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Natural Gas

SPY, SPX, IWM, Natural Gas, NVDA, XYZ, AI - Analysis- Markets sold off into the NVDA rally this morning. - Small afternoon rally turned indices back green - Major pre market high levels up ahead likely allow us to push higher in coming days. - NVDA should retest its premarket high levels. - Profits secured on AI calls! - Structurally indices are still bullish and remain above key levels. - Yields see nasty reversal lower and look to be going down. - Natural Gas trying to lure investors with a bottoming tail - but i think its false hope.
NYSE:AI
by Trading-Capital
Will Natural Gas Prices Increase?Weekly Cash Data shows a sharp downtrend that stopped at 2.05 and then formed a sideways trend. Given the size of wave-(c) and the time of the waves, it seems that a reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming. Currently, wave-(d) has ended and wave-(e) has begun. Under normal circumstances, we expect this wave to decrease to the point indicated by the red arrow, and in terms of time, this wave can continue until the time range of August 12-September 12 unless a political or geopolitical event occurs that causes wave-(e) to be shortened. So, to trade, you must have a strategy along with analysis. Good luck NEoWave Chart
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by NEoWave-Chart
Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025Bearish Forecast for the Dow Jones Starting May 15, 2025 The Dow Jones Industrial Average is poised to begin a significant decline, potentially as early as today, May 15, 2025, targeting a retest of the price low from April 7, 2025 (~36,611.78), and possibly lower. This movement is driven by renewed trade tensions, disappointing economic data, and bearish market sentiment. 1. Fundamental Factors Driving Potential Decline Fundamental factors provide the macroeconomic and policy-driven rationale for the anticipated downturn in the Dow Jones. 1.1. Renewed Uncertainty in Trade Policy The Dow’s rally on May 12–13, 2025, was fueled by optimism over a temporary U.S.-China tariff reduction agreement (90-day truce) announced after talks in Switzerland on May 11, 2025. However, as of May 15, 2025, investor confidence is faltering due to a lack of progress in ongoing U.S.-China trade negotiations. Trigger for May 15: A Reuters report from May 14, 2025, notes that U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent are meeting with Chinese officials, but no new agreements have been confirmed. If today’s talks fail to deliver positive outcomes or if President Trump escalates tariff rhetoric, the Dow could plummet, as seen in early April when tariffs triggered a 5.5% single-day drop. The Dow, with its heavy weighting of multinational corporations, is particularly vulnerable to trade war fears, which could drive it toward the April 7 low as investors price in higher costs and slower global growth. 1.2. Disappointments in Economic Data CPI Reaction: The April 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI), released on May 14, 2025, showed inflation at 2.3% annually, below the expected 2.4%. However, the Dow’s decline (-0.6%) on May 14 suggests investors expected a lower figure to support Federal Reserve rate cuts, reflecting skepticism about inflation cooling further. Producer Price Index (PPI) Release on May 15: The PPI for April 2025, due at 8:30 AM ET (2:30 PM CEST) on May 15, 2025, is critical. A higher-than-expected PPI, potentially driven by tariff-related cost pressures, could signal rising consumer prices, reducing hopes for Fed easing and triggering a sell-off. Consensus expects a 0.2% monthly increase; a reading above 0.3% could echo the April market reaction when GDP contraction fears pushed the Dow to 36,611.78. Consumer Sentiment: The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for May 2025, released on May 14, likely showed continued weakness (April: 52.2, a multi-year low). A further decline could heighten concerns about reduced consumer spending, impacting Dow components like Walmart and Home Depot. 1.3. Concerns Over Federal Reserve Policy On May 7, 2025, Fed Chair Jerome Powell cited “elevated uncertainty” due to trade policies, with markets expecting 75 basis points of rate cuts in 2025, starting in July. If today’s PPI or Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET) indicate persistent inflation or economic weakness, rate cut expectations could fade, increasing borrowing costs and pressuring Dow valuations, mirroring the April 7 recession fears. 