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Nasdaq US100: Positioned for a Breakout to New Highs!After a deep retrace on the daily timeframe, I’ve initiated a long position on the Nasdaq US100. The plan is to ride this wave back to its Higher High, capitalizing on the recovery momentum. Technical Insight: • Key Structure: The market has shown strong respect for the current retracement levels, providing a solid base for a bounce. • Trendline Support: Price action aligns well with the trendline channel, indicating potential for upward continuation. • Fib Levels: The pullback reached a critical zone, signaling that buyers may step in to push the price higher. Let’s see how this plays out! Always remember to trade with proper risk management and pay yourself along the way! Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by AR33_
NASDAQ Triple buy signal.Nasdaq (NDX) is having a very aggressive correction early into the week, mostly due to Chinese start-up DeepSeek. Fundamentals aside, this move has taken the index back to its 1-month Support Zone, which has given an excellent buy entry 3 times already. At the same time, it has come the closest to the Higher Lows trend-line that has been in effect since October 01 2024, while the 4H RSI entered its oversold (<30.00) Support Zone, which in the past 3 months has offered the 5 most optimal buy opportunities. This is in our opinion a Triple Buy Signal on the short-term, which should test at least the Lower Highs trend-line at 21800, before patterns on the wider, longer term time-frames take over. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
Bearish Shift in NAS100: What’s Next for the US100 Trend?👀 👉 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the NAS100, analyzing its trend, market structure, price action, key support and resistance zones, and how liquidity is influencing the market. Currently, the US100 is approaching an important support level following a bearish market structure shift. We discuss possible strategies if the trend continues. All the details are covered here. Please note, this is not financial advice.
THINKMARKETS:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
1
NAS100 - Is Nasdaq on track to record a new ATH?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the supply zone, we can look for further short positions on Nasdaq with a risk-to-reward ratio. Nasdaq’s position in the demand zone will provide us with short-term buying conditions. President Trump announced that the U.S. government plans to invest $500 billion in artificial intelligence infrastructure. This project, carried out in collaboration with companies such as OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank, aims to create 100,000 jobs.Trump also pledged to support the project through emergency declarations. OpenAI, along with SoftBank, Oracle, NVIDIA, and ARM, announced the start of their collaboration in technology development. This partnership includes Microsoft’s commitment to Azure, with plans extending until 2030. Microsoft confirmed that it will maintain its strategic partnership with OpenAI and participate in the Stargate project. This collaboration includes new agreements granting Microsoft priority rights to utilize the new capacity. Additionally, Microsoft will leverage OpenAI’s intellectual property (IP) in its products, such as Copilot. This week’s economic calendar is dominated by major events related to central banks. The U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada will announce their interest rate decisions on Wednesday, while the European Central Bank will follow on Thursday. Additionally, several significant economic reports are expected. On Monday, data on new home sales for December will be released. On Tuesday, reports on durable goods and the Consumer Confidence Index will be published. On Thursday, the U.S. GDP for Q4, weekly jobless claims, and pending home sales data will be announced. Finally, on Friday, the PCE index (the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation), along with personal income and spending reports, will be released. It is projected that the U.S. economy will grow at an annualized rate of 2.6% this quarter, compared to 3.1% in the previous quarter. If the data surpass expectations, the likelihood of the Fed adopting expansionary policies may decrease. Similarly, inflation data from the PCE index and consumer income and spending reports on Friday will play a crucial role in shaping expectations for rate cuts. Unlike the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve is expected not to reduce interest rates. The robust U.S. economy and inflationary pressures have left the Fed with limited room to lower borrowing costs. This situation existed even before Trump’s administration and the Republican-led Congress implemented tax cuts and tariff hikes. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has stated that the Fed has no predetermined path and may raise interest rates if new government policies lead to higher inflation. However, inflationary pressures have recently eased and could continue to decline in early 2025. Christopher Waller, a prominent Fed official, recently hinted at a possible rate cut in the first half of the year, but market reactions to his comments were muted, with only minor dollar weakening following news of Trump’s tariffs. Several major companies are set to release their quarterly financial updates this week. Among them are some members of the Magnificent 7, as well as leading firms in technology, energy, finance, and manufacturing. Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla are scheduled to report on Wednesday, while Apple will release its financial information on Thursday. Tesla’s report comes as Elon Musk, its CEO, has taken on a role in President Trump’s administration. The company’s recent vehicle delivery data fell short of analysts’ expectations. Microsoft’s planned report follows last week’s announcement of a $500 billion AI initiative, which includes Microsoft-backed OpenAI. Meta’s report comes as the company raises its investment forecasts for emerging technologies such as AI. Meanwhile, Apple’s report is being released amid analysts’ downgraded ratings due to concerns about demand for its new iPhones.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Nasdaq Trading for the last January 25.01.27Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Friday’s NASDAQ Briefing Results Chart: On Friday, the NASDAQ broke above the purple box resistance trendline but failed to break through the next major resistance zone at 22093.5–22111.25. After the ascending trendline broke, the sell entry zone at 21854.25 was triggered. Although there was a brief rebound before the U.S. session closed, the price eventually dropped further on Monday. Currently, the price has fallen approximately 300 points from the entry, yielding a profit of around $6,000 per contract. Detailed Analysis of Friday’s Patterns Chart: One key point to note from Friday’s briefing was that the upward pattern was forming a pennant. When the black box supply zone broke, the chart showed signs of consolidation, as seen with the light blue trendlines. This consolidation involved higher lows and lower highs, but the breakout signal came from the red box. However, the breakout attempt failed after the price couldn’t break through the green box. If the green box had been broken, the pattern would have shifted from a pennant to an ascending triangle, signaling stronger bullish momentum. Instead, the failure to break out suggests that the pennant formation remains valid. Also, considering the timing, the breakout attempt coincided with a scheduled economic indicator release, which is why setting a break-even stop-loss would have been the prudent choice. Economic data releases often disrupt natural chart trends with sudden bursts of trading volume, which is why it’s generally recommended to avoid trading immediately before or after such events. Trading Within Trend Breaks Chart: Using the red box as an example: Let’s say you entered after the red box breakout 15 minutes before the economic release, even though it wasn’t an ideal entry. Stop-Loss Strategy: A break-even stop-loss should be applied to protect against volatility during the announcement. First Stop: If the price falls below your entry level, it’s the first signal to exit the trade. Second Stop: If the price breaks below the blue box, you must exit because the ascending trendline is broken, invalidating the uptrend. Stop-loss levels are challenging to specify as fixed numbers because they depend on time and price movement. For trend trading, entry and exit decisions must be adaptive and based on real-time conditions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: The daily chart shows: A significant bearish candle following a break of the short-term ascending trendline and the major support level. A gap-down open, with the price now inside the Ichimoku Cloud. The current price is testing support near the daily 20 EMA. Potential Scenarios: Upside: There’s a slight chance for a gap-filling rebound. Downside: A retest of the red box support zone near 21308. Support at the 60 EMA or Ichimoku Cloud bottom near 21220. Further major support levels are 21006 and 20694. Weekly Chart Analysis Chart: Last week’s bearish weekly candle completely engulfed the previous week’s body. The remaining lower wick reaches down to around 21377.75. Current Market Momentum Chart: The NASDAQ is currently in a steep, almost vertical downtrend. This movement makes it essential to remain cautious: Entering short positions at this stage carries the risk of a rebound to fill the gap. Entering long positions could result in further losses if the trend continues downward. Since most entry points have already been invalidated, it’s best to stay on the sidelines for now. Conclusion With Asian markets observing holidays next week (Korea from Monday, China from Tuesday, and Hong Kong from Wednesday), trading volumes are expected to decrease. Given the current market conditions, taking a step back and avoiding unnecessary trades might be the wisest approach. Unless significant news impacts the market, there’s a possibility of the session closing with some recovery. Thank you for your hard work this week, and let’s finish strong. See you in the next briefing! 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, Nasdaq & DXY for Jan 26 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix. Disclaimer The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments. Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions. The creator of this content assumes no liability for any losses or damages resulting from reliance on the information provided. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these risks.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Tradius_Trades
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ closed lower, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Last Friday unfolded as expected, with a correction to the 5-day line being part of the wave pattern, making a sell-oriented approach the best strategy for the day. The downward wave emerged in the afternoon rather than during the pre-market, resulting in extended consolidation. On the weekly chart, it formed a bullish candle, reaching the upper range of the box zone; however, the MACD has yet to fully cross above the signal line. This week, the area between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (20,800–20,600) could act as a short-term pullback buying zone. If this area fails to hold and prices close lower with a bearish candle, the market might revert to maintaining a wide-ranging box zone. Therefore, it's crucial to close the week with a bullish candle to confirm a buy signal. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are positioned above the zero line, indicating that buying pressure could persist. However, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that significant additional surges are unlikely. A short-term correction perspective is advisable. If prices fail to decisively break above the 3-day moving average near 21,950, a correction to the 10-day moving average should be considered. The 240-minute chart shows the emergence of a long bearish candle forming a double top. If Friday’s low at 21,844 is breached, there’s a strong likelihood of filling the gap created on January 22. The MACD and signal line still show a significant gap from the zero line, so there could be support and a rebound at the lower levels. In summary, while a short-term sell perspective is advisable, buying opportunities could emerge near the gap-filling zone around 21,700 during pullbacks. OIL Oil closed higher at $74, finding support and forming a bullish daily candle for the first time in six trading sessions. This bounce establishes a foothold at the key support level of $74. On the weekly chart, prices found support at the 5-day moving average. Although the MACD has crossed above the zero line, the signal line is still slightly below it. If a bullish candle forms this week, it will confirm a buy signal on the weekly chart, favoring buy-oriented strategies. On the daily chart, prices could rise again, finding support at the 20-day moving average. However, the sharp downward angle of the recent decline from $79 and the ongoing sell signal from the MACD indicate that any rally may face resistance and pullbacks. If prices rebound to the $77–$78 range, there is a high probability of a pullback. The $74–$79 range is likely to hold, with a period of consolidation allowing moving averages to converge. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence is forming near $74, and the MACD is on the verge of generating a buy signal. A buy-oriented strategy on pullbacks is advisable. GOLD Gold closed higher with an upper shadow on the daily candle. On the weekly chart, prices reached the upper Bollinger Band. The MACD, however, has yet to achieve a golden cross above the signal line, keeping the sell signal intact. A strong rally with a long bullish candle would be required to confirm a buy signal. If additional upward momentum fails and prices start to decline, the MACD may turn downward again. The current gap between the MACD and signal line suggests that an immediate buy signal might not be achievable. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and as long as the 10-day moving average holds, a one-way buying trend is likely. On the 240-minute chart, resistance is evident at higher levels, and divergence in the MACD could occur. It’s advisable to avoid chasing prices higher. Given the staircase-like upward movement, a buy-oriented approach on pullbacks is recommended. This Week’s Key Events: FOMC meeting (Wednesday) Tesla and Meta earnings reports (Wednesday) Apple earnings report (Thursday) Expect heightened volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. Good luck with your investments this week! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21,850 / 21,785 / 21,720 / 21,630 / 21,530 -Sell: 21,970 / 22,010 / 22,055 / 22,105 OIL - Range-bound Market -Buy: 74.15 / 73.40 / 72.80 / 72.40 -Sell: 75.20 / 75.95 / 76.40 / 77.10 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy: 2,774 / 2,768 / 2,762 / 2,752 -Sell: 2,782 / 2,793 / 2,799 / 2,816 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25 📈 22207.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22234.5, 22242.5) 📉 21830 (NEXT LEVELS: 21812, 21671.50, 22639) *The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!* Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
2
Why Blind Index Investing Could Be Costing You Thousands?!Index-based investing has been one of the most popular ways to grow a long-term portfolio for decades. Today, it has become even more accessible and favored, offering a safer foundation for investing and generally carrying lower risk compared to portfolios composed of individual stocks. For someone like me, a technical analyst, index investing isn't exactly an adrenaline rush. Under societal pressure, I decided to test a few hacks and dive deeper into it ;) I set out to compare three of the most popular U.S. index ETFs – SPY (S&P 500), QQQ (Nasdaq 100), and IWM (Russell 2000) – and analyze how to implement a brief technical analysis into index selection could influence long-term results. Starting in 2005, I "invested" $1,000 every quarter, completing a total of 81 test purchases. Each time, I selected the index that technical analysis suggested was in the strongest position. If done strictly and consistently, there were often situations where all three indices had just reached their all-time highs. In those moments, I had to make a choice. Technical analysis is not just about drawing lines on a chart – experience, market intuition, and behavioral patterns of the price play a big role here. My Test and Strategy The goal was to compare the following three U.S. index ETFs: - SPY (S&P 500) - QQQ (Nasdaq 100) - IWM (Russell 2000) Test conditions: - Start date: 2005 - Investment period: 81 quarters - Mandatory quarterly investment: $1,000 - Index selection: Based on technical analysis and market intuition. Distribution of trades during the test period: - SPY: 35 times - QQQ: 31 times - IWM: 15 times The chart illustrates SPY, QQQ, and Russell with blue arrows marking purchase points. Results of the Experiment Performance of my strategy: - +344% return - Invested: $81,000 - Final value: $360,000 Comparison indices (each quarter regular purchases): - SPY: +233% (final value: $272,000) - QQQ: +579% (final value: $552,000) - IWM: +128% (final value: $186,000) My strategy outperformed SPY and IWM because I focused on selecting the ETFs in the strongest technical condition at the time. While QQQ delivered higher absolute returns, my diversified approach offered competitive returns with lower risk and more stable outcomes. Key Takeaways 1. Diversity and Stability: Risk Mitigation and Return Optimization The goal wasn't just maximum returns but also reducing risk and adopting a smarter approach. While QQQ had the highest returns, remember that it is heavily concentrated in the technology sector, making it riskier. Back in 2005, it wouldn't have been easy to predict that QQQ would outperform. A technical analysis strategy allows for risk diversification by choosing the strongest index at any given time, delivering significant returns while maintaining diversity and stability. 2. Thoughtful Regularity Outperforms Blind Regularity Strict quarterly investing avoids the biggest mistake investors fear – timing the market. Regularity is crucial, but it needs to be thoughtful. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. My strategy allowed selecting the strongest index at each point, yielding significantly better returns. 3. Wrong Index Choice Can Be Costly Had I chosen only IWM throughout the period, my return would have been just +128%. This clearly shows the importance of not sticking to one index but instead evaluating regularly to find the one with the greatest potential at any given time. How to Choose the Best Index: Follow my Newsletter to Guide You One of many of the topics of this newsletter (You will find it here, in the profile section, visiting my "website") will be sharing my monthly and quarterly top lists of indices, making regular purchases easier for you. The test proved that sticking to one index isn’t the best way forward – but which one should you choose? That’s where the monthly top list comes in. I firmly believe this strategy and approach have significant potential to help investors make smarter and more confident decisions. That’s why I’m starting a newsletter, where one of the many topics will be sharing this list regularly: - The technically strongest indices for investing. - Explanations of why a particular index is technically more attractive than others. Conclusion My research proves that technical analysis and understanding of charts can be powerful tools for long-term index investing. Regularity, fact-based decisions, and risk diversification help achieve optimal results. Your portfolio deserves better decisions. Don’t waste time analyzing indices yourself. All the best, Vaido
AMEX:SPY
by VaidoVeek
1
This is a no Brainer for you noobs - check itWhat up? how is everyone doing the almost end of January w a new Admin? one things i do wish is that Robinhood will collab with @TradingView does anyone have info on this? Why are the holding back? follow along... i swing only SPY 500 options- 7 years in training, a year before the covid 19. i buy calls or buy puts overnight, easy- up or down? 1. The week, before this weeks volume was pretty decent I must say.- this held us up. 2. I do like continuation patterns. 3. $ 605.00 is in the cards for next week of 1/27 - 1/31 4. With the month closing on Friday the 31, we may even see a low touching that $ 600.00 5. Therefore we are looking for bounces on either side. 6. I kind of like $ 600.00 to confirm there are buyers on that area of support. For our continuation of an upmarket trend. 7. Although volume and candlestick are key to watch around 605. ⛳️ do we get a birdie or a par this week? -- - leave a comment or evaluation below.
AMEX:SPY
by KommonStock
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25 (most recent)MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25 📈 22139.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22281.75, 22424) 📉 21766.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 21624.25, 21482) *The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!* Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰 *These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by J3Trad3s
A Market Teetering on the Edge: Is EA Poised for a Rebound?With NASDAQ-EA trading at $118.70, down nearly 30% from its all-time high of $168.50 just 63 days ago, the market presents a mix of caution and intrigue. RSI levels languish deep in oversold territory, with daily RSI14 at an eye-popping 12.19—signaling potential exhaustion in bearish momentum. Add to this the emergence of high-volume buy signals, such as the VSA Buy Pattern Extra, hinting at possible accumulation near powerful support zones. But here’s the burning question: Is this just a pause in the downtrend, or are we witnessing the groundwork for a bullish reversal? The price has been consolidating under key resistance at $126.40 while remaining well above the critical support at $113.57. As we dive into the charts, traders and investors alike must decide: Is this a time for patience, or a moment to seize the opportunity? NASDAQ-EA Roadmap: A Path Through Patterns Here’s how the recent market narrative unfolded for NASDAQ-EA, based on the patterns’ sequence and their main directions. Let’s walk through the roadmap of events to understand the technical dynamics and validate the signals. 1. VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Starting Signal The session on 2025-01-23 10:00 UTC kicked off with a bullish VSA Buy Pattern. The pattern suggested an upward movement, confirmed by subsequent price action. The high of $143.27 aligned with the bullish prediction. The trigger was set at a low of $120.50, with the price bouncing back robustly. Main Direction: Buy Outcome: The next pattern supported the bullish trajectory, validating this pattern's forecast. 2. Sell Volumes Take Over – A Divergence in Direction The next notable signal emerged on 2025-01-23 15:00 UTC, highlighting increased sell volumes. This suggested a bearish reversal from the earlier upward move. However, the market defied the expectation, holding the $126.4 support and continuing higher, indicating that the trigger failed to activate. Main Direction: Sell Outcome: Rejected – This pattern didn’t play out due to sustained bullish momentum. 3. Buy Volumes Max – A Bullish Confirmation Following this, a strong Buy Volumes Max signal emerged on 2025-01-23 14:00 UTC, confirming the market’s intention to stay bullish. The price reached a high of $126.71, creating a significant movement upward. This pattern marked a key moment in establishing a robust upward trend. Main Direction: Buy Outcome: Confirmed – Momentum aligned with the forecast. 4. VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern Extra 1st – The Climax of Confidence On 2025-01-23 17:00 UTC, another VSA Buy Pattern surfaced, affirming a long-term upward drive. The subsequent high of $130 reinforced this direction, proving its credibility. This pattern’s precision and alignment with previous signals made it a pivotal moment. Main Direction: Buy Outcome: Verified – Price action aligned perfectly, solidifying bullish confidence. 5. Increased Sell Volumes – A Temporary Reprieve The market showed a shift on 2025-01-22 21:00 UTC, with an Increased Sell Volumes pattern. Despite a minor pullback to $120, the upward trend persisted, invalidating the bearish prediction. This marked the sellers’ inability to seize control. Main Direction: Sell Outcome: Failed – Price action rejected the bearish forecast. Key Takeaways for Traders and Investors Bullish patterns dominated the sequence, with successful confirmations in 3 out of 5 instances. The alignment of VSA Buy Patterns highlighted the reliability of these signals for medium-term forecasts. Failed bearish patterns suggest strong buying pressure, keeping the market in an upward trend. Stay tuned for the next wave of market action! Whether you're riding the trend or waiting for the next pivot, these patterns provide a clear narrative for navigating NASDAQ-EA. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch The market’s dance around support and resistance zones can reveal its next moves. Let’s break down the levels currently steering NASDAQ-EA and how to approach them. Remember, if these levels don’t hold, they’ll flip into resistance, and the bulls or bears will have to face them again. Support Levels to Keep on Your Radar 113.57 – A critical level; if it breaks, expect a retest to confirm resistance. 109.83 – A deeper pullback zone where buyers might reload if momentum weakens. Resistance Levels to Break for Bullish Continuation 126.4 – The first line of defense for bears. A breakout here could ignite a stronger rally. 143.01 – A psychological zone tied to past highs; watch for reaction here. 145.79 – This level could be the gatekeeper for more significant upside potential. Powerful Support Levels – Where the Big Boys Are Watching 144.61 – A make-or-break zone for bulls if the market revisits lower prices. 163.86 – The last stronghold for buyers, holding the line from deeper corrections. Powerful Resistance Levels – Overhead Barriers 113.79 – If this flips, expect it to become a strong ceiling on pullbacks. Pro Tip for Traders: Levels don’t exist in isolation. Always look for price action confirmation—like wick rejections, candle closes, or volume spikes—when testing these zones. If you see these signs fail to hold, flip your mindset and consider these levels as the next barriers to overcome. Trading Strategies with Rays: Precision Meets Probability The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept offers a robust approach to understanding market dynamics, providing clarity on probable price scenarios while avoiding the pitfalls of predicting exact levels. Let’s explore the concept, scenarios, and actionable trade setups. Concept of Rays: The Fibonacci-Based Framework Rays, based on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles, are dynamic tools that define key zones of price interaction. Each ray starts from the beginning of a movement, capturing the natural flow of the trend or correction. Here’s why this matters: Dynamic Levels: Rays adapt to new patterns, keeping you ahead of the curve. Clear Scenarios: Price interaction signals continuation or reversal, but only after interaction with a ray. Directional Guidance: Moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, and MA233) enhance ray analysis, acting as dynamic support or resistance. Why Focus on Probability, Not Precision? The nonlinear nature of financial markets makes predicting exact levels unfeasible. Instead, rays reveal key zones where price interaction is likely. This simplifies decision-making and identifies high-probability trade setups. Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Regain Control First Target: $126.4 – Interaction with this ray and support from MA50 signals a breakout opportunity. Second Target: $143.01 – Sustained momentum leads to this resistance zone, amplified by MA100 convergence. Third Target: $145.79 – Interaction here suggests another leg upward, with potential consolidation around MA200 for further continuation. Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Take the Wheel First Target: $113.57 – A breakdown below this ray opens a move to this support. Second Target: $109.83 – Failure at MA50 and interaction with this ray could accelerate downward momentum. Third Target: $108.53 – Price interaction signals potential bottoming, but further selling pressure could test this absolute low. Suggested Trade Setups: From Ray to Ray Buy at $126.4: Enter on a breakout above this ray with MA50 support. Target $143.01, with $145.79 as the stretch goal. Short at $126.4: If price rejects this ray, target $113.57 with a protective stop-loss above $126.4. Buy at $113.57: Look for bullish price action signals after interaction. First target $126.4, second target $143.01. Short at $143.01: If price fails to hold above this ray, target $126.4. For risk-takers, $113.57 offers a secondary target. Key Takeaway for Traders: Use ray interaction as your signal to act. Each move from ray to ray provides clarity on the next targets, with moving averages acting as dynamic guides. Adjust your position size and risk accordingly, but remember: patience pays when trading with rays. Let’s Keep the Conversation Going! Got questions about the analysis or want to discuss the roadmap in more detail? Drop your thoughts directly in the comments! I’m here to chat, clarify, and help you sharpen your trading game. Don’t forget to Boost this post and save it to your favorites—it’s the best way to track how the price moves according to my layout. Understanding key levels and reaction points is essential for building confident trades, and I’d love for you to revisit this analysis later to see how it played out. For those of you intrigued by my Rays and Levels Strategy, here’s the insider tip: the indicator automatically maps out all these zones, but it’s currently available in Private Only. If you’re interested in using it, feel free to message me directly, and we can discuss access options. If you’d like custom analysis on a specific asset, I can make it happen! Some requests I’m happy to share for free with the community, while others can remain private just for you—perfect if you want to keep your edge to yourself. Either way, let’s collaborate to make your trading more precise. Rays work on all assets, from stocks to crypto, and I’m happy to mark them up for you. Just Boost this post, write your request in the comments, and I’ll get to it as soon as I can. And, of course, make sure to follow me here on TradingView to stay updated on my latest ideas, strategies, and insights. Trading is a journey, and I’d be thrilled to have you along for the ride! 🚀
NASDAQ:EAShort
by brandlabelden
1
Gold Hits $2,770 Target – Will It Break Historical Highs Today?Analyzing the 4-hour chart of gold, we observe that the price reacted to the expected levels of $2,755, $2,757, and $2,759 yesterday, followed by a strong breakout to hit our anticipated target of $2,770. Currently trading at $2,777, gold shows no signs of rejection or a significant pullback. As the final trading day of the week unfolds, the big question remains: will gold surpass its previous historical high of $2,790? With today's growth reaching $2,780, it's just 100 pips away from breaking that record. The opening of New York markets could provide the decisive momentum. A new historical high and even targets beyond $2,800 seem within reach! Stay tuned for updates, and don't forget to support this analysis with your reactions to keep the momentum going. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
19
Good luck with Nasdaq on Friday 25.01.24Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Breakout Analysis Chart: The ascending trendline broke shortly after the Asian session ended and just before the European session began. Buy Perspective: None. Sell Perspective: Although the trendline broke, the current market conditions suggest a need for a different interpretation. At this point, as the entry and stop-loss levels are near breakeven, it’s advisable to exit and observe further movements. Net Result: Zero profit for both buy and sell positions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: The daily chart shows the NASDAQ tested the support at the orange supply zone and closed as a bullish candle on 25.01.23. Key Observations: The next resistance zone is the green box, above the blue box supply zone. A breakout attempt on 25.01.22 failed at 22093.5, which is just below the previous high at 22111.25 from 24.12.26. The daily chart from 25.01.23 indicates a tightening range with higher lows and lower highs. However, no clear directional breakout has occurred yet. Current Movement Chart: The current price action suggests a pennant formation after the breakout above the red box. The breakout direction will determine the next major move. Until then, observing the market from the sidelines appears to be the safest approach. Trading Strategy Buy Strategy Entry 1: Breakout above the purple box & red resistance trendline. Entry 2: Breakout above the green box high at 22111.25. Additional Notes: If the pattern breaks upward and surpasses the purple box, the first resistance is 22093.5, with the major resistance at 22111.25. While resistance near the major zone could result in pullbacks, a strong upward momentum is possible, particularly as past breakouts have led to sharp rallies. Reference Chart: Sell Strategy Entry: Break below the ascending trendline and 21854.50. Additional Notes: Despite occasional breakdowns of the ascending trendline, the market has frequently rebounded afterward. The primary bearish argument is the failure to break through major resistance. For a more conservative approach, enter short positions only if the support at 21854.5 (the daily support from 25.01.23) fails. Reference Chart: Conclusion The Asian markets will observe a week-long holiday starting next week: Korea: Closed from Monday. China: Closed from Tuesday. Hong Kong: Closed from Wednesday. This will likely result in reduced trading volume. With no major news today, the probability of a bearish reversal seems low. If no significant catalysts emerge, there’s a chance the market will push higher by the close of the session. Great work this week! Let’s finish strong. Fighting! 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The NASDAQ closed higher, supported by the 3-day moving average on the daily chart. After a recent surge, it has reached the upper Bollinger Band, with both the MACD and signal line crossing above the zero line, confirming a buy signal. However, due to the sharp rally, there is potential for a pullback today. If the price retraces to the 5-day moving average, it could consolidate within a range, allowing moving averages to converge. Should the NASDAQ fall further, the key question is whether it will fill the gap near 21700. If the gap remains unfilled and the price breaks higher, the daily buy signal would stay intact, potentially accelerating bullish momentum. On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains active despite a rebound. Selling at higher levels is preferable, while watching if the MACD avoids falling below the zero line and instead forms a golden cross with the signal line. Focus on dip-buying and selling at resistance, keeping the potential for a pullback to the 5-day moving average in mind. CRUDE OIL Crude oil closed lower, falling below the $75 level. It ended near the midpoint of the large bullish candle from January 10 ($74.66) after further downside pressure. This week’s decline reflects President Trump’s push to lower oil prices. Currently, crude is near the 20-day moving average and within the $74–$75 support zone, which aligns with the weekly 5-day moving average. This area is suitable for swing trading and dip-buying strategies. On the daily chart, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, creating a short-term sell signal. However, the significant divergence from the zero line suggests that crude may consolidate with bullish candles before attempting another upward move. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has not yet formed a golden cross with the signal line, but selling pressure has weakened significantly. If a golden cross occurs, a strong rebound could follow. Avoid chasing shorts and focus on buying dips at key levels. GOLD Gold rebounded from key support levels, closing flat with a lower wick on the daily candle. The daily chart shows that bullish momentum remains strong, making dip-buying at major support levels the preferred strategy. Gold touched the upper Bollinger Band on the weekly chart before pulling back, indicating that a clear trend may not emerge until next week. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal formed at the recent high, with the MACD divergence leading to a sharp decline. While the price is recovering, the sell signal remains active, increasing the likelihood of another pullback. Gold appears to be consolidating within a range, building energy for the next leg higher. Today, focus on box-range trading with selling at resistance and buying at support. Be mindful of major economic data releases before the main session, and manage risks carefully. Best of luck with your trades, and have a successful end to the week! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Bullish Market -Buy: 21980 / 21910 / 21870 / 21790 / 21720 -Sell: 22040 / 22075 / 22110 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy: 74.10 / 73.40 / 73.00 / 72.40 -Sell: 75.10 / 75.70 / 76.20 / 76.75 / 77.10 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy: 2750 / 2743 / 2737 / 2731 -Sell: 2770 / 2774 / 2779 / 2785 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
6
NASDAQ You will not be scared to invest in tech after this.Nasdaq / US100 has just started a massively bullish phase long term. Both on 1month RSI terms and pure monthly candles, the index has entered 2025 the same way it entered 1992. That was the start of Nasdaq's Internet Bubble, much like today we have established the era of Artificial Intelligence. A.I. has given us a glimpse of its enormous growth potential in 2023-2024 but that is nothing compared to what's coming. Eventually it will turn into a Bubble that will pop but we don't know how high it can go before it does. It it repeats the Internet Bubble, the it should burst by 2031/32 in levels around 10000, no matter how crazy this price may seem now. In fact it shouldn't surprise you as Nasdaq quadrupled in the past 7 years. In any event, this chart serves as a reminder to long term investors like us, that investing in technology stocks is a 'must' going forward into 2025. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TheCryptagon
1
Prime Buying Opportunity for Crude Oil Nearing Crude oil is currently consolidating around the $75 level. A glance at the daily MACD reveals a close but no crossover of the MACD and signal lines. A bearish close today could signal a downturn, but a bullish close would likely see the MACD resume its upward trend. Since its correction from $79, the price has been holding above the midpoint of the January 10th bullish candle at $74.66. This level, also coinciding with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart, is a crucial support zone. Given the significant volume accumulated in the first week of January, this presents a compelling opportunity for aggressive swing trading. Today's oil inventory report is expected to act as a catalyst for a bullish reversal. While the market is bearish on oil supply expansion due to Trump's election, technical analysis suggests further upside potential. We recommend adopting a buy-on-dip strategy. For daily insights into Nasdaq, oil, and gold, please follow and subscribe to my analysis.
TVC:USOILLong
by Futureguard
XAU/USD : Liquidity Grab at $2733, Next Trend Awaits NY Session!By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that the price finally broke out of the neutral range of $2702-$2714 today, reaching as high as $2733 and clearing liquidity above $2727. After this liquidity grab, gold experienced a slight correction, retracing to $2717. Currently, the price is trading around $2722. As the New York market opens, we’ll see if gold can establish its next trend. It’s still too early to declare a bearish shift, as the bullish trend remains intact until the price breaks and stabilizes below $2688. For now, consider these levels for positions: Supply Zones: $2727, $2742, $2753 Demand Zones: $2717, $2711, $2703 Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
38
EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly! The Main Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
32
Bizarre NASDAQ Movements 25.01.23Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ. Wednesday’s Analysis Results Chart: Buy Perspective: No buy signals were provided. Sell Perspective: The first signal for a sell was the break below the ascending trendline, as mentioned earlier. After the Asian session ended on 25.01.23, the ascending trendline was broken, triggering a sell. The price dropped by approximately 71 points after the breakdown, yielding a $1,400 profit per contract. Following Up on Yesterday’s Setup Chart: The rising wedge pattern did not fully complete. Instead, the NASDAQ created a new trend in the red box, pushing even higher than the previous pattern. It eventually re-entered the pattern but has not yet confirmed a full breakout. A more conservative trading approach would be to wait for a break below the blue zone to confirm a trend reversal. NASDAQ on the 4-Hour Chart Chart: As previously noted, the NASDAQ broke above the upper boundary of the orange box, rallying to 22093 (near the next supply zone’s upper boundary) before a pullback began. The uptrend remains intact for now. However, there are some red flags: The NASDAQ’s momentum appears to weaken, as corrections are becoming more prominent during the end of the U.S. session and in the Asian + European sessions. Daily Chart Analysis Chart: On the daily chart, the current candle is an inside bar following three consecutive bullish candles. Key Levels: Resistance: ~22000 Support: ~21806 How today’s daily candle closes will likely play a critical role in determining the market direction for the rest of the week. Today’s Trading Strategy Chart: Buy Recommendation: None. Reason: The price has risen significantly, and it seems prudent to observe the market for now. While the uptrend is still intact and the price could continue higher without offering clear entries (as seen yesterday), preserving your capital is just as important as making profits. Sell Recommendation: Entry: Upon breaking below the orange ascending trendline. Reason: Breaking this key trendline could signal a major shift in the market structure. If this happens, it’s unclear whether the price will test the purple resistance trendline or if a full trend reversal will occur. Regardless, entering a sell near the highs offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity. Conclusion The NASDAQ has displayed strong upward momentum but also signs of weakening, especially in the non-U.S. sessions. For buyers: Observe from the sidelines and avoid chasing the price. For sellers: Look for a trendline breakdown to enter positions near the highs, as this could signal the start of a broader reversal. Stay disciplined and focused. 🚀
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Greedy_allday