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Strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025)Nasdaq-100 E-mini Futures (NQM2025) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis Technical Overview: My Daily chart analysis on TradingView highlights a strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025). Here are the key takeaways: Liquidity Sweep & Support Retest: The recent decline led to a liquidity sweep (LQ SWEEP) at a critical ascending trendline. This suggests a classic stop-hunt scenario where weaker long positions were liquidated before stronger buyers stepped in. Historical price action indicates that buyers previously entered at similar levels (noted as "Buyers coming in hot here"), reinforcing this demand zone. Bullish Trendline Respect: The long-term ascending trendline has been respected, acting as a dynamic support level. The recent bounce suggests that this level remains intact, further validating the bullish structure. Order Block (OB) & Market Structure Shift (MSS): A previous bearish market structure shift (MSS) led to a short-term decline, but price has since found support and rebounded. The chart suggests a reversion to the upside, targeting prior imbalance zones and liquidity pockets. Projected Path & Targets: The green projection indicates an expectation of higher highs, likely targeting the 21,500 - 22,500 range in the coming weeks. The sell-side liquidity has been cleared, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the order block resistance near 21,000. Fundamental Confirmation (#EdgeFinder & #COT Data): From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is further confirmed by EdgeFinder data and recent Commitment of Traders (COT) reports: Institutional Positioning: The latest COT data shows that institutional traders have increased their net long positions in Nasdaq futures, signaling bullish sentiment. Macroeconomic Factors: Recent economic reports and Fed statements have favored a risk-on environment, benefiting tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq. Earnings season is approaching, with expectations of strong tech sector performance potentially fueling further upside. Conclusion & Market Sentiment: The confluence of technical support, institutional buying, and positive macroeconomic factors strengthens the case for a bullish continuation in Nasdaq-100 futures. The key level to watch is 20,000—if held, the probability of a move towards 21,500 - 22,500 increases significantly. Risk factors include unexpected macroeconomic shifts or stronger-than-expected hawkish Fed rhetoric, which could slow momentum. This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by OatesTrades94
Starbucks (SBUX) Brewing a Breakout? Don’t Miss This $100 BattleStarbucks (SBUX) 2-Hour Chart Breakdown Hey traders, let’s dive into Starbucks (SBUX) on the 2-hour chart and see what’s cooking. The price is sitting at $99.65 right now, up a tiny 0.01%, but don’t let that small move fool you—this chart has been a wild ride lately, and I think we’re at a really interesting spot for a potential trade. What’s Been Happening with the Price? If you look at the chart, you’ll see Starbucks hit a high of $112.38 back on March 17th. That was the peak, and man, did it come crashing down after that! The price tanked all the way to $97.34 by early April, a pretty steep drop. Since then, though, things have calmed down a bit, and we’ve been stuck in this tight range between $97.34 and $100.00. Lately, the price has been pushing toward the upper end of that range, and it’s got my attention. Let’s Talk Trends From mid-March to early April, we were in a clear downtrend. You can see it on the chart—lower highs, lower lows, and a descending trendline that kept the price in check as it slid down. It was a bear’s paradise, and there’s even a sell signal marked on the chart from that $112.38 peak that caught a massive 27.96% profit on the way down. Not bad at all! But now, things are starting to shift. After hitting that $97.34 low, the price has been consolidating, and just recently, it broke above that descending trendline. That’s a big deal because it tells me the bears might be losing their grip. We’re not in a full-on uptrend yet, but the momentum feels like it’s tilting toward the bulls, especially with the price testing that $100.00 level. Key Levels to Watch Let’s zoom in on the levels that matter here. On the downside, $97.34 has been a rock-solid support. The price has bounced off that level a couple of times in early April, so it’s a spot I’m keeping an eye on. If we drop back down, that’s where I’d expect buyers to step in again. On the upside, $100.00 is the big resistance we’re testing right now. The price has struggled to break through here before, so it’s a critical level. If we can get a clean break above it, I think we could see a nice move higher. The next big resistance after that would be around $107.00, which was a swing high from late March, and then up toward $111.00 or even that $112.38 peak if things really get going. What the Past Signals Tell Us The chart has a couple of trade signals marked, which give us some context. That sell signal at $112.38 was a home run, as I mentioned—27.96% profit as the price collapsed. Then there’s a buy signal at the $97.34 low on April 5th, but that one only managed a peak profit of 0.27%. Not exactly a big win, and it makes sense because the price has been stuck in this range since then. It’s like the market’s been taking a breather, trying to figure out its next move. Digging into the Technicals Alright, let’s get into the nitty-gritty of what’s happening on the chart. That break above the descending trendline is a bullish sign for me. It’s like the price is saying, “I’m done with this downtrend, let’s try something new.” We’re also in this consolidation range between $97.34 and $100.00, and when I see a range like that, I know a breakout is usually coming. The question is, which way? One thing that’s catching my eye is the potential for a double bottom pattern. We’ve got two tests of that $97.34 support, and if we can break above $100.00, that would confirm the pattern. If that happens, I’d measure the height of the pattern and project it upward, which could take us toward $107.00 as a first target. That’s something to watch for. I’d love to see volume on this chart to confirm the breakout, but from the price action alone, it feels like there’s some buying interest building as we push toward $100.00. If we get a strong candle closing above that level, I’ll be a lot more confident in the bulls. How I’d Trade This Setup So, what’s the play here? I see a few ways to approach this, depending on what the price does next. First, let’s talk about the bullish case. If we get a solid break above $100.00—ideally with a strong 2-hour candle and some good volume—I’d be looking to go long. My first target would be $107.00, and if we get some momentum, maybe even $111.00 or $112.38. I’d set my stop loss just below the recent swing low around $98.00 to protect myself in case this breakout fails. That trendline break and the potential double bottom make me think the bulls have a shot here. On the flip side, if the price gets rejected at $100.00—and I’ll be watching for something like a shooting star or a bearish engulfing candle—I’d consider a short. If we drop back down, $97.34 is the first target, and if that support breaks, we could even see $94.00, which is a psychological level and a spot where I’d expect some buyers to show up. For a short, I’d set my stop loss just above $100.65 to give it a little room. If you’re more of a scalper, you could play the range while we’re stuck in it. Buy near $97.34, sell near $100.00, and use tight stops outside the range—say, below $97.00 for longs and above $100.65 for shorts. It’s a decent way to grab some quick profits while we wait for the bigger move. A Word on Risk One thing I always remind myself is to keep risk in check. Starbucks has been volatile—look at that 27.96% drop from the peak! So, I’d be careful with my position size and aim for at least a 1:2 risk-reward ratio on any breakout trade. Also, keep an eye out for any news that might shake things up, like earnings reports or big economic data releases. Starbucks is in the consumer discretionary sector, so things like consumer spending trends or even coffee prices could move the stock. The Bigger Picture Speaking of the broader market, Starbucks can be influenced by how the NASDAQ 100 is doing, since it’s listed there. If the overall market is feeling optimistic, that could help push SBUX higher. On the other hand, if there’s a risk-off vibe, we might see that $100.00 resistance hold strong. It’s always good to check the bigger picture before jumping into a trade. Wrapping It Up So, where does that leave us? Starbucks is at a really interesting spot right now, testing that $100.00 resistance after breaking above the descending trendline. I’m leaning toward a bullish breakout, especially with that potential double bottom pattern, but I’ll be watching closely to see if we get confirmation above $100.00. If we do, I think $107.00 is a realistic target, with $111.00 or higher in play if the bulls really take control. But if we get rejected here, $97.34 is the level to watch on the downside. For now, I’d say be patient and wait for the price to show its hand. Whether you’re looking for a breakout or playing the range, there’s definitely an opportunity here. Just make sure to manage your risk and stay on top of any news that might move the stock. Let’s see how this plays out I’ll be watching this one closely!
