Analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower due to disappointment following Nvidia's new product announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD failed to converge with the Signal line, turning downward, and strong selling pressure emerged. If the weekly chart shows a candle with an upper wick breaking below the 10-day moving average, a dead cross on the MACD is likely. On the daily chart, the index has found support twice at the 60-day moving average. However, if it breaks below this level during the current selling wave, there’s potential for further declines toward the monthly 5-day moving average at 20,880.
The 240-minute chart has triggered a sell signal around the MACD zero line, indicating the possibility of steep declines if selling continues. The Nasdaq is currently forming a pattern of lower highs, favoring sell-side strategies. However, with Friday's non-farm payroll data approaching, pre-market movement may remain range-bound.
Oil
Oil closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Although it hasn’t pulled back to the 3-week moving average on the weekly chart, continued gains this week could result in a candlestick pattern that reflects support at this level. Strong buying momentum persists on the daily chart, making buy-side strategies advantageous. Selling opportunities may arise if oil challenges the previous high at $76.
The steep divergence between current prices and daily moving averages suggests the need for some price or time correction to bring the moving averages closer. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal emerged but was followed by a short-term rebound. Given the divergence and angles of the MACD and Signal lines, an immediate breakout to the upside seems unlikely. If prices rise but the MACD fails to form a golden cross, a pullback is likely. Avoid chasing the rally; instead, focus on buying dips at key levels and selling at highs.
Gold
Gold closed higher with an upper wick, showing significant volatility following economic data releases. On the daily chart, gold continues to consolidate within a range. As Friday’s non-farm payroll data approaches, further consolidation is likely, so avoid chasing buying at highs or selling at lows. The MACD and Signal lines on the daily chart show minimal divergence, indicating a range-bound movement.
On the 240-minute chart, another buy signal has appeared, but given the upcoming data releases, it’s more practical to approach this as part of a range-bound strategy rather than expecting a breakout. Exercise caution and focus on range-trading until clearer trends emerge.
■Pre-Market Trading Strategies
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,280 / 21,230 / 21,160 / 21,060 / 20,990
-Sell Levels: 21,450 / 21,505 / 21,555 / 21,600 / 21,680
Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 74.20 / 73.80 / 73.10 / 72.70
-Sell Levels: 74.90 / 75.40 / 76.40 / 77.20
Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,659 / 2,654 / 2,649 / 2,644 / 2,635
-Sell Levels: 2,669 / 2,676 / 2,681
These strategies are applicable only during pre-market hours, with profit-taking and stop-loss levels set as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 15–20 ticks.
Trade successfully while keeping an eye on market indicators!
Nasdaq
BUY Rating: SBC Medical Group – A Compelling Growth StorySBC Medical Group Holdings (NASDAQ: SBC), a leader in end-to-end solutions for aesthetic clinics, has earned a "BUY" rating, reflecting its robust growth trajectory and strategic expansion initiatives. The company’s recent performance and forward-looking plans justify its valuation, presenting an attractive opportunity for investors.
Valuation and Market Position
Compared with SBC’s current price with a valuation target of $11, underscores its growth potential. Despite facing challenges like fluctuating exchange rates and integration costs from recent acquisitions, the company’s fundamentals remain strong. SBC’s market capitalisation stands at $697 million, supported by an annual revenue estimate of $217 million for 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 12%.
While SBC operates in the competitive medical aesthetics space, its comprehensive suite of consulting, marketing, and equipment leasing services distinguishes it from peers. The company’s ability to generate steady revenue and expand profit margins highlights its efficiency in leveraging its unique business model.
International Expansion Driving Growth
A pivotal driver of SBC's growth is its strategic acquisition of Aesthetic Healthcare Holdings (AHH) in Singapore. AHH operates 21 outlets under established brands like SkinGo! and The Chelsea Clinics. Singapore's business-friendly regulatory environment, strong economic growth, and status as a regional hub make it an ideal base for SBC’s expansion into Southeast Asia.
Singapore’s GDP growth and high levels of U.S. foreign direct investment further validate SBC’s choice to focus on the region. This acquisition not only accelerates SBC's regional footprint but also positions the company to capitalise on the growing demand for aesthetic services across Asia.
Financial Highlights
SBC’s Q3 2024 revenue reached $53.1 million, a 12.3% year-over-year increase, with gross profit rising to $43.2 million and margins improving to 81.5% from 70.9% in the prior year. This growth was driven by a shift toward higher-margin revenue streams, including royalty income (29.6% of revenue) and procurement services (33.1%).
The company’s decision to discontinue its lower-margin management services business has further enhanced its profitability. Net income for the quarter was $2.8 million, or $0.03 per share, with strong contributions from franchisee expansion and increased demand for aesthetic treatments.
Financial Flexibility
SBC's financial position is robust, with $137.4 million in cash and equivalents and less than $15 million in long-term debt as of Q3 2024. This financial flexibility enables the company to fund its growth strategies, including further acquisitions and geographic expansion.
Strategic Initiatives
Beyond its international expansion, SBC has entered partnerships to enhance customer loyalty and corporate wellness offerings. Its alliance with MEDIROM Healthcare in Japan integrates the loyalty programs of both companies, providing access to over 4 million members. SBC also launched SBC Wellness to offer corporate clients improved employee benefits, tapping into the growing demand for wellness services.
Growth Catalysts
The rising global acceptance of aesthetic medicine, coupled with SBC’s established expertise in high-demand procedures such as liposuction, breast augmentation, and eyelid surgery, positions the company for continued growth. With low market penetration for these services in Japan (estimated at 10%), there is significant upside as demand grows among younger and middle-aged demographics.
Risks and Outlook
While SBC faces risks such as foreign exchange fluctuations and potential challenges in integrating new acquisitions, its strong balance sheet and strategic focus mitigate these concerns. As the company continues to execute its growth initiatives, share price appreciation and valuation multiple expansion are likely.
Conclusion
SBC Medical Group Holdings presents a compelling investment opportunity, with a clear path to growth through strategic international expansion, enhanced profitability, and innovative partnerships. Its current valuation offers an attractive entry point for investors seeking exposure to the growing medical aesthetics sector. With strong financials and a proven business model, SBC is well-positioned to deliver long-term shareholder value.
Cleanspark (CLNK) may have started a short buyCleanspark (CLNK) may have started a short buy.
I think this asset is a good buy with the following data.
Entry 1: $9.79 SL 1: $8.97 TP 1: $12.97
Entry 2 ( late entry): $10.37 SL 2: $9.45 TP 2: $13.38.
I have a trade from $9.79.
Manage your trade and risk.
TSM: Growth and Charts Align for 15%+ Target?Hey Realistic Traders, Will NYSE:TSM Create a New All-Time High? Let’s Dive In....
TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker. Recent Earning Call reported whooping third quarter revenue of $759.69 billion, marking a YoY increase of 36.5%. The performance is beating the market forecast. Double Digit Revenue Growth is driven by demand for AI Chips especially with major client like NVIDIA & Apple and 3-nanometer &5 nanometer technology in Smartphones. TSMC Chief Financial Officer Huang Renzhao shared optimistic project for the company. TSMC expect Q4 quarterly revenue growth of approximately 13%, sligtly above the market the market expectation.
Strong AI-Related demand predicted to persist for year, inlined with the company’s perfomance and expectation. The positive sentiment support our bullish call on NVIDIA.
Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe, TSM has remained above the EMA200 line for over a year, maintaining its bullish trend. On August 5, 2024, TSM rebounded impulsively from the EMA200 line after completing an ABC correction pattern, signaling the start of a new bullish wave.
The second and fourth corrective waves have retraced to the Fibonacci 0.382 and 0.618 golden ratios, respectively, aligning with Elliott Wave rules that typically indicate further upward movement.
In addition to the Elliott Wave analysis, a breakout from a Descending Broadening Wedge pattern has been identified. Such breakouts often signal the continuation of the prevailing market trend.
Therefore based on these technical analysis, I foresee a potential upward movement toward the first target at $217.85 or second target at 234.46
This outlook remains valid as long as the price holds above the stop-loss level at 177.95
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Taiwan Semiconductor."
