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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NASDAQ MACD deciding the rebound.Nasdaq is having the strongest two day stretch since October 6th, turning around the 4H timeframe from vastly oversold to nearly neutral (RSI = 41.141, MACD = -139.060, ADX = 43.205). If the 4H MACD completes the Bullish Cross, it will be on the same low level as September 24th and August 21st, which where both Lows of the Falling Wedge pattern. If it fails to be formed, we will hold huying until the price reaches the LL trendline at the bottom of the Falling Wedge. In either scenario our target is the LH trendline of the Falling Wedge (TP = 15,150). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NASDAQ Approaching the bottom of the Falling Wedge.Nasdaq is extending the decline it suffered at the top of the Falling Wedge pattern. The Falling Support is the level to watch for buying and the price is within days from hitting it. Trading Plan: 1. Buy when the price hits the Falling Support and the MACD (4h) makes a Bullish Cross. Targets: 1. 15000 (slightly over the 0.618 Fibonacci). Tips: 1. The MACD (4h) gave confirmed buy signals / Wedge bottoms after it formed a Bullish Cross. This is why we consider it a parameter for a buy. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingBrokersView
QQQ weekly consolidation confirmedQQQ weekly consolidation confirmed Context: weekly - downtrend (DT) daily - uptrend (UT) Last day: Price broke previous week low, signaling start of weekly consolidation. Value is overlapping with the previous day. Conclusion: Market looks very bearish but there is an interesting nuance. Although weekly consolidation confirmed we're still in daily UT, which is a bit abnormal. Moreover, value has been moving down very reluctantly in the past 4 days. All these might be a sign that bulls are still somewhere undercover waiting for the right moment to kick-in. Important levels to watch is trend line support and last daily pullback low (353). If there are signs of reversal we can then witness a very nice shortcovering rally Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts
NASDAQ:QQQ
by hermes_trisme
2
Citizens Financial Group. Possible Upside on Q3'23 Earnings CallBond pressure... Pushing' down on me, Pressing' down on you, No man ask for... Technical graph says that possible upside with NYSE:CFG stocks could be possible, with projected/ targeted line at 52W SMA. With 6.20% dividends yield, double-digit operating yield and P/B just at 0.6, NYSE:CFG securities can be considered as quite undervalued. The protection level can be considered as multi months (6-, 12-months) low.
NYSE:CFG
by Pandorra
#NASDAQ last chance --------------NASDAQ/NDX/USTECH100------------- Amidst tensions there is one final hope indexes can turn around and continue their route to the upside instead of biting the dust. Now or never I would say. If current support levels don't hold price, nothing will and we will see more downside movement. Based on that I closed my hedge position and if it proves to be true that price cannot fall beyond these levels I would consider to add to long position. This is not a financial advice, do your own research and analysis.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Szuperpotyka
2
#NASDAQ to the upside------------NASDAQ/NQ/USTECH100----------- I just went long on Nasdaq index and looking for further upside movement. From fundamental point of view I can say investors expect no more rate hike this year or in the near future. War news outside the US does not really affects this market. From technicals I can see a higher chance to go upside rather than downside at the moment. Weekly level can be the first target here (blue line). This is not a financial advice, do your own research and analysis!
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by Szuperpotyka
NASDAQ: Golden Cross and a Channel Up combined.Nasdaq formed a Golden Cross on the 4H timeframe today while turning bearish on the technical outlook (RSI = 40.347, MACD = 7.500, ADX = 49.160). This means that as it approaches the bottom of the Channel Up, it becomes an oversold buy opportunity. The former bullish wave targeted almost as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Our target this time is also a little lower (TP = 15,700). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by InvestingScope
NASDAQ Best action plan for the short-term.Nasdaq (NDX) is trading on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), pulling back after a Lower High at the top of the Falling Wedge pattern. The formation that took it that high is a Channel Up which hasn't yet been invalidated. As a result we currently sit on a bullish short-term signal until broken, with a 15270 target (Lower Highs trend-line). If the price closes below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which would also be below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), it will be a sell confirmation like that of September 19, and we will sell, targeting 14530. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
New week Nasdaq is still highHello everyone, Although the index price lacked positive momentum in recent trading, its general stability within the axes of the ascending channel, based on holding above the main support extending towards 14800.00, in addition to the formation of the 55 moving average for additional support with its position at 14945.00. This contributes to confirming the positive continuity for the upcoming trading. The above invites us to wait for the price to accumulate positive momentum to enable it to form new ascending waves, thus reiterating the pressure on the obstacle extending towards 15530.00, and by surpassing it, it will succeed in reaching the additional stations, which may start from 15670.00 and 15870.00, respectively. The general trend expected for today: bullish
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ElenaMayi
