Weekly Market Forecast Feb 2-7thThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 2-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices were not easy to trade last week, as there were plenty of fundamentals at play. However, they are relatively still strong, and I am looking for further gains next week.
NFP week, imo, is best traded Mon-Wed. Thurs will likely see consolidation until the NFP news announcement Friday morning. I will look to fade the news release on Friday for NY Session.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Nasdaq
$NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ: $NVDA vs NASAD IndexAll of us in crypto are used to looking at the BTC.D Chart (Bitcoin Dominance). With BTC.D stuck in a range between 57% and 60% we try to look at a new dominance chart which no one is talking about. Same as DeFI in TradFI we can look at one of the most famous Asset which is NASDAQ:NVDA vs its dominance in tech heavy NASDAQ index. Let’s call it ‘ NASDAQ:NVDA Dominance’ (NVDA.D) © 😉. Further usage of the ticker should be copyrighted to me. 😊
$NVDA.D is now below its 200 Day SMA. If we plot NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQQ Index, we get $NVDA.D and there we see that NVDA.D is making multi months lows and below 200 Day SMA. We have not seen this kind of weakness in $NVDA.D since CHAT GPT was launched in Nov 2022. The last time $NVDA.D was below the 200 Day SMA it spent almost 6 months consolidating during the 2022 Tech bear market before AI sparked the new bull market.
The Market Matrix - Gold, Crude, DXY & Nasdaq for Feb 1 2025This weeks edition of The Market Matrix.
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The information provided in this content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any securities or financial instruments.
Trading financial markets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions and should conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
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MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/31/25
📈 21849.75, 21937.25, 22024.75 (NEXT ZONES: 21859.5-21968.75)
📉 21674.50, 21587, 21499.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21748.75-21639)
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
From almost Blowing Funded account to being back in ProfitsThis was a perfect illustration of how our emotions can affect us and our trading decisions.
However through my 5 years of trading, I've been working on mastering my emotions as best as I can and as you guys can see-- I still had several times where I showed plenty of emotions. This leads me to come to the conclusion I still have a long way to go with mastering my emotions but progress is being made, and that is enough for me. If you guys liked this idea and post please give it a like!
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Sportradar Group (SRAD) AnalysisCompany Overview:
Sportradar Group NASDAQ:SRAD is a global leader in sports data and technology, providing cutting-edge solutions to sports organizations, media companies, and betting operators. Its proprietary data-driven insights are revolutionizing fan engagement, player scouting, and betting markets worldwide.
Key Catalysts:
Major League Baseball (MLB) Partnership Expansion ⚾
A new multiyear deal with MLB expands Sportradar’s services into player scouting, strengthening its role in sports analytics and talent evaluation.
Enhanced NBA Partnership 🏀
Sportradar’s deepened collaboration with the NBA introduces next-gen fan engagement tools, driving higher user interaction and new revenue streams.
Advanced AI-powered insights and interactive features elevate live sports experiences.
Strong Institutional Investor Confidence 📈
Institutional investors are increasing exposure to SRAD, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth prospects and market leadership.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on SRAD above $17.00-$18.00, supported by strategic partnerships, technological leadership, and strong investor demand.
Upside Potential: Our price target is $28.00-$29.00, driven by expanding sports analytics capabilities, increasing adoption of AI-driven solutions, and robust sector growth.
⚡ SRAD—Revolutionizing Sports Data & Fan Engagement. #SportsTech #AI #FanEngagement
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher within its range-bound market. On the daily chart, it faced resistance near the gap created on January 27. Even if the index continues to rise, it is likely to encounter strong resistance near the January 24 closing price of 21,911. Keep in mind the principle that gaps tend to get filled and that they often act as strong support or resistance levels once filled.
Since the MACD is still maintaining a buy signal on the daily chart, it is advantageous to adopt a buy-on-dip strategy. The recent move appears to be driven by dollar weakness, and similar to gold's strong rally yesterday, Nasdaq could also experience an additional upward rally. Therefore, short positions should be taken at the highest possible levels.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the zero line and is now pulling the signal line upward as well. If the index continues to rise and fills the gap, both the MACD and signal line will be above the zero line, and after consolidating at the gap resistance level, the next directional movement will likely be determined. It is best to focus on buying on dips while setting strict stop-loss levels for any short positions above the gap. Proper risk management is key.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed nearly flat but showed a meaningful breakout from the downward channel on the shorter time frames. It also created a gap-up on the daily chart and broke above the 5-day moving average. Previously, oil had been declining due to Trump's announcement regarding increased oil drilling, but this news is largely priced in now, making a technical rebound possible.
