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AMAZON: Good results and in the 61.8% Fibonacci zone! Pay attentAmazon presented results on February 7th, beating expectations driven by the cloud business. AWS stands out with a growth of +19%, a pace that it has maintained for 3 consecutive quarters. Revenues on the online platform grow +8%, advertising +18% and third-party services +9%. Efficiency measures and the greater growth of AWS and advertising, with higher margins, boost EBIT +60.5% with a margin improvement of +350 bp to 11.3%. AI will continue to be a growth factor in 2025 after the alliance with Anthropic and new AI applications. But the guidance for 1Q25 is disappointing, indicating that Amazon remains cautious in an environment of uncertainty due to the impact of tariffs on China (25% of its online sales are of Chinese products) and adverse effects due to exchange rates. Despite a weaker than expected 1Q25, we remain positive on the stock. The advertising business is growing at a good pace and Amazon is already the third largest operator after Google and Meta, with a global share of 9%. On the online sales front, the group is reducing delivery times to face growing competition from Walmart and Temu. With a 47% market share in the cloud business in 2023 (55% excluding China), Amazon remains one of the companies that will benefit the most from the adoption of generative AI, ranking among the preferred providers of AI-based services/apps for users, although investment efforts and a moderation in consumption are slowing short-term growth prospects. --> What does it look like technically? So far this year, it has a cumulative revaluation of +4% and its trend is clearly bullish, so we will ONLY look for LONGs. It is currently in a RECOVERY PHASE and has already reached the 50%-61.8% Fibonacci zone, which means it is in a key zone from which it could end the retracement and start a new bullish impulse on the way to new highs. Last Friday the IVO oscillator warned us of overselling, and if we add to that the fact that its trend is clearly bullish and that it has a retracement of almost 61.8% Fibonacci, it is very likely that the MOMENTUM will soon turn bullish (Bull) and we can make a long entry. --------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if it exceeds the 236 zone POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 245 zone (+4%) --> Stop Loss at 226 (-4%). --> Ratio ( 1:1 ) POSITION 2 ( TP2 ): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4%) (coinciding with the 226 of position 1 ). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 245 ). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is Trailing Stop ? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by jmesado
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq rose within a small range, forming a box consolidation pattern. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and today’s candlestick will merge with yesterday’s due to the holiday. As mentioned previously, today is a key session where the 5-day moving average may provide support, meaning a pullback to this level is possible. Since yesterday’s high remained in a consolidation phase, the pre-market and regular session today could see some downside movement. The reason is that the market has yet to test a key level, which increases the likelihood of a short-term pullback. On the 240-minute chart, the buy signal remains intact, but low-volume choppy price action persists. If a sell signal emerges on the 240-minute chart, the Nasdaq could correct down to the 5-day MA, making this a key area to consider buying dips. Since today’s candle will be a combined session with yesterday, traders should expect price swings that normally unfold in one day to play out over two sessions. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher within a neutral range, forming a bullish daily candle. The key focus now is whether oil can sustain its double-bottom structure, leading to further upside. For the MACD and signal line to maintain a sell signal on the daily chart, oil must break decisively below $70 by the daily close. If this does not happen, a double-bottom reversal could trigger a rebound, meaning traders should be cautious with short positions. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has appeared, following a false breakdown and a potential double-bottom formation. If holding short positions, be aware of the risk of a sudden price surge. With ongoing Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations, oil volatility could increase, so traders should remain cautious. A break above $72 would be a bullish confirmation, while a failure to hold $70 support could lead to another leg down. Risk management is crucial. Gold Gold rebounded on the daily chart, closing higher. The MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning that the market remains in a buy-biased structure, increasing the likelihood of continued upside. While buying dips remains the preferred strategy, gold has already tested the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, meaning traders should now focus on lower time frames for entry confirmation. If gold continues to rise today and breaks above the 3-day and 5-day moving averages, the MACD could turn higher again, confirming that the buy trend remains intact. However, if gold declines and the MACD forms a bearish crossover, traders should prepare for a potential move down toward the 20-day moving average, adjusting their strategy accordingly. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below the zero line, but the signal line remains above zero, suggesting that rebound attempts are likely. However, since the MACD’s downward slope is steep, a quick bullish crossover is unlikely. Even if gold rises, it may face resistance and pull back again, meaning traders should avoid chasing breakouts. If the signal line falls below zero, this would be a bearish confirmation, making it safer to trade within a range—selling near highs and buying at lower support levels. Given yesterday’s holiday, today could see increased volatility as markets adjust. Additionally, Wednesday’s FOMC meeting minutes release is expected to introduce further market swings. Risk management is key—stay disciplined, and have a successful trading day! 🚀 If you like my analysis, please follow me and give it a boost! For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Apple: Ready to see new highs!!The technical aspect of Apple is clearly bullish and everything points to it being on its way to new highs. On Monday, December 30, the DAILY timeframe chart indicated that the MOMENTUM was turning bearish (Bear), and as expected, the price began to fall until it reached the 219 zone, just when the oscillator showed an oversold signal (January 22). Since then, the price began to recover until last Friday, when TREND, STRENGTH and MOMENTUM aligned bullish (Bull), clearly warning us that the price will most likely attack the highs. In addition to the technical aspect, Apple has an accumulated fall of -2.32%, which makes it easier for us to see new highs in the coming days. -------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the price exceeds the 247.5 zone POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the maximum zone of 259 (+5%) --> Stop Loss at 234 (-5%). --> Ratio (1:1) POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 234 of position 1). --> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (259). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do you know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by jmesado
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the 3-day moving average. On the weekly chart, the index formed a strong bullish breakout candle, yet a confirmed buy signal has not yet materialized. This week, the focus will be on whether the index can hold support at the 3-week moving average, allowing for further upside potential. However, if the weekly candle closes as a bearish candle, a new sell signal could emerge, making this week’s closing price critical. On the daily chart, as noted last Friday, the Nasdaq bounced off the 3-day moving average, which means today’s key support level is the 5-day moving average. This suggests that if the market pulls back in the pre-market session or briefly tests the 5-day MA intraday, a rebound could follow. A key factor today is the U.S. market holiday, meaning today’s daily candle will merge with tomorrow’s session. If the market moves up first, it could present a short opportunity at the highs, while a downside move first could offer a dip-buying opportunity. On the 240-minute chart, buying pressure remains strong, making buying on dips the preferred strategy. However, given the gap between price and the 5-day moving average, traders should avoid chasing longs and instead focus on buying at lower levels. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower following news of Ukraine-Russia peace talks. On the weekly chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. However, the gap between the MACD and the signal line is narrowing, suggesting that if a bullish crossover fails, a strong move could follow. After four consecutive weeks of decline and last week’s doji candle, this week’s closing price is critical—if oil closes with a bullish candle, it could signal a potential reversal. On the daily chart, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line, keeping the sell signal active. However, strong historical support levels make it difficult to short aggressively. Oil is also attempting to form a double-bottom pattern near $70, making a break above $72 a key bullish confirmation. The short-term price action remains mixed, making lower time frames more relevant for positioning. On the 240-minute chart, the sell signal remains intact, with the key focus on whether oil breaks below $70. If oil fails to break lower, a bullish divergence could form, making chasing shorts a high-risk strategy. Given that U.S. markets are closed today, liquidity will be lower, so expect reduced trading volumes. Gold Gold closed lower, forming a double-top rejection at previous highs. As mentioned last week, the 2950+ zone was an overextended level, and now the price has pulled back sharply. On the weekly chart, gold remains in an uptrend, but a pullback toward the 5-week moving average remains possible. Since it is unclear how deep the correction