Nasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed DecisionNasdaq 100 Index Plummets After Fed Decision
On 17th December, analysing the Nasdaq 100 chart (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen), we:
→ Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024;
→ Noted that the price was near the upper boundary of the channel, while the RSI indicator had entered the overbought zone;
→ Suggested that bulls might face difficulties in pushing the price to a new all-time high.
Yesterday, the Fed cut the interest rate by 0.25%. Although it was anticipated, the market reaction was sharply negative. The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) dropped by approximately 4%.
The steep market reaction was driven by Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments during the press conference, where he stated that the FOMC plans to cut rates only twice in 2025, contrary to market expectations of four cuts.
Technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that:
→ The price remains in the upper half of the channel, supported by the 21,230 level, which previously acted as resistance (as indicated by arrows).
→ We can assume that the area around the median of the blue channel (marked by orange lines) could act as a barrier to further downward momentum, as medians often serve as equilibrium zones where supply and demand balance out.
What’s next? According to analysts at Zacks, record highs for the tech stock index may not be a topic of discussion in the near future.
There is a possibility that a local descending channel could form, potentially driving the price into the lower half of the broader upward channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq100
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/18/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/17/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Nasdaq 100 Reaches Record HighNasdaq 100 Reaches Record High
On 29th October, analysing the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, we:
→ Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024.
→ Noted that the price was in a consolidation phase (indicated by narrowing purple lines) at the channel's median, suggesting a potential balance of supply and demand forces.
→ Warned that earnings season could trigger a volatility spike.
→ Suggested that the price was likely heading toward a new all-time high.
Since then:
→ Amid company earnings reports, we observed a volatility spike in November, which was further amplified by the release of US presidential election results.
→ The index achieved a new all-time high.
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that the index surpassed the $22,000 level for the first time yesterday. This was supported by positive trader sentiment ahead of tomorrow's Fed interest rate decision. According to Forex Factory, the rate will be cut by another 25 basis points (returning to the February 2023 level).
Meanwhile, the technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) reveals that:
→ The price has approached the upper boundary of the upward channel, which could serve as strong resistance.
→ Since early December, the index has risen by approximately 5.5%, and the RSI indicator has entered the overbought zone for the first time since July.
Under such conditions, bulls may struggle to continue the upward momentum, as more investors might look to lock in profits ahead of the holiday season. Additionally, the market's reaction to tomorrow's Fed interest rate release at 21:00 GMT+2 may play a key role.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Nasdaq 100: Sustained Uptrend with Strong Momentum SignalsChart Analysis: The Nasdaq 100 has maintained a steady uptrend after rebounding from its August low, respecting a rising trendline (black) and staying above key moving averages. Here's a breakdown of the key observations:
1️⃣ Trendline Support:
The price has respected the ascending black trendline, acting as dynamic support during pullbacks. This showcases strong bullish commitment.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Projection:
The price is approaching the 161.8% Fibonacci extension (around 22,694), a potential area for traders to watch closely for reaction. Extensions like this often serve as resistance in trending markets.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
The 50-day SMA (blue) remains upward sloping, while the 200-day SMA (red) confirms a long-term bullish structure.
Price action staying well above these averages signals continued strength.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Nearing 70, indicating strong momentum, though traders may watch for overbought signals.
MACD: Bullish crossover continues, with rising histogram bars suggesting increasing buying pressure.
What to Watch:
Whether the price can sustain momentum towards the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level (~22,694).
A healthy pullback towards the trendline or the 50-day SMA could offer clues for continuation patterns.
Momentum indicators may warrant attention for short-term overbought conditions.
The Nasdaq 100 remains firmly in an uptrend with bulls firmly in control. A break and hold above the Fibonacci extension would signal potential for further gains. Keep an eye on volume and momentum as price nears key levels.
-MW
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Monday 16 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively
Trading in GMT time zone
Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you!
Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST)
Economic news - None, FOMC this Wednesday
News - None
Directional bias - BUY, Nasdaq is bullish overall so want to trade with the trend - "The trend is your friend".
Morning analysis:
M TF - Very Bullish, large green candle in formation
W TF - Very Bullish, large green candle in formation
D TF - Friday's candle closed in a rough doji candle formation which could signal that bulls are running out of steam to push price higher. But the candle did close green higher than the previous D highest candle close. So bulls did manage to break the resistance of the previous Day's highest close. I took this to be a bullish signal.
4H TF - Price gapped up as extended hours started trading today. Bulls pushed upwards and when I opened my charts there were a few red candles on the 1H TF.
1H TF - Noted a temporary downtrend line formed (marked in turquoise).
Noted 2 x interest areas / areas of confluence (marked in green highlight):
1. Top green area = 1H + D + 4H fib levels + Day pivot point. This represents time frame confluence and a great area of reversal.
2. Bottom green area = 4h EMA (at some point this morning, it has now moved due to passage of time) + 4H + D 0.618 fib level.
4H fib drawn from swing low at A. to swing high at B.
1H fib drawn from swing low at C to swing high at D.
As the day progressed:
Price started reacting to the top highlighted green area, until a DB formed on the 15min TF, signalling that price was ready to move up.
Entered in the green candle close at the hand icon, which represents a nice momentum candle + breaking the temporary downtrend line.
Confirmations:
1. Market pattern - DB on the 15min TF = reversal pattern in the direction I want
2. S&R - DB formed above the pivot point + 1H EMA providing dynamic support
3. Trend - Temporary downtrend line broken and trade is in the overall direction of the market
4. Fib - Price reacting to 1H + 4H + D fib levels representing strong TF confluence
5. Candlesticks - DB neckline broken with a strong momentum candle on the 15min TF
Mental SL placed at half the height of the 15min DB (marked with the think pink line).
