, indicating a risk-on environment as investors show confidence in equities. Seasonality also plays a crucial role. Historically, Nasdaq benefits from end-of-year trends, especially in an election year, when policymakers often aim to maintain market stability. Challenges Ahead While the current momentum is positive, the market faces significant tests next week with two major events: 1. FOMC Meeting (Tuesday): The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions and commentary will be in the spotlight. Investors will look for signals on whether the Fed plans to pause or keep the door open for further rate hikes in 2024. 2. PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday): The core PCE inflation data, the Fed's preferred measure of price pressures, could shape expectations for monetary policy. A higher-than-expected reading might increase concerns about further tightening, while a lower figure would reinforce the soft landing narrative. Lingering Risks In addition to the upcoming macroeconomic events, investors remain wary of: - Trade Policy: Former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs on imported goods could stoke inflation and weigh on economic growth. - Geopolitics: The ongoing risk of escalation in the Ukraine conflict continues to loom over global markets. Soft Landing: The Baseline Scenario Looking at the current data, the Nasdaq appears to be on the path to a soft landing, supported by a strong labor market and robust technology sector performance. Favorable seasonality—both year-end trends and election-year dynamics—further bolsters the case for continued gains, which remains the baseline scenario for now. Conclusion The Nasdaq has shown strength, but next week’s FOMC meeting and PCE inflation report could reshape market dynamics. The key question is whether the data will support the soft landing narrative or signal a need for further monetary tightening. What are your thoughts on the Nasdaq’s outlook given the upcoming Fed meeting and inflation data? Will the index sustain its rally, or are we in for increased volatility? Share your insights in the comments.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestMate
Unlocking the Myth of Price Action: A Strategic PerspectiveThe Market’s Telltale Signs: History shows that when markets experience sharp moves—either a dramatic drop or an explosive rally—pullbacks often follow. These pullbacks are driven by strong follow-through candles that signal renewed interest and participation from market players. Such formations act as the market’s way of hinting at a potential reversal or retracement. The Current Scenario: Right now, the price action is falling short of these historical signals. The market has yet to produce the kind of decisive, bullish candle that would suggest a meaningful reversal. The recent candles lack strength, structure, and conviction, leaving the prevailing trend intact. Why It Matters: In trading, patience is a superpower. Jumping into the market without confirmation from strong signals can be costly. At this point, staying on the bearish side is the smarter move. Let the market speak—wait for that bold, unmistakable bullish candle to confirm the tide is turning before considering a shift in strategy. On the Flip Side: However, if the bulls do take charge, we could witness a substantial upside movement. A strong, decisive bullish move would signal a shift in momentum, potentially leading to a significant rally. This could present an excellent opportunity for those ready to ride the bullish wave when it materializes. The Bottom Line: Stay aligned with the bearish trend for now, but remain vigilant. A strong bullish candle could unlock a major upside, so keep an eye on the market for any signs of a shift. The key is to let the price action confirm the next move before committing to a new direction!
FX:NAS100
by shazfit
NASDAQ testing the MA50 (4h). Buy signal if broken.Nasdaq is on a slow rebound following the test of the long term Buy Zone, right over the MA50 (1d). Today it hit the MA50 (4h) and so far it is struggling to close above it. On all prior bottoms, once the MA50 (4h) broke, it issued a bullish confirmation. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the price crosses above the MA50 (4h). Targets: 1. 21450 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (4h) is also rebounding after a 30.00 test. Also consistent with all prior bottoms. This is an additional buy signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
1
Tech on the Edge: SMH vs. QQQ Signals Caution Amid Bull MarketIntroduction: While we remain enthusiastic about the strength of the current bull market, emerging signs of stress in capital flows warrant a closer look, particularly in the tech sector. One key metric to monitor is the ratio between semiconductors (SMH) and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). This ratio acts as a barometer for tech sector health: when SMH outperforms QQQ, it indicates a risk-on environment; conversely, QQQ outperforming SMH raises caution flags. Analysis: Tech Sector Barometer: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio has historically been a reliable indicator of momentum in the tech sector. Outperformance by SMH reflects strong demand for semiconductors and broader tech health, while underperformance signals potential concerns. Emerging Concern: Currently, we’re observing the potential development of a rounding top formation in the SMH-to-QQQ ratio. While this formation isn’t confirmed, a breakdown below key support would validate it, signaling broader weakness in the tech sector. Critical Inflection Point: For now, chip bulls must take control and push this ratio higher to maintain sector strength and prevent a broader pullback in the market. Failure to do so could signal a shift in sentiment and increased vulnerability in tech stocks. Conclusion: The SMH-to-QQQ ratio is at a critical juncture, with the potential to dictate near-term momentum in the tech sector. While the bull market remains intact, any confirmed weakness in this ratio could signal broader vulnerability in tech stocks. Will chip bulls step up to defend the sector, or are we on the cusp of a pullback? Share your thoughts below! Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SMH-to-QQQ ratio, the potential rounding top formation, and key support levels) Tags: #Semiconductors #Nasdaq #TechSector #SMH #QQQ #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis
NASDAQ:SMH
by Richtv_official
Short time, target 138Following daily chart. I am posting a couple of hours before earning. First, I don't believe the earnings will be good enough to push the price more. Also, I am following 3 different power indicators, which all gave me a short signal. In this case, I want to use 2 different Fibonacci levels for the target, The first one is a long run from august, the other one is a short run, and both targets are around 137 for me. TP 138 SL 147 - stop under 147 candle close. Btw I see the same pattern in Amazon and SPX, so I am short in both 3 of them.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by omurden
3
What do DJI, SPX and NDX have in common?Well the obvious answer is that they are Major USA indices and they also share some of the big players as stocks which make up their composite Indices. My answer the Question... The beauty of Trading View is the ability to combine all sorts of aspects of trading information together,  whether it be writing new scripts, combining indicators or in my case combing major indices together in Logarithmic view to get a new way of future price discovery (for SPX & NDX) by looking backwards or left at price structure on the next highest valued Indice. As we know A.T.M all 3 Indices are at A.T.H's so at some point in the near future there will be a move higher into new price territory. The question then is where is the price target? Where is the next resistance level when there is no price structure to the left on that Indice? What I noticed historically about these Indices is that past price structure (major highs and lows) from the higher valued Indice (Mostly DJI) is horizontally plotted forward into the future onto the lesser valued Indice. Like looking left historically at an instrument with a lot of data for support and resistance levels. Obviously with DJI being the highest dollar value Indice and it also moving higher past its all time high at some point into unknown price territory, we will have to rely on its own price structure for support levels or Fibonacci levels for clues about were price will find resistance levels in the future. On SPX and NDX though we have a different story. As these 2 Indices move higher into unknown price territory with no price structure of their own to the left looking back, we can use the past price structure of the higher dollar valued Indice (DJI) market highs and lows to assess future levels of resistance or to find future price targets. With SPX we will be able to use NDX and also DJI to find future higher price targets and resistance. With NDX we will be able to use DJI to find future higher price targets and resistance. Some examples, If you pull up these 3 indices on a line chart yourself you will find that with NDX and SPX the support levels for the Dotcom and GFC crash's were DJI's historical price structure levels from 1961-1981. $731-$965. If you look at SPX the present high and previous equal high on 01/2022 you will find it is mirrored in price structure on NDX 2015-2016 period and that the 2000 Dotcom peak is acting as a support level $4380 for present SPX price structure. NDX 01/2022 If you go way back in time to the 1930's Great depression market crash you will find the Aug 1929 SPX high $32.50 was in fact a resistance level which became support level for DJI back in 1898 and 1903 respectively. The major past Cycle Highs on the higher valued Indice prior to recession tend to be the resistance levels for for future highs on the lower valued Indices. Or resistance levels that were broken and became support on DJI became resistance dollar value levels for SPX and NDX. It is obvious that vertically this 3 indices would show similar reactions to market shocks but I'm not quite sure why horizontally there are so many matching price support and resistance levels. This is a Monthly Chart over a 130 year period so the levels are harder to see and not precisely dollar accurate but if you use a weekly or daily chart you will see the levels line up very well. So, obviously in my head I'm wondering what the heck is happening here exactly? Some of these older levels have played out over 50-60 years into the future on DJI to the SPX and NDX, more recently the time frame is reducing to around 10-20 years. Fibonacci levels also work on this chart going from lowest value Indice at a recession low to next business cycle high on highest value Indice. Maybe W.D Gann could explain this accurately for me....Like is there some sort of Fractal playing out here or do the Wall street crew already use this method or is it the madness of the crowd echoing forward through time unwittingly expressing human emotion into charts of financial greed and fear? Who knows? I'd like to hear Traders ideas about this phenomena.
