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Nasdaq 100 Drops More Than 4.0% Amid Market UncertaintyThe Nasdaq 100 index has already accumulated a loss of over 4.0% during today’s session and has declined more than 12% since its peak on February 18. The strong bearish movement remains intact as the market anticipates that the new 25% tariffs imposed on countries like Mexico and Canada could begin affecting production costs for U.S. companies. In the long run, this may lead to a low-return environment that could be unfavorable for the index. Additionally, companies such as Amazon, Nvidia, and Microsoft have seen declines between 3% and 5% in recent sessions, reinforcing the bearish pressure on the Nasdaq due to their heavy weighting within the index. Momentum Accelerates With the strong downward bias currently present in the chart, selling pressure has been able to break through the support level at 19,700 points. However, the rapid price acceleration is beginning to have a significant impact, which could lead to short-term bullish corrections. Oversold Indicators Bollinger Bands: The bearish momentum has broken below the lower Bollinger Band, which could indicate a high acceleration in recent price movements. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI line continues to decline below the oversold level of 30, suggesting an imbalance between buying and selling forces. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD histogram has dropped to levels not seen since July 2024, indicating a persistent downward acceleration without giving buyers an opportunity to regain control. The alignment of these indicators suggests a significant acceleration of the bearish trend, which may lead to a standardization of bullish corrections in the short term. Key Levels: 18,800 points – Near-Term Support: This level corresponds to lows not seen since September 2024. Persistent trading below this level could further accelerate the strong downward bias currently present in the chart. 19,700 points – New Resistance Zone: This level aligns with the lower Bollinger Band, which may serve as the area where potential bullish corrections could take place in the short term. 20,500 points – Distant Resistance: A neutral zone that has been tested by price movements in recent months. A sustained rally back to this level could challenge the current bearish sentiment prevailing in the market. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
1
Tesla I Tipping Point: Short Opportunity with Head & Shoulders Short opportunity on Tesla Based on Technical + Fundamental View -market structure -Head and shoulder pattern -Double top -Currently trading at supply zone which was a recent support and now an ideal place for a reversal to create the right shoulder of the bigger head and shoulder pattern - Daily time frame -Product Development Delays -Margin Pressure -Decreased average selling price - Increased Competition - Flat /Declining Sales - Leadership Concerns: Elon Musk's polarizing political activities and his divided attention between Tesla and other ventures (such as his involvement with OpenAI) have raised concerns among investors. Some analysts suggest that Musk's public perception may negatively impact consumer sentiment towards Tesla, leading to decreased sales and loyalty among customers. Technical view Double top Unlike the classic double top, where the second peak reaches or exceeds the height of the first peak, the Type III double top fails to reach the previous high. This failure signifies a significant shift in market sentiment and an increase in selling pressure than usal. Head and shoulder pattern - Pretty visible. Right shoulder is yet to be formed, Which makes an ideal place to SELL with a Risk Reward ratio. (Approx 1:6.4) Pro Tip Wait for a bearish candle stick pattern to execute trades on end of the day keeping stop loss somewhere above the supply zone. Target 1 - 307$ Target 2 - 271$ Target 3 - 237$ Stop Loss - 380.21$ Fundamental View Valuation Concerns: Tesla's stock is currently viewed as significantly overvalued, with a fair value estimate of $210 per share according to multiple analysts, including Morningstar and Firstrade. This valuation reflects a substantial premium over its current trading price, indicating potential downside risk for investors. Earnings Performance: Tesla's Q4 2024 earnings are anticipated to show continued improvement, with expectations of gross profit margins exceeding 20%. Analysts believe that the automotive segment's performance has stabilized after a challenging first half of the year, driven by increased deliveries and lower production costs. Market Dynamics: Despite strong demand for Tesla's vehicles, the company faces pressures from declining average selling prices due to price cuts implemented in 2023. This trend is expected to continue as competition intensifies in the electric vehicle (EV) market. Product Development: Tesla is set to launch new models, including an affordable SUV (Model Q) aimed at increasing market share in the lower-priced vehicle segment. Additionally, advancements in autonomous driving technology are critical for future growth, with plans to roll out Level 3 Full Self-Driving software in select states and regions. Analyst Ratings: The consensus among analysts remains mixed, with a combination of "buy," "hold," and "sell" ratings. The average price target reflects a cautious outlook, suggesting that while there is potential for upside, significant risks remain due to valuation concerns and competitive pressures. Not an investment Advise
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
7
Navigating NAS100 with Key Levels and Market SentimentKey Levels: Resistance remains at 21,600–21,700, where price is struggling to sustain higher levels. Support lies around 20,800–21,000, a strong buy zone on higher timeframes. Fundamental Outlook: With upcoming key data (FOMC and GDP), markets are likely to remain volatile. A hawkish FOMC statement may lead to bearish pressure, pushing NAS100 lower toward the 20,800–21,000 support zone. Conversely, dovish commentary or weak GDP figures could provide a bullish breakout above 21,600, targeting 21,800–22,000. Rationale: The price is testing a major resistance zone (21,600–21,700) but shows signs of hesitation and rejection on multiple timeframes. A hawkish FOMC decision or commentary could trigger a sell-off, aligning with the probability of bearish momentum. Action: If price fails to break and hold above 21,600, short near 21,550–21,600. Stop Loss: 21,700 Take Profits: TP1: 21,300 TP2: 21,000 TP3: 20,800 Focus on a short position, especially if price fails to sustain above 21,600 during the London or New York sessions
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by BLESSEDPIPS
NASDAQ - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame) 20000.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 20548.20 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 21248.00, 21722.90, 22203.25 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 21248.00 21722.90 22203.25 22500.00 23000.00 23500.00 24000.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . Please show your support back, . . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 BOOST button, . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment! 🙏 Your Support is appreciated! Let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
IG:NASDAQLong
by ForecastCity
30
NAS_break_21880_then-whats-nextNAS on daily view this is my current view, we need to check once it break the last Higher low on some fibs this is also a 178.6% extended fib view, so it wil be interesting to see what happens, what is it that market makers wants to do then again to the other side, once it breaks the high of the left side of the W, we could see a retracement to the the "Golden zone(50%-61%fib)" also some loads of liquidity in that long wick lets see what this week brings us
OANDA:NAS100USD
by CryptAlo