Price moved up nicely and I took partial profits at the top hand icon at 1'725 pips, which represented the TP1 of the 4H / D fib extension (as shown).
Holding the rest until candles give the indication to close eg. DT forming on the 15min TF, with neckline broken down.
Easy peasy day at my trading desk - wish every day was this easy! :)
Hope you had a good day!
Abbreviations:
TF = timeframe
TP = take profit
1H = 1 hour
4H = 4 hour
D = day
W = week
M = month
S&R = support & resistance
H&S = head & shoulders
EMA = exponential moving average
SL = stop loss
Intraday Levels for Nasdaq 100 Futures - 12/16/2024This analysis focuses on the Nasdaq 100 Futures, aiming to identify potential support and resistance levels where the price could experience intraday bounces or trend reversals, as well as zones where the price might potentially break higher or move lower.
Considerations
The range used in this analysis serves only as a reference for broader-level insights.
For intraday operations, it is advisable to utilize a lower timeframe to refine entry and exit points more accurately.
To confirm the validity of these levels, it is essential to evaluate real-time conditions as the price approaches these zones. Factors such as pressure, trading volume, and Order Flow will play a critical role in determining whether these supports hold or are likely to be broken.
Weekly Forex Forecast: Buy The S&P & NASDAQ. Wait On The DOW!This forecast is for the week of DEC 16 - 20th.
The SP500 & NAS100 are bullish and buys are the order for the week. The DOW Jones is weeker, sliding down as the USD climbs. Be careful here, as the DOW tends to travel it's own path at times.
FOMC is Wednesday. Stay vigilant and disciplined this week!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
US100 | 30M | SCALPING TIME Hi guys, I made CAPITALCOM:US100 analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
SELL US100 21,726.5 - 21,730.1
🟢TP1: 21,700,9
🟢TP2: 21,670,1
🟢TP3: 21,600,1
🔴SL: 21,831,8
Stay with love guys.
GBPUSD CORRECTIONWe mis thought this one, it slipped to the lower KL but still going up ;
it might take a little longer, we can expect the objective by Monday and not tomorrow ;
be careful if it breaks this Lower KL, it s over and going down, there's no going back.
Sorry for this little error, we'll try to avoid it next time.
CHFJPY ON THE MOVECHF/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum, supported by a breakout above a key resistance level, with robust bullish candles and minimal upper wicks indicating sustained buying pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a prior low triggered sell stops, followed by a swift recovery that suggests accumulation by buyers. The pair is trading above a rising intraday trendline, confirming it as dynamic support, and above the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. Bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD highlight strengthening momentum, while increasing volume on upward moves compared to lighter pullbacks signals strong buyer dominance and the potential for further gains.
+ testing all KL, be advised
USDCHF BULLISHUSD/CHF is showing bearish momentum, driven by a rejection at a key resistance level, with strong bearish candles and extended wicks signaling dominant selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the subsequent sharp reversal suggests sellers are taking control. The pair has broken below an intraday ascending trendline, confirming it as resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD indicate weakening bullish momentum. Trading below the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross forming, reinforces the bearish bias. Additionally, increased volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements highlights strong selling interest, supporting the potential for continued downside movement.
+ testing all KL, be careful
GBPJPY BEARISHGBP/JPY is displaying bullish momentum, driven by a breakout above a key resistance level, with strong bullish candles and minimal wicks signaling sustained buying pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a prior low triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp rebound that indicates buyer accumulation. The pair is respecting an ascending trendline, confirming it as dynamic support, and trading above both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a golden cross further reinforcing the uptrend. Bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD highlight recovering momentum, while increasing volume during upward moves compared to lighter pullbacks suggests strong buyer dominance and the potential for further gains.
+ this can go two ways : reaching the first KL or the second one just under, globally the movement will be the same
USDJPY BREAKING KEY LEVELS TOMORROWUSD/JPY is exhibiting bearish momentum after a rejection at a key resistance level, with multiple upper wicks indicating strong selling pressure. Earlier in the session, a liquidity grab above a prior high triggered buy stops, but the sharp reversal suggests sellers used this opportunity to enter short positions. The pair has broken below an intraday trendline, confirming it as new resistance upon retest, while bearish divergences on the RSI and MACD signal weakening bullish momentum. Additionally, the price is trading below both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, with a death cross reinforcing the bearish trend. Increasing volume on downward moves compared to lighter retracements further supports the likelihood of continued downside pressure.
+ if not today, Monday is the day the lower KL breaks
GBPUSD GOING TO THE SKYGBP/USD is showing bullish momentum, supported by a decisive breakout above a key resistance level, accompanied by strong bullish candles and increased volume, signaling robust buying interest. Earlier in the session, a liquidity sweep below a major support level likely triggered sell stops, followed by a sharp reversal, indicating accumulation by smart money. The pair has also respected a rising intraday trendline, bouncing off it and reinforcing the upward trajectory. Technical indicators, such as bullish divergences on the RSI and MACD, further confirm weakening bearish momentum and potential for continuation higher. Additionally, the 50- and 200-period moving averages on lower timeframes are sloping upward, with a golden cross reinforcing the bullish outlook. This setup, combined with low-volume pullbacks, suggests a strong environment for further intraday gains.
+ was going down in response to the previous liquidity levels, is now answering this by reaching the higher K levels