Natural Gas Slowed Down For A Correction Within UptrendEU Commission will propose in June banning Russian gas and LNG imports under new deals and existing spot contracts by end-2025.
Natural gas slowed down recently, but despite that retracement, we see it as an ABC correction after a potential leading diagonal formation from the lows. It actually stopped perfectly at the former wave 2 swing low and 61,8% Fibonacci support area, from where we may now see a bullish continuation, especially if it recovers back above 4.15 bullish confirmation level.
Natural Gas
Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Natural GasWelcome to Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Commodities with breakout potential.
In this edition, we'll be looking at PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS ...
Our Team has identified that this code is at a point of particular interest & potential volatility.
After re-rating Natural Gas's momentum to Bullish on the 26th of Nov 2024, our Team has again set eyes on the commodity, noting the following important reference point...
If price can hold above $2.950 ... Significant Bullish potential may be unlocked.
If however price falls below $2.950 ... Significant Bearish risk may come into play.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
NATGAS SWING SHORT|
✅NATGAS has been growing recently
And Gas seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a
Horizontal resistance of 3.80$
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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NATGAS Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS is growing sharply
But the price is nearing a
Strong horizontal resistance
Around 3.80$ so after the
Retest on Monday we will be
Expecting a local bearish
Correction as Gas is already
Locally overbought
Sell!
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Natural gas prices may be poised for a short-term reboundNatural gas prices have fallen by nearly 30% since early March and now appear to have reached oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce of more than 10% back to $3.75 per million British thermal units. Natural gas has risen above its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating a possible short-term trend change. The 10-day EMA, which previously acted as resistance, could provide support as the commodity’s price increases. A failure to maintain it may signal that the attempted trend reversal has been unsuccessful.
Natural gas reached oversold conditions around 20 April, when its relative strength index (RSI) fell to 30 and prices touched the lower Bollinger Band. Momentum now appears to be shifting, with the RSI showing signs of turning upwards and potentially breaking its downtrend. If this positive momentum continues building, natural gas prices could rise towards their 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3.56. Should prices extend beyond the 20-day SMA, they could rise to $3.75, where prices consolidated for several days around early April.
A failure to reach the 20-day SMA, or an inability to push beyond that level, could suggest natural gas prices may fall back to retest recent lows around $3.05 to $3.10, with the potential to decline further towards the lower Bollinger Band at $2.85.
For now, natural gas prices indicate a possible short-term turnaround. However, prices will need to continue extending higher to confirm that a bottom has indeed been reached.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
AGL - Bull pending?Are there bulls lurking here ahead of potential rate cuts?
Our Bullfinder-official Team has identified a potential opportunity within ASX:AGL
If price can hold above the $10.00 mark, there may be potential for a re-rating of momentum to 'bullish'.
We would like to note however that below ~$10.00 significant bearish continuation risk comes into play.
We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time.
Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey...
Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
Natural Gas Ready to Explode?In recent months, Natural Gas (NG1!) has shown significant volatility, but now there are clear signals suggesting a major directional move could be imminent.
On the weekly technical chart, price has bounced from a strong demand zone between 2.50 and 2.70 USD/MMBtu, an area historically defended by institutional players. Currently, it is trading above 3.30 USD, consolidating in preparation for the next move. Key resistance zones to watch are between 3.90 and 4.20 USD, a region of high volume confluence and institutional supply.
Retail sentiment is extremely interesting: over 75% of retail traders are currently long. Historically, an excess of retail longs often leads to either corrections or accumulation/distribution phases, as large players tend to act against the majority.
Looking at the COT Report, the data supports the bullish thesis: non-commercials (speculative funds) remain net short, while commercials (physical operators) are increasing their long positions, indicating expectations of higher real demand in the medium term. This is a historically bullish signal, although it may not materialize immediately: commercials often start accumulating well before price movements occur.
Finally, seasonality favors the bulls: historically, from late April through mid-June, Natural Gas tends to perform positively, fueled by storage accumulation ahead of summer and the following winter season.
Strategically, a consolidation phase above 2.90–3.00 USD could serve as a base for larger moves towards 3.90 and eventually 4.90 USD, with the bullish scenario invalidated only below the 2.80 USD area.
Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74.
➖ Weather Forecast and Reduced Demand
On April 23, 2025, the U.S. National Weather Service forecasted milder-than-average weather across the U.S. for late spring and early summer 2025, particularly in key gas-consuming regions like the Northeast and Midwest.
Warmer weather reduces the demand for heating, a primary driver of natural gas consumption. This led to a 2.5% decline in Henry Hub natural gas futures, settling at $3.05 per MMBtu on April 24, 2025.
Source: Reuters
➖ High U.S. Natural Gas Inventories
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on April 17, 2025, that natural gas inventories increased by 75 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ending April 11, 2025, significantly exceeding the five-year average build of 50 Bcf. Total U.S. inventories are now 20% above the five-year average, indicating an oversupply that pressures prices downward.
Source: EIA, "Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report," April 17, 2025
➖ Weak Global LNG Demand
On April 22, 2025, Bloomberg reported a decline in demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia, particularly in China, due to an economic slowdown and a shift to cheaper coal alternatives. China’s LNG imports in Q1 2025 dropped 10% year-over-year, reducing export opportunities for U.S. gas producers and adding pressure on domestic prices.
Source: Bloomberg, "China’s LNG Imports Fall as Coal Use Rises," April 22, 2025
Technical Analysis
Natural gas futures (NYMEX) are currently around $3.15 per MMBtu as of April 28, 2025, following a recent decline from a peak of approximately $4.90 in 2025.
Fibonacci retracement levels indicate correction targets at 38.2% ($2.74) and 50% ($2.43).
Fundamental factors, such as oversupply and reduced demand, support a bearish scenario that could drive prices to these levels in the near term.
Nearest Entry Point Target:
• $2.74
Growth Potential:
Long-term:
• $10
Screenshot:
NATGAS Elliott Waves – Preparing for a Multi-Year Rally!Following our last post on Natural Gas, we have now seen a breakout, suggesting the start of a larger bullish wave — a move that could last multiple years.
From a technical perspective:
- Wave 1 (5-wave impulse) is complete.
- Wave 2 (ABC correction) is also complete.
- We are now in Wave 3, which itself will form 5 subwaves.
Wave 3:
Subwave 1 of Wave 3 has formed as a leading diagonal.
We are now in Subwave 2, which typically retraces around 61.8% of Subwave 1.
Our buy zone is positioned around this retracement area, and we will be looking for a lower timeframe breakout to confirm entries.
Important note:
Subwave 2 could form a more complex ABC correction, so patience is required while it develops.
Trade Plan:
- Wait for price to reach the buy zone.
- Look for lower timeframe bullish confirmation (trendline break, BOS, structure shift, etc.).
- Enter after confirmation.
Stoploss Placement:
- Aggressive option: Below the corrective low.
- Conservative option: Below the broader invalidation level.
Targets: 8, 10, 12
See below for our last NatGas analysis:
NATGAS Resistance Cluster Above! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a bearish
Breakout of the support
Cluster of the rising and
Horizontal support levels
Which is now a resistance
Cluster round 3.717$ then
Went down and made a local
Pullback on Thursday and
Friday but we are bearish
Biased mid-term so we
Will be expecting a further
Bearish move down this week
Sell!
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NATGAS Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Resistance of 3.626$ and the
Breakout is confirmed so we
Are bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Bearish move down
Sell!
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NATGAS is Bearish amid Oversold SignalsFenzoFx—NATGAS is in a downtrend, broke below the $3.66 support. The primary trend is bearish, but a consolidation phase is expected.
In this scenario, Natural Gas may test the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level at $3.866 before the downtrend resumes. Watch this level for bearish signals, like candlestick patterns.
>>> Trade NATGAS without swap at FenzoFx Decentralized Broker
NATGAS Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS went down again
But will soon hit a horizontal
Support level around 3.784$
So after the retest we can go
Long on Gas with the Take
Profit of 3.907$ and the
Stop Loss of 3.725$
Buy!
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NATGAS Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Level of 3.720$ and we are
Seeing a nice strong bullish
Rebound so we are bullish
Biased and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.