I Scanned the NASDAQ 100 – Here Are 24 Stocks with Big PotentialGreetings, fellow investors!
The past days have been mostly red, this made me take a closer look at the Nasdaq 100 index. I haven’t publicly analyzed it in a while. The last time was in 2022, here in TradingView, with the S&P 500, where I found 75 stocks that have since outperformed the index using its own tools. The last update was at the end of last year with "before" and "after" pictures.
Today’s approach is exactly the same: purely a technical opinion based on an analysis of strong and liquid price levels.
The goal of this channel is to make your life easier.
I do the technical analysis and stock selection so you don’t have to spend time on it. This time, I selected 24 stocks from Nasdaq 100, with strong technical setups. Surprisingly, there were quite a few but I will only give a brief overview of each, except for a few where I want to share more details.
The selection is done, let’s get started!
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Apple (AAPL)
Fun fact: The last time Apple stock could be bought based on a trendline criterion was in 2016. These opportunities don’t come often! :)
Technical criteria:
- Trendline
- Previous years' highs
- Round number $200
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Microsoft (MSFT)
Have shared it before where the trendline and past highs created the optimal buying zone for Microsoft stock around $300. Last year’s prediction to take profits has also worked out well.
The price is moving towards this area again, following its previous technical logic.
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Nvidia (NVDA)
If you bought this stock last week around $130, now there is another chance to buy it at a technically attractive level between $90 and $108. The analysis is done on the daily chart, so it's not the strongest setup but it highlights an interesting price area.
Technical criteria:
- Round number $100
- Short-term channel projection
- Equal correction waves
- Previously valid support level
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Amazon.com (AMZN)
Right now, it is not a bad technical area for entry. Be prepared to buy at lower levels if you decide to pull the trigger today.
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Alphabet (GOOG)
Based on the current price action, it seems that the price is moving towards $150 to test those levels.
The correction started sharply with several red weeks following. I would feel more comfortable entering at this range. Buying a bit earlier is not a mistake either, but I highlight the price zones where I feel technically confident.
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Meta (META)
If you start buying Meta at the highest marked zone, you should be prepared to add positions at all levels marked on the chart.
If you already own Meta or are waiting for lower prices, ~$500 is a level to watch. The choice is yours – at the end of the day, these are optimal areas, and the buy levels are backed by logical justification.
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Broadcom (AVGO)
To be honest, I don’t see a better technical opportunity on the chart. Will this setup work? 75–85% of the time, it does. That is my technical analysis accuracy rate. Add fundamental analysis on top, and the success rate could be much higher.
There are nice high highs(HH) and higher lows (HL). Additionally, there’s a clean trendline and a previous resistance level, which, if broken, will start to act as support.
Just yesterday, I was discussing with a friend how resistance turning into support works psychologically. When fuel was 1 €/liter, it was normal. Then it went up to 1.5 €/liter – way too expensive. It reached 2.2 €/liter – CRAZY! But when it dropped back to 1.5 €/liter, it felt like a normal price again. The same thing happens with those previous yearly highs, and it's the same with Broadcom – what used to seem expensive now feels normal.
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Tesla (TSLA)
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💡 The full breakdown of all 24 stocks is available on Substack.
🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're on mobile, just scroll down to my signature and choose your preferred language!
🚀 Before you go, don’t forget to hit the boost for this post! You don’t have to but it’s always an option. 😉
All the best,
Vaido
Disclaimer: This post is not investment advice, and the ideas presented are not recommendations to buy or sell any securities. It is intended for educational and analytical purposes, reflecting my personal view of the current market situation. Every investor should conduct their own independent analysis and consider the risks before making any decisions.
Nasdaq100
NASDAQ 100 - Is the Downtrend Losing Steam? The market has been in a clear bearish trend, forming a descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. However, we are now witnessing signs of stabilization as price action begins to consolidate at a critical level.
🔍 Key Observations:
- The price has tested resistance twice around 20,800, failing to break higher. This signals strong selling pressure at this level.