may go, traders should only buy dips at lower levels to ensure proper risk management. On the daily chart, gold closed below the 10-day moving average, marking a technical shift. Throughout this entire rally, the key rule was to buy as long as gold held the 10-day MA, but now that it has broken, the market has shifted into a range-bound structure. However, since the MACD has not yet formed a bearish crossover, the market still has the potential for another rebound. Gold’s price action will depend on whether it can reclaim the 10-day MA or continue consolidating within a larger range. For now, the 2915–2920 zone (near the 3-day and 5-day moving averages) is a likely resistance area, while downside risk extends toward the 20-day moving average. On the 240-minute chart, a strong sell signal has appeared, but both the MACD and signal line remain above the zero line, meaning that buying attempts could still emerge. Meanwhile, on the 60-minute chart, gold is testing its 240-period moving average, a level that often acts as a major support/resistance pivot. Considering these factors, gold is likely to remain range-bound this week, making box-range trading strategies the most effective. Given that a double-top pattern has formed, further downside could trigger increased volatility, so traders should be cautious. Today, the U.S. market is closed, with key events scheduled for later this week: -Wednesday: FOMC Meeting Minutes -Thursday: Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations Rather than a new trend forming, markets are likely to consolidate within existing trends, leading to range-bound conditions. Risk management remains the top priority—stay disciplined, and have a successful trading week! If you like detailed this analysis and today's strategy, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher, breaking through resistance near 22,000. Although Trump held a press conference on tariffs, the market interpreted the grace period as a bullish signal, driving a breakout from the previous range with a strong bullish candlestick. On the daily chart, the MACD remains in an upward trend, and since the index has broken out of its previous range, today’s strategy should focus on buying at the 3-day moving average, which aligns closely with the previous range high. Today marks the weekly close, making the Retail Sales data release a crucial event. If price action sustains its bullish momentum, it will be important to check whether a weekly buy signal is confirmed on the closing price. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has emerged, reinforcing the breakout above the range. Buying on dips remains the preferred strategy, but traders should stay mindful of potential volatility spikes around the Retail Sales report. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off the $70 support level with a long lower wick. Despite this rebound, both the MACD and signal line remain below the zero line on the daily chart, indicating that selling pressure is still dominant. However, this area also represents a strong historical support zone, making buying on dips a favorable strategy. As mentioned earlier this week, oil is forming a potential double-bottom pattern, which could provide further upside potential. The key trigger would be either a bullish MACD crossover near the zero line or a bearish continuation if the crossover fails, leading to a strong directional move. On the 240-minute chart, price action has exhibited a false breakdown, followed by a bullish divergence, suggesting that a bottoming process is underway. Buying on pullbacks remains the most effective approach, but traders should be cautious with weekend risk, as Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations could bring unexpected developments. Gold Gold closed higher, digesting the PPI data while trading near previous highs. The key focus is whether gold is forming a double-top pattern at this level. The recent rally can largely be attributed to global inflation fears stemming from Trump’s tariff policies. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but traders should be cautious, as a corrective pullback could emerge at any time. The MACD and signal line tend to converge naturally, so chasing momentum at current levels carries increased risk. On the 240-minute chart, gold has bounced off the 2,900 support level, triggering a buy signal. However, there is now a wide divergence between price and MACD, meaning that even if gold breaks above previous highs, the MACD may fail to surpass its previous peak, potentially signaling a bearish divergence. If a divergence forms and price pulls back, the correction could be sharp, as overbought conditions often lead to strong reversals. However, since the MACD and signal line remain well above the zero line, even a pullback is likely to find support, leading to a range-bound structure. The safest approach is to buy only at key support levels. Today’s Retail Sales report could drive significant market volatility, particularly as it will influence the weekly close. Always focus on the larger trend, manage risk effectively, and stay disciplined. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 22000 / 21945 / 21900 / 21840 -Sell Levels: 22160 / 22240 / 22300 / 22360 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market(March) -Buy Levels: 71.10 / 70.45 / 69.85 -Sell Levels: 71.85 / 72.55 / 73.00 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2945 / 2936 / 2930 / 2921 -Sell Levels: 2966 / 2974 / 2985 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
GOOGLE: Clear pattern of behavior begins to give warnings!!!On February 4th, Alphabet (Google) presented its results. The figures were positive, and show that the company's business continues to grow at a good pace (+13%). However, the slight disappointment of the cloud storage business caused the market to react with significant falls on the day of its publication (-7%) (February 4th). Since then it has not stopped falling, reaching a cumulative fall of almost -12% from its highs. ---> What does it look like technically? If we look at the graph, there is a clear PATTERN of BEHAVIOR that has been repeated on the last 2 occasions in which Google experienced a correction phase. ---> What PATTERN are we talking about? What is clearly observed in the graph is that the following 4 warnings occur (one after the other), before starting a new bullish impulse to attack highs: 1) Oscillator warns of overselling (blue diamond that can be seen in the oscillator at the bottom. I have painted a vertical blue line). 2) Once the oversold signal appears, the price is supported by its bullish trend line, which also always coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of between 50% and 61.8%. 3) The bullish (Bull) signal of MOMENTUM appears. 4) The FORCE also turns bullish (Bull) (the candles turn blue). --> What happened today? The oversold signal has appeared again in the oscillator (point 1), and it has also been supported by its bullish trend line which coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 61.8% (point 2). ---> What do we need now to be sure that it will go for new highs? That both the MOMENTUM and the STRENGTH turn bullish (Bull). At the moment they are still bearish and therefore we have to wait. --- What strategy can we follow? 1) Aggressive profile: Enter long when the MOMENTUM turns bullish (Bull). (at point 3). 2) Conservative profile: Enter long when the MOMENTUM and the STRENGTH turn bullish (Bull). (enter long when point 4 occurs). If everything goes as normal, tomorrow it is VERY LIKELY that we will see the bullish (Bull) MOMENTUM signal and therefore, we will be able to think about whether or not to go long depending on our investor profile. Greetings and good trading!
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by jmesado
TSLA - Filling the gap and then upside?The stock is trading around $337, showing significant volatility after a sharp decline from recent highs near $480. There's a notable gap in the price action around the $260-280 region that hasn't been filled. The overall price action has formed a series of lower highs since the recent peak. The current technical structure suggests potential weakness in the near term. The unfilled gap around $260-280 could act as a magnetic price level. Historical price action shows that gaps tend to get filled eventually, supporting the likelihood of a move down to this region.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by financialflagship
The key is whether there is support at 21698.25 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- It's the 10th day since the new The Leap season started. The trading items for this season are as follows. CL1! : Light Crude Oil Futures GCL1! : Gold Futures NQ1! : NASDAQ 100 E-mini Futures ES1! : S&P 500 E-mini Futures MBT1! : Micro Bitcoin Futures MCL1! : Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures M6E1! : Micro EUR/USD Futures MGC1! : Micro Gold Futures MNQ1! : Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 index Futures MES1! : Micro E-mini S&P 500 Index Futures -------------------------------------- (NQ1! 1D chart) The key is whether it can be supported at 21698.25. - (30m chart) If not, 1st: 2159.23 near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart 2nd: 21501.75 We need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above. - (1D chart) If it rises after receiving support at 21698.25, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the StochRSI 50 indicator and the Price Channel indicator (21871.75-21981.50). Since the StochRSI indicator is currently located near the overbought zone, if it rises further, 1st: 21871.75-21981.50 2nd: 22314.50 It seems likely that it will face resistance near the 1st and 2nd levels. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by readCrypto
Your Vote Counts - Help Build the Ultimate Index Watchlist!Hey, I need your help again - this will only take a minute! I’ve said it before, here and to my Substackers: I want to be your reminder to invest . Because let’s be honest, steadily growing your wealth might not be thrilling but it should be your goal! Yes, individual stocks have their place (and I’ll keep sharing ideas on those too), but indexes should be a key part of a solid portfolio. Today’s focus? Maximizing your index purchases. 📊 Proven strategy: A few weeks ago, I ran an experiment comparing QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF), SPY (S&P 500 ETF), and IWM (Russell 2000 ETF). Using technical analysis, I outperformed two of them. The tests showed that blind purchasing could be costly: for instance, regular SPY purchases would have left $100,000 on the table, and IWM even more. But here’s the point: this isn’t about blindly picking an index - it’s about timing, risk optimization, and smart diversification. 💡 Now, it’s YOUR turn! Drop two indexes in the comments that you want me to analyze every single month. You decide the final list (likely 4-5 indexes), and I’ll cover them consistently. Whether it’s S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, DAX, Euro Stoxx 50, Russell 2000, or others - you pick, I deliver. 📈 How this helps YOU? ✔️ No overthinking : "What should I buy this month?" - just wait for my post and see the TOP picks ✔️ Keeps you engaged and active in the market ✔️ Builds consistency in your investing ✔️ Ensures every allocation works harder for you ⬇️ Comment your picks below, and let’s make every move count! 🚀 Cheers, Vaido
SP:SPXLong
by VaidoVeek
17
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout. For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound. Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable. As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky. On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach. Gold Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials. Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated. Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place. On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position. For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today. With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined! Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550 -Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00 -Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917 -Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
TESLA: Why do shares keep falling? TRUMP!! Concerns about overseas sales and tariffs add to the company's disappointing fourth-quarter results reported last Wednesday. Tesla reported earnings of 73 cents per share, below analysts' expectations of 76 cents, and revenue of $25.71 billion versus the $27.26 billion expected. Revenue fell 8% compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, the looming application of tariffs on China and Canada (Mexico has a one-month extension) is spooking investors. In a recent earnings call with analysts, Musk acknowledged that while Tesla has tried to localize its supply chain, it still relies heavily on parts from around the world for all of its operations. “Therefore, the imposition of tariffs, which is very likely, will have an impact on our business and profitability,” he stated. Canada is a key supplier of auto parts, as is China. And Canadian officials are specifically focusing some of their discontent with Trump's tariffs on Musk. On Monday, Premier Doug Ford announced that Ontario would cancel a $100 million contract with Starlink, which is part of Musk's company SpaceX. In other words, MUSK is one of the TARGETS that ARE going to be punished FOR THE US TARGETS. ----------------------------------------------------------- --> How far could the price fall? At the moment the technical aspect is bullish (Bull) in the medium-long term, but in the short term it is bearish (Bear), so WE HAVE TO WAIT to enter long. Today it has reached the first important support zone, we are talking about the 350.63 zone, which also coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 50%. If the zone respects it and the MOMENTUM and STRENGTH in H4 turn bullish (Bull), it will be a good time to enter long positions in TESLA again. --> KEY SUPPORTS 1) 350.63 (Key support in Daily time frame) 2) 355 (50% Fibonacci) 3) 314 (Key support in Weekly time frame) 4) 300 (61.8% Fibonacci) ------------------------------------------------------------ --> When the chart gives us the first bullish warning (Bull) in time frame, I will publish a new analysis indicating the entry SET UP.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by jmesado
Risks are Bubbling in the Nasdaq-100The Nasdaq-100 has led this cycle, driven by U.S. economic resilience and an unprecedented investment surge in artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure. However, risks are emerging from overvaluation, excessive AI spending that has yet to translate into revenue, and geopolitical uncertainties tied to the Trump administration. With the Nasdaq-100 trading below its all-time high and lacking sufficient catalysts for a breakout, a near-term correction could occur if these risks materialize. Investors may consider a short position to capitalize on this potential downturn. AI Spending and Overvaluation Risks The "Magnificent Seven"—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla—have dominated market sentiment, collectively accounting for approximately 63% of the Nasdaq-100's total market cap. This highlights the rally's extreme concentration. Much of the momentum has been driven by high expectations for rapid growth in artificial intelligence, further amplifying the market's reliance on these key players. The broader backdrop has also been supportive: US economic growth continues to surprise to the upside, with growth expected at 2.3% for the year, while corporate earnings—even more so for tech—are likely to rise 7-14%, as per multiple analyst outlooks. However, recent earnings reports have injected caution into AI enthusiasm. Alphabet missed revenue forecasts, sending its stock down 7.3%, while AMD dropped 6.3% after weak data-center sales. Amazon's AWS posted $28.79B in revenue, just shy of the $28.84B estimate, raising concerns over AI over-spending. Despite this, AI capex remains aggressive. Meta reaffirmed its $60-65B 2025 capex plan, despite $17B in Metaverse losses last year. Microsoft defended its Azure and OpenAI bets, while Alphabet, despite AI competition pressures , is committing $75B to AI infrastructure in 2025. With ambitions and excitement all around, the market’s reaction toward these companies, in light of underwhelming earnings and efficient competition from China, has not been so forgiving. Cracks are forming, and a more cautious approach to Nasdaq-100 exposure may be warranted. Valuations are stretched, with the index’s forward P/E ratio at 34 , up from 28 in 2023. While the AI boom, particularly in consumer adoption, took off in early 2023, the market is now pricing in near-flawless execution—yet investors have yet to fully grapple with the rising costs, intensifying competition, and looming regulatory scrutiny. Risks remain in some of the largest Nasdaq-100 stocks, particularly Nvidia and Tesla. Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 50.7 raises concerns about its ability to sustain past explosive growth. Similarly, Tesla, with a P/E ratio of 183.6, faces headwinds from a slowdown in the EV industry, making its valuation increasingly vulnerable. Political and Trade Uncertainty Donald Trump’s return to the White House has generated significant energy and excitement. However, the extremity of his policies could create new trade uncertainties, particularly for companies dependent on Chinese supply chains and international revenue. Since his inauguration, Trump has announced a series of tariffs against major trading partners. The risk of retaliatory measures raises the possibility of a full-blown trade war. His aggressive stance on trade could introduce sudden and unpredictable market volatility. The previous trade war saw tariffs disrupt global tech supply chains and put pressure on corporate margins. For instance, in 2018-2019 Nasdaq-100 volatility spiked and tech earnings growth slowed. If history repeats itself, the overextended valuations of Nasdaq-100 could probably get a reality check, particularly if these firms start guiding for higher costs in upcoming earnings calls. Technicals Point to Upcoming Resistance The moving averages for the Nasdaq-100 reflect a bullish sentiment owing to the strong rally for the past several months. However, the ATH level of 22,100 has proven strong resistance with prices testing this level multiple times over the past few months. A strong catalyst may be required to pass this level. During previous corrections, price has reached between the 50-day and 100-day simple moving average (SMA). Momentum indicators suggest that a short-term downward trend may be imminent. Periodic movements in the index suggest a downturn is imminent and prices may reach as far as the S1 pivot point at 20,700. Options Signal Growing Bearish Sentiment Options positioning on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures and Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures signals a bearish sentiment. OI and volume put/call ratio for both E-mini NQ and Micro E-mini NQ are greater than 1 suggesting higher put positioning than call. There is a particualrly high concentration of puts at the March expiry. Source: CME QuikStrike Hypothetical Trade Setup Given the frothing risk factors impacting the Nasdaq-100, risk of a sharp decline is high. Elevated valuations, escalating trade tensions, and slowing AI rally, all risk a correction in the index. This decline may materialize in the next 2–3 weeks, aligning with critical macroeconomic events, including Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data releases, and upcoming corporate earnings reports. With a correction likely, investors can express this view using a short position in Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures expiring in March (MNQH2025). Each contract requires initial margin of USD 2,303 as of 10/Feb and provides exposure to USD 2 x Nasdaq index (~43,400). Investors can also use the standard E-mini NQ futures to express the same bearish view with larger notional sizes. Entry: 21,700 Target: 21,200 Stop Loss: 22,100 Profit at Target: USD 1000 ((21,700-21,200) x 2) Loss at Stop: USD 800 ((21,700-22,100) x 2) Reward to Risk: 1.25x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition starting today. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices. Click here to learn more. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. 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CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by mintdotfinance
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge. Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown. On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy. Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling. On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable. The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy. Gold Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory. At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option. However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases: Wednesday: U.S. CPI Thursday: U.S. PPI On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach. On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones. Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220 -Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900 Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20 -Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856 -Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Weekly Market Forecast: S&P, NAS & DOW Are Still Bullish!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th. The S&P500, the NASDAQ, and the DOW JONES are still bullish overall, despite last weeks NFP news that saw the markets move lower. Until there is a bearish break in market structure, it is buys all the way. Let the markets reach the buy zones and wait for the bullish market structure shift. That is the time to take valid buy setups. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RT_Money
Breaking: Doximity Stock Jumps 37% On Upbeat Annual OutlookDoximity Inc. (NASDAQ: DOCS), the leading digital platform for U.S. medical professionals, has made headlines with its stock skyrocketing 37% following a stellar earnings report and an upbeat annual outlook. The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2025 results not only surpassed analyst expectations but also showcased robust growth in key areas, including AI tools and user engagement. Strong Earnings and Upbeat Guidance Doximity’s latest earnings report has solidified its position as a growth powerhouse in the healthcare technology sector. Here are the key highlights: 1. Record Revenue and Earnings Growth - Revenue: $168.6 million, up 25% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of $152.82 million. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): Adjusted EPS of $0.45, a significant jump from $0.29 a year ago and well above the $0.34 consensus. - Net Income: $75.2 million, up 57% year-over-year, reflecting strong profitability. 2. AI Tools and User Engagement Driving Growth Doximity’s AI-powered tools saw a 60% quarter-over-quarter increase in usage, while its newsfeed surpassed one million unique providers. This demonstrates the platform’s ability to innovate and retain user engagement, which is critical for long-term growth. 3. Raised Guidance for Fiscal 2025 The company raised its revenue guidance to $564.6 million—$565.6 million, up from the previous range of $535 million—$540 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to $306.6 million—$307.6 million, signaling confidence in continued profitability and operational efficiency. 4. Analyst Optimism Analysts have responded positively to Doximity’s performance: - Needham: Raised price target from $65 to $82, maintaining a Buy rating. - Wells Fargo: Increased price target from $43 to $55, maintaining an Equal-Weight rating. - Raymond James: Raised price target from $65 to $83, reiterating an Outperform rating. These upward revisions reflect growing confidence in Doximity’s ability to sustain its momentum. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, NYSE:DOCS is exhibiting a classic gap-up pattern, with shares up 35.68% at the time of writing. Here’s what the charts are telling us: 1. Gap-Up Pattern The gap-up indicates a surge in buying interest following the earnings announcement. While this is a bullish signal, gaps are often filled in the long run, meaning the stock could retrace some of its gains before continuing its upward trajectory. 2. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 86, well above the overbought threshold of 70. This suggests that the stock may be due for a short-term pullback or consolidation as traders take profits. 3. Despite overbought conditions, the stock’s momentum remains strong. Key support levels to watch include the pre-gap price zone around $61. A pullback to this area could present a buying opportunity for investors looking to enter at a lower price. Why Doximity Stands Out Doximity’s success is rooted in its ability to address critical needs in the healthcare industry. Its digital platform streamlines communication and workflow for medical professionals, while its AI tools enhance efficiency and decision-making. With over 610,000 unique providers using its clinical workflow tools, Doximity has established itself as an indispensable resource for healthcare professionals. A Strong Buy with Caution Doximity’s impressive earnings report and raised guidance have rightfully propelled its stock to new heights. From a fundamental perspective, the company’s growth trajectory, driven by AI innovation and user engagement, is compelling. Technically, while the stock is overbought in the short term, the long-term outlook remains bullish.