The key level to watch on the upside is $74.50, while buying opportunities exist below $73, with a stop-loss at $72.
On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence has formed at the bottom, leading to another buy signal. Since the price appears to be building a base, additional buying momentum could emerge. While the market is still range-bound, a buy-on-dip strategy remains favorable for now.
Gold
Gold surged to new all-time highs and closed with strong gains. The rally was driven by increased demand for safe-haven assets following Trump’s tariff imposition, boosting gold prices significantly. As mentioned yesterday, the MACD turned upward again, leading to another sharp rally on the daily chart.
Since gold strongly broke out of its previous range with a large bullish candlestick, today is a buy-on-dip day, particularly near the 3-day moving average. If the price retraces in the pre-market session, it could dip toward the 3-day moving average, so traders should be mindful of this possibility. However, if gold maintains its strength and closes with another bullish candlestick, the 3-day moving average will move higher, reinforcing the uptrend.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD and signal line have diverged significantly, reflecting the strong uptrend. Buying on dips remains effective, while selling should be avoided since RSI indicates overbought conditions. As gold's volatility is increasing, traders should consider adjusting contract sizes, using micro contracts, or lowering leverage to allow for wider stop-loss levels and better trade management.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Bullish Market
-Buy Levels: 21680 / 21630 / 21580 / 21530 / 21465
-Sell Levels: 21770 / 21845 / 21890 / 22010 / 22055
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 / 71.40
-Sell Levels: 73.60 / 74.10 / 74.50 / 75.00
GOLD - Bullish Market(April)
-Buy Levels: 2845 / 2840 / 2831 / 2824
-Sell Levels: 2860 / 2866 / 2870
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
2025-01-30 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: 1h 20ema is flat as your first girlfriend. Don’t over analyze this trading range. 50% of it is around 21560 and we are seeing bulls buying dips, taking the stairs while bears violently crash the elevator down in between. Will likely see a bigger impulse tomorrow or Monday. I have no bigger opinion on which side will get it.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 21300 - 21780
bull case: Bulls need to close the big gap to 21900 and maybe some points above to get all the stops and turn the market truly neutral again. For now bears are defending it well, which is bad for the bulls. Bulls have going for them that they are printing higher highs and higher lows and are trading above the daily 20ema but as long as the gap stays open, they are not doing enough.
Invalidation is below 21400.
bear case: Bears only argument is the open gap to 21900 but other than that, they are fumbling it again. If try get to 21450 or below tomorrow and fail again to print lower lows below 21350, odds favor the bulls to rally hard into the weekend.
Invalidation is above 21900.
short term: Neutral as can be. 21560 is my mid point for this and mean reversing was profitable the past 2 days.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-01-27: High’s are most likely in. Any short with stop 22200 is good. I’d like to see 20000 over the next 2-3 weeks.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Buying 21450 or selling above 21700 has been good the past 2 days. Do it until it clearly is not working anymore.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/30/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/30/25
📈 21748 & 21885.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21807-21917, 22027-22137)
📉 21473.50 & 21336.25 (NEXT ZONES: 21477-21367, 21257-21147)
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
US30 - Make or Break zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 US30 is currently retesting its all-time high at $45,000.
🏹For US30 to enter the price discovery phase and reach new ATHs, an 4H candle close above $45,000 is required.
