NASDAQ: Minor Pullback, Still on TrackOn Friday, the Nasdaq experienced a slight pullback, which was quickly absorbed at the start of the week. Currently, the index is still developing the turquoise wave B, which should top out just below resistance at 23,780 points, signaling the start of the bearish wave C. This move should lead to the low of the magenta wave (4) within our turquoise Target Zone between 17,074 and 15,867 points. Alternatively, there is a 42% probability that wave alt.(4) is already complete. In this scenario, the magenta wave alt.(5) could carry the index immediately above the mentioned resistance.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
Nasdaq
2025-06-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Closing this high at the end of the month is as bullish as it gets. We are close to 23000 that I expect it to get hit. You never know where the top will be, so don’t try to pick it. Market is bullish and bullish only. Even if we print -2% tomorrow, there was no setup and no pattern for you to trade it on. It would be a huge bear surprise and you should never worry about them. Look for the path of least resistance and that is still long. At least for scalps. Bull channel is also still valid until clearly broken, which means a strong print below 22700 would do.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 22600 - 23000
bull case: Bulls want 23000. Market is overbought but that does not matter if we can’t get more selling pressure. Long the pullbacks until it stops working. I can see this going to 23500 but it’s a rough guess and you should not trade based on those.
Invalidation is below 22200.
bear case: Bears got nothing. Don’t look for shorts. Daily close below 22600, then we can start thinking about lower prices again. I still expect this breakout to fail but as of now, we are only going up.
Invalidation is above 23500.
short term: Neutral but I will only scalp long until we see much much bigger selling pressure. 23000 is the obvious target and bears need something below 23700.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again.
trade of the day: Any long around the high of last week (22823) has been profitable. It was a tight trading range but with a heavy bullish bias going in to today, long scalps were the obvious choice.
NASDAQ Possible short-term pull-back.Last time we analyzed Nasdaq (NDX) was a week ago (June 23, see chart below), giving a comfortable buy signal as the price was rebounding at the bottom of the 6-week Channel Up:
The price hit our 22300 Target and has now touched the top of the Channel Up. Based on the 4H RSI, it resembles the May 15 price action, which soon after pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
It is possible to see such relief profit taking on the short-term and a test of 22200 (Fib 0.382).
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USNAS100 |Bullish Trend Holds Above Pivot – Eyeing 22790 & 23000USNAS100 | Bullish Movement
The price has stabilized above the key pivot level at 22640, confirming a continuation of the bullish trend toward the next resistance at 22790.
As long as the index remains above 22640, the uptrend is expected to extend toward 22790 and potentially 23000, with minor pullbacks likely to retest the pivot.
Currently, USNAS100 is consolidating between 22640 and 22790.
A 1H candle close below 22640 would signal a bearish correction toward 22520 and possibly 22410.
Pivot Line: 22640
Resistance Levels: 22790, 23000
Support Levels: 22520, 22410
previous idea:
NAS100 - The stock market is breaking the ceiling!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term channels. If it does not increase and corrects towards different zone, it is possible to buy the index near the reward.
Following a strong rally in U.S.equities, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices both achieved new all-time highs on Friday. It marks the first time since February that the S&P 500 has surpassed its previous peak, while the Nasdaq entered fresh price territory for the first time since December.
Despite ongoing market focus on economic data and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy path, the simultaneous surge in both indices reflects a renewed appetite for risk in the stock market—an appetite that has been accelerating since mid-April, especially in tech stocks.
In contrast, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap U.S. companies, still remains significantly below its prior high. To return to its October levels, it would need to rise over 13.5%. However, Friday’s 1.7% gain suggests capital is beginning to flow more broadly into underrepresented sectors.
Analysts argue that a strong breakout in the Russell 2000 could signal a broader rotation toward increased risk-taking—possibly driven by optimism over future rate cuts, easing inflation, and improved business conditions in the second half of the year.
Now that the S&P 500 has reached new highs and the Nasdaq has joined in, attention turns to the Russell 2000. If it begins to accelerate upward, markets could enter a new phase of sustained bullish momentum.
Following a week focused on gauging U.S. consumer spending strength, the upcoming holiday-shortened week (due to Independence Day) will shift attention to key employment and economic activity data.
On Tuesday, markets await the ISM Manufacturing PMI and the JOLTS job openings report. Wednesday will spotlight the ADP private employment report, and Thursday—one day earlier than usual due to the holiday—will see the release of several crucial figures, including the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), weekly jobless claims, and the ISM Services Index.
Currently, investor reaction to Donald Trump’s tariff commentary has been minimal. Market participants largely believe that any new tariffs would have limited inflationary effects and that significant retaliation from trade partners is unlikely.
Friday’s PCE report painted a complex picture of the U.S. economy. On one hand, inflation remains above ideal levels; on the other, household spending is showing signs of fatigue—a combination that presents challenges for policymakers.
