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Nasdaq100

Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed higher despite Trump’s tariff announcement. On the daily chart, the MACD buy signal remains intact, and the index posted a strong bullish candlestick, confirming an upward bias. However, given the lack of volume behind the move, the market remains within a range-bound structure rather than signaling a clear breakout. For meaningful upside continuation, a decisive breakout above 22,000 is required. Until then, the market is likely to remain in a 21,000–22,000 range, as failure to break either side would prevent the MACD from creating a strong divergence from the signal line, leading to further sideways consolidation. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is attempting a bullish crossover, but the price is struggling to hold its gains. If the MACD fails to cross above the signal line and instead turns lower, a failed breakout scenario could trigger a sharp decline. Given the low-volume rally from yesterday, chasing longs at current levels is not ideal. Instead, it is safer to maintain a range-trading strategy, with buying near the lower bound and selling near the upper bound. Additionally, if the index fails to break above the range high, a bearish MACD divergence could develop, increasing the risk of a downside move. Traders should avoid aggressive breakout buying and instead focus on disciplined range-bound positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, reaching the 10-day moving average, as MACD attempted to reconnect with the signal line. The $70–71 support zone remains a strong demand area, making dip-buying strategies favorable. As mentioned yesterday, the key question is whether oil will form a double bottom at $70–71 before breaking higher, or if it will continue rallying without a retest. Given the wide gap between the MACD and signal line on the daily chart, a failure to complete a golden cross could lead to another pullback, making chasing longs above $74 risky. On the 240-minute chart, oil has confirmed a bullish divergence, triggering a strong upward move. For the first time in a while, strong buying pressure has returned, reinforcing the buy-on-dip strategy. However, traders should monitor price action carefully as resistance levels approach. Gold Gold closed at a new all-time high, rallying aggressively into overbought territory and even breaking through the upper Bollinger Band. Inflation concerns are intensifying globally, fueled by Trump’s escalating tariff rhetoric, which is driving a strong commodities rally in gold, copper, and other raw materials. Since gold has been in a continuous uptrend since confirming its buy signal on January 16, traders should be mindful that sharp pullbacks can occur at any time. Additionally, with key U.S. economic data releases this week—CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday—gold’s volatility is expected to remain elevated. Given the overbought conditions, the best strategy remains buying on dips, rather than chasing highs. On the daily chart, the MACD would need to form a bearish crossover for a more structured correction to take place. On the 240-minute chart, gold has been in a stair-step rally, with the 2940–2950 zone emerging as a key wave-based resistance level. However, overshooting this level is possible, making it critical to wait for confirmation before assuming a short position. For now, the buy signal remains intact on the 240-minute chart, reinforcing the buy-on-dip approach. However, given yesterday’s strong rally, some short-term consolidation or profit-taking is likely today. With Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release and Trump’s escalating tariff measures, global market volatility is increasing significantly. Risk management remains essential in this environment. Trade smart and stay disciplined! Today's strategy will only be provided until the end of this week. For more detailed strategies, please contact us on Telegram. Thank you. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21770 / 21720 / 21670 / 21550 -Sell Levels: 21850 / 21905 / 21960 / 22020 / 22100 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.10 / 71.70 / 71.30 / 71.00 -Sell Levels: 72.95 / 73.35 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2934 / 2928 / 2922 / 2917 -Sell Levels: 2950 / 2955 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
TESLA: Why do shares keep falling? TRUMP!! Concerns about overseas sales and tariffs add to the company's disappointing fourth-quarter results reported last Wednesday. Tesla reported earnings of 73 cents per share, below analysts' expectations of 76 cents, and revenue of $25.71 billion versus the $27.26 billion expected. Revenue fell 8% compared to the same quarter last year. In addition, the looming application of tariffs on China and Canada (Mexico has a one-month extension) is spooking investors. In a recent earnings call with analysts, Musk acknowledged that while Tesla has tried to localize its supply chain, it still relies heavily on parts from around the world for all of its operations. “Therefore, the imposition of tariffs, which is very likely, will have an impact on our business and profitability,” he stated. Canada is a key supplier of auto parts, as is China. And Canadian officials are specifically focusing some of their discontent with Trump's tariffs on Musk. On Monday, Premier Doug Ford announced that Ontario would cancel a $100 million contract with Starlink, which is part of Musk's company SpaceX. In other words, MUSK is one of the TARGETS that ARE going to be punished FOR THE US TARGETS. ----------------------------------------------------------- --> How far could the price fall? At the moment the technical aspect is bullish (Bull) in the medium-long term, but in the short term it is bearish (Bear), so WE HAVE TO WAIT to enter long. Today it has reached the first important support zone, we are talking about the 350.63 zone, which also coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 50%. If the zone respects it and the MOMENTUM and STRENGTH in H4 turn bullish (Bull), it will be a good time to enter long positions in TESLA again. --> KEY SUPPORTS 1) 350.63 (Key support in Daily time frame) 2) 355 (50% Fibonacci) 3) 314 (Key support in Weekly time frame) 4) 300 (61.8% Fibonacci) ------------------------------------------------------------ --> When the chart gives us the first bullish warning (Bull) in time frame, I will publish a new analysis indicating the entry SET UP.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by jmesado
Risks are Bubbling in the Nasdaq-100The Nasdaq-100 has led this cycle, driven by U.S. economic resilience and an unprecedented investment surge in artificial intelligence and cloud infrastructure. However, risks are emerging from overvaluation, excessive AI spending that has yet to translate into revenue, and geopolitical uncertainties tied to the Trump administration. With the Nasdaq-100 trading below its all-time high and lacking sufficient catalysts for a breakout, a near-term correction could occur if these risks materialize. Investors may consider a short position to capitalize on this potential downturn. AI Spending and Overvaluation Risks The "Magnificent Seven"—Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla—have dominated market sentiment, collectively accounting for approximately 63% of the Nasdaq-100's total market cap. This highlights the rally's extreme concentration. Much of the momentum has been driven by high expectations for rapid growth in artificial intelligence, further amplifying the market's reliance on these key players. The broader backdrop has also been supportive: US economic growth continues to surprise to the upside, with growth expected at 2.3% for the year, while corporate earnings—even more so for tech—are likely to rise 7-14%, as per multiple analyst outlooks. However, recent earnings reports have injected caution into AI enthusiasm. Alphabet missed revenue forecasts, sending its stock down 7.3%, while AMD dropped 6.3% after weak data-center sales. Amazon's AWS posted $28.79B in revenue, just shy of the $28.84B estimate, raising concerns over AI over-spending. Despite this, AI capex remains aggressive. Meta reaffirmed its $60-65B 2025 capex plan, despite $17B in Metaverse losses last year. Microsoft defended its Azure and OpenAI bets, while Alphabet, despite AI competition pressures , is committing $75B to AI infrastructure in 2025. With ambitions and excitement all around, the market’s reaction toward these companies, in light of underwhelming earnings and efficient competition from China, has not been so forgiving. Cracks are forming, and a more cautious approach to Nasdaq-100 exposure may be warranted. Valuations are stretched, with the index’s forward P/E ratio at 34 , up from 28 in 2023. While the AI boom, particularly in consumer adoption, took off in early 2023, the market is now pricing in near-flawless execution—yet investors have yet to fully grapple with the rising costs, intensifying competition, and looming regulatory scrutiny. Risks remain in some of the largest Nasdaq-100 stocks, particularly Nvidia and Tesla. Nvidia’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 50.7 raises concerns about its ability to sustain past explosive growth. Similarly, Tesla, with a P/E ratio of 183.6, faces headwinds from a slowdown in the EV industry, making its valuation increasingly vulnerable. Political and Trade Uncertainty Donald Trump’s return to the White House has generated significant energy and excitement. However, the extremity of his policies could create new trade uncertainties, particularly for companies dependent on Chinese supply chains and international revenue. Since his inauguration, Trump has announced a series of tariffs against major trading partners. The risk of retaliatory measures raises the possibility of a full-blown trade war. His aggressive stance on trade could introduce sudden and unpredictable market volatility. The previous trade war saw tariffs disrupt global tech supply chains and put pressure on corporate margins. For instance, in 2018-2019 Nasdaq-100 volatility spiked and tech earnings growth slowed. If history repeats itself, the overextended valuations of Nasdaq-100 could probably get a reality check, particularly if these firms start guiding for higher costs in upcoming earnings calls. Technicals Point to Upcoming Resistance The moving averages for the Nasdaq-100 reflect a bullish sentiment owing to the strong rally for the past several months. However, the ATH level of 22,100 has proven strong resistance with prices testing this level multiple times over the past few months. A strong catalyst may be required to pass this level. During previous corrections, price has reached between the 50-day and 100-day simple moving average (SMA). Momentum indicators suggest that a short-term downward trend may be imminent. Periodic movements in the index suggest a downturn is imminent and prices may reach as far as the S1 pivot point at 20,700. Options Signal Growing Bearish Sentiment Options positioning on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures and Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures signals a bearish sentiment. OI and volume put/call ratio for both E-mini NQ and Micro E-mini NQ are greater than 1 suggesting higher put positioning than call. There is a particualrly high concentration of puts at the March expiry. Source: CME QuikStrike Hypothetical Trade Setup Given the frothing risk factors impacting the Nasdaq-100, risk of a sharp decline is high. Elevated valuations, escalating trade tensions, and slowing AI rally, all risk a correction in the index. This decline may materialize in the next 2–3 weeks, aligning with critical macroeconomic events, including Federal Reserve announcements, inflation data releases, and upcoming corporate earnings reports. With a correction likely, investors can express this view using a short position in Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 (MNQ) futures expiring in March (MNQH2025). Each contract requires initial margin of USD 2,303 as of 10/Feb and provides exposure to USD 2 x Nasdaq index (~43,400). Investors can also use the standard E-mini NQ futures to express the same bearish view with larger notional sizes. Entry: 21,700 Target: 21,200 Stop Loss: 22,100 Profit at Target: USD 1000 ((21,700-21,200) x 2) Loss at Stop: USD 800 ((21,700-22,100) x 2) Reward to Risk: 1.25x CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers. Portfolio managers can learn more on how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures. TradingView has launched The Leap trading competition starting today. New and upcoming traders can hone and refine their trading skills, test their trading strategies, and feel the thrill of futures trading with a vibrant global community through this paper trading competition sponsored by CME Group using virtual money and real time prices. Click here to learn more. MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme . DISCLAIMER This case study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Trading or investment ideas cited here are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management or trading under the market scenarios being discussed. Please read the FULL DISCLAIMER the link to which is provided in our profile description.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by mintdotfinance
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed lower as the market digested the Employment Trends Index (ETI) report. On the weekly chart, a sell signal is in play, yet the index remains within a range-bound structure. Until it reclaims the 5-week moving average, any upside move could still face rejection. On the daily chart, the MACD has not yet crossed below the signal line, meaning the buy signal remains intact. A critical moment is approaching: will the index break below the 20-day and 60-day moving average golden cross, or will it regain bullish momentum? If a daily sell signal emerges, downside targets extend toward 20,940, where the Bollinger Band lower boundary and 120-day moving average converge. Although a gap-down occurred today, as long as the daily buy signal holds, traders should approach this market with a range-bound mindset rather than assuming a strong breakdown. On the 240-minute chart, the index encountered resistance at the upper range boundary. A bearish engulfing candle triggered a sell signal, but since both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, this still suggests a range-bound market. Buying dips and selling rallies remain the most effective strategy. Market