NASDAQThis Is Another Perspective On The Nasdaq Analysis I Just Shared, What Can Also Happen Is Nasdaq Trading Above Monday's High To Form A Classic Tuesday High Of The Week, We'll See Tomorrow What Is Likely To Happen Between The Two Anticipations.
Nasdaqshort
Nasdaq ShortsNasdaq With the Anticipation Of A Classic Expansion With Monday Forming The High Of The Week.
High Probability Trading Environments Part 2: Liquidity RunsIn this educational video, we'll explore the distinction between High Resistance Liquidity Runs and Low Resistance Liquidity Runs, crucial for identifying High Probability Trading Environments. Our analysis will focus on NAS100USD, providing insights into potential trading opportunities for the week ahead.
By understanding these concepts, you'll gain valuable insights into positioning yourself effectively in the market. Be sure to watch to gain a comprehensive understanding of the key confluences that contribute to successful trading strategies.
Understanding Trend Analysis, SMT and ICT Concepts
Mastering High Probability Trading Environments Part 1
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Possible sell opportunity on NASDAQwere on a 3rd day of push to the downside, also currently in the golden zone and also in Premium zone. On the 4H & 15 min time frame weve reached order blocks. Id go for a 1:2 RR for this just to keep it light since this still is an uptrend. If it goes beyond the 2nd leg the trade will be invalid
NAS100USD: Exploring Potential Sell OpportunitiesCurrently, NAS100USD shows signs of a potential sell-side draw towards the H1 Bullish Order Block . This hypothesis is reinforced by several confluences, notably the presence of inefficiencies such as Liquidity Void and Fair Value Gaps at discount prices, which typically signal opportune moments for smart money to capitalize on profits.
For confirmation of entries, we await a pullback into the H4 Bearish Order Block, which also features Buy Stop Liquidity below it, serving as our selling target.
Stay tuned for an in-depth video analysis of NAS100USD to further dissect this potential trading opportunity.
Kind Regards,
The_Architect
Short METAThe recent top is our first pivot point, we will anchor short entries below the 472 level with target 1 at the previous top 384. This is the first test trade against a pivot top and a tight stop range should be set.
There is a massive short upcoming which will be a steep fall, a crash fractal unless the cycle alters in an unlikely event.
Trade safe, stay connected..... good luck
NASDAQ Looking Very Bearish After D Closure , Time To Sell ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
NAS sitting on the fenceWith NVIDIA earnings due, NAS seems to be sitting on the fence in terms of direction, so I am considering all options
Feel free to comment what your thinking or what i've missed
NAS100
simple trading - follow the trend
A very bullish market always needs a pullback. What a great Head and Shoulders pattern for a reversal to the downside. NAS100 has officially broken below all bullish trend lines on the Daily. NAS100 is looking to create more sell pressure. With NAS100 being at the top of its weekly trend, look for a correction. Massive sell if NAS100 cannot remain above the 4hr support zone.
BULLS :
Buy at 17588 4hr support,
If candles remain above this area and create bullish momentum, look for a target at 17661. A new higher lower should be a confirmation for continuation to the upside.
BEARS :
Wait for a retest to 17661 with bearish candles, Do NOT sell now but wait for a retest
*Previous sell opportunity:
17730
17665
This week's trading:
Look for NAS100 to consolidate and respect market support and resistance areas. Once the market has made a decision, then we trade!
NASDAQ ANALYSIS💸NASDAQ💸
Chart : 4Hour
Overall Trend : Bullish
Current Market Structure : Downtrend
Scenario 1 : |
If you look at the overall trend on Nasdaq , we are currently in a bullish market .
As price is respecting our trend-line .
Where price is now we are currently sitting at a 4Hour supply area ,where sellers can come into play . As CPI impulsive move to the downside was recovered by the correction phase .
Possible sell opportunities on the lower timeframe if 4h supply area holds , counter trend
NAS100 - MONDAY'S SMALL SHORT FOR BIG LONG! (TARGET 17265)As you might have noticed, the Nasdaq is on fire and I'm more of a reversal trader so times are harder. But, there is an old saying that states: "the trend is your ". I forgot the rest but I'll let you figure out the last word. So in homage of this old saying, we'll tighten our bullish running shoes and propose a setup that satisfies both camps. Here's what I see happening on Monday (29/01/2024):
What is on the chart? (follow the steps)
1) We have our liquidity target level which gave place to the continuation of the rally. So far so good for bulls, price is going up and their net worths too.
2) Our first reversal structure, with a low taken out and the high intact.
