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XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949. Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios: 1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target. 2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923. This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
73
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI. Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash if stocks bounce, panic may price out if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.
TVC:NDQ
by Sangam-Agarwal
Breaking: $SAIC Surged 6% In Premarket Amidst Q4 ReportsScience Applications International Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:SAIC ) surged 6% in premarket trading on Monday amidst Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2025 Results. Fourth Quarter Earnings Highlights Q4 FY25 revenues of $1.84 billion, 5.8% organic growth(1); FY25 revenues of $7.48 billion, 3.1% organic growth(1); organic growth adjusted for divestitures Q4 FY25 net income of $98 million, adjusted EBITDA(1) of $177 million or 9.6% of revenue; FY25 net income of $362 million, adjusted EBITDA(1) of $710 million or 9.5% of revenue. Q4 FY25 diluted earnings per share of $2.00, adjusted diluted earnings per share(1) of $2.57; FY25 diluted earnings per share of $7.17, adjusted diluted earnings per share(1) of $9.13. Q4 FY25 cash flows provided by operating activities of $115 million, free cash flow(1) and transaction-adjusted free cash flow(1) of $236 million; FY25 cash flows provided by operating activities of $494 million, free cash flow(1) of $499 million, transaction-adjusted free cash flow(1) of $507 million. Q4 FY25 net bookings of $1.3 billion; book-to-bill ratio of 0.7; trailing twelve months book-to-bill ratio of 0.9 FY26 guidance introduced above prior targets for revenues, adjusted EBITDA(1), adjusted EBITDA margin(1), and adjusted diluted EPS(1). Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:SAIC stock is up 6% in Monday's premarket trading, with the asset closing Friday's session with an RSI of 47 giving the stock more room to capitalize on this medium momentum to surge to new highs and possibly break the 1-month high pivot.
NASDAQ:SAICLong
by DEXWireNews
QQQ Nasdaq 100 Year-End Price Target and Technical Rebound SetupIf you haven`t bought the previous oversold area on QQQ: Now the Nasdaq-100 ETF (QQQ), which tracks the performance of the largest non-financial companies in the Nasdaq, has recently entered oversold territory, suggesting that a technical rebound may be imminent. Similar to the Russell 2000, QQQ has experienced significant selling pressure, driving key technical indicators into oversold zones and creating favorable conditions for a bounce. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30, a level that typically signals oversold conditions and the potential for a reversal. Additionally, QQQ is trading near key support levels, with a large portion of its components underperforming their 50-day and 200-day moving averages — a classic setup for a mean reversion rally. From a historical perspective, QQQ has shown a tendency to rebound strongly after similar oversold conditions, particularly when macroeconomic factors stabilize and buying pressure returns. Given the current technical setup, my price target for QQQ is $550 by the end of the year. This represents a recovery of approximately 8-10% from current levels, aligning with previous post-oversold rallies in the index. While downside risks remain — including potential volatility around Federal Reserve policy and broader economic data — the technical backdrop suggests that QQQ is well-positioned for a recovery in the coming months.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by TopgOptions
#202511 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaq e-mini futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Let’s take this from the weekly chart. Market has not dipped below the 2024-09 low but that was way too much to expect for bears. 14% down in 4 weeks straight selling is beyond unsustainable but it’s also very very unlikely that this was it and we just go up again. My thesis is a new bear trend until proven otherwise. How would bulls do that? Anything above 21100 would be too high for a retracement in a strong bear trend and it would likely fit a trading range narrative. Trading range would mean 2024-04 low at 17900 to 2024-12 ath at 22450. Bear trend is drawn on the chart and would lead to at least the 50% retracement of this bull trend since 2022, down to around 17500. When will we know? If market retraces below or to the 50% around 20400 and strongly reverses down again, I see my theory confirmed so far. For next week I can’t see anything but a big short squeeze to trap late bears. 19140 was such a weird place to reverse and I can only see this already being strong bulls buying the dip and trapping everyone who thought we were going for 19000. current market cycle: strong bear trend but pullback expected key levels: 19140 - 20500 bull case: Bulls have only going for them that this selling is beyond overdone and climactic and Friday' was a very strong bullish day on huge volume. My bear target was 19600 and we almost printed 19000. 20000 is the first obvious target for a pullback but I think a 50% retracement to 20700 is doable, since the daily 20ema is also at 20400. I expect the market to fight the real battle for either the new bear trend or a multi-year trading range around 20000. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Bears showed more strength and got below my measured move target of 19600 but failed above the 2024-09 low at 18867. Last time bears made this much money was 2024-07 where we corrected for 16.91% to then rally 25.59% higher over the next 19 weeks. Hand on heart I do think it’s much more likely we will see that pattern from 2024 repeated than a new bear trend. A trading range 19000 - 22450 is much more likely than going down to 16000. As of now. Can this change if the US really goes into a bigger recession? Of course but for now this is front-running the possible risk because we got up so much the past years that funds really need to secure some profits this time. For next week I have absolutely nothing for the bears. This selling is overdone and market is so much more likely to squeeze late bears, that I won’t look for any short trades until we see 20000 or higher. Invalidation is above 21100. short term: Heavy bullish bias for 20000 and likely 20400. Above 20500 air would get real thin again, if this was the start of a bear market. For now I think the pattern from 2024-07 is more likely to repeat than the bear trend as drawn on the chart. medium-long term - Update from 2024-03-16: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish, given in my year-end special. We don’t know if we have printed the W1 of the new bear trend or repeat the pattern from 2024, where we sold of very strong to reverse even more strongly and make new all time highs. Market needs a bounce and around 20000/20500 we will see the real battle for the next weeks. current swing trade: None chart update: Updated the possible bear trend and added a bullish alternative to show what we did in 2024. For now the bullish path is more likely.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Long
by priceactiontds
Nas100 1. Market Structure & Context The market has been in a bullish uptrend within a rising channel (trendlines). A "Diagonal Expecting" zone suggests a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. A "Trend Trap" indicates a possible liquidity grab before a major move. 2. ICT Concepts Applied Liquidity Grab & Manipulation: The market may have engineered liquidity above the previous highs before the sell-off. The "Sell Off" label suggests Smart Money could be distributing positions at the premium levels. Market Structure Shift (MSS): If the price breaks the trend trap zone with conviction, it signals a shift from bullish to bearish order flow. Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Price Targets: The first take-profit level at 16,529.9 aligns with an area where liquidity might rest. The final target at 14,125.1 suggests price filling an imbalance or mitigating an order block (OB) at a lower timeframe. 3. Expected Move Potential Short-Term Rebound: A small retracement could occur before the major drop (blue projection). Overall Bearish Expectation: A strong downward move into lower levels where Smart Money may reaccumulate positions. Conclusion This chart is anticipating a significant bearish move after a liquidity grab at highs, with take-profit zones aligning with ICT principles like FVG fills and order block mitigation. If the market respects these areas, traders could look for confirmation (e.g., displacement, breaker structures) to enter short positions.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by HuntingTraps
2
Tesla Stock Analysis: Nearly 50% wiped offTesla Stock Analysis: Navigating Key Support and Resistance Levels. Tesla (TSLA) has experienced significant volatility, with its stock price retreating nearly 50% from its all-time high (ATH). The last major rally, which began on October 23, 2024, at approximately $211, propelled the stock to an ATH of $487 on December 18, 2024. However, since reaching this peak, Tesla has been on a downward trajectory, breaching key Fibonacci retracement levels. Recently, the stock fell below the critical 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, reaching $250 before staging a minor bounce. Despite this rebound, Tesla is currently struggling beneath a confluence of a descending trendline and a horizontal support-turned-resistance zone, creating a challenging environment for bullish momentum. Key Technical Factors to Watch: 📉 Bearish Pressure Below Resistance The confluence of the descending trendline and horizontal resistance is currently capping Tesla’s recovery attempts. A rejection at this level could reinforce selling pressure and push the stock toward retesting lower support zones.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ForexClinik