Inflation-adjusted personal consumption fell by 0.3%, marking the first decline since the start of the year and indicating a gradual erosion of domestic demand. While wages continue to rise, their impact has been offset by declining overall income and reduced government support. To maintain their lifestyle, households have dipped into their savings, driving the personal savings rate down to 4.5%—its lowest level this year.
On the inflation front, the core PCE price index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—rose 2.7% year-over-year, slightly above expectations. Monthly inflation also increased by 0.2%. Although these figures appear somewhat restrained, they remain above the Fed’s 2% target, with persistent price pressures in services—particularly non-housing services—still evident.
Altogether, the data suggest the U.S. economy faces a troubling divergence: weakening household income and consumption could slow growth, while sticky inflation in the services sector—especially under a potential Trump tariff scenario—could limit the Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates.
NASDAQNASDAQ If the price cannot break through the 22728 level, it is expected that the price will drop. Consider selling the red zone.
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#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Similar to dax and for most other markets. Cash index made a new ath and broke strongly above the trading range. This is W5 which I thought was cut short but I guess not. It’s most likely the end of the trend since the trading range went on for about 6 weeks, which in this case was likely the final flag. Futures could now aim to print 23000 and touch the bull trend line which began in 2021 and went though the ath from 2024-12.
current market cycle: resumption of the bull trend but likely the final flag and we most likely will top out here around/under 23000
key levels for next week: 22000 - 23000
bull case: Bulls printed 5 consecutive bull bars. They are in full control and could pump it to 23000. Purely based on momentum and squeezing shorts. Got nothing else for the bulls.
Invalidation is below 21500
bear case: Bears gave up on Monday and I doubt they want to fight this until we hit the bull trend line or 23000. Most bears will wait for a clear topping sign that bulls are beginning to take bigger profits before they think about shorts. As of now, bears have zero arguments on their side. Only a daily close below 22300 would confirm this bull trap and fake breakout above the bull channel and then we could test down to 21900ish but for now I think it’s most likely we go higher.
Invalidation is above 23100
short term: Neutral. Will only scalp longs on huge momentum and I will only start thinking about shorts once we break below 22300 again.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-06-29: No change in plans. I expect 20000 to get hit over the next 3 months and maybe 19000 again.
NASDAQ 100 TECH HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Bear Trap!🚨 E-MINI NASDAQ 100 HEIST: Tech Rally or Bear Trap? (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨
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"Claim your tech treasure and run—you’ve earned this steal!" 💰🚀
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Buy Limit orders at recent swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF).
📌 Pro Thief Move: SET ALERTS! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Plan
📍 Thief SL (Smart Crew): Recent swing low (20,700.00, 4H TF).
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🎯 TARGET: Loot & Exit!
🎯 22,600.00 (or bail early if the market flips!)
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Tech rally brewing! Key drivers:
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US100 (NASDAQ) BREAKOUT BLUEPRINT: LOOT LIKE A SMART TRADER!🔥 NASDAQ 100 HEIST: STEAL THE TREND LIKE A MARKET BANDIT! 🚨💰
Locked & loaded for the US100 (NASDAQ 100) heist? This slick blueprint cracks the code to loot profits—blending killer technicals with macro intel. Ride the bullish wave, but dodge traps near the Overbought Zone. Bears lurk, so secure your bag before the reversal hits! 🐻💨
🎯 ENTRY: STRIKE LIKE A PRO THIEF
Long the breakout near 21,500.0 (or ambush pullbacks at 20,400.0 & 19600.0).
Set stealth alerts to catch moves in real-time. 🕶️🔔
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Hide stops under the last 4H swing low/wick—no reckless bets!
Adjust for your risk—survivors play smart. ⚡
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Main Target: 22,250.0 (or bail early if momentum fades).
Scalpers: Trail stops & ghost out with quick wins. 🏃♂️💨
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NASDAQ 100’s on fire: Fundamentals + COT data + macro tides align.
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$SPX Path of least resistance is higher. Next Stop : 6500 This week we officially recovered all the losses from the liberation day low. We had a 20% bear market crash and since then there has been a V shaped rally in the major averages. NASDAQ:QQQ and SP:SPX have fully recovered the losses and then some. It is 0% form its ATH. We have been closely following the chart of SP:SPX for the last few weeks and have marked various Fib Retracement levels and Fib Extenstion. IN my opinion the Covid lows were one of the majot drawdown moments.
If we plot the Fib Extension on the COVID highs and lows, we can clearly see the Support and Resistance zones. As per the Fib Levels the next consequential level in SP:SPX will be 6550, which is the 3.618 Fib level. That I would suggest as the path to least resistance. First, we go higher before we can see any major correction. In case of a Major correction, we get support @ 5300.
