Nasdaq -> What A Short SqueezeHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that over the past couple of weeks, the Nasdaq had an insane rally towards the upside of roughly 25% and is now approaching weekly resistance.
Considering the fact that the overall trend is still very bullish I just do expect a short term rejection away from the $14.800 resistance area and then I definitely do expect the continuation of the bullrun.
On the daily timeframe you can see that market structure is still very bullish, there is still no sign of the Nasdaq slowing down yet, so there could be the possibility that we will see more continuation towards the upside to then retest the next major previous daily resistance at the $15.200 level before we will then see a short term drop.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Nasdaq100
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 JUNE 05Continuation long from previous analysis was in order last week.
Minor weakness has appeared.
Possible Scenarios:
1) Continuation Long: Long on retracement. Down bars has to
be on lower volume.
2) Previous supply zone 15269
Exercise caution if you see climatic bars into this level. Market
may rotate to work out demand and supply.
Price Reaction Levels
Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept
16646 15269 14575
*Longer term: 13350 needs to be supported for long trend
to be intact.
Price Volume Analysis:
Weekly: Ave vol narrower up bar close off high = NTC weakness
Daily: 19 May UT bar, ave vol= = potential weakness
*NTC = Non-Trend Changing
Like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
*For education purpose only.
NASI have my eye on this area at the moment one of two things could happen
1. we could go up higher and grab liquidity and or see price go lower to target equal lows resting below and see if price will continue to fill gaps below.
2. we could see price continue rising above and leaving gaps open with resting SSL below and target previous highs at around 14645 and or 15300.
lets see what price gives us over night and look forward to Friday morning with high impact news on the morning.
3 red high impact folders
NASDAQ 100 Overtakes BitcoinThis is how prices for popular exchange-traded assets changed from March 1 to May 31:
→ The price of the NASDAQ 100 increased by almost 20%
→ The price of the S&P-500 increased by almost 6%
→ The price of gold increased by almost 7%
→ The price of bitcoin increased by almost 14%
→ The price of Ethereum increased by almost 12%
For a long time, cryptocurrencies were the leaders of the spring market, but in May, the NASDAQ-100 made a sharp leap upwards, thanks to the soaring of the NVDA share price and the hype around artificial intelligence (AI).
What will happen in summer?
According to Citigroup analysts, there is a risk that the rally in US technology stocks will end as investors want to take profits.
Perhaps the hype around AI will decrease, as its widespread adoption should take time. Barclays analysts note that past game-changing technologies took several decades to show up at the level of the entire economy. Take electricity, automobiles, and refrigeration, for example – US labor productivity skyrocketed in the 1950s, 3-4 decades after these technologies were introduced.
However, the NASDAQ-100 chart looks bullish. The price has broken (1) up the median line of the ascending channel (shown in blue) and, from the point of view of the technical analysis of the NASDAQ 100, it is now worth focusing on a possible test of this breakdown. If it happens with a strong rebound, it will be a sign of a strong market. If the test happens and no strong bullish patterns follow, it will be a bearish threat to the NASDAQ 100 price.
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NAS 5/31Today Bias was bearish after tapping into the areas noted in last idea.
Started the day marking 00:00 overall open and noticed price slowly began to drop and this time I waited for 7:30 and then created a sell opportunity with a FVG and big displacement. However we still had equities to open and I entered when 9:30 opened ant tapped the gap and marked another zone I felt could tap for a liquidity grab above the daily open. tapped in and entered again.
after that set SL to previous high and TP to EQ lows at 14288 and over all target at 14257 next SSL.
taking partials as it was going down.
Target reached
NAS ShortLast week we had a very strong sell off and then a strong bullish Friday to finish off the week .
looking over my notes I saw that on the weekly we were headed to a FVG gap above and equal highs to target, once it tapped those two I noticed a sell opportunity at market this morning. I saw a false down move to the down side around 8:30 am and I got caught in that though I held my position with my stop above the holding daily high of the day.
soon after I noticed at 9:30 equities open it created a liquidity grab possibly a "POWER OF THREE" meaning that there 1. accumulation 2. manipulation 3. displacement
which falls with the 2022 model strategy I'm following. it comeback to like I said previously to grab liquidity or stop out early sellers and continue in the water direction of the day. the target was a the nearest previous SSL and final target was SSL noted around 14331.5.
will eye market tomorrow and see if it presents a set up have a great night !