- At the same time, the market has established a short-term support around 20,000, holding the price from making new lows.
- The structure suggests a possible double top formation, which could indicate another rejection and continuation of the bearish trend.
Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Breakout: If the price manages to break above resistance, we could see a trend reversal, leading to a potential recovery towards 21,000+.
2️⃣ Bearish Rejection: If resistance holds strong, another drop could follow, with price targeting the previous support zone or even lower lows.
3️⃣ Range Formation: If the market continues to test this zone without clear direction, we might enter a sideways consolidation phase before the next major move.
What do you think? Will NASDAQ break resistance or head lower?
#NASDAQ #Trading #MarketAnalysis #DoubleTop #BearishOrBullish
NETFLIX: First warning of the END of the retracement!
On January 22, Netflix presented results that widely beat market estimates:
--> Sales 10,247 million dollars (+16% YoY) vs. 10,106 million dollars estimated by the consensus and 10,128 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EBIT 2,243 million dollars (+52%) vs. 2,200 million dollars consensus and 2,190 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> BNA 1,869 million dollars (+99%) vs. 1,830 million dollars consensus and 1,847 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EPS 4.27 dollars (+102%) vs. 4.18 dollars consensus and 4.23 dollars estimated by the company.
New subscriptions reach +18.9M, +44% YoY, vs. +9.2M expected. As anticipated by the Company, this is the last quarter in which it will publish this data. Total subscriptions exceed 301M (+15.9% YoY).
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The share price reached its historical maximum on February 18th at 1,064 and has not stopped falling since then, due to the fact that the Nasdaq index began a correction caused mainly by the volatility generated by trade tariffs.
--> What is the technical situation?
The technical aspect is CLEARLY BULLISH and any setback in the price will be a good opportunity to enter the stock.
It has reached a 50% Fibonacci retracement (945), an area that it has respected, and that therefore, can be taken as the LOWER to start a NEW BULLISH IMPULSE.
--> What risks does it have?
Trump's TARIFFS, since they can cause falls in the NASDAQ INDEX that drag down the entire market. But the Nasdaq index is in a VERY PROBABLE LOWER area, so the ENTIRE market could rise strongly in the next few days.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 992
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the maximum area (1,061) (+7%)
--> Stop Loss at 940 (-5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 940 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1,061).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as market volatility increased due to tariff concerns. Although the index dropped below the 240-day moving average, it formed a lower wick, indicating an attempt to establish a short-term bottom. On continuous futures, the 240-day MA is slightly below 20,000, meaning that the 20,100–20,000 zone is a key support area where a technical rebound is likely following the recent sharp decline. If the market falls into this zone, it could present a swing buying opportunity. Since the daily MACD and signal line are dropping steeply, a sideways consolidation period may be necessary to reduce their angle and separation before further directional movement.
Given that the Nasdaq rebounded strongly after forming a lower wick yesterday, a pullback in pre-market trading could provide a buy-the-dip opportunity. Additionally, potential bullish catalysts include today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data and Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report.
On the 240-minute chart, the index is forming a bullish divergence and attempting a golden cross, reinforcing the buy-the-dip strategy at current levels. Therefore, chasing shorts is not advisable, as the Nasdaq has entered a more attractive buying zone. A range-trading approach remains effective, with a preference for buying near support.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, finding support near previous demand zones. Despite the continued downtrend, the $66–67 range remains a strong support area, making it a potential rebound zone for technical buyers. However, on the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are sloping downward sharply, meaning that selling pressure could intensify further. Long positions should be initiated as close to the lower support zone as possible.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, confirming strong selling momentum. However, when compared to the previous MACD level near $68.50, price has declined further, but the MACD has not dropped as low, suggesting a potential bullish divergence. Since this zone has historically acted as strong support, a buy-the-dip strategy remains preferable, but traders should remain cautious of today’s Crude Oil Inventory report, which could lead to increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed higher, successfully rebounding from support. Yesterday, gold reached the previously projected target of 2,925, aligning with the 240-day moving average characteristics.