Pre-Market Analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and Gold Futures The Nasdaq closed higher with an upper wick on the daily chart.
As mentioned previously, this week is expected to show buying pressure at the beginning, followed by selling pressure towards the latter half. After the 240-minute chart's buy signal, the daily chart's MACD is moving closer to the Signal line, indicating buying momentum. However, achieving a complete golden cross appears challenging due to the divergence and angle. The 21,900–22,000 range is considered a short-term high zone, where the market might either sharply drop after forming an upper wick or move sideways before failing the golden cross, leading to a downward shift in the MACD and a subsequent sell-off.
Notably, Nvidia, which has been driving the current index, continues to show strength. Monitoring Nvidia's previous high as a resistance point will be crucial. While the 240-minute chart exhibits strong buying pressure, the steep angle of the recent surge suggests that managing risk and opting for selling opportunities near the highs—rather than buying on dips—would be more advantageous. Additionally, keep an eye on key economic indicators such as the ISM Services Index and JOLTS report, which are scheduled for release today.
Crude oil closed lower with an upper wick.
Given its recent rapid surge, crude oil's daily chart shows significant divergence from the 5-day moving average. It is advantageous to focus on selling at the highs in this scenario. If the price pulls back to the 240-day moving average, observing whether it finds support will be critical. This week, oil could pull back to the 3-week moving average on the weekly chart and then rebound. Therefore, caution is advised against chasing the rally, and selling near previous highs would be prudent. However, buying on dips near the 3-week moving average could present an opportunity.
On the longer-term 240-minute chart, a bearish candlestick at the high has triggered a sell signal. It would be wise to anticipate potential sharp declines and prioritize selling during rebounds. For buying opportunities, it is recommended to act cautiously and at significantly lower levels.
Gold closed lower with a lower wick.
Ahead of Friday’s non-farm payroll data, gold is likely to remain range-bound in a consolidation phase. On the weekly chart, gold faces resistance from moving averages, and this week’s key data releases may determine its trend. On the daily chart, while a buy signal was generated, gold failed to make a significant surge, leading to the MACD and Signal line moving sideways.
With market flows becoming more uncertain, a range-bound strategy is advisable. On the 240-minute chart, gold could form a triangular consolidation pattern in the short term. Until Friday, trading within a range would be the most effective approach.
The weather has turned colder with a cold wave sweeping in, and flu season is here. Please take care of your health, and I wish you successful trading today!
■Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21,660 / 21,565 / 21,495 / 21,450
-Sell Levels: 21,885 / 21,940 / 22,005 / 22,045 / 22,110
■Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 72.80 / 71.90 / 71.00
-Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.20 / 74.85
■Gold - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 2,641 / 2,635 / 2,625
-Sell Levels: 2,652 / 2,658 / 2,666 / 2,672
Tuesday: Make Your Day a Payday with NASDAQ 25.01.07Hello, this is Greedy All-Day.
Today’s analysis focuses on the NASDAQ.
Monday Trading Results
Buy Signals: The green boxes marked the buy entry zones for Monday’s session.
Sell Signals: No sell entries were triggered, so there is no commentary for sell trades.
Outcome: Both the first and second buy entries were activated, and all targets were achieved.
Profit: The price moved a total of 321 points, resulting in approximately $6,400 in profit per contract.
How Should We Approach Today’s Market?
Looking at the daily chart, the price appears to have entered the supply zone within the green box range, which spans 21619 to 21896.
While Monday’s bullish candle demonstrated strength, the upper wick formed during the U.S. session's close indicates that bullish momentum was met with selling pressure. This leaves a less-than-ideal setup for the bulls.
The trend is likely to continue in the direction of the breakout from this supply zone.
Today’s Trading Strategy
Buy Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A breakout above both the resistance trendline and Monday’s high at 21897 is recommended for a conservative buy entry.
Target Levels:
First resistance: The yellow box, which contains the purple resistance trendline.
Beyond this, the maximum target lies at 22111.
Scenario Analysis for Bulls:
Should the price rally, the green box zones (previous lows) will form a double bottom structure, providing a strong foundation for continued upside.
A breakout above 22111 would confirm a larger double bottom pattern, potentially paving the way for a rally toward previous highs or even new all-time highs.
Sell Perspective:
Entry Trigger: A break below the ascending trendline and Monday’s corrective low at 21619 serves as the sell signal.
Target Levels:
Maximum target: 21520
Beyond this, further downside is possible; however, key support zones are unclear due to differing stair-step patterns during recent rallies and corrections.
Conclusion
The NASDAQ is at a critical juncture, balancing between bullish potential and bearish risks:
For Buyers: Watch for a breakout above 21897 for potential upside to 22111 and beyond.
For Sellers: Monitor a breakdown below 21619, with 21520 as the initial target.
Be prepared for both scenarios, as the market continues to provide dynamic opportunities. Let’s stay sharp and trade wisely. 🚀
NASDAQ: Key Support at 21,500 Poised to Propel a Rally Toward 22Looking at the chart, the 21,500 level is a strong support zone as it aligns with previous bullish positions and significant volume activity. This support could act as a solid base for a potential upward move toward the 22,000 resistance level.
Key Observations:
21,500 Support Zone:
Historical bullish activity suggests buyers are actively defending this area.
The price has bounced from this level, reinforcing its strength.
Volume Profile:
Heavy volume concentration near the support indicates strong interest in this region.
Limited resistance zones between 21,500 and 22,000 support the case for a move upward.
Target Resistance:
22,000 is a psychological and technical resistance level.
Reaching this level would require sustaining bullish momentum above 21,500.
If the price remains above 21,500, it could fuel a bullish rally toward 22,000, assuming no external bearish factors interfere. Monitoring price action near these levels is crucial for trade planning.
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 6 Jan 2025I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None
News - None
Directional bias - I think BUY.
Morning analysis:
M TF - so far, buyers are showing strength after last month's doji candle close. Can't read too much into it though because the candle is not fully formed and closed, but it does indicate buyers sentiment currently.
W TF - Last weeks candle closed just below the W neckline, but does this constitute a break of the neckline downwards? Difficult to say because bulls were in total control of the market last Friday and drove price up by thousands of pips, creating a very long wick candle. It was only in the final 4H of Friday that bears pushed price down +-170 pips below the neckline. The market is imperfect, and I would not be too quick to read this as a neckline broken downwards, especially because the early morning trading of today shows a strong rejection of the neckline area. I draw my neckline and S&R as lines but one should always keep in mind that these are areas or zones.
D TF - Clear falling wedge pattern in formation (shown in grey and blue lines). These tend to break upwards, but can break in either direction. A break of this pattern in either direction, will result in a large move because the pattern is so large the resulting break + profit target will be large. At time of writing this morning, price is consolidating at D EMA.
4H TF - Strong uptrend and this morning we see a strong rejection of the W neckline area, with a gap up and a candle wick down to the neckline area.
Morning interest areas where identified but these later changed as fibs had to be re-drawn (and so not shown on the charts).
Later once price stabilised, interest zones where identified but price did not retrace. Day and 4H fibs were drawn from swing low at B to swing high at A.
Area's of confluence marked in green highlight but now invalid as price keeps climbing.
This morning....
I identified a red highlighted area which I deemed a strong sell area due to D EMA possibly acting as dynamic resistance + D 0.50 sell fib level.
Price started to consolidate here in an ascending triangle pattern. These patterns usually break upwards, but can break in either direction.
I entered a buy at the hand icon on the break of the market pattern + the D EMA (D EMA has now moved higher as price has moved higher).
I took a small position because I don't like these entries where you buy at the highest level of the day which it was at the time of my buy (I find these to be risky and prone to fake outs). I prefer retracement entries (for me, safer entries).
Hence my small position.
Now I wish it was my usual position size because price is up +- 3'300 pips! :)
At least I caught the buy!
Hope you had a good trading day! :)
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Why We're CELH LONG: A Bold Bet on Growth and OpportunityWe're CELH LONG based on strong technical confluence: liquidity has been swept, a key high that led to a new low has been taken and confirmed, and our entry aligns with a 4H breaker block and an imbalance from last week's Thursday-to-Friday price action, signaling a high-probability reversal setup.