3) This is our retracement signal, confirming the market structure shift to the downside. This is paired with the fact that price broke the hourly Tenkan and Kijun + the Tenkan and the Kijun crossed over + breaking the Kumo + breaking the latest low. Additionally, the 4H Kijun and Tenkan reside within the 1H Kumo so those too were broken (not shown on the chart to promote clarity). These are reliable reversal signals. I am not trying to be a contrarian against the general trend but, this is how we spot general highs and lows. The daily is simply bullish so it's harder to spot a minor intraday opportunity such as this one.
4) This rejection confirms our reversal idea, and strengthens the probability of sellside liquidity getting taken out.
5) This is our final target, ideally the 1 Hour FVG. Again, on Monday anything can happen of course but this seems the most likely. I want these lows taken out before anything and, therefore we can short in anticipation of these lows getting taken out!
Most importantly, take some rest and have a great weekend! ;)
Nasdaq sell ideaOANDA:NAS100USD
Retest at 17 438 for a potential move to the downside after price broke bullish structure on the 1h.
NAS100 - MY DAILY AND INTRADAY ANALYSES (TARGET 17300)Yes this is contrarian, markets are booming but it's quite overextended and going long at a top is the most monkey trader thing to do. I'll do a reverse analysis where I start with the intraday and follow up with the daily. So here's my take on things:
What's on the intraday chart? (Follow the steps)
1) A 4 hour bearish FVG. This will serve as my entry zone.
2) Our 'support line'. You'll notice price keeps on making lower lows.
3) Our liquidity target. This is the price magnet. We know for certain (discretionary) that price will take this out.
4) The entry point. Again, do your own research. Do not follow the analysis from some random stranger on the internet and go all in (you degenerate).
5) The intraday target. The order of things matter. If we hit this before hitting the short entry then you might wanna reverse the idea but I do not like the idea of longing in an overextended market!
What's on the daily chart? (Follow the steps)
1) The previous all time high that was violently broken.
2) Our swing extension target area. This is great to know where to take partials or close entire positions in new price territories. Of course price can always go further towards 2 or 2.618 or anything else (it's up to you where you wanna take partials).
3) The bearish candle pattern: kind-of a mix between a gravestone, a spinning top, a shooting star and whatever other label I can muster to justify my bias lol. To me this is the main driver of the bearish bias!
4) Maximum target. I do not see price going any lower and the intraday target is more sane so I don't really expect price to go that low either.
5) The continuation of the rally. People love buying. I do not see that changing anytime soon.
As always, have a lovely day and happy trading! ;)
Nasdaq Crash Loading - The Black Swan The current state of the NASDAQ indicates an extreme overbought condition, with a rally influenced by speculation surrounding six potential rate cuts in 2024. However, the risk arises from the Federal Reserve's concern about inflation. If the Fed, in response to persistent inflation, opts to raise rates, it could lead to a market decline. Conversely, a decision to cut rates may not be sufficient to buoy the stock market if the number of cuts is lower than expected.
Examining current fundamentals, the housing market has stabilized with low prices and mortgage rates. Although there is a rebound, a potential increase in housing speculation and mortgage rates could prompt a reassessment. Improved employee wages contribute to consumer confidence against inflation.
President Joe Biden's initiatives, such as pausing student loan payments in November and plans to provide homes for 500,000 Americans, may stimulate housing demand, causing prices to rise. This could prompt a review of interest rates and a tightening of monetary policies.
While I maintain a long-term bullish outlook, anticipating a correction of at least 50%, it is prudent to reevaluate macroeconomic indicators at that point to determine whether to take profits or continue holding.
Will stock market crash in 2024?Hello everyone i want share my idea bout NAS100 price action at higher timeframe, here i will tell some reasons why stock market will stop moving up and change it will change trend.
First we had at stock market pretty good bullish movement in 2023. If we look economy of America they are in trouble, last few months of 2023 we had pretty bearish movement at US20 bond and DXY (Dollar index) but this year Dollar started positive trend with positive fundamentally news, Interest rates are high and it need correction, everyone in 2024 waiting for interest rate cuts but we don't have yet any indicative new which will approve rate cuts.
In last of autumn i published my idea about US20 bond and dollar index where i was bearish ( I will share that idea in this post) i was thinking bearish trend for high interest rates, after autumn us economy and dollar start fall until 2024 January.
If this price movement of dollar will continue that trend and the fundamentally will help then we will get new rates which will be lower. if we look NAS100 with technical analysis we have new all time high and big weekly divergence, if that divergence will work we will get lower rates and new opportunity for invest in stock market.
In second post i will talk my idea about stock SunPower corporation, which price will follow lower rate and it is perfect investment if rates will cut.
