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NASDAQ 100 CFD

NASDAQ Generational Buy Opportunity. The 14 year Channel held.Nasdaq (NDX) is coming off a (near) hit on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) last month and the rebound is now closer than ever to test the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) for the first time since April 05, where it was emphatically rejected. This is something that we outlined on our previous NDX analysis that was on the 1D time-frame: This time we present an analysis based on the 1W time-frame and longer-term parameters as the index not only prepares for this quarterly bullish break-out but with its current monthly rally it holds historic Support levels. First of all, as the chart shows, the index has been trading upwards (on the log scale) within a 14 year Channel since the 2008/09 Subprime Mortgage (housing) Crisis. As mentioned, it held the 1W MA200 which has never been crossed below since the weekly candle of June 28 2010, but as you see it formed a clear Bullish Cross on the 1W MACD. We've discussed the importance of such crosses in previous posts but for Nasdaq in particular, when that took place around the 0.0 MACD mean (especially from the 2018 volatility period and after), it has been a tremendous buy opportunity, especially when coupled with a break above the 1D MA100. We can therefore claim that a 1D MA100 break is the last Bullish Confirmation signal on a multi-year scale that validates the start of the near rally within the 14 year Channel, even though some would argue that technically the last Resistance to beat would be the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1D MA200 cluster. But for this long-term model, the 1D MA100 seems good enough for a confirmation signal. For illustration purposes, I've plotted every candle series that after approaching the 1W MA200, broke above the 1D MA100 and (naturally) kick-started a rally (including of course that after the 2009 bottom). It is interesting to see that if repeated, all of them can make an All Time High (before correcting) much above the previous market High, with the exception of the shortest 2019 rally, which would stop just above the previous All Time High. Note that those are for projection purposes for sure and nothing more as the index may follow a completely different path this time, but interesting as illustrations indeed. Do you think the Channel will hold and guide the price to new ATH? P.S. As always on long-term log Channels, we've incorporated the -0.236 and 1.236 extremes, which in the case of Nasdaq match almost perfectly the March 2020 (irregular) Black Swan event that broke for just one week below the Channel. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
9
Daily analysis and trade setups on NASDAQ 20220726NASDAQ is likely to range between Blue zone B & D waiting for FOMC tomorrow. Macro: Housing price index, consumer confidence, new home sales (all before market open) Looking for #scalper #trade #setups only Blue zone B, C, D are in play Buy Break: 12375, 12480, 12590 Reversal: 12220, 12100, 12060, 11990, 11800 Sell Break: 12220, 12130, 12050, 11990, 11920 Reversal: 12370, 12480, 12590, 12670, 12810 Chart with Green Goblins here >>> Chart with confluence here >>>
OANDA:NAS100USD
by TradingIndian
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 25 Week NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 25 Week Last week's long on retracement preference worked well. Market is now testing previous supply zone. Temporarily weakness for short opportunity may be expected. If you see price loitering at the upper end of the rotation range, there's a potential for a breakout. Possible scenarios: 1) If market rotates = rotational play strategy, i.e. trade at boundary of range 2) & (3) = Behavior change scenario Weekly = Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily = Ave vol down bar close off low = minor weakness + engulfing bearish reversal candle = S>D H4: UHV down bar followed by up bar = strength Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12906 12442 12262 - 11348 rotation zone 11800 11068 10359 <10,000 break of psychology support Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NasdaqI think we are in an ending diagonal within the primary 4th wave position. Inside of the larger intermediate ABC. LTF daily chart looks like we have lost the lower TL of the ending diagonal in what should become an overthrow on the weekly TF. Currently working on the Z wave which is the strongest wave of the WXYXZ pattern which usually sends the price up or down depending on whether or not the WXYXZ pattern is bullish or bearish. After wave Z a strong reversal hits. This is what my chart implies.
TVC:NDQLong
by Big_Mike716
Daily analysis and trade setups on NASDAQ 20220721NASDAQ is likely to consolidate between 12300 and 12700 levels unless PMI data or Friday golden hour breaks one of the sides Blue level B & C as well as mega level Brown B are in play Break below 12400 can go as low as 11950 Break above 12650 can go as high as 13060 Buy Breaks: 12600, 12650, 12710, 12790 Reversals: 12460, 12375, 122215 Sell Breaks: 12500, 12465, 12350 Reversals: 12700, 12815, 12910, 13030 Chart with Green Goblins here Chart with confluence zones here
OANDA:NAS100USD
by TradingIndian
Daily analysis and trade setups on NASDAQ 20220720We are in a consolidation zone between 11989 and 12452. Break on either side and continuation will decide the next phase of the trend Current short term bias is careful bullish Buy continuation from 12250 for 12485, then 12600 and Blue level B at 12670 Also, buy reversals at 12150, 12915 and 12675 Sell rejections at 12485 or 12600 and, of course, Blue level B at 12670 Also, sell breaks and confirmation below 12200, 12910 and continue holding sales below that Blue levels B, C, D , E, F in play today Detailed green level chart is here >>>
OANDA:NAS100USD
by TradingIndian
NASDAQ 1W MACD Bullish Cross and 1D MA50 break-outThe Nasdaq (NDX) index is posting today a full 1D candle above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 08. We are still inside the long-term Channel Down formation that started at the beginning of the year but with the 1W MACD making a Bullish Cross for the first time since November 2021, while the price has been on Higher Lows for a full month, there are more probabilities to be seeing the start of a long-term trend reversal. On the short-term we should approach this in terms of MA break-outs. Right now the first target is the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which sits naturally at the top of the Channel Down and rejected the price on the last Lower High in April 04. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ULong
by TradingShot
2
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 18 Week NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 18 Week Last week's rotation trading strategy was good // Rotation 11348 - 12262 (900pt range) There's slight increase in bullish vol and reduction in bearish vol. Apart from rotation strategy, preference, will be to long on retracement. Possible scenarios: 1) If market rotates = rotational play strategy, i.e. trade at boundary of range 2) & (3) = Behavior change scenario Weekly = Ave vol up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily = Ave vol up bar close at high = minor strength H4: Very high vol up bar, narrow spread followed by very narrow spread average volume up bar = weakness Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12906 12442 12262 - 11348 rotation zone 11800 11068 10359 <10,000 break of psychology support Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 11 Week NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 11 Week Last week initial boundary for rotation was set 11348 - 12262 (900pt range) when the minor strength on all 3 TFs manifested in market testing recent high. I will keep last week's scenario plan in place. After last week's bullish effort, market may pause and test 11800 / 11348 levels. Possible scenarios: 1) If market rotates = rotational play strategy, i.e. trade at boundary of range 2) & (3) = Behavior change scenario Weekly = Ave vol up bar close off high - minor weakness Daily = Ave vol up bar close off high = level close + narrower spread at higher vol = weakness H4: UHV up bar close off high = weakness Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12906 12442 12262 - 11348 rotation zone 11800 11068 10359 <10,000 break of psychology support Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NASDAQ hit the 1D MA50, 1st time since April 21.Nasdaq (NDX) hit yesterday its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since April 21 on a near June 27 High test, which is the current Resistance. We are basically expanding on our idea posted 3 weeks ago: It may have taken a little longer, but the price resumed the rebound it has been making since the June 16 bottom, which is exactly when we posted the buy signal on the index. Technically that made the new Lower Low on the multi-month Channel Down pattern, and this rebound is the sequence towards the Lower Highs (top) trend-line. The break above the 1D MA50 sets an automatic target on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is where the previous Lower High of March 29 was priced. A break above the Channel Down but more importantly the Resistance level of May 04 (13590), can give us an additional buy signal towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Notice how the 1D RSI sequences of the past two rebounds are similar. A 1W candle closing below the 1W MA200 should be enough to kick-start a sharp fall to the 1W MA300 (yellow line, scroll the chart downwards to see). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ULong
by TradingShot
Last month of correction ?But in the Nasdaq monthly chart, there have been 6 months when every new candle is opened, we have a little high and it goes down again... This happened until the two Ichimoku averages cut each other and after that they stabilized.. I think this monthly candle of July will be the same way and we will see the opposite of this situation from the next candle... it will go from the bottom and back of the market. So, we have to wait at least one more month to see the end of the overall market correction
NASDAQ:NDX
by NEOVOLUME
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 04 Week - Use This NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 04 Week Last week NQ Scenario1+3 played out well for shorts and longs. - Minor strength displayed on all 3 TFs - Descending narrowing wedge ??Is the bottom near?? Possible scenarios: 1) If market rotates = rotational play strategy, i.e. trade at boundary of range 2) & (3) = Behavior change scenario 4) <10000 = Devious scenario of hopelessness before market bottoms Weekly = Ave vol Down off low (and > vol than previous bar) = some minor strength Daily = Ave vol up bar close at high = minor strength. H4: Indecisive - Effort no Result for shorts = minor strength Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12906 12442 11348 11068 10359 <10,000 break of psychology support Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 04 Week NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2022 Jul 04 Week Last week NQ Scenario1+3 played out well for shorts and longs. - Minor strength displayed on all 3 TFs - Descending narrowing wedge ??Is the bottom near?? Possible scenarios: 1) If market rotates = rotational play strategy, i.e. trade at boundary of range 2) & (3) = Behavior change scenario 4) <10000 = Devious scenario of hopelessness before market bottoms Weekly = Ave vol Down off low (and > vol than previous bar) = some minor strength Daily = Ave vol up bar close at high = minor strength. H4: Indecisive - Effort no Result for shorts = minor strength Price reaction levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 12906 12442 11348 11068 10359 <10,000 break of psychology support Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by paradox677