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NASDAQ is very close to the top of the 1-year Channel Up! Sell?Nasdaq (NDX) is extending its aggressive rise of the Bullish Leg that started on the October 26 2023 Higher Low of the 1-year Channel Up and by the strength of it, it appears it will extend it to the max. That potential max extension is in the range of 18100 - 18300, which is the top of the dashed Channel Up and the top of the dotted 1-year Channel Up, which was initiated on the market Low of January 06 2023. A news/ fundamentals based approach could time the bearish reversal after next Tuesday's U.S. CPI report. Technically though, the 1D RSI being on Lower Highs ever since December 19 2023, shows that technically we are already on a strong Bearish Divergence that can reverse any moment. The similarities with the previous Channel Up Higher High on July 18 2023 are striking, with the only exception that the current dashed Channel Up is overextending the 2nd peak. Regardless of that, the 1D RSI is coming out a similar Megaphone and appears to be on a similar Lower High as July 31 2023. A similar RSI pull-back can be seen from February 02 to March 10 2023, which resulted into a -9.35% decline for Nasdaq. The August 18 2023 decline was translated into a -8.55% decline. As a result, assuming that 18100 is a potential peak for the index, we are targeting a minimum -8.55% decline, which falls directly on Support 2 at 16550. That would break the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and make contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
5
NASDAQ Extremely close to a peak and a correction.Nasdaq (NDX) closed yesterday on a red 1D candle, with the 1D RSI above the 70.00 overbought barrier, but remains within the (dashed) Channel Up, as well as supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 03 2023. Based on the 1D RSI which is within a Megaphone pattern, we might be approaching a peak similar to July 19 2023, whose RSI was also inside a Megaphone on almost the same levels as now. Following the peak, the price declined initially by -8.50%. Since the start of the year the other two major declines have been around -9.50%. This suggests that if the index reverses around next week (Fed Rate Decision), we are technically aiming for 16200, which will put to a test Support 2 and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which made the bottom on the first -9.50% decline of last year on March 13. The confirmation signal for atleast a short-term sell, can be when the index breaks the 1D MA50. Also, currently, the downside potential can be as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which by its current course can make contact with the price around Support 3 (15700). The 1D MA200 has been untouched for more than 10 months (since March 13 2023). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
8
NASDAQ Post Cup & Handle rally in motion. There'll be pullbacks.Nasdaq (NDX) has completed a giant Cup & Handle pattern and since the late October 2023 bottom, it has started the post Handle rally. This rally historically tends to be a very long-term one but with its fair share of corrections to at least the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As you know 2022 was the year of the Inflation Crisis (left side of the Cup) while 2023 was its recovery (right side of Cup). Going back to the 2 most recent Bear Cycles, the 2008 Housing Crisis and 2002 Dotcom Crisis, we can observe similar Cup & Handle patterns, with identical 1W RSI sequences (oversold on their bottom and starting a Channel Down when the Handle begins). The rally that followed after the Handle in 2011 and 2005 started another pull-back to the 1W MA50 (ellipse) just a few months after when the 1W RSI hit the top of its Channel Down. The chart shows that we might be in a similar situation right now. As a result, long-term investors may seek an additional buy entry as close to the 1W MA50 as possible like the late October bottom. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDX
by TradingShot
1
NASDAQ Hit the ATH but has one more push to give.Nasdaq (US100) hit yesterday the 16772 All Time High (ATH) level, reaching in the process our 16680 short-term target as shown on our December 11 call (see chart below): The dominant pattern on the 4H time-frame is a Channel Up and the price is trading on its middle. As long as the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) supports, any pull-back is a buy opportunity for at least one more push marginally above the 5.0 Fibonacci extension, as it happened on the November 14 pump. Our target is 17300. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
NDX Broke Double Bullish Pattern, 16600 SoonDear Traders, NDX broke the falling channel (long purple trendlines) and then repeated a breakout from the falling wedge (short purple trendlines). I believe NDX can continue its rally because MACD turned bullish, and I can see a confirmed bullish cross on the RSI. The price is above EMAs, and the volume is high enough for the continuation. I believe the target could be around 16600. NDX is also overbought. While I expect further upside, traders without an existing position from lower target prices could wait for a corrective retracement to enter. Kind regards, Ely
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Elysian_Mind
Nasdaq average returns (before and after) ThanksgivingBased on the observation that US equity markets tend to perform well heading into Thanksgiving, we decided to take a proper look at the figures. And it turns out, the Wednesday ahead of Thanksgiving tends to average the strongest positive returns of 0.54% with an 80.6% win rate. The Nasdaq followed its seasonal tendency to rise on Monday, and closed at a 22-month high above 16k. Whilst Tuesday tends to be a down day, it has risen 52.8% of the time which explains the positive median return. But in a nutshell, the Nasdaq tends to rally into Thanksgiving and weaken the following Monday. And with RSI 2 and RSI 14 overbought alongside hype of strong Nvidia earnings, bulls may want to err on the side of caution next week - especially if we see a strong rally on Wednesday.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by CityIndex
NASDAQ Channel Down or Bullish Flag?Nasdaq (NDX) broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and has almost reached the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern that started after the July 19 High. The 1D STOCH RSI Bearish Cross suggests that this is a sell opportunity on the short-term at least, towards 14900 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level). But what if this is not a Channel Down but a Bullish Flag pattern after a relentless 2023 price growth? In that case we will need to wait for confirmation in the form of a break-out above the last Lower High (and current Resistance level) at 15630. After that, we will buy the first pull-back below it and target the 16780 All Time High of November 2021, which interestingly enough is only a fraction below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, a standard technical target in case of Bullish Flag break-outs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
7
SQQQ's Steep Drop From Yellow Sell ZoneIn my previous update I emphasized that this yellow sell zone is a very strong resistance level for SQQQ. There was a lot of uncertainty surrounding the Friday jobs data, but the data came in very strong and almost double expectations. This led to a bullish rally for TVC:NDQ and SP:SPX that led to steep bleeding for SQQQ. I predicted that SQQQ will drop below the green support level over the next few months, these are my updated price targets on the way down.
NASDAQ:SQQQShort
by realchartchamp
NASDAQ Reality will soon hit those who bet against the market.Nasdaq (NDX) has been on a 3-month correction since its July High. No need to mention that this High almost touched its All Time High (ATH), almost recovering in less than 1 year the value lost in the Bear Cycle. ** 2010 Higher Lows and Megaphone ** The Higher Lows (dashed) trendline that has been in place since 2010 after the recovery from the 2008 - 2009 Housing Crisis started, held during the 2022 Inflation Bear Market and gave way to a Channel Up. We can claim that since mid-2018 the market entered into a Bullish Megaphone pattern and such Channel Up formations have been the common vessels to a Higher High. ** Uncertainty/ Doubt / Disbelief ** Similarly common have been minor (on a 1W scale) corrections such as the pull-back we are witnessing since July. During market uptrends, those are called 'Bull Flags'. Especially in the beginning of the recovery those are met with Uncertainty/ Doubt / Disbelief. For that reason the majority doesn't get in on the trend until it is well underway. Even the 1W RSI shows how consistent this Symmetrical Support Zone has been throughout all those Channels. Even the Higher Lows trend-line from May 2022 is still holding. ** First Bullish Cross since 2010 ** On top of all the above, Nasdaq is about to completed a 1W MA50 (blue trend-line)/ 1W MA100 (green trend-line) Bullish Cross, the first since February 2010 (which as mentioned is post Housing Crisis). The price will enter next week into green Ichimoku territory, which when formed indicates significant upside potential on a well establish bull trend. We expect this to be the end of the 3-month correction and the resume of the uptrend. Based on the previous runs, NDX is aiming at 17800 towards the Christmas rally and 21500 in Q3 2024. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TradingShot
7
NASDAQ Is this what the markets fear the most?More than a month (August 16) ago we called for caution on Nasdaq (NDX) after calling for a short on the 1W MACD Bearish Cross formation (see chart below): This analysis didn't receive the attention it should as it delivered bad news that market participants wanted to ignore. The 1W MACD Bearish Cross on such a high level hasn't been seen since 2021 and that brought memories of the Inflation Crash. This week the index broke below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) for the first time in 6 months with the 1W RSI turning neutral below 55.00 after being massively overbought from late May to late July. So far this looks like a healthy (and much needed) correction, similar to the 1D MA100 hit-and-rebounds of October 26 2020, March 01 2021, May 10 2021, September 27 2021. The common characteristic on all was that no 1W candle closed below the 1W MA100 and no selling sequence broke below the Support provided by the first candle that approached or hit the 1D MA100. This time that Support is at 14550. So far the current pattern resembles more the August - October 2020 fractal as the 1W MACD Bearish Cross is the widest while also formed after an incredible rally from the market bottom (it was the COVID flash crash recovery then). Check also the 1W RSI which is remarkably symmetrical. Also every such fractal that didn't cause a crash, broke quickly above a Lower Highs trend-line. The only one that didn't was the market peak fractal of November 2021. In our opinion, as long as Nasdaq holds the 14550 Support, it will become a buy opportunity the moment it breaks above the Lower Highs trend-line. In that case, we will resume our 16770 long-term Buy Target (and All Time High). If however it closes a 1W candle below the Support, we would expect a sharp sell-off to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), as it happened on the January 17 2022 candle. In that case we will need the fundamentals that will surround the market at the time, to determine the risk of buying at 13500 (projected contact level with the 1W MA50. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
9
NASDAQ All going according plan, ATH by the end of the year.Today we make an update on our 1W time-frame Nasdaq (NDX) outlook on the analysis we published 2 weeks ago: So far the price action is materializing our projection, as the index priced a bottom near the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) two weeks ago and is rebounding aggressively, in similar fashion as the September 2020 fractal. Similar 1W MACD Bearish Cross and more importantly similar 1W RSI rebound within same Rectangle levels. If the pattern continues to be repeated, then a marginal breach of the 0.786 Fibonacci could deliver a new sharp pull-back to the 0.236 Fib. Weekly candle closings above it should keep investors interest intact and resume the uptrend, eventually to the 1.786 Fib extension and the 16770 All Time High. We are expecting this to take place towards the end of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
6
NASDAQ Rebounding exactly at the bottom of the 8month Channel UpNasdaq (NDX) made a Higher Low last Friday exactly at the bottom of the Channel Up pattern that started at the beginning of the year, and broke (as well as closed) yesterday above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The strongest buy confirmation has just emerged today as the 1D MACD forms a Bullish Cross, the first such pattern at such low level since January 08 2023. As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) stays intact (has been unbroken since January 20), we are targeting 16295 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension as with the March 31 High). In the unlikely event that a 1D candle closes below the 1D MA100, we will sell and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 13600, where the index will turn into a huge long-term buy opportunity again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
2
NASDAQ Heading Lower For Longer (1D)NASDAQ Daily Price Chart We have quite a bit going on here so, pitter patter lets get at 'er. First, we have our second fake out (Highlighted) on the major trend line (Yellow Solid) which is accompanied by less buying volume than the first. EMA's have not crossed yet however we have a solid close below the 50-day and a legit cross of the 12-day and 26-day indicating a change in direction. We're getting the bounce we thought we might (Teal Dotted), which was outlined in the Weekly analysis that will be linked below, and should max out at the top teal dotted line if it pushes past the EMAs; This will be dependent on Nvidia earnings since it's so heavily weighted on the Index. After it begins to come down the first target of support (Green Box) aligns with the 200-day EMA, so that's definitely in play and will most likely see a decent bounce from there. Relative Strength Indicator Most notable here is the bearish divergence (Aqua Solid) that played out in the previous months and lead to a break in the major trend line. This lead to a small retest and the beginning of a bounce on the line of support (Teal Dotted). From here we likely see a retest of the 50 level to accompany the bounce and a rejection to downside to confirm our analysis. On Balance Volume Similarly to the RSI there was also bearish divergence that played out from previous months that lead to change in the direction of the OBV. The major level of support, or midpoint of the double top, was broken and confirmed the change in direction; This lead to the major trend line on this indicator also snapping. Most recently we've seen the beginning of a bounce on a line of support, which will most likely lead to a retest of the major trend line before resuming it's downward movement. Our target here aligns with another major trend line (Faded Yellow Solid) and the target support (Green Box). TLDR; Bro u pittur pattured moar thn u gat @ hur. Yea, well, we're in the business of pittering and the pattering is good. Price action is showing weakness and we're beginning get a small bounce at the second fake out break out of the major trend line; NVDA earnings will determine the height of it. The 12-day / 26-day EMA's actually crossed this time and there's been a solid close below the 50-day. RSI and OBV both show bearish divergences that have played out and confirmed the change in direction; both indicators are also showing a bounce at outlined supports before downward momentum resumes. Current targets are the green boxes. What Seems Legit? We bounce from excitement into Nvidia earnings; This seems to big one of the largest earnings calls in awhile, so you know big brain bets have already been placed, no one is showing up fashionably late for this. Earnings come out and the market either goes nuts, or has lackluster performance (our guess) into Friday where our overlords seal the deal for lower price movement. Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line Red Solid = Major Support Aqua Solid = Divergences Teal Dotted = Support / Bounce Area Red Box = Major Resistance Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
NASDAQ Moving Lower (1W)NASDAQ Weekly Price Chart After forming a double bottom in late 2022 the NASDAQ bounced and has melted up from its lows approximately 48% confirming that it was more than just a bear market rally. Most recently the NASDAQ has run into resistance (Light Red Box) and has descended roughly 3% past a minor trend line on the daily chart (not shown). Shorter term EMA's are beginning to even out (12-day / 26-day) indicting the beginning of a change in the direction of price action which will most likely move lower towards the target supports (Light Green Boxes). If the bottom support (Red Solid) is broken (pretty big "if" at the moment) then the possibility of breaking the long-term trend line (Yellow Solid) will come into play, however at this point it is premature to assume this comes to fruition. Relative Strength Indicator The major trend line (Yellow Solid) highlights the divergence from price action beginning in May 2022 and confirming the double bottom ending in December 2022. Most recently the RSI has remained elevated above the 70 line indicating a strong trend, however, the RSI has fallen back below the 70 signaling weakness. The RSI most likely moves down toward the major trend line and major support (Red Solid) from this point. Considering a cradle is in play with the resistance and trend line crossing, it will more than likely bounce with price action allowing the price to attempt one more move higher but will ultimately fail along with RSI failing to make a higher high and confirming price action. If the support and trend are broken it is most likely game over. On Balance Volume OBV bounced along with price and RSI in December 2022 and continued higher while making two consecutive bull flags confirming the movement. The OBV has failed to move higher after encountering resistance (Aquamarine Dotted) while retesting the major trend line (Yellow Solid) and seemingly has begun to move lower (emphasis on begun to). It is also notable to mention that a minor trend line (Yellow Dotted) has created a cradle that the OBV has so far failed to break. If the major resistance (Red Solid) is broken then it is basically game over, but we have two areas of support (Light Green Boxes) that will need to be broken first. The major resistance has had previous breaks which led to major downturns that can be seen in December 2000, February 2005, and September 2008 (all shown above). TDLR; Just want the meat and potatoes huh? Don't worry our entrees always Seem Legit. Price action recently hit resistance and has begun to move lower while EMA's begin to flatten. There's a 3% move down from a minor trend line on the 1D (not shown). The RSI is showing a bearish divergence after remaining elevated over the 70 line and beginning to move lower. The OBV looks to be forming a double