volatility is increasing following Trump’s announcement of reciprocal tariffs on most countries. Additionally, Wednesday’s U.S. CPI release could be a major catalyst—keep it in mind when positioning. Crude Oil Crude oil closed higher, bouncing off support on the daily chart. The weekly chart shows strong support at the 20-week moving average, making further downside moves challenging. The $70–71 zone remains an attractive buy area, and with the weekly buy signal still intact, traders should avoid aggressive short-selling. On the daily chart, oil has yet to reclaim the 5-day moving average, and the MACD remains below the zero line, while the Signal line is still above it, indicating a mixed market structure. Given the potential for a bullish MACD crossover, long positions remain more favorable. The ideal price action scenario would involve a push to the 10-day moving average, a pullback to retest the $70–71 range, and then a double-bottom formation, leading to a strong upside breakout. On the 240-minute chart, a buy signal has re-emerged, suggesting a short-term bottom formation. Additionally, MACD bullish divergence is forming, reinforcing the bullish case. Selling into weakness should be avoided, while buying dips remains the preferred strategy. Gold Gold closed higher but formed a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure at the highs. On the weekly chart, gold is trading above the Bollinger Band upper boundary, placing it in overbought territory. At the start of the week, traders should avoid chasing highs and instead focus on buying pullbacks at key support levels. If gold continues to extend gains, shorting near the highs could be an option. However, volatility is expected to increase due to key data releases: Wednesday: U.S. CPI Thursday: U.S. PPI On the daily chart, the long wick suggests that gold may enter a consolidation phase around 2,900. If the 5-day moving average is lost, a 10-day moving average pullback could set up a range-bound structure. The MACD is in the process of narrowing toward the signal line, indicating that a corrective phase may occur this week. Buying pullbacks remains the preferred approach. On the 240-minute chart, gold has broken above previous highs, but the MACD is declining, signaling bearish divergence. Now that a sell signal has emerged, the MACD is shifting lower. In the short term, selling rallies remains more favorable, while long positions should only be considered near strong demand zones. Given the CPI release on Wednesday, gold may remain range-bound until then. Stay cautious, and trade within the range. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21550 / 21470 / 21420 / 21340 / 21220 -Sell Levels: 21680 / 21715 / 21800 / 21900 Crude Oil - Range-Bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.70 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.20 -Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.50 Gold - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2885 / 2878 / 2873 / 2862 / 2856 -Sell Levels: 2906 / 2917 / 2926 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
Weekly Market Forecast: S&P, NAS & DOW Are Still Bullish!This forecast is for the week of Feb 10-14th. The S&P500, the NASDAQ, and the DOW JONES are still bullish overall, despite last weeks NFP news that saw the markets move lower. Until there is a bearish break in market structure, it is buys all the way. Let the markets reach the buy zones and wait for the bullish market structure shift. That is the time to take valid buy setups. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by RT_Money
Breaking: Doximity Stock Jumps 37% On Upbeat Annual OutlookDoximity Inc. (NASDAQ: DOCS), the leading digital platform for U.S. medical professionals, has made headlines with its stock skyrocketing 37% following a stellar earnings report and an upbeat annual outlook. The company’s third-quarter fiscal 2025 results not only surpassed analyst expectations but also showcased robust growth in key areas, including AI tools and user engagement. Strong Earnings and Upbeat Guidance Doximity’s latest earnings report has solidified its position as a growth powerhouse in the healthcare technology sector. Here are the key highlights: 1. Record Revenue and Earnings Growth - Revenue: $168.6 million, up 25% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of $152.82 million. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): Adjusted EPS of $0.45, a significant jump from $0.29 a year ago and well above the $0.34 consensus. - Net Income: $75.2 million, up 57% year-over-year, reflecting strong profitability. 2. AI Tools and User Engagement Driving Growth Doximity’s AI-powered tools saw a 60% quarter-over-quarter increase in usage, while its newsfeed surpassed one million unique providers. This demonstrates the platform’s ability to innovate and retain user engagement, which is critical for long-term growth. 3. Raised Guidance for Fiscal 2025 The company raised its revenue guidance to $564.6 million—$565.6 million, up from the previous range of $535 million—$540 million. Adjusted EBITDA guidance was also increased to $306.6 million—$307.6 million, signaling confidence in continued profitability and operational efficiency. 4. Analyst Optimism Analysts have responded positively to Doximity’s performance: - Needham: Raised price target from $65 to $82, maintaining a Buy rating. - Wells Fargo: Increased price target from $43 to $55, maintaining an Equal-Weight rating. - Raymond James: Raised price target from $65 to $83, reiterating an Outperform rating. These upward revisions reflect growing confidence in Doximity’s ability to sustain its momentum. Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, NYSE:DOCS is exhibiting a classic gap-up pattern, with shares up 35.68% at the time of writing. Here’s what the charts are telling us: 1. Gap-Up Pattern The gap-up indicates a surge in buying interest following the earnings announcement. While this is a bullish signal, gaps are often filled in the long run, meaning the stock could retrace some of its gains before continuing its upward trajectory. 2. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 86, well above the overbought threshold of 70. This suggests that the stock may be due for a short-term pullback or consolidation as traders take profits. 3. Despite overbought conditions, the stock’s momentum remains strong. Key support levels to watch include the pre-gap price zone around $61. A pullback to this area could present a buying opportunity for investors looking to enter at a lower price. Why Doximity Stands Out Doximity’s success is rooted in its ability to address critical needs in the healthcare industry. Its digital platform streamlines communication and workflow for medical professionals, while its AI tools enhance efficiency and decision-making. With over 610,000 unique providers using its clinical workflow tools, Doximity has established itself as an indispensable resource for healthcare professionals. A Strong Buy with Caution Doximity’s impressive earnings report and raised guidance have rightfully propelled its stock to new heights. From a fundamental perspective, the company’s growth trajectory, driven by AI innovation and user engagement, is compelling. Technically, while the stock is overbought in the short term, the long-term outlook remains bullish.
NYSE:DOCSLong
by DEXWireNews
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq The Nasdaq closed slightly higher with low volatility. As mentioned yesterday, the daily chart shows that the index is holding support at the 3-day moving average, while the MACD remains in an upward buy trend. However, resistance is evident along the upper trendline connecting previous highs. Today, a pullback toward the 5-day moving average should be considered, and the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will be a key catalyst in determining whether the uptrend continues. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line remain above the zero line, suggesting a consolidation phase that could gradually lift moving averages before another bullish wave emerges. Overall, a buy-on-dip approach remains favorable, particularly if a pre-market pullback toward the 5-day MA occurs. However, given the potential for increased volatility from today's data release, risk management is crucial. Crude Oil Crude oil closed lower after facing resistance at the 3-day moving average. However, downside support remains strong, making further declines difficult, which favors buy-side positioning. Since oil has now tested the 3-day MA, today’s strategy should focus on selling near the 5-day MA if a rally occurs. Both long and short positions should factor in weekly closing dynamics, as weekend geopolitical risks may lead to gap openings on Monday. On the 240-minute chart, oil remains in a downward trend, but signs of base formation are emerging. The MACD is nearing a potential golden cross, so traders should watch closely for a momentum shift. Additionally, geopolitical risks are increasing, with Trump tightening sanctions on Iran, adding to oil market volatility. Given these conditions, buying dips remains the preferred approach, but risk management is essential. Gold Gold closed lower, facing a sharp pullback after reaching the psychological level of 2900. The deep retracement suggests profit-taking at key resistance levels. Despite this correction, the daily chart still maintains a buy trend, and as long as gold holds above the 10-day moving average on a closing basis, the overall bullish bias remains intact. However, given that the MACD is completing its third bullish wave, a consolidation phase is likely as the MACD and Signal line begin to narrow. For now, buyers should focus on entering at lower levels to optimize risk-reward. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged, leading to the current pullback. However, the MACD and Signal line are significantly below the zero line, meaning that despite the downtrend, buying interest could emerge on any further dips. This structure reduces the appeal of chasing short positions. Today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is a major risk event, known for triggering extreme volatility in gold. As one of the most critical economic indicators for gold traders, managing exposure ahead of the release is crucial. Expect range-bound price action before the report, with a potential breakout afterward. Stay disciplined and manage risk carefully, as today’s NFP release will drive market volatility. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21820 / 21750 / 21710 / 21625 / 21510 -Sell Levels: 21870 / 21930 / 22010 / 22070 / 22135 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.20 / 69.80 / 69.20 / 68.30 -Sell Levels: 71.30 / 71.80 / 72.20 / 72.70 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2876 / 2871 / 2862 / 2855 -Sell Levels: 2885 / 2892 / 2896 / 2902 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
GOOGLE: Historic profits!! What is the reason for the fall?GOOGLE has been falling on the stock market since late yesterday, after presenting its results with the market already closed. Google's parent company achieved a historic profit of more than 100 billion dollars and revenues for the entire year of 350 billion. However, its shares are dyed red in the pre-opening. --> What is the reason for the fall? One possible cause would be that the fourth quarter revenues did not reach what was expected, which see in these numbers a sign that Google's parent company was being affected by the increase in competition in the digital advertising market and the slowdown of its cloud computing business. A second reason is that Google surpassed historic highs days ago and it could be a MANIPULATION and PROFIT-TAKING movement by some FUNDS taking advantage of the volatility of the value to present results. In any case, the results ARE GOOD and the TECHNICAL ASPECT is good, so if nothing strange happens, the trend in Google will continue to be bullish. --> What technical aspect does it have now after the -7% fall? If we look at the graph, the technical aspect is still clearly bullish (Bull). In addition, it did not lose any of its main supports, so we will continue to think about long positions. --> When could we enter? The table shown in the graph indicates that the MOMENTUM in H1, H4 and DAILY time frames is bearish (Bear) and also the STRENGTH in H1 is bearish (Bear). Therefore, to ensure that the pullback has ended, we have to wait for at least in H4 the MOMENTUM to turn bullish (Bull) again. And when could this happen? When the price exceeds the 198 zone, it is very likely that the IVO indicator will already show us bullish MOMENTUM ( Bull ). (If it happens before, I will update the analysis to anticipate the entry). --> What important support does Google have? The 184 zone is a very important support zone that, if not respected, we could see a much deeper retracement phase. ------------------------------------- Strategy to follow: ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 198. POSITION 1 ( TP1 ): We close the first position in the 208 zone ( +4.8%) --> Stop Loss at 188.9 ( -4.8%). --> Ratio 1:1 POSITION 2 ( TP2 ): We open a Trailing Stop type position. --> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4.8%) (coinciding with the 188.9 of position 1). ---We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (208). ------------------------------------------- SET UP EXPLANATIONS *** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each. *** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss. -->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by jmesado
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The Nasdaq broke out of its consolidation range and closed higher. On the daily chart, the index had been moving within a box range, with MACD and the Signal line flattening. However, following the breakout, the MACD has resumed its upward trajectory, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. With a strong breakout candle in play, the market is likely to maintain a short-term buying trend, centered around the 3-day moving average. While tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report presents potential volatility risks, the overall daily uptrend remains intact. On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and Signal line have crossed above the zero line, entering bullish territory. While further upside is possible, imbalanced order flow suggests we may see mixed price action, with alternating bullish and bearish candles. Given the current setup, buying on pullbacks remains the most favorable approach for today. CRUDE OIL Oil declined following the crude inventory report. On the daily chart, the price failed to reclaim the 10-day moving average, and the MACD-Signal line spread remains wide, indicating a lack of immediate convergence. A strong bearish breakout candle has formed, making short positions near the 3-day moving average a preferable strategy for today. However, the $70 level has established itself as a key support zone, meaning that buying opportunities may emerge in this area. Price action suggests range-bound movement, and for additional downside to materialize, the daily Signal line needs to drop below the zero line. As it remains above zero, a short-term MACD-Signal convergence attempt is likely in the near term, though a direct breakout seems unlikely due to the current wide spread. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has reappeared, driving continued downside pressure. However, if prices avoid a sharp decline, a bullish divergence could form, making chasing shorts at this stage risky. Additionally, mixed catalysts, including Iran sanctions and increased U.S. oil drilling activity, are creating conflicting momentum, increasing the likelihood of sharp price swings. Stop-loss management is crucial in this environment. GOLD Gold closed higher but formed an upper wick, signaling profit-taking at recent highs. On the daily chart, gold broke above $2,900, demonstrating a strong, one-way buying trend. However, given the sharp rally, this is a high-risk zone for chasing longs, as profit-taking pressure is likely to increase. Since gold has been moving in a stair-step pattern, the best approach is to buy on pullbacks at well-defined support and resistance levels. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is in its third-wave buy phase, maintaining the bullish momentum. Once this third wave completes and the MACD crosses below the Signal line (a death cross), gold may enter a consolidation phase or a corrective move, leading to sideways price action. Tomorrow’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report is expected to significantly impact gold, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction. The optimal approach remains buying on dips, but near $2,900, short positions for range-bound trading should also be considered. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 21710 / 21675 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510 -Sell Levels: 21895 / 21935 / 21970 / 22010 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 70.90 / 70.30 / 69.80 / 69.30 -Sell Levels: 71.65 / 72.10 / 72.60 / 73.20 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2881 / 2875 / 2870 / 2864 / 2859 -Sell Levels: 2896 / 2902 / 2909 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by Futureguard
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The Nasdaq initially declined in pre-market trading due to escalating tariff tensions between China and the U.S. but ultimately closed higher. A sell signal appeared on the daily chart but was reversed into a buy signal with yesterday’s bullish candle. This suggests that the market is still moving within a large box range, with moving averages converging. This consolidation phase indicates that a trend expansion phase—marked by a strong bullish or bearish breakout—may emerge soon. Until then, it is best to trade within the range. On the 240-minute chart, the market has been making stepwise upward movements, with the MACD forming a golden cross over the Signal line. Despite a strong price surge due to divergence, the index has entered a resistance-heavy zone, and liquidity is currently tight, which could lead to frequent sharp fluctuations. For now, the best strategy is selling near the upper boundary of the range and buying near the lower boundary. Given the ongoing trade tensions under Trump's tariff policies, risk management is crucial—placing stop-loss orders is highly recommended to protect against increased volatility. OIL Oil gapped down but found strong support around the $70 level, closing with a bullish candle. News of the U.S. tightening sanctions on Iran initially sent prices down by 3%, but a sharp rebound followed. While the daily chart still shows a sell signal, the $70 price area has historically provided strong support, as previously emphasized. Thus, the overall strategy should be buying on pullbacks rather than chasing sell positions. On the 240-minute chart, the MACD continues to create bullish divergence, forming a buy signal. This increases the likelihood of further upside movement. However, since the MACD and Signal lines are still below the zero line, further price increases are needed to widen the gap between these indicators and confirm bullish momentum. Overall, buying on pullbacks remains the preferred strategy, but traders should be cautious of potential volatility spikes due to today’s Crude Oil Inventories report. GOLD Gold closed higher, finding support at the 5-day moving average. On the daily chart, as long as the 10-day moving average holds, gold should be viewed from a bullish perspective. The MACD on the daily chart is trending sharply upward, so until a MACD-Signal line death cross occurs, buying on pullbacks remains the best strategy. Similarly, on the 240-minute chart, the MACD has repeatedly formed golden crosses, reinforcing a strong one-way bullish trend. From a flow of funds perspective, buying pressure remains strong, so buying dips continues to be the most favorable approach. However, traders should be aware of potential high volatility due to the upcoming ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report today and the Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday. Given gold's recent sharp rally, a major inflection point could emerge, using economic data as a catalyst. The current market environment is characterized by high volatility and rapid price movements, increasing the likelihood of sudden price swings leading to stop-outs. However, if stop-losses are properly managed, losses can be quickly recovered. In a highly volatile market, profit opportunities increase, so maintaining strict stop-loss discipline while seeking the next trade opportunity is key to successful trading. Wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀 ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21500 / 21425 / 21340 / 21250 -Sell Levels: 21665 / 21735 / 21830 / 21930 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 72.20 / 71.60 / 70.90 -Sell Levels: 73.20 / 73.80 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2864 / 2859 / 2850 / 2845 -Sell Levels: 2876 / 2881 / 2889 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
THE SKEWED GAMES. UNDERSTANDING CBOE SKEW INDEX (SKEW)The CBOE Skew Index (SKEW, or "BLACK SWAN" Index) is a financial metric developed by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) to measure the perceived tail risk in the S&P 500 over a 30-day horizon. Tail risk refers to the probability of extreme market movements, such as significant declines or "black swan" events, which are rare but have severe consequences. Here's a detailed explanation of its role and implications in financial markets: Key Features of the CBOE:SKEW Index Measurement of Tail Risk. The SKEW Index quantifies the likelihood of returns that deviate two or more standard deviations from the mean. It focuses on outlier events, unlike the VIX (Volatility Index), which measures implied volatility around at-the-money (ATM) options. Implied Volatility Skew. The index is derived from the pricing of out-of-the-money (OTM) S&P 500 options. It reflects the market's demand for protection against downside risks, which leads to higher implied volatility for OTM puts compared to calls. Range and Interpretation The SKEW Index typically ranges from 100 to 150. A value near 100 suggests a normal distribution of returns with low perceived tail risk. Higher values (e.g., above 130) indicate increased concern about potential extreme negative events, with heightened demand for protective options. How It Works The SKEW Index is calculated using a portfolio of OTM options on the S&P 500. The methodology involves measuring the slope of implied volatility across different strike prices, capturing how much more expensive OTM puts are relative to calls. This steepness reflects market participants' expectations of asymmetric risks, particularly on the downside. To make a picture clear, we just simply use 125-Day SMA of SKEW Index. Since multi year high has occurred, market turbulence come as usual. Practical Implications Market Sentiment. A rising SKEW Index signals growing fear of extreme downside risks. For example, during periods of economic uncertainty or geopolitical tensions, investors may hedge portfolios more aggressively, driving up the index. Conversely, lower readings suggest calm market conditions with balanced expectations for future returns. Portfolio Management Investors use the SKEW Index as a barometer for hedging costs. High SKEW levels indicate that protecting against tail risks has become more expensive (and probably active). It also helps traders assess whether market pricing aligns with their own risk expectations. Historical Context Historically, spikes in the SKEW Index have preceded major market downturns or volatility events, such as the "Flash Crash" in 2010, Bear market in early 2000s (dot com collapse), WFC in 2007-09, market falls in late 2018 and in 2022. Complement to VIX While both indices measure risk, they address different aspects: VIX captures overall market volatility, while SKEW focuses on asymmetry and extreme event probabilities. Limitations In summary, the CBOE Skew Index provides valuable insights into market participants' perception of tail risks and their willingness to pay for protection against extreme events. It complements other volatility measures like the VIX and serves as a critical tool for risk management and market analysis.
SEducation
by PandorraResearch
Big tech stocks fell sharply due to Trump tariff concerns Despite some resolution of tariff risks, USTEC failed to recover from the loss. In particular, big tech stocks with high overseas exposure fell sharply. Tesla (TSLA) fell 5.19% over concerns that Trump's tariff policy could harm the company, given that 15% of Model Y parts are sourced from Mexico and Canada. Apple (AAPL) also dropped 3.39% due to concerns that new tariffs on China might ultimately raise iPhone prices. USTEC briefly tested the ascending trendline and the support at 19140. The index has since rebounded slightly, awaiting additional price triggers for an apparent trend reversal. If USTEC breaks below 19140, the index may fall further to the next support at 18670. Conversely, if USTEC breaches above both EMAs, the index could gain upward momentum toward the 20200 highs.
NASDAQ:IXIC
by inkicho_exness
1
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ The Nasdaq closed lower, forming a lower wick at the bottom. The market initially dropped in pre-market trading due to Trump’s tariff imposition issue but recovered to close the gap after the one-month grace period for Mexico was announced. At yesterday’s closing price, the daily MACD triggered a sell signal. Although there was a gap-up today, further declines are likely as the resistance level holds. However, the MACD and Signal lines are still above the zero line on the daily chart, and it will take time for the 3-day and 5-day moving averages to pull down, suggesting that the index may form a wide-ranging box pattern before the trend leans towards further declines. On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal appeared, and after a rebound, the MACD and Signal lines are reconnecting. Since a golden cross has not yet formed, a sell strategy on rebounds would be favorable. If the MACD fails to break above the Signal line and declines, a third wave of selling could follow. From a broader perspective, the 5-day moving average on the monthly chart coincides with the lower boundary of the daily box pattern. Until this level is strongly broken downward, short-term buy opportunities remain valid near the lower boundary of the range. OIL Oil gapped up but closed lower. The price failed to break above $75, leaving an upper wick. The one-month tariff grace period for Canada resulted in a gap-down movement. The key question is whether oil will attempt another rebound, using the 240-day moving average as support. It is crucial to see if a bullish candlestick forms while maintaining support above the 240-day moving average. On the weekly chart, oil is trapped within a box range, and as the week progresses, it will be important to assess whether conditions develop for a breakout next week. On the 240-minute chart, a rebound has occurred up to the 60-day moving average, following the characteristics of the 240-day moving average. Since the MACD and Signal lines remain below zero, selling pressure may persist. However, this is a high-probability divergence zone. If the third wave of selling fails and prices rebound, a sharp surge is possible, so traders should be cautious with aggressive short positions. The overall approach should be to trade within the range, favoring buy positions on pullbacks. GOLD Gold dropped to the 10-day moving average but found support and closed higher. On the monthly chart, a pullback to the 3-day moving average around 2,770 is possible, and a correction to the low 2,800s has already occurred. Gold's volatility is extreme due to tariff issues, so traders must carefully adjust their leverage to ensure safe trading. On the daily chart, MACD continues to rise, so as long as the price does not close below the 10-day moving average, a buy strategy is recommended. On the 240-minute chart, gold formed a buy signal after a pullback and is attempting a third wave of buying. However, it is crucial that gold continues rising to avoid forming a bearish divergence. If further gains do not materialize, gold may enter a box pattern. Overall, a buy strategy remains favorable for gold. However, traders should be cautious of increased volatility due to today’s JOLTS report. ■Trading Strategies for Today Nasdaq - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 21510 / 21410 / 21345 / 21220 / 21120 -Sell Levels: 21580 / 21640 / 21680 / 21780 Crude Oil - Range-bound Market -Buy Levels: 71.80 / 71.30 / 70.50 / 69.85 -Sell Levels: 72.75 / 73.15 / 73.80 / 74.50 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy Levels: 2844 / 2832 / 2827 / 2820 -Sell Levels: 2859 / 2864 / 2870 / 2874 / 2885 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
CDW Corporation: Bullish Trap or Breakout Play?NASDAQ-CDW at a Pivotal Moment—Can Bulls Hold the Line? CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is standing at a crossroads. The stock currently trades at $199.14, recovering from its January lows but still 24.3% below its all-time high of $263.37 set in April 2024​. With a key resistance looming at $200.31, traders are asking: Will this level act as a launchpad for further gains, or is this the last breath before a deeper pullback? Technicals present a mixed picture. On one hand, RSI (14) is hovering at 56.44, keeping the stock in neutral momentum, while MFI (60) at 48.22 suggests liquidity is balanced​. The 50-day moving average sits at $195.92, reinforcing a support zone, yet sell volumes have increased over recent sessions​. Recent candlestick patterns indicate a battle between bulls and bears, with sell volume spikes on January 31st hinting at potential exhaustion​. So, what’s next? Will CDW break above resistance and retest higher levels, or are sellers about to regain control? Stay tuned—this could be the breakout (or breakdown) of the month. CDW Roadmap: Navigating the Market Waves CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) has been riding a turbulent wave of buying and selling forces, creating a roadmap of high-impact trading signals. By breaking down recent validated patterns, we can see the key price shifts that traders should have caught—and what might come next. January 27 – Buy Volumes Surge: Start of the Accumulation? Opening at $192.13 and closing at $194.1, this session kicked off a strong bullish impulse. A classic Increased Buy Volumes pattern formed, signaling that buyers were stepping in near the lows. The movement of +3.49% indicated a clear upward drive, setting the stage for continuation. January 28 – Confirmation of Strength Another Increased Buy Volumes signal appeared, reinforcing bullish control. The price climbed to $194.56, and despite some hesitation, the closing candle suggested buyers were still in the game. January 29 – Trap or Breakout? The Sell Shakeout A sudden shift—VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern 1st appeared. Despite an opening near $195.15, price action reversed downward to $194.69. This was the first sign that sellers were lurking, potentially setting up a fake breakout to trap late bulls. January 30 – Sell Pressure Grows A Sell Volumes Takeover pattern developed, pushing CDW to $197.7 at the close. Bulls absorbed some pressure, but the next move would decide the fate of the trend. January 31 – The Decision Zone Sellers made their presence known. Increased Sell Volumes took over, with CDW slipping from $199.31 to $199.11. With the price rejecting the $200.31 resistance, traders had to decide—was this a healthy pullback or the start of a larger downtrend? What’s Next? The last confirmed direction was bearish, but with price hovering near resistance, we’re at a pivotal moment. Will buyers reload for another push higher, or are we gearing up for a deeper correction? Keep an eye on the next patterns—this roadmap is far from over. 🚀 Technical & Price Action Analysis: Key Levels in Play CDW Corporation (NASDAQ: CDW) is testing critical levels that could dictate the next major move. If these zones hold, they’ll act as springboards for the next leg up—but if they fail, expect them to flip into resistance. Here’s what’s on the radar: Support Levels to Watch: $173.35 – First line of defense; bulls need to hold this to keep the uptrend alive. $159.06 – The key retracement zone; failure here opens the door to lower levels. $155.63 – Last stop before sellers take full control. Resistance Levels to Break: $200.31 – Immediate challenge; a breakout could fuel a push higher. $213.00 – A major hurdle that aligns with previous liquidity traps. $222.98 – If bulls take control, this is the next big test. $226.67 – Where things get serious; failure here would signal exhaustion. $239.45 – The ultimate upside target for now. Powerful Support Zones: $222.04, $232.57, $245.92 – If the trend stays strong, these levels will act as deep re-entry zones for dip buyers. Powerful Resistance Zones: $174.90, $158.66 – If these levels get rejected, expect a heavier correction. Trading Strategies: Riding the Fibonacci Rays The VSA Fibonacci Rays provide a roadmap for dynamic price interaction, where movements are dictated by liquidity, market psychology, and technical confluence. These rays aren't just static levels—they adapt as the market evolves, defining key zones where price is most likely to react. Every trade setup is based on price interacting with a ray, confirming direction, and then targeting the next ray as the first milestone. Moving Averages (MA50, MA100, MA200) act as additional dynamic resistance and support. Scenario 1: The Bullish Playbook 📈 Break Above $200.31 – The Path to Strength If price interacts with a VSA Buy Ray near $200.31 and confirms strength, we target: First Target: $213.00 – A historical liquidity pocket Second Target: $222.98 – Next dynamic resistance zone Final Target: $226.67 – The last stronghold before a trend shift Dips to $195.92 (MA50) – The Reload Zone A pullback to MA50 ($195.92) that aligns with a buy ray could be a prime entry: First Target: $200.31 – Retesting resistance as support Second Target: $213.00 – If momentum builds Break Above $226.67 – The Power Move Clearing this level unlocks a potential swing trade: First Target: $239.45 – The major resistance Final Target: $245.92 – High-probability take-profit zone Scenario 2: The Bearish Playbook 📉 Rejection at $200.31 – The Short Setup If price interacts with a VSA Sell Ray and confirms weakness: First Target: $195.92 – MA50 convergence Second Target: $186.08 – MA200 key zone Final Target: $173.35 – Deep support Break Below $195.92 (MA50) – Bearish Acceleration A failure to hold $195.92 flips structure bearish: First Target: $186.08 – A critical test Second Target: $173.35 – A strong demand zone Break Below $173.35 – Downtrend Confirmation A decisive move below this level signals a long-term shift: First Target: $159.06 – The next buyer zone Final Target: $155.63 – Extreme retracement zone Key Takeaways: ✔️ Trade from ray to ray – Every breakout or rejection defines the next move ✔️ MAs act as dynamic validation – Moving Averages filter weak setups ✔️ No early entries – Let price interact with rays before committing What’s Your Next Move? Let’s Talk! Trading is all about precision and timing, and if you’ve made it this far, you already know the importance of levels and price reactions. Now it’s your turn—drop your questions in the comments! Want to see how this setup plays out? Hit Boost, save this idea, and check back in a few days to see how price respects the levels. My private strategy automatically maps out all rays and key zones—if you’re interested in using it, send me a private message. It’s not public, but for those who want an edge, we can talk. Need analysis for another asset? I got you. Some ideas I share for free, some traders prefer to keep their setups private. Let me know in the comments which assets you’re watching, hit Boost, and I’ll get to them when I can. This method works on any asset—price moves in waves, and the rays show the roadmap. If you want a personal markup, just reach out. And if you want to stay ahead of the market, follow me here on TradingView—this is where I drop the insights first. 🚀
NASDAQ:CDWLong
by brandlabelden
ODFL: The Buy Signal Traders Can’t IgnoreThe Turning Point for Old Dominion Freight Line – What’s Next? Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) is at a critical inflection point, sitting at $185.47 after a notable -20.49% decline from its absolute high of $233.26 back in November 2024​. The stock has hovered near key support at $184.03, teasing traders with potential buy setups. But here’s where it gets interesting: a surge in buy volume has appeared, with an Increased Buy Volumes pattern confirming accumulation at these levels​. RSI14 is at 40.98, signaling the stock is near oversold territory, while MFI60 has dipped to 34.98, indicating liquidity inflows are building. Could this be the final shakeout before a rally? With the 50-day moving average still above at $189.07, traders are eyeing a possible breakout above $189.05 resistance for confirmation. The question now is—will bulls take control, or is another leg down coming? Stay tuned. ODFL Roadmap: Following the Smart Money Trail Navigating the recent price action of Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) is like following breadcrumbs left by institutional traders. Let’s break down the key patterns that defined the last trading sessions and see which signals were spot on and which ones misfired. January 27: Increased Sell Volumes – The Heavy Drop Begins ODFL opened at $195.08 but quickly lost ground, closing at $194.72. The pattern suggested a strong selling wave, and the next few sessions confirmed this as prices slid further down​. January 28: Sell Volumes Max – Bears Tighten Grip A classic sell continuation setup—ODFL tanked from $191.78 to $189.70, confirming the downtrend. This