Nasdaq100
Nasdaq Thoughts 12-Sept-2024Kindly see my Nasdaq thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Shanghai Composite. 'Arctic Fox' leaps on Shanghai street cornerReal estate has made China rich in recent years and decades. Now it looks more like radioactive kryptonite from the DC Comics universe - the birthplace of Superman.
Three months earlier, China's house prices fell 0.4% in a month, according to official statistics released in November 2023, the steepest drop since February 2015, according to Bloomberg data .
It was one sign that a key engine of the world's second-largest economy is still faltering despite Beijing's multiple stimulus packages.
At the same time, prices for secondary housing fell by 0.6% in October, which is the highest figure in nine years.
According to the Cato Institute data , private property accounts for 1/4 of China's total gross domestic product and nearly 70% of all household wealth.
This means that falling house prices have become a serious burden on the economy.
The situation is exacerbated by a seemingly endless debt crisis that has left the country's two largest property developers on the brink of collapse, with both Evergrande and Country Garden defaulting on bond repayments in recent years.
Evergrande serves as an example of how an industry that contributed to China's economic boom and prosperity for decades has become toxic and has become a point of weakness and decline.
The company was founded in 1996 and built huge residential complexes in the city center, helping to accelerate China's shift away from a socialist agrarian economy. The company eventually expanded beyond real estate, opening separate businesses selling bottled water and electric vehicles, and in 2010 it bought a Chinese soccer club that would go on to become the country's most successful team.
These days, the former giant is struggling for cash and facing liquidation.
China's fragile housing market is back in the spotlight at the start of 2024, following the release of a batch of fresh statistics.
China's troubled property market ended last year with the worst decline in new home prices in nearly nine years, despite government efforts to prop up a sector that was once a key driver of the second-largest economy.
New home prices in December showed their sharpest fall since February 2015, while property sales measured by area fell 23% in December from a year earlier, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Wednesday, January 17, 2024.
Of the 70 cities included in the NBS house price data, 62 reported falling prices.
Markets immediately responded with a strong decline, exacerbating the accumulated negative returns since the start of 2024.
Big China Indices Crash by Mid-January, 2024
At the same time, property developer investment in December fell year-on-year at the fastest pace since at least 2000, according to Reuters calculations based on NBS data. Overall, real estate investment fell 9.6% in 2023, roughly matching the decline in 2022.
Several Chinese developers, including China Evergrande Group HKEX:3333 and Country Garden HKEX:2007 defaulted on their offshore debts and entered into restructuring processes.
Country Garden, the country's largest private real estate developer, warned this week that it expects the real estate market to remain weak into 2024.
The technical main chart is dedicated to the Shanghai Composite Stock Index, which, judging by the current scenario, will experience far from the best year in its history, as a result of the index breaking down its narrowing multi-year range.
// Photo: “Arctic fox” leaps on Shanghai street corner .
💡 February, 2024 Notes
👉 Chinese stocks are falling for the 6th month in a row by February 2024 against the backdrop of the weakness of the Chinese economy, while SSE:000001 Shanghai Composite Stock Index fell below its 200-month SMA for the first time in its history.
👉 An extremely rare Bearish Super Combo in the Chinese financial market of 6 consecutive monthly declines is the result of disappointment with economic data and PRC government measures to support the economy.
👉 Industrial activity in China fell for the fourth month in a row in January, official data showed on Wednesday.
PMI indexes point to a bleak picture of continued contraction in manufacturing, roughly unchanged activity in the services sector and a slowdown in construction, Nomura analysts said.
👉 Weak economic recovery and limited support measures have affected investor sentiment.
The Hang Seng Tech Index of Hong Kong-listed tech giants HSI:HSTECH fell 20% in January, while Hong Kong-listed shares of mainland property developer Hang Seng index fell 19%.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 9-13th: S&P NAS GOLD SILVER US&UK OILThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast SEPT 9 - 13th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
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Disclaimer:
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Nasdaq100 High risk LONGIdea in Progress: Noticing that during the Asian and London sessions, the price hasn’t made a new low, I see potential for an upward move. Given that the price is currently within a bullish 4H FVG, there’s a chance it could rise toward the bearish 4H FVG created yesterday before resuming its decline.
Trade Management: I'll take profit at the first swing high and then move my stop loss to break even.
