Natural
Technical Analysis outlook- VelocityShares Long Nat Gas 3X- UGAZMon 14.Jan.2019
Ticker: UGAZ
LAST= 45.99
The movement during the last few days showed a Sideways movement, with a recent low price seen on Thu 03.Jan.2019 at 36.61.
During the next few days an increase in momentum is expected to take the price up for 49.40 and then to 57.30 Taking in consideration the resistance levels. other than the above the price will maintain a consolidation between the 53.45 - 39.75.
Res_2 = 67.00
Res_1 = 53.45
Sup_1 = 39.75
Sup_2 = 26.15
$ANFI could see another +88 percent run-up! Read Immediately.=====================
ANFI (Amira Nature Foods Ltd.)
Float: 19.52M
Alert Price: $0.44
Target Price: $6.00
Investor Presentation
========================
Members,
We have just identified a fresh trade idea to bring to our members attention that we believe could run up for easy double-digit gains.
Please turn your immediate attention to ANFI (Amira Nature Foods Ltd.).
Just like many of our previous big winners, ANFI possesses the following traits:
Low float of just 19.52M
Listed on a major exchange (NYSE)
Trading well below its average analyst price target of $6.00 (+1,265% Upside)
We've been keeping a close eye on this global provider of packaged Indian specialty riceever since we watched it run-up nearly +88% from $0.33 to $0.62 on December 26th.
ANFI's shares have since pulled back, but we believe that the next major bull run is about to kickoff today.
About Amira Nature Foods
Founded in 1915, Amira has evolved into a global provider of packaged Indian specialty rice, with sales in over 40 countries today. Amira sells Basmati rice, premium long-grain rice grown only in certain regions of the Indian sub-continent, under their flagship Amira brand as well as under other third party brands. Amira sells its products primarily in emerging markets through a broad distribution network. Amira’s headquarters are in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, and it also has offices in India, Germany, the United Kingdom, and the United States.
Company Highlights:
Large Staple Consumer Category with Highly Supportive Industry and Sub Category Fundamentals
A Market Lead with Differentiated Business Model
Globally Diversified with Wide Customer Base and Broad Product Portfolio
Vertically Integrated "State-of-the-art" Supply Chain and Operations
Strong Financial Track Record, Underpinned by Stable Margins
Highly Experienced and Successful Management Team
Entered into a, approximately $30 million contract, to supply third party branded basmati rice to a repeat customer in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa (“EMEA”) region. The Company expects to recognize the benefit of this contract in the fiscal 2020 ending March 31, 2020.
Since its founding in 1915, Amira has evolved from a domestic, family owned Indian business to a professionally managed, global branded, publicly traded, growing packaged food company.
ANFI has a market capitalization of $11.75M as of Dec. 21, 2018. Now, based on value ratios, Amira could be considered undervalued. For example, currently, the stock is trading at a price-to-sales ratio of 0.03, while the industry average is 1.90, according to Morningstar. Additionally, it had a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 1.15, while its competitors had an average P/E of 11.79.
Not only is the stock potentially undervalued based on its revenues and earnings, ANFI is also trading well below its book value, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.05, while the industry average is 1.81.
With ANFI trading well below the industry average for some key valuation ratios, it could be a value play, and could even attract potential buyers.
Moreover, Amira was able to increase at a compound annual growth rate of 15.5% between 2010 and 2017. With such high revenue growth rates, this company could be significantly undervalued by the market.
According to Finviz, over 50% of the company is owned by insiders. That in mind, that shows that the company’s officers, directors, and key insiders are confident in the company.
The Company has received numerous accolades:
Since 2010, Amira has been recognized in multiple years by the World Economic Forum as a “Global Growth Company”, an
invitation-only community consisting of ~300 of the world’s fastest-growing corporations
The World Consulting & Research Corporation named Amira one of “Asia’s Most Promising Brands”
Planman Marcom voted Amira the “INDIAN POWERBRAND” in the Food Category in 2011 and 2013
Amir was voted best partner in the “Staples” category in 2013 at the Bharti Walmart Private Limited Annual Supplier Conference
VWP World Brand recognised the Amira Brand as “The Admired Brand of India” in 2014–2015
Inc. India featured Amira as one of India’s fastest growing mid-sized companies in 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013
Product Portfolio
Approximately three quarters of sales come from Basmati rice, the core focus of the company;
Sells more than 20 owned brands globally, spanning numerous price points;
Amira in India
Amira has established 15 Company managed distribution centers in India to provide it greater control over its expansion efforts in its home country location.
Amira is one of a handful of large relevant players in the domestic India market.
Amira represents a meaningful opportunity to consolidate the market over time.