Verdict : SP:SPX goes higher first before correction. 6550 is the next stop.
CORZ : Long Position with 2.5 Risk Reward RatioOur stock is trading on 50 and 200 period moving averages. (Timeframe : 1H)
Our first target level could be the level where the gap closes.
Stop - Loss can be placed around the 200 period moving average. Summary in light of this brief information:
Risk/Reward Ratio : 2.51
Stop-Loss : 15.95
Take Profit Level : 11.745
Edit : Sorry, I couldn't pull down the end of the trend line, so it was a slightly crooked trend line, but it doesn't ruin the main idea.
Regards.
Bitcoin Bounced Right Where It ShouldBitcoin continues to respect the script — breakout, clean retest, and now holding strong.
The 50 EMA has been a reliable dynamic support throughout the entire uptrend, and once again, it helped catch the recent dip. Price has now successfully retested the breakout zone and is starting to bounce.
Structure looks healthy, momentum is building, and unless the support fails, the next leg up could be just around the corner.
Simple setups. No noise. Just trend.
DYOR, NFA
BTC - Will the Bears finally get their chance?Buy Side Liquidity Sweep in Progress
Price is currently climbing toward a region densely packed with resting buy side liquidity, marked by multiple previous highs. The area around 108,900 to 111,000 is especially significant, with two clear liquidity pools stacked above recent swing highs. These levels are likely to attract price as market participants seek to trigger stop orders and induce fresh buying interest—setting the stage for a potential reversal.
Weakness in the Current Impulse
The recent rally has advanced with minimal retracement and virtually no visible Gaps. This lack of corrective structure often indicates imbalance and suggests the move is overextended. When price moves upward too cleanly, it tends to leave behind thin liquidity zones, making the entire leg vulnerable to a sharper correction once exhaustion sets in.
Fair Value Gap as a Draw Below
Below current price lies a prominent bullish Fair Value Gap around 104,000. This inefficiency was left unfilled during the last leg up and may now serve as a magnet for price. These types of Gaps are often revisited by the market in an effort to rebalance supply and demand, especially after aggressive moves that break structure to the upside.
Once the higher liquidity levels are swept, watch for a clear reaction—either a strong rejection or lower timeframe structure shift—which could signal that the top is in. If that shift materializes, price may begin a downward leg targeting the unfilled Gap below. The magnitude of the move, combined with the lack of structure on the way up, leaves plenty of room for corrective action.
For those looking to engage, waiting for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a break of short-term bullish structure or the formation of a bearish Gap—can help time entries more precisely. In setups like these, patience is key: let the Sweep play out, observe how price reacts, and only then consider stepping in.
Nasdaq Hits New ATH at $22,570 – Eyes Now on $23,200 and $24,000By analyzing the #Nasdaq chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the index followed our previous analysis perfectly, hitting the $22,400 target and printing a new all-time high at $22,570!
Momentum remains strong and bullish, and we expect price to continue climbing toward the next targets. Based on the original projection, upcoming targets are $23,200 and $24,000.
Stay tuned for the next update!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USNAS100 Hits New ATH | Watch 22,520 for Possible Correction USNAS100 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
Nasdaq 100 Prints New ATH | Eyeing 22,640, But Correction Risk Builds
USNAS100 recorded a new all-time high, supported by broad bullish sentiment across U.S. indices after upbeat S&P and inflation data boosted risk appetite.
Technically, the index remains bullish, but signs of short-term exhaustion are appearing.
If the price closes below 22,520 on the 1H timeframe, a correction toward the 22,280 zone is likely.
However, a clean break above 22,640 would confirm continuation toward the next upside target at 22,790.
Key Levels
Pivot Line: 22,520
Resistance: 22,640 → 22,790
Support: 22,410 → 22,280 → 22,200
Take a look at the previous idea to see more reality...
PCEs & attacks on PowellWe are carefully monitoring the PCEs today, to see, "wins" this small battle in the rate-lowering war. Let's dig in.
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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GRAB — Breakout Confirmation and Strong Upside PotentialGrab Holdings (GRAB) is currently forming a promising technical setup supported by a breakout from long-term consolidation. After printing a strong low and breaking out of a multi-year range, the price action confirms a bullish reversal with clear structure.
Technical Analysis
– Trendline breakout and bullish market structure shift
– Price is consolidating above the breakout level, forming a continuation zone
– Valid entries: market execution above $4.50 or limit orders near $4.00 support
– First profit target: $6.60 (around 40% growth)
– Second target: $10.15 (over 100% from entry)
The setup suggests increasing bullish momentum. A clean consolidation above previous resistance strengthens the case for a breakout continuation toward $6.60 and potentially $10.15.
