Quick deal on natural gas 16% profit for 5.5% Stop Loss "3:1"simple analysis
Trend lines have been relied upon
and volume analysis
and moving averages
Naturalgasanalysis
8$ NATURAL GAS PER GALLON COMMING???Fundamentals;
Russian President Vladimir Putin is demanding foreign buyers pay for Russian gas in roubles from Friday or else have their supplies cut, a move European capitals rejected and which Germany said amounted to "blackmail".
Putin's decree on Thursday leaves Europe facing the prospect of losing more than a third of its gas supply. Germany, the most heavily reliant on Russia, has already activated an emergency plan that could lead to rationing in Europe's biggest economy.
Western companies and governments have rejected any move to change their gas supply contracts to another payment currency. Most European buyers use euros. Executives say it would take months or longer to renegotiate terms.
Payment in roubles would also blunt the impact of Western curbs on Moscow's access to its foreign exchange reserves.
Meanwhile, European states have been racing to secure alternative supplies, but with the global market already tight, they have few options. The United States has offered more of its liquefied natural gas (LNG) but not enough to replace Russia.
European gas prices have rocketed higher on mounting tension with Russia raising the risk of recession. Companies, including makers of steel and chemicals, have been forced to curtail production
British and Dutch gas prices , were up 4% to 5% after Putin's announcement.
European companies had little or no immediate comment on the Russian announcement or on their contracts with Gazprom (GAZP.MM), which has a monopoly on Russian gas exports by pipeline.
Poland's PGNiG (PGN.WA) said it remained in contact with Gazprom with which it has a long-term contract that expires at the end of this year, but it said it would not discuss details.
Italian energy firm Eni (ENI.MI), another major European buyer of Russian gas, also had no comment. It bought around 22.5 bcm of Russian gas in 2020. Its contracts with Gazprom expire in 2035.
Danish energy firm Orsted (ORSTED.CO), which has a long-term take-or-pay contract with Gazprom, said it was waiting to hear from the Russian firm and declined to comment further.
Uniper (UN01.DE) and EnBW's (EBKG.DE) VNG (VNG.UL), two major German buyers of Russian gas, declined to comment, while RWE (RWEG.DE) did not immediately respond.
Technical ;
Okay so I'm a buyer now how would i enter the market and and what are the technical reasons that would confirm my bias As we can see that on the higher time frame the market
has reached an old highs And retraced and made a higher high in confluence with Fibonacci Retracement and if we zoom out to a
MONTHLY TIME FRAME ;
that we can see a significant change in overall market structure is broken to see this shift see it in terms of a broken wedge pattern starting from dec,1,2009 to 1 oct 2021
the market has recently retested that zone at 3.600 with a fib 0.618 + confluence of retest of major resistance turned support 3.600.
4 HOUR TIME FRAME ;
we can see that the market is making higher highs and higher lows with a standard deviation 0.100 points give or take and average of 0.69 points HEADING TO 8.500
THIS IS GENERAL OVERVIEW OF MY PRESPECTIVE
For trend analysis i use quantitative analysis AND ENTRY with help of highly proficient algorithms
CONCLUSION
i understand that 8$ per gallon gas ideas seems far fetched but all i see right now that the market is pricing in something it could be the reasons above or any other reason but this is what i this is going to happen
IF anything happens that changes the fundamentals of this idea, i will update.
please note that this is not financial advice. do your own research and use this information as conformational bias on top of your own analysis.
like for support!!!!
NATURALGAS SHORTS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bearish price action on NATURALGAS, and we could try to short a market top on this area. We have a lot of bullish imbalances on the NATURALGAS that has to be filled into the incoming week. Also we had a big expansion move and the price should make the retracement move from there.
RSI is overbought in this area meaning the price is very expensive.
What do you think ? Comment below..
NATURAL GAS LONGS ACTIVE 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on NATURAL GAS as price is in a clear bullish market strucutre on D1/H4 timeframe, price made a breakout above the weekly highs retraced back into the H4 imbalance testing the weekly highs and clearly reject from that area. I think we will see 6.0 ASAP.
From a market seasonality standpoint we are very bullish as naturalgas should rise in this period of the year + the problems between the Russian Federation and European Union about the gas delivery in the Europe.
What do you think ? Where we go next ?
NatGas: Like a Balloon🎈Like a balloon, NatGas is floating further and further upwards from the support at $3.536. Although every now and then, there may be some gusts of wind temporarily disrupting the upwards surge, we expect that NatGas’s general tendency is to rise higher. However, as it is usually the case with balloons, they can lose air or burst. Accordingly, there is still a 45% chance that NatGas could fall below $3.536 and make a detour through the magenta zone between $3.360 and $1.994 before flying upwards again.
XNGUSD LONG - Buy Entry - D1 ChartXNGUSD LONG - Buy Entry - D1 Chart
Buy @ Market
Symbol: XNGUSD - Natural Gas
Timeframe: D1
Type: BUY
Entry Price: Buy @ Market
TP - Resistance @ 6.0262
TP - BE - Resistance @ 5.1223
H4 Support @ 4.6713
W1 Support @ 4.3370
PP Y1 - Pivot Point Yearly @ 4.2167
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NATURAL GAS LONGS 📉📉📉📉 Expecting bullish price action on NATURAL GAS from a medium-long term perspective as we are in a HTF BULLISH MARKET STRUCUTRE, price kept the 4.5 psychological barrier without breaking it to the downside, we have bearish imbalances somwhere around 5.0 that should magnetize price back there, Market Seasonality is very bullish on chart as we have a BULLISH CYLCE + the fundamental context makes me thing we will go higher. I think in the next 2-3monts we will have a huge problem with supply/demand because Russia advised European Union of higher prices on GAS.
What do you think ? Comment below...
NATURAL GASThere was a big ending diagonal and the price broke out from top and there is pullback you can see in the chart. another reason is fundamental analysis, Russian war and sanctions can grow the price of NATURAL GAS.
Mar 13, 22 NG Which way will this week?So last week NG went from around 5.1 down to 4.5 and closed out the week at around 4.7. This makes it hard to say if price will drop back to 4.5 or if it will rise up to over 5 with what's going on in the world.
I think I will play this week like this - if price action comes down to 4.5 by Wed, put in a Buy Order there expecting price to go up into next week. Set my TP at 5.1, maybe 5.4 depending on strength of price action.
If price goes up right away to 5ish, then I have no idea what I will do - Will it keep going up to 5.5? Or will it just come back down as the week progresses to 4.5?
Let me know your thoughts. Stay safe.
Heiko
NatGas: Ants in Its Pants 🐜🐜🐜NatGas seems to have ants in its pants, seeing that it has been fidgeting above the orange zone between $3.982 and $4.464 during the last weeks. As it has botched its first attempt to move upwards after finishing wave 2 in green, we expect NatGas to try for a second time. It should then rise into the green zone between $5.856 and $6.214 to complete wave 3 in green. After a moderate correction in wave 4 in green, NatGas should resume the ascent and climb above the resistance at $6.466. If its antics have sapped NatGas’s energy too much, though, there is a 40% chance that it could drop below $3.536.
UK Natural Gas Prices Should Come DownProvided the Ukraine crisis doesnt boil over into a hot war, the price of UK natural gas should stabilise.
The price of natural gas will still be much higher than in 2020, however it should lead to more reasonable energy prices for the UK, again subject to de-escalation of the Ukraine crisis.
NatGas: Itsy Bitsy Spider 🕷The itsy bitsy spider climbed up the waterspout.
Down came the rain
And washed the spider out.
Out came the sun
And dried up all the rain
And the itsy bitsy spider climbed up the spout again.
Everybody knows this nursery rhyme, but for us, the lyrics go like this:
Itsy bitsy NatGas climbed up to the green span
Down came the rain
And with it NatGas ran.
Out came the sun
And dried up all the rain
And itsy bitsy NatGas started to climb again.
Or in other words: NatGas has risen up to the bottom of the green zone between $5.579 and $5.811 to finish wave 5 in green and wave i in orange. From there, it fell down dramatically until the bottom of the orange zone between $4.464 and $3.982, where it completed wave ii in orange. However, NatGas has already started to climb up again and has made it above the orange zone so far. We expect it to continue its ascent until the resistance line at $6.466 and to soar higher still. To implement our primary scenario though, NatGas must not fall below $3.536, otherwise it would drop further. We have estimated a 40% chance that this could happen.
NATURAL GAS IN A CORRECTIONNatural gas is in correcting as a ZIGZAG for the 2nd wave and it can bounce from 61.8% of fib level.
