Nasdaq: The Rally Continues!The Nasdaq ended last week with strong upward momentum, moving swiftly toward the resistance at 20,694 points. Now it's getting interesting: once the index breaks above this mark, it should quickly enter our upper turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 21,751 – 22,425 points), where we expect the peak of wave X in turquoise. Afterward, we anticipate a pullback during wave Y, which should aim for our lower turquoise Target Zone (coordinates: 17,074 – 15,867 points). The corrective magenta wave (4) should be completed there. However, if the Nasdaq directly surpasses the significant resistance at 23,229 points, our alternative scenario will take effect. In this 35% likely case, we would consider wave alt.(4) as already complete and locate the index in the impulsive wave alt.(5) .
Nasdaq100
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Nasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 19,595.55 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 18,900.00 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 20,343.35 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Nasdaq-100 Goes Back to 'PRE-PAIN' 20 000 Level. Series IIApril has gone..
Wow.. Duh..!? ..really? ... or still not!?
Briefly a month ago or so, we have examined at our wonderful @PandorraResearch Team what is 'Revenge Trading', watch our recent 'Educational' idea right here (if you missed one), to learn what sort of lessons we should know about it.
Indeed, it was a really bad story, to purchase in late March 2025 most-hyped so-known Mag Seven stock that came flagships of the recent stock market collapse.
First of all, watch how it's been below (late March 2025) 👇👇
What's happened next just in a week or two since our publications has been made?
⚒ Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT 95% stocks were: DOWN
⚒ S&P500 Index SP:SPX 96% stocks were: DOWN
⚒ Nasdaq-100 NASDAQ:NDX as well as Dow Jones Industrial Averages DJIA indices: 97% stocks were DOWN
⚒ Magnificent Seven: ALL STOCKS WERE DOWN
Since Nasdaq-100 went back to pre-pain 20'000 Level, lets repeat some lessons.
Revenge trading is DANGEROUS AND HARMFUL pracrice where traders, after suffering a loss, attempt to immediately recoup their losses by making impulsive, emotionally-driven trades. This behavior is widely recognized as one of the major reasons traders lose significant amounts of money and often blow up their accounts.
Why Revenge Trading Is Bad
1. Emotional Decision-Making Replaces Strategy
When traders engage in revenge trading, they abandon their carefully crafted trading strategies and risk management rules. Instead, trades are made based on anger, frustration, or the desire to "get back" at the market. This emotional state clouds judgment, leading to irrational decisions such as increasing position sizes recklessly, disregarding stop-loss orders, or chasing trades without proper analysis. As a result, the likelihood of making successful trades plummets.
2. Escalating Losses and Account Blowups
The urge to recover losses quickly often leads traders to double down or over-leverage their positions, exposing a large portion of their capital to additional risk. Statistically, 80% of revenge trading ends disastrously, with only a small fraction experiencing temporary success before ultimately facing larger losses. This cycle of chasing losses can rapidly erode trading capital, making recovery increasingly difficult.
3. Psychological Burnout and Stress
Revenge trading is mentally and emotionally exhausting. The constant cycle of loss and frantic attempts to recover can lead to stress, depression, and burnout. This further impairs decision-making, creating a vicious cycle of poor performance and deteriorating mental health.
4. Long-Term Damage to Trading Habits
Repeatedly succumbing to revenge trading ingrains bad habits, making it difficult for traders to maintain discipline and consistency in the long run. This lack of consistency undermines the potential for sustainable profitability and can end trading careers prematurely.
Recent Real-World Examples
Recent years have seen numerous cautionary tales illustrating the dangers of revenge trading (all links are from r/wallstreetbets subreddit for learing/ educational purposes only):
$40,000 Lost on NVDA Options (2024). A trader repeatedly doubled down on Nvidia (NVDA) put options during its price rally in mid-2024. Despite initial small wins, the trader, driven by the urge to recover losses, continued to increase his position size, ultimately losing over $40,000.
$26,000 Lost in 20 Minutes on SPX. A Reddit user reported losing $26,000 in about 20 minutes trading the S&P 500 index (SPX) after prices dropped sharply. The loss was the result of impulsive trades made in an attempt to quickly recover from earlier setbacks.
From $27,000 to $0 in Three Days. Another trader turned $500 into $27,000 in just a few days, only to lose it all within 48 hours after a market reversal. Instead of taking profits or stepping back, the trader kept chasing losses with increasingly risky trades, ending up with nothing.
$100,000 Loss on a Yen Carry Trade. A trader, influenced by news of geopolitical tensions, made a large leveraged bet on the yen. After an initial loss, he refused to cut his losses and doubled down, ultimately losing $100,000 instead of accepting a smaller $30,000 hit.
More juicy stories are to be collected...
These stories are not isolated incidents. They are echoed across trading forums and social media, serving as stark warnings of how quickly revenge trading can destroy even substantial gains.
Conclusion
Revenge trading is DANGEROUS AND HARMFUL because it replaces rational, strategic decision-making with emotional reactions, leading to escalating financial losses, psychological distress, and long-term damage to trading discipline. The real-world examples from the past year underscore that no trader-regardless of experience-is immune to its risks. The best defense is to recognize the urge, step away, and return only with a clear, objective mindset and a disciplined strategy.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
NASDAQ Recovery Looks Fragile Below 20,500After the steep drop to 16,300, NAS100 started to recover, forming a higher low and managing to break back above the falling trendline drawn from the all-time high (ATH).
While these are positive developments, in my opinion, the trend is likely to reverse to the downside soon.
Technically, the index is now entering a heavy resistance zone, marked by:
• The golden sell zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement,
• Psychological resistance at 20,000,
• Major horizontal resistance around 20,500.
As long as the price remains below 20,500, I favor short trades, targeting a potential drop to at least 18,000
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Nasdaq 100 Fills "Liberation Day" Gap – New Bull Market?The Nasdaq 100 ( CME_MINI:NQ1! ) has officially filled the Liberation Day gap from April 3rd.
It took three weeks of grinding to recover from a three-day crash.
Bulls are now calling this the start of a new bull market... really?
📌 Technical Recap:
Gap filled ✅
Resistance area retested ✅
Next step: Follow-through needed above 19,600 to confirm strength.
🚨 Caution: A gap fill is not a breakout. FOMO is high. Momentum needs to prove itself now or risk a hard rejection.
GOOGLE: Attention!!! Bullish force assured!!Alphabet, Google's parent company, presented its results for the first quarter of the year this Thursday, in which it obtained a profit of $34.540 billion, representing a 46% increase compared to the $23.662 billion obtained in the same period of the previous year.
The company also exceeded expectations with its revenue figure, which stood at $90.234 billion, after registering a year-on-year increase of 12%, while the consensus expected it to be $89.120 billion. For its part, operating profit grew to $30.606 billion, with a margin of 34%.
In summary: VERY GOOD RESULTS, and if we add to this the favorable moment we are experiencing due to the TARIFF issue... it WILL go up, no doubt!
---> What is the technical aspect?
If we observe the H1 timeframe chart and its summary table, its trend was clearly bearish, but showing THE FIRST BULLISH SIGNALS. On Wednesday, the bullish force (Bull) signal appeared on the H1 chart, and yesterday, Thursday, it appeared on the H4 chart. Although its trend is still bearish, since its FORCE is now bullish, we can start thinking that its trend could change to BULLISH in the coming days if there are NO NEWS that get in the way.
---> Where do we make the entry?
As the results were published at the close of the American market, today it is most likely to open with a bullish GAP. Here we can do 2 things:
1) If the gap is small, enter at the opening.
2) If the gap is VERY LARGE, wait for a pullback during the day to enter at a better price.
--------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions in the current zone or taking advantage of a pullback in price (depending on the market gap).
