#XAUUSDFed exposed: Probability of raising interest rates next year up to 40%?
🔻 The Fed reduced interest rates by 0.25% to 4.25%-4.50%, but the market perceived this as a "hawkish" move.
🔻 The market reacted strongly: USD soared, stocks fell sharply, US bond yields increased.
🔻 The Fed's economic forecast is controversial when it increases the 2025 inflation forecast to 2.5% and reduces the number of interest rate cuts in 2024 to two.
🔻 Some economists, like Apollo Global Management's Torsten Slok, predict a 40% probability of the Fed raising interest rates by 2025.
🔻 The upcoming Trump administration's trade and tax policies could push inflation higher, forcing the Fed to consider raising interest rates sooner, possibly as soon as the second quarter of 2025.
🔻 Chairman Powell did not rule out the possibility of raising interest rates, emphasizing the need to maintain a flexible stance in the face of