top, and has run into resistance from a major and a minor trend line. Don't forget that this could take months to play out since this is the weekly chart. What Seems Legit? Possibly a bounce here from the support formed Jan - Mar 2022 in conjunction with the 12-day or 26-day EMA, retest the recent high, fail to break it and begin to move lower. It might just push lower due to the RSI on the 1D moving below the 50 line (analysis of the 1D has been posted). "History doesnt repeat itself but often it rhymes" - - Tap the 50-day EMA and carry on (2019) - Crash to the major trend line and carry on (2020) - Break the major support on the OBV and head lower (2000, 2005, 2008) Chart Key Yellow Solid = Major Trend Line Red Solid = Major Support Aquamarine Solid = Divergences Red Box = Major Resistance Green Boxes = Supports / Target Areas
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by Seems_Legit_Research
1
NASDAQ 1W MACD Bearish Cross causing this correction.Nasdaq (US100) completed this week the first MACD Bearish Cross since September 2022 and is the leading technical cause behind the recent two week correction. The 1D RSI got rejection on the exact same level as August 24 2020, which was prior to a similar MACD Bearish Cross that corrected almost as low as the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). As a result, it is possible to see another 1-2 week selling extension, before this (much needed) technical correction is over. We will be ready to give the buy signal for a long position that will eventually target the 16770 All Time High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
1
NASDAQ Moving LowerLooks as if a double top has formed after the recent melt up and a secondary trendline has been broken (solid yellow). Used RSI and OBV here to show the deviation from the price action solid red). The current trendline of the RSI has broken down and has bounced lower off the 50 level while the OBV sits right on it's current trendline. Price action has seemingly failed to make a higher high and is accompanied by higher recent selling volume. Current support levels are shown as dashed lines (yellow to red) With the red box being the strongest support and current target. The Short Term - Looks as if we return to the primary trendline of the melt up (teal solid) to see if we get a breakout or a fake out. Mom's allowance money for this week says we make that move lower due to the above analysis and since RSI was rejected off the 50 level. The Long Term - Shows price action moving back towards and testing the 200-day MA with the battle between the 50-day and 200-day to follow afterwards. Death cross = doom and gloom, bounce = hao in the NHL did u guise pull ths off? TDLR; Bearish Deviations - Price action moves down to the teal solid line then towards the 200-day MA. Red box is the current target. Stay tuned to see how mad mom gets if the market takes our allowance money. None of this was meant to be financial advice, but still seems pretty legit
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Seems_Legit_Research
US100 Long U.S. Debt Deal Optimism Boosts SentimentI have marked the Bullish Bearish scenarios of the next 2 weeks(Possible Potential Long) Green Bullish Golden Cross High Bullish Volume Technically: HH HL Donchian Long June S&P 500 futures ESM2023 are trending up +0.18% this morning as market participants weighed the latest updates on negotiations in Washington to reach a debt-ceiling deal while awaiting a key speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. In Thursday’s trading session, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 notched a 1-year high, boosted by gains in chip stocks and a more than +9% jump in Netflix Inc NFLX after the streaming giant said its recently launched ad-supported tier reached about 5 million active users per month. Also, the benchmark S&P 500 rose to a 9-month high, helped in part by an over +11% surge in Take-Two Interactive Software Inc TTWO after the company reported above-consensus Q4 net bookings. In addition, Walmart Inc WMT rose more than +1% after the retail giant reported upbeat Q1 results and raised its full-year guidance, helping keep the blue-chip Dow in positive territory.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by DaveBrascoFX
1
NDX are you rdy for long ?🧨🧨👌Nasdaq index, did you know that this index has an upward trend in the past two weeks? Well, interestingly, Bitcoin also has and I announced this in my analysis. Well, how far the index should go up, you should be careful, I won't say here if it goes up. Two more targets will not be seen, the first target is 15265.42, the index will go up to this price. Our second target is 16607.19. I am giving you this information based on the method of dirty banks, so don't forget that this index is bullish to see these targets.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by ManochehrAzar