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 183 zone (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 148 (-8%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-8%) (coinciding with 148 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (183).
-------------------------------------------
CLARIFICATIONS OF THE SETUP
*** How to know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by 1 a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price makes a downward movement of -1%, the position will be closed. If the price goes up, the Stop Loss also goes up to maintain that -1% on the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position enters profits. In this way, very solid and stable trends in the price can be exploited, maximizing profits.
Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US100) based on Price ActionThis analysis examines the recent price action of the Nasdaq 100 (US100) and identifies potential scenarios based on key technical levels.
Current Situation:
The price has recently moved above a short-term downtrend line, which could indicate a shift in momentum. This development suggests a possibility of upward movement.
Potential Bullish Scenario:
A decisive break and sustained close above the recent resistance level of 19,224 may open the door for further gains. In such a scenario, the index might target the 20,329 level. A successful move beyond that could potentially lead to a test of the historical peak at 22,245.
Potential Bearish Scenario:
Conversely, if the index fails to overcome the 19,224 resistance, there is a chance it could retest previous support levels. These levels are identified at 17,592 and, subsequently, at 16,322.
Conclusion:
The US100 is currently at a critical juncture. The ability of the price to sustain a move above 19,224 may determine its short-to-medium-term trajectory. Both bullish and bearish scenarios remain possible, and traders should monitor price action closely around these key levels.
Nasdaq 100 Prepares for Launch — Reclaiming Critical GroundNAS100 8H TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 💻🧠
OVERALL TREND
📈 UPTREND — Structure is shifting bullish. Recent higher lows and strong rebounds from April lows confirm the current upward momentum. This is supported by 12/13 Moving Averages flashing BUY , including critical 50- and 200-period EMAs/SMA clusters. MACD and Momentum indicators also favor continued upside.
🔴 RESISTANCE ZONES
22,248.00 — 🔴 SELL STOPLOSS | Final Pivot High
21,955.77 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 2
21,364.19 — 🔴 SELL ORDER 1
🎯 TARGETS & BUY ORDERS
21,065.42 — 🎯 TP4 | EXIT THE RALLY
19,989.54 — 🎯 TP3 | Momentum confirmation
19,291.55 — 🎯 TP2 | Mid Pivot Zone
18,286.55 — 🎯 TP1 | Initial Profit Target
17,258.99 — ✅ BUY ORDER 1
16,630.74 — ✅ BUY ORDER 2
16,335.10 — ✅ BUY STOPLOSS | Pivot Low
🟢 SUPPORT STRUCTURE
PIVOT LOW @ 18,286 — Support holding for now
PIVOT LOW @ 17,258 — Strong confluence with previous structure
BUY ORDER zones between 16,330 – 17,258 — Demand cluster for reversals
🤓 STRUCTURAL NOTES
MACD shows bullish divergence with a rising histogram and crossover confirmation Momentum (+694) and RSI (66.69) suggest strength, though nearing overbought territory Price has reclaimed 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 MA levels — rare alignment of major trend confirmation
Only outlier: Hull MA (9) signaling short-term overextension — may suggest brief consolidation before continuation
🌍 GLOBAL TECHNICAL SUMMARY
📊 12 of 13 Major Moving Averages = BUY
📈 MACD & Momentum Oscillators = BUY
🧭 Majority of Oscillators = Neutral — supporting a “calm before breakout” thesis ⚖️ CCI shows slight overbought = caution near resistance zones
📉 No major bearish divergence detected — trend remains intact
TRADE OUTLOOK 🔎
📈 Bullish Bias above 18,286.55 (TP1) targeting 19,291.55 (TP2) and beyond
📉 Bearish rejection likely near 21,065+ if volume fades — monitor RSI/MACD
👀 Watch for volume confirmation as we approach 19,989.55
🧪 STRATEGY RECOMMENDATION
CONSERVATIVE BREAKOUT ENTRY:
— Entry: 18,286.55
— TP Levels: 19,291.55 / 19,989.55 / 21,065.42
— SL: Below 17,258.99
RISK-ON DIP BUY STRATEGY:
— Buy Zone: 16,630 – 17,258
— TP: 18,286.55 / 19,291.55
— SL: Below 16,335.10
“Discipline | Consistency | PAY-tience”
Bullish Breakout on NAS100 – Momentum ShiftingNASDAQ 100 (US100) – Bullish Setup Developing
1. Falling Wedge Breakout:
Price has broken out of the falling wedge (purple trendlines), signaling a potential reversal to the upside.
2. Retesting Breakout Zone:
Current price action is retesting the breakout level near the 18,000 zone, indicating potential support forming.
3. Trendline Confluence:
The breakout aligns with the lower boundary of the broader ascending channel (blue), acting as dynamic support.
4. Strong Bullish Rejection at Lows:
Price showed strong buying interest near 17,700, forming a bullish rejection wick and bounce.
5. Clean Target Ahead:
Next key resistance zone lies around 18,540, where price may face selling pressure again – this matches previous structure and descending channel resistance.
6.Momentum Shift Noted:
Lower highs and lower lows structure has been invalidated, hinting at a possible trend shift.
Thanks for your Time..
Definite downward trend. Great buying potential in near future.Hello all traders and learner charters. As you can see definite downward trend.
Some are even saying sell everything.
I added the five year percentages, as you can see its not very promising for the moment,
but definitely promising for anyone wanting to get into nasdaq or SP500.
There are seldom opportunities like this.
I would suggest to keep watching it, as a lot of people who rode the bull market after
Trump call, have taken there profits and sold. This trend will force others to sell as no one
wants to make a loss on nasdaq. So with that in mind, it will be red all over for a while I would say about two weeks maybe even more, but if you just keep on buying little amounts
DCA dollar cost averaging, you will get some good buying positions down low. And then hold them for the next few years. This is a great opportunity. Good luck.
NAS100 Rebound Setup – Bulls Gaining Strength Again?The NAS100 has bounced strongly from the high-volume demand zone (16,700 – 17,800) highlighted by LuxAlgo's Supply and Demand indicator. The current price is consolidating near 18,700, building momentum for a potential breakout.
Key Technical Zones:
Demand Zone: 16,700 – 17,800 (high buy interest)
Support Level: 17,828.9
Resistance 1: 20,350.6 (first upside target)
Major Supply Zone: 21,775.4 (big decision point for bulls)
Bullish Outlook:
Price has reclaimed the 17,828.9 support and is forming higher lows.
A strong break above 19,000 could send price to test 20,350, then possibly 21,775.
Green arrows show the bullish potential if price holds above support.
Bearish Risk:
A breakdown below 17,828.9 could signal a return to the demand zone.
Watch for rejection candlesticks or divergence signals near resistance.
Volume Profile Insight:
LuxAlgo's visible range shows strong buyer interest below 18,000, indicating institutions may be accumulating positions.
---
Trade Idea: Look for a confirmed breakout above recent highs near 18,800 for long entries. Conservative traders may wait for a pullback to 17,800 for better risk-reward.
---
What’s your take on NAS100? Will buyers push it to 20K+ or is this just a trap rally? Share your thoughts below!
#NASDAQ #US100 #NAS100 #IndexTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #ForexAnalysis #StockMarket #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup
Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish GapTrump Exempts Electronics from Tariffs; Nasdaq 100 Opens with Bullish Gap
Despite the weekend, the news flow remained intense amid the escalating trade war. According to media reports:
→ Certain tech products, including those made by Apple, have been exempted from Trump’s tariffs.
→ Trump announced he would make a significant statement regarding semiconductor tariffs on Monday, 14 April.
Stock Indices React to Trump’s Tariff Moves
These announcements were taken positively by the markets. As shown on the chart of the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), the new week opened with a bullish gap exceeding 1.5% – a stronger performance than the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), which also saw a bullish gap.