TVC:DJI
by Neilsh
NVIDIA Q3 earnings exceed expectations, but stock price falls Nvidia's third-quarter earnings surpassed market expectations. The EPS stood at 81 cents, notably higher than the market consensus of 75 cents. Total sales reached almost $35 billion, exceeding the forecast of $33 billion. This impressive performance was highlighted by a remarkable 94% increase in total sales compared to last year's period, alongside a robust 106% surge in net profit. Despite delivering a solid third-quarter performance, Nvidia's stock price took a hit. This drop occurred as the company's fourth-quarter sales guidance fell short of Wall Street's elevated expectations. The market had projected Nvidia's fourth-quarter sales to reach $37.5 billion, but the company revealed that it would instead be at $37.1 billion. NVDA has fallen slightly since the earnings announcement and remains around 146.00. However, the price still remains within the ascending channel, indicating momentum. If NVDA sustains an uptrend within the channel, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 150.00 high. Conversely, if NVDA breaks below the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 138.30.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by inkicho_exness
2
NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system. This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release. Have fun. This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by BradMatheny
PAIN REFORM Breakout Trade in Action!PAIN REFORM Trade Details: A breakout in Pain Reform on the daily timeframe offers a promising long trade setup using the Risological swing trading indicator . Entry levels have been clearly identified, and the stock shows strong bullish momentum as it heads towards its profit targets. Key Levels: Entry: 1.32 Stop Loss (SL): 0.88 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.88 TP2: 2.77 TP3: 3.66 TP4: 4.21 PAIN REFORM Analysis: The chart signals a strong trend reversal, with the breakout confirming bullish sentiment. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable for this trade setup, and the stock is poised for further gains as it moves towards higher targets. Outlook: Monitor closely for momentum follow-through. With a robust breakout, the targets look achievable given sustained market interest and volume spikes. Stay disciplined with stops to lock in profits!
NASDAQ:PRFXLong
by ProfitsNinja
Aclaris Rockets 300%, Smashes Targets!ACRIS (1D TF): Targets Smashed with 300% Gains! Trade Details: The long trade setup on the daily timeframe has exceeded expectations, blasting past all profit targets using the Risological Trading Indicator . The stock has delivered an impressive 300% gain, outperforming initial forecasts. Key Levels: Entry: 1.20 Stop Loss (SL): 1.16 Take Profit Targets: TP1: 1.25 ✅ TP2: 1.32 ✅ TP3: 1.40 ✅ TP4: 1.45 ✅ Analysis: This massive rally showcases strong bullish momentum, driven by high market interest. With such a breakout, Aclaris demonstrates its potential as a high-performing asset. Outlook: Momentum traders can consider monitoring for retracements or further bullish setups. A stellar move like this reinforces the power of spotting trends early!
NASDAQ:ACRSLong
by ProfitsNinja
The Rally May Run Out of SteamFundamental Background According to CNBC, analysts at Morgan Stanley have conducted a study on how the tariff plans announced by Donald Trump during his campaign might affect the U.S. economy and the stock market. Among the initiatives of the president-elect: Implementing a general tariff of 10% to 20% on all imported goods; Introducing additional tariffs of 60% to 100% on goods imported from China. According to Seth Carpenter, the chief global economist at Morgan Stanley, such plans: May eliminate the possibility of interest rate cuts in 2025 and also limit economic growth; Threaten to reduce U.S. economic growth by 2026; Will lead to increased inflation; Will put pressure on the automotive industry, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, and retail sectors. It is expected that the costs to manufacturers will be passed on to consumers. Consequently, this implies a negative outlook for the U.S. stock market as there is a high likelihood that the tariffs will reduce investment attractiveness and increase the cost of borrowing for companies, negatively impacting the stock market. Technical Analysis In 2024, the price formed a broad ascending channel (shown in blue); Throughout October, the price was "magnetized" to the median line and formed a narrower channel between the Resistance and Support lines; Against the backdrop of the presidential elections, the price surged to a peak on November 11th, but then returned to the median line. The line around 20,941 level briefly acted as support, but the price failed to sustain above it. Could the bears' attempt to break away from the median line's pull be more successful? Cyclical Analysis Cyclical Chart Predicts a Decline in the Nasdaq Index Conclusions While the chart currently shows no clear signs of bearish activity, the facts presented above suggest that the vigorous bull market observed throughout 2024 may run out of steam.
NASDAQ:NDX
by fintechzoom
What's Happening With Nasdaq100So as y'all know nasdaq had a big correction this year and in the same year a new ath (all time high). However, her structures are very chaotic hence the back n' forth compared to previous years. She’s struggling at the 11th if july previous resistance and if broken then we up if not, the fall to balance things might just be a possibility. There's a trendline channel she's still in and it has been tested a lot. A 20800-850 break is all we need. new maintained support at: 20316. What's your take?
OANDA:NAS100USD
by lazyluchi