Nasdaqidea
NFP NASif 15100 holds we can see a nice move to the down side tapping into that 4hr order block and buy side liquidity around 14900
now if 15100 doesn't hold we can see a move up to clear the remaining sell side liquidity around 15160 -15220
im short side biased at the moment a break of 15050 should open the door for a nice move down to those both of those green lines if no break i wouldnt enter waiting on confirmation but keep a eye on this trade safely its NFP
Nasdaq -> Preparing The Bearish WaveHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Nas100 just retested and already started to reject the major previous weekly structure zone at the psychological $15.000 level.
You can also see that Nas100 retested the resistance of the very bullish rising channel, the next support would be the 38.2% fibonacci retracement level at the $14.000 zone so I am just waiting for more bearish pressure and then I do expect more upside potential.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Nas100 finally broke structure towards the downside with Monday's candle so this is a sign that Nas100 is actually slowing down - I do expect another push lower to retest daily support at the $14.300 level and then I do expect a first bullish rejection.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Nasdaq Short Idea For The Coming Days Or Weeks.This is my analysis on the Nasdaq, I'm anticipating selling down to any of those two weekly fair value gaps, what will confirm if any of those fair value gaps will hold price and have us see an expansion to the upside is if price breaks structure bullishly to the upside on the 4 hour time frame, for now shorts are ideal for this market condition.
Nasdaq: Taking a Break… 😮💨Currently, Nasdaq is taking a break from the exhausting ascent it has realized from the low of wave iv in turquoise. However, we expect the index to activate some more upwards momentum, expanding wave v in turquoise so that a higher top of wave i in orange can be reached. This done, Nasdaq should turn downwards and drop below the support at 13 566 points to develop wave ii in orange. There is a 40% chance, though, that the index could bounce off this mark, finishing wave alt.iv in turquoise instead. In that case, we would expect a delayed expansion of wave alt.ii in orange and thus a delayed drop below the mentioned support line.
Next week - Several potential buying zones on NQ/US100 CAPITALCOM:US100 , CME_MINI:NQ1!
As the Nasdaq market is bullish at present, I expect the market to continue rising. In this analysis, based on the market's structure, you can find multiple possible buying zones with a high probability of buying scenario.
Follow for more
US100 3June2023it could be that wave 5 is extending to the 1,618 level, this does not violate the elliot wave rule.
Many people misunderstand the Elliot wave rule, they think that wave 3 must be the longest, but in fact wave 3 is not the shortest. in this case wave 3 is longer than wave 1, but wave 5 is longer than wave 3. so, wave 3 is still not the shortest of the 3 impulse waves that occurred.
US100 Continuation Up Trend After the breakout of the 14,000 level we will see a continuation towards the 15,000 level after a retest of the supply zone or a direct continuation towards the next demand zone
US100 22May2023Nasdaq moves higher according to last week's analysis. right now I'm trying to pull the Fibo extend from wave I and the price position is still not 1:1 with wave I. There is a possibility of a wave III extend so you can enjoy long bullish here, take the opportunity to buy when there is a slight retracement
$NQ1! - Busy week ahead! CME_MINI:NQ1! - Busy week ahead!
We've got a busy calendar ahead of us and remember it's first day of the month - May a Lot of US Data!
1. ISM
2. JOLTS
3. ADP
4. FOMC
5. NFP
Now that's a busy week and I know for some, they will be stepping back and not trading during a hectic week ahead, but I do feel there will be plenty of opportunities. Now, banking sector is at the key spot light ahead of this week mentions of First Republic Bank will be acquired by JPMorgan after rescue efforts fail. It's not first time this year, we've heard a bank go under, and unfortunately that's part of the cycle as rates head higher, a lot of sectors get hurt, look at real estate and this is what I mentioned months prior - I well recommend researching more in depth. Keep in mind FED want a 2% target for inflation...Expectation is for the FOMC to lift rates by 25bps at its May meeting, now the real question is will they pause after this hike or carry on, whilst we got credit tightening...
Now technically looking at NQ
Highs: 13391
Lows: 12787
At the moment we've got Kangaroo action until a break to either side - If we are to break the highs, I expect next area of interest to be 13660 areas. However, we are to break the lows, I expect 12481 areas.
NQ has held relatively well within the conditions we are in, interesting times ahead.
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 MAY 08NQ scenario 4, rotational trade yielded 470pts from 3 trades.
Test and Reject/Accept setups consistently offers low risk trades.
NQ was in rotation for a month now.
Friday saw a low volume mark up, and could be trapping longs.
Previous scenario planning remains.
Given the rotation has progressed thus far, inexperienced traders should just wait.
CAPS FOR EMPHASIS-MY TENDENCY TO TRADE SCENARIO4 WILL NOW BE DIMINISHED.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is resolved
Then:
2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740 = long at support of upper boundary of range
3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range = Short on rejection of 12950
4) The longer the rotation, the riskier will be rotational trade.
Long on support between 12950-13040 | Short on rejection between 13350-13212
Volume Analysis:
Friday's mark up on average volume, with close away from the high, is weakness on the bar.
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13740 13350
13316 12950 10710 - 11068
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
*For educational purpose only.
Nasdaq: Tough Sledding 🐌🛷Nasdaq is shuffling on, but the going is tough – to coin a phrase. However, we expect the bears to take more action soon! They should drag the index into the orange zone between 12 577 and 12 136 points, where wave ii in orange should end. Afterward, the bulls should take the helm again, inciting Nasdaq to develop wave iii in orange, which should reach about 14 000 points – providing that the support line at 11 806 points remains intact.