The Rapid Growing Malaysia Health Care SectorMalaysia’s healthcare landscape is entering a transformative phase, underpinned by a robust allocation of RM45.3 billion in the 2025 national budget—a 10% increase compared to 2024. This commitment, the second-largest budget allocation after education, underscores the government’s focus on addressing rising healthcare demands, including an ageing population, chronic diseases, and urban-rural healthcare gaps.
The government’s strategic initiatives, including RM1.3 billion for hospital upgrades and RM300 million for dilapidated clinics in rural areas, highlight a push towards more efficient healthcare delivery. Fitch Solutions’ BMI predicts that Malaysia's healthcare expenditure will grow at an impressive compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.7% from 2023 to 2028, outpacing previous estimates. This growth will be fuelled by increased demand for both public and private healthcare services, bolstered by initiatives such as outsourcing public patient care to 91 private hospitals and the gradual rollback of subsidies for higher-income individuals. The shift in subsidies is expected to drive affluent patients towards private healthcare, expanding opportunities for private healthcare providers.
Private healthcare companies, especially those involved in preventive care and supplements, stand to benefit significantly from these trends. One notable player is Nasdaq-listed Agape ATP Corporation (ATPC), a leading healthcare supplement company in Malaysia. With Malaysia’s emphasis on chronic disease prevention and healthier lifestyles, Agape ATP is well-positioned to meet the rising demand for wellness products. The company’s established reputation and product range make it an attractive choice as the nation prioritises self-sufficiency in medical products and preventive healthcare.
Moreover, the government’s New Industrial Master Plan 2030, aimed at strengthening domestic production of medical products, offers additional prospects for growth. By focusing on advanced diagnostic tools and in-vitro diagnostics, Malaysia is setting the stage for a more globally competitive healthcare ecosystem. As healthcare spending increases and demand for quality services rises, companies like Agape ATP are likely to see enhanced opportunities to expand and thrive. For investors, Malaysia’s growing healthcare sector and its well-aligned private players present a compelling case for long-term value.
Today and Weekly Outlook for Nasdaq, Crude Oil, and Gold FuturesNasdaq Analysis
Yesterday, Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. It formed a double bottom near the 21,000 level and rebounded, entering a consolidation range near the moving averages. The MACD remains above the zero line, and the Signal line is also above the zero line, suggesting the potential for another upward attempt this week. However, due to the significant gap between the MACD and Signal lines, there is a high possibility of a failed buy attempt followed by a downward move. If the MACD shifts downward, a break below the 60-day moving average could occur.
On the weekly chart, no sell signal has emerged yet, but the MACD and Signal lines are closely aligned. This week may determine whether the weekly chart enters a third wave of buying or declines into a death cross. The 240-minute chart currently shows a buy signal, indicating that the market may focus on buying at the start of the week, with a potential shift to selling later in the week as the MACD leans bearish and a third wave of selling emerges on the 240-minute chart. It is advisable to consider support and resistance levels based on daily moving averages and respond to key levels in the longer-term range.
Crude Oil Analysis
Yesterday, crude oil continued its strong upward trend and closed higher. The price has posted five consecutive bullish candles, with the short-term peak near $74 serving as a resistance zone. A pullback to the 5-day moving average should not be ruled out. On the weekly chart, crude oil formed a large bullish candle, breaking through major resistance levels like the 60-week and 120-week moving averages in one move. Buying near the 72.80 level, which corresponds to the 3-week moving average, is favorable during pullbacks, and maintaining support at the midpoint of the weekly bullish candle will be crucial.
The 240-minute chart also reflects strong buying momentum. Above $74, a short-term sell with stop-loss protection is advisable, while aggressive buying during pullbacks below the 5-day moving average on the daily chart is favorable. This is a typical pattern transitioning from bearish alignment to bullish alignment, so caution is advised when considering selling.
Gold Analysis
Gold closed lower yesterday with a bearish candle. Combining Thursday and Friday’s candlesticks, a doji pattern emerges. If gold fails to break above the 60-day moving average on the daily chart and tilts downward, the key support level at 2600 will be critical. On the weekly chart, the sell signal remains intact, with strong resistance around the 10-week and 20-week moving averages. If gold cannot strongly break through this resistance, a pullback should be anticipated. Although the daily chart confirms a buy signal, the movement lacks significant momentum, leaving room for a swift erasure of the buy signal and a shift to selling this week.
On the 240-minute chart, gold is facing resistance at key support/resistance levels. While the pattern can be viewed as a range-bound box, a sell signal on the 240-minute chart could lead to strong selling momentum following a false breakout. Adopting a range-bound strategy with a focus on selling is advantageous.
This Week's Outlook
This week, major events such as CES 2025, the release of FOMC minutes, and the Nonfarm Payroll report are on the agenda. Additionally, next week’s CPI is within view. Be cautious around key events and data release times to manage risks effectively. Wishing you a successful trading week!
NASDAQ rebounding strongly on its 1D MA50. 1 month rally ahead.Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a 4-month Channel Up and hit last Tuesday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) exactly on the Channel's bottom. Even though it marginally broke it, the 1D candle closed exactly on the 1D MA50, causing a strong bullish Friday reaction.
As today opened equally green, we technically view this sequence as the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, which may be confirmed today if the 1D RSI breaks above its MA (yellow trend-line), as both previous Bullish Legs did.
Our Target is 22600, which represents a +9.00% rise, the minimum a Bullish Leg had within this Channel Up.
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NAS100 - Nasdaq, no interest in Santa Rally!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zone, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. Nasdaq being in the supply zone will provide us with the conditions to sell it.
In the annual rebalancing of the Nasdaq Index, the shares of Tesla, Meta Platforms, and Broadcom saw a reduction in their weighting, while Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, and Alphabet gained more weight. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, this marks the second time in roughly a year that index regulators have adjusted the allocations for its largest members.
The rules governing the Nasdaq 100 are designed to prevent a small number of companies from exerting excessive influence on the index. These rules have become increasingly relevant in recent years due to the extraordinary growth in market value of major companies and advancements in artificial intelligence. Although the Nasdaq 100 is weighted by market capitalization, certain limits are enforced if a few companies grow disproportionately large.
This recent rebalancing may have been prompted by a rule that allows regulators to reduce the weighting of the top five companies to below 40%, with other adjustments made accordingly. Steve Sosnick, chief strategist at Interactive Brokers, remarked, “At times, the Nasdaq 100 has to take such measures because it becomes a victim of its own success; the largest stocks in the index have grown significantly faster than others.”
This year, the shares of major technology companies have risen sharply due to advancements in artificial intelligence. Broadcom, a key chip supplier for Apple and other tech giants, reached a market value of $1 trillion. Tesla also surged by around 75% following the U.S. presidential election.
In the Nasdaq 100, Apple’s weighting increased from 9.2% to 9.8%, while Nvidia rose from 7.9% to 8.4%. Microsoft and Amazon also gained weight, and Alphabet saw a slight increase. However, Broadcom’s weighting fell from 6.3% to 4.4%, Tesla’s dropped from 4.9% to 3.9%, and Meta’s decreased from 4.9% to 3.3%.
Currently, over 200 exchange-traded products, with combined assets totaling approximately $540 billion, track the Nasdaq 100 or its variations globally. Athanasios Psarofagis of Bloomberg Intelligence noted, “This highlights the increasing influence of index providers on market dynamics.”
Last year, thanks to the resilience of the economy, strong earnings reports, a 100-basis-point rate cut by the Fed, and the leadership of the Mag7, the S&P 500 recorded 57 new all-time highs (ATHs).
On Friday, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, speaking at the Maryland Bankers Association, outlined the conditions needed for rate cuts and discussed the broader impacts of the new tariff plan proposed by President-elect Donald Trump. Barkin downplayed the immediate and direct effects of the tariff program. Markets do not anticipate any rate changes in the upcoming Fed meeting.
