NDQ
Market Update 9/22/22Intro 0:00
BTC 0:30
APPL 2:18
VIX 11:51
HSI: 14:45
XRP/BTC and BTC Analysis 16:10
I refer between VIX, APPL and BTC in-between 11:51 and 14:45
I go over where I expect things could start for movements tomorrow and then I go in to what happened today and why I think we can end up at certain places and what targets bulls and bears may be fighting for to get what they want. Non-Short-Term Bears don't always want to sell nor do similar bulls always want to buy. Consolidation can be key.
Market Update 9/21/22Time Stamps:
0:00 APPL
4:00 VIX
6:28 APPL
9:12 BTC
18:02 ETH/BTC
19:06 GOLD
19:24 OIL
Lets see what happens.
I go over what I want to see then a recap of the last couple days and today and then I go over BTC towards the end and the big trend we have been in for months.
Long story short, I hope we get bought up a small amount tomorrow so that we can have a clean break further down and it wont seem like we are getting oversold. Though, I can't be annoyed by anyone selling because they want to be in in cash. It just makes sense as a defensive option. So to that, we may just fall off a cliff. I really don't mind being oversold though, as I prefer being bullish on/after big drops.
To me, the indexes have no real support underneath where they currently are and if APPL drops, It will drag things down pretty far. I expect Appl to head towards 122 in the near future, but well have to see what happens. Appl around 22 would coincide with the indexes possibly hitting around 20-38% down, which isn't bad considering there could be a nice amount of overselling and an easy ride back up like we had in 2020.
Stock Indexes At Major SupportsAll major stock indexes including NASDAQ100 S&P500, NASDAQ Composite, and Russel 2000 are at the bottom of their uptrend channels.
They could all break down, but it seems very unlikely as all asset managers are significantly bearish going into support. When we finally rally these guys are going to be force buyers the whole way up. Initial jobless claims are trending down since its peak in July. PPI which leads CPI has also dropped significantly the last two months. Asset managers are betting on a recession that isn't coming. The Fed hikes rates into a strong economy. They drop rates in a weak economy. When you see the Fed pause hikes and consider dropping rates, that's when you get scared.
All we need now is something positive to happen.
Market Update/Outlook 9/20/22I am pre-positioned in a small size of OTM puts incase the vix looks bad, affects the premarket tomorrow and I cannot position properly. The places I would get out or where I would add on at, are mentioned in the video.
Its too much work to find them all and type them all, so just watch the video.
Cya all tomorrow at 9:15 EST for the full market day.
Market Rotation from risk to safety.1st Vertical Line in bottom two charts show risk assets peaking such as Nasdaq and Bitcoin while the top two charts suggest a bottom confirmation by both US dollar and US 10 year treasury bills.
Horizontal line shows major penetration of support and/or resistance for all four charts. Penetration to the upside for top 2 charts, while penetration to the downside for risk assets.
2nd vertical line marks the point of penetration for support and/or resistance.
Why the strong correlation?
Market rotation from risk to safety and there's no other way to buy US treasury bills than to pay with US dollars.
Market Update 9/15/2022Tomorrow I will put all of these into one idea and only update that, so you all will see everything in one spot. Sorry for making it difficult (People on tradingview).
Watch the video. The key parts are important and should not be ignored. This is not a video about appl, but the whole market and BTC.
Soft Landing ???A Head and Shoulders is probably forming on decreasing volume. Or maybe it will evolve in a bear flag, who knows?
We are still below the downwards trendline.
If H&S doesn't form, well, I'm wrong again...
See you on the weekend of 24-25 of September. Only then we will find out.
I hope the guy in German parliament is talking about financial collapse and not nuclear war.
GLHF
Market Recap and Current MovementsI stream every market day at 9:15 EST. 15 minutes before the us stock market opens. Come join us. I usually stream for 4-7 hours every day and will answer any market related questions that I can.
This is a 20 minute video, but I talk fast. There is a lot to cover, but it is worth listening to.
This goes over more than just Nasdaq, but Nasdaq is the core of the movement having a potential gain of 6.5% from its current location before facing great resistance. If you watch the video you will understand why I do not only look at nasdaq to look for movement on the nasdaq or for the overall market direction.
I go over USD/JPY, NDQ, APPL, SPY, and VIX mainly.
I mention oil at the end, but to save you the trouble, there seems to be a possibly huge move incoming at ~$80
You can check the linked ideas below to get a more in depth view of how we got to here, but I think the video wraps it up well.
Top pick for Forex is still UDSJPY, though there may be a pull back based on current bullishness in the stock markets affecting the DXY.
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Sell off to continue on NASDAQ?Trade Idea: Selling NASDAQ
Reasoning: Sell off to continue on NASDAQ?
Entry Level: 12012
Take Profit Level: 11615
Stop Loss: 12144
Risk/Reward: 2.95:1
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NDQ / US100 ➷➷The movements of this stock match my previous analysis, and it will continue to drop ➷➷ this week..
And the graphic explains the analysis and shows the stock's upcoming movement.. So you can take advantage of the analysis and enter into good deals...
If you have any questions, contact me..
good luck traders
DJI, SPY, NDQ, BTC, NVDA, SPXS, VIX17 minute video. A lot of information packed in here.
I don't like typing things out when I have 20 things to say, so I'm not really going to do that.
TLDW; Things look bad.
If this video was useful to you, boost the idea so that more people find these the ideas and join the the streams everyday at 9:15 EST: 15 minutes before the market opens.
Stock market DJI - Great depression in 2035 | Elliott Wave 1896
I am extremely bullish on the stock market, that's for sure, but I will tell you when I expect a great depression comparable to 1929-1932.
Of course, it's really hard to predict the huge collapse, but let's take a look at it from a logical, mathematical, and Elliott Wave perspective.
On the 12M (1 year) chart, we can see multiple bullish trendlines that have been destroyed. These trendlines usually last for decades, and they're a reliable indicator of upcoming recessions.
Also, we can use the classic standard price action and look for lower swing lows, which indicates a corrective structure.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, we are currently finishing a massive 3rd impulse wave that could peak sometime around 2035. Then we will have a great depression (wave 4) and then the fifth impulse wave that can last for another 100 years.
We can see that the first impulse wave lasted for approximately 14 612 days and the second impulse wave lasted for approximately 11690 days, which is an 80% decline in time. We can assume that the final impulse wave will also have an 80% decline in time.
We are absolutely not in a recession (and I agree with the FED here) and a lot of people are calling for a massive stock market crash. But these people are calling it every year.
If you like my technical analysis, please hit "Like" and "Follow"!
NDQ Oversold in the short term, will bounce this weekBefore another large leg down.
According to trendline rules, when we have an overshoot of trend (in this case, overselling), expect prices to break out the other side, and possible reversal.
Although, I don't think this will lead to a reversal, after this week, I see another leg down.
🤙🏽