NETFLIX: First warning of the END of the retracement!
On January 22, Netflix presented results that widely beat market estimates:
--> Sales 10,247 million dollars (+16% YoY) vs. 10,106 million dollars estimated by the consensus and 10,128 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EBIT 2,243 million dollars (+52%) vs. 2,200 million dollars consensus and 2,190 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> BNA 1,869 million dollars (+99%) vs. 1,830 million dollars consensus and 1,847 million dollars estimated by the company.
--> EPS 4.27 dollars (+102%) vs. 4.18 dollars consensus and 4.23 dollars estimated by the company.
New subscriptions reach +18.9M, +44% YoY, vs. +9.2M expected. As anticipated by the Company, this is the last quarter in which it will publish this data. Total subscriptions exceed 301M (+15.9% YoY).
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The share price reached its historical maximum on February 18th at 1,064 and has not stopped falling since then, due to the fact that the Nasdaq index began a correction caused mainly by the volatility generated by trade tariffs.
--> What is the technical situation?
The technical aspect is CLEARLY BULLISH and any setback in the price will be a good opportunity to enter the stock.
It has reached a 50% Fibonacci retracement (945), an area that it has respected, and that therefore, can be taken as the LOWER to start a NEW BULLISH IMPULSE.
--> What risks does it have?
Trump's TARIFFS, since they can cause falls in the NASDAQ INDEX that drag down the entire market. But the Nasdaq index is in a VERY PROBABLE LOWER area, so the ENTIRE market could rise strongly in the next few days.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 992
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the maximum area (1,061) (+7%)
--> Stop Loss at 940 (-5%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-5%) (coinciding with the 940 of position 1).
--> We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (1,061).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Nasdaq100
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower as market volatility increased due to tariff concerns. Although the index dropped below the 240-day moving average, it formed a lower wick, indicating an attempt to establish a short-term bottom. On continuous futures, the 240-day MA is slightly below 20,000, meaning that the 20,100–20,000 zone is a key support area where a technical rebound is likely following the recent sharp decline. If the market falls into this zone, it could present a swing buying opportunity. Since the daily MACD and signal line are dropping steeply, a sideways consolidation period may be necessary to reduce their angle and separation before further directional movement.
Given that the Nasdaq rebounded strongly after forming a lower wick yesterday, a pullback in pre-market trading could provide a buy-the-dip opportunity. Additionally, potential bullish catalysts include today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data and Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll report.
On the 240-minute chart, the index is forming a bullish divergence and attempting a golden cross, reinforcing the buy-the-dip strategy at current levels. Therefore, chasing shorts is not advisable, as the Nasdaq has entered a more attractive buying zone. A range-trading approach remains effective, with a preference for buying near support.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, finding support near previous demand zones. Despite the continued downtrend, the $66–67 range remains a strong support area, making it a potential rebound zone for technical buyers. However, on the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are sloping downward sharply, meaning that selling pressure could intensify further. Long positions should be initiated as close to the lower support zone as possible.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, confirming strong selling momentum. However, when compared to the previous MACD level near $68.50, price has declined further, but the MACD has not dropped as low, suggesting a potential bullish divergence. Since this zone has historically acted as strong support, a buy-the-dip strategy remains preferable, but traders should remain cautious of today’s Crude Oil Inventory report, which could lead to increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed higher, successfully rebounding from support. Yesterday, gold reached the previously projected target of 2,925, aligning with the 240-day moving average characteristics.
If gold continues higher, the 2,940 level will act as resistance, as this is a previous supply zone on the daily chart. Therefore, further upside should be monitored carefully before making new decisions. Since the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated, this is not an ideal condition for chasing long positions. Even if gold extends its rally, a pullback is likely, making buying dips a safer approach.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD formed a golden cross, leading to a sharp rally. As expected, price reached the 60-day MA following the 240-day MA bounce. However, while the MACD has moved above zero, the signal line is still below zero, meaning that another corrective phase could occur before further upside. Additionally, there is a possibility that gold could revisit the 2,850 support zone to form a double-bottom structure, making buying dips a better strategy than chasing breakouts. Overall, a range-trading strategy—buying low and selling high—remains effective, and today’s ADP Non-Farm Employment data could introduce market volatility.
As market conditions shift, risk management remains crucial. Stay disciplined, adapt to volatility, and trade with confidence. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed sharply lower, rejecting resistance at the lower boundary of its previous range and dropping to the 240-day moving average. Testing the 240-day MA was an expected technical move, and after facing resistance at the 120-day MA, the index retested the 20,300–20,500 zone. This price action has formed the head of a head-and-shoulders pattern, making it crucial to watch for potential rebound attempts. However, since both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, the market remains in a confirmed downtrend, making selling into rallies the preferred strategy.
As mentioned previously, if the Nasdaq finds support near the 240-day MA, a technical rebound toward the 60-day MA remains possible, as per moving average behavior. On the 240-minute chart, the index is holding support between 20,300–20,500 and still maintaining a golden cross. If the MACD avoids a bearish crossover with the signal line, the likelihood of a rebound increases, making buying near support a reasonable approach. However, the previous range low near 21,000–21,100 will likely act as strong resistance, making selling into rallies favorable. While no major economic reports are scheduled today, market volatility could increase due to comments from President Trump, so traders should maintain strict risk management.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower following news that OPEC+ plans to increase production. On the daily chart, both the MACD and signal line are sloping downward, confirming a gradual downtrend. However, the $66–67 zone remains a strong support level, while the $70.50 level is the key resistance to watch. For now, trading within the range is the most effective strategy. If oil fails to stage a recovery this week, the weekly chart could confirm a sell signal, reinforcing further downside risk.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed another bearish crossover, suggesting that selling pressure is continuing. Instead of chasing shorts, traders should wait for a pullback to support near $66–67 and consider buying on dips. Given that market flows remain mixed, oil is likely to trade sideways, making range-bound trading the most effective approach for now.
Gold
Gold closed higher, finding support near previous highs. On the daily chart, the index rebounded to the 5-day moving average, and since both the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buying pressure remains intact. However, given the wide gap between the MACD and the signal line, even if gold continues higher, it may face another pullback, making chasing long positions risky. On the weekly chart, the bullish trend remains intact, but since gold is now approaching the 5-week moving average, breaking above resistance may take time.
On the 240-minute chart, a strong rebound emerged from the previous resistance zone, which aligns with the 240-day MA. The MACD has also formed a golden cross, meaning that if the uptrend continues, price targets could extend toward the 60-period MA on the 240-minute chart, potentially reaching the 2,925 area. However, since this initial move is a single-bottom formation, the market could attempt to form a double-bottom before continuing higher, making buying at lower levels more favorable. Gold could also enter a consolidation phase ahead of Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, so traders should anticipate range-bound price action.
Risk management remains key, and I sincerely hope that March brings strong trading opportunities for all of you. Wishing you a successful trading day!
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Nasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s OpenNasdaq 100 Analysis: February Pushes Index Below January’s Opening Price
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows:
→ January’s opening price was around 21,085.
→ February’s closing price was around 20,867.
This marks a 1% decline since the start of the year.
A report from Goldman Sachs, published on Friday, reinforces bearish sentiment, stating that global hedge funds sold more stocks than they bought at the end of February—the largest net selling in a year, according to Reuters.
Possible reasons for market pessimism:
→ AI-related stocks may be highly overbought. For instance, the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks have underperformed the broader market in 2025.
→ Trump’s tariff policies on global trade could have negative economic consequences.
Technical Analysis of Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
Bullish perspective: Breaking January’s low did not trigger a strong downward trend.
Bearish perspective: The price has fallen below the support line (lower blue line), which had held since autumn last year.
The market’s next move could depend on how Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) behaves around the 21,030 level. Previous rebounds from this support line were weak, and bears managed to break through with effort. This suggests they may still control this zone.
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Monthly, Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed higher, finding support at the lower Bollinger Band on the weekly chart. Due to the sharp decline last week, the 20,500 to 20,300 range was a technical rebound zone.
On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, bringing the index below the 5-day moving average and forming a range with the 10-day MA. For March, the 3-day and 5-day moving averages will act as resistance, while the 10-day MA serves as support. Since the monthly MACD is still above the signal line, even if corrections occur this month, rebound potential remains, meaning traders should be cautious about chasing shorts aggressively.
On the weekly chart, the Nasdaq fell below the 20-week MA, accelerating the sell-off. The MACD continues to slope downward, keeping further downside potential open, but since the signal line is still above zero, the index may consolidate between the 3-week and 5-week moving averages, making a range-bound strategy effective this week.
On the daily chart, both MACD and the signal line have dropped below zero, confirming a bearish market structure. The 21,000 level was broken decisively with a large bearish candle, meaning that if price struggles to reclaim this level, further downside toward the 240-day moving average is possible. If the Nasdaq falls to the 240-day MA, traders should prepare for a potential technical bounce, as historically, this level has provided support. Reviewing moving average dynamics could be helpful for understanding this scenario.
On the 240-minute chart, Friday’s low produced a strong rebound, making the MACD's potential golden cross a key signal to watch. As long as the recent lows hold, buying opportunities may exist, but since the signal line remains far above zero, selling pressure may persist on any rallies. Traders should avoid chasing long positions and focus on range trading. This week, traders should keep an eye on China’s National People's Congress (NPC) on Tuesday and the U.S. Employment Report on Friday, as both events could increase market volatility later in the week.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower within a narrow range, continuing its sideways movement. On the monthly chart, February closed with a bearish candle, causing the MACD to turn downward while still maintaining a range-bound structure. Although the MACD and signal line remain above zero, buyers are still attempting to hold support within this range. For now, oil should be traded as a large range-bound market.
On the weekly chart, last week’s doji candle suggests indecision, and this week, the MACD has crossed below the signal line, triggering a sell signal. However, since a weekly close is needed to confirm this, the possibility of a trend reversal remains open. If oil continues lower this week, the sell signal will be fully confirmed, but if price rebounds, last week’s doji candle could mark a reversal point. Key bullish catalysts include Trump’s potential tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as the possibility of stricter oil sanctions on Venezuela. Meanwhile, bearish factors include economic slowdown fears reducing oil demand.
On the daily chart, breaking above $70 remains the key bullish trigger, but since the MACD has yet to form a golden cross, confirming an end to the downtrend is premature. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has formed a golden cross, indicating a potential recovery after a pullback. For now, traders should buy dips cautiously, but breaking above $70 remains the key factor for further upside confirmation.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle. On the daily chart, gold has fallen from previous highs to the lower Bollinger Band, meaning that additional downside (overshooting below support) remains possible.
On the monthly chart, gold formed a doji candle, indicating uncertainty. If gold found support at the 3-day MA last month, this month, traders should watch for support at the 5-day MA, as it could provide a buying opportunity on pullbacks.
On the weekly chart, gold has fallen to the 5-week MA, meaning that it has entered a range-bound structure. Since the lower support levels are still open, traders should avoid chasing long positions at highs and focus on buying lower. The U.S. Employment Report is due on Friday, which could increase volatility for gold.
On the daily chart, while the MACD is declining, the signal line remains well above zero, meaning that even if prices fall, rebound attempts are likely. On the 240-minute chart, further downside toward the 240-day moving average remains possible, but traders should watch for bottoming signals and potential support. If the MACD forms a golden cross, a strong rebound could follow, so monitoring short-term momentum shifts will be key.
February marked a transition to a range-bound market after an extended uptrend, suggesting that March could be a period of consolidation or further downside extension. Geopolitical risks have increased since Trump took office, and market volatility is rising due to key global events. Traders should focus on risk management and avoid overexposure. Wishing you a successful start to March! 🚀
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$NAS100 approaching correction territoryWe are again back from a short winter flu. I think the index NASDAQ100 is also coughing showing signs of a flu. Pun indented. The tech heavy NASADQ100 does not look particularly healthy on a daily and weekly basis. In this weekly chart we can see that even if we find ourselves in the structural bull market the index has lost more than 5% from its peak. The internally also do not look good with MIL:MAG7 also bleeding and off their peaks. The PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 is almost approaching its 200-Day SMA. If the index loses another 3 % then it will land @ the 200 Day SMA which it @ 20200. In the upcoming weeks there are multiple events which might put pressure on the indexes. We have tariffs upcoming on Tuesday and we must watch out for the inflation and unemployment numbers.
But we must also look at the other side of the coin. A 10% pull back is normal in a secular bull market. In all the bull markets this kind of skittishness is normal. In my assessment PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 will be a good buy @ 200 Day SMA. My lowest level in this small correction phase is 19000 which is 0.618 Fib Retracement level on the upward sloping Fib channel I have plotted and an indicative of a secular bull market. I will keep visiting this chart in the future.
Accumulate PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 between 20200 and 19000.
Nasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA DeclineNasdaq 100 Hits Yearly Low, Led by NVDA Decline
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has fallen below 20,500 for the first time since November 2024.
Bearish sentiment driven by:
→ The latest US jobless claims report, which showed the highest figures of 2025.
→ Concerns over the destabilising and economically damaging potential of Donald Trump’s trade policies.
Nvidia (NVDA) Among the Biggest Losers
While the Nasdaq 100 lost over 2.5% in yesterday’s session, Nvidia (NVDA) shares plunged nearly 8% despite a stronger-than-expected quarterly report, as we noted yesterday.
Technical Analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen)
The ongoing decline has resulted in a bearish breakout of the trendline (marked in blue) that originated in 2024. Based on key reversals (highlighted with red circles), the chart now outlines a descending channel. An attempted breakout (indicated by an arrow) failed, forming a bearish Rounding Top pattern.
If bearish sentiment prevails—especially with focus on inflation data, as the Core PCE Price Index is set to be released today at 16:30 GMT+3—Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) may drop further towards the lower boundary of the descending channel.
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"NASDAQ 100 (US 100) Bearish Outlook: Will Supply Zones Hold?"🔹Technical Analysis: US 100 Index (15-Minute Chart)
▪️Key Observations:
1. Downtrend Continuation:
- The US 100 Index is currently in a bearish trend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
- The price is trading below key resistance zones, indicating further downside potential.
2.Supply Zones Identified:
- Two significant supply zones are marked on the chart where selling pressure is expected.
- The first supply zone is around 21,450 – 21,520.
- The second, stronger supply zone is near 21,600 – 21,700, where a previous sell-off occurred.
3. Bearish Rejection Expected:
- The price is likely to retest the lower supply zone before continuing downward.
- A rejection from this zone could lead to further declines.
4. Target Area:
- The projected target area is marked around 20,914, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend.
- If the price breaks below this level, further downside momentum could follow.
▪️Conclusion:
- The market structure remains bearish, and traders should watch for a potential rejection at the supply zone.
- A confirmation of resistance could provide shorting opportunities toward the 20,914 target area.
- However, a breakout above the supply zone could invalidate the bearish outlook.
▪️Trade Idea:
Bearish Bias – Wait for confirmation at the supply zone before considering short positions.
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Nas100 Correction: Why a Drop Below 20K is LikelySince reaching its recent all-time high of 22,232, the PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has dropped 1,000 points. While this might seem like a significant decline, it actually represents less than a 5% correction—hardly a major pullback.
This drop has brought the index into a key confluence support zone, raising the common question: Is the correction over?
In my opinion, it’s not. For a healthy correction, a dip below 20,000 is necessary.
Technical Perspective
🔹 Since the "bullish" event marked by Trump’s election, the index hasn’t made substantial progress. While it has technically risen, the gains have been marginal, suggesting more distribution than true bullish strength.
🔹 The index remains confined within a large rising wedge, as seen on the chart. This type of structure often signals topping and potential reversal rather than sustainable upside momentum.
What’s Next?
In the medium term, I expect a drop below 20,000. For traders looking to speculatively trade the Nas100, potential sell zones would be around 22,000 and 23,000— in the event of a new all-time high.
TESLA: Tesla sales fall by 50% in Europe! Fear ??
Tesla vehicle sales in the European Union fell by 50.3% in January 2025, compared to the same month last year, according to figures published on Tuesday by the European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA). Specifically, the company sold 7,517 units in the first month of this year, compared to 15,130 vehicles in January 2024, according to EFE.
This drop contrasts, however, with a 34% increase in the purchase of electric vehicles in the EU, up to 124,341 units, so that this type of vehicle represented 15% of the automobile market.
In global terms, new vehicle registrations fell by an average of 2.6% in the community market, with the largest declines recorded in France (-6.2%), Italy (-5.8%) and Germany (-2.8%). Spain, however, was the only one of the four major EU economies in which new vehicle registrations increased, specifically by 5.3%.
--> What is the company's technical aspect?
If we look at the daily graph, the medium-long term trend is still bullish (Bull), but it is in a phase of decline that began on December 17 when it reached highs in the 488 area.
Yesterday, the shares plummeted by -8% due to the news of vehicle sales in Europe, reaching the KEY ZONE of 299 (61.8% Fibonacci + most important dynamic support). From this area, it is MOST LIKELY that there will be an upward rebound, but until this rebound is consolidated and the STRENGTH AND MOMENTUM turn bullish (Bull), the retracement phase will remain active.
--> Which area could be good for entering long positions?
If the price exceeds 383 with the H4 close, we could confirm the end of the retracement and the beginning of a new bullish impulse on the way to highs.
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Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 383
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 429 area (+12%)
--> Stop Loss at 349 (-9%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-9%) (coinciding with the 899 of position 1).
--> We change the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 ( 429 ).
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SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: IF the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% on increases, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower, continuing its selling pressure. The index quickly dropped to the lower boundary of a large range, touching the 120-day moving average. The daily MACD has formed a bearish crossover with the signal line, confirming the downtrend, and the index has now reached a potential support zone near previous lows. Yesterday provided a short opportunity at the 5-day moving average, and since there was no meaningful rebound, the gap between price and the 5-day MA has widened significantly. This suggests that a short-term technical bounce could occur based on intraday movements.
However, given the strong selling momentum on the daily chart, even if the market consolidates for a few days, further downside remains likely. If considering long positions, strict stop-loss management is essential. On the 240-minute chart, selling pressure continues to dominate, with both the MACD and signal line dropping sharply below the zero line. Comparing this to past price action near 20,763, the current MACD decline is even steeper, meaning that even if a short-term bounce occurs, the MACD is unlikely to recover back above zero easily. Overall, selling into rallies remains the preferred strategy, but traders should watch for intraday bottoming signals, as a bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible.
Crude Oil
Crude oil closed lower, weighed down by concerns over slowing consumer demand. On the daily chart, the sell signal remained intact, and the break below $70 has now confirmed a potential breakdown. Since $70 had been a key support/resistance level, the break below it suggests further downside risk. Today, a shorting opportunity may arise at the 3-day moving average, in line with technical retracement principles. However, the $66–67 range remains a strong support zone, so traders should monitor whether selling pressure is strong enough to push prices below this area. Since the MACD is turning sharply downward, and price action is forming a large bearish candle, the best strategy remains shorting into rallies near the 3-day MA.
On the 240-minute chart, a third bearish wave has developed, leading to an accelerated decline. Aside from potential buying at key support levels on the daily chart, selling into rallies remains the most favorable approach. Given that inventory data will be released today, traders should be cautious of increased volatility.
Gold
Gold closed sharply lower, forming a large bearish candle as the Consumer Confidence Index fell. Yesterday, gold was at a crossroads between a buy and sell signal, and with this bearish breakout, the sell signal is now confirmed. For now, gold is likely to trade within a broad range, as the daily MACD and signal line remain widely separated from the zero line. This suggests that while further downside is possible, periodic rebounds should also be expected.
Since gold has now fallen below the 10-day moving average and reached the 20-day MA, traders should treat the 3-day, 5-day, and 10-day MAs as key resistance levels, while the 20-day, 30-day, and 60-day MAs serve as support levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD has dropped below zero, with the signal line following downward. This reinforces a range-bound trading strategy, focusing on buying at major support levels while keeping in mind potential rebounds.
By analyzing the daily candles, traders can identify potential future scenarios for Nasdaq, oil, and gold. This is why daily and intraday technical analysis is essential. Additionally, NVIDIA’s earnings report will be released tonight, which could introduce further market volatility. Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and have a successful trading day!
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Tesla Stock Goes 'Interesting', Ahead of Earnings CallTesla is preparing to release its fourth-quarter earnings report on January 29, 2025, and analysts are closely watching the stock as it approaches this key event.
Here are some important points regarding Tesla's current stock situation and what to expect:
Current Stock Performance
Tesla shares have seen a 10% increase in 2025, but recently experienced a more than 5% decline, trading at Monday's pre-marker below $400, approximately $395.
The stock's valuation is considered high, with some analysts stating it is "priced for perfection," indicating that any earnings miss could lead to a significant pullback.
Earnings Expectations
Analysts forecast earnings per share (EPS) of 72 cents and revenue of $27.23 billion for the fourth quarter.
Gross profit margins are expected to widen slightly to 18.85%.
Key Factors Influencing Stock Valuation
👉 Delivery Performance. Tesla's deliveries were slightly below expectations in 2024, with 1.79 million units delivered, compared to 1.81 million in 20231. Investors will be keenly interested in guidance for 2025, especially with increasing competition from Chinese manufacturers like BYD and NIO.
👉 New Vehicle Launches/ The anticipated launch of the smaller SUV, referred to as the Model Q, is expected later this year, which could impact Tesla's growth trajectory.
👉 Technological Developments. Progress in autonomous driving software and energy generation will also be focal points during the earnings call.
👉 The company aims to launch its Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in specific U.S. states and expand its energy storage business.
Analyst Sentiment
There is a mix of opinions among analysts; while some maintain a cautious stance due to potential delivery shortfalls and market competition, others see Tesla as a strong buy-and-hold investment for the long term.
The average price target among analysts is around $345.11, suggesting a potential downside from current levels.
Technical Sentiment
Technical graph indicates on epic upside channel breakthrough, as a result of China DeepSeek AI model influence.
Ahead of Tesla Earnings Call our "super-duper" Team is Bearishly calling to $300 per Tesla share, that is correspond to major current support of 125-day SMA.
Conclusion
As Tesla approaches its earnings report, investors should remain vigilant about delivery numbers and guidance for the upcoming year. The stock's high valuation combined with competitive pressures makes it susceptible to volatility based on the forthcoming financial results.