Neowaveforecast
Will the Euro weaken against the US Dollar?EURUSD has started a price and time correction since July 28, 2008 in the form of a diametric pattern.
Wave-(f) currently appears to be forming. We see two price ranges for the end of wave-(f) in terms of price:
a - range 1.15758-1.17173
b - range 1.21357-1.23505
After the completion of wave-(f) we expect wave-(g) to continue to the specified range.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Has the Alt Season Started?Cash Data 1W
By analyzing the weekly Cash Data chart of TOTAL3, we observe that after a rapid and significant rise, a correction in TOTAL3 has begun, which appears to be forming a Neutral Triangle pattern.
Wave Analysis:
Wave-(c) is a double pattern with a small X-wave, making it the most complex wave. However, there is a possibility that wave-(d) could become more complex than wave-(c). We are currently in wave-(d). Given that wave-(b) has surpassed the start of wave-(a) and wave-(c) has been fully retraced by wave-(d), there is a likelihood that a Running Neutral Triangle is forming. For confirmation, wave-(d) must exceed the starting point of wave-(c).
Conclusion:
Based on the analysis, wave-(d) could rise to the range of 1.14–1.38 trillion USD. Subsequently, wave-(e) will begin and may conclude within the retracement zones identified on the chart. To accurately determine the target for wave-(e), we need wave-(d) to complete, allowing us to predict the end of the Running Neutral Triangle with greater precision.
After the completion of the Running Neutral Triangle, we expect a significant rally in altcoins.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
GOLD correction continues to $3,150The recent corrective wave that started at $3500 is turning into a larger corrective pattern. We are currently in wave-(c) of this correction which is completing a diametric.
This diametric pattern could end in the $3200 or $3150 price range.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
Will NIFTY50 fall?Regarding NIFTY 50 Index
my expectation was that after a small growth, the g-wave from the diametric will be completed, then the price correction will start and the reason for it can be anything, definitely if the correction starts, the reason will be the war between India and Pakistan.
Normal:
The correction can continue up to the range of 23209-23456 and after spending the required time, start moving up. If this range is broken, the correction can end in the range of 22300-22700.
Pessimistic:
If the end of the wave-(D) is broken strongly, the upward movement that was formed from 21740 to 24593 will be considered as an X-wave and the wave-(D) will turn into a double pattern. Although the upward movement that formed from 21740 to 24593 does not have all the conditions of the X-wave, but when the market is not normal, we need to be a little flexible in our analysis.
What will be the second pattern of the double combination?
Usually, after the diametrics, the second pattern tends to be a neutral triangle or a contracting triangle or a reverse contracting triangle. But I will not comment on it now and wait for a few waves of the second pattern to form, then we can predict the pattern with more probability.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
A larger corrective pattern is formingIn the previous analysis, a specific range was determined for the price to reverse, after reaching that price range, the price jumped upwards and the price grew by 1700 pips. However, considering that the structure of wave-c is not an impulse, the zigzag was not confirmed and it seems that a larger corrective pattern is forming.
It seems that the reverse contracting triangle pattern is forming, which is currently in wave-d of the triangle. With the completion of wave-d, we can better find the end point of wave-e.
Netflix price correction will continueBased on the 2-month Cash Data chart, it is quite clear that the diametric pattern is completing.
Considering that the diametric wave-(B) has taken a lot of complexity and time, it seems that the wave-(F) is not completed and has little complexity and time, so we considered two scenarios for the wave-(F):
Scenario 1
Considering that after the wave-(E) there was a rapid downward movement, the wave-(F) will become an irregular contracting triangle, then the wave-(G) will start and grow
Scenario 2
The wave-(F) can turn into a flat pattern with a strong wave-b. In this type of flat, usually the wave-c cannot retrace the entire wave-b, as a result, the wave-c of this type of flat pattern can turn into a terminal pattern, and then the diametric wave-(G) of a higher degree will start.
ZIGZAG wave-c has startedContinuing the previous gold analysis
It seems that wave-(b) is turning into a normal zigzag and wave-c has started from the zigzag. Wave-c of this zigzag could end in the range of $3200-3216 or $3104-3118.
