Need
This account broken with watchlist. New account "Wackinhut"Hey guys, this is the thebulltrader.
I have not posted in longtime due to family changes and different investing approaches.
Recently I have been trading stock options and am looking to focus more on that aspect.
However, my account thebulltrader has been glitched with
a "Stuck watchlist" and have created a new account called "Wackinhut"
If you like my recent post under Wackinhut "i'd appreciate having the ability to comment in
public forums as I need 50 reputation points for public chat rooms.
P.S been trading for like 6 years from forex, stocks, options, and commodities.
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Need for Caution HereBitcoin BTCUSD Wednesday Update
Bitcoin is beginning to make a habit of topping out between
21:00 and 01:00 and bottoming between 05:00 and 09:00 the
next day (gmt). Last night we were still running a long and
looking for 11906 on Bitfinex and 11867 on Bitstamp when
Bitcoin topped out very unexectedly 11780 at 22:20 - doing so
from no discernible level of resistance, right out of the blue.
This is so unlike the Bitcoin we know and trade. But it did it
anyway. Bitcoin was positive up to the point that it broke the
rising uppermost dynamic that had been supporting the rally
all day yesterday and stops and exits were running up under
this line which was lying at the 11651 support line at the time
of the break - and pretty much at excactly the same levels that
we went long again from. Not good. But could have been a lot
worse without using stops. Since then Bitcoin has fallen away
overnight to make a low at 04:15 and then a secondary higher
low at 05.30 at 10709 before rallying higher again.
Day traders are risking longs off the nearest 10857 support line
but if so use a tight stop at under 10800 for small loss if it
falls away from here further.
There is so much resistance now lying between here and the
11257 line on Bitfinex making it difficult to open up a long
swing trade from current levels.
It really has to move up above 11270 and hold for swings to
enter long again from here with stops below 11180 if
triggered later.
Returning to the downside: overnight Bitcoin has lost the
supporting dynamics which now lie above it and are stopping
any rally from gaining any real traction now. In very near
term Bitcoin is being held up a small dynamic rising under the
lows of the day - failure to hold this dynamic from here
will tip Bitcoin back into the hands of the bears in nearer
term and likely back to 10680 to begin with and then on a
break below here the picture will turn more bearsih again and
take Bitcoin down to 10296 if not 8925 in the process.
Usually we trade Bitcoin every day because the patterns are
clear enough for us to do so. But this is not one of those days
as yet except for day traders. Last night was a warning that
came out of the blue - so far we cannot really trust this rally
as we did others in the run up. Want to see it make a higher
intermediate low when the next decline begins before being
able to determine just how trustworthy this counter-rally
really is.
So boringly neutral right now unless day trading. Sometimes
patience is a virtue. Better safe than sorry. Today, so far at
least, is one of those days. We watch and wait for now.
More as the move develops...
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Stops need raising to protect weekend gainsBitcoin Update
Don't want this to turn over here now before China opens
but it could do without some buying power from 7460 level
to hold it up and then propel it through to a new high.
Want to protect gains by raising stop to just under 7450 on
at least half the position, if not all, according to risk profile.
Ideally it will trade sideways between high and 7460 and
then China could arrive to propel it substantially higher.
However it will need that power to take it higher from here.
So just in case it doesn't arrive, and it can only be deemed
50/50 chance in reality, we should protect the 400 points
made so far this weekend just in case the Chinese don't
come in to keep momentum going.
Also need to remain aware of just how high this has risen
and therefore just how low it could fall when buying power
wanes again. probably back to 6312, if not to 6165. If it
does we need to be flat and ready to buy again from lower
down. If 7450 gives way day traders will step in on short
side with stops above 7460 looking to drive prices lower still.
USDEUR: USD holding up well so farUSDEUR: USD is holding up really well today - despite finishing last week on lows it's managed to hold on valiantly all day - so have to accept that his could be a failed break-down developing, often very profitable if on the right side of it. Need a plan B. IF it breaks above downtrend on chart it's time to accept defeat and reverse.
OXY: potential rally away from here soonI'm buying dips in this stock, awaiting a rally after the OPEC meeting this week. A good cue is if we don't hit 66.92 within the next 3 days, so, keep your eyes open to start accumulating positions, and perhaps taking some profits if you're already long and get a sharp rally to the top of the range once more.
If that fails, we might see the stock fall lower, but we can't know in advance
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie