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NASDAQ US100 SUPER BEARISH !! H&S FORMED hello guys , as i previously analyzed last weekend on the weekly tf nasdaq or us100 is very bearish in my eyes. as i predicted perfectly the price closed below a bullish trendline and it failed the create a higher high also forming a double top. i highly highly request from you that you take a good look at my last week analysis today on the daily tf it looks like a head and shouldrs was formed waiting for the break out of the neckline for the full confirmation. it looks very very bearish to me , i am open to hear you ideas and insights
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by xAB777
NASDAQ Forming Head and Shoulders ReversalNASDAQ Daily *Note: This is an update to our previous analysis that will be linked below Price Chart The NDX is currently trading within an upward channel (Yellow Solids), and has recently tested the bottom trend line a fourth time; the more price retests it the weaker it becomes. This has also formed what could be the neckline (Teal / Red Solid) to a head and shoulders setup and has pushed the price past the mid-point (Teal Dotted) of the double top; which would also be the head. EMA's on the other hand have failed to cross lower with the 12-day and 26-day recrossing higher. Also notable is the spike in selling pressure on July 21; which is the same area the NDX is currently trading. Relative Strength Indicator There is a divergence (Teal Solid) from the price which lead to the trend line (Yellow Solid) breaking and the RSI dipping below the 50 level. The RSI has since recovered, however it's re approaching the trend line for a retest. On Balance Volume Similarly to the RSI, the OBV has also shown a divergence from the price and moved lower past the mid-point (Teal Dotted) in the double top. After a bounce at the support (Red Solid) the indicator is moving higher to retest the mid-point. TLDR; The market is showing strength, but a head and shoulders pattern is possibly forming as outlined above. RSI and OBV are both signaling higher, however, the indicators are nearing a trend line retest and level of resistance respectively. If price action moves past the head then we have an invalidation, but look for lower buying volume in the beginning of September to signal the formation of the shoulder. What Seems Legit? Um, not our portfolio if Mr. Market keeps running away from our targets; the market has been on a tear since the reversal in Dec / Jan. I mean, how many times have you heard those Bloomberg boys on the radio be like "omg markut go zhoom moar! wuuuuut?!", then the analyst comes on and is like "OH YEA NO U GOTTA DEPLOY CASH HERE I MEAN U CANT SIT ON THE SIDELINES LIKE WE CALLED THE BOTTOM AND NAO U GOTTA BAI". Layin' it on a little thick, text book transfer of wealth. Let's see if we get that head and shoulders. Follow us on Twitter for memes, market moves, and not so headline news. Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line / Channel Red Solid = Support / Resistance Teal / Red Solid = H&S Neck Line Aqua Solid = Divergences Teal Dotted = Midpoint Resistance White Dotted = Invalidation of H&S Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
NASDAQ Heading Lower For Longer (1D)NASDAQ Daily Price Chart We have quite a bit going on here so, pitter patter lets get at 'er. First, we have our second fake out (Highlighted) on the major trend line (Yellow Solid) which is accompanied by less buying volume than the first. EMA's have not crossed yet however we have a solid close below the 50-day and a legit cross of the 12-day and 26-day indicating a change in direction. We're getting the bounce we thought we might (Teal Dotted), which was outlined in the Weekly analysis that will be linked below, and should max out at the top teal dotted line if it pushes past the EMAs; This will be dependent on Nvidia earnings since it's so heavily weighted on the Index. After it begins to come down the first target of support (Green Box) aligns with the 200-day EMA, so that's definitely in play and will most likely see a decent bounce from there. Relative Strength Indicator Most notable here is the bearish divergence (Aqua Solid) that played out in the previous months and lead to a break in the major trend line. This lead to a small retest and the beginning of a bounce on the line of support (Teal Dotted). From here we likely see a retest of the 50 level to accompany the bounce and a rejection to downside to confirm our analysis. On Balance Volume Similarly to the RSI there was also bearish divergence that played out from previous months that lead to change in the direction of the OBV. The major level of support, or midpoint of the double top, was broken and confirmed the change in direction; This lead to the major trend line on this indicator also snapping. Most recently we've seen the beginning of a bounce on a line of support, which will most likely lead to a retest of the major trend line before resuming it's downward movement. Our target here aligns with another major trend line (Faded Yellow Solid) and the target support (Green Box). TLDR; Bro u pittur pattured moar thn u gat @ hur. Yea, well, we're in the business of pittering and the pattering is good. Price action is showing weakness and we're beginning