NASDAQ Hit the MA50 (4h). Will it hold?Nasdaq is on a correction leg after being rejected on the Falling Resistance of the Falling Wedge pattern, a little under the 0.786 Fibonacci level as the September 1st Lower High did. It hit today the MA50 (4h) and that can generate a short term rebound. Below that, the correction of the Wedge will be extended lower. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. 2. Sell if the price closes a (1d) candle under the 0.382 Fibonacci level (as September 19th). Targets: 1. 15200 (little over Fibonacci 0.618). 2. 14600 (over Support). Tips: 1. The Falling Wedge keeps the medium term bearish. We need a crossing over Resistance (1) to restore the long term bullish trend of 2023. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingBrokersView
7
Why it might make sense to craft a tail hedge now! Say you’re bearish but find yourself confused by the market. You want to partake in the action if things go south, but not 100% certain, what could you do? First, you could build some conviction by identifying potential reasons why you think the market could dip lower… Then, devise a ‘tail hedge’ to profit if things indeed go south. Let’s break down these two steps this week. In our past two articles, we've highlighted a couple of reasons why we lean bearish. You can find them here: S&P500 Vulnerabilities: from Money Supply to Sectoral Imbalanc & Why we’re watching the Bond/Equity Volatility . But as each week unfolds with more drama, let's revisit the market. The first idea we want to bring up is the rates-equity dislocation. On the equities front, we observe the following: The conventional wisdom has long held that low rates are good for stocks. However, with stocks rising while the Fed hikes rates, has this relationship been disrupted? From 2020 to the end of 2021, we clearly observed this classic dynamic. However, from September 2022 onwards, as stocks continued their ascent despite the Fed's rate hikes, a distinct shift became evident. Could this Equity-Rate dislocation be a by-product of the AI hype? Consider Nvidia’s stock price, which seemingly pinpointed the Nasdaq's low point. Question is… Is the AI hype a strong enough factor to permanently alter this relationship? In terms of overarching themes, there are generally defined up and down trends. AI ETFs seem to provide a rough gauge of the sector's peaks and troughs. With the previous peak in 2021 happening in the ETFs right before Nvdia peaks, again now we see a similar trend with the ETFs seemingly having peaked while Nvida trades slightly higher still, and we wonder for how long more? If this signals a pivot for Nvidia, then the Nasdaq, currently buoyed by AI hype, could falter. Now, turning to rates: What could drive rates higher? A string of robust US economic data regarding jobs and inflation has emerged. Recent figures for CPI, PPI, and NFP all exceeded consensus estimates, suggesting a robust US economy. Such data might embolden the Federal Reserve to maintain its tightening cycle. One way to interpret robust economic figures is through an economic surprise index, such as the Citi Economic Surprise Index. This metric quantifies the differences between actual economic outcomes and projections. A positive number indicates that the economy is outperforming expectations. When you overlay the Citi economic surprise index against the 13-week change in 10-year yields, a clear correlation emerges. When the economy outperforms predictions, yields tend to move in tandem. This increase in yield represents a significant deviation from its nearly 3-decade trend. Broadly speaking, the Nasdaq 100 Index hasn't experienced such a pronounced change in yield trends since its inception. On Volatility, Erik Norland from CME highlights an intriguing observation: the relationship between the yield curve slope and VIX when viewed from a 2-year average perspective. He suggests that equity volatility and the yield curve follow cyclical patterns, typified by specific periods: 1) Pre-Recession & Recession -Flat yield curve and high volatility 2) Early Recovery – Steep Yield Curve & High Volatility 3) Mid Expansion – Steep Yield Curve and Low Volatility 4) Late Expansion – Flat Yield Curve and Low Volatility Plotted, the cycle looks like this for the 1990s period; As well as the 2000s; Given our current position in the Equity Volatility-Yield Curve cycle, we might be bracing for higher volatility ahead as we're likely situated near the cycle's bottom left quadrant. If the trifecta of rising yields, waning AI hype, and a nascent high-volatility regime comes to fruition, then investing in tail hedges might be a savvy move. One potential structure for a tail hedge could be the 1X2 ratio put spread. This strategy could offer protection against adverse market movements, with the flexibility to structure it so that initial costs could be negligible or even result in a net credit. Additionally, the put ratio is typically a long vega strategy, which could be beneficial in a high-volatility environment. The 1X2 ratio put spread can be set up by taking 2 positions, 1) A short position on the Nasdaq 100 Index Futures with a strike price below the current level 2) A long position on 2 Nasdaq 100 Index Futures with a strike price further below the short option strike At the current index level for the Nasdaq 100 Futures March 2024 contract of 15,520, we could take a short position on the March 2024 put option with a strike price of 14,800 at 304.25 points credit and 2 long positions on the March 2024 put option with a strike price of 13,800 at 122.5 points debit. The setup cost of the put ratio is 304.25 – (2 * 122.5) = 59.25 points, resulting in a net credit. The maximum loss occurs when the underlying asset settles at 13,800 by option expiry, leading to a potential maximum loss calculated as follows: Long put options both expire worthless: -122.5 * 2 = -245 points Short put option: 13,800 – 14,800 = -1000 + 304.25 = -695.75 points Maximum loss = 940.75 points Considering the potential for loss and the associated risks, several profit scenarios emerge. If, as we discussed, the yield trend shifts and the AI hype subsides, the Nasdaq could potentially plummet. If the Nasdaq falls beyond the 13,104 level by option expiry, the strategy could be profitable. Conversely, if the Nasdaq remains range-bound at its current level or rises by expiry, we could also benefit from the initial credit received. Each 0.25 index point is equivalent to $5. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description. Reference: www.yardeni.com www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by inspirante