Get started

Nasdaq100

NAS100 Rebound Setup – Bulls Gaining Strength Again?The NAS100 has bounced strongly from the high-volume demand zone (16,700 – 17,800) highlighted by LuxAlgo's Supply and Demand indicator. The current price is consolidating near 18,700, building momentum for a potential breakout. Key Technical Zones: Demand Zone: 16,700 – 17,800 (high buy interest) Support Level: 17,828.9 Resistance 1: 20,350.6 (first upside target) Major Supply Zone: 21,775.4 (big decision point for bulls) Bullish Outlook: Price has reclaimed the 17,828.9 support and is forming higher lows. A strong break above 19,000 could send price to test 20,350, then possibly 21,775. Green arrows show the bullish potential if price holds above support. Bearish Risk: A breakdown below 17,828.9 could signal a return to the demand zone. Watch for rejection candlesticks or divergence signals near resistance. Volume Profile Insight: LuxAlgo's visible range shows strong buyer interest below 18,000, indicating institutions may be accumulating positions. --- Trade Idea: Look for a confirmed breakout above recent highs near 18,800 for long entries. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 17,800 for better risk-reward. --- What’s your take on NAS100? Will buyers push it to 20K+ or is this just a trap rally? Share your thoughts below! #NASDAQ #US100 #NAS100 #IndexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup
PLong
by FrankFx14
Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish GapTrump Exempts Electronics from Tariffs; Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish Gap Despite the weekend, the news flow remained intense amid the escalating trade war. According to media reports: → Certain tech products, including those made by Apple, have been exempted from Trump’s tariffs. → Trump announced he would make a significant statement regarding semiconductor tariffs on Monday, 14 April. Stock Indices React to Trump’s Tariff Moves These announcements were taken positively by the markets. As shown on the chart of the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the new week opened with a bullish gap exceeding 1.5% – a stronger performance than the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which also saw a bullish gap. This may suggest that market participants are cautiously optimistic that the sweeping tariff measures might be eased through exemptions, delays, or negotiation concessions. Nevertheless, the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index remains in "extreme fear" territory, despite inching higher compared to last week. As of this morning, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has recovered approximately 15% from its 2025 low. Technical Analysis: Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) Seven days ago, we plotted an ascending blue channel and suggested that its lower boundary could act as support – which has indeed played out. With the latest data in hand, there is reason to believe that bulls may now be aiming to push the price up toward the channel’s median line. However, as indicated by the arrows on the chart, this median appears to have shifted from acting as support to acting as resistance. Bulls may also face headwinds from the wide bearish candle to the left, which was formed in reaction to Trump's tariff announcements. According to Smart Money Concept methodology, this area – marked by a bearish Fair Value Gap (highlighted with a rectangle) – may now serve as resistance. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:NDQM
by FXOpen
1
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 17,407.64 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 17,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 18,238.84 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FLong
by FXCM
1
Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
PLong
by fxtraderanthony
2
Tactical US100 Trading: Converting 1W Trend into 30m Opportunity📈 The US100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish trend pattern on the weekly timeframe. We can observe a notable rally followed by a retracement into equilibrium when analyzed against the previous price wing range. 🔎 Currently, the index is positioned at a premium level, creating an environment where short sellers might be building positions in anticipation of further downward movement. However, market dynamics remain highly sensitive to external influences, particularly unexpected statements and social media announcements from influential figures like Donald Trump. 🌊 With such market unpredictability in play, focusing on shorter timeframes provides more actionable intelligence. Price action signals offer clearer guidance in this volatile environment. ⚡ Trade Opportunity: The 30-minute chart reveals a defined trading range worth monitoring. A definitive break above this range could present an opportunity to enter long positions, while a breakdown below support might signal a favorable short entry point. 🎯 This breakout strategy enables traders to respond to actual market movements rather than attempting to forecast the broader market direction—a particularly valuable approach given the current unpredictable market landscape. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk of capital loss and may not be appropriate for all investors. Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Always perform independent research and consider your personal financial circumstances before executing any trades. Market conditions are subject to rapid changes, and no trading methodology ensures profits. The information presented should be used as one of many inputs in your decision-making process.
P
by fxtraderanthony
1
NAS100 (15min) – Bullish Entry Activated1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation Price was compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, with a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision and buildup of pressure. 2. Downside Fake-out (False Breakout) Price briefly broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a potential bearish breakout. However, there was no strong follow-through; instead, price quickly reclaimed the trendline and pushed back inside the structure. This is a classic fake-out, often trapping late sellers and providing liquidity for buyers. The rejection from the lows resulted in a long wick, signalling strong buying interest and failure to break down. 3. Aggressive Bullish Reaction After reclaiming the triangle support, price moved rapidly back to the top of the triangle. The next key move was a strong breakout above the upper trendline, confirming bullish intent. 4. Break and Retest Price action followed through with a clean breakout above resistance, followed by a minor pullback and retest of the broken trendline, which held as support. This retest offered a textbook entry point based on price action principles. 5. Bullish Structure Confirmation Post breakout, price formed a higher low and continued to make a higher high, confirming a trend shift. This structural change strengthens the bullish outlook.
FLong
by Naren_2410
2
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher on the daily chart. It held above 18,360 at the close, and today’s candle formed a golden cross as the MACD crossed above the Signal line, creating a potential buy signal. However, this signal will only be confirmed if the candle closes as a solid bullish bar, so it's too early to say that a buy confirmation has been established. On the weekly chart, although the index has not yet reclaimed the 5-week MA, it has gapped above it. Overall, the index appears to be forming a box range between the 3-week and 10-week MAs, and if further upside occurs, we could potentially see a move toward the 60-week MA. However, since the MACD and Signal line on the weekly chart are still sloping downward, there's a high possibility of a medium-term pullback even if the index rallies to the 10-week MA. On the daily chart, the index is still meeting resistance at the 20-day MA, and the key point now is whether the MACD completes the golden cross or turns downward again. Since the index has managed to hold above 18,360, the potential for a rebound remains open. Buying during pullbacks near the lower wick remains a favorable strategy. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is turning upward after finding support at the Signal line, forming a potential third wave of buying. In short-term timeframes, buying on dips remains favorable. This week, the Retail Sales data is scheduled for Wednesday, and the U.S. markets will be closed on Friday. Please keep that in mind for risk management. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher in a narrow range on the daily chart. On the weekly chart, a long lower wick formed, finishing with a doji candle, suggesting indecision. Last week, oil was rejected at the 3-week MA, forming an upper wick. If it rallies this week, it could target the 5-week MA. The $65 level, near both the 5-week and 240-week MAs, remains a strong resistance zone, making it a potentially favorable area to consider short trades. On the daily chart, oil has entered a box range between the 5-day and 10-day MAs. Though the MACD and Signal line still point downward, oil is currently holding within a supportive range. There is a possibility the MACD could begin to turn upward, so keeping both bullish and bearish scenarios open is advisable. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is still rising after a golden cross but remains below the zero line, suggesting a potential for another pullback. Overall, monitor intraday movements and continue to trade within the range. Gold Gold closed higher, setting a new all-time high. The weekly chart formed a strong bullish candle, resuming its upward trend. Buying near the 3-week MA remains favorable. As the price has overshot the previous target of $3,216, we’ve now entered an overshooting zone, making it difficult to define the next resistance. Therefore, caution is advised for short positions, and it’s best to focus on buying the dips. On the daily chart, the new all-time high generated a bullish signal, and buying near the 3-day MA is recommended. Gold may enter a sideways consolidation phase while aligning its moving averages. In that case, buying near the 5-day MA may also be considered, but avoid chasing the price higher. The MACD has made another golden cross, and it’s important that the MACD doesn’t create a divergence by failing to surpass its previous peak. Avoid shorts, and stick with buy-the-dip strategies. On the 240-minute chart, buying momentum remains strong. The RSI is in overbought territory, so again, avoid shorting and focus only on buying during pullbacks. Market Outlook Compared to the last two weeks of high volatility, this week is expected to be more subdued. After a period of extreme moves, the market is likely to consolidate and seek direction. Rather than swinging for home runs, it's better to focus on small base hits and steadily build profits. Wishing you a successful trading week! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CLong
by Futureguard
1
NASDAQ Futures Long Setup: Pullback Entry After Tariff BoostMarket Outlook – April 13, 2025 Quick recap: In my last public analysis, I mentioned watching the 18,350–18,000 zone for signs of support — a level stacked with confluence (50–61.8% Fib, EMA, VWAP, pivot). Price broke down deeper than expected but responded beautifully: ✅ Tagged 18,000 almost to the tick ✅ Rejected hard at the 61.8 Fib ✅ Respected the 50 Fib on the way back up All solid signs of strength. Now with tariff exemptions announced today (bullish for tech/Nasdaq), I’m opening the door to more long setups this week. Here’s What I’m Watching: 🔹 Scenario A: Pullback into the 18,575–18,500 zone (first dotted white line). If price reclaims structure or gives me something clean — EMA bounce, VWAP tag, candle pattern — I’ll look for longs. 🔹 Scenario B: If that level breaks or I miss the first shot, I’ll look for a second chance around 18,000–18,300. Same deal: not jumping in blindly, waiting for a setup to form. To be clear — these are areas of interest, not automatic trades. I want clean structure and confirmation before entering. Let’s see how it plays out. Will update if/when I take a position. Stay sharp. 📈
CLong
by natron
$QQQ Poised for Lift-Off: Flipping Resistance, Eyeing $470-$475!🚀 NASDAQ:QQQ Poised for Lift-Off: Flipping Resistance, Eyeing $470-$475! 🚀 As mentioned in my recent post, we’ve successfully flipped the $443.14 resistance into support—a key technical shift! 🔹 Momentum Building: - Wr% Indicator: Making higher lows and advancing steadily towards the Red Barrier. - Volume Gap: Still in play and ready to be filled. With a higher low now established, I believe we’re set up for a potential move to $470-$475 next week. 📈 Let’s see how this plays out—exciting times ahead! 💡 Have an amazing weekend, friends! Not financial advice
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by RonnieV29
NAS100 Triangle Apex – Breakout or Breakdown ImminentBullish View: • Price is forming higher lows and holding above the lower ascending trendline. • A breakout above the upper descending trendline near 18,500 would confirm bullish momentum. • If the breakout is sustained, potential upside targets include 18,650 and 18,800. Bearish View: • Price has tested the lower support trendline and shown weakness near the apex of the triangle. • A breakdown below 18,100 would indicate bearish momentum and invalidate the ascending structure. • If the breakdown is sustained, potential downside targets include 17,950 and 17,700.
F
by Naren_2410
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower following news of additional tariffs on China. On the daily chart, the index failed to break above the 20-day moving average and pulled back to the 5-day MA, continuing its box-range movement. Since the 5-day MA is still acting as support, the current trend can still be seen as a sideways consolidation, with 18,500 acting as a central pivot level. The MACD on the daily chart has not yet clearly broken above the Signal line, so it remains uncertain whether it will make a golden cross with additional upward momentum, or turn downward again. Thus, it’s best to adopt a neutral range-bound trading strategy, keeping strict stop-losses on both sides. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have moved above the zero line, entering a key area to observe whether the third wave of MACD upside begins after this box-range consolidation. Since the current price is correcting after a rebound from a double bottom, and is maintaining the center of the prior bullish candle, buying remains more favorable. Unless the previous day’s low is broken, it’s better to stay buy-biased. Please note that today's PPI data release is scheduled, which may lead to increased volatility around the announcement time. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower with a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, it failed to hold the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, breaking below the 5-day MA. The MACD continues its downward slope, and unless oil clearly reclaims the 10-day MA, the market will remain bear-biased. There is resistance now at the 3-day and 5-day MAs, so it’s important to see whether further downside unfolds. As previously noted, the $59 level is a key support zone — watch closely for any breakdowns. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is trending up and pulling the Signal line along, but both remain below the zero line. If oil continues in a box range but the MACD turns downward again and forms a dead cross, there could be another leg lower. For now, continue to focus on buying near the $59 level, and maintain a range-trading approach until further confirmation. Gold Gold closed higher with another strong rally. On the daily chart, the MACD has now crossed above the Signal line, generating a buy signal. However, this signal will only be valid if today’s candle closes as a bullish bar, so watching the daily close is critical. Gold hit new all-time highs during the pre-market session, with the long-awaited 3,216 level, which has been the target since March, now within reach. Beyond this level, we enter the overshooting zone, where it’s difficult to define a precise top. Therefore, it's best to stick to dip-buying strategies, as safe-haven demand continues to surge. Even though the MACD has crossed bullishly, divergence may form if the current MACD fails to exceed the previous peak. Avoid chasing long positions at the top; instead, look for entries during pullbacks. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has climbed above the zero line, showing a strong one-way bullish trend. RSI across intraday charts is now in overbought territory, so it’s best to avoid short positions entirely for today. Market Sentiment & VIX Looking at the VIX index, the daily candle has once again broken above the 5-day MA, indicating that volatility could expand further at any time. With Trump’s remarks shaking markets, it’s impossible to predict what new developments might emerge over the weekend. Avoid holding overnight positions due to heightened headline risk, and make sure to wrap up this trading week with solid risk management. Wishing you a profitable trading day! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
C
by Futureguard
Nasdaq is not done yet, dont be fooled! On Wednesday, April 9, 2025, the Nasdaq experienced a significant 15% surge, driven by news catalysts. This upward movement aligned with the price reaching the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), effectively absorbing all internal liquidity at that level. The critical juncture now lies in how the Nasdaq (NQ) performs over the next few days. Should we see a retest and breach of the recent highs from this news-driven rally, it could signal a strong potential for the index to achieve new all-time highs (ATH). Conversely, if the momentum falters and fails to sustain these levels, a swift decline toward 16,000 could materialize, with a further potential downside target of 14,000.
CShort
by Almenio
Trump's Second Term Brings Sharpest Market Decline Since 2001It's gone nearly three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. less than 3 months, really? 🙀) since Donald Trump entered The White House (again). Those times everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on super hyped bullsh#t. What's happened next? We all know.. mostly all US stocks and crypto markets turned to 'a Bearish Mode', or to at least to 'a Correction' (that is still actual at this time). Here's a short educational breakdown for Nasdaq Composite index NASDAQ:IXIC what we think about all of that, at our beloved 💖 @PandorraResearch Team. Trump's Second Term Brings Sharpest Market Decline Since 2001: Analyzing the recent 15% Stock Market Plunge President Donald Trump's second term has coincided with a dramatic stock market downturn, with the S&P 500 losing approximately 15% of its value since his January 2025 inauguration. This represents the worst start to a presidential term since George W. Bush in 2001 during the dot-com crash. The decline has erased more than $3 trillion in market value, driven primarily by concerns over trade policies, particularly the implementation of new tariffs. Market analysts point to growing fears of potential stagflation—a toxic combination of slow economic growth and high inflation—as investor confidence continues to deteriorate despite pre-election expectations of business-friendly policies. Unprecedented Market Decline Under the New Administration Historical Context of Presidential Market Performance The current market downturn stands out in stark relief when compared to previous presidential transitions. The S&P 500 has fallen nearly 10% in the first 10 weeks since Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, marking the worst start under a new president since George W. Bush in 2001. This decline is significantly worse than the start of the prior five administrations, with Bush's roughly 18% drop during the dot-com crash being the only steeper decline in recent presidential history. Looking further back, only Richard Nixon experienced a comparable early-term market decline with a 7.2% drop, highlighting the severity of the current situation. When examining presidential market performance metrics, Trump's second term has already distinguished itself negatively. During the first 50 days, the S&P 500 declined by 6.4%, positioning it among the poorest market starts since 1950. By contrast, the best 50-day starts were achieved by John F. Kennedy (up 9.4%), Barack Obama (up 5.7%), and Bill Clinton (up 4.2%), demonstrating how unusual the current market trajectory is in historical context. Magnitude of the Current Decline The scale of market value destruction has been substantial. More than $3 trillion has been erased from the S&P 500's value over approximately 52 trading sessions since Trump's inauguration. By early April 2025, the decline had accelerated to approximately 15% from Inauguration Day, pushing the market dangerously close to bear territory. Market analysts note that if the S&P 500 reaches a 20% decline from its recent peak, it would mark the earliest instance of a bear market during a new administration based on S&P 500 history since 1957. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has suffered even more severely, with declines exceeding 11% by mid-March. This demonstrates the particular vulnerability of growth stocks that had previously led market gains, now facing the most significant corrections. Key Factors Driving the Market Downturn Trade Policy Uncertainty and Tariff Concerns Trade policy, particularly the implementation and threat of tariffs, has emerged as the primary catalyst for market turmoil. The unpredictable nature of these policies has created significant uncertainty for businesses, investors, and consumers alike. Trump's "on-again, off-again approach to tariffs" has effectively extinguished the optimism that initially buoyed markets following his election victory in November 2024. The market decline accelerated dramatically after what was termed the "Liberation Day" event, during which Trump announced plans for unprecedented tariff escalation. Two-thirds of the S&P 500's 15% decline occurred after this announcement, prompting Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research to observe that "Liberation Day has been succeeded by Annihilation Days in the stock market". Fear of Stagflation and Economic Instability Many economists have warned that the new tariffs could reaccelerate inflation at a time when economic growth may be slowing, creating conditions for stagflation. This combination is particularly concerning for investors, as it creates a challenging environment for corporate profitability and economic prosperity. The risk that tariffs could trigger this economic condition has effectively neutralized investor optimism regarding other aspects of Trump's agenda, including potential regulatory reforms and tax reductions. Shift in Market Sentiment The market has undergone a fundamental transformation in sentiment from the period immediately following Trump's election victory to the current environment. Initially, investors had bid stocks up to record highs, anticipating benefits from tax cuts, deregulation, and business-friendly policies. However, this optimism has been replaced by growing concern about economic direction. As one market strategist noted, "We have witnessed a significant shift in sentiment. A lot of strategies that previously worked are now failing". The S&P 500 has relinquished all gains made since Trump's November 2024 election victory, representing a striking reversal in market confidence. Potential Long-Term Implications Historical Patterns and Future Outlook Historical analysis suggests that poor market starts during presidential transitions often foreshadow continued challenges. According to SunDial Capital Research strategist Jason Goepfert, rough starts represent a "bad omen" for stocks based on past performance patterns. His analysis indicates that markets typically show a median return of -1.9% six months after such a start, and after a year, they generally remain flat. Among similar historical instances, only four out of ten cases resulted in more gains than losses over the following year. Administration's Response to Market Decline Unlike during his first term, when Trump regularly referenced strong stock market performance as evidence of his administration's success, his second-term approach appears markedly different. Some market analysts have noted that "The Trump administration appears to be more accepting of the market's decline, potentially even welcoming a recession to achieve their broader objectives". This shift in attitude has further unsettled investors who previously expected the administration to prioritize market stability. Technical challenge The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index has recently soared 12% for its best day since January 2001. But did you know what happened next in 2001? The major upside trend as well as 5-years SMA were shortly broken and market printed extra 40 percent Bearish decline. Similar with what's happening in 2025..!? Exactly! Conclusion Trump's second presidential term has coincided with one of the worst stock market starts in modern American history, comparable only to George W. Bush's entry during the dot-com crash of 2001. The approximately 15% market decline since inauguration represents a loss of trillions in market value and a complete reversal of the optimism that followed his election. Trade policy uncertainty, particularly regarding tariffs, has emerged as the primary driver of market instability, creating fears of potential stagflation and undermining business confidence. As historical patterns suggest that poor starts often lead to continued underperformance, investors remain concerned about the market's trajectory through the remainder of 2025 and beyond. -- Best 'a bad omen' wishes, Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ:IXIC
by PandorraResearch
2
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed with a sharp surge following news of a possible delay in Trump’s tariff implementation. A 12% single-day rally on the daily chart is unprecedented — it was an extraordinary rise. On the daily chart, the 20-day moving average is acting as resistance, and to fully fill the April 3rd gap-down, the index would need to rise to around 19,750. If the Nasdaq continues to climb and fills that gap, a potential pullback should be anticipated. Although the MACD has turned sharply upward in a V-shape, it hasn't fully broken above the Signal line yet. Given the rapidly changing global conditions, the possibility of a reversal still exists. However, since the 90-day tariff delay has been confirmed, the market may be entering a phase of relative stability. On the weekly chart, we see a sharp rebound that has brought the index up to the 5-week moving average. Both the Nasdaq and the VIX suggest that today could be a range-bound (sideways) session, so it's better to set wider trading ranges and adopt a box-range trading strategy. On the 240-minute chart, a double bottom pattern has formed, with the MACD bouncing off the Signal line and rising again. The MACD is trending upward, but the Signal line remains below the zero line, which means a short-term pullback could still occur. Overall, it is advisable to use a buy-low, sell-high approach, with more upside potential still open. Also, today’s CPI report is scheduled, so please be mindful of increased volatility around the data release. Crude Oil Crude oil rebounded sharply from the $55 level, showing an impressive 12% range between high and low. However, the sell signal remains active. The price has broken above the 5-day moving average and entered a box range between the 5- and 10-day MAs, suggesting that a moving average-based box strategy would be effective. On the weekly chart, oil has not yet reached the 5-week MA, so there’s still room up to the $65 level, which has historically served as strong resistance. Around that area, it might be more effective to consider short positions. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD showed signs of a third wave down, but failed to make a new low — signaling bullish divergence. A head-and-shoulders inverse pattern may be forming, with the right shoulder potentially developing around the $59–$60 zone. Overall, the strategy should remain range-based, with some more room to the upside. Gold Gold also closed sharply higher, benefiting from the tariff delay news. On the daily chart, the price closed higher, giving the illusion of a support bounce off the lower Bollinger Band, as that band is rising. The MACD remains above the zero line, so there’s still room for a retest of the Signal line, but given the current gap between MACD and Signal, the price needs to either rise further or move sideways to bring the MACD closer and potentially break above the Signal line. If it fails to rise from here, the MACD may turn down again, so avoid chasing the price upward. Like Nasdaq and oil, gold is heavily influenced by global developments, so stay updated on the geopolitical landscape. On the 240-minute chart, gold formed a triple bottom around the 2,980 level and then rebounded strongly. The MACD is trending upward and pulling the Signal line along with it, but resistance around the 3,130 level remains significant. Gold may see increased volatility from today’s CPI report and tomorrow’s PPI release, so stay alert. Market Summary The market has been showing signs of irrational behavior. Investor sentiment is extremely volatile and driven more by emotion than logic. In times like this, it’s more important than ever to stick to the basics, shorten trade duration, cut back on risk, and trade with discipline. The more you chase after gains, the more likely your trades will be swept away by market turbulence. Warren Buffett is considered a legend in the financial markets precisely because he has always stuck to fundamental principles. Likewise, it is crucial to establish and stick to your own trading principles to survive in the markets. If you haven’t yet experienced the kind of volatility we saw during the Trump era or the pandemic, this is a time to be especially cautious and defensive in your approach. Wishing you another day of successful trading If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
C
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower after forming an upper wick at the 5-day moving average on the daily chart. If it had closed with a bullish candle, a technical rebound from the oversold condition could have opened the way to the 10-day moving average, but instead, it ended with a bearish candle. The daily chart still shows a sell signal, but the best-case scenario would be for the market to form a double bottom pattern after confirming a short-term low and attempt another rise toward the 10-day moving average. On the intraday charts, there's a high probability that the market will show a double bottom during the pre-market session, especially since there's no clear sell reversal on lower timeframes yet. The 240-minute chart shows a golden cross on the MACD, and although a death cross hasn't yet occurred, the large gap between the MACD and the zero line suggests a continued corrective trend. As long as the death cross doesn't materialize, buying on dips near the bottom remains favorable. The 16,500 level is a strong support zone on the monthly, weekly, and daily charts, so shorting is not recommended — better to lean toward long setups. With the FOMC minutes due out early tomorrow and the CPI report on the horizon, volatility is expected to rise as the market attempts to form a bottom. Stick to buying on dips, manage risk carefully, and reduce leverage in this volatile environment. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower, continuing its recent downtrend on the daily chart. Concerns over a global economic slowdown and increased production from OPEC nations are dampening the upside. Although the sell signal on the daily MACD remains, there's still potential for a short-term rebound toward the 5-day moving average. If trading short, make sure to set a stop-loss, especially near the strong $57 support zone, where shorting is riskier. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has re-crossed into a death cross, showing signs of a third wave of selling pressure. However, there's still a chance of bullish divergence, so avoid chasing short positions. The $57–$59 support range remains strong, and unless this level breaks, buying on dips offers a more favorable risk-reward ratio. Note that today's U.S. crude inventory report could introduce more volatility, so trade carefully. Gold Gold closed lower with an upper wick on the daily chart. While the price is still above the 0 line on the MACD, if it pulls back to the previous high resistance area, which coincides with the lower Bollinger Band and the 60-day moving average, it may present a good buying opportunity for swing trades. On the weekly chart, gold is still moving within a sideways range, trapped between key moving averages. With the FOMC minutes today and the CPI tomorrow, it's important to monitor whether the price breaks out of this range. The 240-minute chart shows that the MACD has not yet formed a golden cross, and there's still a large gap from the 0 line. If MACD rebounds and then corrects again, it's crucial to check whether a double bottom around the 2,980 area is forming. Overall, gold remains a buy-the-dip candidate, and if the price falls to around the 60-day moving average, it could present a great swing entry. Investor sentiment is reaching extreme levels, and we're witnessing unusually fast and wide price swings. It's hard to rely on daily or weekly charts alone, so it's important to focus on short-term price action and use appropriate leverage for your strategy. The market will always be open. Survival and consistent profitability are what matter most in the long run. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and take a long-term view as a trader. Wishing you another day of successful trading! If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CLong
by Futureguard