Recent Developments
Amira Nature Foods Ltd Announces $30 Million Contract with Repeat Customer
ANFI entered into a, approximately $30 million contract, to supply third party branded basmati rice to a repeat customer in the Europe, Middle East, and Africa (“EMEA”) region. The Company expects to recognize the benefit of this contract in the fiscal 2020 ending March 31, 2020.
“We are extremely pleased to continue our relationships with our customers in the EMEA region”, stated Karan A. Chanana, Amira’s Chairman.
Market Outlook
Rice is a $275bn Global Staple Category with Favorable Market Conditions
Rice is the primary staple for >50% of the world’s population and provides > 20% of the global caloric intake
Represents 30% of caloric consumption in Asia(4)
Defensive and non-cyclical with steady growth
Improves with age and has an extremely long shelf life (up to 5+ years) if stored properly
Global rice consumption is growing, estimated to reach c.483 million metric tonnes in 2017(5)
The global rice market is estimated at $275B and has grown at 2% volume CAGR over the 2010 – 2015 period
Technical Analysis
As we stated above, we've been keeping a close eye on this global provider of packaged Indian specialty riceever since we watched it run-up nearly +88% from $0.33 to $0.62 on December 26th.
The float of ANFI is extremely low for a NYSE listed company at just 19.52M.
ANFI shares are trading near the lower end of their 52-week price channel, and we see plenty of upside from today's alert price.
Shares of ANFI were up as much as nine percent in after hours trading, which could indicate a major announcement from the Company in the immediate future.
We believe that ANFI's next big bullish run-up could start today, and urging all of our members to act fast, start their research, and consider building a position in ANFI this morning at 9:30AM EST
(*Remember to use a Stop-Loss Order or basic Limit Order to protect your gains, as well as limit possible losses.)
Best Regards,
The TopMarketGainer Team
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Long position on DGAZDGAZ is looking strong after rough month. DGAZ will push towards the trendline and if it breaks the trendline I think it will go back to the original consolidation point on 300$.
Why I think DGAZ will go up:
-MACD (12,26,EMA15) is still showing positive signs
-EMA is below the candlestick
-Showing trend change
-Similiar patterns during september period
Sirius Minerals - polyhalite fertizer miningICL OTC:SRUXF
Two companies with naturally mined polyhalite fertilizer. Sirius Minerals at 786Fibretracement and still has not seen decent correction to market since last Thursday uptick.
Viewers come to own opines. Watching this level for own watchlist.
Crude oil Growing back up to its peak! It will continue to grow!Crude oil Will continue to grow over long term, but not only the long term. What i mean by this is that the crude oil market will grow with the growth of the refineries of Irving Oil. They have recently boughten a refinery in Ireland and they will be using double the crude oil they have been recently. So whether you want to buy long or short term it will work for you. the long term will obviously have a higher gain but also with the natural energy search it could also be risky depending o the energy and economical threats that involve crude. So about a 80% Safe bet on Crude oil for short or long!
NATURAL GAS LONG-TERM OUTLOOK TO GO 'SHORT'I usually short term trade/swing trade so often trade support and resistance no matter market trend, this would be on 1H (1 hour) time view and below, long-term views will be depicted on the 4H (4 hours) and 1D (1day) view, like this chart.
Looking at the long-term analysis on the 4H and 1D view of natural gas, it looks like it has more or less finished an upside and headed downward some. There was possible revisit to 3.02-3.07, but market seems to be done going up for now. This is strongly supported by the evening doji star depicted on the 1D view which is a solid indication of market to head down.
I would say anywhere now is a good area to short the market, or you can look at 1HR view (intended for short-term trade) for a more suitable entry point to go short. Suitable entry point being when many indicators are corresponding a short for the 1HR view.
I suggest looking a 2.828 and 2.757 as possible exit points when shorting.
Please remember to look at what indicators are telling you if you can understand some, as they would likely help you determine whether to get in trade for a confirmed downfall. Also, do set stop losses but be generous with how much room you allow for this due to candle wicks.
All comments and questions welcome, if curious about indicators I use then feel free to inquire.
Get ready for sunday's organic pump. Again. Yawn.It has been a while since the last organic move.
Idiotic suckers had time to forget last scam.
These used to happen every sunday again and again and again and again and again and again and again and again and again and again and again, but as sucker's bank accounts and morale gets depleted, ponzi criminal cheats have been taking longer and longer breaks between organic moves.
I think it has been long enough.
So I guess stay long for now, and go short after the pump... I doubt we go down from here.
I do not really know how high suckers will push it after the pamp, I am guessing it won't go as high as previously.
Just leave it a few hours. Go look at chats and forums to see what well morons are saying. Ignore bears and anyone trying to knock some sense into them, we just want to get an idea of where the top will be with chats. Don't think we even need to look at charts here... Pathetic.