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by wolfchemist
1
Breaking: Alvotech Shares Dips 5% On Earnings Report Shares of Alvotech (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:ALVO ) saw a noteworthy downtick of 5% amidst earnings report yesterday after market close. Alvotech, through its subsidiaries, develops and manufactures biosimilar medicines for patients worldwide. It offers biosimilar products in the therapeutic areas of autoimmune, eye, and bone disorders, as well as cancer. Financial Performance In 2024, Alvotech's revenue was $491.98 million, an increase of 426.84% compared to the previous year's $93.38 million. Losses were -$231.86 million, -57.98% less than in 2023. Highlights of the Financial Results for 2024 Full Year Cash position and sources of liquidity: As of December 31, 2024, the Company had cash and cash equivalents of $51.4 million. Product Revenue: Product revenue was $273.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $48.7 million for the same period in the prior year. License and Other Revenue: License and other revenue was $216.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $42.7 million for the same period in the prior year. The license and other revenue of $216.2 million was primarily attributable to the achievement of key research and development milestones during 2024: Cost of product revenue: Cost of product revenue was $185.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $160.9 million for the same period in the prior year. Research and development (R&D) expenses: R&D expenses were $171.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $210.8 million for the same period in the prior year. General and administrative (G&A) expenses: G&A expenses were $65.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $76.6 million for the same period in the prior year. Operating profit: Operating profit was $69.6 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to ($354.9) million for the same period in the prior year. Share of net loss of joint venture and loss on sale of interest in joint venture: In June 2024, the Company sold its share in the joint venture for gross proceeds of $18.0 million (less $1.3 million in transaction costs). The sale resulted in a net loss of $3.0 million during the year ended December 31, 2024. Finance income: Finance income was $80.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $4.8 million for the same period in the prior year. Finance costs: Finance costs were $303.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to $267.2 million for the same period in the prior year. Loss on extinguishment of financial liabilities: On June 7, 2024, the Company entered into a $965.0 million Senior Loan Facility, maturing in July 2029 that was funded in July 2024. Upon the closing of the Senior Loan Facility, the Company was required to settle its existing debt obligations. Income tax (expense) / benefit: Income tax expense was $14.3 million for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to a benefit of $99.3 million for the same period in the prior year. Loss for the Year: Reported net loss was $231.9 million, or ($0.87) per share on a basic and diluted basis, for the year ended December 31, 2024, compared to a reported net loss of $551.8 million, or ($2.42) per share on a basic and diluted basis, for the same period in the prior year.
NASDAQ:ALVO
by DEXWireNews
$NASDAQ420 May Be Set for 1000% Surge Amidst Falling Wedge The price of Nasdaq420 ($NASDAQ420) coin may be gearing up for a massive price surge amidst a steep falling wedge pattern. The token Nasdaq420 ($NASDAQ420) created on the Ethereum blockchain is a metaphysical evolution of the Nasdaq100, harnessing vibrational energy to manifest the community's truest desires. The asset since creation surge to $15.51 million in market cap before consolidating to $1.59 Million in market cap. Albeit not listed on any CEX, the token's price chart depicts a bullish reversal is brewing with a 1000% surge in sight. With the tokens immediate competitor $SPX6900 performing brilliantly well, Nasdaq420 ($NASDAQ420) will be poised to mirror such moves and bring light to its project and the community. With the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 53 Nasdaq420 ($NASDAQ420) has been holding the bears for long in the $1 million market cap support zone. With an active community of 2600 on Telegram, 2972 on X (formerly Twitter), Nasdaq420 ($NASDAQ420) might just be the next gem in the Ethereum memecoinomy. Nasdaq420 Price Live Data The live Nasdaq420 price today is $0.001593 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $14,041.94 USD. Nasdaq420 is down 2.82% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,593,336.2. The circulating supply is 1,000,000,000 NASDAQ420 and the max. supply is 1,000,000,000 NASDAQ420.