This may suggest that market participants are cautiously optimistic that the sweeping tariff measures might be eased through exemptions, delays, or negotiation concessions. Nevertheless, the CNN Business Fear & Greed Index remains in "extreme fear" territory, despite inching higher compared to last week.
As of this morning, the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has recovered approximately 15% from its 2025 low.
Technical Analysis: Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Seven days ago, we plotted an ascending blue channel and suggested that its lower boundary could act as support – which has indeed played out.
With the latest data in hand, there is reason to believe that bulls may now be aiming to push the price up toward the channel’s median line. However, as indicated by the arrows on the chart, this median appears to have shifted from acting as support to acting as resistance.
Bulls may also face headwinds from the wide bearish candle to the left, which was formed in reaction to Trump's tariff announcements. According to Smart Money Concept methodology, this area – marked by a bearish Fair Value Gap (highlighted with a rectangle) – may now serve as resistance.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Trade the Structure: NAS100 Possible Retrace & Buy OpportunityThe NAS 100 recently broke its market structure after a twist in trade policy—with Donald Trump delaying tariffs by 90 days—which sparked a robust rally. On the 4‑hour chart, we're looking for a bullish setup where the initial surge might be followed by a pullback into a sideways accumulation zone. This consolidation is expected to form a "spring" pattern—a brief retest that could trap sellers—followed by a clear break of market structure that signals a renewed upward move. The entry is ideally on the breakout, backed by supportive volume, while risk management is maintained with a stop-loss positioned just below the range if/when price retraces into support. 🚀📈💰
Tactical US100 Trading: Converting 1W Trend into 30m Opportunity📈 The US100 index is currently exhibiting a bearish trend pattern on the weekly timeframe. We can observe a notable rally followed by a retracement into equilibrium when analyzed against the previous price wing range.
🔎 Currently, the index is positioned at a premium level, creating an environment where short sellers might be building positions in anticipation of further downward movement. However, market dynamics remain highly sensitive to external influences, particularly unexpected statements and social media announcements from influential figures like Donald Trump.
🌊 With such market unpredictability in play, focusing on shorter timeframes provides more actionable intelligence. Price action signals offer clearer guidance in this volatile environment.
⚡ Trade Opportunity: The 30-minute chart reveals a defined trading range worth monitoring. A definitive break above this range could present an opportunity to enter long positions, while a breakdown below support might signal a favorable short entry point.
🎯 This breakout strategy enables traders to respond to actual market movements rather than attempting to forecast the broader market direction—a particularly valuable approach given the current unpredictable market landscape.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading carries significant risk of capital loss and may not be appropriate for all investors. Historical performance does not guarantee future outcomes. Always perform independent research and consider your personal financial circumstances before executing any trades. Market conditions are subject to rapid changes, and no trading methodology ensures profits. The information presented should be used as one of many inputs in your decision-making process.
NAS100 (15min) – Bullish Entry Activated1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price was compressing inside a symmetrical triangle, with a series of lower highs and higher lows, indicating indecision and buildup of pressure.
2. Downside Fake-out (False Breakout)
Price briefly broke below the lower trendline, suggesting a potential bearish breakout.
However, there was no strong follow-through; instead, price quickly reclaimed the trendline and pushed back inside the structure.
This is a classic fake-out, often trapping late sellers and providing liquidity for buyers.
The rejection from the lows resulted in a long wick, signalling strong buying interest and failure to break down.
3. Aggressive Bullish Reaction
After reclaiming the triangle support, price moved rapidly back to the top of the triangle.
The next key move was a strong breakout above the upper trendline, confirming bullish intent.
4. Break and Retest
Price action followed through with a clean breakout above resistance, followed by a minor pullback and retest of the broken trendline, which held as support.
This retest offered a textbook entry point based on price action principles.
5. Bullish Structure Confirmation
Post breakout, price formed a higher low and continued to make a higher high, confirming a trend shift.
This structural change strengthens the bullish outlook.