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Why I'm Bullish in the market on the midtermIntroduction I want to break down why I’m optimistic about the current market conditions and share my strategy as we approach the release of CPI data. I’ll walk you through the big picture—the macroeconomic landscape, the Fed’s approach, economic indicators, and the geopolitical situation MACRO ANALYSIS 1. Fed’s Approach Dovish Let’s start by looking at the macro environment. Right now, the Federal Reserve is signaling rate cuts. Market now is expecting a 0.50 cut at the end of the year. A good question is why the Fed is cutting rates. In my opinion, the most important reason is that inflation is almost at its target of 2% year over year. This is crucial because it tells us that the economy isn’t overheating anymore. The Fed no longer needs to keep rates high to control inflation. So what happens when rates come down? Companies can borrow money at lower costs, consumers can spend more freely, and overall, this adds fuel to the economy. We’re also seeing quantitative easing, meaning more liquidity is being pumped into the market. This will likely lead to a weaker US dollar, which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. A weaker dollar can boost exports and benefit risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies and equities. Adding to that, CHINA, Japan and potentially the EUR are taking dovish behavior in their monetary policy, CHINA stimulating the economy strongly. BOJ reducing the hawkish,Adding more fuel to the global markets. 2. Economic Strength We’re seeing strong economic indicators. JOLTS Job opening 8.14M vs 7.64M, ISM Services PMI were stronger than expected 54.9 VS 51.7 and continued above 50 indicating expansion. NFP data 254k vs 247 number better than expected, Unemployment rate 4.1% vs 4.2% better than expected. These are signs that businesses are still hiring, consumers are still spending, and overall, the economy is not strugglin. This is important because it means we’re not cutting rates due to a weak economy and helping it—. The FED is cutting rates because inflation is coming under control, not because businesses are struggling. This distinction is key for my optimism. Lower borrowing costs paired with a strong economy create a good environment for growth. This means that a dovish monetary policy, strong economy potentiate the growth, expansion, investment on the economy and business that this is reflected in the equities prices. 3. Geopolitical Conflict The third piece of the puzzle is the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. Yes, this adds some uncertainty to the global outlook, but from a market perspective, geopolitical events tend to create short-term volatility. As long as the situation doesn’t escalate further, I don’t see it as a mid-term threat to the broader market. When the situation stabilizes, we could even see markets gain more confidence. For now, I’m not letting this weigh too heavily on my decision-making. Elections USA, just adding on this part that both sides are going to continue expanding the debt and increasing the expenditures, Trump is proposing more stimulus to the economy with a more aggressive reduction of the rates. Generally both sides offers similar paths but Trump more aggressive CONCLUSION In the midterm the macro indicates a good environment for the equities to continue higher. Some names I’m looking for are in the crypto space such as IBIT, ETF as TQQQ and stocks as NVDA, Meta. But I will cover in another letter
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by AJTRADER84
NASDAQ: HTCR | Technical Review 07/10/2024​Supported by their strong profit forecast, we are starting to see investors building up position in Heartcore Enterprise Inc. (NASDAQ: HTCR) despite huge profit taking activity was seen in last Friday. Nevertheless, HTCR's share price was strongly supported around its current level, with the expectation to hold around $0.750 for the remaining of the week. We deem this as a Trading BUY opportunity for those who have not built any position on hand for HTCR.
NASDAQ:HTCRLong
by HASHInvests200
NAS100 / US100 (NASDAQ) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The US100 (NASDAQ) has maintained a bullish trend, but we recently observed a bearish break in market structure, followed by a bullish shift in the trend again. Currently, price action appears uncertain. However, I am watching the NAS100 closely for potential opportunities if and when the conditions discussed in the video unfold. Disclaimer: Trading carries significant risk, and market conditions can change rapidly. The information in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any trading decisions. 📊✅
FX:NAS100
by fxtraderanthony
XAU/USD : More Bullish Move ??? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, after the NFP news release, which was higher than the forecasted rate, the price experienced a sharp decline, dropping over 290 pips down to $2,632. Following this drop, the price rebounded to gather more liquidity and rose to the key supply level of $2,670, after which it faced another strong decline, correcting down to $2,642. Ultimately, on the last trading day of the past week, the price closed at $2,653.840. Considering the rising tensions between Iran and Israel, if the conflict escalates, I expect Gold to open with further bullish movement. Keep in mind that at the market opening, we could witness high volatility in the price, so it's better to be cautious with your trades and wait for the market to stabilize to find better trading setups during the London and New York sessions. (This analysis will be updated.) Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
14
NASDAQ critical crossroads for the short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) recovered its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Friday, which is something that puts the short-term pull-back since September 26 on hold. In fact, as long as the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the index is more likely to resume the long-term Channel Up pattern and post a similar +11.00% rebound. So for now, we remain bullish, targeting 21600 (+11.00% from the last week's low). If on the other hand the 4H MA200 breaks, we will most likely extend the short-term correction all the way to the dotted Higher Lows trend-line. Of course in that case, the (blue) Channel Up will be invalidated, and we will take the loss on the long and sell instead, targeting 19000. The 4H RSI is posting a Bear Flag similar to August 29 - September 02, which favors the bearish scenario. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
NANO Nuclear Energy (NNE) AnalysisCompany Overview: NANO Nuclear Energy NASDAQ:NNE is at the forefront of the clean energy revolution, focusing on small modular reactors (SMRs) and microreactors. These innovations are vital for delivering reliable, clean energy to remote areas and are also being considered for space exploration, potentially opening up vast new revenue streams. Key Catalysts: Small Modular Reactors (SMRs): SMRs offer a scalable, reliable solution for generating clean energy, especially in areas where traditional infrastructure is difficult or costly to develop. Space Exploration Potential: Microreactors are being considered for space exploration, which could lead to significant revenue opportunities in the burgeoning space economy. Partnership with Idaho National Laboratory: This collaboration adds credibility to NNE’s technology and accelerates the path to commercialization. Vertical Integration: NNE is vertically integrating its operations with plans for a HALEU fuel fabrication facility, ensuring control over critical components and improving efficiency. Expansion Commitment: The recent acquisition of a 14,000-square-foot facility in Oak Ridge, TN, demonstrates the company's commitment to growth and infrastructure development. Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NNE above $12.00-$13.00, based on its leadership in SMRs and promising new markets like space exploration. Upside Potential: Our upside target is $25.00-$26.00, driven by strong partnerships, technological advancements, and commercialization progress. 🚀 NNE—Leading the Future of Clean Energy with Innovation. #NuclearEnergy #SMRs #CleanTech
NASDAQ:NNELong
by Richtv_official
XAU/USD : NFP's effect on the market! (READ THE CAPTION)In the latest analysis of the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, yesterday the price rose to $2654, and exactly after reaching this key level, it faced heavy selling pressure and corrected by 175 pips down to $2637. After hitting the target of $2638 and gathering the liquidity below this level, buying pressure emerged, and today it managed to rise to $2667. Currently, gold is trading around $2656, and in less than 30 minutes, the NFP data will be released. If the figures come in higher than the forecast, it could lead to a decline in gold prices to lower levels, and conversely, if the figures are below the forecast, it could lead to an increase in gold prices. Please note that the risk of an Israel-Iran war still hangs over this market, so we should be cautious with our personal trades. Personally, I believe that today the NFP figures will be higher than expected, which may lead to a decline in gold prices. The potential targets are $2654.5, $2649, $2642.5, and $2638, respectively. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
64
GBP/USD : First Long, Then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the GBP/USD chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has dropped more than 200 pips since last week up until now, finally reaching the demand level we had marked on the chart. After reaching the 1.30720 demand level, the price encountered strong demand pressure, rising over 60 pips and ultimately closing at 1.31132 . The total return of this analysis so far has been over 260 pips . It is likely that after an initial upward movement, we will see further price correction. The Main Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
The Rocket Booster Strategy "This strategy has only 3 steps"On Friday the jobs report came out very positive but if you look at the unemployment rate FRED:UNRATE and zoom out for about 1 year You may see a different story Am going to show you a simple technical analysis tool called the rocket booster strategy This strategy has only 3 steps and the steps are as follows: Step#1:The price has to be above the 50 MA Step#2:The price has to be above the 200 MA Steps3:The price should gap up in a trend Using these 3 steps you can see this on the chart shown to you. If you want to learn more rocket boost this content Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money whether you like it or not, please learn risk management and profit-taking strategies.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by lubosi
#Tesla Analysis : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing Tesla's weekly chart (logarithmic), we observe that after a correction down to $209, the price experienced renewed buying pressure and was able to climb back up to $265. Once the price reached this significant supply level again, it faced selling pressure and has, so far, corrected down to $240. I expect that if the weekly candle closes and stabilizes below $242, we may see further correction in this company's stock. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
DreamAnalysis | Nasdaq Analysis Trends and Key Levels✨ Today’s Focus: US100 (Nasdaq) – A Critical Market Asset We’ll analyze recent price movements and share insights on potential future trends based on key market levels. 📊 Current Market Overview: Currently, the price has swept a significant Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) level, but there hasn’t been much movement since. The market is consolidating, and it’s essential to monitor the recent Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and SSL levels. Based on current conditions, we anticipate a likely downward movement, and we’ll explain why. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Here are the critical zones we’re tracking: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - 4H FVG: Fair Value Gap (imbalance zone) These levels represent crucial areas where price may accumulate liquidity or rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) indicate zones where the market might retrace to gather orders before continuing its trend. 📈 Bullish Scenario: For a bullish outlook, we would look for long positions following a sweep of the Previous Week Low (PWL). However, we need to wait for the SSL to be taken out first. Once that occurs, we can target long positions aimed at the Buy-Side, specifically focusing on the BSL and Equal High (EQH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: The optimal bearish scenario involves a sweep through the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL), followed by a tap into the 4H Fair Value Gap (4H FVG), which coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement level. Alternatively, we could see the price rise higher, taking out the EQH or even the Previous Month High (PWH) before reversing. Therefore, we’ll need a lower time frame (LTF) entry model rather than entering shorts impulsively. 📝 Conclusion: Stay adaptable to evolving market conditions. By closely monitoring these key levels and scenarios, you’ll enhance your strategy and identify potential opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Keep an eye out for updates as we track the NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major currency pairs. Expect timely insights as market trends unfold. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by DreamAnalysis
1
US100 H1 - Short SignalUS100 H1 Here is a little range we were discussing yesterday evening on the call, this 19,850 resistance price, down to 19,600 support price, a nice 250 point range which could be utilised. I'm not going to go too heavy with the setups today, because until we see the data cluster, we want to observe rather than to be involved so much. Markets are often hesitant and stagnant around these types of economic events. So lets just sit cash for a while and evaluation post event, hopefully the data will give us some opportunities and entries and the stock market open will really help push the volume and give us some drive we need to yield some nice profit.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
1