DISCLOSURE - Please be informed that the information I provide is not a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of my work is for educational purposes only. All labeling and wave count have been done by me manually and I will keep changing according to the LIVE MARKET PRICE ACTION. So don't bias, hope on my trade plans. Try to learn Elliott Wave or other strategies and make your own strategy. Following is not that much easy. I am not responsible for any losses if u took the trade according to my trade plans.
#NATURAL_GAS #NG
NatGas: Drama Queen 👑 NatGas is a legit little drama queen these days. Since last week, it has completed wave 2 in green at about $4.049 and has not looked back so far. With several dramatic boosts, it surged upwards and breached the resistance line at $4.825 to finish wave 3 in green. After this exhausting exertion, it put its delicate hand on its forehead, sighing: “I need to recline for a bit…”. This breather led to a descent back below $4.825, but also to a fast recovery. With more dramatic flourishes, NatGas rose higher still and nearly touched upon the green zone between $5.601 and $5.836. Although it has drawn back a bit again, fanning itself with an embroidered handkerchief, we expect Queen NatGas to make it into the green zone to conclude wave 5 in green. If its power suffices, it could even rise into the orange zone between $5.954 and $6.467 to finish wave 5 in green in addition to wave iii in orange there. After all these stresses and strains, we reckon with a distinct corrective movement, which should lead into the lower orange zone between $5.265 and $4.294. There, NatGas should complete the countermovement with wave iv in orange and be royally ready to rise into the upper orange zone between $7.297 and $7.810.
NATURAL GAS NEAR FUTURE ANALYSISTechnical Analysis Summary
Natural Gas
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Downtrend in red color
We have 1 Uptrend in green color
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow SUPPORT and RESISTANCE Levels are levels already tested and are not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes to show my strategy.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
NATURAL GAS NEAR FUTURE ANALYSISTechnical Analysis Summary
Natural Gas
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 3 Downtrend in red color
We have 1 Uptrend in green color (Long Uptrend)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow SUPPORT and RESISTANCE Levels are levels already tested and are not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes to show my strategy.
Sorry I did not post lately since I had covid
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
Natural Gas Might find Support at the rising trendlineNatural Gas might find support on the rising trend line if it holds or break through to the bottom if the trend line doesn't hold price. The past weeks we saw a very strong decline in price which even the 100MA and 200MA could not be able to hold. We will observe price once it reaches the rising trendline for bullish confirmations for long trades or bearish continuation for short positions.
Please support this idea with likes.
Thanks
NATURAL GAS GOING FOR FINAL RALLY OF 5th WaveNatural gas is going to make a new high for the 5th wave. We can buy it when it will come down for the correction.
#ElliottWave #NaturalGas
Thursday: Natural Gas - Week 47Hello Traders! Check Related Idea for market context!!
I will update my idea as the trade progresses if any changes occur and my analysis is wrong, or need to be adapted to the new development of price-action.
Thanks for the support!
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💡 Leave a comment and/or message me on how I can improve and provide better content, I'm open to suggestions to create a better experience for you!
RISK DISCLAIMER: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my videos as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this channel. This content is for educational purposes only and is not tax, legal, financial, or professional advice. Any action you take on the information in this video is strictly at your own risk. We, therefore, recommend that you contact a personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Inotfancy.com and all individuals affiliated with this channel assume no responsibility for your trading and investment results.
Saturday: NGAS - Week 46Hello Traders! Check Related Idea for market context!!
I will update my idea as the trade progresses if any changes occur and my analysis is wrong, or need to be adapted to the new development of price-action.
Thanks for the support!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SMASH that follow button! 👍
💡 Leave a comment and/or message me on how I can improve and provide better content, I'm open to suggestions to create a better experience for you!
RISK DISCLAIMER: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my videos as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this channel. This content is for educational purposes only and is not tax, legal, financial, or professional advice. Any action you take on the information in this video is strictly at your own risk. We, therefore, recommend that you contact a personal financial advisor before carrying out specific transactions and investments. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Inotfancy.com and all individuals affiliated with this channel assume no responsibility for your trading and investment results.
NaturalGASSeries Of Higher High and Higher Low
Hammer Formation at Possibly Higher Low
Entry 5.489
Stop loss at 5.402
With trailing Stop Loss at Lower Highs
DO NOT TARDE WITHOUT STOPLOSS!
Natural gas monthly chart (reason behind reversal from top)natural gas exactly reversed from the point of resistance on monthly chart and started falling new bull run can only come if it breaks the top resistance.
