NASDAQ 100 CFD
TARGET REACHED:Nasdaq mirroring Dow Jones & up it goes to 18,800
Our first aim was 16,956 for the Nasdaq 100, and wow, did it deliver, perfectly echoing our Dow Jones insights. It soared right to its initial goal of 16,956, just as we theorized. ANd it's been on the up ever since.
But here's where the plot thickens—into a trending market.
And let me tell you, this is where things get tricky.
For breakout traders, finding that golden entry becomes a maze.
For those eyeing reversals, it's like navigating a storm.
And for my friends playing the ranges, buying and selling becomes a guessing game.
So, what's a trader to do?
We watch, we wait.
The trend might keep climbing, sketching new patterns for us to decipher, or we simply stay the course, nudging our trailing stop loss up by the week.
Now, with eyes on a lofty new target of 18,800, I'm parked on the sidelines.
It's feeling a bit top-heavy, and without a clear strategy to dive back in,
I'm all for observing.
Patience is a trader's virtue, especially in this game.
S&P500 in 2020 & 2024. OR ARE YOU READY FOR A NEW ONE SKYFALL!?Due to recent publications by TradingView Team and many other TradingViewers I wonder, how strong people still believe in 4-years inflation/ disinflation credit cycle, with their eternal BTC-to-the-Moon expectations.
Okkkay, Google. Let it be.. Let it be... Each coin has two sides.
Just remembered, how many Covid19-talking people were there in the room a couple months before it's happened in early 2020. The main graph is comparison between SP500 4 years ago and in nowadays.
Similar, or not? - Time will show!
//
This is the end
Hold your breath and count to ten
Feel the Earth move and then
Hear my heart burst again
For this is the end
I've drowned and dreamt this moment
So overdue, I owe them
Swept away, I'm stolen
Let the sky fall
When it crumbles
We will stand tall
Face it all together
Let the sky fall
When it crumbles
We will stand tall
Face it all together
At Skyfall
At Skyfall
// Not an investment advice
Risk for Correction as Earnings Season EndsChecking the Monthly DPO chart of NASDAQ:NDX , it is important to be prepared for the risk of a correction soon after earnings season ends OR as the final week or so of reports come in. Often, the weakest reports are toward the end as there are aging technologies among these.
Corrections are necessary for a long-term uptrend to sustain.
Notice that there is more room to move up to the previous cycle peak of 2021. This new cycle peak can go higher as corporations continue to increase their revenues and earnings this year.
Also note that the extreme angle of ascent of the trend in 1998-2000 is far more severe than what has formed so far in this new bull market.
🚚🚚 The first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries are set to be happen The first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries are set to be happen tomorrow, on November 30.
Tesla is finally ready to throw its hat into the most important vehicle segment in the US.
The long-awaited Cybertruck, with its futuristic design and embarrassing shattered-window reveal, is finally set to enter production in 2023. Its arrival could be a turning point for the market with its alien looks, high-tech features, and unique body shape.
The company will host a Cybertruck delivery event at 1 p.m. CT on November 30 at its Texas Gigafactory — a delivery event that's long been delayed by various production difficulties.
"We dug our own grave with Cybertruck," Elon Musk said on Tesla's third-quarter earnings call.
The Tesla CEO said the EV pickup truck will require a "staggering" amount of work to ramp up because "it's the nature of the newness." However, he says the company is doing its best to simplify the vehicle.
"It will be cool, but it's utilitarian," he says.
Musk has previously talked about "production hell" during Tesla's past Model 3 ramp.
In the years since its first reveal, Musk has slowly revealed new details about the truck and its performance. Here's what we know so far.
New details from Q3 earnings call
👉 Musk says he expects to reach production of about a quarter million Cybertrucks a year.
👉 "But I don't think we'll reach that output next year .... probably sometime in 2025," he says.
👉 He also talks about the challenges of the ramp-up period.
"The ramp is going to be extremely difficult. There's no way around that," Musk says. "If you want to do something radical and innovative and something's really special like the Cybertruck, it is extremely difficult because there is nothing to copy."
"The more uncharted the territory, the less predictable the outcome," he added.
Musk says he wants to "temper expectations" for the Cybertruck, predicting it will take a year to 18 months before the vehicle can become a significant cash flow contributor, he cites the difficulties of scaling production on a new vehicle, as well as selling the EV at a "price people can afford."
The CEO says demand for the Cybertruck is high, and he believes it is one of Tesla's best products.
What are the features of a Tesla Cybertruck?
Musk has made numerous claims about the truck's purported capabilities that remain to be seen. He said the Cybertruck will be able to "serve briefly as a boat," and have rear-wheel steering. Its exoskeleton-based body is the opposite of how trucks are usually produced — and how they usually look.
What actually makes it into the final list of Cybertruck features is anyone's guess.
"This is a vehicle that competes against everybody and nobody," Ivan Drury, an automotive analyst for the car-shopping website Edmunds, told Insider earlier this year. "If the Cybertruck comes to fruition looking like it did at the debut, that should be more than enough — everything else from tech and features is just icing on the cake."
He compared the Cybertruck to Hummer, a similarly large and impractical vehicle that could attract enthusiasts and wealthy luxury buyers alike.
When will a Tesla Cybertruck come on the market?
Musk confirmed in May that Tesla will make the Cybertruck available to customers later in 2023.
"Sorry for the delay, we're finally going to start delivering production Cybertrucks later this year," he said. "And I think the product, if anything, is better than expectations."
It's the first completely new Tesla product in years and comes at a time when both Tesla and the pickup truck market need some fresh ideas.
How much does Tesla's Cybertruck cost?
It's unclear how much a Cybertruck will cost. Originally, in 2019, the company said the Cybertruck would cost $40,000, but Musk has since said that the price will change.
Generally, the Tesla price range starts around $40,000 for the cheapest variant of the Tesla Model 3 and goes up to $108,490 for the Plaid variant of the Tesla Model X. The Tesla Roadster is expected to be the most expensive model once it goes into production, at a base price around $200,000.
A now-deleted contract clause aimed at preventing early customers from reselling their trucks hints that the truck may not be cheap — or plentiful — when it is finally released, experts told Business Insider.
Tesla is currently taking refundable $100 deposits.
How long does it take to charge a Cybertruck?
Tesla has said that the Cybertruck will use its new Mega Charger V4 technology and become the quickest-charging EV.
Depending on its battery size, that could mean a full charge in less than a half an hour, though details remain to be seen.
Technical highlights on Tesla stocks ahead of first Cybertruck deliveries
👉 Tesla market capitalization has more than doubled in 2023, as Tesla stock price is near $245-250 range in this time, versus $120-125 range where it was at the end of gloomy 2022.
👉 Tesla stocks broke their 52-weeks SMA key resistance earlier in Q2'23 around $215 per share, with further double confirmation of this spurt in Q3'23 and recently in Q4'23.
👉 Following the major upside channel, Tesla stocks can move upside further, to its best historical levels shortly.
🚚🚚 Happy watching a long awaited Cybertruck delivery event as historical "Moment of Tesla" is just few hours to be there.
NDX / 4H / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NASDAQ:NDX The support level at 16019 indicates the formation of a bearish wedge pattern and an AB=CD pattern. I have identified my targets on the chart based on these formations.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Good luck
🔝 Berkshire Hathaway. Grandpa Warren Breaks The TopLegendary investor Warren Buffett was on a trip to Tokyo, the capital of Japan, ten months earlier in mid-April 2023, and the titans of the country's giant energy and commodity conglomerates were there to make their presentations.
As usual, over glasses of Coca-Cola NYSE:KO - one of Buffett's most famous investments, they walked into Warren Buffett's suite at the luxury Four Seasons hotel and individually told the 92-year-old American investor the same thing: Japanese trading houses are cheap and should accelerate their move beyond commodities.
The support of the Oracle of Omaha is an important vote of confidence in the big five Japanese trading houses - Mitsubishi Corporations TSE:8058 , Mitsui TSE:8031 , Sumitomo TSE:8053 , Itochu TSE:8001 and Marubeni TSE:8002 .
It's also a broad endorsement of Japan, that is considered to have outlived its heyday 30-35 years ago, as well as considered less relevant than Asian counterparts such as China and India.
But there's one big question: Is Buffett betting on phasing out fossil fuels, the trading house products themselves, or a combination of the two? Or something else, like impact of the weak yen!?
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.B reported in August 2020 that it had acquired about 5% of the shares of five trading houses, that sent their stocks up and raised their total investment value above $6 billion. When the Covid-19 pandemic dampened demand for goods, it pushed down the value of company stocks, four of which traded below book value.
“They were selling, I thought, at a ridiculous price,” - 3 years later Buffett said to CNBC, in March 2023.
Three years after the Covid-19 pandemic (that is now hardly remembered) Warren Buffett's bets on Japan have nearly tripled to over $17 billion.
But even this Growth does not stop Buffett. Staying in Tokyo last spring, Buffett confirmed intentions to buy more shares, and participate in more big deals.
In addition, Berkshire recently unveiled plans to issue its own yen-denominated bonds, which can help hedge against the depreciation of the yen against the US dollar as well as depreciation of Japanese stocks in dollar terms.
In nowadays Japan Stock Index TSE:TOPIX ended 2023 on a positive note, adding more than 25 percent at the end of the year, that is, the maximum growth over the last 10 calendar years.
Early in 2024 TSE:TOPIX continues its growth path, as technology companies stocks are rallying.
In 2024 TSE:TOPIX hit the 2,500 yen mark - point that not been seen for more than 30 years - since the first half of 1990, while another one Japan stock index Nikkei225 INDEX:NKY hit its 36'000 Milestone - the level that was not seen also since early 1990s.
The main technical graph says Berkshire Hathaway Class B NYSE:BRK.B stocks are on the runway to break its key resistance - 6-month and all time highs, to further upside price action delver.
US100 D1 - Short Signal🇺🇸US100 D1
Another stock index markup here, for those that had a watch of the weekly watchlist video, you would have seen the detailed analysis on this, but we are simply waiting patience for a test of this 17k price, a huge psychological price with ATH’s, D1 resistance and supply.
A truly strong area of confluence, and a rejection here would be amazing, alerts set. Sitting patiently.
✨❄️🌟 The Tutorial How-To Find a Magic on TradingViewFinancial markets just finished its memorial 2023.
Whatever the numbers at the “Closing bell”, on your monitors and in your portfolios, there is no doubt that 2023 year’s Santa Rally will go down in history as one of the most outstanding in many years.
In November and December, 2023 the U.S. stock market was rallying for the 9th consecutive week in a row.
This was the longest ever upside streak in SP:SPX over the past 20 years, since the fourth quarter of 2003.
Well.. just try to answer what happened with the market the past one time.
Happy New 2024 Year!
✨❄️🌟🎅🎊🌲💫⛄️🌠✨❄️🌟🎅🎊🌲💫⛄️🌠
7 Dimension Trade idea For Nasdaq 😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective move, indicating a Point of Interest (POI) for potential reversal. Vigilance is required for a bullish reaction at this level.
🟢 Inducement: Not done yet; waiting for a proper internal bullish BoS.
🟢 Internal Structure: Currently bearish, anticipating a shift with a bullish BoS.
🟢 Decisional Order Block: About to be mitigated.
🟢 Demand Area: Identified via FVG, indicating a discounted area.
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily and H4
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: No significant chart patterns observed.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Various signals: Record Session count, Shrinking long wick, Change in guard with engulfing, Doji, Momentum, Inside bar, and a blended combo suggesting a potential reversal.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: Bullish dominance in these areas.
🟢 Volume during Correction: Comparatively less during correction than in impulsive moves.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Extremely Bearish
🟢 Range Shift: Waiting for a potential shift from bearish to sideways. Two strong bullish divergences indicate weakness in bearish momentum.
🟢 Loud Moves: Conventional RSI theory suggests an extremely oversold market, possibly signaling a reversal.
🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A robust 7-star buy signal.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Price is already under the Middle band.
🟢 After a strong expansion, the market is moving into contraction, indicating a potential bullish sideways move.
🟢 Squeeze breakout awaited.
🟢 Walking on the band not yet.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: Nasdaq shows the highest rate of bullish sentiment compared to all other indices.
7️⃣ Sentiment
Price action signals a clear long entry, but other dimensions like momentum and volatility tell a different story. Waiting for final volatility and momentum confirmation for a long position.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ Current Move: Corrective
✔ Support Resistance Base: FVG demand area
☑️ Candles Behavior: Bullish signals intact - RSC, Long wicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Occurred
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Breached but not confirmed.
💡 Decision: It's prudent to wait until the price provides a proper internal structure breakout. Once a bullish BoS is confirmed, consider a buy. I will update entry, take profit, and stop levels when triggered.
🚀 Entry:
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis suggests a potential bullish reversal but advises caution until the price demonstrates a clear internal structure breakout. Various signals indicate a reversal, and a detailed plan will be updated upon market confirmation.
NDX Nasdaq100 Fell 8.60% After the Last U.S. Credit Downgradeitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating on Tuesday, moving it from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns about "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade happened following last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to reach a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, raising the risk of the nation's first default.
In the past, a similar credit downgrade had a significant impact on the NDX, which fell 8.60% in just two weeks. Back in August 5, 2011, Standard & Poor's, one of the major credit rating firms, downgraded U.S. debt after another major debt ceiling battle.
Jim Reid, a strategist at Deutsche Bank, pointed out that while the news of Standard & Poor's being the first to downgrade 12 years ago was substantial, investors had already adjusted their perceptions of the world's most important bond market, recognizing that it was no longer a pure AAA. Nonetheless, Fitch's recent decision to downgrade is still significant.
In the current scenario, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
As for the price target for this year, it remains at $16650, as shown in the chart below:
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
QQQ Nasdaq 100 ETF Price Prediction for 2024This was my price prediction for QQQ in 2023. I was bullish, but not enough:
Considerations about 2024:
In the July 2023 meeting, the FOMC chose to raise interest rates to a range of 5.25%–5.50%, marking the 11th rate hike in the current cycle aimed at mitigating heightened inflation. The prevailing consensus among market experts hints at a potential shift in strategy, suggesting that the Fed might commence rate cuts later in 2024 as inflation gradually aligns with the Fed's 2% target. Statistically, historical data indicates that approximately 11 months after the cessation of interest rate increases, a recession tends to manifest. This pattern places us around June 2024, aligning with my prediction of a dip in the QQQ to approximately $370.
Given that 2024 is an election year, there's an additional layer of complexity in predicting market behavior. Despite the anticipated mid-year dip, my inclination is that the QQQ will conclude the year on a bullish note. This optimistic outlook hints at the onset of a 3-5 year AI bubble cycle, with the QQQ boasting a year-end price target of $460.
The integration of artificial intelligence into various sectors is expected to catalyze market growth and innovation, propelling the QQQ to new heights by the close of 2024.
Light moves in Q4 for a possible santa rally Comment: 9/16
high 2yr yields with respect to the assumption that the fed starts cutting rates in the first two quarters of 24'. Earnings coming in October with strong economic data since july (pmi, manufacturing index, retail sales, etc.) along with big spending holiday seasons coming. Equities might be sideways or in a wedge til then and break out for a santa rally toward the end of the year towards 17k.
see updated chart
NDX Broke Double Bullish Pattern, 16600 SoonDear Traders,
NDX broke the falling channel (long purple trendlines) and then repeated a breakout from the falling wedge (short purple trendlines).
I believe NDX can continue its rally because MACD turned bullish, and I can see a confirmed bullish cross on the RSI. The price is above EMAs, and the volume is high enough for the continuation. I believe the target could be around 16600.
NDX is also overbought. While I expect further upside, traders without an existing position from lower target prices could wait for a corrective retracement to enter.
Kind regards,
Ely
US100 ~ Ho Ho Santa Rally or EOY Bah Humbug Bust? (4H)CAPITALCOM:US100 chart mapping/analysis.
Nasdaq 100 consolidating into key macro economic news, much like S&P 500.
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Bullish reaction to macro economic news = break above ~16167 trading range (yellow dashed) towards ascending trend-line (green) / red box confluence zone.
Bullish extension target(s) = new historical highs surpassing ~16770 November 2021 high.
Bearish reaction to macro economic news = break below ~15690 trading range (yellow dashed) + descending trend-line (light blue) towards 78.6% Fib / 200SMA dynamic support confluence zone.
Bearish extension target(s) = descending trend-line (white dotted) / ascending trend-line (green) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.