Fundamental Backdrop
Grab is a Southeast Asian tech leader operating across ride-hailing, food delivery, and digital payments. The company continues to reduce losses, improve margins, and expand its fintech arm. With rising digital adoption in the region and a shift toward profitability, GRAB is gaining investor attention. Its most recent earnings report showed improving revenue trends and narrowing net losses — a strong signal of long-term sustainability.
Conclusion
Grab Holdings presents a well-aligned opportunity from both a technical and fundamental perspective. With a clear structure, breakout confirmation, and fundamental turnaround, this setup fits both swing and midterm investment strategies. Risk management is still key — stops should be placed below consolidation lows or key structure levels.
Smart Friday Trades: NASDAQ Setup and Key Levels to Watch NAS100📊 NASDAQ US100 Analysis – Friday Setup
I'm currently watching the NASDAQ closely 👀. The NAS100 looks significantly overextended 📈, and with it being the end of the week, we often see price action push into the weekly high before pulling back into the weekly close 🔁.
This is a pattern I’ve seen play out many times during the New York session on Fridays 🗽📉.
💡 Here’s my suggestion:
Wait for today’s data release 📅 to finish. If price ranges and then breaks market structure to the downside, keep an eye out for a short entry on the retrace and retest of the range low.
🎯 Your targets and stop loss are outlined clearly in the video, so make sure to watch it through.
⚠️ Trade sensibly, manage your risk, and don't rush into anything.
I'd love to hear your thoughts in the comments 💬
Have an awesome day and I’ll see you in the next one! 🚀
BTC - Double Top after Liquidity Sweep?Price has recently executed a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep just above the previous high. This type of move often signals a potential shift in market direction, especially when followed by signs of exhaustion or failure to push higher. In this case, price has formed a double top near the 106,600 level, a classic sign of weakening bullish momentum and hesitation at a key resistance area.
Following the Sweep, the projection suggests a possible rejection from this region, leading to a corrective move to rebalance the inefficiencies left behind by the sharp upward impulse. These inefficiencies are marked as Fair Value Gaps —areas where price moved too quickly, leaving imbalanced zones between buyers and sellers. The market tends to return to these areas over time as it seeks equilibrium.
The first Gap lies just below the 0.28 Fibonacci retracement and may serve as an initial area for a reaction. If price slices through this level without meaningful support, attention shifts to the second Gap, which aligns closely with the 0.50 to 0.618 retracement zone. This region is historically significant for pullbacks and could offer a temporary pause or bounce.
Should the move extend further, the third and deepest Gap, located between the 0.618 and 0.65 levels , becomes a key area of interest. It marks a critical rebalancing zone that could attract stronger buying interest. If this area fails to hold, the 0.786 retracement level sits just below and may act as a final point for support before any broader directional change.
For refined entries, traders can watch lower timeframes like the 5-minute chart. Look for signs of weakness, such as an inverted Gap or a lower-timeframe break in structure, to time positions with tighter risk. This allows participation in the broader move while maintaining tactical precision.
The confluence of a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, a double top , and multiple Gaps below provides a clear framework for a potential downside play. As always, let the price action lead.
Patience, confirmation, and context are key to executing with confidence.
Nasdaq: At the Upper EdgeYesterday, the Nasdaq climbed above resistance at 22,475 points. Currently, the index is positioned outside our turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), which remains active. Stops for short positions 1% above the zone have not yet been triggered. Our primary scenario remains intact for now: technically, there is room for wave B to reach the next resistance at 23,229 points. Following the B-wave peak, a downtrend is expected with the corrective wave C. With a 42% probability, we anticipate that wave alt.(4) is already complete, and the index may break directly higher within the magenta-colored wave alt.(5), surpassing the 23,229-point mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
USNAS100 Eyes New ATH as Fed Rate Cut Bets &Ceasefire Fuel Rally USNAS100 OVERVIEW
Wall Street Gains as Rate Cut Hopes and Ceasefire Boost Sentiment
U.S. indices surged on Monday as growing expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in July helped offset market concerns over Middle East tensions.
The ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran further eased geopolitical risk, supporting bullish momentum on Wall Street.
Forward Outlook:
A combination of dovish monetary policy expectations and geopolitical de-escalation continues to support upside potential in U.S. equities.
TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – (USNAS100)
The price has stabilized above 22,090, signaling strength and opening the path toward a new All-Time High (ATH) and beyond.
As long as the price holds above 22,090, the bullish trend remains in control.
A break and stabilization below 22,090 would suggest a bearish correction may be underway.
Resistance Levels: 22,210 → 22,280 → 22,460
Support Levels: 21,930 → 21,850
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump
This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend.
Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now.
🪙 Bitcoin Stalling
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market.
But let’s be clear:
🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over
The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact.
However, in TradFi, there are cracks:
🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag
💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade
📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk
🔮 What to Expect
Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target)
A possible rebound after healthy consolidation
A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks
I’ll publish a new update when conditions change.
📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR.
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR