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Nasdaq100

Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The Nasdaq broke out of its consolidation range and closed higher. On the daily chart, the index had been moving within a box range, with MACD and the Signal line flattening. However, following the breakout, the MACD has resumed its upward trajectory, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. With a strong breakout candle in play, the market is likely to maintain a short-term buying trend, centered around the 3-day moving average. While tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report presents potential volatility risks, the overall daily uptrend remains intact. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have crossed above the zero line, entering bullish territory. While further upside is possible, imbalanced order flow suggests we may see mixed price action, with alternating bullish and bearish candles. Given the current setup, buying on pullbacks remains the most favorable approach for today. CRUDE OIL Oil declined following the crude inventory report. On the daily chart, the price failed to reclaim the 10-day moving average, and the MACD-Signal line spread remains wide, indicating a lack of immediate convergence. A strong bearish breakout candle has formed, making short positions near the 3-day moving average a preferable strategy for today. However, the $70 level has established itself as a key support zone, meaning that buying opportunities may emerge in this area. Price action suggests range-bound movement, and for additional downside to materialize, the daily Signal line needs to drop below the zero line. As it remains above zero, a short-term MACD-Signal convergence attempt is likely in the near term, though a direct breakout seems unlikely due to the current wide spread. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has reappeared, driving continued downside pressure. However, if prices avoid a sharp decline, a bullish divergence could form, making chasing shorts at this stage risky. Additionally, mixed catalysts, including Iran sanctions and increased U.S. oil drilling activity, are creating conflicting momentum, increasing the likelihood of sharp price swings. Stop-loss management is crucial in this environment. GOLD Gold closed higher but formed an upper wick, signaling profit-taking at recent highs. On the daily chart, gold broke above $2,900, demonstrating a strong, one-way buying trend. However, given the sharp rally, this is a high-risk zone for chasing longs, as profit-taking pressure is likely to increase. Since gold has been moving in a stair-step pattern, the best approach is to buy on pullbacks at well-defined support and resistance levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is in its third-wave buy phase, maintaining the bullish momentum. Once this third wave completes and the MACD crosses below the Signal line (a death cross), gold may enter a consolidation phase or a corrective move, leading to sideways price action. Tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is expected to significantly impact gold, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction. The optimal approach remains buying on dips, but near $2,900, short positions for range-bound trading should also be considered. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21710 / 21675 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510 -Sell Levels: 21895 / 21935 / 21970 / 22010 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.90 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.30 -Sell Levels: 71.65 / 72.10 / 72.60 / 73.20 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2881 / 2875 / 2870 / 2864 / 2859 -Sell Levels: 2896 / 2902 / 2909 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The Nasdaq initially declined in pre-market trading due to escalating tariff tensions between China and the U.S. but ultimately closed higher. A sell signal appeared on the daily chart but was reversed into a buy signal with yesterday’s bullish candle. This suggests that the market is still moving within a large box range, with moving averages converging. This consolidation phase indicates that a trend expansion phase—marked by a strong bullish or bearish breakout—may emerge soon. Until then, it is best to trade within the range. On the 240-minute chart, the market has been making stepwise upward movements, with the MACD forming a golden cross over the Signal line. Despite a strong price surge due to divergence, the index has entered a resistance-heavy zone, and liquidity is currently tight, which could lead to frequent sharp fluctuations. For now, the best strategy is selling near the upper boundary of the range and buying near the lower boundary. Given the ongoing trade tensions under Trump's tariff policies, risk management is crucial—placing stop-loss orders is highly recommended to protect against increased volatility. OIL Oil gapped down but found strong support around the $70 level, closing with a bullish candle. News of the U.S. tightening sanctions on Iran initially sent prices down by 3%, but a sharp rebound followed. While the daily chart still shows a sell signal, the $70 price area has historically provided strong support, as previously emphasized. Thus, the overall strategy should be buying on pullbacks rather than chasing sell positions. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD continues to create bullish divergence, forming a buy signal. This increases the likelihood of further upside movement. However, since the MACD and Signal lines are still below the zero line, further price increases are needed to widen the gap between these indicators and confirm bullish momentum. Overall, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but traders should be cautious of potential volatility spikes due to today’s Crude Oil Inventories report. GOLD Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. On the daily chart, as long as the 10-day moving average holds, gold should be viewed from a bullish perspective. The MACD on the daily chart is trending sharply upward, so until a MACD-Signal line death cross occurs, buying on pullbacks remains the best strategy. Similarly, on the 240-minute chart, the MACD has repeatedly formed golden crosses, reinforcing a strong one-way bullish trend. From a flow of funds perspective, buying pressure remains strong, so buying dips continues to be the most favorable approach. However, traders should be aware of potential high volatility due to the upcoming ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report today and the Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday. Given gold's recent sharp rally, a major inflection point could emerge, using economic data as a catalyst. The current market environment is characterized by high volatility and rapid price movements, increasing the likelihood of sudden price swings leading to stop-outs. However, if stop-losses are properly managed, losses can be quickly recovered. In a highly volatile market, profit opportunities increase, so maintaining strict stop-loss discipline while seeking the next trade opportunity is key to successful trading. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21500 / 21425 / 21340 / 21250 -Sell Levels: 21665 / 21735 / 21830 / 21930 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.20 / 71.60 / 70.90 -Sell Levels: 73.20 / 73.80 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2864 / 2859 / 2850 / 2845 -Sell Levels: 2876 / 2881 / 2889 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
THE SKEWED GAMES. UNDERSTANDING CBOE SKEW INDEX (SKEW)The CBOE Skew Index (SKEW, or "BLACK SWAN" Index) is a financial metric developed by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) to measure the perceived tail risk in the S&P 500 over a 30-day horizon. Tail risk refers to the probability of extreme market movements, such as significant declines or "black swan" events, which are rare but have severe consequences. Here's a detailed explanation of its role and implications in financial markets: Key Features of the CBOE:SKEW Index Measurement of Tail Risk. The SKEW Index quantifies the likelihood of returns that deviate two or more standard deviations from the mean. It focuses on outlier events, unlike the VIX (Volatility Index), which measures implied volatility around at-the-money (ATM) options. Implied Volatility Skew. The index is derived from the pricing of out-of-the-money (OTM) S&P 500 options. It reflects the market's demand for protection against downside risks, which leads to higher implied volatility for OTM puts compared to calls. Range and Interpretation The SKEW Index typically ranges from 100 to 150. A value near 100 suggests a normal distribution of returns with low perceived tail risk. Higher values (e.g., above 130) indicate increased concern about potential extreme negative events, with heightened demand for protective options. How It Works The SKEW Index is calculated using a portfolio of OTM options on the S&P 500. The methodology involves measuring the slope of implied volatility across different strike prices, capturing how much more expensive OTM puts are relative to calls. This steepness reflects market participants' expectations of asymmetric risks, particularly on the downside. To make a picture clear, we just simply use 125-Day SMA of SKEW Index. Since multi year high has occurred, market turbulence come as usual. Practical Implications Market Sentiment. A rising SKEW Index signals growing fear of extreme downside risks. For example, during periods of economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, investors may hedge portfolios more aggressively, driving up the index. Conversely, lower readings suggest calm market conditions with balanced expectations for future returns. Portfolio Management Investors use the SKEW Index as a barometer for hedging costs. High SKEW levels indicate that protecting against tail risks has become more expensive (and probably active). It also helps traders assess whether market pricing aligns with their own risk expectations. Historical Context Historically, spikes in the SKEW Index have preceded major market downturns or volatility events, such as the "Flash Crash" in 2010, Bear market in early 2000s (dot com collapse), WFC in 2007-09, market falls in late 2018 and in 2022. Complement to VIX While both indices measure risk, they address different aspects: VIX captures overall market volatility, while SKEW focuses on asymmetry and extreme event probabilities. Limitations In summary, the CBOE Skew Index provides valuable insights into market participants' perception of tail risks and their willingness to pay for protection against extreme events. It complements other volatility measures like the VIX and serves as a critical tool for risk management and market analysis.
SEducation
by PandorraResearch
Big tech stocks fell sharply due to Trump tariff concerns Despite some resolution of tariff risks, USTEC failed to recover from the loss. In particular, big tech stocks with high overseas exposure fell sharply. Tesla (TSLA) fell 5.19% over concerns that Trump's tariff policy could harm the company, given that 15% of Model Y parts are sourced from Mexico and Canada. Apple (AAPL) also dropped 3.39% due to concerns that new tariffs on China might ultimately raise iPhone prices. USTEC briefly tested the ascending trendline and the support at 19140. The index has since rebounded slightly, awaiting additional price triggers for an apparent trend reversal. If USTEC breaks below 19140, the index may fall further to the next support at 18670. Conversely, if USTEC breaches above both EMAs, the index could gain upward momentum toward the 20200 highs.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by inkicho_exness
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The Nasdaq closed lower, forming a lower wick at the bottom. The market initially dropped in pre-market trading due to Trump’s tariff imposition issue but recovered to close the gap after the one-month grace period for Mexico was announced. At yesterday’s closing price, the daily MACD triggered a sell signal. Although there was a gap-up today, further declines are likely as the resistance level holds. However, the MACD and Signal lines are still above the zero line on the daily chart, and it will take time for the 3-day and 5-day moving averages to pull down, suggesting that the index may form a wide-ranging box pattern before the trend leans towards further declines. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal appeared, and after a rebound, the MACD and Signal lines are reconnecting. Since a golden cross has not yet formed, a sell strategy on rebounds would be favorable. If the MACD fails to break above the Signal line and declines, a third wave of selling could follow. From a broader perspective, the 5-day moving average on the monthly chart coincides with the lower boundary of the daily box pattern. Until this level is strongly broken downward, short-term buy opportunities remain valid near the lower boundary of the range. OIL Oil gapped up but closed lower. The price failed to break above $75, leaving an upper wick. The one-month tariff grace period for Canada resulted in a gap-down movement. The key question is whether oil will attempt another rebound, using the 240-day moving average as support. It is crucial to see if a bullish candlestick forms while maintaining support above the 240-day moving average. On the weekly chart, oil is trapped within a box range, and as the week progresses, it will be important to assess whether conditions develop for a breakout next week. On the 240-minute chart, a rebound has occurred up to the 60-day moving average, following the characteristics of the 240-day moving average. Since the MACD and Signal lines remain below zero, selling pressure may persist. However, this is a high-probability divergence zone. If the third wave of selling fails and prices rebound, a sharp surge is possible, so traders should be cautious with aggressive short positions. The overall approach should be to trade within the range, favoring buy positions on pullbacks. GOLD Gold dropped to the 10-day moving average but found support and closed higher. On the monthly chart, a pullback to the 3-day moving average around 2,770 is possible, and a correction to the low 2,800s has already occurred. Gold's volatility is extreme due to tariff issues, so traders must carefully adjust their leverage to ensure safe trading. On the daily chart, MACD continues to rise, so as long as the price does not close below the 10-day moving average, a buy strategy is recommended. On the 240-minute chart, gold formed a buy signal after a pullback and is attempting a third wave of buying. However, it is crucial that gold continues rising to avoid forming a bearish divergence. If further gains do not materialize, gold may enter a box pattern. Overall, a buy strategy remains favorable for gold. However, traders should be cautious of increased volatility due to today’s JOLTS report. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21510 / 21410 / 21345 / 21220 / 21120 -Sell Levels: 21580 / 21640 / 21680 / 21780 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 71.80 / 71.30 / 70.50 / 69.85 -Sell Levels: 72.75 / 73.15 / 73.80 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2844 / 2832 / 2827 / 2820 -Sell Levels: 2859 / 2864 / 2870 / 2874 / 2885 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
CDW Corporation: Bullish Trap or Breakout Play?NASDAQ-CDW at a Pivotal Moment—Can Bulls Hold the Line? CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is standing at a crossroads. The stock currently trades at $199.14, recovering from its January lows but still 24.3% below its all-time high of $263.37 set in April 2024​. With a key resistance looming at $200.31, traders are asking: Will this level act as a launchpad for further gains, or is this the last breath before a deeper pullback? Technicals present a mixed picture. On one hand, RSI (14) is hovering at 56.44, keeping the stock in neutral momentum, while MFI (60) at 48.22 suggests liquidity is balanced​. The 50-day moving average sits at $195.92, reinforcing a support zone, yet sell volumes have increased over recent sessions​. Recent candlestick patterns indicate a battle between bulls and bears, with sell volume spikes on January 31st hinting at potential exhaustion​. So, what’s next? Will CDW break above resistance and retest higher levels, or are sellers about to regain control? Stay tuned—this could be the breakout (or breakdown) of the month. CDW Roadmap: Navigating the Market Waves CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) has been riding a turbulent wave of buying and selling forces, creating a roadmap of high-impact trading signals. By breaking down recent validated patterns, we can see the key price shifts that traders should have caught—and what might come next. January 27 – Buy Volumes Surge: Start of the Accumulation? Opening at $192.13 and closing at $194.1, this session kicked off a strong bullish impulse. A classic Increased Buy Volumes pattern formed, signaling that buyers were stepping in near the lows. The movement of +3.49% indicated a clear upward drive, setting the stage for continuation. January 28 – Confirmation of Strength Another Increased Buy Volumes signal appeared, reinforcing bullish control. The price climbed to $194.56, and despite some hesitation, the closing candle suggested buyers were still in the game. January 29 – Trap or Breakout? The Sell Shakeout A sudden shift—VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st appeared. Despite an opening near $195.15, price action reversed downward to $194.69. This was the first sign that sellers were lurking, potentially setting up a fake breakout to trap late bulls. January 30 – Sell Pressure Grows A Sell Volumes Takeover pattern developed, pushing CDW to $197.7 at the close. Bulls absorbed some pressure, but the next move would decide the fate of the trend. January 31 – The Decision Zone Sellers made their presence known. Increased Sell Volumes took over, with CDW slipping from $199.31 to $199.11. With the price rejecting the $200.31 resistance, traders had to decide—was this a healthy pullback or the start of a larger downtrend? What’s Next? The last confirmed direction was bearish, but with price hovering near resistance, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers reload for another push higher, or are we gearing up for a deeper correction? Keep an eye on the next patterns—this roadmap is far from over. 🚀 Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels in Play CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is testing critical levels that could dictate the next major move. If these zones hold, they’ll act as springboards for the next leg up—but if they fail, expect them to flip into resistance. Here’s what’s on the radar: Support Levels to Watch: $173.35 – First line of defense; bulls need to hold this to keep the uptrend alive. $159.06 – The key retracement zone; failure here opens the door to lower levels. $155.63 – Last stop before sellers take full control. Resistance Levels to Break: $200.31 – Immediate challenge; a breakout could fuel a push higher. $213.00 – A major hurdle that aligns with previous liquidity traps. $222.98 – If bulls take control, this is the next big test. $226.67 – Where things get serious; failure here would signal exhaustion. $239.45 – The ultimate upside target for now. Powerful Support Zones: $222.04, $232.57, $245.92 – If the trend stays strong, these levels will act as deep re-entry zones for dip buyers. Powerful Resistance Zones: $174.90, $158.66 – If these levels get rejected, expect a heavier correction. Trading Strategies: Riding the Fibonacci Rays The VSA Fibonacci Rays provide a roadmap for dynamic price interaction, where movements are dictated by liquidity, market psychology, and technical confluence. These rays aren't just static levels—they adapt as the market evolves, defining key zones where price is most likely to react. Every trade setup is based on price interacting with a ray, confirming direction, and then targeting the next ray as the first milestone. Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) act as additional dynamic resistance and support. Scenario 1: The Bullish Playbook 📈 Break Above $200.31 – The Path to Strength If price interacts with a VSA Buy Ray near $200.31 and confirms strength, we target: First Target: $213.00 – A historical liquidity pocket Second Target: $222.98 – Next dynamic resistance zone Final Target: $226.67 – The last stronghold before a trend shift Dips to $195.92 (MA50) – The Reload Zone A pullback to MA50 ($195.92) that aligns with a buy ray could be a prime entry: First Target: $200.31 – Retesting resistance as support Second Target: $213.00 – If momentum builds Break Above $226.67 – The Power Move Clearing this level unlocks a potential swing trade: First Target: $239.45 – The major resistance Final Target: $245.92 – High-probability take-profit zone Scenario 2: The Bearish Playbook 📉 Rejection at $200.31 – The Short Setup If price interacts with a VSA Sell Ray and confirms weakness: First Target: $195.92 – MA50 convergence Second Target: $186.08 – MA200 key zone Final Target: $173.35 – Deep support Break Below $195.92 (MA50) – Bearish Acceleration A failure to hold $195.92 flips structure bearish: First Target: $186.08 – A critical test Second Target: $173.35 – A strong demand zone Break Below $173.35 – Downtrend Confirmation A decisive move below this level signals a long-term shift: First Target: $159.06 – The next buyer zone Final Target: $155.63 – Extreme retracement zone Key Takeaways: ✔️ Trade from ray to ray – Every breakout or rejection defines the next move ✔️ MAs act as dynamic validation – Moving Averages filter weak setups ✔️ No early entries – Let price interact with rays before committing What’s Your Next Move? Let’s Talk! Trading is all about precision and timing, and if you’ve made it this far, you already know the importance of levels and price reactions. Now it’s your turn—drop your questions in the comments! Want to see how this setup plays out? Hit Boost, save this idea, and check back in a few days to see how price respects the levels. My private strategy automatically maps out all rays and key zones—if you’re interested in using it, send me a private message. It’s not public, but for those who want an edge, we can talk. Need analysis for another asset? I got you. Some ideas I share for free, some traders prefer to keep their setups private. Let me know in the comments which assets you’re watching, hit Boost, and I’ll get to them when I can. This method works on any asset—price moves in waves, and the rays show the roadmap. If you want a personal markup, just reach out. And if you want to stay ahead of the market, follow me here on TradingView—this is where I drop the insights first. 🚀
NASDAQ:CDWLong
by brandlabelden
ODFL: The Buy Signal Traders Can’t IgnoreThe Turning Point for Old Dominion Freight Line – What’s Next? Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) is at a critical inflection point, sitting at $185.47 after a notable -20.49% decline from its absolute high of $233.26 back in November 2024​. The stock has hovered near key support at $184.03, teasing traders with potential buy setups. But here’s where it gets interesting: a surge in buy volume has appeared, with an Increased Buy Volumes pattern confirming accumulation at these levels​. RSI14 is at 40.98, signaling the stock is near oversold territory, while MFI60 has dipped to 34.98, indicating liquidity inflows are building. Could this be the final shakeout before a rally? With the 50-day moving average still above at $189.07, traders are eyeing a possible breakout above $189.05 resistance for confirmation. The question now is—will bulls take control, or is another leg down coming? Stay tuned. ODFL Roadmap: Following the Smart Money Trail Navigating the recent price action of Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) is like following breadcrumbs left by institutional traders. Let’s break down the key patterns that defined the last trading sessions and see which signals were spot on and which ones misfired. January 27: Increased Sell Volumes – The Heavy Drop Begins ODFL opened at $195.08 but quickly lost ground, closing at $194.72. The pattern suggested a strong selling wave, and the next few sessions confirmed this as prices slid further down​. January 28: Sell Volumes Max – Bears Tighten Grip A classic sell continuation setup—ODFL tanked from $191.78 to $189.70, confirming the downtrend. This was a clean sell-off with no signs of reversal, reinforcing the bearish dominance​. January 29: Increased Sell Volumes – Exhaustion Near? Closing at $185.80, ODFL was testing key support. With RSI dipping into oversold territory, traders started watching for a bounce, but sellers weren’t done yet​. January 30 (Early Session): VSA Sell Pattern – False Hope? A VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern appeared, hinting at another downward move. However, by the next session, things took an unexpected turn… January 30 (Later Session): VSA Buy Pattern – Smart Money Steps In Here’s where the tide turned. ODFL bounced from $183.83 to $185.81, signaling that big buyers were stepping back in. The trigger point aligned, confirming a bullish reversal attempt​. January 30 (Final Hours): Increased Buy Volumes – Reversal Lock By the close of the day, the pattern was clear—smart money was back. The stock held gains at $186.70, locking in a higher low and confirming the buy-side control​. What’s Next? With ODFL showing signs of accumulation, all eyes are on the $189.05 resistance. A breakout could confirm a new uptrend, while failure to hold above $184 might signal another leg down. Either way, momentum is shifting, and traders better be ready. Technical & Price Action Analysis 📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch When it comes to ODFL, levels matter—they act as magnets for price action. If support fails, it flips into resistance, trapping late buyers. If resistance gets crushed, it opens the door for a strong breakout. Let’s map out the battlefield: 🔹 Support Levels (Buyers' Last Stand) 184.03 – Holding above this keeps bulls in play. If it breaks, expect deeper retracement. 181.54 – A soft landing zone, but if it folds, we’re looking at a bigger flush. 172.74 – This is where things get real. Losing this means sellers have full control. 172.00 – Right above the danger zone—break below and it’s game over for bulls. 170.08 – The last line of defense before things spiral downward. 🔸 Resistance Levels (Ceilings to Break) 189.05 – First major checkpoint. If bulls can’t clear it, expect heavy rejection. 192.18 – If this cracks, momentum shifts, and buyers take the wheel. 196.57 – The decision point. Holding above confirms a trend reversal. 206.66 – Bulls dream of this level; a breakout here ignites FOMO. 212.25 – Long-term resistance, break above and it’s clear skies. 🚨 Powerful Resistance – Where the Big Players Step In 171.48 – If price collapses below, expect major distribution. 163.31 – The “no man's land.” Bulls don’t want to see this level tested. 118.93 – If we ever touch this, pack it up—ODFL is in serious trouble. Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Path of Least Resistance The Rays from the Beginning of Movement framework allows us to anticipate ODFL’s price action not by predicting static levels, but by tracking how price interacts with dynamic Fibonacci-based rays. These rays, layered with VSA analysis, define market structure and let us ride high-probability setups as price moves from one ray to the next. 📌 Key Concept: We don’t blindly enter at fixed levels. Instead, we wait for interaction with rays, confirmation from VSA volume shifts, and alignment with Moving Averages, which serve as dynamic resistance/support zones. 🚀 Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control If ODFL holds support and buyers step in at key VSA interaction points, we can expect a steady climb up the ray structure. Entry Zone: $184.03 - $185.47 (VSA confirmation needed) First Target: $189.05 (Initial breakout test) Second Target: $192.18 (Momentum build-up) Third Target: $196.57 (Trend confirmation) 💡 Bullish Momentum Factor: Price reclaiming MA50 ($189.07) and flipping it into support would be a game-changer. If this aligns with a VSA Buy Volume spike, expect acceleration. 🔻 Pessimistic Scenario: Sellers Keep Control If resistance holds and ODFL fails to reclaim higher rays, bears will drag price to lower support zones. Entry Zone: $189.05 - $192.18 (Failure to break) First Target: $184.03 (Breakdown confirmation) Second Target: $181.54 (Bearish continuation) Third Target: $172.74 (Capitulation zone) 💡 Bearish Breakdown Factor: If MA50 ($189.07) & MA100 ($189.42) reject price with a VSA Sell Volume spike, it’s an early warning of a deeper move. 🔥 Possible Trade Setups Long from $184.03 → $189.05 (VSA buy confirmation at support) Breakout Long from $189.05 → $196.57 (Momentum above MA50) Short from $189.05 → $184.03 (Failure to hold resistance) Breakdown Short from $181.54 → $172.74 (Bearish cascade setup) These setups will only activate after interaction with the rays, ensuring trades align with market structure and smart money flow. The next move starts from the next ray, so trade what’s in front of you! 🚀 Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Path of Least Resistance The Rays from the Beginning of Movement framework allows us to anticipate ODFL’s price action not by predicting static levels, but by tracking how price interacts with dynamic Fibonacci-based rays. These rays, layered with VSA analysis, define market structure and let us ride high-probability setups as price moves from one ray to the next. 📌 Key Concept: We don’t blindly enter at fixed levels. Instead, we wait for interaction with rays, confirmation from VSA volume shifts, and alignment with Moving Averages, which serve as dynamic resistance/support zones. 🚀 Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control If ODFL holds support and buyers step in at key VSA interaction points, we can expect a steady climb up the ray structure. Entry Zone: $184.03 - $185.47 (VSA confirmation needed) First Target: $189.05 (Initial breakout test) Second Target: $192.18 (Momentum build-up) Third Target: $196.57 (Trend confirmation) 💡 Bullish Momentum Factor: Price reclaiming MA50 ($189.07) and flipping it into support would be a game-changer. If this aligns with a VSA Buy Volume spike, expect acceleration. 🔻 Pessimistic Scenario: Sellers Keep Control If resistance holds and ODFL fails to reclaim higher rays, bears will drag price to lower support zones. Entry Zone: $189.05 - $192.18 (Failure to break) First Target: $184.03 (Breakdown confirmation) Second Target: $181.54 (Bearish continuation) Third Target: $172.74 (Capitulation zone) 💡 Bearish Breakdown Factor: If MA50 ($189.07) & MA100 ($189.42) reject price with a VSA Sell Volume spike, it’s an early warning of a deeper move. 🔥 Possible Trade Setups Long from $184.03 → $189.05 (VSA buy confirmation at support) Breakout Long from $189.05 → $196.57 (Momentum above MA50) Short from $189.05 → $184.03 (Failure to hold resistance) Breakdown Short from $181.54 → $172.74 (Bearish cascade setup) These setups will only activate after interaction with the rays, ensuring trades align with market structure and smart money flow. The next move starts from the next ray, so trade what’s in front of you! 🚀
NASDAQ:ODFLShort
by brandlabelden
Mondelez at the Edge: Can Bulls Hold the Line?A Pivotal Moment for Mondelez – Will the Bulls Step Up? Mondelez International (NASDAQ: MDLZ) is trading at $58.05, clawing back some ground but still down 26.1% from its all-time high of $78.59. The stock has been oscillating near a critical resistance level at $58.40, testing the patience of both bulls and bears. Technical indicators suggest a market at a crossroads: the 50-day MA sits at $57.63, while the RSI hovers at 52.97, keeping the stock in neutral momentum. Meanwhile, Money Flow Index (MFI) remains weak at 38.09, signaling a lack of strong accumulation. Adding to the tension, the last few sessions have flashed sell-heavy VSA patterns, with a significant increase in selling volume on January 31st. This raises an important question: Is Mondelez on the brink of a breakdown, or will buyers defend the $57 zone and push for a breakout above $58.40? The answer may come from broader market forces. Inflation remains a key macro factor, and any shifts in consumer sentiment could dictate the next leg for Mondelez. Traders should watch for confirmation: if bulls fail to reclaim ground above $58.40, the path downward toward $56.50 support may accelerate. But if the stock finds strength, a breakout could set sights on the next resistance near $59.86 and beyond. One thing is certain—this is a defining moment for MDLZ. Are you ready for what’s next? MDLZ Roadmap: Tracing the Footsteps of Market Makers Mondelez (NASDAQ: MDLZ) has been dancing on the edge of key price levels, with a series of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns defining its trajectory. The past few sessions reveal a battle between buyers and sellers, but the roadmap is becoming clearer. Let’s break it down. January 27 – Sell Volumes Max: This pattern signaled an aggressive sell-off, closing at $58.37 from an opening of $58.595. Given the magnitude of the sell pressure, it was crucial to watch the next sessions for validation. January 28 – Buy Volumes Max: A reversal attempt came in with increased buy volumes, pushing the stock up to $56.88 from a low of $56.68. This bounce hinted at possible accumulation, but the lack of follow-through kept the market on edge. January 29 – Sell Volumes: Sellers regained control, pushing MDLZ to $57.13, marking another bearish shift. This played into the broader downtrend, reinforcing that buyers weren’t ready to step in just yet. January 30 – VSA Sell Patterns Dominate: The day saw a series of manipulation-based sell patterns, with MDLZ closing at $57.695. These patterns typically indicate smart money positioning for further downside. January 31 – Sell Volumes Max Returns: Another spike in sell volumes appeared, reinforcing the previous direction and closing at $58.00. This was a strong confirmation that the previous bearish signals were working. Key Takeaways: The main direction has remained bearish, and each sell-based VSA pattern has been validated by subsequent price action. Bulls attempted a fightback on January 28, but weak follow-through suggested it was merely a liquidity grab. Until we see a buy pattern confirming with sustained upward movement, the path of least resistance remains downward. MDLZ traders should keep an eye on support zones near $56.50, as breaking this could trigger further downside momentum. Will buyers finally step in, or are we looking at another leg lower? Stay tuned. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch Mondelez (NASDAQ: MDLZ) is moving in a tight range, and key levels are setting up for potential breakout or breakdown plays. Whether you’re scalping the swings or positioning for a bigger move, here’s what matters right now. Support Levels: If buyers want to step up, they’ll need to hold $56.51 and $55.72—otherwise, expect them to flip into resistance, making the path even harder for bulls. Resistance Levels: The first roadblock for upside sits at $58.40, followed by $59.86 and $60.71. If these levels don’t hold sellers back, expect them to become the next battle zone for bulls trying to break through. Powerful Support Levels: The real lifeline sits way higher at $65.27 and $69.65—far from current prices, but if the stock ever reclaims these zones, the trend structure could shift bullish again. Powerful Resistance Levels: The ultimate ceiling remains $75.68, but let’s be real—MDLZ has a long way to go before challenging that zone again. If support fails, those same levels will be a brick wall on the next bounce attempt. Traders should be watching price reactions closely—levels don’t break without a fight, and smart money is always one step ahead. Trading Strategies Based on Rays: Optimistic & Pessimistic Scenarios The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" method provides a dynamic approach to market structure, using Fibonacci-based rays to map out price movements. Unlike static support and resistance, these rays adapt in real time, helping traders react to the market instead of predicting exact levels. Each price interaction with a ray indicates one of two scenarios: Reversal – A bounce off a ray signals a potential turn in trend. Continuation – A breakout or clean movement along the ray suggests an extension toward the next key zone. Trade entries are only valid after price interacts with a ray and confirms movement in the expected direction. The first ray hit acts as the initial target, with subsequent rays marking extended take-profit levels. Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control If price holds $58.40 resistance and breaks above, we look toward $59.86 as the next target. If momentum continues, $60.71 becomes the secondary take-profit zone. If buyers manage to push beyond $66.07, we could see a structural shift towards the powerful resistance zone at $69.22. Pessimistic Scenario: Bears Regain Control A rejection at $58.40 or a break below $56.51 signals downside pressure. If sellers dominate, the next key level is $55.72. A further breakdown could push MDLZ toward the $54.72 absolute low, a must-hold zone for bulls. Dynamic Moving Averages as Confirmation Moving averages (MAs) will play a key role in defining momentum: 50 MA at $57.63 – A flip above this level supports bullish continuation. 100 MA at $57.45 – A break below signals a short-term bearish trend shift. 200 MA at $57.33 – The ultimate line in the sand; a loss here opens the door for deeper declines. Potential Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions Long on Break Above $58.40 → Target $59.86, Stop Below $58.00 Short on Rejection from $58.40 → Target $56.51, Stop Above $58.70 Long on Bounce from $56.51 → Target $58.40, Stop Below $56.00 Short on Breakdown Below $56.51 → Target $55.72, Stop Above $56.80 As always, these setups work in confluence with the VSA rays already mapped out. Each move from ray to ray defines a structured trade, and positioning should only occur after confirmation of movement. Let’s Talk: Your Thoughts & Custom Analysis Requests Trading is all about levels and reactions, and now it’s your turn—drop your questions in the comments! Let’s discuss how MDLZ moves next, and whether the price will respect these mapped-out levels. Hit Boost and save this idea so you can check back later—watch how the market moves exactly along the rays. That’s the key to profitable trading: knowing where price action matters before it happens. By the way, my private indicator automatically plots all rays and key levels, but it’s only available in Private Access. If you’re interested in using it—send me a message. Need an analysis for a different asset? No problem! I can chart any market—some setups I post for free, while others we can arrange privately. If you have a specific request, let me know in the comments and hit Boost—I’ll do my best to include it in upcoming ideas. And of course, follow me here on TradingView so you don’t miss future updates. Let’s trade smart! 🚀
NASDAQ:MDLZLong
by brandlabelden
PayPal's Market Crossroads: Rebound or Further Downside?Is PayPal Ready for a Comeback? Key Levels to Watch Now The digital payment giant PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL) is at a crucial market intersection. Trading at $88.27, the stock has slipped 14.3% from its absolute high of $103.03, recorded over 900 days ago, but remains 75.6% above its multi-year low of $50.25. With recent buy-side volume spikes and a key resistance challenge at $89.34, the question arises: Is PYPL gearing up for a bullish breakout, or will sellers take control again? The RSI14 at 33.35 signals an oversold condition, while the MFI60 at 38.5 suggests weakening selling pressure. Meanwhile, major moving averages remain clustered near $89.2-$89.49, hinting at a decisive moment ahead. Adding to the mix, the VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st recently emerged, a sign of potential accumulation after a sharp decline. Market sentiment is further fueled by macroeconomic uncertainties, interest rate expectations, and sector-wide volatility in tech and fintech stocks. Will buyers push past resistance, or is another wave of selling ahead? For investors and traders alike, this could be the defining moment to make a move. PYPL Roadmap: Decoding the Market’s Next Move The market never moves in a straight line—it's a battlefield of buyers and sellers, where every pattern leaves a footprint. Let's break down PayPal’s (NASDAQ: PYPL) recent price action using the roadmap of confirmed patterns that actually played out, filtering out the noise and focusing on what mattered. January 27, 2025 - Buy Volumes Max (Buy Signal) PYPL opened at $89.57, climbed to $90.29, and closed at $90.24, with strong buy-side dominance. This signaled the start of an accumulation phase, pushing the price upward. January 28, 2025 - Buy Volumes Max (Buy Confirmation) The momentum carried forward as PYPL opened at $87.87, surged to $89.36, and closed at $89.16. This confirmed the previous buy signal, proving that demand was actively stepping in. The low of the last three bars at $86.88 acted as the trigger, validating the long setup. January 28, 2025 - Sell Volumes Max (Reversal Signal) Right after buyers showed strength, sellers hit back hard. The stock opened at $88.82, peaked at $88.85, but closed weak at $88.17. This shift hinted that smart money might be cashing out after the recent rally. January 30, 2025 - Increased Sell Volumes (Bearish Confirmation) The downward momentum continued as PYPL opened at $90.11, dropped to $88.84, and closed at $89.56. The trigger was met—the breakdown from the previous low played out, confirming that sellers had control. January 31, 2025 - VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st (Bullish Reversal) The market didn’t stay bearish for long. A new buy pattern formed as PYPL hit a low of $88.28, bounced off, and closed at $88.56. This was a classic Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) buy signal—a sign that buyers were absorbing supply before a potential upward move. What’s next? With resistance looming at $89.34, the market is at a crossroads. If bulls take charge, we could see a push to $91.44 and beyond. But if resistance holds, another leg down might be in the cards. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels to Watch When it comes to trading, levels are everything. Whether you’re scalping, swing trading, or positioning for the long haul, understanding where price reacts is what separates winners from bag holders. Here’s the must-watch roadmap for PayPal (NASDAQ: PYPL). If these levels fail, expect them to flip into resistance—because in this game, what was support can quickly become a selling zone. Support Levels (Dip-Buy Zones) 85.905 – First line of defense. If bulls hold, expect a bounce play. If lost, it’s a new ceiling. 80.96 – Mid-range safety net. A break below would signal real weakness. 79.16 – The last soft support before things get messy. 71.19 – A break here sends alarms—this level needs to hold. 59.9 – If we hit this, something bigger is at play. A strong reaction is expected. Resistance Levels (Profit-Taking & Rejection Zones) 89.34 – Immediate wall. Bulls need to flip this to keep momentum alive. 91.445 – Strong barrier. A clean break could open breakout conditions. 93.85 – High probability rejection zone. Needs volume to push through. 96.12 – Final boss before a larger rally. Powerful Support Levels (Last Line of Defense) 102.57 – If we ever reclaim this, it’s game on for higher timeframes. Powerful Resistance Levels (Big Money Zones) 81.46 – Needs to turn into support for a true trend shift. 70.46 – Heavy weight here. Any test is make-or-break. 58.5 – Historical battleground. Expect strong reactions. 51.09 – If bulls conquer this, deep discount buyers will wake up. 💡 Trading Playbook: If support doesn’t hold, don’t marry the trade—watch for the level to flip into resistance. Same applies in reverse—if resistance breaks, it could be the fuel for a strong bullish continuation. Stay sharp. 🚀 Trading Strategies Using Rays: Precision Entries & Probable Targets The market moves in waves and phases, not in straight lines. That’s why using Fibonacci-based dynamic rays allows traders to catch moves from ray to ray instead of chasing price at random levels. Each ray is constructed from the beginning of a movement, not traditional highs and lows, making it a leading indicator for upcoming reversals or continuations. The interaction with rays is what defines trade opportunities. A position is taken only after price touches a ray and confirms movement. Each next ray becomes the target for the trade. Alongside this, the Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, MA233) act as dynamic factors of support and resistance, strengthening key zones. 💡 Two Trade Scenarios: Be Ready for Both Optimistic Scenario (Breakout & Trend Continuation) If PYPL pushes above $89.34 resistance and secures a close, momentum traders can look for: Entry: After interaction with the ray at $89.34 Target 1: $91.445 (next ray) Target 2: $93.85 (if buying volume confirms) Target 3: $96.12 (longer-term extension) 🚀 Trade Rationale: Bullish confirmation through ray breakout & support retest. RSI & MFI confirming strength. Pessimistic Scenario (Rejection & Drop to Lower Rays) If PYPL fails to break $89.34 and shows weakness: Entry: After rejection from the ray at $89.34 Target 1: $85.905 (next lower ray) Target 2: $80.96 (if bearish continuation forms) Target 3: $79.16 (major liquidity grab zone) 🔥 Trade Rationale: If price rejects resistance and closes below MA50/MA100, sellers gain control. 💰 Potential Trade Setups Based on Ray Interactions Ray-to-Ray Breakout Trade (Momentum Play) If price closes above $89.34 → Enter long targeting $91.445. If price closes above $91.445 → Ride the wave to $93.85. Ray-to-Ray Breakdown Trade (Short Play) If price fails at $89.34 → Enter short to $85.905. If price loses $85.905 → Target next ray at $80.96. Moving Average Interaction Play (Reversal Signal) If price bounces off MA233 ($88.67) → Go long, targeting next ray up. If price breaks below MA233 → Short it down to next key ray. These strategies allow flexibility—reacting to price instead of guessing moves. Whether it’s a breakout ride or a rejection short, the market always provides opportunities for those watching the right signals. Stay ready. 🚀🔥 What’s Next? Let’s Talk in the Comments! Trading isn’t just about setups—it’s about understanding the game and watching how price reacts to key levels. That’s why I want you to do one thing: save this idea, hit Boost, and check back later to see how price moves according to my ray-based system. Have questions or want to discuss a specific asset? Drop a comment! I always read them and will answer whenever I can. Want a full breakdown on your favorite stock, crypto, or forex pair? Let’s talk—I can do some analysis publicly or, if you want to keep it private, we can work something out. My indicator automatically maps out all rays and key levels—no guesswork, just clean structure. But it's available only in Private. If you’re interested, send me a message, and I’ll explain how you can get access. And if you want a custom markup for any asset, I can do that too. Just hit Boost, drop your request in the comments, and I’ll add it to my list. If you're serious about improving your trading, follow me here on TradingView—this is where I post real setups that actually play out. Markets move, opportunities come and go—let’s make sure you catch the next one. 🚀🔥
NASDAQ:PYPLShort
by brandlabelden
NASDAQ-REGN at a Crossroads: Breakdown or Breakout?The Market’s Dilemma: Is REGN Ready for a Reversal? The biotech giant Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: REGN) is hovering at a critical juncture. Trading at $672.98, the stock has plummeted 44.4% from its all-time high of $1211.19 just five months ago. With the RSI at 38.8, the market is edging toward oversold conditions—but does that mean a bounce is imminent, or is further downside in store? Recent sell volume spikes and bearish VSA patterns suggest institutional distribution, while key support at $669.24 is under pressure. If buyers fail to hold this level, the next move could be decisive. Meanwhile, resistance looms at $693.67, creating a tight battlefield between bulls and bears. With momentum indicators flashing caution and a looming test of critical levels, traders must ask: Is REGN poised for a short-term rally, or are we witnessing the start of an extended breakdown? Stay sharp—this might be the last chance to act before the next major move. NASDAQ-REGN Roadmap: A Pattern-Driven Journey The price action on Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: REGN) has been painting a vivid picture of institutional maneuvering. By analyzing the sequential Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and buy/sell volume patterns, we can uncover the footprints of smart money and determine where the next big move might emerge. Let’s break it down step by step. January 22: The Battle Between Bulls and Bears A VSA Buy Pattern Extra 1st appeared, signaling a potential reversal after prolonged selling. The open was at $682.89, but the close dipped to $679.24, showing hesitation. However, a competing Sell Volumes Max pattern on the same day added to the confusion. The key takeaway? The market was indecisive, but the tug-of-war suggested a major breakout was brewing. January 23: Buyers Step Up A surge in buy volumes confirmed the bullish bias. With an open at $692.165 and a close at $694.36, bulls showed their dominance. This validated the previous buy setup and confirmed that institutions were stepping in. January 24: A Bullish Fake-Out? The VSA Manipulation Buy Pattern 3rd hinted at continued strength. The market opened at $680.78 and closed higher at $683.75, pushing past short-term resistance. However, the presence of a Buy Volumes Takeover pattern earlier in the day, which was immediately sold off, hinted at hidden distribution. The market was climbing, but the undercurrent wasn’t as strong as it seemed. January 27-31: Sellers Take Control A clear shift in sentiment emerged as Sell Volumes Max patterns took over. On January 27, the market opened at $685.17 but barely moved, closing at $684.67—a sign of exhaustion. Then, on January 30-31, massive sell volumes hit, confirming distribution. The price tumbled from $684.17 to $676.50, sealing the bearish outlook. Key Takeaway: Where Do We Go From Here? The January 23-24 bullish patterns initially suggested an upside continuation, but the surge in selling pressure from January 27 onward negated that move. The market failed to hold its ground, confirming the strength of the selling signals. With support at $669.24 under fire, the next key zone to watch is $652-655. If bulls don’t reclaim momentum soon, REGN could be setting up for a deeper correction. Stay sharp—the next move is brewing. Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels in Play The market structure on NASDAQ-REGN is shifting, and traders need to keep an eye on these critical levels. If support zones fail to hold, they flip into resistance—trapping late buyers and fueling further downside moves. Likewise, if resistance levels break, they become new bases for continuation plays. Support Levels: 669.24 – The immediate support zone; losing this level could open the floodgates for deeper selling. 