was a clean sell-off with no signs of reversal, reinforcing the bearish dominance​. January 29: Increased Sell Volumes – Exhaustion Near? Closing at $185.80, ODFL was testing key support. With RSI dipping into oversold territory, traders started watching for a bounce, but sellers weren’t done yet​. January 30 (Early Session): VSA Sell Pattern – False Hope? A VSA Manipulation Sell Pattern appeared, hinting at another downward move. However, by the next session, things took an unexpected turn… January 30 (Later Session): VSA Buy Pattern – Smart Money Steps In Here’s where the tide turned. ODFL bounced from $183.83 to $185.81, signaling that big buyers were stepping back in. The trigger point aligned, confirming a bullish reversal attempt​. January 30 (Final Hours): Increased Buy Volumes – Reversal Lock By the close of the day, the pattern was clear—smart money was back. The stock held gains at $186.70, locking in a higher low and confirming the buy-side control​. What’s Next? With ODFL showing signs of accumulation, all eyes are on the $189.05 resistance. A breakout could confirm a new uptrend, while failure to hold above $184 might signal another leg down. Either way, momentum is shifting, and traders better be ready. Technical & Price Action Analysis 📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch When it comes to ODFL, levels matter—they act as magnets for price action. If support fails, it flips into resistance, trapping late buyers. If resistance gets crushed, it opens the door for a strong breakout. Let’s map out the battlefield: 🔹 Support Levels (Buyers' Last Stand) 184.03 – Holding above this keeps bulls in play. If it breaks, expect deeper retracement. 181.54 – A soft landing zone, but if it folds, we’re looking at a bigger flush. 172.74 – This is where things get real. Losing this means sellers have full control. 172.00 – Right above the danger zone—break below and it’s game over for bulls. 170.08 – The last line of defense before things spiral downward. 🔸 Resistance Levels (Ceilings to Break) 189.05 – First major checkpoint. If bulls can’t clear it, expect heavy rejection. 192.18 – If this cracks, momentum shifts, and buyers take the wheel. 196.57 – The decision point. Holding above confirms a trend reversal. 206.66 – Bulls dream of this level; a breakout here ignites FOMO. 212.25 – Long-term resistance, break above and it’s clear skies. 🚨 Powerful Resistance – Where the Big Players Step In 171.48 – If price collapses below, expect major distribution. 163.31 – The “no man's land.” Bulls don’t want to see this level tested. 118.93 – If we ever touch this, pack it up—ODFL is in serious trouble. Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Path of Least Resistance The Rays from the Beginning of Movement framework allows us to anticipate ODFL’s price action not by predicting static levels, but by tracking how price interacts with dynamic Fibonacci-based rays. These rays, layered with VSA analysis, define market structure and let us ride high-probability setups as price moves from one ray to the next. 📌 Key Concept: We don’t blindly enter at fixed levels. Instead, we wait for interaction with rays, confirmation from VSA volume shifts, and alignment with Moving Averages, which serve as dynamic resistance/support zones. 🚀 Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control If ODFL holds support and buyers step in at key VSA interaction points, we can expect a steady climb up the ray structure. Entry Zone: $184.03 - $185.47 (VSA confirmation needed) First Target: $189.05 (Initial breakout test) Second Target: $192.18 (Momentum build-up) Third Target: $196.57 (Trend confirmation) 💡 Bullish Momentum Factor: Price reclaiming MA50 ($189.07) and flipping it into support would be a game-changer. If this aligns with a VSA Buy Volume spike, expect acceleration. 🔻 Pessimistic Scenario: Sellers Keep Control If resistance holds and ODFL fails to reclaim higher rays, bears will drag price to lower support zones. Entry Zone: $189.05 - $192.18 (Failure to break) First Target: $184.03 (Breakdown confirmation) Second Target: $181.54 (Bearish continuation) Third Target: $172.74 (Capitulation zone) 💡 Bearish Breakdown Factor: If MA50 ($189.07) & MA100 ($189.42) reject price with a VSA Sell Volume spike, it’s an early warning of a deeper move. 🔥 Possible Trade Setups Long from $184.03 → $189.05 (VSA buy confirmation at support) Breakout Long from $189.05 → $196.57 (Momentum above MA50) Short from $189.05 → $184.03 (Failure to hold resistance) Breakdown Short from $181.54 → $172.74 (Bearish cascade setup) These setups will only activate after interaction with the rays, ensuring trades align with market structure and smart money flow. The next move starts from the next ray, so trade what’s in front of you! 🚀 Trading Strategies Using Rays: The Path of Least Resistance The Rays from the Beginning of Movement framework allows us to anticipate ODFL’s price action not by predicting static levels, but by tracking how price interacts with dynamic Fibonacci-based rays. These rays, layered with VSA analysis, define market structure and let us ride high-probability setups as price moves from one ray to the next. 📌 Key Concept: We don’t blindly enter at fixed levels. Instead, we wait for interaction with rays, confirmation from VSA volume shifts, and alignment with Moving Averages, which serve as dynamic resistance/support zones. 🚀 Optimistic Scenario: Bulls Take Control If ODFL holds support and buyers step in at key VSA interaction points, we can expect a steady climb up the ray structure. Entry Zone: $184.03 - $185.47 (VSA confirmation needed) First Target: $189.05 (Initial breakout test) Second Target: $192.18 (Momentum build-up) Third Target: $196.57 (Trend confirmation) 💡 Bullish Momentum Factor: Price reclaiming MA50 ($189.07) and flipping it into support would be a game-changer. If this aligns with a VSA Buy Volume spike, expect acceleration. 🔻 Pessimistic Scenario: Sellers Keep Control If resistance holds and ODFL fails to reclaim higher rays, bears will drag price to lower support zones. Entry Zone: $189.05 - $192.18 (Failure to break) First Target: $184.03 (Breakdown confirmation) Second Target: $181.54 (Bearish continuation) Third Target: $172.74 (Capitulation zone) 💡 Bearish Breakdown Factor: If MA50 ($189.07) & MA100 ($189.42) reject price with a VSA Sell Volume spike, it’s an early warning of a deeper move. 🔥 Possible Trade Setups Long from $184.03 → $189.05 (VSA buy confirmation at support) Breakout Long from $189.05 → $196.57 (Momentum above MA50) Short from $189.05 → $184.03 (Failure to hold resistance) Breakdown Short from $181.54 → $172.74 (Bearish cascade setup) These setups will only activate after interaction with the rays, ensuring trades align with market structure and smart money flow. The next move starts from the next ray, so trade what’s in front of you! 🚀
NASDAQ:ODFLShort
by brandlabelden