NYSE:DOCSLong
by DEXWireNews
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed slightly higher with low volatility. As mentioned yesterday, the daily chart shows that the index is holding support at the 3-day moving average, while the MACD remains in an upward buy trend. However, resistance is evident along the upper trendline connecting previous highs. Today, a pullback toward the 5-day moving average should be considered, and the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be a key catalyst in determining whether the uptrend continues. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a consolidation phase that could gradually lift moving averages before another bullish wave emerges. Overall, a buy-on-dip approach remains favorable, particularly if a pre-market pullback toward the 5-day MA occurs. However, given the potential for increased volatility from today's data release, risk management is crucial. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance at the 3-day moving average. However, downside support remains strong, making further declines difficult, which favors buy-side positioning. Since oil has now tested the 3-day MA, today’s strategy should focus on selling near the 5-day MA if a rally occurs. Both long and short positions should factor in weekly closing dynamics, as weekend geopolitical risks may lead to gap openings on Monday. On the 240-minute chart, oil remains in a downward trend, but signs of base formation are emerging. The MACD is nearing a potential golden cross, so traders should watch closely for a momentum shift. Additionally, geopolitical risks are increasing, with Trump tightening sanctions on Iran, adding to oil market volatility. Given these conditions, buying dips remains the preferred approach, but risk management is essential. Gold Gold closed lower, facing a sharp pullback after reaching the psychological level of 2900. The deep retracement suggests profit-taking at key resistance levels. Despite this correction, the daily chart still maintains a buy trend, and as long as gold holds above the 10-day moving average on a closing basis, the overall bullish bias remains intact. However, given that the MACD is completing its third bullish wave, a consolidation phase is likely as the MACD and Signal line begin to narrow. For now, buyers should focus on entering at lower levels to optimize risk-reward. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged, leading to the current pullback. However, the MACD and Signal line are significantly below the zero line, meaning that despite the downtrend, buying interest could emerge on any further dips. This structure reduces the appeal of chasing short positions. Today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is a major risk event, known for triggering extreme volatility in gold. As one of the most critical economic indicators for gold traders, managing exposure ahead of the release is crucial. Expect range-bound price action before the report, with a potential breakout afterward. Stay disciplined and manage risk carefully, as today’s NFP release will drive market volatility. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21820 / 21750 / 21710 / 21625 / 21510 -Sell Levels: 21870 / 21930 / 22010 / 22070 / 22135 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.20 / 69.80 / 69.20 / 68.30 -Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.20 / 72.70 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2876 / 2871 / 2862 / 2855 -Sell Levels: 2885 / 2892 / 2896 / 2902 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
GOOGLE: Historic profits!! What is the reason for the fall?GOOGLE has been falling on the stock market since late yesterday, after presenting its results with the market already closed. Google's parent company achieved a historic profit of more than 100 billion dollars and revenues for the entire year of 350 billion. However, its shares are dyed red in the pre-opening. --> What is the reason for the fall? One possible cause would be that the fourth quarter revenues did not reach what was expected, which see in these numbers a sign that Google's parent company was being affected by the increase in competition in the digital advertising market and the slowdown of its cloud computing business. A second reason is that Google surpassed historic highs days ago and it could be a MANIPULATION and PROFIT-TAKING movement by some FUNDS taking advantage of the volatility of the value to present results. In any case, the results ARE GOOD and the TECHNICAL ASPECT is good, so if nothing strange happens, the trend in Google will continue to be bullish. --> What technical aspect does it have now after the -7% fall? If we look at the graph, the technical aspect is still clearly bullish (Bull). In addition, it did not lose any of its main supports, so we will continue to think about long positions. --> When could we enter? The table shown in the graph indicates that the MOMENTUM in H1, H4 and DAILY time frames is bearish (Bear) and also the STRENGTH in H1 is bearish (Bear). Therefore, to ensure that the pullback has ended, we have to wait for at least in H4 the MOMENTUM to turn bullish (Bull) again. And when could this happen? When the price exceeds the 198 zone, it is very likely that the IVO indicator will already show us bullish MOMENTUM ( Bull ). (If it happens before, I will update the analysis to anticipate the entry). --> What important support does Google have? The 184 zone is a very important support zone that, if not respected, we could see a much deeper retracement phase. ------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 198. POSITION 1 ( TP1 ): We close the first position in the 208 zone ( +4.8%) --> Stop Loss at 188.9 ( -4.8%). --> Ratio 1:1 POSITION 2 ( TP2 ): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4.8%) (coinciding with the 188.9 of position 1). ---We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (208). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by jmesado