Nasdaqsignals
NASDAQ Santa rally is starting.Nasdaq (NDX) has been following the blueprint of the 2020/21 Bull Cycle to high precision so far, as we showed on our analysis almost 4 months ago (August 19, see chart below):
As you can see it is already marching towards Target 1 (23250) on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, well inside the Channel Up. We expect that to get hit by the final week of December, which can be translated as the infamous 'Santa rally', a frequent seasonal price increase at the end of the year.
As mentioned, this Channel Up displays strong similarities with the patterns of August 2020 - November 2021 and before the COVID crash of December 2019 - February 2020. All those Channel Up patterns are within the dominant long-term structure of the 6-year Bullish Megaphone.
The key here is for the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) to hold and continue to offer support, as within those 6 years the only two times it broke were during the corrections of the 2022 Inflation Crisis and the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
As long as it holds, the current Channel Up should, besides the immediate Target 1 (23250), complete the sequence and peak towards the end of 2025 as close to a +185% rise (from the October 2022 bottom) as possible. This is why our long-term strategic Target (2) is a little lower at 27000.
As a side-note, see how well the 1W RSI held and bounced in September on the Symmetrical Support Zone, in similar fashion as 2020 - 2021. Also the 1W MACD displays a similar pattern between the two fractals.
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Tradingdaq | GOLD Market Daily Technical AnalysisThe Gold OANDA:XAUUSD price perfectly filled my last idea yesterday. We have seen rejection twice from 2,650 areas. However, if the price keeps above the support price of 2,620, I will look for the Gold 3rd time testing in 2,660. If the Gold price increases and a bullish candle again closes above 2,660, my mid-term target will be 2,700.
Market Analysis for NAS100USD: Bullish Outlook
Technical Perspective
1. Trendline Support:
• The chart shows NAS100USD bouncing off a key ascending trendline support (marked in red). This signifies strong buying interest at this level, maintaining the uptrend structure.
• The bounce coincides with a horizontal support zone near 20,725, adding further strength to this level.
2. Stochastic Indicators:
• The Stochastic Divergence and other oscillators appear to be recovering from oversold levels, suggesting that selling pressure is waning and a bullish reversal could be forming.
• These indicators align with potential upward momentum if buyers step in at this critical juncture.
3. Chart Patterns:
• A higher low structure remains intact, supporting continued bullish sentiment.
• If the price moves above 20,800, it may break through to test the next resistance near 21,000-21,200, the previous high.
Macro and Fundamental Factors
1. Earnings and Economic Data:
• As per the Forex Factory Calendar and other resources:
• Any positive economic data today (e.g., GDP revisions or labor market data) could boost tech-heavy indices like NAS100USD.
• Investors are likely positioning ahead of potential positive earnings surprises or data releases.
2. Sector Strength:
• Tech companies, heavily represented in NAS100, benefit from stabilizing Treasury yields or dovish Fed sentiment.
• If bond yields remain steady or decline, growth stocks within NAS100USD could see inflows.
3. Risk Sentiment:
• Broader market sentiment today is tilting toward risk-on behavior, as evidenced by positive global equities.
• A continued reduction in geopolitical tensions or other market risks could further favor upward movement.
Key Levels to Watch
• Immediate Resistance: 20,800-21,000. A break above this zone could see a quick move toward 21,200.
• Key Support: 20,700. If this level holds, it strengthens the case for a bullish continuation.
• Target Zone: 21,200+ if resistance is broken.
Conclusion:
With the trendline support intact, oversold indicators turning upward, and a potential risk-on macro environment, NAS100USD is poised for a rebound. As long as the 20,700-20,725 zone holds, we expect a move upward toward 21,000-21,200 in the near term. This bullish outlook is contingent on no major surprises from economic data releases or unexpected market shocks.
NASDAQ looking to hold the 4H MA50 in order to sustain the rallyNasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today is looking to re-test it as a Support. The medium-term pattern has been a Channel Up since the September 06 Low and every time the 4H MA50 broke following a bottom, it held and sustained the Bullish Leg until the top.
