30% to 60% Upside Coming for Natty (Divergence Strategy)A powerful monthly bullish divergence just confirmed on natty.
We see that the CCI had a monthly close which confirmed the bullish divergence setup. In this video I review how to determine targets with this strategy, and how to determine your risk.
I anticipate a minimum 30% rally from current prices for natty, possibly heading up 60% from here. This doesn't mean this market won't have a pullback in the meantime. In my opinion, pullbacks are for buying until these price targets are reached.
If you have any questions about this strategy, feel free to shoot me a message.
Have a great week.
Naturalgasbuy
XNG/USD "NATURAL GAS" Robbery plan in Long SideHola ola My Dear,
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Downtrend Breakout, So Uptrend Confirmation. Long Term AnalysisThis is Long -Term Analysis to understand the "Upcoming" Market Direction. Now Confirmed the Downtrend has Breakout. So market definitely move into Uptrend. It might temporarily move downside as a Retest of the Trendline. Must follow Trend continuation technic.
I marked 0.5 Fibonacci Retracement. It is Next Target for Short Term Traders.
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BOIL is starting to get hot ( 3X Natural Gas ETF)as shown on the 15 minute chart is rising in an ascending parallel channel and is suitable
for a long buy entry when the indicators are triggered. The onslaught of winter cold, the
sanctions against Russian gas exports and inflationary pressure on commodities all bode well
for the trend up for natural gas on forex and equities markets. See also my idea linked below
for a view of the chart from the 4H time frame.
Natural Gas LONG TERM TRADE analysis Hello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas(NG1!) Has Started to Bounce Now Technical Analysis:
- NG is doing a bounce in wave ((1)) in black. We expect that this bounce will continue
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is turning up
Technical Information:
- If you didn't buy yet, you must wait for the wave((2)) in black to be completed in order to buy
- And if you want to buy now, you need to put stop-loss around 2.43 but it's a risk trading now to buy
Bullish Outlook: UNG Prices Surge Amidst Anticipation of Record In the wake of widespread winter weather last week, the volatile natural gas futures front month, specifically the expiring February contracts for UNG, are witnessing a robust uptick.
Traders are eagerly anticipating a potentially record-breaking storage withdrawal, adding fuel to the bullish sentiment.
The market's sharp rebound in early trading on Thursday reflects the optimism surrounding the impending storage pull, setting the stage for a significant uptrend in UNG prices.
Investors are closely monitoring the situation, poised for potential gains in the midst of evolving market dynamics.
Naturalgas - Elliott Wave CountNaturalgas - Elliott Wave Count
Naturalgas - the market looks like in Triangle B and after the correction up to 2.34 or below level we can see a good pullback towards 2.78 range.
Please note that this information is solely for educational purposes, and it is essential to exercise caution when trading
MOEX:NG1! MCX:NATURALGAS1! CAPITALCOM:NATURALGAS FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD FOREXCOM:NATURALGASCFD CITYINDEX:NATURALGASCFD
TRADE SETUP_25% UP MOVE IN NATURAL GASThe Natural gas is seen in an Elliot wave structure since Jun.2023 bottom.
The current pullback shall be considered as a wave IV pullback(until the wave I high of 3.015 does not get violated).
From current levels though what should be expected should be a 25% rally (wave V)
towards the 4$ mark.
Also note that the wave markings have been done on an hourly chart but the daily chart is being posted here for the sake of better picture quality. In case anyone interested in having a look at all the internal markings on hourly, they could let me know.
Note*- Futures trading involves leverage and carry significant risks. Please trade with caution and do your own analysis before taking up any financial position.
Natural gas will go higher!So, we are back with another trend analysis and new support/resistance levels.
We have had a major pullback from our latest resistance level of 3 back to around 2.8~. Which is fine, its natural.
But I still strongly believe in a major bull run and upside in natural gas, which is why I believe we have to go higher, and we will in the last 2 quarters of 2023.
We have resistance level around 3.3~ - this was tested back in October/November 2020 and most recent around January 2023. This is my first target price (TP 1).
What happens after this is hard to guess at this point of time.
Will we have another energy crisis? What about the war in Ukraine and Russia? My best guess is that we will go higher after reaching 3.3 – but only time will tell.
Let me know what you guys think!
Good luck!
Is Natural Gas(NG) Preparing for a Big Bounce???Technical Analysis:
- Natural Gas is in a weekly edging buy area and any moment it can bounce once wave (5) in blue will be done
- Anyway, the big probability with actual data is that a small extend could happen in the wave (5)
- H1 right side is turning down
- H4 right side is down
Technical Information:
- If you're a position trader or long term investor, you may buy in the actual level
- And if you're a swing trader, wait for possible extend in wave (5)
NATGAS LONG TERM TRADE analysiAug 27
Hello Traders
In This Chart NATGAS HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today NATGAS analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NATGAS market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NATGAS Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Natural Gas - BullishWith the current clima, demand for natural gas for AC-cooling, there is a good foundation for a bullish move in Natural Gas.
1. Lets see a move upwards to the 2.8
2. Maybe a slight pullback
3. And then the big move towards the 3-3.05 level
Also bakced by the fact that Buffet have bought into LNG so lets see if the trend can hold.
Good lucK!
Natural Gas - KeyLevels for next WeekIf you wanna take a trade on NATURAL GAS, maybe before that, you need to conisder this KeyLevels of support and resistance areas.
Careful with shorts until on daily is bullish / upptrend + August and september is coming , when de big companies refreshes their stocks for the winter
Natural Gas Further DeclinesTraders are currently reducing natural gas losses, but the outlook for the summer is unimpressive, combined with technical factors, which suggests the possibility of further declines in the future.
Natural gas is trading on the weakside of $2.432 (R1), making it new resistance. Overcoming this level will indicate the return of buyers with $2.638 (R2) the next target.
A sustained move under $2.432 (R1) will signal the presence of sellers. If this generates enough downside momentum then look for the selling to possibly extend into $2.168 (Pivot), followed by $1.962 (S1)
S1 – $1.962 R1 – $2.432
S2 – $1.698 R2 – $2.638
S3 – $1.286 R3 – $2.902
Bearish Weather Continues
The current weather patterns are unfavorable for natural gas prices, as systems in the southern US are preventing widespread high temperatures. This bearish weather is expected to continue until hotter patterns arrive, which is projected to be around June 6-10.
Although natural gas prices are increasing on Wednesday, it is not being influenced by the weather. During the May 24-30 period, the US will experience active weather systems with showers, thunderstorms, and temperatures ranging from the 60s to 80s, except for hotter conditions in the Southwest deserts and South Texas reaching the 90s. The Great Lakes and Northeast regions will have cooler-than-normal temperatures, with overnight lows dropping into the upper 30s and 40s. This may result in a slight increase in heating demand.
Canadian Gas Exports to U.S. Normalize
Canadian natural gas exports to the United States have returned to normal levels following disruptions caused by wildfires in Alberta and other western provinces. This has led to a significant drop in U.S. gas futures, as Canada supplies around 8% of the gas consumed or exported by the U.S. In the past weeks, gas flows from Canada averaged 7.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd), lower than the year’s average of 8.3 bcfd.
However, the amount of gas exported from Canada to the U.S. is expected to remain near a three-week high of 8.1 bcfd. The wildfires had forced Canadian producers to cut exports to a low of 6.4 bcfd. Overall, the return to normal gas flows from Canada has impacted gas prices and market dynamics in the U.S.
Supply Dynamics
Gas output in the U.S. Lower 48 states reached 101.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) so far in May, surpassing April’s record of 101.4 bcfd. Additionally, gas exports from Canada to the United States were expected to rise to 8.2 bcfd, a near three-week high.
Demand Dynamics
Despite predictions of slightly increased gas demand in the next two weeks, particularly due to low wind power generation, gas futures still experienced a decline. The proportion of U.S. power generated by wind dropped to 7% compared to the previous week’s high of 17%. This decline in wind power led to an increase in gas consumption for electricity generation, particularly in Texas.
In the short term, the outlook for natural gas is bearish. The decrease in wind power generation has resulted in higher gas usage for electricity production, reducing the available supply for storage. Meteorologists project mostly normal weather conditions in the Lower 48 states, except for some colder-than-normal days from May 24-28. Refinitiv forecasts a slight decrease in U.S. gas demand, including exports, from 90.4 bcfd to 89.8 bcfd next week, with revised higher forecasts compared to the previous day’s outlook. These factors contribute to the bearish sentiment in the market.
Natural GAS : LONGNatural gas bounced from a low of $1.95/MMBTU, where almost all producers lose money.
Since natural gas and crude oil are near or below breakeven levels, producers are reducing their drilling rate - likely lowering production levels given the lack of capacity.
The negative shift in weather, falling rig count, and potential export boost from Freeport may push natural gas back into a shortage over the coming months.
While natural gas spot prices appear likely bottoming, UNG's immense "contango" pressure remains a key investment rig factor.
Source : Seeking Alpha
NATURAL GAS - Why I am Bullish - FULL SETUPWait for the small trend (blue line) to be broken upwards with confirmation of retest and rejection and from there you can enter LONG.
We have interesting news from SAPPORO, which announced today that they will reduce GAS production, but, a big BUT, they mentioned that they will temporarily stop investments in this sector.
On the one hand, this can scare small investors and the price can make a DUMP up to the 1.8 area and from there the accumulation and capitulation necessary to go up, or it can break this trend even on Monday and see the beginning of a BULLMARKET for gas.
Personally, I think we will see an increase.
But I have a BUY order at 1.80 ready so as not to miss the opportunity.