corrections continue The NASDAQ 100, on the 1-hour chart, has shown notable declines in recent weeks, as reflected in the provided image. From the recent high near 19,940.0 (labeled "E"), the index has undergone a significant correction, breaking key levels and approaching critical support zones. The price is currently testing the 18,717.8 level (138% Fibonacci according to the "tag pole"), a level that could act as temporary support. Context of the Declines Recent declines have been influenced by factors such as macroeconomic uncertainty, including interest rate expectations and the strength of the dollar (USD), in addition to profit-taking following a previous rally. On the 1-hour chart, this corrective movement has brought the index to a confluence between the descending channel (labeled "D") and important Fibonacci levels, such as the 138% at 18,717.8 and the 100% at 18,466.7. Possibility of a Further Downside Given the 1-hour timeframe, the NASDAQ could extend its correction before a rebound. The next relevant support zone is located at 18,466.7 (100% Fibonacci), which coincides with a previous liquidity level (labeled "B"). If this support fails, the price could head towards 18,200, where a stronger support zone is observed (labeled "V"). The corrective structure with waves (I-IV) suggests that we are in wave IV, and a downward wave V could complete in this zone before a trend reversal. Rebound Scenario Once the price reaches these supports, especially 18,466.7 or 18,200, we are likely to see a technical rebound. This could lead the index to retest resistance at 19,000 or even the 19,726.9 level (labeled IV) if the correction is considered complete. Traders may see reversal signals such as divergences in the RSI or a hammer pattern in these areas. Conclusion: Keep an eye on 18,466.7 as critical support. A break below could target 18,200, but a rebound from these levels seems imminent after the current correction.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by JAG_Trader
2025-03-13 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaq futuresGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls can’t get anything going that’s not sold heavily. I can’t see this not closing at the lows tomorrow. The target is obvious, 2024-09 low at 18867. The tight bear channel started at 22245. This selling without any meaningful bounce is so weird and overdone, it’s hard to grasp. We went from melting higher on literally any news to not being able to close green on a week where news were all in line or not bad. I can not take this as a W1 of a new bear market where my next target is likely 18000 for W3 and 16000 for W5. current market cycle: trading range - only daily closes below 20000 mark the end of this bull trend key levels: 19000 - 21000 bull case: Easy as pie to write. Bulls need anything above 19800. Anything below is much more likely to that we sell hard again, since it’s not stopping. Bulls can not trap any bears and are quick to give up on any selling pressure. Best for bulls would be to stay above today’s low and make another higher low above 19165. Weekly close above 19500 would surprise me big time. Invalidation is below 19140. bear case: Bears are really overdoing it. A 5-10% up move is around the corner I think. Next target below is the September 2024 low at 18867, which aligns somewhat with the current bear channel. The channel is the dominant feature right now, so trade it. My base assumption for tomorrow is another try by the bulls and heavy selling into the weekend. Would not be surprised if we close the week below 19000. Invalidation is above 19600 but bulls need something above 19800 if they want further upside. 19600 is just the break of the bear channel. short term: Can only be neutral for now. Having a bullish bias but bulls are not doing enough for now. I wait. 20k is my first target. Nothing changed. Selling down here is not for me. medium-long term - Update from 2024-02-23: Will update this on the weekend. Bear trend has started. trade of the day: Yeah. Globex printed the high of the day early and market could not get above it or 19600 for that matter. I thought a trading range day was much more likely and we had decent two-sided trading but bulls are running for the exists and just want out. 6 x 1h bars that struggled to stay above 19550 was the cue that we likely test down again.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
Nvidia Just Under Major SupportNvidia seems to have been pulled down by the Dow just like Apple as both are just under major support. I'm sorry for my previous Nvidia chart that drew support near 140, I recognize where I screwed up, but this chart should be good. Fortunately actual 117 support wasn't that far below and my NVDA isn't too in the red. NVDA has the lowest revenue multiple in years right now. I know it's well off it's long term trend line, but it's growth rate is unlike anything it's ever been so expecting a steeper trend line to appear makes a lot of sense. Eventually I would imagine we'll get back to that trend line, but not anytime soon. The Dow hitting major support should finally lift NVDA and the others that have been dragged down like AAPL and AMZN. Good luck!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bwy