It appears that the most common rally % within this pattern is +6.80%. As a result, assuming the 4H MA50 holds, our Target is 21650.
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A Groundbreaking Weekly Close: Is a Big Move Loading?
🔥 The market has spoken, and it’s speaking LOUD. 🔥
This past week’s historic close is nothing short of monumental. For the first time, the market confidently surged above the previous All-Time High (ATH) — breaking through with conviction backed by exceptional volume. But what does this mean for the days ahead? Let’s break it down.
A Look Back: What History Tells Us
📈 Reversal That Changed the Game:
Earlier this year, the market reversed from a minor dip at the ATH with a surge in liquidity. That move ignited a massive 10% rally. And now, we see the same conditions emerging:
Liquidity ✔️
Strong volume ✔️
Breakthrough resistance ✔️
🔎 The Election Week Trap:
Sometimes, the market plays tricks. The US Election Week candle gave us a massive move but was immediately retraced the following week. This teaches us an important lesson: ignore the noise and focus on what truly matters — consistent price action backed by volume.
Why This Weekly Close Stands Out
✅ Exceptional Volume: Unlike election-driven volatility, this close is supported by sustained buying pressure.
✅ Breaking Major Resistance: The market isn’t just flirting with the ATH; it’s clearing it decisively.
✅ Momentum Reset: We’re now undoing the noise from previous eventful candles and focusing on the real trajectory.
What’s Next: Is Another 10% Rally in the Cards?
The stars are aligning for a potential repeat of history. With liquidity unlocked and resistance broken, the market could be gearing up for an even bigger move in the coming days. This past week’s candle could be the foundation for a new bullish wave, signaling a continuation to higher highs.
🧠 Key Takeaways for Traders
💡 Ignore the distraction of single-event candles like the election weeks — focus on volume-backed closes.
💡 Watch for sustained momentum — this close is a signal, not just a moment.
💡 Be prepared for potential follow-through that could mirror the prior 10% move or even exceed it.
⚡ Conclusion: The Market Is Ready to Make a Move ⚡
This isn’t just a weekly close; it’s a statement. The market is poised, primed, and ready to go. Are you ready to ride the wave?
➡️ A major move is loading… and you don’t want to miss it.
🔔 Stay sharp, stay focused, and let the market show its hand!
PAIN REFORM Breakout Trade in Action!PAIN REFORM Trade Details:
A breakout in Pain Reform on the daily timeframe offers a promising long trade setup using the Risological swing trading indicator . Entry levels have been clearly identified, and the stock shows strong bullish momentum as it heads towards its profit targets.
Key Levels:
Entry: 1.32
Stop Loss (SL): 0.88
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.88
TP2: 2.77
TP3: 3.66
TP4: 4.21
PAIN REFORM Analysis:
The chart signals a strong trend reversal, with the breakout confirming bullish sentiment. The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable for this trade setup, and the stock is poised for further gains as it moves towards higher targets.
Outlook:
Monitor closely for momentum follow-through. With a robust breakout, the targets look achievable given sustained market interest and volume spikes.
Stay disciplined with stops to lock in profits!
What's Happening With Nasdaq100So as y'all know nasdaq had a big correction this year and in the same year a new ath (all time high). However, her structures are very chaotic hence the back n' forth compared to previous years.
She’s struggling at the 11th if july previous resistance and if broken then we up if not, the fall to balance things might just be a possibility. There's a trendline channel she's still in and it has been tested a lot. A 20800-850 break is all we need.
new maintained support at: 20316.
What's your take?
NASDAQ targeting 25400 in the next 6 months. Don't miss this!!Nasdaq (NDX) hit this month our 20900 long-term Target, a level we called 3 months ago (August 12, see chart below):
As you can see, the index has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up and with the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can determine on which phase of the Cycle we are.
Right now we are on the stage where the price has been rejected near the 0.786 Fib and pulled-back to the 0.5 Fib and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is exactly what took place from December 28 2023 to January 05 2024, i.e. during the previous Bullish Phase of the Channel. You can see that with the use of the Time Cycles, we can identify that the first such phase was on February 01 2023.