UNISWAP:NASDAQ420WETH_6C618D.USDLong
by DEXWireNews
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower, facing resistance at the 240-day moving average on the daily chart. With a significant gap between the price and the 5-day moving average, a pullback toward the 5-day MA was anticipated. The index did find support at the 5-day MA, closing with a lower wick. The key question now is whether the current correction wave will fill the gap created on Monday, as it faced resistance at the 240-day line. If you’re looking to buy on dips, it’s best to focus on the gap area as a potential support zone. The MACD remains in a golden cross, and with a noticeable spread from the signal line, the market is likely to stay range-bound unless a bearish crossover occurs. On the 240-minute chart, a bearish crossover (death cross) has formed, suggesting the potential for further downside. However, the price is approaching a strong support zone where buying interest previously emerged. Thus, buying on dips in lower zones may be favorable. In the short term, both the MACD and the signal line remain above the zero line, indicating a possible short-term rebound. Be cautious with chasing short positions and monitor lower time frames. Also, don’t forget: Today’s GDP release may influence market direction. Crude Oil Oil closed higher, reaching $70 on the daily chart. Since the $70–71 range is a major resistance zone, it’s likely the trend may consolidate in this area. The daily MACD is rising sharply, and buying pressure appears strong and one-sided. Despite the resistance at $70–71, if oil gaps up over the weekend, there’s a chance this resistance could be broken by a gap-up move on Monday. Keep an open mind to this possibility, but also be cautious over the weekend (over-the-weekend risk). On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is bouncing off the signal line, with strong renewed buying pressure. However, if oil fails to break higher, a MACD divergence could develop, so avoid chasing longs at elevated levels. Overall, it’s safer to treat the $71 level as the upper boundary of a range, favoring short-term selling strategies. Watch the lower timeframes for signs of trend reversal. Gold Gold ended the day flat within a narrow range, forming a small consolidation box ahead of today’s GDP release and tomorrow’s PCE data. The daily MACD is converging with the signal line, suggesting we are approaching a turning point — either a new leg up or a bearish crossover. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain open, so it’s important to monitor how the market reacts to upcoming data. If gold fails to push higher, a bearish divergence may form, opening the door to a pullback toward the 5-week MA on the weekly chart. On the 240-minute chart, both MACD and the signal line are hovering near the zero line, indicating sideways movement. Since the signal line remains above zero, the buy side still holds a slight edge, but confirmation via a strong bullish or bearish candle is needed to establish a trend. Any MACD signal triggered at the zero line could lead to a larger directional move, so keep that in mind. Until data is released, continue range-bound trading, and avoid premature long or short positions, as today’s trend may remain undecided. March is coming to an end. Make sure to keep a close eye on today and tomorrow's data releases and aim to close the month with solid results. Wishing you a successful trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Everyone’s scared of booze stocks… Why I’m still buyingThis analysis is provided by Eden Bradfeld at BlackBull Research. One of the things I find interesting is that a lot of people say “why do you like booze stocks so much Eden” and yet many of these same people are at the pub, or buying En primeur from Glengarry Wines. The short answer is — I like stocks that trade at multi-year lows with a predictable product. There is a fairly hysterical article in the FT wondering “Is alcohol the new tobacco?” To which I say, well, tobacco companies are absolute cash machines. The best performing stock in the S&P, of all time, to the best of my knowledge, is Altria. I know investing in tobacco is not fashionable (and yet, how many people do you see on the street vaping?). I know it goes against “ESG” and the scolds at public health slap you on the hand and say “gosh that is very bad for you!”. But the truth is that tobacco does generate tremendous profits — the net income margin for British American Tobacco is 39.1%. For those in the back, that’s for every $1 you sell, you make 39.1 cents of profit. There’s very few businesses with such fantastic operating margins — Visa’s net income margin is 56%. If I owned only one stock forever, I guess it’d probably be Visa. My point is — waving your hands about and saying “oh no! Tobacco!” belies the economics of it. The tobacco companies are doing very well, thank you very much. It will come as no surprise that cigarette smoking has been replaced by vaping. To paraphrase Oscar Wilde, news of nicotine’s demise has been greatly exaggerated. This is not saying to invest in tobacco stocks, but my point is that human habits don’t change. They merely evolve, but the song remains the same. To be fair — alcohol consumption is declining. But it isn’t declining at a rate that calls for any kind of alarm. Most of the companies I follow — Brown Forman, Diageo, Constellation, etc, reported largely flat sales. It’s also instructive to look to history. In other words — alcohol consumption has largely normalised in the last few decades. There’s still cause for worry — I think wine is one area of concern, and Cognac is another — both industries need to think about how they introduce younger drinkers to their product. This is why I largely shy away from wine (and why Constellation is selling their wine portfolio). “Evergreens” like Guinness (a Diageo brand) and Jack Daniel’s (a Brown-Forman brand) are predictable. Once again — a bunch of ratios for ya’ll: Brown-Forman: 18x fwd earnings Pernod: 12x fwd earnings Constellation Brands: 13.25x fwd earnings And so on… these stocks trade like they are discount retailers in biddlybunk Ohio. They are not. There’s the issue. There’s where value lies. Cigarettes never went away; they became vapes. In my opinion, I don’t see booze going away anytime soon either.
NYSE:MO
by BlackBull_Markets
NASDAQ on the first minor pullback of the new bullish wave.Nasdaq / US100 has just started the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The bottom was made 2 weeks ago and every time the bullish wave crossed over its 4hour MA50, it is expected to make a pullback retest at some point. This pullback is taking place today. Whether it replicates the first bullish wave of the Channel Up or the second, the index aims for either a 22.48% total rise or the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. Both happen to be around the same level. Buy and target a little under them at 23400. Previous chart: Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TheCryptagon
1
My NQ Long Idea 26/03/2025There is a big technical area that has taken the spotlight in NQ and it is around the 50% fib level with a gap opening. US economy has seen some strengthening recently with the FED looking neutral-dovish. A price correction may not even occur here it can keep going up continuously the moment we have a conclusive risk-on environment. Inflation has cooled down from 3.0 to 2.8 and interest rate was held at 4.50 from 4.50. We are expecting a rate cut of 0.25 bps by Q2 so the market is looking forward to price that in. I see a potential "buy the rumor" then "sell the news" scenario here. So during the next fomc meeting we may get a small sell off for a price correction then NQ will continue its up momentum. Technical setup looks good I expect a turbulent price action which will fill the opening gap at the 50% a consolidation here can be healthy for price action before we get a Wyckoff spring. We have recently exited a bearish channel and entered a new bullish channel which is still in progress but must pay attention to it as we could start trending in that direction. I may take a short position (for the short term) since I anticipate a correction to the gap at the 50%.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by stingotho
Nasdaq in Correction: Technical Targets and Weekly OutlookWe can observe that Nasdaq has started a new corrective leg since its last recovery in early Q3 2024. Currently, the index is experiencing its first rebound and test of the 20-period moving average (MA20, in green) since this average turned downward. Typically, this scenario triggers a selling reaction, with the first target at the previous low of 19,200. If selling pressure intensifies, the next projections are at 18,300 and 17,900. However, from a weekly perspective, there is still room for a deeper correction, potentially reaching the 200-period moving average (MA200), which is currently at 15,690. When applying a Fibonacci retracement to the last major bullish leg (Oct 10, 2022 – Feb 17, 2025), we see that the 50% retracement level aligns closely with the weekly MA200 at 16,300. We know that price movements do not follow a straight line but rather unfold in waves. Given this context, the bias remains bearish, and I see further corrections ahead in the U.S. market.
SKILLING:US100Short
by Luiz_soares
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100
by InvestingScope