📉On the other hand, if the last major low marked in red is broken downward, a deep correction towards the orange support would in play.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. This helps me cover the cost of providing regular insights.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed flat as the market digested the previous day's FOMC decision to hold interest rates and major corporate earnings reports. The strategy of selling at the 5-day moving average proved effective, and despite the FOMC decision and earnings from Tesla and Microsoft, the index remained within a range-bound market. On the daily chart, the MACD is still above the signal line and the zero line, indicating that the buy signal is still intact. However, as there has been no significant volatility, the gap between the indicators remains narrow, maintaining the current range. Since the buy signal is still valid, it would be advantageous to monitor whether the gap-down from January 27 is filled and trade accordingly within the range.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has crossed above the signal line below the zero line and is now consolidating. For the MACD to cross below the signal line, a sharp decline would be necessary, but given the current spread between the MACD and the signal line, such a drop appears unlikely. Instead, if the market continues to consolidate and the MACD and signal line converge, the next move—whether another buying wave or a selling wave—will determine the trend. Since key economic reports, including the GDP release and Apple’s earnings, are due today, it would be best to adopt a range-bound strategy.
Crude Oil
Crude oil faced resistance at $74 and closed lower. On the daily chart, the sell signal remains intact, with prices failing to break above the 5-day moving average and continuing to decline within a downward channel. Prices are currently supported around the $72 level. For a bullish outlook, it would be crucial to see a strong bullish candlestick breaking above the downward channel's upper boundary at around $73.60.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line. While the MACD has crossed above the signal line, the price has not surged, resulting in only a narrow spread. Given that the $72–73 range has historically been a strong support zone, it would be preferable to buy on pullbacks. However, if the price breaks below this range and a sell signal emerges, it will be important to monitor whether the $72 level holds as support.
Gold
Gold closed flat on the daily chart, maintaining a buy signal. The MACD and signal line are gradually converging, but the spread remains sufficient to prevent an immediate shift to a sell signal. If the MACD turns upward, further gains are likely. A key factor to watch is whether the weekly candlestick forms a bullish pattern and the MACD crosses above the signal line. Key resistance levels are at 2800 and 2820.
On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal is still intact, but the spread has narrowed, indicating weaker momentum. The market is range-bound with mixed buying and selling pressure. As long as no sell signal appears on the 240-minute chart, a buy-on-dip strategy is preferable. However, keep in mind that upcoming economic data releases may lead to pre-market consolidation.
■Trading Strategies for Today
Nasdaq - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 21470 / 21400 / 21360 / 21285 / 21220
-Sell Levels: 21625 / 21680 / 21770 / 21890
Crude Oil - Range-bound Market
-Buy Levels: 72.60 / 72.00 / 71.40 / 70.50
-Sell Levels: 73.40 / 73.85 / 74.40 / 75.00
GOLD - Bullish Market(April)
-Buy Levels: 2793 / 2787 / 2777 / 2773 / 2768
-Sell Levels: 2803 / 2809 / 2813 / 2821
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
Nasdaq 100 Remains Neutral After the Fed's DecisionThe NAS100 initially dropped nearly 0.6% as the Federal Reserve's official decision was announced. However, so far, the event has not been decisive on the daily chart to establish a clear direction. The central bank chose to keep interest rates at 4.5% , as expected, and in its official statement, it acknowledged that inflation remains somewhat elevated and is still far from the 2% target. As long as this rate pause outlook continues, a sustained high level of 4.5% could continue to hinder overall economic activity and may become a key factor in the bearish bias that emerged in December.
Short-Term Sideways Channel:
At the moment, the market remains within a well-defined sideways range, with a ceiling at 22,000 points and a floor at 21,000 points. The price continues to fluctuate within this range, reflecting a clear lack of trend in recent movements. For now, this range stands as the most significant technical formation, potentially serving as a precursor to a much larger trending move.
Neutrality in Indicators:
The RSI line remains near the neutral 50 level , indicating that there is currently a perfect balance between buying and selling forces in the market.
The MACD histogram closely resembles the RSI, oscillating near the 0-neutral line , which suggests that the moving averages do not show a clear short-term trend bias.
The neutral stance of both indicators suggests that the Nasdaq may continue moving sideways for now, aligning with the current range-bound market behavior.
Key Levels:
22K – The most important resistance, aligning with the top of the sideways channel. A breakout above this level could be decisive, signaling new all-time highs and reviving the long-term bullish trend.
21K – A crucial short-term support level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Price action near this level could intensify selling pressure, potentially leading to more significant bearish moves.