Risk: 1%
Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.34
NASDAQ100US100 has been ranging since last week, I would like to see it drop before it rallies to new highs, though it is simple for nas100 to reach our SL because our entry is exposed and in sync with 97% of retail traders who sold simply because resistance zone, we are part of liquidity into this trade and market algo price machine is mostly likely to take us out.Use low lots and proper risk management. Lets Download Success
NASDAQ100US100 has been ranging since last week, I would like to see it drop before it rallies to new highs, though it is simple for nas100 to reach our SL because our entry is exposed and in sync with 97% of retail traders who sold simply because resistance zone, we are part of liquidity into this trade and market algo price machine is mostly likely to take us out.Use low lots and proper risk management. Lets Download Success
Nasdaq Thoughts 03-Sept-2024Good morning, traders! I'm excited to share my Nasdaq trading zones with you today, packed with potential trading opportunities. Dive in to uncover valuable insights for opening positions, but remember, these are merely guidance - not signals. Use them at your own discretion and risk. Happy trading!
USNAS100 / Already dropped and still, or enough...Nasdaq Technical Analysis
The Nasdaq price has stabilized below the pivot line at 19,535, signaling a bearish trend, particularly given the significant bearish volume below this level.
As long as the price remains under 19,535 and 19685, it will likely continue declining, potentially reaching 19370 and 19185.
However, a break above 19685, followed by 19820 and 19975.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 19535
Resistance Levels: 19625, 19972, 20100
Support Levels: 19290, 19185, 18940
Expected Trading Range for Today: 19685 to 19185
Trend: Bearish, as long as the price remains below 19535.
NAS100 - End Of August - Are you not satisfied???Hello Traders.
Come on guys, interact with the post if you seeing how accurate this is !
Notes for today
Price tapped into our zone i mentioned in the previous post, 19,666 was to far but but 19,630 was my entry.
Price was kind enough to come back to this point again today before NY killzone time.
If you followed me from Monday, i mentioned we will see lower prices possibly up to 19,120. So far so good.
If you caught it, you would be + 300 ticks minimum.
For today, i am done. Will relook at the charts tomorrow.
Trade safe 👌
Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Ahead of Nvidia ReportNasdaq 100 Consolidates Ahead of Nvidia Report
Today, after the main trading session ends, Nvidia (NVDA) – the second-largest company by market capitalisation and the leader of 2024 amid the AI boom – will release its second-quarter earnings report.
It’s reasonable to assume that market participants are anticipating this event, which will likely trigger a surge in market volatility:
→ Nvidia shares (NVDA) have been fluctuating within the $123.50 – $131.00 range since 19 August;
→ Signs of anticipation are also evident on the technology index chart.
A technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) shows that:
→ Starting from the 3-month low formed on 5 August, the recovery has created an ascending channel (shown in blue) – with the price in the upper half of the channel, indicating steady demand.
→ However, as the NVDA earnings report approaches, the price has retreated from the upper boundary and dropped towards the median (as indicated by the red lines). This could suggest a Bullish Flag pattern (a pattern of intermediate correction within an uptrend).
→ A concerning factor is that the growth rate slowed after the price surpassed the 1 August high. The psychological level of 20,000 points could also be acting as a barrier to further growth within the blue channel.
In the event of a strong Nvidia (NVDA) report, the Nasdaq 100 index price (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) could break out of the Bullish Flag and continue its upward movement within the ascending channel. However, if the company disappoints, the price could drop to the lower boundary of the channel or even attempt a bearish breakout.
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NASDAQ thoughts 28-Aug-2024Hello all, Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price action trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
Nas100 - End of August Update Hello Traders 🌍
So far so good, as mentioned yesterday. We making lower moves, ultimately i would like to see price move to 19,120 by the end of this week.
Notes
- Price left Friday's high + PWH intact
- Created bearish displacement during NY am session
- Total move plus 250 ticks from London
- 4hr Gap zone showing good price reaction
- Possible US tech selloff
today i am anticipating a move lower, however will sit on my hands until we between 19,630 and 19,666 for OTE, if all works out well.
Remember this is subjective price will tell us around 2:45am to 05:00am where it might want to go.
Trade safe 👌
The NASDAQ index is gearing up for new high. H4 20.08.2024The NASDAQ index is gearing up for new high
NASDAQ index made a major segment overlap up and the question is if they are going to give a pullback before continuing the growth. Along the way they formed 2 important buy zones, but there is no culmination at the top. I expect a pullback down to the zones and then buying. Most likely we will push from the nearest zone 18920-19200 and then rise to test the high near 21000. Also, just in case I have specified the far zone of buyers 18400-18670, but it is unlikely that we will reach there.
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF PredictionIf you haven`t bought the last dip on QQQ:
Historically, the QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF has demonstrated a consistent pattern where a Relative Strength Index (RSI) at or below 30 triggers buying activity.
This technical indicator, typically viewed as signaling an oversold condition, has reliably attracted investors looking to capitalize on perceived undervaluation.
As a result, these dips have been quickly bought up, suggesting a strong market tendency to rebound from such low RSI levels.
I expect the recovery to be V-shaped or W-shaped, ending the year higher.