This is the phase that we've just completed and remarkably all 3 within the Channel Up completed a +20.88% rise. This further proves that the symmetry within this pattern is astounding. The larger Bullish Leg was completed on the previous two phases with a +49% and +48% rise respectively, so technically it is natural to assume that the current Bullish Phase (from the August 05 2024 bottom) will be completed on a +47% rise (-1% less than previously) at least.
This is why we're expecting to see 25400 as the next Higher High on a 6 month horizon.
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UltraPro QQQ. Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged betsIt's gone 10 days or so, since Mr. Trump has secured a win over his Democrat-rival Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as it declared by the Associated Press.
Since that, a lot of stocks soared in a meme-style mode, while Bitcoin clears $93,000 and Dogecoin soared amid Trump-fueled crypto rally.
The main graph is for UltraPro QQQ NASDAQ:TQQQ and it indicates, that major 82-Dollars resistance for leveraged bets on Tech sector has not been broken yet.
👉 NASDAQ:QQQ is a traditional ETF that tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index, suitable for long-term investors seeking broad exposure to tech-focused stocks.
👉 NASDAQ:TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to deliver triple (3x) the daily returns of the Nasdaq-100 Index, making it only suitable for short-term traders.
Since US dollar interest rates are still near multi year highs and Powell says the Fed is in no hurry to cut interest rates.. all of that means Trump-a-rally gives no light for leveraged bets (yet).
Potentially everything can be clear in January, 2025 only.
GL y'all. Cheers, @Pandorra 😎
HARROW 16% INTRADAY DROP CAUGHT!Technical Analysis: HARROW (15-Minute Timeframe)
This chart demonstrates a highly profitable short trade executed with precision using the Risological Indicator. A stellar 16% profit was captured in this intraday trade, showcasing the power of momentum trading.
Trade Details
Stock: HARROW
Timeframe : 15-Minute
Entry Price : $52
Exit Price : $43
Profit : $9 per share (16% intraday return)
Key Technical Observations
Perfect Entry Point:
The entry at $52 aligns with the beginning of a sharp bearish breakout, as identified by the Risological Indicator. The indicator’s red resistance bands provided clear confirmation of a strong downward trend.
Momentum Confirmation:
A steep decline immediately followed the entry, with heavy bearish candles confirming the strength of sellers in the market.
The gap and acceleration downwards signify a likely reaction to negative news or market-wide pressure.
Dynamic Resistance:
The price consistently respected the downward-sloping resistance bands, highlighting the dominance of sellers and a clear absence of bullish recovery attempts.
Exit at $43:
The exit near the $43 level demonstrates disciplined profit-taking, as the stock begins to consolidate and show signs of slowing bearish momentum.
Analysis of Results
This short trade captured the entirety of a massive 16% intraday move, leveraging the indicator’s precise trend-following signals. The sharp entry and timely exit reflect the strength of the Risological Indicator in identifying and capitalizing on market momentum.
Key Takeaways
Trend Confirmation is Critical: The trade capitalized on the established bearish trend, ensuring high probability of success.
Indicator Precision: The Risological Indicator’s dynamic resistance bands provided clear visual cues for both entry and exit, removing guesswork.
Risk Management: By exiting as momentum slowed, the trader avoided potential losses from a reversal or consolidation phase.
This trade underscores the importance of using robust tools like the Risological Indicator to stay ahead in volatile markets, transforming short-term opportunities into substantial profits.
Nasdaq Insights: 13-NOV-2024Good morning! Join me for today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies.
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NASDAQ Extremely bullish for the next 30 days.Nasdaq (NDX) is extending a very aggressive post-election rally that is coming after a clear technical hold on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This is just a short-term movement inside a (blue) Channel Up that emerged after the index rebounded on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which in turn is the Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up pattern.
As you can see, the price action is so far very similar to the Channel's previous Bullish Leg that also started on a 1D MA200 hold (October 26 2023). Based on the 1D MACD's Bullish Cross and the 1D RSI bullish reversal, we are in symmetrical terms on a situation similar to January 23 2024, with the price above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
We still expect a similar +30% rise from the last bottom (August 05) to be completed, so our 22000 medium-term Target is intact.
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