Will the Perfect Storm in Natural Gas Markets Lead to a New EnerIn an era of unprecedented global energy transformation, the natural gas market stands at a critical juncture where geopolitical tensions, technological advancement, and infrastructure development converge to create a potentially game-changing scenario. The ongoing Middle East crisis, particularly the Israel-Iran tensions threatening the Strait of Hormuz, could reshape energy flows and trigger a cascade of effects across interconnected global energy markets, potentially forcing a fundamental reassessment of natural gas's role in the global energy mix.
A seismic shift is approaching in North American markets with LNG Canada's anticipated 2025 launch, which promises to revolutionize Canadian gas pricing dynamics and global market access. This transformation coincides with an extraordinary surge in potential demand from AI and data centers, projected to consume between 3 and 30 billion cubic feet per day of additional North American gas. Such technological evolution, coupled with Asia's growing appetite for cleaner energy sources, suggests a structural reformation of traditional gas flow patterns and pricing mechanisms.
The convergence of these factors presents both challenges and opportunities for market participants. While weather patterns and storage dynamics continue to influence short-term price formation, longer-term strategic considerations are increasingly dominated by infrastructure development, market access, and geopolitical risk management. As the industry adapts through strategic hedging, infrastructure investment, and consolidation, the natural gas market appears poised for a period of dynamic evolution that could fundamentally alter its global value proposition and establish a new paradigm in energy markets.
Natural
UNG to $60 ...... is the idea...... UNG is the way to play Nat Gas.
Nat Gas traders fir under production costs at $6.5 to $7.5 per BTU - UNG at $6.5 per BTU will trade above $60
Nat Gas is cyclical, it moves in 4 year intervals, perfect to start the move Up now.
Please research my findings.
Cyclicality of the NAt Gas Market
Nat Gas is industry's energy
Nat Gas is the cleanest form of fossil fuel energy.
Nat Gas goes for $67 per BTU in Europe, the USA needs to be selling Nat Gas.
Many other positive things about NAT GAS and its required expansion.
We need Nat Gas and plenty of it.
NATTY down for a breather NATTY is extremely overextended and finds itself on the 0.5 Fib retracement after accumulating a substantial bearish divergence on the 4hr.
After breaking out of the cup & handle, it has yet retested those areas which it will IMHO.
NATTY often peaks in the middle of May which is often followed my strong consolidation into May, before it really gets going in June/July.
✅NATGAS SHORT FROM RESISTANCE🔥
✅NATGAS made a massive
Gap up from the support
But after the gap the price
Immediately hit a horizontal
Resistance level of 2.00$
From where we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
And I think that we will see
A further move down next week
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
EXXON. EXOFF. EXXON. EXOFF. THE CLAPPER. The most important thing on the chart is the steep rejection trend that is also trending upwards. It is leading into another rejection trend, which should see some resistance, but with a potential move along the steep trend into the rejection and finally into a breakout, we could see the price around 118. There is potential to keep climbing from this point, and the top number I see is marked.
Earnings on the 26th is marked.
Short term indicators are showing bullish.
Price can keep pushing upwards.
When it falls, it could be fairly quick.
There are some really nice lines of support on the lower end.
Still undecided how this plays out, and I'll need more info before making a move.
Still, chart is worth watching.
NATURAL GAS accumulation idea realized since September 7We are currently hitting 50WMA and 200DMA.The price is located from the zone I set -78%(from this chart) from ATH. Of course if 1.7 is still in circulation.
All this requires the weekly candlestick to close above to receive one of the confirmations for further growth.
Of course if 1.7 is still in circulation.
Below you can see the analysis since September
NATURAL GAS Breakdown OpportunityHi!
NATGAS is pretty bearish, reading about a warm December, at least in the US, and overproduction. (reading headlines at naturalgasintel.com).
So, I'm expecting price to break down at the test of this trendline, which could be a good opportunity to SHORT on this one.
Have a great week ahead, and please comment if you have something good to add.
