2018.12.27 Short-term Natural GasLong-range weather model showing signs of colder weather approaching end of January. Bias is now bullish short/mid-term. Lets see if this bad boy can get back above 4 in the next week or two. Technically trend is still bearish as 20MA has yet to crossover 50MA, but will be looking for this cross to happen soon. For now, should tag 50MA on this next move up if weather still supports bullish price action. GL to everyone!
NATURAL GAS
NATGAS: Plan for 2018 into 2019Appears to be forming a flag and respecting the channel trend lines. Looking for a bounce next week (and 2 weeks) into fib/resistance ranges. The lesser probability is for the channel to break down into area of previous breakout. Currently neutral and looking for a bounce into resistance for next short position.
A great opportunity to buy in NGASMidterm forecast:
The current trend is uptrend and the forecast is continuation of uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI support #1 at 52 is not broken, the probability of price decrease would be too low.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 4.755 on 11/30/2018, so more losses to support(s) 4.400, 4.050, 3.800 and minimum to Trend Hunter Buy Zone (3.600 to 3.350) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 60.
Trading suggestion:
There is possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Buy Zone (3.600 to 3.350). We wait during the retracement, until the price tests the zone, whether approaching, touching or entering the zone.
Beginning of entry zone (3.600)
Ending of entry zone (3.350)
Entry signal:
Signal to enter the market occurs when the price comes to " Buy zone " then forms one of the reversal patterns, whether " Bullish Engulfing ", " Hammer " or " Valley " in other words, NO entry signal when the price comes to the zone BUT after any of reversal patterns is formed in the zone. To learn more about " Entry signal " and the special version of our " Price Action " strategy FOLLOW our lessons :
Take Profit:
TP1= @ 3.800
TP2= @ 4.050
TP3= @ 4.400
TP4= @ 4.550
TP5= @ 4.650
TP6= @ 4.850
TP7= @ 5.000
TP8= Free