NATURAL GAS Analysis 13July2023if you look at the history that usually occurs, when you meet a curve pattern like this, the price will rise quite high.
Natgassignal
NATURAL GAS BEARISH OUTLOOKThe cold weather in US had done little to support a price rise of the Natural Gas, while the consumption was lower than predicted.
The price of the gas had broken its support at $5.3 and might be heading further down, testing prices of 4.25 in the next couple of days. In the opposite scenario the price might try to reach levels of $6.07
RSI and MACD both are supporting the bearish movement with MACD histogram below 0 line and RSI below the 50 neutral line.
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NatGas: Caffeine Overdose ☕️🔋Looks like somebody overindulged on caffeine yesterday since NatGas jumped quite high to complete wave a in pink. We're currently expecting the course to drop back below the resistance line at $7.221 to finish off wave b in pink, before starting another climb above this mark. As soon as NatGas has crossed $7.221, it should rise further to complete wave (B) in white near the resistance at $9.238. A 33% chance remains, though, that NatGas could continue the downwards movement and fall below the support at $5.547, thus triggering further descent below $4.750 and into the pink zone between $4.068 and $3.493.
Gas Long SetupGAS Long Setup
🔵 Entry Level: $5.673
🟢 Take Profit: $6.094
⛔ Stop Loss: $5.441
Reasons:
- So far the price is respecting the ascending channel;
- I believe the price may bounce off the lower trendline in the area between $5.535 and $5.670.
Game Plan: If the price goes through the lower trendline (yellow), which at the moment acts as a support level, then I will be looking to open a short position on a retracement unless the 2nd trendline (white) acts as another support level.
Gas Long SetupGas Long Setup
🔵 Entry: $2.740
🟢 TP & RR: $2.890 (2.14)
⛔ Stop Loss: $2.670
Trade Reasons:
✔️ Oversold Level Market Flow
✔️ Diagonal Trend Line Support
Gas Long SetupGas Long Setup (refer to the setup marked with "2")
🔵 Entry: $2.704
🟢 TP & RR: $2.898 (3.4)
⛔ Stop Loss: $2.647
Trade Reasons:
✔️ Support level
✔️ Close to the 0.618 Fib retracement
✔️ Diagonal trend line within ascending channel
📝 A few things to note here:
1. Seeing how price action develops, you may close the trade setup suggested yesterday (marked as 1). You should end up with a tiny profit or break even (depending on the comission you pay). The current candle formation does not look promising for a long setup. Alternatively, trial the SL up as soon as/if price starts moving up.
2. I personally avoid having open positions near my entry level before the weekend, especially if that weekend happens to be the end of the month. So for me, this is a disproportionate risk.
3. Setup marked as "2" is the order I will be looking to open if price retraces to that level. The Stop Loss is not ideal, as I think it should be slighly under the 0.618 level, but I leave this up to you. Your RRR will decrease in proporiton to the distance to your SL.
Gas Long SetupGas Long Setup
🔵 Entry: $2.81
🟢 TP & RR: $3.04 (1.71)
⛔ Stop Loss: $2.67
Trade Reasons:
✔️ Reaching lower trend line
✔️ Reaching support level
✔️ Market Flow indicator printing small divergences in the oversold area
📝 Not a great RRR, but the SL is positioned at a very safe level below the diagonal trendline and the recent lowest low. If price bounces off that level I will be quick to trial the SL so that I minimize exposure and lock in some profits.
Nat. Gas. - LONG; Get ready to buy it up!Like the title says... This is a Buy here.
Here is the daily
Gas Climbing Up - Long OrderGas Climbing Up - Long Position
Entry: $2.715
TP & RR: $2.877 (3)
Stop Loss: $2.661
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
So far price action has formed a diagonal trend line, so I believe if it respects that level the price should bounce up and head towards a double top. There's also the possibility that we don't get filled and the price starts trending up without us, which is fine. We want to put the SL at a level that makes sense and the only one such is just too far, giving us a pretty bad Risk:Reward Ratio.
Gas Upper Trendline - Short PositionGas Upper Trendline - Short Trade
Entry: $2.845
TP & RR: $2.693 (2.08)
Stop Loss: $2.918
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
After the breakout from the descending channel, we see the price sliding up an inclined trend line. However, the price is now reaching major resistance and I believe there will be a small pullback before potential continuation to the 1.618 Fib Level. The Market Flow indicator is also starting to revert, indicating weakness.
The entry is somewhat conservative since we give the price some more room to continue up before we enter the trade. Opening a position against the trend is rarely a smart idea. The Stop Loss is well above the trendline, which doesn't give us a great RR, but at least we will have more time to assess the price action and potentially close the position if things are not looking too good.
NATGAS BUY TP_4.008_38.97%_1.124pips_SL_2.649_8.15%_0.235pipsNATGAS BUY TP_4.008_38.97%_1.124pips_SL_2.649_8.15%_0.235pips
NATGAS Update and New Trading SuggestionMidterm forecast:
2.200 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2.200 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of continuation of uptrend is increased.
While the RSI uptrend #2 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.640 on 07/20/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 2.500, 2.700, 2.950 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 74.
Trade Setup:
We opened 10 BUY trade(s) @ 1.94 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.07.29 :
Total Profit: 313 point
Closed trade(s): 109 point Profit
Open trade(s): 204 point Profit
Closed Profit:
TP2 @ 2.00 touched at 2020.08.03 with 6 point Profit.
TP3 @ 2.10 touched at 2020.08.03 with 16 point Profit.
TP4 @ 2.25 touched at 2020.08.04 with 31 point Profit.
TP5 @ 2.50 touched at 2020.08.04 with 56 point Profit.
6 + 16 + 31 + 56 = 109 point
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 2.45(current price) - 1.94 (open price) = 51 point
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 51 x 4 = 204 point
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (2.330) again. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Take Profits:
TP5= 2.500
TP6= 2.700
TP7= 2.950
TP8= 3.350
TP9= 3.700
TP10= Free
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NATGAS Update and New Trading SuggestionMidterm forecast:
2.200 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2.200 is broken.
Technical analysis:
The RSI downtrend #1 is broken, so the probability of continuation of uptrend is increased.
While the RSI uptrend #2 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 1.640 on 07/20/2020, so more gains to resistance(s) 2.500, 2.700, 2.950 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 74.
Trade Setup:
We opened 10 BUY trade(s) @ 1.94 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.07.29 :
Total Profit: 313 point
Closed trade(s): 109 point Profit
Open trade(s): 204 point Profit
Closed Profit:
TP2 @ 2.00 touched at 2020.08.03 with 6 point Profit.
TP3 @ 2.10 touched at 2020.08.03 with 16 point Profit.
TP4 @ 2.25 touched at 2020.08.04 with 31 point Profit.
TP5 @ 2.50 touched at 2020.08.04 with 56 point Profit.
6 + 16 + 31 + 56 = 109 point
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 2.45(current price) - 1.94 (open price) = 51 point
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 51 x 4 = 204 point
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (2.330) again. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
Take Profits:
TP5= 2.500
TP6= 2.700
TP7= 2.950
TP8= 3.350
TP9= 3.700
TP10= Free
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
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Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment let us know how do you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
NAT GAS off the lowsCollapsing oil prices due to travel bans fueled by the coronavirus slashed the global outlook for energy demand.
Natural gas futures plunged 7% to their lowest since 1995.
PIVOT INDICATOR HOLDING THE TREND SHORT