If gold continues higher, the 2,940 level will act as resistance, as this is a previous supply zone on the daily chart. Therefore, further upside should be monitored carefully before making new decisions. Since the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated, this is not an ideal condition for chasing long positions. Even if gold extends its rally, a pullback is likely, making buying dips a safer approach.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD formed a golden cross, leading to a sharp rally. As expected, price reached the 60-day MA following the 240-day MA bounce. However, while the MACD has moved above zero, the signal line is still below zero, meaning that another corrective phase could occur before further upside. Additionally, there is a possibility that gold could revisit the 2,850 support zone to form a double-bottom structure, making buying dips a better strategy than chasing breakouts. Overall, a range-trading strategy—buying low and selling high—remains effective, and today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data could introduce market volatility.
As market conditions shift, risk management remains crucial. Stay disciplined, adapt to volatility, and trade with confidence. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, rejecting resistance at the lower boundary of its previous range and dropping to the 240-day moving average. Testing the 240-day MA was an expected technical move, and after facing resistance at the 120-day MA, the index retested the 20,300–20,500 zone. This price action has formed the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern, making it crucial to watch for potential rebound attempts. However, since both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, the market remains in a confirmed downtrend, making selling into rallies the preferred strategy.
As mentioned previously, if the Nasdaq finds support near the 240-day MA, a technical rebound toward the 60-day MA remains possible, as per moving average behavior. On the 240-minute chart, the index is holding support between 20,300–20,500 and still maintaining a golden cross. If the MACD avoids a bearish crossover with the signal line, the likelihood of a rebound increases, making buying near support a reasonable approach. However, the previous range low near 21,000–21,100 will likely act as strong resistance, making selling into rallies favorable. While no major economic reports are scheduled today, market volatility could increase due to comments from President Trump, so traders should maintain strict risk management.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower following news that OPEC+ plans to increase production. On the daily chart, both the MACD and signal line are sloping downward, confirming a gradual downtrend. However, the $66–67 zone remains a strong support level, while the $70.50 level is the key resistance to watch. For now, trading within the range is the most effective strategy. If oil fails to stage a recovery this week, the weekly chart could confirm a sell signal, reinforcing further downside risk.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, suggesting that selling pressure is continuing. Instead of chasing shorts, traders should wait for a pullback to support near $66–67 and consider buying on dips. Given that market flows remain mixed, oil is likely to trade sideways, making range-bound trading the most effective approach for now.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support near previous highs. On the daily chart, the index rebounded to the 5-day moving average, and since both the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buying pressure remains intact. However, given the wide gap between the MACD and the signal line, even if gold continues higher, it may face another pullback, making chasing long positions risky. On the weekly chart, the bullish trend remains intact, but since gold is now approaching the 5-week moving average, breaking above resistance may take time.
On the 240-minute chart, a strong rebound emerged from the previous resistance zone, which aligns with the 240-day MA. The MACD has also formed a golden cross, meaning that if the uptrend continues, price targets could extend toward the 60-period MA on the 240-minute chart, potentially reaching the 2,925 area. However, since this initial move is a single-bottom formation, the market could attempt to form a double-bottom before continuing higher, making buying at lower levels more favorable. Gold could also enter a consolidation phase ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, so traders should anticipate range-bound price action.
Risk management remains key, and I sincerely hope that March brings strong trading opportunities for all of you. Wishing you a successful trading day!
If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
Nasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s OpenNasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s Opening Price
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows:
→ January’s opening price was around 21,085.
→ February’s closing price was around 20,867.
This marks a 1% decline since the start of the year.
A report from Goldman Sachs, published on Friday, reinforces bearish sentiment, stating that global hedge funds sold more stocks than they bought at the end of February—the largest net selling in a year, according to Reuters.
Possible reasons for market pessimism:
→ AI-related stocks may be highly overbought. For instance, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have underperformed the broader market in 2025.