NASDAQ Sell OpportunityPrice provided with a head & shoulder pattern plus an AB=CD pattern. I am anticipating bearishness after a long the newly formed Lower Low
NAS100 - MY INTRADAY ANALYSIS (TARGET 16630)Here I'm trying to change things up with a smaller timeframe (15min) analysis because the daily is nice but how does one trade that? Well here you have it.
What is on the chart?
1) Yesterday's session low, aka sellside liquidity, that hasn't yet been taken out which gives us a juicy target for the day.
2) Yesterday's consolidation that gave the upper hand to bulls in the AM session but now it serves us for our bearish bias of the day.
3) Price wicking once more in the daily FVG and not taking out the high. Great news for bears.
4) Price retraced back into the reload zone (0.702 notably) and furthered its descent into bear territory.
5) Bearish 1 hour order block. Will be used partly for our entry coupled with the fibs.
6) London session lows that will also serve as a target. When there's an accumulation of targets it increases the probability of success when placing a trade aiming in that direction.
7) My ideal entry. To your own discretion, I can afford losing 1%, can you? (affording something isn't just monetary can also be psychological. Can you cope with losing your money once more because of the idea of a stranger on the internet?)
8) The outcome I'm looking for. If we're going for a bearish scenario this is what should (I want to) happen.
NOTE: Retail Sales data release 08:30 NY time. Could make it or break it.
Happy trading and have a nice day! ;)
NAS100 - MY BEARISH SCENARIO (TARGET 16500)What are we looking at?
1) An all-time-high (ATH) to end 2023 with fireworks and champagne.
2) A sneaky daily bearish FVG that we know is relevant thanks to step 5 and 7.
3) A retracement creating a range that ends on the notorious 0.618 fib level (weekly fib).
4) The continuation of the general trend, price pulls back into the range and creates a daily bullish FVG. It is indeed plausible that price does continue and forms a new ATH but for arguments sake, I prefer the probabilities a short gives me in a premium market with more liquidity to grab on the sellside.
5) Price halts in the bearish FVG mentioned in step 2 and prior to that created a 4H bullish FVG.
6) The CPI release had price wick into the 4H FVG and back into the consolidation we go!
7) Price wicking at multiple occasions in the daily bearish FVG which is to me a primary signal for a short setup despite all the bullish price action around it. Listen, if price breaks buyside aggressively, no short will be taken. We need price to break a low and then a short structure may present itself.
8) Here we have the potential break to the downside, taking out sellside liquidity. We can also call this a break-of-structure.
9) A pullback for a potential short entry and voilà.
10) 2 targets for partials.
NFA and happy trading guys! ;)
NASDAQ ANALYSIS💸NASDAQ💸
Chart : Daily
Overall Trend : Bullish
Current Market Structure : Downtrend
Scenario 1 :
Price is currently waiting to create new higher high on the daily time frame . This cause also give us a confluence as to bullish momentum coming to an end .
I will be looking for intra day set ups . But I would like to see how price reacts to our Daily OB .
If we do respect our daily OB price will continue moving towards the upside .
Scenario 2 :
If we do not respect our daily OB . We can expect price to move towards the downside ,signifying that bearish momentum has come into play . & We can look for shorts
Nasdaq sell signal Analysis Greetings traders, recently NQ has seen significant bullish momentum. While I maintain a bullish outlook for the long term, I anticipate a short-term retracement in the upcoming week before potential further upward movement, I'm interstend on shorting it at the FVG after a BOS while it's creating a MMSM .
Nasdaq weakness before Christmas?Nasdaq weakness before Christmas?
Barely hanging on to gains in a streak lasting ten days, US stocks managed to recover from initial losses and were trading slightly higher on Wednesday. The attempt to secure a tenth consecutive session of gains pushed the Nasdaq 100 to a new record high of 16,830.
In December, the Nasdaq has seen an increase of over 5%, and its performance for 2023 stands at 43%, on track for its best year since 2020. These gains can be attributed to expectations of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates next year. Additionally, positive economic data this week exceeded expectations, with existing home sales unexpectedly rising and CB consumer confidence experiencing its most significant increase since early 2021.
The NAS100 Index is currently trading above both the 200-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. However, it is not far from yesterday’s close which raises caution, as it could suggest either a consolidation phase or a potential reversal.
In the short term, there may be some weakness targeting the 16,750 area and 16,400, the latter being the level where consolidation occurred at the beginning of December before the most recent upward movement.
NASDAQ Long Term Short PositionNAS moving in a parallel channel, getting resistance with bearish divergence on weekly time frame.
It's a long term trade so manage your risk accordingly.