The private and non-farm payrolls report (ADP) set to be released on Wednesday, along with Thursday’s weekly jobless claims data, could offer a clearer picture of the U.S. labor market ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Additionally, the ISM Services PMI for December, scheduled for release on Monday, could provide further insights into the overall performance of the U.S. economy, as the services sector accounts for over 80% of GDP.
The minutes of the December Fed meeting will also be published on Wednesday, but they are unlikely to have a significant impact on markets as updated economic forecasts have already been released.
The November Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a sharp increase in job creation, with 227,000 new jobs added to the U.S. economy. This contrasted with just 12,000 jobs added in October, marking the weakest job growth since December 2020. If the December report also indicates that October’s weakness was temporary, some investors might conclude that even two rate cuts in 2025 would be excessive. This could contribute to the continued strength of the U.S. dollar against other major currencies.
The key question is whether the stock market, given expectations of fewer rate cuts, will continue its downward trend or recover with signs of robust economic performance.
ROAD TO 53K TRADING MNQMNQ Trade targetting buyside liquidity.
Give me a like and Follow if you enjoy this type of content and would like more. I will be working heavily on getting funded and sharing my trading journey with other aspiring day traders.
Looking forward to this new trading week! WHOS EXCITED, COMMENT DOWN BELOW 👇
Urban Outfitters (URBN) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Urban Outfitters NASDAQ:URBN is a prominent global lifestyle retailer, operating a diverse portfolio of brands such as Anthropologie, Free People, and Urban Outfitters. By embracing trends like sustainable fashion and enhancing omnichannel strategies, URBN demonstrates resilience and adaptability in a dynamic retail landscape.
Key Catalysts for Growth
Nuuly's Sustainable Fashion Success:
Nuuly Rental Service: A 51% year-over-year growth in active subscribers showcases URBN's ability to align with consumer preferences for sustainable and flexible fashion.
Capitalizing on the growing circular fashion economy, Nuuly strengthens URBN’s brand differentiation.
Wholesale Segment Resilience:
Despite industry headwinds, URBN’s wholesale segment posted a 3% revenue increase, reflecting operational agility and strong relationships with retail partners.
Strategic Store Expansion:
New store openings across global markets enhance URBN's reach, while strategically curated store experiences resonate with target demographics.
Digital Innovation:
Investments in e-commerce platforms and personalized online shopping experiences position URBN to capture a larger share of digital-first shoppers.
Brand Diversification:
Anthropologie and Free People continue to perform strongly, appealing to niche audiences and reducing reliance on a single revenue stream.
Market and Financial Outlook
Sustainable Fashion Momentum: As more consumers embrace rental and resale models, URBN is positioned to lead this shift, driving recurring revenue streams.
Omnichannel Strength: With a robust digital presence complementing its physical stores, URBN is poised to capture growth in both online and in-store shopping segments.
Investment Thesis
Bullish Case:
URBN’s focus on innovation, sustainability, and diversification enhances its competitive edge, making it well-suited for growth despite broader retail challenges.
Entry Point: We are bullish on URBN above $47.00-$48.00, supported by strong technical indicators and a resilient business model.
Upside Target: Our price target is $78.00-$80.00, reflecting confidence in URBN's ability to sustain growth and capitalize on emerging retail trends.
🌟 URBN—Innovating Retail, Driving Sustainable Growth. #FashionInnovation #Sustainability #OmnichannelRetail
NASDAQ Weekly Outlook: Key Support, Resistance, and Potential Sen this video, we dive into the Nasdaq’s recent price action and highlight the major support and resistance zones to watch in the coming week. We’ll review key swing levels, discuss possible bullish and bearish scenarios, and explore the importance of volume profiles in anticipating trend shifts. Whether you’re new to trading or looking for fresh perspectives, this breakdown will help you plan your trades with added clarity
NAS_2025_road-to_22500this is my view for NAS to 22 500, for early Q1
various macro economic factors, but mainly we have not seen the contribution of MicroStrategy as a major player using BTC as a backing and a company with a 74% YTD results because of BTC
so next round i suspect they would offer EFT shares to finance next purchase of BTC for the all time high of BTC to $120k