→ Trump’s tariff policies on global trade could have negative economic consequences.
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Bullish perspective: Breaking January’s low did not trigger a strong downward trend.
Bearish perspective: The price has fallen below the support line (lower blue line), which had held since autumn last year.
The market’s next move could depend on how Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) behaves around the 21,030 level. Previous rebounds from this support line were weak, and bears managed to break through with effort. This suggests they may still control this zone.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Your Investing Alarm Just Went Off! Are You In?Hey, future wealth builders!
Today, I’m kicking off a new series where I’ll be your personal market alarm system! Think of me as the investing wake-up call you didn’t know you needed. Buzzing in your inbox to make sure you never snooze on your next investment.
We’ll regularly review stock indices so that you can invest consistently, with confidence and purpose. Every month. Little by little, building your wealth.
Goals:
Encourage consistent and regular investing.
Identify the strongest-performing indices at any given time.
Ensure that investment decisions are thoughtful and informed.
Avoid emotional, random, and blindly made purchases.
Why does this approach work?
In January , I tested whether smart index selection can outperform the market over 20 years. I analyzed three U.S. indices: S&P 500, Russell 2000, Nasdaq 100.
On the first trading day of each quarter, I bought the technically strongest index, the one showing the best price movement and trend. I made a total of 81 trades.
The results:
✅ I outperformed the S&P 500 (+233%) and Russell 2000 (+128%), achieving a +344% return.
❌ But I couldn’t beat the Nasdaq 100, which returned +570%.
Investing would be easy if we knew today which index to buy for the next 10 or 20 years but since time travel isn’t an option (yet), sticking to just one index could cost you tens of thousands over time. The solution? Make the best choice at each moment.
Which indices do I track?
After careful consideration and discussions with ETF expert Märten Kress, I have selected four key indices from different regions:
📌 S&P 500 – U.S. large-cap stocks
📌 Nasdaq 100 – U.S. tech and growth stocks
📌 EuroStoxx 600 – European large-cap stocks
📌 China Large-Cap ETF – China’s largest and most liquid companies
How does it work?
On the 1st and 15th of every month (or the next trading day), I analyze which index has the strongest technical “setup”. Why these days? Payday reminders! Invest in yourself first, build your portfolio , and then think about whether those extra expenses are really worth it.
You’ll find out which index is hot right now so you can invest more wisely.
Why am I doing this?
Actually, my main goal with this series is to be that friend who calls and says: “Come on, let’s hit the gym!” You may not feel like going, but once you do, you always feel better afterward. This is the same, except the workout is investing.
Investing must be consistent and strategic. Blind purchases can cost you thousands.
Smart diversification helps maximize returns and reduce risks.
You don’t have to analyze everything yourself. I’ll provide insights to help you stay on track and save you time.
Whether you invest every month, twice a month, or once a quarter, is up to you. I’ll be here, my posts will keep coming, and my technical opinion will always be available. The key is consistency and investing without emotions!
WHO WINS THIS MONTH?
Let’s get serious. Which index is the strongest this month? Which one has momentum, and which one should we wait on?
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🚀 Want to know which index is leading this month?
I break it down every month (or twice a month) on my Substack, so you always stay ahead with the strongest setups.
⚡ No guessing. No blind moves. No sticking to just one index. Get the data, make smarter decisions, and grow your portfolio.
🔗 Find the link in my BIO (under the Website icon) , or if you're on mobile, just scroll down to my signature!
See you there,
Vaido
Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone.
On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week.
On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario.
On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market.
On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand.
On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible.
On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks.
On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold.
On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key.
February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀
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$NAS100 approaching correction territoryWe are again back from a short winter flu. I think the index NASDAQ100 is also coughing showing signs of a flu. Pun indented. The tech heavy NASADQ100 does not look particularly healthy on a daily and weekly basis. In this weekly chart we can see that even if we find ourselves in the structural bull market the index has lost more than 5% from its peak. The internally also do not look good with MIL:MAG7 also bleeding and off their peaks. The PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is almost approaching its 200-Day SMA. If the index loses another 3 % then it will land @ the 200 Day SMA which it @ 20200. In the upcoming weeks there are multiple events which might put pressure on the indexes. We have tariffs upcoming on Tuesday and we must watch out for the inflation and unemployment numbers.
But we must also look at the other side of the coin. A 10% pull back is normal in a secular bull market. In all the bull markets this kind of skittishness is normal. In my assessment PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 will be a good buy @ 200 Day SMA. My lowest level in this small correction phase is 19000 which is 0.618 Fib Retracement level on the upward sloping Fib channel I have plotted and an indicative of a secular bull market. I will keep visiting this chart in the future.
Accumulate PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 between 20200 and 19000.
Nasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA DeclineNasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA Decline
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has fallen below 20,500 for the first time since November 2024.
Bearish sentiment driven by:
→ The latest US jobless claims report, which showed the highest figures of 2025.
→ Concerns over the destabilising and economically damaging potential of Donald Trump’s trade policies.
Nvidia (NVDA) Among the Biggest Losers
While the Nasdaq 100 lost over 2.5% in yesterday’s session, Nvidia (NVDA) shares plunged nearly 8% despite a stronger-than-expected quarterly report, as we noted yesterday.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
The ongoing decline has resulted in a bearish breakout of the trendline (marked in blue) that originated in 2024. Based on key reversals (highlighted with red circles), the chart now outlines a descending channel. An attempted breakout (indicated by an arrow) failed, forming a bearish Rounding Top pattern.
If bearish sentiment prevails—especially with focus on inflation data, as the Core PCE Price Index is set to be released today at 16:30 GMT+3—Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) may drop further towards the lower boundary of the descending channel.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
"NASDAQ 100 (US 100) Bearish Outlook: Will Supply Zones Hold?"🔹Technical Analysis: US 100 Index (15-Minute Chart)
▪️Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Continuation:
- The US 100 Index is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
- The price is trading below key resistance zones, indicating further downside potential.
2.Supply Zones Identified:
- Two significant supply zones are marked on the chart where selling pressure is expected.
- The first supply zone is around 21,450 – 21,520.
- The second, stronger supply zone is near 21,600 – 21,700, where a previous sell-off occurred.
3. Bearish Rejection Expected:
- The price is likely to retest the lower supply zone before continuing downward.
- A rejection from this zone could lead to further declines.
4. Target Area:
- The projected target area is marked around 20,914, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend.
- If the price breaks below this level, further downside momentum could follow.
▪️Conclusion:
- The market structure remains bearish, and traders should watch for a potential rejection at the supply zone.
- A confirmation of resistance could provide shorting opportunities toward the 20,914 target area.
- However, a breakout above the supply zone could invalidate the bearish outlook.
▪️Trade Idea:
Bearish Bias – Wait for confirmation at the supply zone before considering short positions.
😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
Nas100 Correction: Why a Drop Below 20K is LikelySince reaching its recent all-time high of 22,232, the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has dropped 1,000 points. While this might seem like a significant decline, it actually represents less than a 5% correction—hardly a major pullback.
This drop has brought the index into a key confluence support zone, raising the common question: Is the correction over?
In my opinion, it’s not. For a healthy correction, a dip below 20,000 is necessary.
Technical Perspective
🔹 Since the "bullish" event marked by Trump’s election, the index hasn’t made substantial progress. While it has technically risen, the gains have been marginal, suggesting more distribution than true bullish strength.
🔹 The index remains confined within a large rising wedge, as seen on the chart. This type of structure often signals topping and potential reversal rather than sustainable upside momentum.
What’s Next?
In the medium term, I expect a drop below 20,000. For traders looking to speculatively trade the Nas100, potential sell zones would be around 22,000 and 23,000— in the event of a new all-time high.
TESLA: Tesla sales fall by 50% in Europe! Fear ??
Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union fell by 50.3% in January 2025, compared to the same month last year, according to figures published on Tuesday by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). Specifically, the company sold 7,517 units in the first month of this year, compared to 15,130 vehicles in January 2024, according to EFE.
This drop contrasts, however, with a 34% increase in the purchase of electric vehicles in the EU, up to 124,341 units, so that this type of vehicle represented 15% of the automobile market.
In global terms, new vehicle registrations fell by an average of 2.6% in the community market, with the largest declines recorded in France (-6.2%), Italy (-5.8%) and Germany (-2.8%). Spain, however, was the only one of the four major EU economies in which new vehicle registrations increased, specifically by 5.3%.
--> What is the company's technical aspect?
If we look at the daily graph, the medium-long term trend is still bullish (Bull), but it is in a phase of decline that began on December 17 when it reached highs in the 488 area.
Yesterday, the shares plummeted by -8% due to the news of vehicle sales in Europe, reaching the KEY ZONE of 299 (61.8% Fibonacci + most important dynamic support). From this area, it is MOST LIKELY that there will be an upward rebound, but until this rebound is consolidated and the STRENGTH AND MOMENTUM turn bullish (Bull), the retracement phase will remain active.
--> Which area could be good for entering long positions?
If the price exceeds 383 with the H4 close, we could confirm the end of the retracement and the beginning of a new bullish impulse on the way to highs.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 383
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 429 area (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 349 (-9%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-9%) (coinciding with the 899 of position 1).
--> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 429 ).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, continuing its selling pressure. The index quickly dropped to the lower boundary of a large range, touching the 120-day moving average. The daily MACD has formed a bearish crossover with the signal line, confirming the downtrend, and the index has now reached a potential support zone near previous lows. Yesterday provided a short opportunity at the 5-day moving average, and since there was no meaningful rebound, the gap between price and the 5-day MA has widened significantly. This suggests that a short-term technical bounce could occur based on intraday movements.
However, given the strong selling momentum on the daily chart, even if the market consolidates for a few days, further downside remains likely. If considering long positions, strict stop-loss management is essential. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues to dominate, with both the MACD and signal line dropping sharply below the zero line. Comparing this to past price action near 20,763, the current MACD decline is even steeper, meaning that even if a short-term bounce occurs, the MACD is unlikely to recover back above zero easily. Overall, selling into rallies remains the preferred strategy, but traders should watch for intraday bottoming signals, as a bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, weighed down by concerns over slowing consumer demand. On the daily chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the break below $70 has now confirmed a potential breakdown. Since $70 had been a key support/resistance level, the break below it suggests further downside risk. Today, a shorting opportunity may arise at the 3-day moving average, in line with technical retracement principles. However, the $66–67 range remains a strong support zone, so traders should monitor whether selling pressure is strong enough to push prices below this area. Since the MACD is turning sharply downward, and price action is forming a large bearish candle, the best strategy remains shorting into rallies near the 3-day MA.
On the 240-minute chart, a third bearish wave has developed, leading to an accelerated decline. Aside from potential buying at key support levels on the daily chart, selling into rallies remains the most favorable approach. Given that inventory data will be released today, traders should be cautious of increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle as the Consumer Confidence Index fell. Yesterday, gold was at a crossroads between a buy and sell signal, and with this bearish breakout, the sell signal is now confirmed. For now, gold is likely to trade within a broad range, as the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated from the zero line. This suggests that while further downside is possible, periodic rebounds should also be expected.
Since gold has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and reached the 20-day MA, traders should treat the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day MAs as key resistance levels, while the 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day MAs serve as support levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below zero, with the signal line following downward. This reinforces a range-bound trading strategy, focusing on buying at major support levels while keeping in mind potential rebounds.
By analyzing the daily candles, traders can identify potential future scenarios for Nasdaq, oil, and gold. This is why daily and intraday technical analysis is essential. Additionally, NVIDIA’s earnings report will be released tonight, which could introduce further market volatility. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day!
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