Let's look at some of the previous organic moves since december.
This is my finest selection of grand cru's, a pleasure to watch and remember all the fools that fell for it. The 11 march is a personal favorite, what a day!:
Sunday 10 december:
Sunday 17 December:
Sunday 24 December:
Sunday 07 January:
Sunday 21 January well that one is not so special but I took the pic so I am posting it:
Sunday 28 January:
A couple more sundays that just happen to be top and bottoms:
The famous 11 March, this Sunday many authors quit trading view permanently (and came back 3 weeks later). The chat was full of bulls celebrating. It was party time on reddit twitter /biz. They became very silent very shortly after.
11 March: "Comment: Bitcoin up 10%! Sorry short sellers ;)"
12 March: "See you later, Tradingview :)!"
I was telling every one in chat to not fall for the bull trap and to short it.
All I got was insults flame reports and people ridiculing me. Oh how many :joy: smileys have I seen.
Rofl idc I made $5000 shorting this scam pump, and I had just been trading crypto for a few months only started with 3 grans.
Sunday 18 march natural bull move:
April the 1rst natural April's fool natural 400$ in 1 hour candle:
After this fools got hit so bad they started being prudent, so price manipulation stopped for a whole month!
Then, May, after a 1 month break, organic moves are back!
Again... a break as after 10000000000000000 scams only people start learning and get more careful.
10 June... c'mon...
Oh geez I wonder where the sunday is on this chart. Without the date I could NEVER find it!
Natural gas Natural Gas gave a sell setup on 1 hr at a key level. May just get a small pullback or consolidation, but overbought on daily. Could possibly get a large move down from this area forming larger structure. It will come down to price action. If you take good setups, might be able to hold some for a much deeper move down. Haven't actually got a proper reversal pattern. Just like I said, just a 1hr sell setup that happened when I was asleep, but definitely something to take note on and consider.
Camber Energy Rebound$CEI: very oversold, way under 200MA. Potentially bouncing off fib line to retracments: .115, .122. Indicators look polished. Bollinger Bands exploding
Waiting for trend change in Natural Gas pricesThe natural gas has experienced serious price rise due to the various reasons, among which are cold weather, strong demand from China, and limited supply from domestic producers. But among them two most important factors are - new US policy towards weak $USD and backwardation on the natural gas market. In my opinion, all these factors will keep pushing the price up, at least till the end of February.
As a result, DGAZ is in downtrend, which is confirmed by 20 EMA and MACD. If you are a bull by your nature like me, it would be a wise decision not to trade this equity for at least one month.
NATURAL GAS XNGUSD Trend ContinuationTrading method: RSADVANTAGE Stage 5 system setup 95% accurate system manually forward tested over 3 years designed to stay out of ranging markets and only target strong trends. This system is made of custom technical indicators that properly detect trends very early and provides exit signals at the possible dynamic S/R zones.
UNGUSD
Technical Outlook
To open SHORT positions for XNGUSD , it is required:
In this situation we are now waiting for Awesome Osci to go into NEGATIVE territory alongside of our other system indicators to confirm trade entry confirmation for movement to the downside and but if the market trend begins to range this signal will become invalid. Market execution for entry, confirmation will be required for entry. The market enviroment is still ranging but we will monitor the activity of our negative readings until signal is in the appropriate conditions.
Risk Description: Once signal is confirmed 140 pips will be up for grab with small risk SL at swing high. The 2 previous signal on this pair was 231 pips since NOV 15/2017 to current date. We have seen quite a bear run this pair in november and we are now looking to capture for the bears to another wave to the downside to continue this trend.
Profit expectations: 7 day trade length expected before hitting profit target I will post exit strategy when signal receives a exit signal.
Current Dynamic S/R Levels:
Swing high: 3.10
Swing Low: 2.96
NAtGas - Buying before 9/11We had our convincing bounce from the lower trendline near to the 400 SMA.
I was close to call the bottom a few days ago. But it's still not ready yet.
The last bounce was showing weakness. We weren't able to tag nor the upper trendline of the triangle nor the 200 SMA.
We are waiting for an intermediate low at this point in Natty. A rally out of an intermediate low is almost always strong, price should not hesitate to break the trendline or the 200 SMA.
After Friday's close it seems we are attacking the lower trendline again.
The plan is the same as it was in the previous idea. The difference is the time frame: we need to buy before 9.11.
The cycle cannot stretch longer than that date.
The plan is to Buy between 2.73 and 2.5$.
I still would like to see the RSI and SlowStoch become oversold extremely . And we still mustn't break below 2.387$ ( the previous ICL).
I modified a little bit the lower trendline : the last drop was just a false breakdown.