2. Technical Analysis The Dow’s initial decline in April was approximately -19.00%, with a second impulse of similar magnitude. Technical indicators suggest a bearish setup for May 15, 2025: Current Level: The Dow closed at 42,051.06 on May 14, 2025, down 0.6%, testing support at 42,000. Bearish Signals: A 12-hour timeframe analysis indicates alignment for a decline, with potential bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing) and overbought RSI (70). A break below 42,000 could target the 200-day moving average (40,500) and the April 7 low of 36,611.78. Price Targets: Retest of April 7, 2025, low: ~36,611.78 Secondary target: ~35,970.70 (based on Fibonacci extensions and prior support zones). 3. Market Sentiment and Behavioral Factors Fragile Optimism: The Dow’s 15% recovery from April lows was driven by trade truce hopes and select stock strength. Bloomberg’s May 14, 2025, report notes Wall Street’s rebound is “showing signs of exhaustion” due to trade risks. The Dow’s May 14 weakness, led by an 18% UnitedHealth drop, could spread if negative news emerges today. Global Correlation: Mixed Asian market performance on May 14 (e.g., Nikkei up 1.43%, India’s Nifty 50 down 1.27%) suggests vulnerability. A lower Asian open on May 15, driven by U.S. declines or trade news, could amplify selling pressure on the Dow. 4. Evidence-Based Framework for the Forecast 4.1. Catalysts for Today’s Decline (May 15, 2025) PPI Data (8:30 AM ET): A PPI reading above 0.3% could signal sticky inflation, reducing Fed rate cut odds and sparking a sell-off. Trade Talk Updates: Negative U.S.-China trade comments (e.g., no Geneva deal) could reignite fears, mirroring April 7. Initial Jobless Claims (8:30 AM ET): Claims above 220,000 (vs. prior 211,000) could signal labor market weakness, fueling recession concerns. 4.2. Dow Scenario Expect a wave-like decline with corrections. The Dow could fall below 36,611.78, potentially reaching ~35,970.70 if trade and economic pressures intensify. Extreme caution is advised in 2025. 4.3. Global Scenario for S&P 500 I anticipate a wave-like decline with intermittent corrections. I wouldn’t be surprised if the S&P 500 falls below 4,700, potentially reaching 4,200. Extreme caution is warranted this year. There’s even a theory that, starting in 2025, the U.S. dollar could lose 50% of its purchasing power. Idea: New Screenshot: 4.4. Oil and Geopolitical Outlook I expect oil (Brent) to decline to the $50+/- range, from which an upward trend may begin, potentially tied to future military conflicts: · Europe vs. Russia · India vs. Pakistan · Iran vs. Israel Brent (UKOIL): Natural Gas:
TVC:DJIShort
by SergioRichi
XNG/USD Natural Gas Heist: Thief Style Long Entry Plan!🌍 Greetings, global treasure hunters! Ciao! Salaam! Salut! Hola! 🌍 Attention, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 💸🦹‍♂️ Crafted with the slick Thief Trading Style—a blend of sharp technicals and cunning fundamentals—here’s our blueprint to raid the XNG/USD Natural Gas Energy Market. Follow the chart’s game plan, locked on a long entry. Our mission? Slip out near the perilous YELLOW ATR Zone—a high-stakes trap where overbought vibes, consolidation, or trend flips empower bearish rogues. 🎯💰 “Cash out and spoil yourself, crew—you’ve earned it!” 🥂🚀 Entry 1: “The safe’s cracked! Watch for the MA breakout at 3.750, then pounce—bullish loot awaits!” Hot tip: Set buy stop orders above the Moving Average or place buy limit orders at the latest 15/30-min swing low/high for pullback plays. 📣 Add a chart alert to nab the breakout! Entry 2: “The caper’s live! Lurk for the MA pullback in the Grand Heist Zone at 3.300, then strike—fortune favors the bold!” Stop Loss 🛑: “📢 Yo, crew, hear me out! 🗣️ If you’re jumping in with buy stop or limit orders, don’t set that stop loss until the breakout pops off. 💥 Play it safe and place it where I mark 📍, or go rogue if you’re feeling wild 😎—but don’t blame me if the market bites! ⚡ Your risk, your call.” 📍 Thief SL set at the nearest 4H swing low (3.400) or Grand Heist Zone SL at (3.100) for swing trades. 📍 Adjust SL based on your trade risk, lot size, and multi-order strategy. Target 🎯: 4.220—or ghost out early if the vibe shifts. 🧲 Scalpers, eyes up! 👀 Stick to long-side scalps. Got deep pockets? Dive in now. Otherwise, join the swing traders for the big heist. Use trailing SL to lock in your haul. 💵 ⛽ XNG/USD Natural Gas is buzzing with bullish heat, fueled by key drivers. ☝📰 Dig into Fundamentals, Macro Trends, COT Reports, Inventory Data, Seasonal Patterns, Sentiment Vibes, Intermarket Insights, and Future Targets. Check the full scoop here 👉🔗 ⚠️ Heist Alert: News & Position Defense 🗞️🚨 News drops can shake the market like a getaway chase. To protect your stash: Skip new trades during news hours. Use trailing stops to guard profits and secure your escape. 💎 Back our heist crew! 💥 Smash that Boost Button 💥 to fuel our money-grabbing spree. Join the Thief Trading Style squad and swipe profits daily with swagger. 🏆🤝🎉 Catch you at the next caper—stay sharp, bandits! 🤑😼🚀
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Thief_Trader
5
#GAS/USDT#GAS The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading towards a strong breakout and retest. We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 3.55. We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend. We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average. Entry price: 3.58 First target: 3.74 Second target: 3.83 Third target: 3.96
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
Natural Gas is in the Buying Direction After Trendline Breakout Hello Traders In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NATGAS analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS
by ForexMasters2000
1
NATURAL GAS Massive 1W MA50 rebound eyes $6.800Natural Gas (NG1!) is on 3 week bullish streak following the rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which came straight after a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross. This rebound manages to keep the long-term Channel Up valid and this rebound is technically the start of it new Bullish Leg. This price action is similar to the previous 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross, which also took place inside a Channel Up. As you can see the 1W RSI fractals among the two sequences are identical and the past one rose by +167.17% from that 1W MA50 bottom to the 2.5 Fibonacci extension. If this time it 'only' hits the 2.5 Fib ext, then we are looking at a $6.800 Target around the end of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by TradingShot
Natural Gas Slowed Down For A Correction Within UptrendEU Commission will propose in June banning Russian gas and LNG imports under new deals and existing spot contracts by end-2025. Natural gas slowed down recently, but despite that retracement, we see it as an ABC correction after a potential leading diagonal formation from the lows. It actually stopped perfectly at the former wave 2 swing low and 61,8% Fibonacci support area, from where we may now see a bullish continuation, especially if it recovers back above 4.15 bullish confirmation level.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by ew-forecast
Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Natural GasWelcome to Bullfinder's Breakout Commodities - Commodities with breakout potential. In this edition, we'll be looking at PEPPERSTONE:NATGAS ... Our Team has identified that this code is at a point of particular interest & potential volatility. After re-rating Natural Gas's momentum to Bullish on the 26th of Nov 2024, our Team has again set eyes on the commodity, noting the following important reference point... If price can hold above $2.950 ... Significant Bullish potential may be unlocked. If however price falls below $2.950 ... Significant Bearish risk may come into play. We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time. Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey... Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by Bullfinder-official
NATGAS Resistance Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! NATGAS is growing sharply But the price is nearing a Strong horizontal resistance Around 3.80$ so after the Retest on Monday we will be Expecting a local bearish Correction as Gas is already Locally overbought Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NYMEX:NG1!Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
Natural gas prices may be poised for a short-term reboundNatural gas prices have fallen by nearly 30% since early March and now appear to have reached oversold conditions, suggesting a potential bounce of more than 10% back to $3.75 per million British thermal units. Natural gas has risen above its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA), indicating a possible short-term trend change. The 10-day EMA, which previously acted as resistance, could provide support as the commodity’s price increases. A failure to maintain it may signal that the attempted trend reversal has been unsuccessful. Natural gas reached oversold conditions around 20 April, when its relative strength index (RSI) fell to 30 and prices touched the lower Bollinger Band. Momentum now appears to be shifting, with the RSI showing signs of turning upwards and potentially breaking its downtrend. If this positive momentum continues building, natural gas prices could rise towards their 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $3.56. Should prices extend beyond the 20-day SMA, they could rise to $3.75, where prices consolidated for several days around early April. A failure to reach the 20-day SMA, or an inability to push beyond that level, could suggest natural gas prices may fall back to retest recent lows around $3.05 to $3.10, with the potential to decline further towards the lower Bollinger Band at $2.85. For now, natural gas prices indicate a possible short-term turnaround. However, prices will need to continue extending higher to confirm that a bottom has indeed been reached. Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:USNATGAS
by cmcmarkets
AGL - Bull pending?Are there bulls lurking here ahead of potential rate cuts? Our Bullfinder-official Team has identified a potential opportunity within ASX:AGL If price can hold above the $10.00 mark, there may be potential for a re-rating of momentum to 'bullish'. We would like to note however that below ~$10.00 significant bearish continuation risk comes into play. We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time. Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey... Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
ASX:AGLLong
by Bullfinder-official
Natural Gas Ready to Explode?In recent months, Natural Gas (NG1!) has shown significant volatility, but now there are clear signals suggesting a major directional move could be imminent. On the weekly technical chart, price has bounced from a strong demand zone between 2.50 and 2.70 USD/MMBtu, an area historically defended by institutional players. Currently, it is trading above 3.30 USD, consolidating in preparation for the next move. Key resistance zones to watch are between 3.90 and 4.20 USD, a region of high volume confluence and institutional supply. Retail sentiment is extremely interesting: over 75% of retail traders are currently long. Historically, an excess of retail longs often leads to either corrections or accumulation/distribution phases, as large players tend to act against the majority. Looking at the COT Report, the data supports the bullish thesis: non-commercials (speculative funds) remain net short, while commercials (physical operators) are increasing their long positions, indicating expectations of higher real demand in the medium term. This is a historically bullish signal, although it may not materialize immediately: commercials often start accumulating well before price movements occur. Finally, seasonality favors the bulls: historically, from late April through mid-June, Natural Gas tends to perform positively, fueled by storage accumulation ahead of summer and the following winter season. Strategically, a consolidation phase above 2.90–3.00 USD could serve as a base for larger moves towards 3.90 and eventually 4.90 USD, with the bullish scenario invalidated only below the 2.80 USD area.
NYMEX:NG1!Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74Brief Overview of Events and News Explaining the Potential Decline of Natural Gas Prices to $2.43–$2.74. ➖ Weather Forecast and Reduced Demand On April 23, 2025, the U.S. National Weather Service forecasted milder-than-average weather across the U.S. for late spring and early summer 2025, particularly in key gas-consuming regions like the Northeast and Midwest. Warmer weather reduces the demand for heating, a primary driver of natural gas consumption. This led to a 2.5% decline in Henry Hub natural gas futures, settling at $3.05 per MMBtu on April 24, 2025. Source: Reuters ➖ High U.S. Natural Gas Inventories The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported on April 17, 2025, that natural gas inventories increased by 75 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ending April 11, 2025, significantly exceeding the five-year average build of 50 Bcf. Total U.S. inventories are now 20% above the five-year average, indicating an oversupply that pressures prices downward. Source: EIA, "Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report," April 17, 2025 ➖ Weak Global LNG Demand On April 22, 2025, Bloomberg reported a decline in demand for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia, particularly in China, due to an economic slowdown and a shift to cheaper coal alternatives. China’s LNG imports in Q1 2025 dropped 10% year-over-year, reducing export opportunities for U.S. gas producers and adding pressure on domestic prices. Source: Bloomberg, "China’s LNG Imports Fall as Coal Use Rises," April 22, 2025 Technical Analysis Natural gas futures (NYMEX) are currently around $3.15 per MMBtu as of April 28, 2025, following a recent decline from a peak of approximately $4.90 in 2025. Fibonacci retracement levels indicate correction targets at 38.2% ($2.74) and 50% ($2.43). Fundamental factors, such as oversupply and reduced demand, support a bearish scenario that could drive prices to these levels in the near term. Nearest Entry Point Target: • $2.74 Growth Potential: Long-term: • $10 Screenshot:
NYMEX:NG1!
by SergioRichi