After the zigzag ends, we will have another upward movement in gold.
Bitcoin NEoWave AnalysisBased on the wave count, it seems that Bitcoin has entered a new uptrend after completing a long-term correction in the form of a neutral triangle pattern.
Since the first wave of this uptrend has an impulse structure, it can be said that a bullish zigzag pattern is taking shape, and we are currently in wave B of it.
Based on the analysis, wave B of the zigzag can develop into a neutral triangle, with wave D continuing to the $100,000 or $110,000 level, and wave E can also retrace about 38% of it.
With the completion of wave B, the price can enter wave C with a target of $158,000 to $180,000.
Start of Wave-(b) and Neutral Triangle As I said in the second paragraph of the previous analysis, wave-(a) ended at 3500 and the gold price fell by 7% (over 2000 pips) and now wave-(b) has started.
1M Cash Data Chart
I think that a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle is forming, with the completion of wave(b) we can somewhat understand which pattern is forming.
Gold Uptrend ContinuesThe higher degree diametric wave-(E) is expanding and we can consider the recent price correction that started at $3167 as a small X-wave, as a result, gold can grow as a combination pattern to the range of 3600-3800 and even gold can touch $4000.
The second triangle pattern will probably be a neutral triangle or a reverse contracting triangle, where the wave-(a) triangle can end at 3500 or 3600.
The factor that caused the expansion of the wave-(E) is the US-China trade war, which caused investors to rush to buy gold.
"BIST100: Triangle Signals 20-25% Drop"BIST100 (XU100)
In the monthly Cash Data, we see that a Reverse Neutral Triangle has formed and the post-pattern movement (the downward movement after wave-(e)) has also confirmed it and it seems that BIST100 is preparing for at least a 20-25% correction.
If the beginning of wave-(b) is broken, i.e. the number 7189, the correction of this index can continue to 5705.
Bitcoin NEoWave Analysis Based on 6M Cash DataCash Data 6M
In the 6-month cash data for Bitcoin, it appears that a Running Neutral Triangle is forming and we are currently in wave-D of this triangle. Based on the previous mid-term Bitcoin analysis, as long as Bitcoin’s price remains above $70,000 there is potential for the price to rise to $150,000. Therefore, wave-D of the neutral triangle could expand and grow larger.
Until wave-D is complete, we cannot accurately predict the endpoint of wave-E( The label-E shown in the image is not precise and will likely change) However, after wave-D concludes, the price will experience at least a 50% correction to complete wave-E of the triangle, followed by a strong upward move in Bitcoin.
The analysis will be updated once wave-D is complete.
Good luck
NEoWave Chart
SSE Composite Index CorrectionThe SSE Composite Index, the primary index of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, reflects the performance of diverse companies across various industries and serves as a gauge of China’s economy. It is calculated based on the market value and stock prices of these companies.
According to daily Cash Data (1D), the SSE Index, after a 36% rise from September 18 to 30, 2024, entered a corrective phase that has lasted about 4 months.
Based on the time and price similarity of the waves, it appears the correction is forming a diametric pattern. Wave (e) is likely complete, and wave (f) has begun. Wave (g) may end at 3,138 or 2,945, though the completion of wave (f) will allow a more precise prediction of wave (g) endpoint.
This diametric pattern will likely take another 2 to 3 months to complete..
Correction has begun in SPXWe can almost say that 4800 has been touched and given that the downward movement was very fast, this wave is most likely the A-wave of a triangle and the upward waves that are forming after the 90-day suspension of the stalls are considered as a corrective wave.
Previous SPX Analysis
S&P 500 resistance levels#SPX
Upon observing the 6-month cash data of the S&P index, it becomes clear that this index has reached significant resistance levels. However, it is still too early to proclaim the beginning of a major correction in this index. That said, it can be anticipated that a potential price correction might extend to the range of 4800 to 4500.
When comparing the wave count of this index with the Warren Buffett Indicator, both reveal a common message: the S&P is currently situated in sensitive zones.
There are two critical price ranges for this index that could lead to significant price reversals: the first range is between 6085 and 6240, and the second range is between 7900 and 8000.