Best Regards,
ThomChris
NATURAL GAS BEARISH OUTLOOKThe recent surge of warm fronds impacting the United States, the largest consumer of natural gas, shows no signs of dissipating soon, exerting significant pressure on its market. This has led to a substantial decline in the price of the gas, plummeting for eight consecutive days from 2.841 to 2.375, marking a staggering drop of over 16%.
Technical indicators are not signaling an imminent reversal of this trend in the short term, as both the MACD and RSI exhibit robust Sell signals. Should the current trajectory persist, there's a possibility that the price could dip to support levels around 2.124.
A potential pivot point at 2.405 might be considered, potentially leading to a price rebound to 2.712.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NATTY 15% Correction on the way?Natural Gas has recorded a negative bearish divergence on the 4hr which I believe is the sign of a correction to retest the green base below.
It had fired on all of it's cylinders yesterday which I believe was a dead cat bounce removing as many short sellers as possible.
Shorting this time of year usually means commission from your broker - mine is offering 3% of my total investment.
Natural Gas - Keylevels - DailyNatural Gas remains in a downward trend, we are getting closer to winter, and demand will increase.
Why doesn't the price increase more?
Or...why doesn't the price increase according to your expectations?
Simple..
The story of the war has calmed down and the FUD on prices has decreased and in addition to that, the main factor is that in several countries in EUROPE, the price of gas is capped, so that regardless of demand and supply, the price on the bill remains the same .
My opinion is that if this winter we see Natural Gas between 4-6 dollars, it would be advisable to mark our profits and wait for next year.
NATURAL GAS EXPECTED HIGH VOLATILITY WITH BULLISH TENDENCIESThe ongoing conflict in the Middle East involving Israel, Hamas, and Iran, is having a potential impact on global energy markets. The conflict is complex, with deep-rooted historical and political dimensions, and has the potential to escalate, affecting regional stability. Geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions can disrupt global energy markets, leading to price spikes and volatility in oil and gas prices. US energy policies, including decisions on domestic oil production and international relations with oil-producing nations, can influence global energy markets as well. That situation creates conditions for high volatility in the natural gas prices, with more tendency to bullish outcome.
If the bullish tendencies continue, the price might reach its resistance level at 3.394. In the opposite scenario, the price might revert to 3.271.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
NATGAS on a verge of a significant correction?Interesting development reaction from the top arc over the past 6 months and I'll be taking a punt myself on this one, especially since most brokers are paying out for traders to sell $NATGAS. My broker is paying out c3% and I wouldn't mind a piece of that.
SL is tight with a huge potential gain of 5.7/1 .
The most recent corrections from the top of the arc have been between 10-12 days which would take us to the 16th of October.
You can see an extremely strong bearish divergence on the 4hr chart, as well as the daily which usually means that consolidation is soon under way.
Recession will undoubtedly will take place at some point in the near future which usually means commodities heading down due to low demand.
This is not trading advice, but I'm extremely excited to see this unfold.
Cheers,
Sky
+90% Natural GasIs natural gas a good stock to buy?
When investing in natural gas stocks, it is important to look for companies with good financial stability, and a strong history of profitability. Natural gas stocks can be a good investment for stock market investors. This is because natural gas prices are expected to continue to rise in the future.
Natural gas will go higher!So, we are back with another trend analysis and new support/resistance levels.
We have had a major pullback from our latest resistance level of 3 back to around 2.8~. Which is fine, its natural.
But I still strongly believe in a major bull run and upside in natural gas, which is why I believe we have to go higher, and we will in the last 2 quarters of 2023.
We have resistance level around 3.3~ - this was tested back in October/November 2020 and most recent around January 2023. This is my first target price (TP 1).
What happens after this is hard to guess at this point of time.
Will we have another energy crisis? What about the war in Ukraine and Russia? My best guess is that we will go higher after reaching 3.3 – but only time will tell.
Let me know what you guys think!
Good luck!