592.7 – A major downside target if sellers gain full control. This level previously acted as a demand zone. 547.57 – The last stand for bulls before things get ugly. Below here, expect a momentum flush. Resistance Levels: 693.67 – The first wall bulls need to break for any short-term recovery. A failure here keeps the bears in charge. 707.835 – A psychological pivot; clearing this would suggest a trend shift. 752.54 – Major battle zone. If reached, expect serious profit-taking. 784.1 – Key breakout threshold; breaking and holding above opens the door for a bigger upside run. 810.53 – The big league level. Any rally stalling here signals trend exhaustion. Powerful Support Levels: 945.71 – Long-term structure zone. If the price ever reclaims this level, bulls are fully back in control. 985.9 – The pivot point for a full-blown trend reversal. 1175.16 – The holy grail for long-term investors; reclaiming this would signal a multi-month rally. Powerful Resistance Levels: 575.46 – A historical battleground; failure to hold here sends a strong bearish signal. 549.69 – A make-or-break level for dip buyers. If sellers push below, expect panic exits. The playbook is simple: react, don’t predict. Watch for confirmations, volume shifts, and price reactions at these levels. No clean break? No trade. The market always shows its hand—just follow the footprint. Trading Strategies Using Rays: Precision in Action The "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" concept is built on dynamic Fibonacci-based levels that adapt to market conditions. Unlike traditional support and resistance levels, these rays adjust automatically as price action evolves, providing a leading rather than lagging perspective. The goal is not to predict exact levels but to identify high-probability zones where price interactions signal trend continuation or reversal. These rays interact with VSA dynamics and moving averages, making them powerful confirmation tools. The price will move from ray to ray, establishing first, second, and third trade targets accordingly. Entries should be made only after interaction with the ray and confirmation of direction. Optimistic Scenario: Bullish Ray Interaction Entry near 669.24 (support level + interaction with a rising ray) First target: 693.67 (resistance level aligned with MA50) Second target: 707.83 (breakout level with confirmation from VSA) Third target: 752.54 (major resistance, completion of the wave) 💡 If momentum is strong, price could extend toward 784.1, aligning with long-term trend acceleration. Pessimistic Scenario: Bearish Ray Interaction Entry after breakdown of 669.24 (failure to hold as support flips to resistance) First target: 592.7 (next structural level, confirming bearish intent) Second target: 547.57 (full breakdown level, aligning with MA200 interaction) Third target: 575.46 (major psychological barrier—either reversal or trend continuation) 💡 If the bearish wave extends, price may push toward 549.69, signaling further downside. Potential Trades Based on Ray Interaction Buy from 669.24 → Target 693.67 – Confirmation required via VSA buy volumes. Breakout above 693.67 → Target 707.83 – Only valid if price holds above MA50. Sell below 669.24 → Target 592.7 – Valid only after a strong bearish volume surge. Rejection at 707.83 → Short to 669.24 – Reversal signal from VSA sell zones. Your Turn: Let’s Trade Smart Together! 🚀 If this analysis makes sense to you, hit that Boost and save this idea—because the key to trading is understanding the levels where trades can be executed. Follow how the price moves and compare it to my setup. The market always speaks to those who listen. Got questions? Drop them in the comments! Let’s break things down together. If you need an analysis of another asset, let me know—we can figure out the best way to do it. Some I can share for free, while for private setups, we can discuss the details. My strategy automatically plots all rays and levels, but the indicator is available only in Private. If you want to trade using this system, send me a direct message. These rays work on all assets, and price moves like clockwork along them. If you want me to chart your asset, hit Boost and comment below. The more interest, the higher the chance I’ll cover your instrument next! Follow me here on TradingView—no fluff, no hype, just **clear levels and market logic.**🔥
NASDAQ:REGNShort
by brandlabelden
Nasdaq-100 H1 | Potential bearish reversalNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 21,179.71 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 21,382.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 20,777.93 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:NAS100Short
by FXCM
NAS100 Bounces Off Key Support: Targeting 21,820PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is trading within a rising channel, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. The price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with a significant support level. The structure indicates the potential for further upside, with the next target around the 21,820 level. The bullish scenario assumes that the price maintains its momentum and respects the trendline support. A clear break and retest of the minor resistance zones along the way could confirm this upward movement. However, a break below the channel would invalidate this setup and suggest potential bearish pressure. Let me know your thoughts or if you have an alternative perspective!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by DanieIM
1
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ filled the gap and closed lower after facing resistance. As mentioned last Friday, the 21,911 level was a likely resistance zone due to the nature of the gap. This resistance played a significant role, and coincidentally, concerns over tariffs imposed by former President Trump on Mexico and Canada intensified, leading to a decline into the afternoon session. Since the monthly candle has closed, let's first analyze the monthly chart. Last month, I mentioned that a decline to the 5-day moving average (20,880) was possible before a rebound, and indeed, the index rebounded from 20,700. Given that the price sequentially bounced from the 3-day and 5-day moving averages after breaking out of the monthly range, this month presents a challenging situation for determining direction. While further upside is possible, the monthly MACD may attempt to reduce its gap with the signal line, making a strong rally less likely. If a sharp rally occurs, the upper Bollinger Band at 22,736 should be considered as resistance. On the downside, the monthly 5-day moving average at 21,084 may be tested this month. Since the market could move in either direction, chasing momentum on the monthly chart should be approached with caution. On the weekly chart, a sell signal remains active, with the MACD failing to cross above the signal line, suggesting that further downside remains likely. On the daily chart, while the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, today's bearish candle close may trigger a sell signal, opening the possibility of a move toward the lower Bollinger Band and the 120-day moving average. If the MACD does not break down and instead turns higher while the price rises, it will be crucial to see if the 21,911 gap is decisively broken and closed with a bullish candle. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal is still in place, and the index remains in a large range. Buying on dips remains favorable, but if a sell signal appears, the current moving average setup suggests a high probability of sharp declines. This week, Google's earnings report on Tuesday and the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday are key events to watch. Additionally, with the potential impact of Trump’s tariff policies increasing market volatility, traders should manage leverage carefully and remain cautious. Crude Oil Oil closed near breakeven but surged in after-hours trading following reports that Canadian energy imports may face new tariffs. On the monthly chart, oil remains within a range, but the MACD is persistently attempting to cross above the signal line. Last month’s breakout from a four-month consolidation range suggests that buying on dips at the 3-day moving average may be a favorable strategy. On the weekly chart, the buy signal remains intact. Despite some pullback, the large gap between the MACD and the signal line suggests that a sharp breakdown is unlikely. On the daily chart, as previously mentioned, the $72 level remains a strong buy zone. The MACD is in a steep downtrend, but given the presence of prior demand zones and the 240-day moving average acting as support, a technical rebound could be strong after two weeks of declines. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has bounced off the signal line, forming a bullish divergence, making long positions more favorable. Given the characteristics of the 240-day moving average, a rebound toward $74.50 is technically reasonable. Overall, buying on dips remains a preferred approach, but market volatility is increasing due to geopolitical uncertainties, so trade cautiously. Gold Gold pulled back as profit-taking emerged after a sharp rally, closing lower after finding support at the 3-day moving average. On the monthly chart, gold formed a strong bullish breakout candle, making dips toward the 3-day moving average (2,770) a favorable buying opportunity this month. A pullback to this level should be expected. On the weekly chart, a buy signal appeared last week, but the MACD’s lower value compared to the previous peak suggests a potential bearish divergence. This means that despite breaking above prior highs, if the MACD fails to confirm with strong upward momentum, the rally may weaken. Caution is advised when chasing momentum. On the daily chart, today is a key day for buy setups near the 5-day moving average, making a pullback likely. However, the broader trend remains bullish, so rather than shorting, traders should look for opportunities to buy on pullbacks at key support levels. On the 240-minute chart, gold is facing resistance and declining. The MACD is at a high level, meaning even if a bearish crossover occurs, attempts to move higher may persist. Buying near support remains the preferred approach. With Trump’s increasing policy activity and China’s Deepseek issues, market volatility is expected to rise. Always prioritize risk management and trade safely. Wishing you a successful trading month! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Bullish Market -Buy : 21,530 / 21,460 / 21,420 / 21,370 / 21,290 -Sell : 21,590 / 21,690 / 21,775 / 21,850 / 21,930 Crude Oil - Range Market -Buy : 73.50 / 72.90 / 72.40 / 72.00 -Sell : 74.50 / 75.00 / 76.00 / 76.40 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy : 2,825 / 2,820 / 2,812 / 2,807 / 2,804 -Sell : 2,841 / 2,846 / 2,852 / 2,856 / 2,860 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
$NVDA Dominance in NASDAQ: $NVDA vs NASAD IndexAll of us in crypto are used to looking at the BTC.D Chart (Bitcoin Dominance). With BTC.D stuck in a range between 57% and 60% we try to look at a new dominance chart which no one is talking about. Same as DeFI in TradFI we can look at one of the most famous Asset which is NASDAQ:NVDA vs its dominance in tech heavy NASDAQ index. Let’s call it ‘ NASDAQ:NVDA Dominance’ (NVDA.D) © 😉. Further usage of the ticker should be copyrighted to me. 😊 $NVDA.D is now below its 200 Day SMA. If we plot NASDAQ:NVDA vs NASDAQQ Index, we get $NVDA.D and there we see that NVDA.D is making multi months lows and below 200 Day SMA. We have not seen this kind of weakness in $NVDA.D since CHAT GPT was launched in Nov 2022. The last time $NVDA.D was below the 200 Day SMA it spent almost 6 months consolidating during the 2022 Tech bear market before AI sparked the new bull market.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by RabishankarBiswal
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀 📊 Current Price Action: The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅. The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average. 📌 Key Levels & Market Structure: 🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery. 📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements. 💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present. 📈 Trend & Potential Direction: The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈. The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000. If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅. 🏆 Conclusion: 🐂 Bullish Bias: Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊. 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️. 🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀. 💡 Trade Idea: A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by MrStellanSight
ARK Innovation. Granny Wood is Back — What She's Brewing..?!Hooray! Granny Wood 👵 is roaring back! Well, here we are, The @PandorraResearch Team, to discuss what Ma'am Wood is brewing, since the epic things are almost there! In a nutshell, Cathie Wood is an American investor and founder, chief executive officer (CEO), and chief investment officer (CIO) of Ark Invest, an investment management firm. Her flagship ARK Innovation exchange-traded fund - AMEX:ARKK ETF has received accolades for its performance in 2017, 2020 and 2023, but is also considered by Morningstar to be the third highest "wealth destroyer" investment fund from 2014–2023, losing US$7.1 billion of shareholder value in ten years. Overview of the ARK Innovation ETF AMEX:ARKK The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), managed by ARK Investment Management and led by Cathie Wood, focuses on investing in companies that are at the forefront of "disruptive innovation." This term encompasses technologies that have the potential to significantly alter industries and consumer behaviors. The fund primarily targets sectors such as genomics, automation, AI, and energy, aiming for long-term capital appreciation. Current Performance Metrics As of January 31, 2025, ARKK is priced at approximately $64.50, reflecting a 1.53% increase on that day. Over January 2025 ARKK has demonstrated a bold return of about 13.60%, following a volatile period marked by significant fluctuations in value. Notably, that ARKK's performance over January 2025 shows a stark contrast with U.S. stock market benchmarks (just compare - S&P500 Index SP:SPX demonstrates nearly +4% return so far in 2025 while Nasdaq Composite Index NASDAQ:IXIC has added just around 3% in first month of 2025). ARKK Fundamental Analysis Investment Strategy. ARKK employs an actively managed approach, focusing on companies that are leaders or enablers of innovation. The fund's strategy combines both top-down and bottom-up research to identify high-potential stocks across various sectors. Sector Exposure. The ETF is heavily weighted towards technology and healthcare sectors, with significant investments in companies involved in AI and biotechnology. For instance, Tesla is often highlighted as a major holding due to its advancements in autonomous driving technology. Technical Outlook The technical outlook for ARKK shows signs of recovery and epic 200-week SMA Bullish breakthrough after a challenging period from late 2021 through much of 2023. The ETF has rebounded from lows around $36.85 in August 2024 to recent highs near $64.50 in January 2025, indicating a potential bullish trend if momentum continues. Support and Resistance Levels Support Level. Approximately $60.00 (recent low that corresponds to current 200-week SMA value) Resistance Level. Approximately $71.50 (3-years high) These levels will be critical for traders watching for potential supports or reversals. Market Sentiment Investor sentiment surrounding ARKK remains mixed due to its historical volatility and speculative nature. While some investors view it as an opportunity to capitalize on innovation-driven growth, others express caution due to its past performance dips and high-risk profile associated with its concentrated holdings. Conclusion The ARK Innovation ETF presents a compelling case for investors interested in disruptive technologies and long-term growth potential. However, its inherent volatility and the concentrated nature of its holdings necessitate careful consideration before investing. As the market continues to evolve with advancements in AI and other technologies, ARKK may offer significant upside momentum now, but also comes with considerable potential risk.
AMEX:ARKK
by PandorraResearch