Nasdaq market analysis: 19-Dec-2024Good morning! Join me for today's Nasdaq market analysis. Share your charts, ask questions, and let's discuss trading strategies.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
3.5% Decline on The Dow Jones 30 But Is This Unusual?Looking at the trend structure over the last 8 months, we can see a pattern play out.
Since April, pullbacks of between 3.5% and 7% have been part and parcel of the Dow Jones’s trend structure. (highlighted in red)
The current pullback of 3.5% falls within this range.
Note also how our trend filter remains mostly green and grey, with speckles of red, since April, in line with the long-term bull trend.
The index has now fallen to the d50sma (orange line), where we want to see it find support, bounce, break out and continue its climb to 50,000, as it has done since April.
The Dow Jones is also a good example of how trend structures can change despite no change in direction.
October to March saw a much faster trend, using the d20sma (blue line) as support, eventually breaking through in April and leading to a change in trend structure.
The Dow Jones is currently lagging behind the Nasdaq 100, which is setting record highs above 20,000 for the first time, and the S&P 500, which has settled into a mini consolidation above the 6000 level.
We ideally want to see Santa deliver in the final 2 weeks of December.
However, if the indices and stocks don't show new trend continuations through the rest of 2024, we want them to hold within consolidation, which will act a bases for trends in the New Year.
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NASDAQ BEARISHThe Nasdaq may face a correction in the coming hours, based on technical signals from the charts. The index is approaching a key resistance zone, coupled with an overbought RSI (Relative Strength Index), indicating potential short-term reversal. Additionally, a bearish divergence between price action and the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggests weakening bullish momentum. Declining volumes on recent highs further point to reduced buying pressure. A test of the immediate support could accelerate the downside if this level is breached.
+ big liquidity level broken yesterday, looking for a correction
QQQ back above long term resistanceAs you can see, the bullishness continues and QQQ is back above the long term trading channel.
NASDAQ ONE MONTH FORECASTAfter breaking so many levels and reaching such a high price, nasdaq should stop soon to correct ;
we think it could go up to 22K max, then come back to the red KL, which are the ones that never were corrected ;
not exactly sure when or how, but this round top seems like a realistic way to end the year for US100.
Nasdaq market analysis: 04-DEC-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills. Pardon my sound.
Nasdaq trading insights: 26-Nov-2024Nasdaq trading insights: Not signals, but informative zones to aid your decision-making. Please note: These zones are not trading advice. Use them as a starting point for your own analysis.
Nasdaq Market Review: 22-NOV-2024Good morning, traders! Today's Nasdaq analysis will help you achieve your trading goals. Let's work together towards success.
NASDAQ blowoff top?!!The stock market has been rallying for approximately 758 days, fueled by optimism and liquidity. However, I believe that within a few months or weeks, the current bull run could reach its conclusion, even in the presence of quantitative easing measures.
This expectation stems from signs of diminishing momentum, overextended valuations, and potential macroeconomic headwinds that may outweigh the effects of monetary stimulus.
NASDAQ Update on Elliott Wave CountsLast week, we saw solid sharp moves up in NASDAQ:NDX along with SP:SPX and $FRED:DJIA. And that move made me reconsider my counts since I was expecting that we had a top in place now with X complete and Y down should now unfold. But last week's move made another all time high. Watch the video to understand what are the possibilities now.
NASDAQ Analysis scenarios ideaWe can see 2 Gaps in the Nasdaq, with USA Elections ahead i expect volatility.
I think we will close the 19800 gap first, then 19600 for then going up.
It depends a lot in the USA elections results
Always do your research
Nasdaq GAP We can see a Nasdaq GAP could we see it close in the next hours? USA elections starting soon, let's see how market react
Always do your research
A dump awaits NASDAQ?#nasdaq #ndx index just unclaimed the ascending channel and unless reclaim, a dump will likely be awaiting the market soon. Not financial advice.
NASDAQ100 Plummets! Short Trade Nears Final Target!NASDAQ100 (NDX) Analysis:
NASDAQ100 (NDX) has seen a strong downward trend on the 15-minute chart, with the trade setup delivering impressive results. Targets 1 through 3 have been hit, and the price is closing in on the final TP4 level, making this an ideal short trade for traders leveraging the momentum.
Trade Summary:
Entry Level: 20429.42
Target Levels:
TP1: 20323.94 ✅
TP2: 20153.26 ✅
TP3: 19982.58 ✅
TP4: 19877.10 (nearly hit)
Stop Loss: 20514.76
The Risological Dotted Trendline guided traders perfectly through this short trade, marking a strong resistance level as the index continued its descent.
Downside unfolding in NASDAQ 100NASDAQ:NDX has finally started giving confirmation of downmove with weekly negative close and a strong bearish engulfing. We might see a pullback in wave 2/B early next week after which downmove should continue. Watch the video for levels and more details.
NASDAQ 100 Sinks on AI Cost Woes - Full Target Breakthrough HIT!NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Analysis using Risological Swing Trader:
In the 15-minute timeframe, NASDAQ 100 (NDX) demonstrated a powerful bearish move, with all targeted profit levels being achieved in a swift drop. This short trade setup showed significant follow-through as investor sentiment shifted negatively due to concerns over escalating AI expenses reported by Wall Street's megacaps.
Key Highlights:
Entry Level: 20,429.42
Target Levels:
TP1: 20,323.94
TP2: 20,153.26
TP3: 19,982.58
TP4: 19,877.10
Stop Loss: 20,514.76
Context:
This bearish momentum aligns with Wall Street’s close on a lower note as major tech giants highlighted rising costs linked to AI developments. The day's range fluctuated between 19,880.26 and 20,227.19, underscoring the volatility and risk aversion among investors. The setup capitalized effectively on this negative sentiment, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Summary:
This trade on NASDAQ 100 hit all targets with precision, benefiting from the broader market's reaction to heightened cost pressures in the tech sector. This downward move underscores the impact of macroeconomic concerns on equity performance, particularly in high-cost sectors like AI.
Nq potencial bullish flatSeems like NQ is in a Bullish flat formation, that will take another few weeks maybe couple months to resolve.
Still Bullish longer term as long as August low is not pierced!
Long around b (in blue) of 3 (green) to new ATH's... then we'll be looking for signs of bearishness and entry to short for a big 5 waves down!
Nq potencial bullish flat Seems like NQ is in a Bullish flat formation, that will take another few weeks maybe couple months to resolve.
Still Bullish longer term as long as August low is not pierced!
Long around b (in blue) of 3 (green) to new ATH's... then we'll be looking for signs of bearishness and entry to short for a big 5 waves down!
Trump Media Surges! TP1 & TP2 Done – More Targets in Sight!DJT (Trump Media) on the 15-minute time frame, long trade.
Entry: $28.64
Current Price: $34.33 (TP2 hit)
TP1: $30.81 (Hit)
TP2: $34.33 (Hit)
TP3: $37.85
TP4: $40.03
Stop Loss (SL): $26.88
With two targets already hit, the momentum suggests we could see the next targets getting hit soon!
UPSTART HOLDINGS Short Trade in Motion! Awaiting Profit TargetsTechnical Analysis: Upstart Holdings – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
A clear short trade entry was identified at 51.67 for Upstart Holdings. The price is currently moving in the anticipated direction, and we are waiting for the profit targets to be hit.
Key Levels
Entry: 51.67 – The short position was initiated after identifying strong bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 54.54 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against potential reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 48.13 – The first target we are eyeing as the bearish trend unfolds.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42.41 – A further downside target as selling pressure increases.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 36.68 – If the bearish momentum remains strong, this is a possible next target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 33.14 – The ultimate target, signaling a significant downward move.
Trend Analysis
The price is trading below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a solid downtrend. With the entry in place, we are now waiting for the price to reach TP1 at 48.13 and beyond, depending on further momentum.
The short trade on Upstart Holdings has a promising setup with a clear entry at 51.67. We are now monitoring the trade as it approaches the first target, expecting further downside momentum.
Affirm Holdings Falls! TP1 Hit in Short Trade, Bearish MomentumTechnical Analysis: Affirm Holdings – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade)
Affirm Holdings showed a bearish signal, prompting a short trade entry at 46.84. The price has already reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 44.84, confirming the strength of the bearish move.
Key Levels
Entry: 46.84 – The short trade was initiated after identifying bearish momentum.
Stop-Loss (SL): 48.47 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against upside reversals.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 44.84 – Already achieved, confirming the effectiveness of the trade setup.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 41.59 – The next target if the bearish trend continues.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 38.34 – A further downside target should selling pressure remain strong.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 36.33 – The ultimate target, marking a significant bearish move.
Trend Analysis
The price is trading below the Risological Dotted trendline, which confirms a solid downtrend. With TP1 already met, the continued bearish momentum suggests further downside potential.
The short trade on Affirm Holdings has started well, with TP1 already hit at 44.84. The next targets are within reach if the selling pressure continues, making this trade setup promising for further gains.