20K – The ultimate support level currently holding the structure. A drop to this level could tilt the balance towards the formation of a fresh downtrend in the short term.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/29/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/29/25
📈 21910 (NEXT ZONES: 21840-21797, 22052-22011, 22265-22224)
📉 21320 (NEXT ZONES: 21413-21373, 21200-21160, 20987-20947)
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FROM 930 OPEN, FIND THE HIGH OR LOW AND PROFIT OFF $200 DIFFERENCE FOR INCOME)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
The West Innovates, but China COPY/PASTES Better...From Instagram/Youtube to Tik-Tok
From OpenAI (closed AI) to China Free AI ...
''🇨🇳📋 China Doesn't Just Copy, They Paste Better! 🚀🤖''
What Just Happened?
The DeepSeek AI shockwave just sent the US stock market into panic mode – wiping out hundreds of billions in value.
Here’s the breakdown:
DeepSeek, a Chinese AI company, built a ChatGPT rival using a fraction of the resources.
They optimized their software rather than relying on NVIDIA’s expensive GPUs.
NVIDIA lost $500B in market cap, as investors realized brute-force AI computing might not be the future.
The US market tanked as the news spread – another case of China disrupting American tech.
This isn't the first time we’ve seen this play out…
China’s Playbook: Innovation Through “Pasting”
We’ve seen this before:
'US Innovation' vs 'China’s “Better Cheaper” Version'
Facebook / Instagram WeChat / Xiaohongshu
YouTube Shorts Douyin (TikTok in China)
Google Search Baidu
ChatGPT (OpenAI) DeepSeek AI
The pattern is simple: China doesn’t just copy – they optimize, scale, and outcompete. The US responds by banning them.
And guess what? The ban playbook is coming back.
OpenAI vs. China – The “Copy-Paste” Battle
China isn’t just building ChatGPT clones – they’re making them free. DeepSeek AI is disrupting the AI race by offering competitive models at a fraction of the cost.
TikTok destroyed Instagram Reels & YouTube Shorts → US tried to ban it.
DeepSeek AI is now outperforming OpenAI on efficiency → What’s next?
If history repeats itself, expect the US to start "national security" concerns about Chinese AI models soon. But the real reason? China is winning the innovation war.
My Take: The Real Reason Behind “Free” AI
Nothing in China is truly free. If they’re offering cutting-edge AI for nothing, the real cost is your data, ideas, and innovation.
They’re not just training AI – they’re training on global users.
By offering AI for free, they gather intelligence on how people build, create, and think.
This isn’t just about AI models – it’s about controlling the future of tech.
The US stock market just realized this, and so should you.
🚀 Watch how NVIDIA, OpenAI, and US regulators react in the coming weeks. A ban may be inevitable.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
ps. I am for sure NOT taking my AI innovation on a 'free- copy/paste is ok' place/ NOT Happening.
NASDAQ / Markets Stabilize After AI Shock and Trade ConcernsDeep Breath After AI Jolt and Tariff Rumblings
Markets steadied on Tuesday following Wall Street’s sharp sell-off at the start of the week. The emergence of DeepSeek, a low-cost Chinese artificial intelligence rival, erased more than half a trillion dollars from Nvidia's valuation, which had previously been America's most valuable firm.
USNAS100 Technical Analysis
The price is likely to test 21115 and could push higher if it stabilizes above 21215. As long as the price remains above 21215, it is expected to continue upward toward 21380.
However, if the price breaks below 20990, it would signal a bearish trend, targeting 20670.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21215
Resistance Levels: 21380, 21535, 21635
Support Levels: 21115, 20990, 20810
Trend Outlook
Bullish: While above 21215
Bearish: Below 20990
NDQ100 Update - Overaction? Thanks for checking out our latest update. Today, we are looking at the NDQ100 daily chart.
What a 48 hours we have seen. After a plunge that wiped off up to 1 trillion dollars and close to 600 million off Nvidia, we saw a fast fightback at the end of the session and a recovery on Tuesday. The crash occurred after Chinese Tech company DeepSeek shocked the AI world with a powerful LLM.
Looking at the last price action, has support reformed? Will we see the new push higher after this last seller test? Buyers look interested, but we would like further confirmation with rallies that fill the gap or a test of the last high.
Good trading from Eightcap.