Lazyluchi Trades Nasdaq100 EP 20it's been a while guys. btw, happy new weekend (which is already over). monday's a public holiday though, so maybe not entirely over. i made a video explaining why i've been mia and also explaining what my views on nasdaq100 would be for this week. let me know what you think of my re-branded strategy (nothing much changed though) and also your thoughts on the lady nasdaq100. i still see more buys before the big sell but hey, who knows, she can do the total opposite. so wait for that sign first. you know what to do, like, share, comment, tell your mama, your neighbor, do whatever you want but don't forget to watch the whole clip.
NASDAQ-100 AND SP-500 NAVIGATING FRAGILE MARKETS- T-bills to be issued by the end of Q3 drain liquidity and have an impact similar to a 25 basis point increase in benchmark rates.
- Further market extension is challenging due to possible overtightening.
- Unemployment data is a significant turning point.
- Unsatisfactory market breadth.
- Significant divergence between Nasdaq and Treasury 2-year.
Hello everyone,
Today I present a couple of ideas regarding the fragility of the Nasdaq 100 and the consequences for the S&P 500.
Firstly, I want to remind you that once the US debt agreement is reached, approximately 1 trillion dollars' worth of short-term Treasury bills (T-bills) will enter the market by the end of Q3, resulting in an inevitable liquidity drain from the stock market. According to industry reports, this issuance of government bonds may act as an additional 25 basis point increase in Fed rates. Furthermore, following the bank failures in recent months, we can expect further deterioration in the credit market, also comparable to a 25 basis point increase in Fed rates.
This leads us to a potential overtightening by the Fed due to the indirect rate increase described above. It will, therefore, be challenging for the markets to grow solidly due to the likely resulting economic contraction. Additionally, recent reports indicate that inflation is decreasing less than expected, and further rate increases by the Fed may be necessary, as dictated by their econometric models.
The unemployment data for this week will be crucial. If it indicates a potential rise in unemployment, we may see a pause in rate hikes, thus mitigating the possibility of a sustained market collapse in the short term. Otherwise, further credit tightening will be necessary, which will have a negative impact on the markets. If another Fed rate hike materializes, we could witness the liquidation of long positions built over time based on optimism about potential rate cuts at the end of the year. Without a year-end rate cut, the possibility of a credit squeeze continuing into 2024 arises, which would be detrimental to heavily indebted companies that will have to consider refinancing ongoing operations at much higher than expected rates. This will have a negative impact on future corporate profits.
We now observe the deterioration in the breadth of the index, displaying a negative divergence with three descending peaks. For the tech rally to continue, we will need further advances in AI-related stocks, the last line of defense before a correction (in the chart, market breadth is indicated in gray, calculated as the percentage of stocks above their 200-period moving average).
Finally, I would like to mention the significant divergence between the 2-year Treasury and the Nasdaq-100 since the beginning of May (in the chart, the 2-year Treasury is represented in cyan, with the axis inverted). I believe that this divergence will be corrected, but since a reduction in 2-year Treasury yields is unlikely, the possibility of a correction in the index remains.
Nice trading,
Cheers
Nasdaq -> Massively Bullish RallyHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that nas100 is actually approaching a quite obvious previous weekly structure area which is now acting as resistance at the $15.000 level.
You can also see that over the past couple of weeks, nas100 had a massively bullish rally and we are now a little bit overextended towards the upside, so I am now just waiting for a deeper push into the zone and then I do expect a short term rejection towards the downside.
On the daily timeframe you can also see that we are just rallying towards the upside without any correction, so I am now just waiting for some bearish rejection before I then do expect a short term drop also on the daily timeframe.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset: