Natural Gas Critical LevelsNatural gas, which fell sharply from $ 6.5 to $2 is trying to recover again.
During this process, critical levels were determined. These levels appear at $2.10, $3.50 and $5.50.
As long as it does not fall below the $2.10 level, I can say that the $3.50 targeted buying opportunity in natural gas continues.
Natural Gas
$BOIL #NG Buy the dipI've been bullish and trading natural gas (BOIL EQT RRC) for a while now and recently sold on the last pump to 2.6
I'm reloading now, as I'm looking at a few things technically I like
-Price appears to have found support on a flattening 20DMA , and will next watch to see if we start trending up
- The low in May was higher than April , and almost forming a rounded base if we can sustain higher than May's low , it will be a good sign
- Strong support at 2 putting in a triple bottom now - even if we go lower, in the longer term as long as we stay above 2 , your entry of say 2.15 won't really matter when we're at 5 !
- EQT and RRC are both flagging and keeping their gains so far, looking for more upside , which of course depends on NG but is providing bullish confluence .
BOIL Megaphone PatternBOIL on the 15-minute chart is currently in an upward facing megaphone pattern. I have drawn
in the upper and lower trendlines which are a form of static support and resistance. The
megaphone pattern is one of increasing volatility between buyers and sellers and indecision
It is the opposite of consolidation in a narrow channel. The anchored VWAP
shows BOIL to be between the mean VWAP and the first standard deviation band below it.
This is generally considered the lower part of the fair value zone. The volume profile has a
high volume area of in the price range of 3 to 3.7 while the POC line is confluent with the
VWAP. The "better" RSI oscillator/ indicator shows values above 75 at swing highs
and values below 25 at swing lows. My goal in this trade is to buy at the lower ( support )
trendline and sell at the higher ( resistance) trendline. I will be watchful for any fibonnaci
retracements of a prior trend. At present, BOIL is at that lower trendline and RSI is showing
weakness. I will add to my position now as I did in the whipsaw action some hours ago at the
location of the bearish engulfing candles in the premarket and the opening.
Can XNGUSD short squeeze?XNGUSD on the weekly chart showing two years of price action with weekly candles
shows the rise in 2021 into spring 2022 then printing a head and shoulders pattern
and the reversal to deep into the support/demand zone. The volume profile shows
the majority of the trading during this time period to have been between $3.75 and
$ 8.50. It would seem likely that there are a sizeable amount of short sellers holding
positions with unrealized profits of 50% to as much as 300%. This past week had the
best buying volume in six months and provides bulls with optimism
If natural gas can gain some momentum and put in green candles with a decent price range for
a couple of weeks in a row, the combination of new buyers with new interest and short sellers
liquidating and buying to cover their unrealized gains might ignite a bit of a rally for natural
gas. I will keep natural gas on watch. I will keep in mind that a breakout without a
corresponding volume the response could be a fakeout. A stop loss would be $1.95 below the
support zone while the final target would be $4.75 below the POC line. Interval take profits
would be 10% of the forex lots every time the price rises by $0.50 for risk management and
good profit taking while underway.
NATURALGAS 22May2023broadly speaking, it is sideways with a fairly large range. but we can still take a chance on a good moment. if you look at the current elliot notation, it is likely that the price will go to the previous HH, you can take a long opportunity with the SL area below the invalid area
May 21,23-NG-Will NG hit 2.7?Will NG go up this week to 2.7?? Let me know your thoughts. I'm on the fence...I think I will put my TP at 2.6 and be satisfied with that.
I have placed my Stop Loss at 2.4 (the green line) so I will only profit 100 points or so if it gets hit, but better than nada right? :-o
Let me know what you think.
Stay safe all.
Heiko
Natural Gas Update: BreakoutNat Gas had an epic move to the upside today.
will the bullish momentum continue?
May 18,23-NG-Finally Up Up and away?Did anyone put in a Buy Order at 2? or 2.1?
You can finally see two weeks in a row of Bullish price movement!! Finally!
You can also see price actually passed the green Alligator line which is a bullish sign - just hoping it closes tomorrow ABOVE this line. Then hopfully al good next week.
But who knows - next week is next week. AnyHOOO
Hope all is well with everyone - sorry for a lack of posts recently but there has been nothing but sideways action, until now.
Stay safe !!
Heiko
ERX Energy is backERX is a leveraged ETF tracking the energy sector. On the 4H chart it has been in a downtrend
since mid-March. IT dropped to the bottom of the high volume area on the long term profile
as well as the lowermost VWAP band. Firday May 12th marked the reversal with buying volume
replacing selling volume and then a significant rise in price in the past week.
On the AI moving moving average indicator, the optimized shorter Hull moving average
(red line) has crossed over the longer EMA moving average ( blue line) as has the price.
I conclude the energy sector is heating up. My new idea on BOIL supports this. I will take
trades with energy in mind and review big oil stocks and natural gas stocks as well as
pipeline and oilfield services stocks.
$GASS: Challenging a Supply Line at a Support FloorStealthGas right now is attempting to Spring back above a Macro Support floor and break through a Supply Line it has formed within this range.
Upon breaking free from this supply line we should most likely see it go to atleast complete a 61.8% retrace.
Natural Gas Short squeeze!Natural Gas had a bullish close today up over 4% despite weakening economic data.
We could be entering the next stage where Nat gas starts moving higher off these lows.
Clear Accumulation has been occurring and this move off the lows matches the seasonality period of Nat gas.
NATURAL GAS POSSIBLE RALLYNatural gas is increasing in value due to several factors: the unprecedented wildfires in Canada that are ravaging the country and are disrupting the production throughout the province of Alberta; Reuters also reports that Russian pipeline exports had declined 11.4% this month compared to April’s average, putting an additional hold to the fuel supply.
The RSI is above 50. The MACD had broken above its zero level and had triggered signal for further potential gains.
If the current trend continues, the price might test resistance levels of 2.764, and if it gets broken, further target might be 2.931.
In the opposite scenario, the price might test its previous resistance at 2.025.
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Natural Gas & Energy UpdateNatural Gas is on watch for a technical Breakout
We got a bullish daily close on Natural gas today.
Its the first time Nat gas has had 2 daily closes above the 50 day moving average since it started the nasty downtrend.
Natural gas trying to stabilize & reverse after steep downtrendNatural gas has been in a strong downtrend for the past year but finally sellers look exhausted and prices have stabilized. New lows failed to stick in the beginning of May which has led to a reversal higher.
Sets up for a decent risk-reward trade to the upside, but stops and time-frame is important.
#NaturalGas Can Rise Up Very Quickly #NATGASTraders, Natural gas has created several bullish breakouts over the past weeks but failed to push higher. Now as we are reaching the end of the wedge pattern, a breakout is imminent. This can create a W pattern which in turn can push the prices higher.
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The content of this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of education only.
Not financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions.
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NATURAL GAS The Triangle's breakout will determine the trendNatural Gas is trading inside a Triangle, with the 1day MA50 as the Resistance.
The critical level is the 1day MA100. If the price breaks above it, target the gap from 2022 at 4.000.
If the price crosses under the Triangle's bottom, target Fibonacci 2.0 at 1.100.
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$SO 5 Month Play Energy companies are quite predictable, and $SO is one of the best Energy providers in the United States. Highest employee favourability and a top choice by many investors for consistent growth.
One of the best things about $SO is that it has consistent swings of 10-20% and you can catch these swings over 4-6 Month periods.
Buying here between $62-$64 and will double down on my position down to the support line at $55.
Target is $80-$82. Time based stop loss for end of July