get a small bounce at the second fake out break out of the major trend line; NVDA earnings will determine the height of it. The 12-day / 26-day EMA's actually crossed this time and there's been a solid close below the 50-day. RSI and OBV both show bearish divergences that have played out and confirmed the change in direction; both indicators are also showing a bounce at outlined supports before downward momentum resumes. Current targets are the green boxes. What Seems Legit? We bounce from excitement into Nvidia earnings; This seems to big one of the largest earnings calls in awhile, so you know big brain bets have already been placed, no one is showing up fashionably late for this. Earnings come out and the market either goes nuts, or has lackluster performance (our guess) into Friday where our overlords seal the deal for lower price movement. Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line Red Solid = Major Support Aqua Solid = Divergences Teal Dotted = Support / Bounce Area Red Box = Major Resistance Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
NASDAQ Moving Lower (1W)NASDAQ Weekly Price Chart After forming a double bottom in late 2022 the NASDAQ bounced and has melted up from its lows approximately 48% confirming that it was more than just a bear market rally. Most recently the NASDAQ has run into resistance (Light Red Box) and has descended roughly 3% past a minor trend line on the daily chart (not shown). Shorter term EMA's are beginning to even out (12-day / 26-day) indicting the beginning of a change in the direction of price action which will most likely move lower towards the target supports (Light Green Boxes). If the bottom support (Red Solid) is broken (pretty big "if" at the moment) then the possibility of breaking the long-term trend line (Yellow Solid) will come into play, however at this point it is premature to assume this comes to fruition. Relative Strength Indicator The major trend line (Yellow Solid) highlights the divergence from price action beginning in May 2022 and confirming the double bottom ending in December 2022. Most recently the RSI has remained elevated above the 70 line indicating a strong trend, however, the RSI has fallen back below the 70 signaling weakness. The RSI most likely moves down toward the major trend line and major support (Red Solid) from this point. Considering a cradle is in play with the resistance and trend line crossing, it will more than likely bounce with price action allowing the price to attempt one more move higher but will ultimately fail along with RSI failing to make a higher high and confirming price action. If the support and trend are broken it is most likely game over. On Balance Volume OBV bounced along with price and RSI in December 2022 and continued higher while making two consecutive bull flags confirming the movement. The OBV has failed to move higher after encountering resistance (Aquamarine Dotted) while retesting the major trend line (Yellow Solid) and seemingly has begun to move lower (emphasis on begun to). It is also notable to mention that a minor trend line (Yellow Dotted) has created a cradle that the OBV has so far failed to break. If the major resistance (Red Solid) is broken then it is basically game over, but we have two areas of support (Light Green Boxes) that will need to be broken first. The major resistance has had previous breaks which led to major downturns that can be seen in December 2000, February 2005, and September 2008 (all shown above). TDLR; Just want the meat and potatoes huh? Don't worry our entrees always Seem Legit. Price action recently hit resistance and has begun to move lower while EMA's begin to flatten. There's a 3% move down from a minor trend line on the 1D (not shown). The RSI is showing a bearish divergence after remaining elevated over the 70 line and beginning to move lower. The OBV looks to be forming a double top, and has run into resistance from a major and a minor trend line. Don't forget that this could take months to play out since this is the weekly chart. What Seems Legit? Possibly a bounce here from the support formed Jan - Mar 2022 in conjunction with the 12-day or 26-day EMA, retest the recent high, fail to break it and begin to move lower. It might just push lower due to the RSI on the 1D moving below the 50 line (analysis of the 1D has been posted). "History doesnt repeat itself but often it rhymes" - - Tap the 50-day EMA and carry on (2019) - Crash to the major trend line and carry on (2020) - Break the major support on the OBV and head lower (2000, 2005, 2008) Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line Red Solid = Major Support Aquamarine Solid = Divergences Red Box = Major Resistance Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
1
NASDAQ Moving LowerLooks as if a double top has formed after the recent melt up and a secondary trendline has been broken (solid yellow). Used RSI and OBV here to show the deviation from the price action solid red). The current trendline of the RSI has broken down and has bounced lower off the 50 level while the OBV sits right on it's current trendline. Price action has seemingly failed to make a higher high and is accompanied by higher recent selling volume. Current support levels are shown as dashed lines (yellow to red) With the red box being the strongest support and current target. The Short Term - Looks as if we return to the primary trendline of the melt up (teal solid) to see if we get a breakout or a fake out. Mom's allowance money for this week says we make that move lower due to the above analysis and since RSI was rejected off the 50 level. The Long Term - Shows price action moving back towards and testing the 200-day MA with the battle between the 50-day and 200-day to follow afterwards. Death cross = doom and gloom, bounce = hao in the NHL did u guise pull ths off? TDLR; Bearish Deviations - Price action moves down to the teal solid line then towards the 200-day MA. Red box is the current target. Stay tuned to see how mad mom gets if the market takes our allowance money. None of this was meant to be financial advice, but still seems pretty legit
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Seems_Legit_Research
US100 Long U.S. Debt Deal Optimism Boosts SentimentI have marked the Bullish Bearish scenarios of the next 2 weeks(Possible Potential Long) Green Bullish Golden Cross High Bullish Volume Technically: HH HL Donchian Long June S&P 500 futures ESM2023 are trending up +0.18% this morning as market participants weighed the latest updates on negotiations in Washington to reach a debt-ceiling deal while awaiting a key speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In Thursday’s trading session, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 notched a 1-year high, boosted by gains in chip stocks and a more than +9% jump in Netflix Inc NFLX after the streaming giant said its recently launched ad-supported tier reached about 5 million active users per month. Also, the benchmark S&P 500 rose to a 9-month high, helped in part by an over +11% surge in Take-Two Interactive Software Inc TTWO after the company reported above-consensus Q4 net bookings. In addition, Walmart Inc WMT rose more than +1% after the retail giant reported upbeat Q1 results and raised its full-year guidance, helping keep the blue-chip Dow in positive territory.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
1
NDX are you rdy for long ?🧨🧨👌Nasdaq index, did you know that this index has an upward trend in the past two weeks? Well, interestingly, Bitcoin also has and I announced this in my analysis. Well, how far the index should go up, you should be careful, I won't say here if it goes up. Two more targets will not be seen, the first target is 15265.42, the index will go up to this price. Our second target is 16607.19. I am giving you this information based on the method of dirty banks, so don't forget that this index is bullish to see these targets.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by ForexCryptoNews441
NDX Swing ShortNasdaq has been rallying hard the past few weeks, thanks to tech rally due to recent growth opportunities provided by rise of AI. But Nasdaq is reaching significant levels both from S/R perspective and market structure. 1.We are reaching the top edge of the parallel channel 2.We are at PRZ of couple of harmonics (Cypher and BAT). 3. Also, within very close proximity of the top of rising wedge. Keep a close watch on top tech stocks (Microsoft and Nvidia) Stocks, these have been the primary reasons for a rally in NDX, if these stocks start to fall, so will NDX. Another reason for anticipating down weeks and months in NDX is due to Breakout in DXY which is -0.81 correlated to NDX. Which means 80% of the time NDX moves opposite to DXY. To read my DXY analysis, go over the links below.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by zakoraio
Nasdaq - The Q's Party is Almost OverThe Nasdaq has shown remarkable strength throughout the year, outperforming market expectations and surprising many investment strategists. In late January 2023, the index experienced a bullish breakout, marking a significant positive signal for growth after a year-long downtrend. However, it's important to note that a bearish pattern has recently emerged, indicating potential limitations to further upside momentum. While the possibility of a false breakout cannot be ruled out, if it were to occur, it would likely be short-lived. Consequently, I anticipate a downward trend for the Nasdaq in the coming weeks. It's worth paying attention to the areas marked by green bubbles, as they represent potential levels of support where bullish investors would want to maintain control. Any significant breakdown of the lower green support area could have severe consequences for growth and overall market performance. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by jstrasburger
APPLE MASSIVE SHORTApple is currently at the top of a rising wedge and has developed three counts of bearish divergence on the daily time frame. It has also completed a bearish cypher reaching the 0.786 on what seems to be a confirmation high. The weekly time frame also shows that it has reached the resistance which has held on 4 previous occasions I AM currently short with 75% of the position I want to take on this. I will add the other 25% at a higher price or I will enter at the break of the wedge. For now I only plan on closing the short at a price above 176, but it depends how we get there so I will update in the comments.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by SynergyTradingSetups